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What If Trump’s Tariffs Are Actually Bullish for SPX ?Hello Traders 🐺 In this idea, I want to take a closer look at SPX and break down why the new U.S. tariffs and Trump’s economic policies could either boost or damage the U.S. economy in the coming months. So make sure to stay with me until the very end. 🔍 Let’s start with the chart: As you can see, SPX is currently holding above a weekly support level, marked by the orange ascending trendline. So far, so good. However, we’re also seeing a massive bearish divergence on the RSI — and in my opinion, this was one of the key reasons behind the recent Black Monday-style selloff. ⚠️ But here’s the deal: If SPX breaks below this orange trendline, the next strong support is around 3375 — aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the monthly blue trendline inside our green support zone. 🤔 Should we be bearish on SPX and the U.S. economy? That’s the big question… and it’s tricky to answer right now. Let’s break it down. 🔧 1. Tariffs and Trump: What’s really going on? We’re currently in a pause phase of the ongoing tariff war — with countries negotiating to avoid escalation. But here’s the catch: markets hate uncertainty, and that’s why we saw panic selling recently. Still, most people miss the bigger picture here. The U.S. has long been a consumer-driven economy, importing heavily from other nations. Meanwhile, U.S. producers have struggled to compete — both domestically and internationally — due to low tariffs at home and high tariffs abroad. So what do Trump’s new tariffs do? ✅ They level the playing field for U.S. companies at home ✅ They push other countries to lower their tariffs through negotiation ✅ They reduce dependency on foreign imports and support domestic production In short, if combined with smart monetary policy, these moves could actually help revive U.S. manufacturing and strengthen the economy in the mid-to-long term. 📉 Final thoughts on SPX: I personally don’t believe the bearish breakdown is coming — but as a trader, I focus on reality, not preference. Right now, we’re still holding above major support, and unless that breaks, the bullish scenario remains in play. Let me know what you think about this macro setup in the comments. And as always remember: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
SP:SPXEducation
by Kiu_Coin
1
Relationship between trendline and StochRSI Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I think that everything used in chart analysis should be objective so that everyone can understand it. If not, I think that if we start complaining about the different interpretations used in chart analysis, the essence may be damaged. Therefore, I am trying to present a method that anyone can understand and draw in the same way. In that sense, I have talked about the method of drawing trendlines several times. Today, I will explain additional parts that were not covered in the previous drawing methods. To set it like the StochRSI indicator on this chart, - Source value: ohlc4 - Setting value: 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D) You can set it like this. - A trend line is literally a line drawn to find out the trend. It can also be used to predict how the current trend will change in the future. However, since a trend line is drawn for chart analysis, what we need to draw importantly is the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - The trend line currently drawn is as follows. Trend line (1): Trend line between lows drawn on 1W chart Trend line (2), (6): Trend line between lows drawn on 1D chart Trend line (3), (4): Trend line between highs drawn on 1D chart Trend line (5): Trend line drawn on 1M chart Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend in the medium to long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (1). Similarly, in order to continue the uptrend in the long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (5). - The trend line is drawn by connecting the points between the highs or lows of the StochRSI indicator. The StochRSI indicator creates waves in any case. However, when creating waves, you should consider that the points necessary for drawing the trend line have been formed by touching the overbought and oversold areas and draw them. Therefore, the points of the A and B sections of the StochRSI indicator are ambiguous points for drawing trend lines. The solution to these points is the same as the trend line drawn above. That is, the trend line is operated by connecting the points of the A section or the B section based on the last point created by touching the overbought or oversold section. At this time, the important thing is that it must have escaped the overbought or oversold section. The trend line (3) and trend line (4) drawn in this way form an expansion channel. Therefore, once the decline begins, you can see that there is a possibility of a large decline. However, as I mentioned earlier, the trend line was drawn to analyze the chart. Therefore, you need to check the importance of the support and resistance points drawn in the area to see if it will actually lead to a decline. Currently, the important support and resistance range from a short-term perspective is 76322.42-78595.86. And, from a medium- to long-term perspective, the important support and resistance range is 69000-73499.86. Therefore, even if it falls below trend line (4) and shows a large decline, it is expected that it will not be easy to touch trend line (3). - Trend line (2) and trend line (6) are trend lines drawn between low points on the 1D chart. Therefore, even if it falls, it is highly likely that the area around trend line (6) will be the maximum. In other words, even if the decline begins, it is highly likely that it will re-confirm the support around 76322.42-78595.86. - In any case, this volatility period ended without any significant movement. The next volatility period is around April 25-29. Since the StochRSI indicator is clearly showing a downward trend in the overbought zone, the key is whether there is support around 83423.84-84591.59. If the price is maintained above the 1D chart, there is a high possibility of maintaining a short-term uptrend. However, from a trading perspective, it should show support near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart to be a trading period. Therefore, whether there is support near 89294.25 is important. - Therefore, we are troubled. Should we buy when it is supported in the current zone, 83423.84-84591.59, or should we buy when it is supported near 89294.25? If the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to sell, and if it falls below the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to buy. If you look at the chart again with this information, you can decide that it is better to wait a little longer rather than proceed with the current transaction. - In the previous idea, I said that if it rises to around 89294.25, there will be a psychological feeling that it will rise further, and you will try to make a breakout trade. At this time, what we should be interested in is whether the trend line between the lows and the trend line between the highs are formed in the same direction. And, whether the StochRSI indicator shows an upward trend below the 50 point. If it does not show such a movement, it is highly likely that it will shake up and down with a large fluctuation range. Therefore, it is absolutely necessary to check whether it is supported near 89294.25. Checking support and resistance is a tedious and difficult task. Checking support and resistance requires checking the movement for at least 1-3 days. - The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low point range. Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it can be interpreted that it has fallen back to the low point. Therefore, in order for an uptrend to begin, the trading volume must increase when confirming support near the HA-Low indicator. If the trading volume does not increase and it rises, it may not rise much and turn into a downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BTCUSDT - Trade Log BTCUSDT – Weekly Bullish Outlook Weekly Context: Price has held the weekly Fair Value Gap and bounced off the 50 EMA, with clean wick rejections signaling strong buyer demand. The recent pullback (~32% from ATH) remains within historical correction bounds, and the tiny current retrace (<1%) suggests low downside risk. A triple bottom on the weekly RSI cycle around 40 further supports a bullish reversal. Trade Plan (Long): – Entry: Add longs near the weekly FVG / 50 EMA (around 75–87k). – Stop: Place just below the FVG low (≈70k), risking ~5% of account. – Target: First at 100k (psychological level), then previous ATH region for a 1:3+ RRR. Bullish Catalysts: • Weekly 50 EMA has only closed below twice—support intact. • Weekly FVG wick signals have historically delivered high-probability bounces. • Triple bottom on weekly RSI signals major capitulation is complete. • Macro backdrop (equities & gold) remains positive for BTC. Stay alert for any decisive weekly close below the EMA—until then, the bulls remain in control. 🚀
Long
by Fondera
2
LINK Potential Falling Channel Reversal + RSI SignalsBINANCE:LINKUSDT has been in a downtrend since December, grinding inside a falling channel for 2 months, and it's now sitting right above the key ~$10.00 demand zone. Price Action • Price is respecting both bounds of a well-defined falling channel. • Currently consolidating just above the demand area, early signs of potential strength. RSI Insights • Clear bullish divergence at demand zone retest. • RSI could be approaching a breakout of its multi-month downtrend — worth watching closely. Key Zones • Support: $9.5–$10.5 is critical. It held last time and could fuel a reversal. If broken, it would invalidate the setup. • Resistance: Falling channel upper boundary. • Confirmation: RSI breakout + channel breakout = potential confirmation of trend reversal. Also watch $15.5-$16 (previous S/R) and the whole $18-$20 area, which previously acted as support and has a high volume traded. Both could be good levels to take profits, together with the main supply zone in the $25-$27 area. Still in a No-Trade Zone until a breakout is confirmed.
Long
by AliferCrypto
3
These 3 Things Will Show You How To Take Profit On Trades.Its been a crazy week.This is because i am developing a new trading strategy.Trying to learn something new is not easy at all. When you look at this chart you will see: -The cross below the 20 level -The blue line is above the orange line -The Stochastic has coordinates These 3 things will show you how to take profit on trades.Also they will show you when to enter them. i had to change Stochastic coordinates to show you the "Dip Buy" Strategy. This strategy is based on buying prices that are cheap. It is not easy to follow.Because when you decide to buy at these prices,You are going against the crowd. To take profit , you have to exit at the top of this indicator. This is why these coordinates are important.The purpose is to show you when to take profit, and how to take profit. This will help you on your trading path. Rocket boost this content to learn more. Disclaimer:Trading is risky please risk management and profit taking strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation trading account.
CRYPTO:AVAXUSDLong
by lubosi
Silver Bulls Breaks Resistance, Eyes on $34.57 RetestThe upside risk we flagged earlier this week has now materialised for silver, with the spot price staging a bullish break above the 50-day moving average, resistance at $32.73, and the December 2024 uptrend on Wednesday. Having closed above this former resistance zone, it may now provide a base for fresh longs targeting a retest of the March 28 swing high at $34.57. Levels to watch in between include Wednesday’s high at $32.16 and $33.50 which acted as support around the turn of the month. A stop loss beneath the uptrend would offer protection should the trade move against you. While momentum indicators remain more neutral than outright bullish, the bias is to the upside following the breakout and ongoing trends in RSI (14) and MACD. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD01Long
by FOREXcom
Apple – More Pain to come? Apple’s NASDAQ:AAPL chart right now? Honestly, it’s a mess. It’s one of those setups where you can’t confidently say much with conviction , but one thing feels clear to me: it should go lower before it gets better. Zooming out to the 3-day timeframe , you can spot something interesting: the downtrend from 2022 to 2023 looks almost identical to the one we’ve seen from July 2023 to April 2024 — same structure, same slow bleed, and almost the exact same duration. That kind of symmetry doesn’t happen by accident. After that, we had a massive rally from April/May 2024 , but now we’re already seeing a sharp retracement — down over 35%. My take? We probably need one more leg lower to really shake things out before Apple makes a meaningful move higher, maybe toward $250–$260 . To get there, I think we still need to retest the $160–$150 zone. If we break below that and head toward $120, then we’re in real trouble structurally — that would shift the whole outlook. Yes, the recent bounce from the VWAP level was clean , and it looked strong — but I wouldn’t rule out one more flush before we get the real recovery. Apple is in no-man’s-land right now, and until we hit key levels or reclaim broken structure, it’s caution over confidence.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by stromm
3
Bitcoin is heading into its final low before bull market?Bitcoin got rejected at the 1-Day Cycle top and is now pulling back toward the 1-Day Cycle lows. While most investors are getting bored and slowly shifting their attention elsewhere, crypto is quietly consolidating and gearing up for a BIG move... Will we break above $100K, or are we heading into a recession and full-on bear market mode? Next week will be a decisive one for the entire crypto market this year. If Bitcoin manages to hold above $77,000 as the 1-Day Cycle hits Day 20, we could be on the verge of a run toward $100K. But if we drop below the previous 1-Day Cycle low, trouble’s coming. Confused? Just check out this chart. It’s easy to lay out both the bullish and bearish cases—but it’s a whole different game to quantify, commit to a position, and wait for the more probable outcome to play out. Which scenario is more likely? In short: the green one . Here’s why: The 2-Week Cycle has spent over 4 weeks below 20, completely crushing bullish sentiment. The 1-Week Cycle has been below 20 for over 2 months—the longest stretch in the past 5 years. The 3-Day Cycle hasn’t fully reset, but reversed to the upside last week due to positive price action. We’re on Day 46 of the 60-Day Cycle, and price has been holding up well. We’ve tested the $80K zone a couple of times, and Bitcoin still seems eager to push higher. For the first time in a while, there are more bears than bulls (according to Polymarket). On that note—check the Polymarket predictions
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
Bitcoin: Shooting Star Breaks Wedge, Bearish Bias BuildsDownside risks appear to be growing for bitcoin with Tuesday’s shooting star candle triggering a bearish break of the rising wedge it had been sitting in over the past week. Shorts could be established on the break with a stop above Tuesday’s high for protection. Some may opt for the 200DMA as a trade target, but the preference would be to look for a return to the lows beneath $75,000 hit last week. The neutral momentum picture is also showing signs of turning bearish, with RSI (14) breaking its uptrend as a result of the latest pullback. While RSI is trending higher, it remains in negative territory, indicating downside momentum is only lessening—not reversing entirely. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDShort
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 15 April 2025 - USDJPY reversed from long-term support level 142.00 - Likely to rise to the resistance level 144.65 USDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the long-term support level 142.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2023), support trendline of the weekly down-channel from January and the lower weekly Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous intermediate impulse wave (3) from last month. Given the strength of the support level 142.00 and the oversold weekly Stochastic, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 144.65.
Long
by FxProGlobal
Best Technical Indicator to Identify Order Block & Imbalance Your ability to correctly identify Order Blocks on a price chart is essential for profitable trading Smart Money Concept. In this article, I will show you a great technical indicator that will help you to spot Order Blocks on any financial market. First, in brief, let me give you my definition of Order Block. The problem is that in SMC trading there is no one single definition of that and many traders interpret it differently. To me, an Order Block is a specific zone on a chart from where a strong price movement initiates and where a significant imbalance between supply and demand occurs . This imbalance should strictly originate from a liquidity zone. That definition implies that in order to identify an Order Block zone, one should learn to properly identify the imbalance and liquidity zones. And again, there is no precise definition of an imbalance on a price chart. To me, a bullish imbalance is a formation of a bullish engulfing candle - the one that engulfs a range of previous bearish candle with its body. Above is the example of a valid Order Block on GBPUSD. A bearish imbalance is a formation of a bearish engulfing candle - the one that engulfs a range of a previous bullish candle with its body. Above, you can see the example of an Order Block on USDCAD, based on a bearish imbalance. There is one technical indicator that will help you to recognize such Order Blocks. It is called " All Candlestick Patterns" on TradingView. Open settings of the indicator and make it show ONLY Engulfing Candles and choose "No Detection" in "Detect Trends Based on". After that, hide the indicator and first, Identify the liquidity zones on a chart and wait for a test of one of these zones. Here is a test of a liquidity zone on NZDUSD on an hourly time frame. After that, turn on the indicator, and wait for its signal. You can see that after some time, the price formed a bullish imbalance with a bullish engulfing candle. The indicator highlight that candle. The Order Block zone will be based on the lowest low of 2 candles and the high of a bearish candle preceding the imbalance. One more example. We see a test of a significant liquidity zone on EURAUD on a 4H time frame. We turn on the indicator and look for a signal. A bearish imbalance is formed and the indicator immediately notifies us. An Order Block Zone in that case will be the area based on the highest high of 2 candles and the low of a bullish candle preceding the imbalance . Of course, there will be the rare cases when the indicator will miss the imbalances. But while you are learning to recognize Order Blocks, this indicator will definitely help you a lot! Thank you for reading! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Mastering the Stochastic RSI - Guide to Spotting Momentum ShiftsIntroduction In the world of technical analysis, momentum indicators are essential tools for understanding market sentiment and potential price movements. One such tool is the Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI), a unique and highly sensitive variation of the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI). While the standard RSI focuses on price, the Stoch RSI takes it a step further by measuring the momentum of the RSI itself. This makes it a faster-reacting and more dynamic indicator that many traders use to anticipate trend shifts and spot overbought or oversold conditions earlier. What is the Stochastic RSI? The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum oscillator that operates similarly to the RSI but with a twist — instead of measuring the price of an asset, it measures the movement of the RSI. Because of this, the Stoch RSI is typically more sensitive and quicker to respond to changes in market momentum. It consists of two lines: * The blue line: The primary line that reacts quickly and shows when the RSI is gaining or losing momentum. * The orange line: A moving average of the blue line, which acts as a smoother version to help filter out noise and highlight potential turning points. How to Read the Stoch RSI The Stoch RSI moves between 0 and 100, and traders often focus on the 20 and 80 levels as key thresholds: Above 80 (Overbought): Indicates that the RSI has been running hot compared to recent values. This suggests strong upward momentum that could be due for a slowdown or minor correction. However, it doesn’t necessarily mean the price will drop immediately, just that conditions are extended. Below 20 (Oversold): Suggests the RSI has been suppressed, signaling weakening bearish momentum and a possible reversal upward. Again, this isn’t a guaranteed bounce but rather a situation where a shift may be more likely. How to Trade with the Stoch RSI While entering overbought or oversold zones can offer insight, trading solely based on those levels is risky. Instead, look for crossovers between the blue and orange lines: Bearish signal: When the Stoch RSI is above 80 and the blue line crosses below the orange line, it can indicate that bullish momentum is fading — a potential short entry. Bullish signal: When the Stoch RSI is below 20 and the blue line crosses above the orange line, it may suggest that bearish momentum is weakening — a potential long entry. These crossover points provide more reliable signals than the levels alone, especially when confirmed by price action or other indicators. What Timeframes to Use The Stoch RSI can be applied to any timeframe, but its effectiveness varies. On lower timeframes (like 1-minute or 5-minute charts), it generates many signals, including plenty of false or weak ones. For stronger and more reliable signals, it’s best used on higher timeframes such as the 4-hour, daily, weekly, or monthly charts. Generally, the higher the timeframe, the more significant the signal becomes. Conclusion The Stochastic RSI is a powerful indicator that combines the strengths of the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator to deliver sharper, more responsive momentum signals. While it’s tempting to act on overbought or oversold readings alone, true effectiveness comes from understanding the behavior of the two lines and using it in conjunction with other analysis tools. Whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term investor, mastering the Stoch RSI can add depth to your strategy and help you make more informed decisions.
Education
by Youriverse
54
EURCHF Wave Analysis – 14 April 2025 - EURCHF reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9365 EURCHF currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the strong long-term support level 0.9245 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2023) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous downward impulse waves 3 and (3). Given the strength of the support level 0.9245 and the bullish divergence on the weekly Stochastic indicator, EURCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.9365.
Long
by FxProGlobal
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 14 April 2025- AUDUSD reversed from the long-term support level 0.5945 - Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6400 AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the major long-term support level 0.5945 (which started the sharp weekly uptrend in 2020) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support area created the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing – strong buy signal for AUDUSD . Given the clear bullish divergence on the weekly Stochastic indicator and the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.6400.
Long
by FxProGlobal
Monday bounce points to extension of bullish move Silver bounced off minor support at $31.84 in early Asian trade on Monday, indicating the level may be useful for traders eyeing a potential bullish setup. Longs could be established above the level with a tight stop beneath to protect against reversal. Overhead, former uptrend support currently intersects with the key 50-day moving average around $32.50, making that a potential initial target. A break above would bring $32.73 into play, a level that acted as both support and resistance during March. The momentum picture has become more palatable for bulls, with RSI (14) trending higher and back near neutral. MACD remains in negative territory and is yet to cross the signal, though it’s starting to curl higher, suggesting bearish momentum is ebbing. If silver reverses and breaks $31.84, the setup would be invalidated, opening the door to trades targeting a partial retracement of the recent bounce. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD01Long
by FOREXcom
RSI 101: Revealing the Special Characteristics of RSIWhy does RSI have support and resistance levels at 40 and 60? Why does divergence happen between RSI and price? What is RSI momentum? All the characteristics of RSI (that I know) will be explained here. Formula and Meaning If you are using TradingView, you probably already know what RSI is and what "overbought" and "oversold" mean. So, I won’t repeat it here. Instead, I’ll dive deeper into the true nature of RSI, giving you a different perspective. You can skip the mathematical formula of RSI, it’s already discussed everywhere online. Just remember this ratio table: Here’s how I explain the table: At RSI = 50, the average gain equals the average loss (I'll call this the buy/sell ratio). This is a balanced point. Buyers and sellers are equally strong. At RSI ~ 60 (66.66), the buy/sell ratio = 2/1. Buyers are twice as strong as sellers. At RSI ~ 40 (33.33), the buy/sell ratio = 1/2. Sellers are twice as strong as buyers. At RSI = 80, the buy/sell ratio = 4/1. Buyers are four times stronger. At RSI = 20, the buy/sell ratio = 1/4. Sellers are four times stronger. The formula shows that when RSI reaches 80 or 20, the buyer or seller is extremely strong — about four times stronger — confirming a clear trend. At these levels, some Trading strategies suggest placing a Sell or Buy based on the overbought/oversold idea. But for me, that’s not the best way. The right approach is: when a trend is clearly formed, we should follow it. I'll explain why right below. Look at this chart showing RSI changes with the buy/sell ratio: When RSI > 50: When RSI < 50: You can see that the higher RSI goes, the slower it climbs, but the high buy/sell ratio makes price move up faster. Similarly, when RSI goes lower, it drops slower but price drops faster. That’s why at overbought (RSI=80) or oversold (RSI=20) areas, you need to be careful. Even a small RSI moving can lead to big price changes, easily hitting your stop loss. On the other hand, if you follow the trend and wait for RSI to pull back, you will trade safer and more profitably. RSI Key Levels Here are some special RSI levels I personally find useful when observing FX:XAUUSD : (These levels are relative. They might vary with different timeframes or trading pairs. Check historical data to find the right ones for you. On bigger timeframes like M15 or above, the accuracy is better.) RSI = 20 When RSI hits 20, sellers dominate. This confirms a trend reversal to bearish. RSI = 80 When RSI hits 80, buyers dominate. This confirms a trend reversal to bullish. RSI = 40 This is a sensitive level. Sellers start gaining the upper hand (sell/buy = 2/1). If buyers lose 40, they lose their advantage. So RSI >= 40 is "buyer territory". In an uptrend, RSI usually stays above 40. RSI = 40 acts as support in an uptrend. RSI = 60 Same idea. RSI <= 60 is "seller territory". RSI = 60 acts as resistance in a downtrend. 40 and 60 are considered the key levels of RSI. Now you guys know why RSI has support/resistance around 40/60! RSI Range As you know, RSI moves between 0 and 100. Since RSI >= 40 is buyer territory, we can see the relationship between price and RSI: When RSI stays above 40, price tends to move in an uptrend: When RSI stays below 60, price tends to move in a downtrend: When RSI stays between 40 and 60, buyers and sellers are balanced, and price moves sideways in a box: When RSI is moving, It creates a RSI Range. Whenever the trend switches between the three states — uptrend, sideways, and downtrend — a Range Shift is formed. At first, RSI moves in 40-60 range, price moves sideways. A strong price move pushes RSI to 80. Later, RSI stays above 50, helping price grow strongly. When momentum fades, RSI returns to 40-60 and price moves sideways again. Note: RSI reflects Dow Theory by showing the stages of accumulation, growth, and distribution. And as you see, when RSI touches key levels, the trend often pulls it back. RSI Momentum Price momentum means how fast price changes.RSI momentum represents the change in the strength between buying and selling forces. When RSI > 50: If price falls, RSI shows high momentum — RSI drops fast but price drops slowly. If price rises, RSI shows low momentum — RSI rises slowly but price rises fast. For example, at first RSI is above 50. Price drops from (a) to (b) by 44 units, RSI drops from (Ra) to (Rb) by 25 units. Later, RSI drops from (Rb) to (Rc) (also 25 units) but price drops from (b) to (c) by 73 units. When RSI < 50: If price falls, RSI has low momentum — RSI drops slowly but price falls fast. If price rises, RSI has high momentum — RSI rises fast but price rises slowly. RSI and Price Divergence Divergence happens when price and RSI move in opposite directions: Price goes up but RSI goes down, or vice versa. Why does divergence happen? In a strong downtrend, price forms a bottom at point (1), and RSI drops to level (r1). When a price pullback happens, price pushes up to a peak at point (2), and RSI also bounces back to level (r2). Because the downtrend is strong, after completing the pullback (1-2), price continues to make a lower bottom at point (3). At this point, remember the behavior of RSI momentum when RSI is below 50: It takes a large price drop (from 2 to 3) to cause a small RSI drop (from r2 to r3). Meanwhile, even a small price increase (from 1 to 2) causes a large RSI rise (from r1 to r2). Since the distance (1-2) is smaller than (2-3), but the RSI move (r1-r2) is bigger than (r2-r3), divergence is created. Divergence shows that the current trend is very strong, not a complete signal of a trend reversal. (I might share with you how to spot a complete RSI reversal signal in future posts.) As shown in the example above, after forming bottom (5) and creating a bullish divergence between (3-5) and (r3-r5), price still kept dropping sharply while RSI kept rising. In these areas, if you keep trying to catch a reversal just based on divergence, you will likely need to DCA or cut your losses many times. That’s why the most important thing in trading is always to follow the trend. RSI Exhaustion RSI Exhaustion happens when RSI keeps getting rejected by a resistance or support zone and can’t break through. After a strong downtrend, RSI recovers but stalls around the 5x zone. It tries many times but fails, showing buying power is weakening. Then the downtrend continues: Exhaustion near high or low RSI levels creates stronger divergences than exhaustion in the middle range: Double or triple tops/bottoms on RSI (M or W shapes) basically indicate RSI exhaustion. RSI Can Identify Trend Strength In an uptrend: If RSI pulls back to a higher level before going up again, the trend is stronger. The pullback should not fall too deep (below 40). Example: First rally: RSI drops to 60 before rising again → strong rally (273 units). Second rally: RSI drops to 50 before rising again → weaker rally (94 units). Same idea for a downtrend: If RSI pullbacks to 50 then drops again, the downtrend is stronger than if it pullbacks to 60. RSI Support and Resistance Besides 40-60 acting as support/resistance, RSI also reacts to old tops and bottoms it created. Why does this happen? RSI is calculated from closing prices. On a higher timeframe, the candle close price is a high/low or support/resistance price on lower timeframes. When RSI moves in a trend on a higher timeframe, it maintains a buy/sell ratio, forcing lower timeframe RSI to oscillate within a range. Example: On H4, RSI stays above 40 → uptrend. It makes H1 RSI move between 30-80. Sharp RSI tops/bottoms react even stronger because they show strong buying/selling forces. Summary When looking at the price chart, we can see that price can rise or fall freely without any defined boundaries. However, RSI operates differently: it always moves within a fixed range from 0 to 100. During its movement, RSI forms specific patterns that reflect the behavior of price. Because RSI has a clear boundary, identifying its characteristics and rules becomes easier compared to analyzing pure price action. By studying RSI patterns, we can make better assumptions and predict future price trends with higher accuracy. I have shared with you the core characteristics of RSI, summarized as follows: Besides overbought (80) and oversold (20), RSI respects 40 and 60. 40 is support level in an uptrend. 60 is resistance level in a downtrend. In an uptrend, RSI stays above 40. In a downtrend, RSI stays below 60. An RSI Range-Shift leads to a trend change. RSI Divergence shows strong trends. Double or triple tops/bottoms show RSI exhaustion → potential reversals. The higher the RSI level, the slower it moves, but the faster the price rises. The lower the RSI level, the slower it moves, but the faster the price falls. A strong uptrend can be identified when RSI moves within a higher range or shows continuous bearish divergences. A strong downtrend can be identified when RSI moves within a lower range or shows continuous bullish divergences. RSI reacts to its old tops and bottoms. Sharper RSI peaks show stronger selling. Sharper RSI bottoms show stronger buying. In the next parts, I’ll show you how to apply these RSI's Characteristics to trend analysis, multi-timeframe analysis, and trading strategies, that you might have never seen before. I trade purely with RSI. Follow me for deep dives into RSI-based technical analysis and discussions!
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by dangtunglam14
2
Bitcoin Dominance Update (1D)Bitcoin dominance is currently showing signs of weakness and appears to be losing momentum for another upward move. If we see a breakdown below the 62% level, a sharp decline toward 57% is likely. During this phase, it may feel like an altcoin season is approaching, but in reality, most altcoins will likely just be retracing previous losses rather than entering true price discovery. Still, for those who buy the dips, it can present a profitable rally opportunity—especially in short to mid-term cycles. — Thanks for reading.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by vs_sayin
1
Baidu Wave Analysis – 11 April 2025 - Baidu reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 90.00. Baidu recently reversed from the support zone between the major long-term support level 78.60 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2022) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support level 78.60 is likely to form the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer (strong buy signal for Baidu). Given the strength of the support level 78.60 and the clear bullish divergence on the weekly Stochastic indicator, Baidu can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 90.00.
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by FxProGlobal