Hanging Man and Doji Patterns in Focus!XAUUSD
2H Chart
Price: 2622.23
Hanging Man:
The highlighted candle in the chart represents a Hanging Man pattern, which is a bearish reversal pattern typically found at the top of an uptrend.
The long lower wick signifies that sellers pushed the price down during the session, but buyers managed to bring it back up close to the open price, though not with strong bullish conviction.
The fact that this pattern appears after a sharp upward move signals a potential bearish reversal, especially if followed by a bearish confirmation candle.
Doji:
The Doji signals indecision, with buyers and sellers unable to gain control as the open and close prices are nearly the same. Following the Hanging Man and with an overbought RSI of 73.32, it suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential for a bearish reversal.
Place a stop loss above the Hanging Man’s high and set take profit near the next key support at 2,613.732. These levels are derived from the Hanging Man, providing some bearish confirmation. However, traders should feel free to skip the trade if they aren’t confident with the setup, as prioritising risk management is crucial.
Confirmation:
A bearish candle closing below the low of the Doji would provide strong confirmation of a trend reversal.
Good luck in the markets!
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Oscillators
META - Still Bullish, But Major Sell Signal LoomingHere is what I am watching on META.
-Like many of the other high flying stocks in the US, the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly charts are flashing divergence sell setups. Bulls need not be too worried yet, as these divergence sell setups have not yet confirmed. However, the astute trader must be aware that these setups are looming, because if they confirm, they imply a minimum 15% move to the downside for Meta.
-We are bullish on any pullbacks into the 446 to 495 range (Monthly & Weekly MAC lows). These are considered Buying opportunities and valid areas to look for entry triggers on entry timeframes.
-Cycles suggest a cyclical high right around now, heading into a significant cyclical low in early to mid October (possibly into November). I'd like to see this cycle play out to have price trade down into the Monthly/Weekly MAC lows, where we will be ready to hunt entry triggers to the long side.
Amazon - Buying Pullbacks & Cyclical High Expected SoonHere is what I am watching on Amazon.
-We need to be aware that there is bearish divergence setting up on the quarterly, monthly & weekly charts. HOWEVER, this divergence is not yet confirmed, and is therefore not actionable trade intel at the present moment. We need to monitor these divergences, because if they confirm, they imply significant price moves in Amazon share price.
-MAC strategy for the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly charts remain bullish. Any pullbacks into the bottom of the MAC are BUY opportunities. I do not blindly buy the bottom of the channels, but utilize lower timeframe entry techniques at these levels to trigger into a position. We are still BULLISH Amazon.
-Cycles suggest that Amazon could put in a cyclical high any time between now and October 10th, before putting in a major cyclical low at the end of October. I would like to see this play out to provide us with nice buy opportunities at the bottom of the MAC's.
Google - Looking For Sell Triggers Around 171This video provides an overview of the things that I am watching for Google right now.
-We need to monitor the quarterly, monthly & weekly divergences that are currently setup, but not yet confirmed. These are not actionable right now, but they definitely need our attention. If confirmed, they imply some very significant moves in this market.
-We can see that the Monthly is still bullish, and we had a monthly MAC entry confirm on the Daily on September 13th. This trade still has not hit its targets, with the first being 169.69 (what a great number). The second target being 180. I would not be surprised to see Google trade up to 169.69 sometime soon.
-The Weekly chart is confirmed bearish for the MAC strategy. What this means is that any rallies into the weekly MAC high are opportunities to sell on the H6 chart. I'll be looking for sell triggers if price trades into the 171 level (Weekly MAC high).
-Threw in some cycles, for fun.
Have a great week.
NVDA - Still Bullish, But Major Potential Sell Signal LoomingThis week in NVDA I am paying attention to the following:
-On the monthly timeframe, we see that there is a significant bearish divergence setup forming. This has not yet triggered, though, so the bulls can relax (for now). However, in 7 days when the Monthly candle closes, we need to pay close attention to the CCI divergence. If it confirms, it implies a MAJOR bearish correction for NVDA is on the horizon.
-But in the meantime, everything is all systems go for the bulls. If you trade based on the Monthly, any pullbacks into the $88 region (Monthly MAC low) would be satisfactory spots to look for Buy triggers on the Daily timeframe. The Williams Acc/Dis is positioned well above its 57 period MA, which means we should look to buy any pullbacks into the low of the MAC.
-Weekly analysis also implies all is good for the bulls. I will look for Buy triggers on the 6H chart if price pulls back into the $107 region (Weekly MAC low).
-For fun, I throw some cyclical analysis into the mix. We see that NVDA has a strong seasonal cycle for an upmove from early October into November.
Thank you for reading. Enjoy your week.
Apple - High & Intermediate Term AnalysisToday, we look at Apple utilizing a variety of techniques: Divergence, MAC & Cycles.
We need to keep an eye on the quarterly, monthly & weekly bearish divergences that are occurring. They have not yet triggered, so bulls don't have to worry (yet). But we must keep our eyes on these divergences, because if they trigger, they imply significant downside ahead for Apples share value.
We take a look at the MAC and see that there is a case to be made for some further upside this week, and based on todays state of the indicators, longs are favored on any pullbacks to the MAC on the Daily chart.
Cycles show a bit of a mixed bag of possibilities. I'm most interested in the Decennial pattern and the APZ's.
Let me know if you have any questions.
Bullish Alert: Tata Technologies|Strong Swing Trade Potential!📈 Bullish Alert: Tata Technologies Ltd. Shows Strong Swing Trade Potential! 🚀
Stock Analysis Report
Stock Name : Tata Technologies Ltd.
Timeframe: Daily
Current Market Price (CMP) : ₹1068
________________________________________
Trade Type
• Trade Type: Swing Trade
________________________________________
Technical Analysis
1. Trendline Breakout:
The stock has recently broken above a key trendline with increased volume, indicating a strong bullish signal.
Following the breakout, the stock has successfully retested the trendline, further
validating the upward momentum.
2. Indicators:
MACD: Buy signal confirmed.
Oscillator: Buy signal confirmed.
3. Moving Averages:
The price is currently trading above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
________________________________________
Target Prices
• T-1: ₹1115
• T-2: ₹1150
• T-3: ₹1180
________________________________________
Stop Loss
• SL: ₹1045
________________________________________
Summary : Tata Technologies Ltd. presents a strong swing trade opportunity. The stock exhibits a bullish trend supported by a recent trendline breakout, successful retest, and positive signals from key technical indicators. With the price trading above significant moving averages, potential target prices are set at ₹1115, ₹1150, and ₹1180, while a stop loss is recommended at ₹1045 to manage downside risk.
________________________________________
Disclaimer : " Please do not base your trades solely on the ideas mentioned above. Conduct your own research before making any trading decisions. We are not responsible for any financial losses that may result from applying this study or from taking any early entry or exit in trades. "
Altdominance Reversal SoonMany alts are making new ATLs or are at lows against BTC presently.
Others dominance has been in a parallel uptrend since breaking and holding above ~4.5% and reaching levels above 10% market dominance for the first time back in 2017.
We haven't quite made a 3rd touch to confirm the channel during more recent lows in June of 2023 and again in August this year.
Still, the channel and indicators are pointing towards a move back up towards channel top. The question is:
Do we move up without touching channel bottom first?
Or, will we see a final move back around 8%, making a higher low and touching channel bottom prior to moving up?
WFC - Wells Fargo ABOVE 200SMA & 200EMANYSE:WFC crossed both 200EMA and 200SMA.
ROC and RSI are confirming the direction of the price.
However, DMI+ is still below DMI-, DMI- couldn't keep the strength to keep the negative direction and so it's losing strength with ADX changing direction close to DMI+. With the DMI+ already crossing DMI- in the 4hours time.
Volume it's increasing together with the price, highlighting the increase in demand
DBS Bank Short: Technically SpeakingBased on technical analysis, I have a few reasons to believe that DBS has reached a peak, or is peaking.
Briefly, here's a list of what's shown on the chart:
1. Elliott Wave counts shows that the vertical move from 5th Aug 2024 to 20th Sep 2024 can be deemed as a 5th wave of a 5th wave.
2. RSI(7) on the daily timeframe is in overbought and at a level that will usually turn down. (Take note that if you study previous price where the RSI(7) reached this level, it usually shows a 3rd wave then a 4th before another high was reached).
3. 2 Fibonacci extension levels converges around $39:
3.1. The first is where I extend cycle wave 1 (green fibo extension) and shows that entire cycle wave could potentially be 1.618x of cycle wave 1. Actual target: $38.88
3.2. The second is where I extend primary wave 1 of cycle wave 5 (purple fibo) and shows that wave 5 could be 1.618x of wave 1. Actual target $38.95
The idea can easily and quickly be invalidated if DBS easily make another new high of say $39.50 (which is why the stop loss is placed around that price). But no matter what, it is important to stay cautious and look for signs that price action is no longer sustainable.
Good luck!
JPM - 10% to 20% Dip IncomingDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational & entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to be involved with this market. Trading involves significant risk, do your own due diligence.
A concerning sign for JPM bulls triggered today. We saw the DPO & CCI divergence confirmed. Price targets to the downside of this confirmation imply a 10% to 20% dip is coming for JPM.
See you down there.
20% to 40% Dip Coming for Microsoft?DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational & entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to be involved with this market. Trading involves significant risk, do your own due diligence.
A concerning sign for Microsoft bulls triggered a few weeks ago. We saw the DPO divergence confirmed. Price targets to the downside of this confirmation imply a 20% to 40% dip is coming for Microsoft.
Do you think Microsoft is heading for a dump?
I do.
See you down there.
COT Strategy - SHORT JAPANESE YENDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Japanese Yen (6J)
My COT strategy has me on alert for new short trades in 6J if we get additional bearish entry triggers (this week a divergence entry triggered short).
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Valuation: Overvalued vs Gold & Treasuries
Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Small Specs most long they have been in 3 years = bearish.
OI Analysis: OI has been increasing on up move. When OI increases, we need to ask "who caused the OI increase"? When it is caused by Large Specs & Small Specs, it is bearish.
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency to go down to October.
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: %R
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
COT Strategy - Gold ShortDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Gold (GC)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Valuation: Overvalued vs Treasuries
Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Only thing that would be better is SS's making an extreme in long positioning, but no luck with that yet (but something I'm watching).
OI Analysis: OI has been increasing on up move since June. When OI increases, we need to ask "who caused the OI increase"? When it is caused by Large Specs & Small Specs, it is bearish. In the case of Gold, it is being caused by LS & SS's, which is bearish.
Spread: Bearishly diverging.
ADX: Diverging, implying the trend lacks integrity.
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dis , %R, Stochastic & Momentum (not yet triggered)
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
COT Strategy - Crude Oil LongsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
Crude Oil (CL)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CL again this week. To clarify, this was setup last week also, and triggered me long this week via a CCI divergence long trigger. Based on this weeks COT strategy analysis, I think this is a nice market for further upside and will look to enter again via 18MA & 10H8C MAC entry methods.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal.
Net Positioning: Max long of last 3 years - bullish.
Small Spec Index: Buy Signal.
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries.
Front Month Premium Market.
True Seasonal up to Mid October.
Supplementary Indicators: Stochastic.
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a Daily long trigger.
Good luck & good trading.
$SPY September 21, 2024AMEX:SPY September 21, 2024
Daily.
I still have target 580 levels. Then a big move after consolidation.
60 Minutes
Uptrend Confirmed.
For the rise 539.95 to 572.88 holding 560-565 is crucial for further targte 580 initially.
556-558 should provide good support as it is 100 and 200 averages in 60 minutes time frame.
Now we have oscillator divergence.
SO AMEX:SPY should consolidate between 560 570 levels for 2 or 3 days.
15 Minutes.
For the rise 560.84 to 572.88 AMEX:SPY has retraced 61.8%. Hence a temporary double top around 570 levels can be expected.
We have 2 HL supported by oscillator.
At the moment 565-566 should give a good entry point. In 15 minutes weak below 563 levels as 200 averages could be broken.
LendingTree, IncOn the above 10-day chart price action has corrected 95% since the sell signal in early 2018 around 380 dollars. A number of reasons now exist to have a long position, including:
1) You know why..
2) RSI resistance breakout.
3) Multiple oscillators print positive divergence with price action. More or less all of them.
4) No stock splits.
5) Some other things, will say elsewhere.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: investment
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe:1 month, no rush.
Return: no idea
Stop loss: will say elsewhere
RealReal, Inc.On the above bi-weekly chart price action has corrected over 90% since the sell signal (not shown) at $30. Now is an excellent long moment. Why?
1) A strong buy signal (not shown).
2) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
3) Bullish divergence. Multiple oscillators are printing positive divergence with price action.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: investment
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Don’t know.
Return: Don’t know
Stop loss: <= 90 cents
CCL Carnival Corporation, Too cheap? Bullish candlesPrice broke a resistance, and the difference between the other breaks, is that one are followed by a DMI and ADX confirming Long, The fast SMA have already crossed the others moving averages, increasing the idea of a continuation of price rising
With the cut in interest rates, and earnings in 11days, I think this will be a great price to buy.
Reddit increasing value; Indicators showing strength After a dowward movement since July 15th, we got a support and a change direction in early August, however during several days, the price oscillates making a rectangle.
The price cross over the rectangle resistance before FED cut interest rates.
The price went long and we can confirm with volume that transaction are rising.
At the moment the price are in an important resistance, nevertheless this time, MACD is above 0, and ADX is crossing DMI- with DMI+ already in a long direction.
It can be a cautious entry, by just waiting for a strong bullish candle, or be more agressive and take the opportunity from the indicator
PLTR signals reversal is close byPLTR gaps below upward trend line showing last few days as a false breakout with price exhaustion
horizontal support forms. Once PLTR breaks below this and holds, more selling to come
RSI pushes below SMA showing validation with the move.
Volume increasing on the gap also giving validation to the recent move down
We should start to see more weakness in the stock going forward for a little bit.
UEC - COMMODITIES ON THE RISE - NUCLEAR CHRISTMAS SURPRISELooking at the most recent correction for UEC, nice accumulation.
Oscillators looking good, bullish divergence on recent lows.
BROKEN OUT OF FALLING WEDGE PATTERN and RESPECTING THE FIBS.
Looking to add more 5.05 area if possible.
First area of resistance above is 6.00-6.20 range. Once that has flipped to support, we could see $10.00 by Christmas!
Commodities are heating up...
LFG