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15% to 35% Upside Ahead for Corn (Divergence Strategy)Corn recently has had the monthly bullish divergence confirmed with Septembers monthly close. This has major implications for corn, as I anticipate corn to now trade up at least 15% from current prices, up to a max move of approximately 35%. Monthly divergence triggers such as this are signals that the prudent trader must pay attention to. This does not mean I anticipate this market to go straight up from here. However, it does mean that, in my opinion, dips are for buying in the Corn market until we reach these upside targets. Have a great week.
CBOT:ZC1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
15% to 30% Upside Ahead for Soybean Meal (Divergence Strategy)Soybean Meal recently confirmed the monthly bullish divergence with Septembers candle close. This is a significant signal that prudent traders should pay close attention to. What this signal implies is that there is a minimum 15% move to the upside from current price ahead for Soybean Meal. The high end target is a 30% upside move. This does not mean this market is going to go straight up from here. In my opinion, dips are for buying in the Soybean Meal market until we reach these upside targets. Have a great week.
CBOT:ZM1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
Example of Conditions for Starting Trading Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I will publish in advance due to an external schedule tomorrow. Accordingly, I will take time to provide additional explanations on the ideas published today. ---------------------------------------- I will talk about the basis for indicating the direction of progress shown in the chart above. In order to differentiate from other people's analyses, I am trying to explain the basis for indicating the support and resistance points or sections on the chart. I think that if you understand why those points and sections were set, you will eventually be able to understand them without having to read the explanation all the way through. For this, more support and resistance points are needed. This is because we can select the volatility period by additionally drawing the trend line. However, since all of these processes are displayed on the chart, there are many complaints that the chart is messy and confusing, so we are trying to reduce them as much as possible. Therefore, there are cases where the chart is displayed in two versions. The chart below is a chart that shows many support and resistance points and draws a trend line to select the volatility period. Therefore, since the support and resistance points may be displayed differently, it is recommended that you refer to the points or sections that I have written. - The conditions for starting a transaction are simpler than they look. However, when these conditions are met, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts must be displayed. Therefore, even if the conditions for starting a transaction are met, if the support and resistance points are not displayed at the corresponding price, you cannot start a transaction. Please read this carefully and thank you. - (It would be good to see this as an example of how to find the conditions that fit you and how to utilize them.) Conditions for starting a transaction are 1. Buying time conditions - When the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold range and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA - When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) - When the OBV indicator rises below the 0 point - When the DMI indicator rises below the 0 point 2. Selling time conditions - When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought range and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA - When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the highest point (100) - When the OBV indicator falls above the 0 point - When the DMI indicator falls above the 0 point When the above conditions are met, check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn near the price. Confirmation is used to proceed with the transaction. The current price position is 60672.0-61099.25. Therefore, you can proceed with the transaction depending on whether there is support in this section. Since it is currently falling below 60672.0, there is nothing you can do in spot trading other than cutting losses. In futures trading, you can enter with a sell (SHORT) position. - It is rare for all the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above to be met. Therefore, it is recommended to basically check whether the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), and then proceed with the transaction by checking the movement of the StochRSI indicator. Also, it is recommended to select a split sell section to make a profit by calculating the fluctuation range while checking the strength of the rise or fall with OBV and DMI. - In summary of the above, Since the StochRSI indicator has not yet risen from the oversold zone and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is recommended to check whether a reversal is occurring. Also, you should check whether the BW indicator has fallen to the lowest point (0) and formed a horizontal line. If the OBV and DMI indicators rise below the 0 point without meeting these conditions, you should proceed with an aggressive purchase (a transaction that requires a quick response similar to scalping or day trading). If you do not proceed with an aggressive purchase, you should wait. - It is not a good idea to enter a current sell (SHORT) position in futures trading. However, if you proceed with an aggressive transaction (scalping or day trading), you can start trading. The reason why it is not a good condition for trading is because the price is located in the 1. purchase timing condition section among the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above. Therefore, the profit is small or you may even suffer a loss. - If you are not currently trading, I think the section where you should trade is when it rises around 61K. Before that, it is highly likely that you will not be able to purchase because it seems like it will fall further. I think this point, or the section where you actually trade, is the psychological volume profile section. This psychological volume profile section is the section where psychology applies that you must trade even now. Since this point is ultimately a low or high point, it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you purchase. The 61K section that I mentioned earlier is a section where it is highly likely to be a low point, so it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you cut your loss or enter a sell (SHORT) position. - If it shows resistance near 60672.0, there is a possibility that a sharp decline will occur momentarily and touch 59K and then rise. This phenomenon can be a fake or a sweep movement, so you need to be careful. In order to avoid losses from this phenomenon, auxiliary indicators are necessary. Since auxiliary indicators are lagging, they are unlikely to show large movements in sudden price fluctuations. - What I am talking about is not a method of chart analysis, but an example of how to set a standard for trading. Therefore, I hope you do not misunderstand the above as about chart analysis. Since chart analysis and trading are different, what you see on the chart is also different. In order to complement this difference, what is needed is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Since charts without support and resistance points are likely to be for chart analysis, there is no need to try to find a trading point on these charts. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
Adobe May Have Space to the DownsideAdobe has been struggling all year, and some traders may think the software stock has space to the downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since September 13. ADBE dipped below its subsequent low this week, potentially breaking a bearish descending triangle. Next, the triangle followed a sharp gap lower after guidance disappointed. Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is nearing a potential “death cross” below the 200-day SMA. That may suggest its long-term trend is getting more negative. Finally, MACD has turned downward, and prices have remained below the falling 8-day exponential moving average. Those points may signal bearishness in the shorter term. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:ADBE
by TradeStation
Risk of bullish USD/JPY breakout growing USD/JPY is hitting the top of the range it’s been in since mid-August. With RSI (14) and MACD providing bullish signals on momentum, and having cleared the 50DMA, it feels like this attempted breakout may succeed where others have failed. If we see a break and hold above resistance at 147.06, consider buying with a tight stop below the level for protection. Risk management is particularly important given escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The August 15 high around 149.40 would be the initial trade target with 149.70 the next after that. 151 would offer a tougher test, coinciding with the intersection of multiple levels including the 200DMA. If the price were to reverse back below 147.06 and/or the uptrend dating back to mid-September, the near-term bullish bias would be nullified. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
$SPY October 3, 2024AMEX:SPY October 3, 2024 15 Minutes. As expected, AMEX:SPY was in sideways sort out the two long bars of 1st October. For the fall 574.38 to 565.27 AMEX:SPY had retraced 61.88 around 570 levels. For the rise 565.27 to 569.9 AMEX:SPY had again retraced 61.8% of that move to 567 levels. Now AMEX:SPY made a low at 565.27 and we can see oscillator divergence. Hence this number is important to hold now. If we draw an extension for the move 567.27 to 569.9 to 567.58, we can see 570 - 572 as initial target. At the moment AMEX:SPY below 100 and 200 averages in 15 minutes. Hence a long only above 571 with the close of bar near the top. On downside I expect strong support around 562 563 levels being 200 averages in 60 Minutes time frame. So, we are stuck between 563 to 571 today most probably for a buy above or sell below trade. I expect to have a trade tomorrow, Friday.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
The 3 Steps To Risk Managment Using The Rocket Booster Strategy.The rocket booster strategy is something i have been practising since I started trade journals here on Tradingview. It took me about about 48 hours and 48 days of studying to master this strategy in my brain it's very simple but do not underestimate its power I want to show you risk management. On this chart is the rocket booster strategy But there is a difference. On the chart, I have shown you a buy-limit order and a take-profit order. Here are the 3 steps to risk management and profit-taking using the rocket booster strategy for this stock NASDAQ:AMZN : #1-Place a buy limit order on the 50 EMA or near it. #2-Place a take profit order on the resistance level measured by the Bollinger bands. #3-Do not overleverage your position- Use margin but not too much! Now that you know I encourage you to read this article at least 33 times to master this strategy. Rocket boost this post to learn more. Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will lose money whether you like it or not. Please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by lubosi
Natgas - Pending RSI Failure SwingThis is an idea of what to look out for if natgas continues to rally into overbought RSI territory and tops out as it did in May and June of 2024 (current year). Look out for overbought RSI divergence followed by a failure swing as shown and outlined in further detail in the idea linked below, probably confirmed by MACD divergence as well. Look out for an approximately 40-day duration of top formation once RSI enters overbought territory, plus or minus 20 days. Be prepared for a max draw down of 2.14% if you short the close of the day the failure swing is confirmed. The previous gain was 29.16%. Due to the high draw down %, it may make sense to short a QG micro which is 1/4 of an NG contract, possibly adding more on the way down at your discretion. The trade entry may happen later this year, approximately mid November. Also something to watch out for is a much sharper rise with a much shorter RSI failure swing pattern as was formed at the start of the year 2024 (current year), also shown on the chart. The drawdown was much smaller and the target much greater (50% gain) but the short duration made the failure swing more suspect. It’s better if more than just 5 days form the top and a deeper valley is formed. This is all very hypothetical, but these are the types of swing trades I watch for and it’s good for me, if no one else, to note these potential trades as they approach. Please feel free to ask questions. Previous failure swing idea with additional explanation:
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASShort
by Skipper86
EURUSD: Dollar going stronger than EuroThe orange circle, shows the exact moment where, at the same time, ICEUS:DX1! crossed over CME:6E1! and the 200-sma was in the middle of this crossover. The Dollar futures are gaining stregth while on the other hand, Euro futures are falling in price. After the crossover, a strong bearish candle cross the support, the price remain in congestion with yesterday price closing at 1.10533. Today the price is already below a support during early september and a resistance in the week after. Indicators: Besides the 200sma. The RSI is projecting to go overbought or at least close, while DMI- is increasing the direction and ADX is confirming the trend strength.
Short
by AFCapital21
30% to 60% Upside Coming for Natty (Divergence Strategy)A powerful monthly bullish divergence just confirmed on natty. We see that the CCI had a monthly close which confirmed the bullish divergence setup. In this video I review how to determine targets with this strategy, and how to determine your risk. I anticipate a minimum 30% rally from current prices for natty, possibly heading up 60% from here. This doesn't mean this market won't have a pullback in the meantime. In my opinion, pullbacks are for buying until these price targets are reached. If you have any questions about this strategy, feel free to shoot me a message. Have a great week.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
18
Harmony Gold Could Be Near a BreakoutHarmony Gold Mining rallied sharply in March and April. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may see potential for a breakout. The first pattern on today’s chart is the range between $8.50 and $11. Prices are nearing the upper level. A close above may confirm resistance is fading. Second is the series of higher weekly lows since mid-June. Those could indicate a longer-term uptrend. Third, rising MACD may reflect bullish momentum. Finally, the macro environment (falling interest rates and geopolitical risk) may favor gold miners like HMY. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:HMY
by TradeStation
Bearish divergence on GBPUSD daily chart; sterling overbought?GBPUSD has been in an uptrend since April 22, 2024, and has accumulated a 9.19% increase between April 22 and September 26. On August 27, the RSI indicator recorded a reading of 74.96, signalling a possible overbought situation. On September 26, the reading was at 71.68, which was slightly lower than the previous RSI reading. On the other hand, on August 27, GBPUSD was trading at 1.3264 before rallying to 1.3431 on September 26 – a marked gain over a monthly timespan. Sterling has since given up some of its recent gains, trading around the 1.33 mark. The pound has notably been the top performer among G10 currencies this year, rising over 5% against the dollar and 4% against the euro. Its strong rally began in late April, following a brief dip below $1.23. Sterling has appreciated by close to 10% against the U.S. dollar since last October. On a trade-weighted basis, sterling is now at its highest level since the UK's 2016 Brexit vote, just 2% below its pre-referendum level. Blistering rally for sterling on BoE, Fed rate divergence The currency's gains have been driven by expectations that UK interest rates will stay higher than those of other nations, due to persistent inflation in services and a surprisingly resilient economy. Technical indicators, however, indicate that there may be signs of a potential reverse in the trend for sterling. Some analysts have also noted that the sterling-to-dollar pair may start to look expensive soon as expectations for a 50-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve will start to look misplaced. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently pushed back against forecasts of another outsized 50bps cut, saying he sees two more interest rate cuts, totalling 50 basis points, this year as a baseline “if the economy performs as expected.” Bearish divergence may be in play for GBPUSD A classic bearish divergence occurs when the price reaches a higher high than the previous one, while the oscillator forms a lower high. This pattern often indicates a potential for a stronger pullback or trend reversal. On October 1st, the price dipped below the 8-period Simple Moving Average, and with a classic bearish divergence currently in play, this suggests a potential bearish pullback in GBP/USD. The sterling-to-dollar pair may drop to the 1.3028 level, where a support zone is expected on the daily chart. Disclaimer: 76.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
2
Make or break day for Australia’s ASX 200For all the headlines surrounding the conflict in the Middle East, many markets remain respectful of levels on the charts, providing traders will some form of certainty in an increasingly uncertain world. Australia ASX 200 SPI futures is among that list, kissing uptrend support in overnight trade before bouncing into the close. But whether the rebound can extend is questionable; we saw a bearish engulfing candle on Tuesday and RSI (14) has diverged from price, signalling another test of the uptrend may prove more fruitful for bears than raids of the past. MACD also looks heavy, suggesting it may soon confirm the signal from RSI. If we see a bearish break, traders could sell with a stop above the trendline targeting an initial pullback to 8137. Below that, the 50DMA and 7918 are the next levels of note. Alternatively, if we see another retest and bounce from the uptrend, consider reversing the setup, buying the bounce with a stop below the level for protection. The obvious target would be the record high of 8334 set in late September. Good luck! DS
ASX24:AP1!
by FOREXcom
MHUA Chinese Med Tech Penny StockMHUA is shown here on the daily chart. It is currently trading at about 90% off its high of the year. It is in the high volume area of the long term volume profile suggesting there is sufficent liquidity to support active trading. Recent volume spikes suggest buying volume increases with the spikes being about 10X relative volume. Price is over the POC line of the volume profile demonstrating that buying pressure exceeds selling pressure. Price is at or near to one standard deviation below the mean anchored VWAP and so in the undervalued area as confirmed by the RSI Stochastic < 20 %. Chart patterns include an engulfing " big ass " candle on 5/1 and a three-bar strike with another engulfing green candle on 5/12. Both of these could be considered long entry signals especially when supported by the price above the POC and the RSI. I will take a position risking 0.25% of the trading account to begin the trading week. I am targeting a gain of $15.00 per share being a 50% retracement back to the high YTD and a 300% return on investment. I will take a 100 share position and close 10 shares each time the price rises by $2.00. This will adequately mitigate the risk of a volatile penny stock while adequately rewarding the risk taken.
NASDAQ:MHUALong
by AwesomeAvani
US small caps coiling again following bullish breakout Traders should be alert for a breakout in Russell 2000 futures which are coiling in yet another triangle pattern. Having entered from below and with three consecutive higher closes, it feels like if there’s going to be a breakout, it’s most likely going to be bullish. Momentum indicators are pushing higher, bolstering that view. If we see triangle resistance give way, consider buying the break with a stop beneath the level for protection. The initial target would be 2305, the high struck on September 19. Another option would be to wait for a potential retest of triangle support. If the price were to bounce from it again, you could buy with a tight stop below for protection. Targets include triangle resistance and 2305. Prospects for both setups would likely improve if accompanied by signs of further modest easing US labour market conditions, allowing for the Fed to cut interest rates without sparking renewed fears about demand or the broader economy. Therefore, the JOLTS survey and ISM manufacturing PMI out later Tuesday could be very influential on the performance of small caps during the session. Good luck! DS
CME_MINI:RTY1!Long
by FOREXcom
NVDA breaks below with mixed feelingsNVDA very recently breaks below its upward trend, but other factors make its break below uncertain. Volume has been decreasing since its selloff at the peak of the 26th indicating disagreement RSI has been holding flat at the 50 line instead breaking below MACD also has not been moving into bearish zone just yet. The break below is of concern, but so far we are not seeing signs that this will trigger a violent sell off yet. The sell off maybe more muted before turning around back into another rally again.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ratchet-mint