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Example of conditions for Chase the Rally Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (SUIUSDT.P 1D chart) It is necessary to check whether it can fall from the 2.2492 point and rise with support near the HA-High indicator (2.0299) on the 1D chart. Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, it is showing a strong downward trend. Therefore, it is highly likely that it will continue to fall further, so caution is required when trading. If it falls below 2.0299, 1st: 1.8735-1.9073 2nd: 1.6124 You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above. Therefore, from a short-term and medium-term perspective, if the price is maintained above 1.6124, it is a time for additional purchase. In other words, I think it is a time when Chase the Rally is possible. At this time, if the Mid (50) line or HA-Low indicator is created and shows support, it will give you strength to proceed with additional purchase. - The important thing to proceed with Chase the Rally is that the long-term moving average line is in a regular array. If not, it should be considered as a purchase, not Chase the Rally. In this chart, the M-Signal line of the 1W and 1M charts corresponds to the medium- to long-term moving average line. -------------------------------------------- (1h Chart) If you touch the 5EMA of the 1D chart or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W, 1D chart, there is a high possibility of volatility. Therefore, you can start trading depending on whether there is support around here. However, since the 5EMA of the 1D chart or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W, 1D chart is for viewing trends, you should draw support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, 1D charts and check whether there is support around those points and respond. Since the current chart is a 1h chart, if there are no support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, 1D charts, you can start trading with the support and resistance points of the 1h chart. However, a short and quick response is required. - The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of forming a double top. Therefore, if it falls below 2.088-2.0238, it is likely to touch around 1.8735-1.9073. If the StochRSI indicator is reset while falling to the oversold zone, and the price maintains around the M-Signal line on the 1D chart, I think it is highly likely to turn upward. - Reflecting this movement, it is expected that the trend will be formed depending on which direction it deviates from the box range (1.9752-2.0761) of the HA-Low indicator. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K. The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
The Coin Market is Different from the Stock Market Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The coin market discloses a lot of information compared to the stock market. Among them, it discloses the flow of funds. Most of the funds in the coin market are flowing in through USDT, and it can be said that it currently manages the largest amount of funds. Therefore, unlike the stock market, individual investors can also roughly know the flow of funds. Therefore, you can see that it is more transparent than other investment markets. - USDT continues to update its ATH. You can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market through USDT. USDC has been falling since July 22 and has not yet recovered. The important support and resistance level of USDC is 26.525B. Therefore, if it is maintained above 26.525B, I think there is a high possibility that funds will flow in. If you look at the fund size of USDT and USDC, you can see that USDT is more than twice as high. Therefore, it can be said that USDT is the fund that has a big influence on the coin market. USDC is likely to be composed of US funds. Therefore, if more funds flow in through USDC, I think the coin market is likely to develop into a clearer investment market. But it is not all good. This is because the more the coin market develops into a clearer investment market, the more likely it is to be affected by the existing investment market, that is, the watch market. This is because large investment companies are working to link the coin market with the coin market in order to make the coin market an investment product that they can operate. In order for the coin market to be swayed by the coin-related investment product launched in the stock market, more funds must flow into the coin market through USDC. Otherwise, it is highly likely that it will eventually be swayed by the flow of USDT funds. Therefore, USDC is likely to have a short-term influence on the coin market at present. - As mentioned above, the most important thing in the investment market is the flow of funds. The flow of funds in the coin market can be seen as maintaining an upward trend. Therefore, there are more and more people who say that there are signs of a major bear market these days, but their position seems to be judging the situation from a global perspective and political perspective. As mentioned above, the funds that still dominate the coin market are USDT funds, which are an unspecified number of funds. Therefore, I think that the coin market should not be predicted based on global perspectives and political situations. The start of the major bear market in the coin market is when USDT starts to show a gap downtrend. Until then, I dare say that the coin market is likely to maintain its current uptrend. ------------------------------------ (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The StochRSI indicator is approaching its highest point (100), and the uptrend is reaching its peak. Accordingly, the pressure to decline will increase over time. - (1W chart) The StochRSI indicator is also in the overbought zone on the 1W chart. - (1M chart) On the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, but it is not expected to enter the oversold zone due to the current rise. The movement of the 1M chart should be checked again when a new candle is created. - You can see that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is the most unusual among the three charts above. In the finger area on the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator was in the overbought zone, but it is currently showing signs of entering the oversold zone. Therefore, you can see that the current movement is different from the past movement. Therefore, I think it is not right to predict the current flow by substituting past dates. ------------------------------------------ I wrote down my thoughts on the recent comments from famous people who say that the coin market will enter a major bear market along with the stock market. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
CRYPTOCAP:USDTEducation
by readCrypto
GBPJPY bearish for 150 pipsIn a bearish trade setup on GBP/JPY with a 150-pip profit target and a 50-pip stop loss, you’re aiming for a reward-to-risk ratio of 3:1. This means that for every 50 pips you risk, you’re potentially gaining 150 pips, which is a favorable setup. Here’s a detailed breakdown of this trade idea: 1. Setting the Profit Target (150 Pips) A 150-pip profit target is quite common in GBP/JPY due to its volatility. This target should be set near a significant support level or other technical factors such as: A previous major swing low. A Fibonacci extension level (like the 127.2% or 161.8%). A psychological level or round number (e.g., 180.00, 179.50). GBP/JPY often moves in wide ranges, so a 150-pip move in a single trading day or session is realistic, especially if the market is trending strongly. 2. Defining the Stop Loss (50 Pips) A 50-pip stop loss should ideally be placed above a significant resistance level: A recent swing high. Above a key moving average (such as the 50 or 100 MA on the 1H or 4H chart). Above a Fibonacci retracement level (such as the 38.2% or 50% retracement of the latest downtrend). You want to make sure the stop isn’t too tight, giving the trade some room to breathe, but also protecting you in case of a reversal.
Short
by LORDOFTHETRADERS
No matter what you do, the basic chart is the 1D chart Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- In order to analyze the chart, you will use various chart tools. However, if there are no support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you will find that it is difficult to conduct actual trading. In order to explain how the trend changes when there is a certain movement at the support and resistance points shown on the chart, I provided a basis by using chart tools. However, if you trust the support and resistance points drawn on the chart, you do not need to use various chart tools separately to find such basis. -------------------------------------- The 64748.70-65920.71 section is formed by the HA-High indicator of the 1D, 1W charts. Therefore, if it is supported and rises in this section, it is highly likely to show a stepwise uptrend. If it falls in the 64748.70-65920.71 section, it is highly likely to touch the HA-Low indicator. - BW (100) point of the 1W chart: 68393.48 BW (100) point of the 1M chart: 71280.01 BW (100) point of the 1D chart: 73072.41 BW (100) lines are formed at the above points. The formation of the BW (100) line means that the MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators are showing strength. Therefore, just like the HA-High indicator, the BW (100) point can be said to have shown a high point range. Therefore, if it rises above the BW (100) point, it can be seen that there is a high possibility of a strong upward trend. - In this sense, we can see that the current high point range is the 61099.25-73072.41 range. Since the HA-High indicator or the BW (100) point moves and is created by volatility over time, we should carefully observe when there is a change in the high point range. This is because at that time, there is a high possibility of creating a new wave. - The lines that make up the MS-Signal indicator are M-Signal and S-Signal. Of these two lines, the important line is M-Signal. Therefore, the M-Signal lines on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts serve to indicate trends. It was created so that you can see the overall trend on any time frame chart. Therefore, the current indicator (HA-MS) can be said to be an indicator that expresses everything. - You can mark the HA-Low, HA-High, BW (0), BW (100), and Mid (50) points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and use them as support and resistance points on the time frame charts you mainly trade. As I mentioned earlier, you can check the arrangement of the M-Signal lines on the MS-Signal indicator and create a trading strategy that matches the trend. It is recommended to start trading when the price is maintained above the M-Signal line on the 1M chart at least. If possible, it is better to start trading when the price is maintained above the M-Signal of the 1W chart when the M-Signal of the 1W chart > the M-Signal of the 1M chart. (ETHUSDT 1D chart) Therefore, ETH is currently not a good state to trade. - The StochRSI indicator seems to be showing a downward trend. However, it has not yet fallen from the overbought zone or has not yet turned into a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, so it should be interpreted that the current upward strength is strong. Therefore, caution is required when trading because there is a possibility of further increase. In any case, the 64748.70-65920.71 range is formed at the current price position, so the key is whether it can be supported and rise near this range. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
ASML (ASML): Massive Sell-Off - What's next after the $50B loss?We are sure you’ve heard about ASML’s massive drop yesterday, erasing $50 billion in market value within hours following a technical error and the earnings report published a day earlier. ASML, Europe's most valuable tech company and a critical supplier to chipmakers, is now facing doubts—not about its long-term prospects but regarding short-term sales and whether it can continue to outperform the market in the long term. As always, we’re not focused on intraday trades but are looking for bigger, high-risk-to-reward swing trade setups. To assess this, we’re turning to the Weekly chart to analyze ASML’s most important levels. Our most likely scenario at this point is that the All-Time High represents a wave B, after exactly respecting the 138% Fibonacci extension level. Coupled with the bearish divergence on the RSI, this pullback was expected. While it's difficult to predict the exact point of reversal, we see $600 as a major psychological support level that could hold in the short term. To reverse the current downtrend, ASML must break above the resistance zone of $850–$895. However, as this is a potential wave ((ii)), even reaching the All-Time High is not out of the question. Merely reclaiming this resistance zone might not be enough to signal a trend change. We’re keeping an eye on all major support zones, but the largest position we plan to open would be between $250 and $140. While this is still far off, and there will likely be opportunities along the way, this zone would provide the most textbook setup according to Elliott Wave Theory. The recent dip has also opened up more potential plays for the future. Stay tuned as we monitor the situation for further developments! 🔥
NASDAQ:ASML
by freeguy_by_wmc
6
AUDUSD - Buy StopThe dollar index is bullish and the australian dollar index is bearish which suggests that there should be bullish momemtum of AUDUSD pair. The bullish divergence is also formed and the current price action is at 78% FIB retracement which further strengthens our idea. We'll go with two trades, first with TP1 and other we'll trail. It is also likely that trade may not trigger and price forms another lower high which will also be a good sign to buy because of the strong support.
Long
by Alee_Kolachi
The start of a new wave: 68447.9 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTC.D 1M chart) BTC dominance is rising above 58. The point to watch is whether it can face resistance in the 55.01-62.47 range and fall. If it rises above 62.47, a strange market where only BTC rises may be formed. Most altcoins are expected to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend. --------------------------------------- (USDT.D 1M chart) A decline in USDT dominance is likely to lead to a rise in the coin market. However, as I mentioned in the explanation of BTC dominance, I think that most coins in the coin market will show an upward trend only when BTC dominance also declines along with USDT dominance. If USDT dominance falls below 4.97, the coin market is expected to enter a bull market. The point of interest is whether a market where only BTC rises or a bull market where altcoins also rise will be created. ------------------------------------------ (BTCUSDT.P 1D chart) - The 68447.9 point is the BW (100) point of the 1W chart, - The 71363.0 point is the BW (100) point of the 1M chart, - The 73127.6 point is the BW (100) point of the 1D chart. Therefore, we should consider the above points as forming support and resistance points. If the price rises above the downtrend line (2) and maintains, it is expected to create a new wave. Therefore, whether there is support near 68447.9 is an important key point. - The StochRSI indicator is approaching the highest point (100) and the slope is becoming gentle. Accordingly, the pressure for a downtrend will increase over time. In order to overcome this downward pressure and create a new upward wave, it is expected that it will be possible to show a sideways movement in the 68447.9-71363.0 range. Therefore, the point of interest is how the StochRSI indicator performs the initialization process. (The initialization process of the StochRSI indicator refers to moving from the overbought range to the oversold range, and also from the oversold range to the overbought range.) - (1h chart) The BW (100) point is formed at the 67800.5 point and is showing a downward trend. The Mid (50) point is formed at the 67064.5 point. Therefore, we need to check whether there is support near 67064.5-67349.7. If it falls below 67064.5, it is likely to touch 5EMA on the 1D chart or around 65568.1-65922.3. If it touches 5EMA on the 1D chart and M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts, it is highly likely to cause volatility. Therefore, caution is required when trading as there is a possibility of creating a new wave. - The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the oversold zone. Accordingly, when it rises after entering the oversold zone, it is necessary to check at what point it is receiving support and resistance. In that sense, whether there is support around 67064.5-67349.7 is important. - If the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone while the BW indicator does not fall below the midpoint (50), it is likely to show a decline such as a pullback or price adjustment and rise again, so it is good to note. The most ambiguous part in interpreting the BW indicator is when it is at the midpoint (50). Therefore, when the BW indicator is at the midpoint (50), it is better to think about a response plan for the coin you are currently trading rather than conducting a new transaction. ------------------------------------ I placed a reservation order to liquidate a buy (LONG) position at the 68447.9 point, but it was not executed. I think this is a part where you can see that the downtrend line (2) is an important trend line. If you do not break through the trend line (2) strongly, it is expected that the breakout will fail. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
USD/CAD generates sell signal after massive winning streak The USD/CAD epic winning streak is over, delivering an obvious topping signal on Tuesday. There’s a couple of options available to traders: the first would be to sell now with a stop either above 1.3792 or Monday’s high of 1.3806. Possible targets include 1.3700 or 1.3647, depending on the risk-reward ratio you’re looking for. The other would be to wait for a potential push towards 1.3792, allowing for a stop to be placed above Monday’s high or 1.3839 for protection. Targets would be identical to option one. Momentum indicators have yet to confirm the price signal, but may encourage more traders to join the move if they too are triggered. With no major data set for release in the US or Canada or Wednesday, traders may begin looking towards the US jobless claims, retail sales and industrial production reports on Thursday. As I’ve discussed in the note attached, it would not surprise to see another ugly jobless claims report given disruptions caused by Hurricane Helene and Milton on the US Gulf states, creating downside risks for US bond yields and dollar. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
$SPY October 16, 2024AMEX:SPY October 16, 2024 AMEX:SPY retraced to 578.5 levels. Moving averages gaps are reduced. Downtrend as it is below all moving averages except 200 averages. For the rise 566.63 to 585.27 38.2 retracement done. For the last rise from 574.49 to 585.27 61.8% I done. Hence it is crucial for 4SPY to hold 576-577 levels today being 200 averages in 15 minutes and fib numbers. So, for the day for the fall 587.27 to 578.54 i will short at 583 levels for targets up to 576-577 levels. SL 584 with bar close near top of bar. The number 576-577 also happens to be 9-day average in daily. so i expect some more retracement.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
Traders could veer towards the yen with risk events loomingIt is no coincidence that VIX futures have been creeping higher in recent weeks despite Wall Street hitting record highs, as traders are presumably hedging downside risk as we approach the US election. And that means it may not take much to spook traders out of bullish bets with markets at frothy levels, and that could see the yen strengthen as a safety play. Matt Simpson takes a technical look at yen pairs of interest.
Short
by CityIndex
5
Support Zone: 64748.70-65920.71 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W chart is formed in the 64748.70-65920.71 zone. Therefore, if the price is maintained above this zone, there is a high possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin. Therefore, the point to watch is whether it rises along the trend line (1) and maintains the price above 68393.48 after around November 4th. If it rises above that, you should check for support near 71280.01. - The StochRSI indicator has currently entered the overbought zone. The rise to the overbought zone means that the upward trend is strong. Therefore, you should be careful when trading because there is a possibility that the upward trend will continue until it falls from the overbought zone. However, if the slope of the StochRSI indicator becomes gentle, the possibility of a downward turn increases, so you should think about a response plan for the decline. When this movement is shown, you should check if there are support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, and if so, whether they are supported or resisted at those points. If you do not have support and resistance points drawn by yourself, there is no need to draw additional support and resistance points and create a response strategy. The reason is that additional support and resistance points or various chart tools drawn after the start of trading are likely to reflect your own psychological state. Then, there is a high possibility that it will be drawn according to the price volatility, so there is a high possibility that you will conduct the transaction incorrectly. It is important to start trading right now and make a profit, but I think it is most important to conduct the transaction according to the trading strategy that you originally planned. - If your psychological state has become unstable due to the price volatility, you need to make an effort to make your psychological state as stable as possible by selling in installments. If you do not, and continue to maintain an unstable state, you may end up suffering a large loss at one time, so you need to be careful. - How the StochRSI indicator is initialized, that is, whether it touches the oversold zone, is a point of observation to check the movement of the StochRSI indicator. Since the BW indicator fell from the highest point (100) on March 13, it has not touched the highest point (100) yet. This can be considered evidence that the upward strength is not strong. This time, the BW indicator will touch the highest point (100), so it is a point to watch whether the trend will change. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start when it rises above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
BTC Bounce from $58,000: Heading Towards ?I've been closely tracking Bitcoin's price action, and my latest analysis suggests that we may be witnessing a significant bounce from the $58,000 level, a strong support zone. After a recent dip, BTC is currently trading at $65,655, and based on key technical indicators, I expect it to rally toward $74,000 with a couple weeks. however It's only a matter of price breaking above the 67000k resistance level as shown on chart. So this is a key level to watch Key factors driving this prediction: Support at $58,000: This level has historically acted as a strong floor for Bitcoin, with previous bounces leading to upward moves to retest 63k +- 1000points resistance range. Volume and Momentum: Increasing trading volume and momentum indicators are pointing to a potential upward continuation. Moving Averages: BTC is currently holding above key moving averages, reinforcing the possibility of bullish momentum. Market Sentiment: With recent developments in the fundamental space, sentiment is leaning bullish, adding further conviction to the potential for this move. If this analysis plays out, we could see BTC pushing through resistance levels and reaching $74,000 in a couple weeks time frame ideally. Keep an eye on these key levels as the price action unfolds. MCG
by MiDAS_CryptoGroup
ETH - The Bullish & Bearish CaseToday we take a look at ETH and lay out a variety of trade ideas. MONTHLY: From the Monthly perspective, ETH remains very Bullish. Essentially, going long ETH anywhere at or below the low of the Monthly MAC is a legitimate spot to buy. The target based on the Monthly chart is around 3,400 (approximately 30% above current price level). From an investment perspective, this is a great area to go long ETH. WEEKLY: From the Weekly perspective, ETH remains Bearish, as we have not had a confirmed bullish trend change. Right now, ETH is trading at the Weekly MAC high, which is a legitimate place to look for new short entries, or to take profits from any longs taken at recent weekly lows. There is currently H6 bearish divergence setup, but not triggered. If it triggers, I will be shorting ETH to a target of the Weekly MAC low (2,337). DAILY: From the Daily perspective, ETH remains Bearish. However, we are getting a potential bullish trend change (but not triggered/confirmed). There is H1 bearish divergence setting up right now, and if it triggers, the short trade target would be the Daily MAC low at 2,421. As you can see, if you are an investor, the current price levels are reasonable areas to load up to the long side. However, the Weekly and Daily are still bearish until bullish confirmation. Daily is in the process of confirming bullish, but not yet. Day trades and shorter term swing trades to the short side are still valid. Have a great week.
by Tradius_Trades