Understanding Williams %R In TradingThe Williams %R is a fast, sensitive momentum oscillator ideal for short-term trading strategies. It provides early signals of overbought and oversold conditions by comparing the current close to the high-low range over a defined lookback period (typically 14 bars).
By understanding where Williams %R fits among other oscillators, traders can better utilize it within a well-rounded, context-aware strategy.
✅ 1. What Are Momentum Indicators?
Momentum indicators are technical analysis tools used to measure the speed and strength of a price movement over time. Rather than focusing on absolute price direction, momentum indicators assess how quickly prices are changing and help traders identify potential turning points, continuation patterns, or overbought/oversold conditions.
They are particularly useful in sideways or ranging markets, where momentum shifts often precede breakouts or reversals.
Key characteristics of momentum indicators:
Often bounded within fixed ranges (e.g., 0–100 or -100 to 0)
Typically leading indicators, aiming to provide early entry/exit signals
Help spot divergence between price and momentum — a common sign of weakening trends
✅ 2. Understanding the Williams %R Indicator
≫ The Origin: Developed by Larry Williams
The Williams %R indicator was developed by Larry Williams, a renowned trader and author, in the late 1970s. Williams introduced this tool to identify potential market turning points by measuring a security’s momentum relative to its recent high-low range.
Originally intended for short-term futures trading, the indicator has since become a staple for both day traders and swing traders across various markets, including stocks, forex, and crypto.
Larry Williams famously used this indicator in his trading system when he won the 1987 World Cup Trading Championship, turning $10,000 into over $1 million in a single year—demonstrating its real-world impact when used effectively.
≫ Formula Breakdown
The Williams %R formula is as follows:
Williams %R= = (HighestHigh − Close) / (HighestHigh - LowerLow) × −100
Highest High = The highest price over the lookback period (typically 14 periods)
Lowest Low = The lowest price over the same lookback period
Close = The current closing price
This formula normalizes the current price within its recent trading range and expresses it as a negative percentage between 0 and -100.
Example:
If price is at the highest point in the range → %R = 0 (overbought)
If price is at the lowest point in the range → %R = -100 (oversold)
This inverted scale (compared to RSI) helps traders see how close the current price is to the top or bottom of the recent range, providing clues about potential reversal zones.
Williams %R in Pinescript:
//@version=5
indicator("Custom Williams %R", overlay=false)
length = input.int(14, title="Period")
highestHigh = ta.highest(high, length)
lowestLow = ta.lowest(low, length)
williamsR = (highestHigh - close) / (highestHigh - lowestLow) \* -100
plot(williamsR, title="%R", color=color.purple)
hline(-20, "Overbought", color=color.red)
hline(-80, "Oversold", color=color.green)
≫ Key Settings: 14-Period Default and Customizations
The default setting for Williams %R is 14 periods, which Larry Williams originally recommended. However, this lookback period can be customized based on your trading style and timeframe.
Here’s how different settings can be applied:
❖ Intraday Trading (5-minute to 15-minute charts):
Use a 9 to 14-period setting for faster, more responsive signals.
Ideal for scalpers or short-term traders seeking quick entries and exits.
❖ Swing Trading (1-hour to Daily charts):
Stick with the standard 14 to 21-period range.
Balances sensitivity and reliability; helps capture short- to mid-term reversals.
❖ Position/Long-Term Trading (Weekly charts or higher):
Use 21-period or longer to smooth out signals and reduce noise.
Best for spotting high-conviction turning points with less frequent trades.
🔁 Customization Tip:
You can also use multiple %R settings (e.g., 14 and 50) together to analyze short-term momentum inside longer-term trend cycles, adding depth and context to your strategy.
≫ Interpretation: Overbought and Oversold Conditions
The Williams %R scale ranges from 0 to -100 and is interpreted as follows:
❖ Overbought: %R above -20
Indicates that price is near the top of its recent range
Suggests potential for a pullback or reversal downward
❖ Oversold: %R below -80
Indicates price is near the bottom of its recent range
Suggests potential for a bounce or reversal upward
⚠️ Important: Overbought does not mean “time to sell” and oversold does not mean “time to buy.” These are conditions, not signals. Use them with confirmation tools like support/resistance zones, candlestick patterns, volume analysis, divergences and more.
✅ 3. Using Williams %R Effectively
≫ Entry Signals
Williams %R can be used to time entries based on shifts in momentum, especially around key overbought and oversold zones.
❖ Overbought/Oversold Reversals
This is the most common use of Williams %R - identifying turning points when price reaches extreme levels in its recent range:
Overbought Zone (above -20):
Signals potential bearish reversal
Look for confluence with resistance levels or bearish candlestick patterns
Confirmation often comes as %R drops back below -20
Oversold Zone (below -80):
Indicates a possible bullish reversal
Stronger when aligned with support or demand zones
Confirmation often comes when %R climbs back above -80
⚠️ Note: These are signals of potential exhaustion, not guaranteed reversals. Always pair with price action context or volume.
❖ Pullback Continuations
Williams %R can also support trend-following strategies by identifying momentum retracements within an ongoing trend:
In an uptrend, wait for Williams %R to dip below -80 (short-term oversold) and then re-enter above -80 as the trend resumes
In a downtrend, look for a rally where %R rises above -20 (short-term overbought), then re-enters below -20 to confirm trend continuation
This technique helps you buy the dip or sell the rally with better timing and risk control.
≫ Exit Signals
Williams %R can also guide exit timing by showing when momentum is weakening, especially as price moves away from extremes.
❖ Returning to Neutral Zones
When Williams %R moves back toward the -50 midpoint, it can signal that the current move is losing steam.
In a long position, if %R returns from oversold to above -50 but then flattens or dips again, it may be time to take profit
In a short position, if %R rises from overbought back below -50, it suggests selling pressure is decreasing
Exiting before full reversals can help you lock in gains while reducing risk exposure.
❖ Crossovers at Extremes
Some traders look for quick crossovers back through key thresholds (-80 and -20) as exit or reversal alerts:
If %R drops from above -20 back below it, the overbought condition may be ending
If %R rises from below -80 back above it, the oversold condition may be ending
These sharp shifts often precede momentum flips, making them useful for both exit timing and new trade setups in the opposite direction.
❖ False Signal Filtering Techniques
Williams %R can produce false signals, especially in trending or volatile markets. To improve signal quality, consider these filters:
Use with Trend Filters:
Apply moving averages (e.g., 50- or 200-period MA) to define trend direction and avoid counter-trend trades
Only trade overbought signals in a downtrend and oversold signals in an uptrend
Add Price Action Confirmation: Look for candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bars) or support/resistance reactions before acting on %R signals
Volume Analysis: Confirm signals with volume spikes or divergences to validate strength or weakness in a move
Multiple Timeframe Confluence: Use Williams %R on a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H or daily) to establish the broader context, then align trades on a lower timeframe
Avoid during High Volatility Events: News releases and earnings reports can create erratic spikes that cause misleading %R readings
❖ Best Market Conditions: Ranging vs Trending Markets
Williams %R performs best under specific market conditions. Understanding when to use it—and when to avoid it—is key to success.
Ranging Markets: Ideal Conditions
Williams %R excels in sideways or consolidating markets
In ranges, price frequently oscillates between support and resistance, making overbought/oversold signals highly effective
Reversals from the -20 or -80 zones often align with the top and bottom of a trading range
Trending Markets: Use With Caution
During strong trends, Williams %R can stay in the overbought or oversold zone for extended periods
This makes reversal signals less reliable and more prone to false exits
In trending conditions, it’s better to:
Use Williams %R for pullback entries
Combine it with a trend filter to stay on the dominant side of momentum
✅ 4. Optimizing the Period Setting (5, 9, 14, 21, etc.)
The length of the lookback period in Williams %R significantly affects signal behavior:
Shorter periods (5, 9):
Produce faster, more frequent signals
Best for scalping and intraday trading
More sensitive but can result in higher noise and false signals
Default period (14):
Balanced responsiveness
Suitable for swing trading and multi-hour charting
Longer periods (21+):
Generate fewer but more stable signals
Best for position trading or slower-moving markets
Reduced noise but may lag in volatile conditions
🔍 To optimize:
Test various period values under consistent rules (e.g., entry/exit and risk management stay the same)
Compare outcomes across different market environments (trending, ranging, volatile)
✅ 4. Key Takeaways
Williams %R is a momentum oscillator that measures the close relative to the recent high-low range on a scale from 0 to -100.
It was developed by Larry Williams to help identify short-term overbought and oversold market conditions.
A reading above -20 suggests overbought conditions, while a reading below -80 indicates oversold conditions.
The default 14-period setting balances signal responsiveness and stability for most traders.
Shorter periods generate faster signals with more noise, while longer periods produce smoother signals with more lag.
Williams %R works best in ranging or sideways markets rather than strongly trending environments.
Traders can use %R for reversal signals or to confirm pullbacks within a broader trend.
Filtering signals with price action, support/resistance, or volume improves accuracy.
The indicator is not meant to be used in isolation and requires confirmation before acting on signals.
Backtesting across different timeframes and period settings is essential for identifying optimal usage.
Performance metrics such as win rate, R:R ratio, and drawdown help evaluate the indicator’s reliability.
Williams %R is easy to code and automate in platforms like TradingView using Pine Script.
The indicator adds value when used as part of a broader, disciplined trading system.
Williams %R is a simple yet deeply insightful momentum oscillator. While often overlooked in favor of more complex indicators, it provides a unique lens into market sentiment and price extremes. Its greatest strength lies in its clarity — helping traders time entries and exits with greater confidence when paired with context.
Oscillators
XAUUSD M15 Analysis – Wave 3 in Progress with Momentum Sell Conf🔍 Technical Breakdown:
The M15 chart has completed a 5-wave impulsive decline, followed by a clear ABC corrective structure.
Price has now broken below the (B) wave low, suggesting the beginning of Wave 3 to the downside.
A bearish sell zone is identified between 3208 – 3215, which aligns with previous structure and Fibonacci retracement levels.
The Awesome Oscillator (AO) has printed a fresh red histogram bar, confirming a momentum sell signal—perfect timing for Wave 3 initiation.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Sell Limit Zone: 3208 – 3215 (shaded red area)
Stop Loss: Just above Wave (C) high or around 3218
Take Profit Zone: Targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (~3180 area)
📌 Confluence Factors:
Elliott Wave structure supports the Wave 3 sell.
AO confirms bearish momentum returning after correction.
Strong rejection expected from previous structure zone (supply area).
⚠️ Risk Note:
Wave 3 often brings strong movement—stay disciplined with stop placement and position sizing.
💬 This setup is clean and supported by momentum tools—wait for a pullback into the zone and let price action confirm before entering.
BITCOIN MIGHT SEE $160KWe have a vey similar movement for bitcoin compare to few months ago
1) Pass the 20MA on weekly
2) Bullish cross on MACD
3) Cross and stay above the weekly resistance ( yellow trendline )
4) +60% upside movement
Im not saying 60% raise is coming to bitcoin ( may be come ), but at least $134k - $140k is very likely IMO
GBP/USD: Bull Flag Watch as Momentum Builds for Topside BreakGBP/USD traders should be on alert for a potential topside break, with price action resembling a bull flag formation.
Downtrend resistance comes in near 1.3340 today—a key level to watch for those considering bullish setups.
A break above that trendline would shift focus to the April 29 high at 1.3444. If cleared, there's not much standing in the way until 1.3644.
Momentum signals are also starting to turn more constructive, with the 14-day RSI breaking its recent downtrend and MACD curling back towards the signal line above zero. Taken together, the setup favours buying dips and trading in line with any upside break.
Good luck!
DS
EURJPY H1 Analysis – Wave 4 Retracement in Play🕐 Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 17 May 2025
📌 Pair: EURJPY
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook:
• Price is in a clear bearish trend, respecting lower highs and lower lows.
• Awesome Oscillator (AO) shows bearish convergence — momentum is weakening but still bearish overall.
• Price retraced to the 2.618–2.786 extension zone (162.902–162.982), a common wave 4 reaction level.
• This zone may act as a rejection area, setting up for the start of wave 5.
⸻
🔧 Elliott Wave Structure:
• ✅ Wave 1–3: Completed with strong bearish momentum.
• 🟡 Wave 4: Likely completed at 162.982 or may slightly extend, but momentum is fading.
• 🔴 Wave 5: Expected next move — continuation to the downside.
⸻
📍 Key Levels:
• 🔺 Wave 4 Resistance Zone: 162.902–162.982
• 🔻 Potential Wave 5 Target:
• 🎯 TP1: 162.000
• 🎯 TP2: 161.835 (Fib 4.236 extension)
• 🎯 TP3 (Extension): 161.50 or lower if selling accelerates
⸻
🧠 Strategy:
1. Monitor price action at 162.982 — if rejected, likely wave 4 completed.
2. Look for bearish engulfing / momentum candles for entry signal.
3. Short Setup Idea:
• Entry: Below 162.88–162.90 after confirmation
• SL: Above wave 4 high (163.12 or tighter at 163.00)
• TP: 100+ pip potential — trailing to lock profit
⸻
✅ Summary:
• AO confirms bearish convergence → weak momentum
• Price hit Fib confluence zone → wave 4 likely done
• Wave 5 could give 100+ pips to the downside
• Wait for confirmation, then short the breakdown
USDJPY to continue uptrendUSDJPY is forming has broken out of the downward channel and formed a new upward channel/trend. Expect a break of the trendline around 145.850 and continue upward from area
of support to resistance zone/are of interest at 150.734. This resistance area extends all the way back to 10/2023 and appears quite strong. The 1h chart is also showing a potential crossover of the RSI/RSI EMA. The ADX is falling, the DMI is divergent. The MACD is divergent and downward momentum is slowing.
15/5/2025 0226 PDT
EUR/USD – Bullish Wave 3 in Play | AO Convergence + Fib Target PPair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Date: May 15, 2025
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
This analysis focuses on a clean impulsive Elliott Wave structure, Fibonacci projections, and Awesome Oscillator (AO) confirmation to support a bullish continuation.
🔍 Wave Count:
Wave 1: Clear impulsive push upwards, breaking previous market structure.
Wave 2: Completed corrective pullback into the key support zone, respecting the golden ratio levels.
Wave 3: Initiated after a dominant break above the minor structure and trendline resistance, confirming bullish momentum.
⚙️ AO (Awesome Oscillator) Confirmation:
Strong AO divergence between the Wave 1 and Wave 2 low confirms the bullish structure.
Within the early stage of Wave 3, the AO shows a convergence pattern forming between subwaves 1, 2, and 3 — indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
AO flipped green again after a minor pullback, signaling bullish continuation potential.
🎯 Fibonacci Extensions:
TP1 Zone: 1.618 – 1.88 Fibonacci extension range → 1.1216 – 1.1226
(High probability for Wave 3 termination)
TP2 Zone: 2.618 – 2.88 Fibonacci extension range → 1.1241 – 1.1258
(Extended target if bullish momentum accelerates)
Further projections (Wave 5 estimate):
4.236 – 4.618 → 1.1276 – 1.1288
🧱 Key Structural Zone:
1.11813 is the most critical support-turned-resistance (SNR) level — price broke above this level, retested, and bounced.
The green highlighted box marks the ideal buy zone, aligned with:
Dominant break confirmation
Fibonacci confluence
Bullish AO setup
✅ Trade Plan:
Entry: On retest or bounce from the green zone
Stop Loss: Below 1.11800 or below Wave 2 low (to protect structure)
Take Profit 1: 1.1216 – 1.1226
Take Profit 2: 1.1241 – 1.1258
Optional TP3 (extended): 1.1276 – 1.1288 (Wave 5 projection)
🧭 Summary:
This setup combines Elliott Wave theory, Fibonacci projections, and AO convergence to provide a highly probable bullish continuation scenario. Ideal for breakout traders and structure-based wave analysts.
📌 “Confluence is key. Let structure, momentum, and fibs guide the trade.”
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #Wave3 #AOIndicator #ForexAnalysis #Fibonacci #PriceAction #FXTrading #StructureBreak #TechnicalAnalysis
EUR/AUD: Resistance Test Coincides with Rising Risk AversionRiskier asset classes are starting to wobble following the sharp rebound from April’s lows. With signs the correlation between U.S. bonds and the dollar is strengthening again, it suggests the ‘sell America’ trade may be creeping back into favour—potentially an environment where the euro outperforms higher beta currencies.
With EUR/AUD testing horizontal resistance, it creates a setup that may suit the current environment. If it can hold above 1.7420 heading into the European open, you could look to establish longs above the level with a stop beneath for protection. The 50-day moving average and resistance at 1.7600 screen as potential targets. Momentum indicators have shifted bearish, so the setup is marginally going against the grain.
If EUR/AUD is unable to hold 1.7420, better setups may be found elsewhere.
Good luck!
DS
EUR/USD – Wave 3 in Play After Dominant Break | Elliott Wave + A📌 Overview:
EUR/USD is showing a strong bullish continuation setup following a clean Wave 1-2 formation, confirmed by both structure and momentum. A dominant trendline break, retest at support, and bullish signals from the Awesome Oscillator (AO) reinforce this high-probability buy scenario.
🧠 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave 1: Strong impulsive move up with solid structure.
Wave 2: Healthy correction into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone.
Wave 3: Now initiating, expected to be the strongest leg.
🔍 Confluence Factors:
✅ Dominant Break: Price broke a descending trendline from Wave 1’s high, then retested it successfully at the green zone.
✅ 1.11813 marked as key SNR (Support & Resistance) — price is holding above it post-break.
✅ Green highlighted area = ideal buying zone aligned with:
Demand zone
Fibonacci golden zone
Structure support
✅ Awesome Oscillator (AO):
Bullish divergence between Wave 1 and Wave 2
AO histogram flipped back green = early momentum confirmation
💼 Trade Plan:
Buy Entry: Green zone (post-dominant break + SNR support)
Stop Loss: Below green zone / invalidation of structure
Take Profit 1: 1.618 – 1.88 Fib extension → 1.1216 – 1.1226
Take Profit 2: 2.618 – 2.88 Fib extension → 1.1241 – 1.1258
🎯 Strategy Notes:
Take partial profits at TP1 to reduce risk.
Let the remainder of the position run to TP2 for potential extended Wave 3.
Monitor AO and candle behavior near TP1 — possible Wave 4 may form afterward.
📈 Layered confirmation = high confidence. Trade the confluence, not the emotion.
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #Wave3 #AO #ForexStrategy #Fibonacci #StructureBreak #SupportResistance #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC bull cycle comes to an end.We can see it clearly on the chart. BTC has ended the 5 waves pattern in Elliot wave count. you can see it on the chart, you can see it on the MACD & RSI.
What we are seeing now is that because of Greed & Hype no one is selling bitcoin. the up-trend we are seeing now is the result of no sellers and Hype Buyers. This is a bull trap. We can see the divergence clear as day. Stay alert and dont let them catch you this time.
XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) - Elliott Wave Count & Bullish 🌟 XAUUSD (GOLD/USD) ANALYSIS: ELLIOTT WAVE + BULLISH AO DIVERGENCE 🌟
🌊 ELLIOTT WAVE STRUCTURE
• 🐻 Wave (1): Sharp decline from 3,440.00 → 3,400.00
• ⚖️ Wave (2): Shallow retracement to 3,440.00 (classic Wave 2 correction)
• 📉 Wave (3): Extended drop to 3,350.00 (strongest bearish wave)
• ➰ Wave (4): Sideways consolidation near 3,400.00 (Fibonacci-aligned)
• 🎯 Wave (5): Final leg down to 3,184.58 (completes 5-wave impulse)
🔄 CURRENT PHASE: Potential ABC correction forming between 3,184.58 and 3,140.00, signaling reversal!
⸻
📈 BULLISH AO DIVERGENCE
• 🔽 Price Action: Wave 5 made a LOWER LOW (3,184.58 vs. Wave 3’s 3,350.00)
• 📊 AO Momentum: Awesome Oscillator formed a HIGHER LOW (-60.00 vs. -100.00)
• 💡 Interpretation: Bearish exhaustion → Reversal ahead!
⸻
🎯 KEY LEVELS & STRATEGY
• 🛡️ Support: 3,140.00 - 3,112.50 (must hold for bulls)
• 🚀 Resistance: 3,200.00 (psych level) → 3,230.00 - 3,270.00
• ✅ Entry Trigger: Close above 3,200.00 🚨 or bullish candlestick (e.g., hammer 🕯️)
• 🎯 Targets: 3,270.00 (initial) → 3,350.00 (secondary)
• ⚠️ Stop Loss: Below 3,112.50 (risk management!)
⸻
📜 CONCLUSION
• 🐂 Bullish Case: 5-wave completion + AO divergence → Reversal likely above 3,200.00
• 🚫 Invalidation: Drop below 3,112.50 kills the setup
⸻
💬 CTA: “LIKE if you spot the divergence! 🚀 Share your thoughts below ⬇️”
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
⸻
🏷️ TAGS: #XAUUSD #GOLD #ELLIOTTWAVE #AO #DIVERGENCE
EWTSU XAUUSD H4 minute wave ((4)) update
Elliott Wave Trading Set Up XAUUSD
minute wave ((4)) ending in a double zigzag (w)(x)(y) if 3196 area hold.
motive wave should follow in 5 waves (impulsive or leading diagonal)
levels to pass trough: 3230 area first then 3276 area
invalidation: wave count must be update if price break down 3175 low first and then 3165
(minute wave ((1)) )
$SPY May 14, 2025AMEX:SPY May 14, 2025
15 Minutes.
AMEX:SPY crossed 586 and made a high 589 levels.
Oscillator divergence.
Too far away from moving averages in 15 minutes.
So, a pull bac to 580 is on cards.
We have seen this setup many times.
Working in our favor.
I don't see any different this time too.
EUR/USD Stages Rapid Roundtrip1.1200 is the key level to watch for traders, with price action around it likely to provide better guidance than the barrage of conflicting macro takes doing the rounds right now. If the price remains below it, establish shorts with a stop above it for protection, and vice versa if the opposite occurs.
Even with Tuesday's snapback, the edge still leans slightly bearish after last week’s break of uptrend support. That move flagged rising downside risks, and little has changed since. RSI (14) and MACD both point to waning bullish momentum, remaining locked in downtrends that could produce firm bearish signals if they persist.
The 50-day moving average is an obvious hurdle for bears to overcome on the downside. If it were to be broken, it opens the door for a run towards support at 1.0900 and the 200-day moving average. If the price is able to push back above 1.1200 it would put resistance at 1.1276 and 1.1380 on the menu for longs.
With a quieter data calendar on Wednesday, let the price action guide you on how to best proceed.
Good luck!
DS
EWTSU EURUSD H4 minute wave ((4)) update
Elliott Wave Trade SetUp EURUSD H4
minute wave ((4)) Looks complete -
motive wave should follow in 5 waves steady above 1.1160 area - impulsive or leading triangle
To confirm the end of wave 4 the price must break the 1.13801 level upwards.
invalidation : price cant hold 1.1160 area and break below 1.1125
Its A Prime Set Up Guys, May 13th May 13th there will be a press conference with the CEO I think.
All techinals show a sharp fall will occur soon and I bet its the 13th.
Reached the top of the trend line and we are very over extended. Ying and a yang, time for the yang.
See my price path for a rough guess.
USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🌀 USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🚀
Chart Analysis – May 13, 2025
I'm tracking a well-structured 5-wave impulse on USD/CHF using Elliott Wave Theory, supported by Fibonacci confluence, Awesome Oscillator (AO) momentum shifts, and convergence-divergence signals.
🔹 Elliott Wave Count
We're currently in the corrective phase of Wave (4) after a strong Wave (3) extension. Here's the breakdown:
✅ Wave (1), (2), and (3) are clearly in place, with (3) showing healthy extension.
🔁 Wave (4) is pulling back and is now testing key support.
🔜 Anticipating a bullish Wave (5) continuation.
🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels & Buy Zone (Zone 1)
Wave (4) is approaching a high-probability reversal zone:
Zone 1 Buy Area: 0.8362 – 0.8341, marked by:
1.618–1.786 Fibonacci extension
Confluence with previous breakout structure (resistance turned support)
Classic Elliott correction depth for Wave (4)
This zone provides a strong technical base for a potential bounce into Wave (5).
🔹 Awesome Oscillator (AO) + Convergence/Divergence
AO confirms the wave count momentum:
Strong green bars during Wave (3)
Bearish red bars during Wave (4) correction
Potential bullish convergence forming:
Price is making lower lows
AO is showing higher lows – this is bullish divergence, a classic pre-Wave (5) signal
This momentum shift suggests buyers are returning, even as price dips into support — a strong signal for trend continuation.
🎯 Bias, Target & Invalidation
Trade Bias: Bullish
Buy Zone: 0.8362–0.8341 (Zone 1)
Wave (5) Target: 0.8470 – 0.8500 (based on Wave (1)-(3) projection and previous high)
Invalidation: Break and close below 0.8341 suggests deeper corrective structure or invalid wave count
✅ Summary
This setup combines:
Elliott Wave 5-impulse structure
Fibonacci confluence at key buy zone
Bullish divergence on AO supporting Wave (5) potential
Strong risk-to-reward opportunity from Zone 1
📉 Waiting for confirmation via bullish price action or stronger AO green bars before committing. Let me know your view or alternate wave counts!
#elliottwave #usdchf #wave5setup #fibonacci #awesomeoscillator #divergence #priceaction #forexanalysis #tradingview
TRBUSDT | MAJOR RESISTANCE OF THE LAST 100 DAYS🚀 TRBUSDT is currently testing a MAJOR resistance zone! 🚧🔥
After breaking out of a 134-day downtrend line 📉, and reclaiming the lowest high 🔄, TRB has now entered a critical 100-day resistance area 🧱.
📍 This zone has acted as a strong supply level in the past ⛔ — a successful breakout ✅ could open the path toward the previous major high around $95 🎯.
📈 RSI is holding above 65, indicating strong bullish momentum 💪🐂 — but the breakout still needs to be confirmed with volume 🔊 for continuation.
If rejected 🚫, a pullback to the $32–$29 support zone is likely 🛡️.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🔴 Resistance: $37.9 – $39.5 (MAJOR 100-DAY RESISTANCE)
🟢 Support: $32.1 and $29.0
🧠 Stay alert and manage risk wisely! 🛑
INR has made a major top against USDFall of INR against the USD began in early 1970s, or perhaps late 1960s--we don't know for sure for lack of trading data. Since then, it has depreciated against the USD in crystal-clear 5 legs, or waves according to Elliott Wave Theory (EWT). To validate EWT, there occurred a gigantic gap of 9.23% in July 1991 where third wave is supposed to be--a hallmark of third waves. Furthermore, there's even a divergence between Price and Elliott Wave Oscillator (5/35 MACD) on the Monthly chart--typical of fifth waves.
So, what's next then? Considering the time frame of the entire price move till date, I would say that a bear wave of Supercycle degree has just ended and we are looking at a 10-15 year advance in Indian Rupee against the US Dollar . In support of my forecast, INR has just posted a beautiful, unambiguous 5-wave advance in the shape of an expanding diagonal--hallmark of first waves--from 87.972 to 83.7625.
If I'm right, price should retreat a bit toward the classic 61.8% level at 86.3396, and then fall hard--and I mean very hard, with a gap--toward the levels below 80, followed by another pause and a small retreat, and another fall, thereby completing a set of 5 distinct waves . Should price follow the path of my forecast to that point, we would have a definite confirmation on hand that a Supercycle bear wave has indeed ended.
The final target of this Supercycle bull wave of INR vs. USD? It's too early and too far ahead to hazard a guess, but as per EWT principles, it should be somewhere close to 44. Yes. 1$ = ₹44. I hope I live to see that day. It's going to take a while, till 2040 perhaps, but we'll get there alright.
Ethereum Is Quietly Preparing for a Massive Move !Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to show you one of the coolest charts I’ve ever seen in my life — seriously!
These kinds of patterns, especially on the monthly time frame, take multiple years to form, and that’s exactly why they are extremely valid. When a structure develops on higher time frames, we can rely on it more confidently and make smarter decisions 📊
As you can see on the chart, ETH price is moving inside a very clear ascending channel, and its reactions to the channel lines are simply beautiful. Let’s take a closer look:
In addition to the top and bottom of the channel, we also have a “make or break” level, shown by the blue dotted line (which is the middle line of the channel).
Price reactions to this line throughout different time periods have been amazing. And here's the more interesting part:
👉 Price is currently above the middle line, and on its way up, it’s approaching one of the most critical resistance levels — the orange descending trendline.
If we zoom out, we’ll see that ETH is actually squeezed between this descending resistance and the ascending channel's middle line, forming a beautiful triangle 🔺
If ETH can break above this triangle, we could see a massive surge, possibly taking price all the way up to the top of the channel, which in my opinion is somewhere around $15,000 🚀
Now let’s talk about RSI:
If you take a closer look at the RSI below the chart, you’ll notice a repetitive pattern.
Each time ETH enters a major bull run or makes a new all-time high, RSI touches the upper resistance in the overbought zone.
We’re still in the early stage of this cycle — and both technically and indicator-wise, there seems to be plenty of room to grow.
Hope you enjoy this idea — I’ll be happy to answer your questions in the comments below 👇
And as always, remember our golden rule:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Netflix is going to fall sharply soonNetflix is in the huge 5th wave extension. I expect it to complete wave (v) of 5 very soon, probably within the next week.
RSI divergence on 3-days, weekly frames is quite visible and supports the upcoming trend reversal.
When wave 5 is extended, retracement typically goes to the bottom of wave (ii) of this 5th wave. This would mean 1180-1195 USD to end the wave 5. Also, at this price wave 5 will be 2.168 times bigger than waves 1 and 3 together.