$SPY May 24, 2024AMEX:SPY May 24, 2024
15 Minutes.
AMEX:SPY opened gap up.
Close was bad. as it closed near low of bar.
Having expected 534 on upside, short opportunity came easily.
We have 2 issues.
AMEX:SPY made ATH. But close in daily and week so far is bad. Near low of bar.
So, if today we have a closure near end of bar in week. Next week we will have downtrend.
So now buy is confirmed only above 533.5 levels.
Till then we keep shorting. For the moment.
For the day any retrace to 529.5 for the fall 531.49 to 524.73 will give opportunity to short.
We are having 517 as 21 EMA in daily.
Thats the target I will short next week.
Oscillators
Pennant - EUHere I have EUR/USD on the 4 Hr Chart!
Price made a good push to the Upside surpassing the Highs earlier this month but then getting caught up by the Highs of April
Currently Price is bouncing back and forth between the Falling Resistance and Rising Support.
Potential False Break zones for both Resistance and Support are marked by the High and Low Points starting the pattern!
Pennants are patterns where the fight between Bears and Bulls is equal and eventually one will win out the other, this will be followed by a STRONG, CONVINCING Break of Pattern and Close to Validate the movement.
Fundamentally this week for both EUR and USD will be Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI being released Thursday!
As Indicators go:
-Above 200 EMA
-DSR Assist
-Above 50 RSI
-Super Nova Layout +3
Hedera (HBAR)On the above weekly chart price action has corrected over 90% since the sell signal (not shown). Today is great long opportunity. Why?
1) RSI and price action resistance breakout with support confirmation.
2) Multiple oscillators print bullish divergence.
3) Trend reversal. Higher highs higher lows replace lower highs lower lows.
4) The macro bull-flag confirmation prints the 50 cent target.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Now, don’t sit on your hands.
Return: 8x
Is Gold on the verge of collapsing in 2024?On the above 2-week chart price action has enjoyed a 100% move in only 8 years. A number of reasons now exist to consider a bearish outlook for Gold, including:
1) A triple top on legacy resistance.
2) Regular bearish divergence. The number of oscillators now printing negative divergence with price action is actually greater than the positive divergence that printed in early 2016.
3) Looking left, with this divergence, Price action is forecast to drop below $1400.
Ww
📈FIL Analysis: Potential Breakout Ahead Amid ETF Speculations✨🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. The market continues to range, with most altcoins still confined within their range boxes, except for Ethereum, which has generated a lot of hype.
📰Today might finally be the day when momentum enters the market, as it's the deadline for the Ethereum ETF news. Regardless of whether it gets approved or not, the market is likely to see some movement.
🧩The coin we will analyze today is FIL (Filecoin). This project provides a cloud storage solution on the blockchain, similar to iCloud, where you can securely store your data. Today, we will focus on trading futures rather than the specifics of the project.
🔄In the 4-hour timeframe, after a significant drop in mid-April, FIL has been ranging, and this range continues. The range box has a ceiling at 6.678 and a floor at 5.332. These two levels are the primary triggers for opening positions. Any trigger between these two levels is unreliable; if you open a position, you should close it quickly.
📈For long positions, in addition to the breakout of 6.678, you can also consider the breakout of 6.316. If this resistance is broken, you can open a swing position. Currently, I do not see any other triggers for a long position. We need to wait for the market to create a new structure for additional triggers.
✅For profit-taking and targets, the first target based on support and resistance on the chart is 7.994. However, along the way, I will take partial profits several times. The only scenario in which I would keep the entire position open until it reaches 7.994 is if the RSI enters the oversold region and does not exit, indicating a sharp market movement.
📉For short positions, the main trigger, as mentioned, is 5.332. For early entry, you can enter a short position after testing 5.955 and breaking it. The second early trigger is 5.545, and breaking this level also allows for opening a short position.
📊Keep in mind, it doesn't matter which trigger is activated. The most important thing in the market is that volume increases in the direction of the trend. If you are opening a long position, the volume of green candles should increase, and the volume of red candles should decrease. The same applies to short positions; selling volume should increase, and buying volume should decrease.
📝In conclusion, today’s market movement could be significant, driven by the Ethereum ETF news. Be prepared for potential volatility and ensure your trading strategy is adaptable to both long and short opportunities in FIL.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
NIFTY DAILY - 22/5/2024Nifty opens with gap up and there was a selling pressure in starting which made day low which is 22483, but afterwards nifty made high of 22629 level.
Nifty has formed Long Legged Doji pattern on daily chart which indicates opening and closing price are very close.
RSI is around 59.
Nifty has broken the resistance of 22586 so, further resistance can be 22610 level with support of 22554 level.
Bank Nifty levels
Support – 47305 Resistance – 48110
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 33
Decline - 17
FII Sell – 686.04 crores
DII Buy + 961.91 crores.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
SPX500 hourly tending to positiveThe SPX500 has some potential positives to it. These just need to convert. We're looking at trend-following indicators and momentum indicators.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Is Soybean Oil Heating Up? Of the grains and oilseeds, soybean oil has been the clear laggard. Corn, wheat, soybeans, and even soybean meal have seen notable rallies over the course of the last 4-6 weeks. However, there are indications that may soon change. As ingredient buyers know, soybean oil typically trades at a significant premium to its rival palm oil. The chart below overlays a 5-year continuous chart of front month soybean oil futures prices along with a 5-year continuous chart of Malaysian palm oil futures. As displayed by the chart, in each instance over the past 5 years in which SBO’s premium has eroded relative to palm oil, we’ve seen soybean oil prices rally in excess of 15%.
Fund Positioning :
Extreme fund positioning is typically viewed as a contrary indicator. As such, managed money funds holding their largest net-short position in soybean oil futures of any point in the last 5-years adds to the bullish case in the immediate term. Per the last CFTC Commitment of Traders report, managed money was holding a net-short position of 58,748 contracts. In the instance that prices grind higher, short-covering on behalf of managed money could accelerate a move to the upside.
Technicals :
Lastly, the technical landscape of soybean oil also looks constructive. There is significant bullish divergence between the two most recent lows, and a standard 14-day RSI. In other words, the most recent successive lows came on less conviction. A break and close above the most recent swing high of 50 should lay the groundwork for a test of the swing-highs observed last July between 64 and 66.
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Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.
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end of the gold up trend?in my opinion in these few Weeks gold will start a Down trend but there are two scenarios that might happen if it starts Down trending:
1. As you see it Touches the yellow area and gonna start down trending
2. Next few days Gold touch the red area and after checking oscillators and indicators you will see The reversal signs!
but I think the possibility of the second scenario is stronger because if you check Four hour timeframe With An oscillator like stochastic You will see it's going to the oversold area And it Means the up trend hasn't ended yet !
if Oscillators converging in multi timeframes (4h/1D/1W) then we can say down trend will start and it olny happen when price touches the red area !
Both of the two scenarios are based on the Elliott waves and Robert Minor strategy
good luck !
Yield Guild Games (YGG)- Bullish divergenceOn the above daily chart price action has corrected 95% since November. A number of reasons now exist to be bullish, including:
1) The ‘incredible buy’ signal.
2) Regular bullish divergence . Multiple oscillators are currently printing positive divergence.
3) The 3-day BTC prints the same conditions as 1 and 2 (below).
Is it possible price action falls further? For sure.
Is it probable? Very unlikely.
Good luck!
Ww
PS: I’m not trading this so please ask below for updates.
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: 1 to 4 months
Return: 7x / $2.40
3-day BTC chart
🚧GTAIUSDT is Bullish now🚧 & many Traders don't see it 👀!!!Hi.
KUCOIN:GTAIUSDT
Today, I want to analyze GTAI for you in a 1D time frame so that we can have a SHORT-term view of GTAI regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts).
🔵We have a Bullish Structure here
GTAI formed a falling wedge on 1D timeframe🤔
Up we go if we do breakout , ended correction waves, & starting 5th impulse waves.
also a bullish Divergence (RD+) on RSI & MACD which shows Positive Signs for GTAI.
✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart...
🟢 High potential areas are clear in the chart.
🟢 Bullish Wedge.
🟢 5th waves.
🟢Bullish Regular Divergence(+RD)
🟢Bullish Divergence (RD+) on RSI & MACD
Stay awesome my friends.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
VIX - Fear indicator shows concern but not panicTrue market capitulation fear events are marked with semi generational fear levels of the charts
Were at a point of a resistance , but could easily slice through this level if we get increasing levels of uncertainty and panic entering the markets
Could we see 30? Possibly
NAS100 Hits Record Ahead of NVIDIA but RSI DivergesThe tech-heavy index runs its best month of the year, extending the advance to new record highs. After last week’s CPI moderation, markets strengthened their bets for two rate cuts by the Fed this year, beginning in June. NAS100 now eyes the psychological 19K mark.
On the other hand, the disinflation process has slowed this year and Fed officials have turned cautious around a pivot, adopting a higher-for-longer narrative, while the hawkish commentary continued this week from various policymakers. On the technical side, the RSI did not follow prices higher, in a divergence that creates risk for a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it, would pause the bullish bias, but that would need strong catalyst.
Even if a pullback ensues, the path of least resistance is higher. NAS100 has looked past the Fed’s cautious shift, largely due to the generative AI boom and investors now await Wednesday’s results by NVIDIA, its enabler and main beneficiary. After February’s last report, the stock had jumped more than 12% and had lifted NAS100 with it, so there is potential for volatility.
NVIDIA expects new record revenues due to AI demand and growth to the tune of 235% y/y. This would mark a small slowdown in pace and markets will want to see if it can continue to post eyewatering numbers, or if cracks will begin to appear.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
$SPY May 21, 2024AMEX:SPY May 21, 2024
15 Minutes
For the rise 525.18 to 531.52 4SPY earlier had retraced to 527.33.
Being 61.8% retracement usually it will make double top.
On that basis AMEX:SPY hit 531.56 today.
It retraced to 529.17.
Therefore 527.33 can be treated as HL.
Now that number should hold for uptrend.
Hence if we consider the rise from 527.33 to 531.56 AMEX:SPY need to hold 528.5 - 529 levels to continue the trend.
But we have oscillator divergence.
Hence holding 527 is important else we have a target 526-524, 524 being 23.6% retracement for the move 499.55 to 531.56.
Hence for the day
If 527 is broken i have a target 526 which is 200 averages in 15 minutes.
And if 531.75 is broken with good close on bar then target is 534.
I expect a one-sided move today based on open.
XRP Symmetrical Triangle - Bull target $0.65, Bear target $0.42NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
TL;DR #XRP Symmetrical Triangle, bull target $0.65, bear target $0.42
BINANCE:XRPUSDT has been trading in a symmetrical triangle for over 1 month. Well respected support trendline, with 4 clear touches.
Ascending triangle on the RSI, watch it because a break of the support or resistance trendlines there might be a leading signal of a subsequent price action breakout.
🟢 Bull case
Should we break the resistance trendline, my target will be the previous key area at $0.65.
Be careful at $0.57 because we had 2 previous fakeouts to that level.
Also watch the 200-day VWMA at $0.59 because it could offer some resistance on the way up.
🔴 Bear case
A break below the support trendline would most likely lead to a retest of $0.42, either for a triple bottom or further downside.
AVAX/USDT is about to do a Bearish movement!!!Hi.
COINEX:AVAXUSDT
Today, I want to analyze AVAX for you in a 3D time frame so that we can have a mid-term view of AVAX regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts).
AVAX reached the resistance but could not break it. Also, we have a bearish divergence on MACD and RSI that the price will soon decline.
✅ Due to the Descending structure of the chart...
- High potential areas are clear in the chart.
- DIVERGENCE ON MACD
- DIVERGENCE ON RSI
Stay awesome my friends.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
CAD/NZD Trade Alert - Bullish Opportunity at Key Support LevelThe CAD/NZD currency pair is currently positioned at a crucial support level, exhibiting strong technical indicators suggesting a potential upward movement. The identification of a Bullish RSI Divergence on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts reinforces our bullish sentiment.
Entry and Risk Management:
Entry Point
Our recommended entry point for this trade is at 1.2008. This level aligns with the support area, providing a strategic entry with a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Stop Loss:
To manage risk effectively, a stop loss should be placed at 1.1928. This ensures that any unexpected downward movement beyond the support level is contained, protecting our trading capital.
Profit Targets:
Take Profit Levels
We have identified three key take profit levels for this trade:
TP-1: 1.2088
TP-2: 1.2168
TP-3: 1.2247
These levels are strategically chosen based on historical resistance points and expected price action, offering incremental profit-taking opportunities.
Confluence and Confidence:
The confluence of the key support area with the Bullish RSI Divergence across multiple time frames adds significant confidence to our bullish bias. The RSI Divergence indicates a potential reversal and strength in buying pressure, suggesting that the CAD/NZD pair is poised for an upward correction.
Conclusion:
The current technical setup for CAD/NZD presents a compelling bullish opportunity. With the entry point at 1.2008, a well-placed stop loss at 1.1928, and clearly defined take profit targets, this trade setup offers a favorable risk-reward profile. Traders should monitor the price action closely and adjust their positions accordingly as the market evolves.
XNGUSD SPOT NATURAL GAS Slowly getting ready to reverse LONGXNGUSD is here on a 120 minute chart. I can see that it is trying to turn the corner and head up.
The RSI is turning up in bullish divergence. While price is below its moving averages, the SMA20
is soon to be in reach. The anchored VWAP lines are approaching a slope decreasing to zero,
while price is getting closer to the mean VWAP as those lines go flat. Overall, volumes are
on the rise while price is sideways, so there is bullish divergence in the volume trend.
Overall, I see XNGUSD setting up for an uptrend. It could be a big one. Time to buckle up before
turning the key. there may be some horsepower involved.
Orion (ORN) - Bullish divergenceOn the above 4-day chart price action has corrected 98% since 26 dollars.
Is now a better opportunity from that one published in January @ 1 dollar? (linked)
At this time:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts plus backtests confirmations.
2) Strong bullish divergence as measured over 60 days. 8 oscillators print positive divergence with price action.
3) What was said above is also true for the ORN-BTC pair.
4) The falling wedge breakout prints on legacy support. It is from here the flagpole is used to measure the target, which is also the golden ratio @ 6 dollars or thereabouts.
Is it possible price action could fall further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: act now
Return: 1100% / $6
SPX500 potentially setting up before cash openThe longer-term SPX 500 daily chart is sitting in a bullish channel with positive technical indications. The shorter-term hourly is heading towards positivity, however there need to be some developments to confirm.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) :
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) :
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
LCID's vwap bounced after pullback LONGLCID trended up 40% from late June and then over 2-3 days completed a standard
Fib 0.5 retracement before bouncing off a longterm anchored mean VWAP and
reversing. The reversal is supported by the two time frame RSI indicator showing
the lower TF RSI crossing above the higher TF RSI and both of them approaching
the 50 level. The zero lag MACD shows the lines crossed under the histogram and
are now approaching the horizontal zero line. The relative rigor indicator shows
a line cross while the values were negative and now approach to the horizontal
zero line in parallel. Overall I conclude that LCID is set up for a long entry.