Oscillators
End of the Ride for Take Two Interactive. TTWOLooks like an end to an Elliott impulse, with the standard 2-4 line and momentum divergence intact. Posing an entry as MIDAS line along with BB%PCT were crossed and crossed the zero line respectively. VZO and Stoch RSI are unreliable because they do not reflect price action here, probably due to all that recent barbwire trading.
$BTC Bearish Divergence on the Weekly !? NO!!!Someone on Twitter sent me a chart showing Bearish Divergence on the Weekly for BTC and asked me to analyze it.
(hopefully this link shows the chart)
pbs.twimg.com
My response is below.
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This is a really good question!
Caught me off guard for a second and I had to really analyze it.
That chart assumes we’re at the end of the cycle, so its showing bearish divergence prematurely in Mar ’25.
But the fractal it’s being compared to shows divergence with the peak in Nov ’21.
Here’s the correct way to draw the trends.
If you draw from the bear market low to current date, you see we are just getting warmed up.
This cycle is mimicking 2017 as I’ve mentioned a lot over the past year.
I marked where we are so you can see the Feb - Mar ’21 dip in RSI.
Imagine tapping out right before the moonshot!
It’s easy to get caught off guard with that chart, as the fractals from ’21 and ’25 on the RSI do look strikingly familiar, but notice how the right shoulder on the RSI falls in Nov 21’ , but the right shoulder on the RSI in Dec ’24 is going higher, pointing to the RSI following the ’17 uptrend.
I wonder if the person who made that chart actually thought that was the correct way to analyze the chart, or if that’s just a troll bear-posting.
I could see someone like CredibleCrypto or an XRP-maxi posting that.
Russel 2000 Compared to General MarketTVC:RUT has continued to sell off since my last couple posts and I believe we could see a huge market correction this year if price doesn't look to stop selling.
The next play on RUT I would like to see price pullback to the last breakout zone ($2,200) to confirm a continuation in trend
This play also looks very familiar to the 2022 selloff with equal highs to our current price structure. Seeing that AMEX:SPY is at a higher high tells me there is market-wide divergence and a topping pattern could be in play.
Now when we add CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $OTHER to the mix we can see bitcoin actually tops out first while Alts and SPX look to make one more leg up before crashing out.
The Trend Reader at the lower tab has topped out and has a bearish crossing in the overbought zone indicating we can see a long term play to the downside.
There's A Setup For A BounceFor fun, no idea what I'm doing.
Same as all the last times really, just see how it goes tomorrow morning, right now futures are flat but it's early. Going off the futures chart I think it'll meet my requirements short of a huge gap up.
Depending on what happens tonight going into tomorrow it's setting up for a bounce as crazy as that looks and sounds (again). Yeah it's been a little bad recently, and every day who knows what is done or said that can move markets either way, and we are not THAT far off from ATH, but the bounce setup is there, and potentially will actually follow through for the first time since the end of October 2023.
The bottom graph has a line that suggests oversold. In my mind it is set up if the line remains below the dotted line Mar 7. If it goes up above then maybe toss the idea. I literally only post when this is set up.
Maybe down early in the first part of the day due to something like jobs, then reverse up and hard for the next few days?
From the low of Mar 7 -
I usually say
5% chance of ~10% by Mar 12 (top yellow circle)
40% chance of +5.5% by Mar 12 (lower yellow circle)
60% chance of +5.5% by Mar 21 (right yellow circle)
But I really really really don't think we will get +10% with how things are set up that's ATHs, but just saying it does happen sometimes (not when it's like this though). So much so that I didn't even put it on the chart this time around.
Green eclipse is things going according to the idea, above is a bonus, below is a fail. If it does bounce, no idea how long it'll last.
You might be asking 40%? 60%? so you're flipping a coin? could go up, could go down? Well it's 40-60% chance of +5.5%, nothing is guaranteed and that's why you have responsible stops in place.
$COIN - pocket full of coins or out of coins?CAPITALCOM:COIN has dropped from $349 to currently $218 over the last three days, but seems to maybe have settled at the support in this area. Working on a bounce up from support, and MACD looks to maybe cross up and RSI has crossed up. Might be time to consider a long, my target is $300. The three candles since the bounce have been long-tailed, indicating buying interest. Of course, considering CAPITALCOM:COIN one must also look at CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD as they tend to move in tandem.
WTI crude oil Wave Analysis – 7 March 2025
- WTI reversed from the multi-month support level 64.90
- Likely to rise to resistance level 68.60
WTI crude oil recently reversed sharply from the powerful multi-month support level 64.90, which stopped the previous sharp downtrend at the start of September.
The upward reversal from the support level 64.90 will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star Doji.
Given the strength of the support level 64.90 and the oversold daily Stochastic, WTI crude oil can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 68.60.
Pivoting Automatic Data Processing. ADPStrong bearish candle starts the picture painting. MIDAS cross follows, along with divergent RSX now out of OBOS territory. Would you look at that long combo on BB%PCT, now flipping to bearish. Interestingly, VZO and Ehlers Stoch RSI have been chronically divergent along the fifth wave, which is often seen. Fifth wave has often been attributed to traders big and small pushing the price beyond sustainable levels, which gets high lighted by divergences being throw off all over the place.
The key is whether it can be supported and rise at 89294.25
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
After the volatility period, it shows an upward trend above the HA-Low indicator (89294.25) on the 1D chart.
The key is whether it can be supported near 89294.25 and break through the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts.
If the upward breakout is successful, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise to around 94742.35.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, I think that the area around 94742.35 is likely to act as resistance.
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If it falls below 89294.25, it is likely to eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
Accordingly, the maximum decline is expected to be around 73499.86.
At this time, it is expected that the trend will be determined again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
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In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and maintain its value.
However, considering the currently formed support and resistance points, I think that it is highly likely to turn into an uptrend if it rises to around 94742.35 and shows support.
Therefore, the section where we can proceed with the trade is
1st: 89294.25
2nd: 94742.35
I think it is possible when we see the support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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In order for the uptrend to continue, it must rise above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore,
1st: 97226.92
2nd: 101947.24
It must break through the 1st and 2nd sections above.
If not, the above section will act as resistance.
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As I mentioned earlier, the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought section.
Therefore, I think it would be good to check whether it can be used as a trading reference indicator in the future by looking into how to resolve this.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Could Cardano Bulls "Raise The Flag" To $2??COINBASE:ADAUSD has some very interesting Price Action happening with the decline starting from beginning of December 2024 forming what looks to be a Descending Channel with the potential to become a Bull Flag!
With a Bull Flag being a Continuation Pattern, we can expect a higher probability of a Bullish Break to this Channel to continue in the trend it was following prior to falling into this Consolidation Period.
Last week we saw a huge Bullish Candle form and Break the Channel after testing the March 2024 Highs, the 200 EMA @ .7719, along with the Linear Regression or "True Trendline" of the Descending Channel.
Other indicators suggest Bullishness as well with the RSI staying above 50 in Bullish Territory and we can see a large amount of Volume entering this Weekly Candle with 2 days and 19 hours left until Close at the time of publishing.
*If Cardano can continue to find Support and is able to make a Valid Bullish Break of this Channel, based off the "Flagpole" or Rally, prior to price falling into Consolidation, we can expect a potential 120% gain from the Break, potentially sending price up to test the overhead Resistance Zone in the ( $1.85 - $2.15 ) Range!
3/7 - The White House will be holding the very first U.S. Crypto Summit to make plans to start bringing cryptocurrency into a U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve
www.tradingview.com
$SPY March 7, 2025AMEX:SPY March 7, 2025
Time frame monthly analysis.
Monthly.
The current move started from Covid low.
So, for the move 218.26 to 613.3 holding 520 is important now as it represents 23.6% retracement.
And for the extension 218.26 to 480 to 318 we have completed 100% move 614 levels. for the rise 218 to 480.
Hence, we are having some resistance.
Also 520 is 21-month average and in important.
Weekly.
Starting from low 348 if we connect 409 low taking top channel as 609 and draw a channel, we see AMEX:SPY in channel.
Here 560-565 is important to hold being 50 week average and mid channel line.
I expect pull back as oscillator is losing strength and we have red volume bars above average last 3 weeks.
Daily.
Too many above average sell volumes.
My stochastic false bar indicator became red.
So, any rise is only sold on rise until I get a green false bar.
My Eliott oscillator is red.
Price touching 200 averages last 3 days.
A steep fall from 613 to 570.
So, if we take the last rise from 510.27 to 613.23 38.2% correction done.
If AMEX:SPY breaks this then it is weaker.
At the moment if break 569 levels will bar close near low my target is 560 levels. which is 50% retracement for the rise.
And in daily if we take the rise from 540 to 613 565-568 represents 61.8% retracement for the rise.
That will be my target today.
So, for the day if 570 breaks target 565-568.
And for the last fall 613.23 to 570.12 605 need to cross for ant longs in daytime frame.
At the moment.
And any pull back to 576-578 will be a good level to short.
Not the time to go long.
GPS recalculating, HSI is finding its way back to the bull routePEPPERSTONE:HK50
D chart : it tries to returning into uptrend channel.
HSI:HSI
D Chart
We look forward to see it at 24192, 24385! Let's continue to monitor.
W Chart PEPPERSTONE:HK50
in 1H 4H chart mentioned the Index is intact and in the Bullish runway!
Look at longer term and trade zen-ly!
Cultivating and nurturing your trading mindset:
Pay attention to your trading strategy becoming a great trader but not profits from one trade.
Happy Trading Everyone.
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What About The MACD? This Is The Reason Why $120,000 Will Not...This one is even better. While Bitcoin is trading at a very strong price, near $90,000, the MACD hit the lowest ever, since 2021 in this chart. This chart only goes back to 2021 so can't really say about other times. But the daily MACD went through a full flush and this type of dynamic tends to be ultra-bullish.
It is the equivalent of seeing the daily RSI with a reading of 10 while prices trade at $90,000 within a bullish trend.
Here is Bitcoin's daily MACD (true bottom):
Once the bottom is hit, you get a rise.
There is a bullish cross already present so the histogram turned from red to green. This means that the MACD is already rising.
There is a divergence here as well. The MACD is producing lower lows while Bitcoin is producing higher lows.
Based on these signals, the MACD and RSI, it is only a matter of time before the next Cryptocurrency bullish phase that will end in a bullish run.
It is a long-time for Bitcoin to go sideways for three months and then crash. It is the exact same dynamic as in early to mid-2024. Bitcoin peaked in March 2024 and went sideways for months before crashing in early August. The crash in early August marked the bottom.
Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and went sideways just to crash in late February 2025. The crash in late February marked the bottom. From the bottom we grow.
We are seeing sideways, bullish, accumulation, consolidation before maximum growth.
We will experience slow and steady growth long-term. On average, we are going to be looking at +$800 to +$1,000 daily in price gains. So, in 30 days, Bitcoin should trade around $120,000 (more or less).
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Oil support check.Three-month chart.
This is a situation on a very shaky edge.
The price has been crawling between the Kijun and Tenkan
lines for two years, the first of which works as resistance and the second as support.
A break of the ~$64.70 level could mean an exciting rally down to the ~$40 level first.
Speaking simply about the design of such an Ishimoku cloud, I would like to say.
we need to pay attention to the elongated cloud at the bottom. And now the price may
dive under it and fall into the $ 25-20 range for a while.
After that, it will start its recovery and it will again strive upwards to the level of $ 64.70.
So far, even Trump's statements have not broken the support.
But stand to drop the price out of the cloud, you will see a plunge to the depths.
Lam Research to the Upside. LRCXWe are (probably) bouncing off the resistance. That bullish engulfing, VZO cross, Stoch cross, BB%PCT divergent, candlestick cross on vWAP and US are evidence of the bullish stance on this one. Whatever your system is, be prepared to look at the market from multiple directions. I normally use a constellation of five, but usually more, factors to develop an opinion on trend, market structure, points of entry and exits.
Correction on Starbux. SBUXFive impulse is done. Divergent RSX hump present, now out of OBOS territory. MIDAS line is crossed, as is zero line on BB%PCT. VZO has been divergent for a while now, throwing off false signals. Now, there is a VZO signal as well, but in constellation with a multitude of other factors. Ehler's indicator doesn't make a lot of sense in this picture, however.