📈Technical Analysis: AVAX for Potential Trading Opportunities🚀📈 Comprehensive Analysis of AVAX: Daily Market Insights 📈
☀️In today's analysis, we embark on a journey into the intricacies of Avalanche (AVAX) trading, exploring potential avenues for profit amid evolving market conditions. As we delve deeper into the dynamics of AVAX, we uncover compelling insights that could shape your trading decisions.
🔍Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, AVAX witnessed a noteworthy retracement following its ascent to the $63.78 mark, experiencing a 50% pullback. However, the retracement lacked significant bearish momentum, hinting at underlying strength within the market. This suggests the potential for a bullish continuation, with a promising trigger emerging on the horizon.
📉Amid recent market volatility, AVAX found reliable support around the $33.13 level, followed by a rebound and subsequent retracement to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Despite minor fluctuations, the prevailing sentiment leans towards optimism, as sellers struggle to exert sustained downward pressure. This sets the stage for potential long positions, contingent upon buyer confirmation.
📊While current volume levels remain subdued, reflecting typical weekend trading patterns, there's a modest uptick compared to previous sessions. However, volume alone fails to decisively affirm the direction of the trend. Meanwhile, RSI presents a noteworthy signal around the 65.43 mark, indicating the potential for overextension and signaling bullish momentum if surpassed.
💡For traders eyeing short-term opportunities, consider a long entry upon breaching the $39.28 threshold, coinciding with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and offering confirmation of bullish momentum. Patience is key as volume dynamics unfold, potentially affirming buyer conviction. Additionally, monitor for a potential short entry below $33.13, particularly as the SMA99 converges with candlesticks, hinting at potential bearish momentum.
📝As we navigate the complexities of the AVAX market, it's imperative to remain vigilant, adapting your strategy in response to evolving market dynamics. The current landscape presents an array of opportunities for astute traders to capitalize on potential price movements. Stay tuned for ongoing updates and insights as we continue to dissect the intricacies of AVAX trading.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
Oscillators
Gold Market Volatility:Gold Prices Extend Significant DropYesterday, the gold market experienced significant volatility, with prices falling below $2,400 and continuing to decline below $2,300 during Tuesday's Asian trading session. This decline was triggered by escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. Market participants are betting that the ECB will cut interest rates in June, with three rate cuts expected throughout the year.
Technically, gold prices show signs of correction towards the Simple Moving Average SMA 20 around the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci level. However, gold prices are currently supported by downward trend technical indicators, with prices trading below the SMA and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in oversold territory, indicating strong downward momentum.
$KAVA may skip the 2024 Bull RunBINANCE:KAVAUSDT , 1d
After reaching failing to break it’s 2024 high around the $1.15 area, price created a lower high and broke below the 200SMA forming a lower low. This creates a bearish sentiment for KAVA.
The downward trendline aligns with the stiff resistance created by 200SMA and previous support turned resistance. This is a key level where bears will look for shorting opportunities. Keep an eye on the charts and wait for price reaction to initiate a trade.
The only indicator making a bullish case for KAVA is the bullish MACD crossover but price has to ultimately breakout of the downward trendline and 200SMA and remain above it to bring back the bullish sentiment.
As always, “anything can happen” so let the market unfold and react accordingly. #DYOR
Technical Analysis: USD/JPY Increase Price OutlookThe Japanese Yen is currently receiving support from government intervention, but differing expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), along with reduced tensions in the Middle East, have diminished JPY's role as a safe haven asset.
From a technical standpoint, indicators continue to signal an upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 60 and prices are trading above simple moving averages (SMA), indicating stability and growth potential for the Japanese Yen in the market.
DAX making progress off of Friday lowThe DAX is showing relative strength following Friday's low. The hourly chart may be running out of puff, but that will bring support levels into focus.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
BTCUSDT1. Each of the last 2 Daily bullish MACD Crosses below the Zero line lead to a GETTEX:25K increase in BTC over the following months.
2. $90K is coming sooner than you think and my guess would be August 2024 given things are now accelerating.
3. $90k will be another local top with my next best guess with the final top at $115k-$120k coming in November 2024 based on CRYPTOCAP:BTC rainbow chart.
TSLA still on the sideline NASDAQ:TSLA showing signs of a reversal on the daily chart. Momentum indicators (middle) suggest strength to the upside although volume (bottom) is weak and for this reason I will remain on the sidelines at this point in time.
PS. The volume indicator is a proprietary oscillator that combines both Chakin Money Flow and On Balance Volume Flow concepts. It is used as a trade filter.
AUDCHF 4H Analysis: Bearish DivergenceAUDCHF's recent trend exhibits bullish behavior with prices achieving higher highs above the R1 monthly pivot, suggesting strength. However, beneath the surface, signs of caution emerge.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) displays lower highs, creating a bearish divergence against the price's higher highs. This divergence hints at weakening upward momentum, urging traders to stay vigilant.
Further signaling a potential shift, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) teeters on a bearish crossover . Such a move could forecast a momentum downturn.
Additionally, an untouched monthly pivot at 0.58496 beckons, potentially drawing prices down in a correction.
Compounding the cautious outlook, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) retreats from overbought territory , aligning with indicators suggesting a cooling phase may be on the horizon.
In essence, while the bullish trend above the R1 pivot indicates strength, emerging signals from CCI, MACD, and RSI suggest a momentum shift, with a pullback to 0.58496 as a conceivable target. Traders should monitor these developments closely and adjust strategies accordingly.
SPX500 looks oversold at current levelsThe daily SPX500 looks oversold at current levels. This may cue the short-term trades to position themselves bullishly as the daily RSI normalizes.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Oasis Network (ROSE)On the above 3-day chart price action has corrected over 90% since the sell signal (not shown). Now is an excellent long trade. Why?
1) You know why.
2) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
3) Strong regular bullish divergence.
4) Price action prints a bullish engulfing candle on the golden ratio.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: don’t know
Return: 70 cents
$SPY April 21, 2024AMEX:SPY April 21, 2024
15 Minutes.
As expected the downtrend continues.
Two issues.
It is coming to the lower parallel channel in the move.
And oscillator divergence.
I expect a retrace to 498-500 levels.
As I believe once 492-490 levels broke I will have a target of 495 which is 32% retracement for the larger move 409 to 524.
409 I have taken because for the trend change for this uptrend happened from the 348 low.
And in that move for the rise 348 to 459 AMEX:SPY retraced to 409 levels. From that low it went to 524 levels.
Hence I consider the large move from 409 to 524, 480 as a number to watch.
DELL Drops?NYSE:DELL is showing weakness. It may be lagging in its sector. With Chip stocks like AMD, NVDA, and SMCI selling off over the past weeks it comes as no surprise that other related names in the sector are showing the same signs.
DELL is showing Bearish Divergence on a weekly chart. Divergences can show weakness or strength building in the market. When price makes new highs but oscillators like RSI (Relative Strength Index) or MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) make lower highs, weakness is presenting itself.
This has moved some already but definitely has more room to go given the current market sentiment. Easy ride to $100 maybe lower, choose your contracts carefully. Observe the Volume and Open Interest on the option chain...Hint: Check June's and compare it to the rest.
Join me.
Why I Expect 200 Dollar USOIL Wti CrudeUsing momentum indicators (keltner channel) I've been watching this weekly rally and recent correction. Using the close, and the last wave, oil price could climb to astronomical levels in USD. There is a momentum shift of the correction, and the bull market for oil appears to be underway. At this pace, 200 by june is not far fetched. I expect the Dollar to lose significant strength, and costly measures enforced as an abysmal attempt to stifle inflation. Soon interest payments will become the largest expense if it hasn't already. There is much reason to worry about world markets right about now.
Larger Pattern Breakout
and here is the shift up close on the weekly:
This is not financial advice.
Avalanche (AVAX) to $380Price action has corrected 80% since the sell signal last November as is shown on the above 2-day chart. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) The ‘incredible buy’ signal.
2) Both price action and RSI resistance have broken out (1-day chart below)
3) Regular bullish divergence (1-day chart below).
4) Both points 2 and 3 are also true for the BTC pair (below).
5) The target is a measured Fibonacci move to the 1.618 as it was with the last cycle.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Good luck!
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <6% of portfolio
Duration: 1 - 3 months
Return: 15x
1-day chart
1-day BTC pair