Why I Think Gold Will Continue Buying...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
Happy Monday! I think Gold will continue to buy today and maybe this week. This is only my technical analysis so make sure to check the news and cross-reference any indicators you have on your charts.
- The candles have crossed and closed above the previous high on H1 and H4 showing bullish momentum.
- After the break of the previous high, H1 was resistance has been retested as support confirming bullish momentum.
- The stochastic is facing up, the fast line (blue) is above the orange line (slow) and 1 or both lines have crossed above the 80% line. These are bullish confirmations for me.
Additional information:
- Wait for the current candle to close for more bullish confirmation.
- I would set buy stops/TPS to 3400. I will be using previous highs as TPs and previous lows as SL.
Only enter this trade if it make sense to you.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Oscillators
Altcoins in Focus: Aptos, KAIA, and Ravencoin (RVN)Amid Bitcoin’s rapid growth and renewed interest in Ethereum, investors are increasingly turning their attention to altcoins—alternative cryptocurrencies showing strong potential for sharp gains. As of early June 2025, Aptos (APT), KAIA, and Ravencoin (RVN) stand out for their price surges and growing interest from major exchanges and analysts.
Aptos, a next-generation blockchain platform developed by former Meta (ex-Diem) engineers, has secured its place among the top 50 by market cap. In recent days, the token broke through a resistance level at $9.20, signaling a possible continuation of the uptrend. Its appeal lies in its scalability and its unique MoveVM architecture, which makes it attractive for developers in DeFi and NFT applications.
KAIA, a new token in the AI and metaverse ecosystem, gained over 15% this week following a Binance listing and integration with several major Web3 projects. Investors see KAIA as a potential “new Render,” focusing on neural computation and digital identity infrastructure.
Ravencoin (RVN), a long-time presence in the crypto space, is regaining popularity. With its focus on asset tokenization and copyright protection on the blockchain, RVN surged 14% after announcing partnerships with several independent music platforms.
The rise of these altcoins demonstrates that there is room in the crypto world not just for the giants, but also for innovative, purpose-driven projects capable of capturing market and user interest.
PEP – Bullish Divergence at Weekly DemandPepsiCo (PEP) has retraced into a key weekly demand zone, where price previously launched long bullish legs. At the same time, a bullish divergence is forming between price and RSI, suggesting selling momentum may be weakening.
Structure has clearly shifted bearish over the past two years, with multiple breaks of structure (BoS). However, the current setup shows strong confluence for a potential mean reversion or reversal swing.
Two key supply zones are mapped:
First target (5:1 R:R) at the $141 area — recent supply.
Second target (12:1 R:R) near $162 — major macro supply.
PLTR 479% Parabolic Rally Meets RSI Divergence at Critical ZonePalantir (PLTR) has completed a near-perfect parabolic advance, rising more than 479% over 378 days from its demand base in early 2024. The move has been relentless — supported by breakout volume and accelerating price structure.
However, we are now at a potential inflection point.
Price is stalling at the upper end of the parabolic curve, right near a prior rejection level. At the same time, the RSI has been forming multiple bearish divergences, signaling weakening momentum despite new highs.
This exact combination — parabolic rise + RSI divergence — has preceded sharp corrections in the past.
The previous drop from this region led to a -47% decline, which found support in the $70–75 zone — now marked as a 2D demand area. That zone could again act as a magnet if momentum fades.
If PLTR breaks above $135 with strong volume, the divergence could be invalidated, but for now, the chart suggests caution. This may be a topping structure or the start of a broad sideways range.
EUR/USD 4H – Potential Quasimodo + Bearish Divergence SetupCurrently monitoring EUR/USD for a potential sell setup based on several strong technical confluences:
⸻
🧠 Price Structure: Possible Quasimodo (QM) Pattern
• The chart is showing early signs of a Quasimodo pattern (QM) formation.
• Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder are developing, with a higher high (false break) between them.
• The recent Dominant Break above 1.14948 could be a liquidity grab — classic in QM setups.
• Price appears to be retesting the right shoulder area, signaling potential for a bearish reversal.
⸻
📉 AO Indicator: Bearish Divergence as Confirmation
• Clear bearish divergence between price action and the Awesome Oscillator (AO):
• Price made a higher high, but AO printed a lower high.
• This signals weakening bullish momentum — a powerful confluence for a potential drop.
⸻
⚠️ Confluences for Sell Setup:
1. ✅ Potential QM Pattern forming
2. ✅ Dominant Break followed by a potential right shoulder retest
3. ✅ Strong bearish divergence on AO
4. ✅ Price failing to break and close strongly above recent high (~1.1494)
⸻
📍 Sell Trade Plan (if confirms):
• Entry Zone: Around 1.14400–1.14600 (right shoulder zone)
• Stop Loss: Above previous high (~1.15000)
• Take-Profit Options:
• TP1: Previous structure support around 1.13600
• TP2: Deeper support zone ~1.13000–1.12700
• TP3 (Aggressive): Full QM target near 1.12100 (as marked on the chart)
⸻
⏳ Wait For:
• Bearish rejection or momentum candle on 4H or 1H
• AO to cross below 0 or accelerate red bars for extra confirmation
⸻
💡 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is showing signs of a bearish reversal with a textbook QM setup supported by AO divergence. If the right shoulder holds and bearish momentum kicks in, this could offer a high-probability short opportunity.
UCAD Bulls Look for 3rd Test After Sept. '24 Highs TouchOANDA:USDCAD Bulls were able to find support at the Sept. 2024 Highs after having traveled down a Falling Support for the past 2 months!
Now we see Bulls pushing price higher creating a Rising Support with 2 tests having been successful and currently coming down for a 3rd test!
Now Price has already broken a Previous Level of Structure which was a Past Resistance on June 4th. This level also lands right at the 34 EMA and based on the Bollinger Bands, this test will also be a Mean Reversion where Price after having traveled in one direction will revert back to the mean of the Bollinger Bands for Continuation, which in this case will be Bullish!
After the 2nd Test of the Rising Support, we can see a Massive amount of Volume enters.
Price also is trading Above the 50 on the RSI and is currently coming down to test that level.
I am looking for Price to test the 1.3683 area and if Price shows support for a 3rd Test, this will be a great opportunity for Long Positions!
Fundamentally, USD will be bombarded heavy news being CPI numbers with analysts forecasting a .2% Increase in Inflation! Also PPI, Unemployment Claims and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations.
$SOL Tight Range. Big Move Loading? Full Multi-TF Breakdown📊 CRYPTOCAP:SOL Daily Chart
Price bounced from confluence support around $126 (0.236 fib + local structure), but remains below all key retracements from the $184 high.
– RSI hovering around 39 → oversold but no bullish divergence
– MACD still below signal line, weak momentum
– Structure remains inside a descending channel
BTC is testing $106K into weekly close.
If Bitcoin confirms a breakout, SOL could follow with a push above $160.3 (0.236 fib).
Reclaim of $160 → $184 next
Failure → $126 retest, with risk of break toward $118
Trend bias: bearish → neutral
Watching BTC for confirmation.
BTC Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Daily, Weekly & Monthly Structure📊 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Daily Chart
Price bounced cleanly off the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $104.6 and is now pressing into local resistance.
– Heikin Ashi candles turned green
– RSI is curling upward
– MACD remains weak, no confirmation yet
Key levels:
→ Break above $106.3 could open the way to $112K
→ Drop below $104.6 puts $100K back in play
📅 All eyes on tonight’s weekly close.
A candle close above $106K would confirm strength into next week.
BTC/USD – 5-Wave Structure Completed | Bearish Divergence + Stru🕒 Timeframe: 30min
📅 Date: June 8, 2025
💱 Pair: BTC/USD (BITSTAMP)
📊 Indicator: Awesome Oscillator (AO)
🧠 Technical Analysis Summary:
A classic 5-wave Elliott structure (1–2–3–4–5) has completed. Key observations:
Wave (5) slightly pushes above Wave (3), but momentum weakens.
Bearish divergence is spotted on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) between Wave (3) and Wave (5), signaling exhaustion.
Price is currently holding above a key structure support (SNR) at 105415.
🔻 Sell Setup:
🟥 SNR = Structure level at 105415.
🧨 If price breaks below 105415, I will enter a short (sell) position.
🧠 This level acts as a confluence zone:
End of wave 5
Loss of bullish momentum
Bearish AO divergence
Potential trend shift
📌 Trade Plan:
💥 Action:
➡️ Sell only if price breaks and closes below 105415.
🎯 Potential Targets:
104200 – local structure support
102800 – deeper correction zone (possible wave A)
🛡️ Invalidation:
➡️ If price closes back above recent high (~105800) with renewed AO strength, I’ll reconsider the short.
🧰 Tools Used:
Elliott Wave Theory (1–5 structure)
Awesome Oscillator – Divergence Confirmation
Market Structure (SNR as key support)
💬 Conclusion:
Wave 5 is done. Momentum has faded. All eyes on the structure level at 105415.
➡️ Break = Sell.
If it holds, no trade.
📌 Stay patient. Let the market come to you.
🔔 Like & follow if you enjoy clean Elliott Wave and momentum divergence setups.
Got your own wave count? Drop it below! 👇
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #ElliottWave #BearishDivergence #AO #CryptoTrading #StructureBreak #PriceAction #Wave5Complete
BTC.D can it go up for ever?BTC.D: A Long-Term Weekly Analysis of Bitcoin Dominance
This post is about the overall long-term trend of BTC.D, not the day-to-day action. All analysis is based on the weekly timeframe.
Fundamental Catalysts for a Trend Change
A significant downturn in Bitcoin Dominance would likely be preceded by a combination of these factors:
US Rate Cuts: An increase in market liquidity from easier monetary policy could fuel a
broader crypto rally, benefiting altcoins.
Shift in Retail Interest: A rotation of attention towards altcoins, which can be tracked by
crypto-related content views. (Note: The rise of AI Search may alter how we track this
compared to traditional Google search metrics).
"Bitcoin is Expensive" Sentiment: As BTC's price becomes psychologically high for retail
investors, they often look for higher potential returns in lower-priced altcoins.
Technical Readout (Weekly Chart)
1. Price Action & 50 SMA
So far, I'm not seeing any signs of a trend change in the price action itself. A decisive break and hold below the 50-week SMA would be a strong indicator of a major trend change. However, other indications will likely appear before that happens.
2. MACD Indicator
Currently, even a bearish MACD crossover on this timeframe would not be enough to confidently signal a larger trend reversal. It could easily just be part of a short-term pullback or consolidation.
3. Diagonal Trendline On RSI
A failure to move above the yellow diagonal trendline could be an early sign of weakness. However, on its own, this is not a strong indicator and requires other signals for confirmation.
4. Stochastic RSI
There is nothing worth mentioning on the Stochastic RSI at this time; it is not providing a clear signal.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
Gold Wave Analysis – 6 June 2025- Gold reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 3250,00
Gold recently reversed down from the resistance area between the key resistance level 3400.00 (which has been reversing the price from April) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the earlier intermediate impulse wave (5) from the end of May.
Given the overbought daily Stochastic, Gold can be expected to fall to the next support level 3250,00 (which stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (4)).
Why I Think Gold Will Sell Today...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
Happy Tuesday! I wanted to share my Gold analysis and why I think it will sell. This is only a technical analysis so please check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at:
- There was a break of structure on H1 and previous support was retested as resistance.
- Bearish confluence on additional time frames: D, H4 and M15
- The stoch is facing down, both lines have crossed below 20, slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) which is a bearish confirmation for me.
Additional information:
- I would set sell stops to catch the momentum going down
- I will be setting sell stops and using previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs.
- Focus on closing the gap from last week
Good luck if you decide to take this trade, let me know how it goes.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Netflix (NFLX) RSI Bearish Divergence Setting Up Major Rever📈 Summary:
Netflix has rallied +44% in just 60 days, entering a steep, parabolic move. However, technical exhaustion signs are now flashing across multiple indicators — suggesting a potential near-term top may be forming.
🔍 Key Technical Observations:
1. Bearish RSI Divergence
The RSI is making lower highs (~73) while price makes higher highs → classic bearish divergence.
Similar divergences in December and February led to drops of –12% and –18% , respectively.
2. Parabolic Move + Rising Wedge
Price has broken out of an orderly channel and is now moving parabolically , a pattern typically unsustainable.
The current structure resembles a rising wedge , often a reversal formation .
3. Volume Weakness
Volume has been declining throughout the recent push , signaling weak demand behind the rally.
No climactic buying — this raises the risk of a sharp drop if momentum fades .
4. MACD Losing Momentum
MACD histogram has flipped slightly negative.
A potential bearish crossover is brewing.
🧭 Strategy Outlook
🚨 Aggressive traders could look for short opportunities below $1,240 , where support may break.
🧠 Options traders might consider a bear call spread once a daily close confirms the wedge breakdown.
📌 Key Levels
Support to watch: $1,240 (break = confirmation)
Next support zone: $1,190–1,155 (EMA cluster)
Critical RSI trigger: break below 65 confirms bearish divergence playing out
🧩 Final Thoughts
The RSI divergence, parabolic structure , and volume behavior all align for a potential pullback . While the trend is still technically intact, risk-reward favors preparing for a reversal , especially with prior divergences leading to significant downside.
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 6 June 2025
- EURUSD reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.1350
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the key resistance level 1.1475 (which has been reversing the price from the start of April) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star,
Given the overbought daily Stochastic, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.1350.
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Meltdown As suspected, a head and shoulders pattern has formed on the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Crypto Market Cap.
We could see a big relief rally with the golden cross happening today, but i expect the market to sell off to 2.85T before seeing any real signs of reversal.
RSI also shows more downside ahead on the Daily.
Costco Wave Analysis – 5 June 2025
- Costco reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 985.00
Costco recently reversed down sharply from the resistance zone located between the key resistance 1080.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave 5) and the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the earlier weekly impulse wave 5 from April.
Given the strength of the nearby resistance zone and the bearish divergence on the weekly momentum indicator, Costco can be expected to fall to the next support level 985.00.
Target Sputters as Market Recovers Target has sputtered as the broader market recovers, and some traders may think the retailer has further downside risk.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the steady decline between early February and early April. TGT tried to stabilize after the move but barely rebounded. It also failed to hold the rally on May 12 after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent cut tariffs on China. That feeble price action may suggest sellers remain in control.
Second, the stock spent about a month at its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) early this year before continuing lower. It’s now spent about three weeks at the same line without closing above it. Is the intermediate-term trend still bearish?
Third, the move between April 8 and May 20 may be viewed as a potentially bearish flag that’s now broken to the downside.
Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) recently crossed below the 21-day EMA. MACD has also turned negative. Those patterns may reflect a bearish short-term trend.
Finally, TGT is an active underlier in the options market. (It averages more than 70,000 contracts per day, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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XAUUSD (Gold) – Bearish Setup in Play | H1 Wave Count + AO Dive🟡 XAUUSD (Gold) – Bearish Setup in Play | H1 Wave Count + AO Divergence 🟡
🗓️ Date: June 5, 2025
📉 Timeframe: 1H
🔍 Elliott Wave Count:
The current structure appears to have completed a classic 5-wave impulse.
Wave (5) has just printed, and notably, Awesome Oscillator (AO) confirms a divergence:
Wave 3 had a higher AO peak than Wave 5, signaling bearish momentum loss.
This divergence is a strong reversal signal, often preceding a corrective move (ABC).
📊 Technical Confluence:
Price is now entering a key Supply and Demand (SND) zone between 3401 – 3414, an area that previously caused a strong rejection.
Multiple Fibonacci extensions also cluster near this level:
1.618 and 2.618 extensions align closely with current highs.
These confluences further strengthen the sell bias.
📉 Trade Idea:
🎯 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry Zone: Around 3401 – 3414
❗ Confirmation: Look for bearish engulfing candle or breakdown from rising wedge
🎯 First Target: 3372 (Fib 0.618 retracement of wave 4–5)
🎯 Second Target: 3357 or deeper if larger correction unfolds
❌ Invalidation: Break and close above 3418
🧠 AO Divergence Reminder:
Divergence between price and oscillator like AO (lower momentum on a higher high) often signals exhaustion of trend — perfect timing for contrarian plays at strong SND zones.
📌 Summary:
Wave (5) completion with AO divergence near a significant SND zone (3414–3401) sets the stage for a high-probability short trade. Monitor lower timeframes for entry triggers.
Skeptic | SPX 500 Analysis: Long Triggers Ready to Rip!Hey, what’s good? It’s Skeptic! 😎 Last week, we scored a nice R/R on SPX 500, and now it’s looking ready for another big move, super close to our long trigger. Let’s check it out with a multi-timeframe breakdown to grab those long and short triggers!
Daily Timeframe: The Big View
The SPX was riding a strong bullish wave, then hit a deep correction. Here’s what’s up:
It’s bounced back most of that drop and is nearing its ceiling at 6128.55. 🏔️
A break and hold above 6128.55 could kick the bullish trend into high gear, per Dow Theory.
Watch the daily RSI—if it goes overbought, we might see a fast, big rally. 🚀
This is our long-term play, so let’s zoom in for the short-term action!
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
On the 4-hour chart, here’s the plan for our trades:
Long Trigger: Break above 5990.67, with RSI above 66.57 to show the move’s got juice.
Stop Loss: Your choice—put it below 5955.77, or check 1H or 15-minute charts for a tighter stop under the last low. 🎯
Short Trigger: A drop below 5856.93 lets you short, but it’s against the trend, so keep it low-risk. Take profits quick, use a small stop loss, and close when you hit a good R/R. ⚠️
Shorts are tricky here, so play it safe and don’t go all-in!
RSI Trick & Your Input
Love RSI? I’ve been using it forever, and I think most guides get it wrong. They say overbought RSI means sell, but for me, it’s a go sign for longs! Want a full RSI tutorial? Tell me in the comments, and I’ll hook you up! 📢
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this got you hyped, hit that boost—it helps a ton! 😊 Got another pair or setup you want me to hit? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for chilling with me—keep trading smart! ✌️
NZD/USD: Bullish signals build ahead of U.S. data gauntletNZD/USD is holding an established uptrend with bullish momentum building, supported by strengthening RSI and MACD signals. The pair is testing key resistance at .6050—a level that’s capped price repeatedly over the years.
A break and close above would confirm a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a stop just beneath. Initial resistance comes in at .6110, with scope for a move towards .6200 if momentum continues.
Good luck!
DS