CHESS to print a 2000% move?On the above weekly chart price action has corrected 96% since late 2021. A number of reasons now exist to consider a long position, including:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support and resistance. Price action prints multiple weekly candles on past resistance. Oh yes.
3) Regular bullish divergence. Multiple oscillators print positive divergence with price action as measured over a one month period. This includes money flow.
4) The falling wedge forecasts a 2600% move from the breakout point as measured from the lowest and highest touch-points (blue circles).
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: <=6%
Timeframe for long: Yesterday
Return: 20-25x
Oscillators
S&P500 - Bullish opportunites ahead! - Long in flight Last weeks levels provided to be partly actionable and price has immediately responded (See attached post). Comfortable holding this 50% long position with stop/target untouched. Will be looking for opportunities to buy the other 50% and increase risk as I'm confident in the bullish sentiment after last weeks Feds statement. I hold an underlying belief that the FED does actually have a decent pulse on the economy that drives the stock market - obviously not the "real" economy but an important one no less. I'm personally very bullish 2024 on nearly all assets.
So lets unpack the chart -
Daily chat shows a "comfortable" pullback. One very similar to Nov. 2024. Evidence on the RSI suggests we are positioned for months of bullish room to run ahead. So I'm interested in getting long at least back to comfortable new highs.
2 hour chart shows our first aggressive entry hit and the second entry came within .30% of getting filled. Although I would have loved the second to get filled, It's a non-factor. Thankfully price has strongly verified our bullish identification of these price levels and the overall theory.
Although the stop of the aggressive was close to the conservative entry - it was separated by several key levels and strategically placed. I've got a good idea of where things are going and the opportunities on the way are endless. The rest is risk management
Follow/like for more AMEX:SPY NYSE:ES GETTEX:MES #S&P500 Commentary
Best,
GrayTrader
$SPY May 10, 2024AMEX:SPY May 10, 2024
15 Minutes.
Holding 516, (yesterday low was 516.70) 520 target was achieved.
At the moment i have 2 issues.
Positive is uptrend, above all moving averages, Stochastic black bar on top, did not become red on any pullbacks, Elloitt oscillator green and CCI green.
Negative is Elliott oscillator divergence (price making higher but not oscillator) and too far away from 200 moving averages.
My plan is:
Consider the last rise 518.34 to 520.2, holding 519 I have a target 523 - 524.
And if 518 is broken on downside I will short for a target 517 - 515 which is 38.2 retracement for the rise 508.56 to 520.2 and also 23.6% retracement for the rise 499.55 to 520.2 and 517 is 100 averages. 518 is important as breaking will nullify the HL HH pattern being formed now.
That retrace should allow the 200 averages to catch up at 514-515 levels allowing us to go long for the next uptrend above 524.
Since I trade on moving averages my bias is on reversal to 515-517 levels.
📈Analysis for Potential Long and Short Positions in ENS✨🔍Today's market position offers a pivotal moment, potentially setting the trajectory for the next 2-3 months. Following a minor downturn yesterday, altcoins have once again approached the lower end of the trading range. This juncture demands vigilance, especially considering potential short positions upon breaking support levels to avoid missing out on market movements.
🔄Bitcoin has activated its trigger yesterday, signaling market activity. Therefore, I've identified ENS (Ethereum Name Service) as a coin still holding its support. ENS allows users to convert Ethereum addresses into unique NFTs, simplifying transactions. Feel free to send any funds to my address parham96.eth; it's my pleasure to receive them!
✅Utilizing price action analysis with a classical approach, focusing on breakout patterns, I've conducted an analysis on ENS.
💎A Fibonacci retracement from the previous downturn indicates a correction to 61.8%, suggesting diminished downward momentum.
A range box has formed between 0.618 and 0.236 Fibonacci levels, with a ceiling at 16.8 and a floor at 14. This range has tested the 0.5 level twice, forming a Head and Shoulders pattern with neckline support at 14 and a potential first target at 12.45.
During range-bound trading, closing positions at risk-to-reward ratios of 2 or 3 is advisable, building a foundation for risk-taking in future trends.
Confirmation of trend reversal can be sought through RSI, with a break below 31.47 signaling potential significant price movements.
For long positions, a risky scalp entry can be considered upon breaking 14.39, with risk-to-reward ratios emphasizing conservative targets.
RSI confirmation below 42.63 can further validate the signal.
📈For long positions, entry confirmation is contingent on increasing buying volume, ensuring logical market participation.
🛒If ENS appears promising to you, please leave a comment for analysis feedback. Moreover, if there's considerable demand for spot buying analysis, I'll provide daily or weekly timeframe analysis for your convenience.
⚡️This analysis aims to equip traders with insights for potential positions, emphasizing risk management and strategic entry points in ENS trading.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
SPX500 approaching overhead resistanceThe SPX500 has moved into an area where there is overhead resistance. If the short-term momentum holds with the stochastic remaining in its upper quartile, the index should overcome the resistance. However, a swift turnaround in the stochastic will see the overhead resistance holding out.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) :
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) :
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
SPX500 Potential Dip in UptrendThe SPX500 daily chart has a positivity associated with it. However, the hourly chart has pulled back to the point that is tending towards oversold. This may set up a potential "dip in the uptrend" scenario.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) :
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) :
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
$SPY May 8 ,2024AMEX:SPY May 8 ,2024
15 Minutes.
As expected, AMEX:SPY was in sideways.
Forming a HH, HL pattern.
For the last rise from 514.89 to 518.87 it retraced 61.8% yesterday around 516.5 levels.
So, for the day I will buy above 518.6 and sell below 515.6 for a target 513.5 to 514.
I expect a move only above 520 at the moment. Need to cross the 519-520 resistance.
We are having an oscillator divergence; price is making higher while oscillator making lows.
Yesterday gap open was not sustained and the gap was closed.
Honestly, I love PEPE.Hello, friends!
This is ESS team.
Let's check the 1000PEPE chart.
In the 4-TF, PEPE is drawing a RISING wedge.
While PEPE is rising with a high point within the wedge,
There is a divergence with a LOW high point in RSI.
If the PEPE rises in the wedge and makes a high point,
but in the RSI,
the high point falls once again,
There is a possibility that it may drop due to the nature of the rising wedge.
So, Please refer to this.
Keep An Eye - Breakout Soon - OIL📊 Script: OIL
📊 Sector: Crude Oil & Natural Gas
📊 Industry: Oil Drilling / Allied Services
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading near at its resistance level which is 645.
📈 Script should give closing above 645 level so that we can see good rally.
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD and Double Moving Averages are giving crossover.
📈 Right now RSI is around 59.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade only above 645.
BUY ONLY ABOVE 645.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 636
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 691
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 625
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
SPX500 Moves Overbought on Hourly ChartThe hourly chart is showing signs of froth, which may result in a short-term pull back.
However, the daily chart is showing positive momentum.
Therefore a short-term pullback may make the support areas compelling.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) :
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) :
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
📈In-Depth Analysis of DOT: Long or Short Position?🔔🔍As we approach the ceiling of the trading range, it's time to pause and assess the decisions of the major players in the market. Understanding the dynamics between buyers and sellers, we aim to determine whether to take a long or short position. Today, we delve into the analysis of DOT, a coin that, like many others, is currently grappling with the resistance level without managing to consolidate above 7.455.
📈If we anticipate entering a long position after breaking the trend line, it implies a journey towards the lower end of the box, potentially around the support level of 6.275. With a 15% distance from the ceiling to the floor of the box, it presents an opportunity to open a suitable position in the futures market and ride it out until the floor of the box. The short trigger stands at 7.045, where a break in the shorter time frames like 1-hour or 15 minutes can offer a low-risk entry with quick risk-to-reward capture.
✅It's advisable to refrain from expecting high risk-to-reward ratios while within the range of 6.275 to 7.455. Settle for risk-to-reward ratios of 2 or 3 to ensure profit potential without being overly exposed to market fluctuations.
⚡️In the event of a breakout above 7.455, considering a long position requires a different approach. Given the anticipation of a new trend, setting stop-loss levels should align with the emerging trend rather than tight stop-losses to avoid premature exits. The previous model suits range-bound markets where lower risk-to-reward ratios suffice. However, for a potential upward move in the 4-hour timeframe, exercising patience for price action confirmation is crucial. Targets can be dynamically adjusted based on price behavior.
💥For a long position, a break above the 70 RSI line can serve as a confirmation of a sharp move upwards. As for the short position, attention to volume dynamics is essential, especially if the volume is gradually declining, indicating a forthcoming sharp market move.
📝To sum up, we have outlined strategies for both long and short positions in DOT. Whether the market undergoes a downturn and breaks below 6.275 or rallies above 7.455, traders can capitalize on either scenario. Additionally, considering the potential fakeouts, maintaining vigilance and adapting strategies accordingly is paramount for successful trading.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
$SPY May 7,2024AMEX:SPY May 7,2024
15 Minutes.
AMEX:SPY managed to stay above 510 levels.
Now we have 100 and 200 also near 510 levels.
Now holding 513 levels uptrend intact.
513 is the 61.8 % retracement for the fall 524.61 to 493.86.
510 is important because it is 38.2% retracement for the rise 599.55 to 516.61.
For the day holding 514 levels i have a target 518-519 levels. This is the number from April 11, we saw AMEX:SPY going all the way down 493 levels.
So, I expect some resistance around 519-520 levels.
I am going long around 515-515.6 levels for 519 SL 513 - 512.5.
The retracement to 515 - 515.6 is due to oscillator divergence in 15 minutes.
For two days we had a gap up we need to sort out the divergence.
Bitcoin 21 and 50 weekly moving average remain bullishThe 21 week MA was tagged last Wednesday for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Watching the 21 week SMA & 50 week SMA can serve as a great medium term risk gauge for Bitcoin
Crosses of these moving averages have been decent 🟢buy &🔴sell signals to date
The 21 week SMA held for the 2015/17 bull run, and it holds today.
All the same I would not be surprised to see price penetrate as deep as $52,000. The 50 weekly SMA is currently at c. €43,000 (think a badass wick)
As long as these moving averages are moving up and to the right, have not been breached by price and have not crossed, the primary bullish trend is intact.
This chart would obviously need to be considered in combination with others however it is a great way to remain level headed with the long term perspective in mind. Once we start losing levels, we can start getting worried. If we get a negative cross, a reduction in spot allocation would be very wise.
Long term timeframes with these smooth moving averages can be brilliant reminders of the primary trend trajectory. Patience my friends.
Lets keep an eye on these levels
P
#Bitcoin
📈 NEAR: Capitalizing on Bullish Momentum🚀🔍Let's delve into today's analysis. Weekly candlesticks closed yesterday, revealing compelling entry points for some altcoins. Even Bitcoin displayed a robust candle, indicative of buyer strength. Given the current market dynamics, it seems logical to consider adding Bitcoin to our portfolios. However, after thorough research, I've identified an altcoin that presents a relative uptrend to Bitcoin. In a market poised for upward movement, this altcoin is likely to outperform Bitcoin, offering greater potential returns.
💎The coin in question is Near Protocol (NEAR), a native coin of the Near Protocol blockchain. It boasts a robust project, making it a worthy addition to your bull market portfolio. Our previous entry point, as per our strategy, was a breakout above $3.823. While I didn't provide the detailed analysis then, it's crucial to stay vigilant for such entry opportunities. Since our entry, NEAR has delivered nearly 100% profit, doubling our investment.
⚡️A popular strategy suggests selling half of your position when your investment doubles, allowing you to secure profits while letting the remainder ride the market's ups and downs. However, I have a different approach. I firmly believe in holding onto my investments until Bitcoin surpasses $40,000, as I anticipate a bullish future for altcoins. These coins have the potential to multiply several times over, significantly increasing your capital.
📈Now, let's delve into the technical analysis and understand why NEAR should be part of your portfolio. On the weekly timeframe, after bottoming at $1 in October 2023, NEAR began its upward trajectory, witnessing a remarkable 600% growth. Yet, its potential extends far beyond these figures. Following a crucial resistance breakout, we're witnessing an influx of buying volume. Last week's candlestick, consolidating above the SMA7, signals strength and potential for further upside.
✅Moreover, the RSI indicator has exited the overbought territory, presenting an opportunity for a third bullish wave. With these insights and prudent capital management, now may be an opportune moment to enter a long position. For risk management, consider placing your stop-loss below $5, or even $4 for added security. As for targets, $17 presents a conservative estimate for Target 1, with potential for further gains upon its breach.