The Relative Strength Index (RSI): A Beginner’s GuideThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most widely used technical indicators in trading. Developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, it helps traders evaluate the momentum of a market and identify overbought or oversold conditions.
What is RSI?
RSI is an oscillator that measures the speed and magnitude of price changes over a specific period, typically 14 periods. It provides a value between 0 and 100, which helps traders gauge whether an asset is overbought or oversold.
Overbought: RSI above 70 suggests the asset might be overbought and due for a correction.
Oversold: RSI below 30 indicates the asset might be oversold and due for a rebound.
The RSI Formula
The RSI is calculated as:
Where:
RS= Average Gain of Up Periods (over the lookback period) / Average Loss of Down Periods (over the lookback period)
How to Interpret RSI
1. Overbought and Oversold Levels:
- When RSI crosses above 70, it may signal that the asset is overbought and could experience a price decline.
- When RSI drops below 30, it may indicate that the asset is oversold and could see a price increase.
2. Divergence:
- Bullish Divergence: When the price makes lower lows, but RSI makes higher lows, it suggests a potential upward reversal.
- Bearish Divergence: When the price makes higher highs, but RSI makes lower highs, it indicates a potential downward reversal.
3. Centerline Crossover:
- RSI crossing above 50 is often viewed as a bullish signal, indicating upward momentum.
- RSI crossing below 50 suggests bearish momentum.
Strengths of RSI
- Versatility: Works well in a variety of markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes.
- Simplicity: Easy to interpret for beginners.
- Divergences: Offers insight into potential trend reversals.
Limitations of RSI
- False Signals**: RSI can provide false overbought/oversold signals in strong trending markets.
- Lagging Indicator: Like most indicators, RSI relies on historical data, which may delay signals.
Best Practices for Using RSI
1. Combine with Other Indicators:
- Use RSI with trend-following indicators like Moving Averages or MACD to filter out false signals.
- Pair it with support and resistance levels to validate potential reversals.
2. Adjust the Period:
- Shorten the period (e.g., 7 or 9) for more sensitive signals.
- Lengthen the period (e.g., 20 or 30) for smoother, less frequent signals.
3. Context Matters:
- In a trending market, RSI may remain overbought or oversold for extended periods. Use it cautiously in such conditions.
Example of RSI in Action
Imagine a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin has been rallying for several days, and the RSI rises above 70. This suggests that Bitcoin might be overbought, and a pullback could occur soon. However, if the market trend is strong, Bitcoin’s RSI could stay above 70 for an extended period. Combining RSI with trend analysis or support/resistance levels can provide better insights.
Conclusion
The RSI is a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand market momentum and potential reversal points. While it’s simple to use, its effectiveness increases when combined with other indicators and market context. As always, practice using RSI on historical data before applying it to live trades, and remember that no single indicator guarantees success
Oscillators
Nobody appreciates it !!!The price is within an ascending wedge and this can be a bullish signal for Dogecoin. However, we need to wait for this wedge to be broken and then wait for the price to rise. Currently, the price can be bearish because more funds have been injected into Bitcoin to allow Bitcoin to find more stability in the coming days.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Start of decline: Below 3707.61
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-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
As I mentioned in the BTC idea, when the StochRSI indicator is moving, the value of the StochRSI indicator fluctuates when it passes a meaningful point.
Currently, the value of the StochRSI indicator seems to have fallen from the 100 point.
However, if it rises above a certain point, it is possible that it will show the 100 point again.
Also, you can check the exact value when a new candle occurs.
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In the previous idea, I said that the time to buy is when it is below 3438.16.
The reason is that if it goes up more than that, you may feel psychological anxiety due to volatility.
If you bought an altcoin during this buying period, I think it is likely that it is currently at a similar price range or making a profit.
Otherwise, if it is losing money, the coin (token) can be considered a subordinate coin (token).
In other words, it can be seen as being neglected in the market.
-
(1D chart)
It has fallen below the HA-High indicator (3831.12).
It has also fallen below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 3644.71 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, or if possible, above 3831.12.
If not, and it falls, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Before that,
1st: 3438.16 ~ 0.618 (3548.07)
2nd: 3265.0-3321.30
You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
When the decline progresses, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to check whether there is support near it.
In particular, if the HA-Low indicator is generated, it will close the current wave and create a new wave.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Signals End of CorrectionCALLING IT NOW 🚨
THAT WAS THE BOTTOM OF THE DIP 💯
✅ Bounced beautifully off the 50DMA
✅ RSI is fully reset to when the Trump Pump started
✅ Volume has turned bullish to signal trend reversal
✅ The Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap needs to stay above 3.2 - 3.3T
Some clustered days around this region will signal even more strength.
🚀 3.6 - 3.7T reclaims bullish trend.
SANTA CLAUS IS COMING TO TOWN 🎅
$OTHERS Alts Catching A Bid vs $BTCEveryone kicking themselves for not taking profits on Alts because they’re almost back to where they were before this whole run up when Trump won 😭
Today, Alts dumped to just 10% above their ₿itcoin pairs.
Lesson Here:
If you're gonna trade Alts, make sure to continuously take profits back into CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Good News:
the market looks to be bidding Alts > BTC rn on this dip, signaling Alt Season around the corner 💯
Notice RSI, Ascending Volume and Bullish Hammer 🚀
BTC CM RSIEven though CRYPTOCAP:BTC is correcting on the short side, it is still in a major bullish phase on the big time frame.
The inverse head and shoulders pattern seen on the #Bitcoin 1M Chart is also present in the CM RSI indicator, where we obtain healthy results in the long-term view, and is in the retest process.
amd isnt looking so hot. Important zone now!if AMD doesnt hold this level, the 200 ema on the week chart, we could be in a much stronger bear market on AMD. watch this level coul dbea good key level for options trading! the indicators are saying that its about to bounce but price and volume are more important. so we will see some time next week!
DAX - short term correction currently very Overbought!Hi guys, we are following up with our next opportunity DAX :
Currently it has been perfoming fantastic as being part of the biggest Economy in Europe, and it reached a glorious All time High, following up with the western Indices , SP500,NASDAQ100 and Dow Jones. Currently the price has reached a very overbought level based on the RSI check on 1H time frame and 4H time frame, so for the time being I am looking into a short term correction with a follow up to maybe break down the current all time high and get passed it.
Entry : 20,400
Target : 19,916
Let's see how things are going to formulate and move from there.
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Start of decline: Below 97821.58
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The Market Cap chart will be updated again when a new candle is created.
I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing in.
The increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC.
You cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC with BTC dominance.
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to be reflected in the decline of the coin market.
The start of the decline in the coin market is expected to begin when it rises above 4.97 and is maintained.
-------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The point to watch is whether the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend from the 100 point or whether it switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is a lagging indicator, you can know the exact value when a new candle is created.
However, if there is a change in the value of the StochRSI indicator when a movement occurs, it means that an important point has been passed.
In that sense, the fact that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point despite the current price decline means that an important point has not been passed.
However, there may be fluctuations in the StochRSI indicator value when a new candle is created while the price is falling.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at 101947.24.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 101947.24.
If not, it falls and shows resistance near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator or 97821.58, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, before meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, you should check whether it is supported near 87.8K-89K or whether the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is newly created.
If the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to see if there is support in the vicinity.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated, it is expected that the current wave will end and a movement to create a new wave will begin.
The start of the decline is expected to start when it falls below 97821.58.
The volatility period is around December 27 (maximum December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
In the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
CYCLE 4 | BTC If Perfect Cycle - ATM Target Zone [For Fun]IF PERFECT CYCLE - ATM TARGET ZONE
For this post (just for fun) if BTC is allowed to run to it historic tends this cycle, then I have marketed the projected 'ATH Target Zone', based on the current state of my price modelling, cycle mapping, oscillators, indicators and technical analysis tends.
Weekly RSI - CURRENT ANALYSIS
While the weekly RSI bearish divergence (yet to be locked in) looks eerily familiar to our double peak top the 2021 cycle, if this does eventuate then we will be looking for BULLs to continually invalidate similar to the 2017 bull run. If there is a reasonable pull back at this point (30% to 40% pull back) and we retest and hold the 21W EMA 20W SMA, then this would be consistent with the 2017 bull run at this point in the cycle and we would then want to see bulls invalidate the bearish divergence on the weekly RSI to have confidence in the possibility of more upward price action ahead.
FOLLOW ALONG WITH THIS POST!
What do you think about this chart? Am I too bullish or bearish with this zone?
Will be fun to track this moving forward.
Or do we have to wait for longer?Here we assume that XRP won't go after the ATH just yet. We will have to see if #Bitcoin chills out for a moment and starts either distributing or slightly correcting to $98-100K regions. We can then assume the corrective wave (primary W4) will be deeper or a more complex variant (here presumed an expanded flat). The flat correction would allow for consolidation and a potential RSI reset, possibly forming a bullish divergence to signal a reversal which is typical between waves 3 and 5.
A clear break of the lower trendline and failure to hold $1.97 would validate this scenario. The invalidation for this scenario will be taking out the recently set high at $2.9. Given the corrective nature of expanded flats, completion of this structure could extend into early 2025, aligning with broader market uncertainties and potential shifts in macro sentiment.
Can we set a new ATH before 2025?This scenario presents a classic Ending Diagonal structure for Primary Wave (5), where XRP has likely completed Wave (4) near $1.90 and is now advancing upward to set new ATH. After entering price discovery and everybody FOMOs in, a significant portion of HODLers will start taking profits which will slow down the momentum and eventually leads to the formation of a bearish divergence marking the end of the impulse.
The first major resistance is the current high at $2.9 then the 2017's ATH at $3.31, from which we can expect a smaller degree correction.
For this scenario to unfold, we will need a steady momentum. Then we can expect it to set a new ATH before the end of year. Personally, my targets for this would be somewhere between $4 and $7 by late Jan to early Feb 2025, given the current pace and Trump's inauguration (and maybe SEC settlement?).
AES Corporation - Short term view with strong supportSo first of all both price and indicators are confirming the downtrend.
Today NYSE:AES opened with a gap succeeding yesterday's equilibrium in price with doji candles.
The price is still in the middle of the regression line and in the next few days the price don't seems to be close to upper 2 SD.
In the print above the yellow line shows the support at $11.43. The image's time horizon starts at the end of 2006.
Furthermore looking at short ratio available online the value is about 2,7 from mid October as well as more than 22M short interest
Bitcoin: Hold now, buy laterHello,
Bitcoin is a clear uptrend as the price is above the moving averages, as the picture on the left side of the chart shows. Technical indicators like Ultimate Oscillator, ADX, MOM, and MACD are bullish. However, RSI indicators are overbought, which means Bitcoin might go higher, but there'll be a better time to buy when the market corrects the overbought conditions. I hold my Bitcoins, but I won't buy any more until the upcoming correction, which might come soon.
Regards,
Ely
S&P500 Weekly - Toppy SituationDivergence between price and the RSI oscillator, and between price and the MACD oscillator indicate that the current situation going into 2025 is a toppy one. One might consider watching these oscillators and being on the lookout for a shorting opportunity or a bullish resolution of the divergence (less likely) through Q1.
Nasdaq Bounce or Break? 21340 Becomes the BattlegroundNasdaq futures may have seen an ugly decline following the Fed’s rate decision but it’s noteworthy the price remained respectful of technical levels, bouncing off 21340.75 at the height of the carnage.
It’s far too early to call a bottom, especially with momentum indicators mixed: MACD has crossed over from above, generating a bearish signal, but the long-running uptrend in RSI (14) remains intact. Therefore, rather than trying to anticipate directional risks based on thin volumes going through in Asian trade, I’d much rather see how the price action evolves into Europe and US.
If the price tests and holds again 21340.75, longs could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection. Apart from a minor level at 21608, there’s little visual resistance until the record highs.
Alternatively, if the price breaks 21340.75 and cannot reverse back higher, you could flip the setup around, selling beneath the level with a stop above for protection. 20984 and important 50-day moving average are nearby levels of note, with a break of the latter opening the possibility of a deeper flush towards 20400.
More broadly, for the carnage witnessed following the Fed, its updated rate projections were not significantly different to what traders were anticipating before the event. And when you step back and look at where markets see the funds rate bottoming this cycle, it’s around 70bps higher than where the Fed’s dot plot indicated.
What the Fed signalled was a slower pace of cuts, not a large reduction in cuts. One 25bps move was removed from the profile by the end of 2027. That’s it. Based on the market reaction, you’d think multiple cuts were removed!
That makes me think the move was more about market positioning rather than a truly monumental hawkish shift, making me question how long the rout can be sustained when that reality sets in.
The key is whether it can be supported in the support zone
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-------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
Support zone
1st: Left Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (21039.7) ~ 21348.0
2nd: 19582.6
However, when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched, whether it is supported or not is important.
The next volatility period is expected to be around December 26th.
If it is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is expected to eventually rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 1.27 (23962.1) and re-determine the trend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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GBP/NZD Overbought, slight correction - short term tradeHi guys, making up a short term trade on the GBP/NZD ,because it is very overbought and has reached higher resistance level on 1H time frame and 4H time frames.
Entry : 2.21970
Target: 2.20998
Stop : 2.22452
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
WazirX (WRX)On the above 6-day chart price action has corrected over 90% since the sell signal in April 2021 (not shown). Now is the time to be long. Why?
1) You know why.
2) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
3) Multiple oscillators print bullish divergence over 120 day period.
4) Point no. (3) occurs on past resistance.
Is it possible for price action to fall further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Don’t know.
Return: HKEX:19 / 100x