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USD/CAD Slips—Fading Trade Fears, CPI in FocusUSD/CAD is trading heavy ahead of Canada’s inflation report, weighed down by softer US economic data and fading sticker shock from US trade policy headlines. With Canadian data impressing at rates not seen since mid-2024 and January’s steep reversal from 22-year highs increasingly resembling a cyclical top, the key question now is whether this marks the start of a more significant unwind of earlier USD/CAD gains. The price broke through multiple support levels last week after failing above the 50-day moving average, taking out 1.4270 and 1.4195 before retesting the latter from below over the past two sessions. Momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD continue to generate bearish signals, reinforcing the near-term bias being lower. Beyond 1.4195, downside levels include 1.4090, the December double bottom at 1.3932, and the 200-day moving average. On the upside, 1.4270 has acted as a cap for much of the past fortnight, alongside minor resistance at 1.4372. That zone could prove tough to crack this week without a major escalation in US trade tensions or an ice-cold Canadian inflation print. On Tuesday’s CPI report, the data will be skewed by a temporary GST holiday, potentially distorting the signal. That raises doubts about whether it will have enough weight to disrupt the prevailing USD/CAD trend. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
BATMAN Formation Gold has appread to be down to 2788 USDThis chart provides a 4-hour timeframe analysis of the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) pair, indicating several technical aspects and current market conditions. Price Action and Trend Analysis: Current Trend: The chart shows a recent bearish movement as indicated by the sharp red candle that breaks below the previous consolidation area and moving average lines. This could suggest a potential reversal or pullback in an otherwise bullish context. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance is potentially around $2,907 and $2,900, highlighted by the MA Ribbon lines. Immediate support is near the $2,850 mark, as shown by the lower green zones and moving averages. Technical Indicators: Moving Average (MA) Ribbon: The price has fallen below the MA Ribbon, suggesting a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish in the short term. Watch for these averages as dynamic resistance levels on potential pullbacks. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below the signal line and moving into negative territory, indicating increased bearish momentum. The expanding histogram in the negative region further supports this view. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is near 41, which is below the midpoint of 50, suggesting bearish momentum. It is not yet in the oversold region (below 30), which indicates that there may still be room for further downside. Volume: There appears to be a notable volume spike associated with the recent price drop, which can be seen as validating the bearish move. Market Sentiment and Potential Strategy: Short-Term Bearish Signal: The break below key moving averages and the recent bearish candle supported by increased volume suggest that bears are currently in control. Traders might consider looking for short opportunities on pullbacks to resistance levels. Watch for Potential Reversal: Keep an eye on the RSI and MACD for any signs of divergence or flattening that may suggest weakening bearish momentum. If the price stabilizes or rebounds at the $2,850 support, it could indicate a possible reversal or retracement back towards the moving averages. Risk Management: Ensure proper risk management strategies are in place, considering stop-loss orders above the recent swing high or around the MA Ribbon resistance levels. Adjust positions according to real-time market feedback and changes in technical indicators.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RevoTheTrader
2
USD/CHF Weekly AnalysisThe market continues to see USD/CHF as overpriced above the 0.9200 zone. For the first time this year, we see price printing a weekly close below 0.9052 which was support over the latter part of January 2025. More importantly, we have just seen a weekly close below the 'big number' 0.9000 and may see further downside. In addition, the stochastic has now dropped out of the weekly 'overbought' area. Look for pullbacks and sell setups on your time frame of choice if you agree with analysis.
by FusionMarkets
SOL emerging head & shoulder providing opportunitiesBYBIT:SOLUSDT has an emerging H&S structure that is providing opportunities described below, which can be utilised based on risk appetite and preference for a swing trade or investment. Note: The overall chart structure at the moment is highly complex and pattern failure risks, such as that experienced with BYBIT:XRPUSDT remains very high. Scenario An H&S structure has emerged since 23 Dec 2024. Neckline support has been confirmed 3 times around: 11 Jan, 07 Feb and 12 Feb. The price is still close to the neckline providing opportunity for entry into trades and/or investment. DCA entry into a longer term investment - recommended approach Allocate a percentage of your portfolio's available fund to this as an asset to hold, decide upon how many months or weeks you would like to DCA into the total position (I recommend no less that 3 months and no more than 6) and begin DCA. This approach will safeguard against mistiming the start of the DCA now before the beginning of a bearish cycle, finally ending at an as yet unknown lower support level (of 4 potential candidate price levels stated further down the text below). The case for beginning the investment approach now The project remains solid and has established itself as a competitor to ETH. Furthermore, it is the layer 1 of choice for memecoins and has had more new projects use it that ETH recently. Additionally, overall positive market sentiment remains as do utterance (although no formal new policies of note) of the Trump administration and financial institutions towards crypto. Finally, the large gyrations in price recently are making it more difficult to judge appropriate SL levels thereby making trading of any kind less attractive at the moment. The case against beginning the investment approach now The future of the project, like most projects is still unknown (crypto is the most volatile and riskiest of assets for a reason!). Although the industry is maturing, it is possible a newer project can come and usurp the place of SOL. There are further support levels (130, 90, 55, 20) that can provide better DCA entry levels, and as market sentiment can change on an utterance of Musk or Trump, patience for a better entry point caused by further bearish moves might be wiser, particularly as on the weekly chart, SOL appears to be printing it's 2nd consecutive doji - implying market indecisiveness and no clear indication that the bulls are about to become incharge again. SOL has also double topped (mid Nov 24 and mid Jan 25), near the ATH (250), indicating either upcoming bearish sentiment or another uncertain attempt at breaking the ATH. Swing trade Entry: 200 TP:280 - near the absolute top of the head SL: 160 - past the dragonfly candle of 13 Jan (this candle has the risk of indicating a new support leval and all traders must be wary of the 160-150 level as that was the support level in mid Oct 24 Additionally, 170 is also near the 200 EMA and crypto daily price gyrations are sometimes very large; therefore a daily low of a dragonfly and a EMA has the potential of being a support level that should be accounted for when setting a SL ) R/R: 1:2 The case for the swing trade The rate of change indicated is trending upwards. The neckline has proven to be a support level and has been validated 3 times. The against a swing trade Other technical indicators like the RSI (middling with little upwards trend) and MACD (likewise) do not provide strong positive support for the trade thesis. Having found support at the 200 EMA and broken out of the downward trend since 20 Jan, there is a possibility that the price will just range between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA (approx. 210 and 180) unless there is further external, fundamental cause for upwards momentum. Previous momentum was driven largely by the optimistic market sentiment for crypto following on from Trump's election win. Finally, a R:R of 1:2 is generally not considered worthy of such a speculative trade. Note: There is very little justification for a margin trade at the moment - the dragonfly candle on 03 Feb carries too much risk and invalidates a margin trade theses' risk/reward ratios. Margin trading this pair is best left to when a pattern emerges that is not part of a structure that includes the 03 Feb candlestick.
Long
by slip_stream
Gold Wave Analysis – 14 February 2025 - Gold reversed from resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 2860.00 Gold today reversed down the resistance zone between the key resistance level 2940.00 (which formed daily Doji earlier this month), the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from January and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance zone will most likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bearish Engulfing – if the price closes today near the current levels. Given that both daily Stochastic and RSI indicators are high in the overbought areas, Gold can be expected to fall to the next support level 2860.00.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by FxProGlobal
$SPY February 14, 2025AMEX:SPY February 14, 2025 15 Minutes. As expected, once box was broken yesterday AMEX:SPY continued to make upward movement. For the rise 598.52 to 607.49 to 605 61.8% extension was nearly done. Once 611 is crossed we can expect some resistance around 612-614 levels. 611-612 will be a good number to short as 4SPY in 15 minutes is getting away from 200 and 100 moving averages. If uptrend continue today, then near close short around 612 +-1 will be good for Monday SL 614.5. At the moment there is slight oscillator divergence in 15 minutes so need some more uptrend to short. So, for the day for the last rise from 605 to 609.94 holding 606-607 is important for 610-612 as target. Below 606 at the moment target is 603-604 levels.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
JUPUSDT Swing Long IdeaJupiter is the second largest DEX on Solana and its price has been ranging for almost 1 year. If all of crypto is getting ready to bounce JUP looks primed to breakout of the range, RSI is crossing above the RSI MA and midpoint, MFI is crossing above the midpoint, JUP has outperformed TOTAL according to MA Based relative performance, We recently saw the largest ever volume and volume MA. All of this makes me think JUP wants to breakout from this range soon, hopefully TOTAL and BTC will allow that to happen.
Long
by AltcoinDreaming
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Pulls Back After RallyVertex Pharmaceuticals ended January with a big rally. Now, after a pullback, some traders may see an opportunity. The first pattern on today’s chart is the price gap on January 31 after the FDA approved its Journavx painkiller. (It’s the first of its kind to treat pain in a unique way without addiction risks.) The stock has retraced the surge, which may appeal to dip buyers. Second is the October 7 close of $448.60. VRTX held that level in late November and again on December 18 before gapping down. The stock is now trying to stabilize in the same location, suggesting support may remain in effect. Next, the MACD surge in January could reflect bullish short-term momentum. Prices are also trying to hold the rising 21-day exponential moving average. Finally, VRTX is near its 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages. That may create potential for the longer-term trend to accelerate if the short-term strength continues. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:VRTX
by TradeStation
GBPCHF Wave Analysis – 13 February 2025 - GBPCHF reversed from the resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 1.1240 GBPCHF currency pair recently reversed from the resistance zone between the powerful resistance level 1.1360, (which stopped multiple upward waves from September) and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance area created the daily Doji candlesticks pattern, which stopped the previous short-term ABC correction ii from the start of January. Given the strength of the resistance level 1.1360 and the overbought daily Stochastic, GBPCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.1240.
Short
by FxProGlobal
Another Shot at Breaking the Downtrend—Will This One Stick?AUD/JPY is making another attempt to break downtrend resistance dating back to the highs struck in July last year. With momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD turning bullish, this attempt may prove more successful than January’s failed breakout. The intersection of the downtrend with minor horizontal support at 96.80 looms as a key level in assessing near-term setups. Longs could be established above it with a stop-loss order beneath, should the break hold. Targets include 97.78 and 99.10. If the breakout fails, shorts could be considered beneath, with a stop-loss placed above for protection. 95.00—where buyers have been lurking—is one potential target. From a fundamental perspective, keep an eye on movements in US 10-year Treasury yields which have been a key driver not just for USD/JPY but also AUD/JPY recently. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom