Why Support and Resistance Points Are Important
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(APEUSDT.P 1M chart)
Usually, the arrangement of candles is used to indicate support and resistance points.
Basically, indicators are used to indicate support and resistance points.
However, I feel like support and resistance points are needed in the 1.9101-6.7780 range.
So, there is a possibility that support and resistance points are drawn near where the fingers are pointing.
The price is currently under 1.9101, so let's check it out on another time frame chart.
In any case, the point to watch is whether it can rise after receiving support in the 1.3270-1.9101 section.
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(1W chart)
When drawing support and resistance points using indicators, it is best to draw indicators that are currently marked with candles.
This is because it means that the current point is acting as support and resistance.
Other than that, you can mark indicators that are thought to have a longer horizontal line than other horizontal lines.
If you check the chart above, I think you'll understand what I mean.
Since the important support and resistance points are indicators that are currently marked with candles, you can create a trading strategy targeting the corresponding horizontal lines.
The sections marked as Support and Resistance on the chart correspond to those.
You can think of the remaining lines as lines that can be used for detailed strategies that allow you to conduct split transactions when conducting transactions.
In that sense, the 1.4870 point can be used for detailed trading strategies, that is, response strategies.
Accordingly, you can proceed with buying or selling.
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(1D chart)
The support and resistance points to be used for detailed trading strategies are indicated in the 1.320-1.9101 section.
That is, the points 1.3929 and 1.6755 are applicable.
These two points correspond to the HA-Low and HA-High indicator points.
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If you have indicated support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts as above, you can mark them according to the importance of the support and resistance points and create chart analysis or trading strategies for them.
Important support and resistance points are
1st: 0.5841-0.7505
2nd: 1.0670
3rd: 1.3270
4th: 1.9101-2.1090
You can use the points or sections above to create chart analysis or trading strategies.
When marking support and resistance points, do not draw them while thinking about chart analysis or trading strategies.
The reason is that if you do so, you will likely mark support and resistance points while reflecting your subjective thoughts and psychology.
Therefore, when marking support and resistance points, it is important to focus only on the arrangement of candles without thinking about anything else.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Oscillators
GBPUSD - Bullish Divergence - First HH After Bearish RallyFX:GBPUSD has formed the first HH on 1 hour chart after experiencing a bearish rally. Bullish divergence is also present on the chart indicating potential bullish momentum in the upcoming days! Additionally, after forming the HH price found support at 0.5 fib level to support the bullish bias!
Is Bitcoin's Breakout from Accumulation Channel a Sign of FurtheBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently surged past the $68,000 mark, setting a new local high and confirming its bullish uptrend. This significant breakout has ignited excitement among analysts and investors, who are closely monitoring the cryptocurrency's next moves. As Bitcoin continues its ascent, many are speculating about the potential for further gains and the factors driving this momentum.
One of the key factors contributing to Bitcoin's recent price surge is its breakout from a long-term accumulation channel. This technical pattern, which has persisted for over seven months, indicates a period of consolidation and accumulation before a potential price increase. By breaking out of this channel, Bitcoin has signaled a shift in market sentiment and a renewed bullish momentum.
Analysts and experts are closely examining various indicators to gauge the strength of Bitcoin's uptrend and identify potential resistance levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, is currently hovering near overbought levels, suggesting that a short-term pullback may be necessary to consolidate gains before further upward movement. However, the overall trend remains bullish, and a break above the previous all-time high of $69,000 could signal a more extended rally.
In addition to technical analysis, fundamental factors are also playing a role in Bitcoin's price appreciation. The growing adoption of cryptocurrencies by institutional investors and corporations is driving demand for Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. Moreover, the increasing use of Bitcoin for payments and remittances is contributing to its mainstream acceptance.
However, it is essential to approach the current Bitcoin rally with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can experience significant fluctuations. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, short-term corrections are a common occurrence. Investors should be prepared for potential pullbacks and have a well-defined risk management strategy in place.
As Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory, several key factors will likely influence its future price movement. The regulatory landscape, particularly in the United States, will play a crucial role. Favorable regulatory developments could further fuel Bitcoin's adoption and price appreciation. Additionally, the macroeconomic environment, including interest rates and inflation, will also impact investor sentiment towards risk assets like Bitcoin.
Furthermore, the competition from other cryptocurrencies cannot be overlooked. While Bitcoin currently dominates the market, the emergence of new and innovative projects could potentially challenge its position. The development of scalable blockchain solutions and the introduction of new use cases for cryptocurrencies could impact Bitcoin's market share.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent breakout from a long-term accumulation channel has ignited excitement and speculation about its potential for further gains. While the overall trend remains bullish, investors should approach the current rally with caution and be mindful of potential risks. By carefully considering technical analysis, fundamental factors, and the competitive landscape, investors can make informed decisions about their Bitcoin investments.
Continuing the Moon Phase Vs Nifty chart further. Yesterday in the message we understood how The dark circle resonates with the dates of no moon day and Grey circle indicates the day when we saw a full moon. Invariably in most of the no moon days as can be seen in the chart index is at the peak near no moon day. Then there is a fall seen in Nifty. Recovery starts in few days of Full moon day and then again Nifty makes a peak near no moon day. We were trying to contemplate if it is a coincidence. Now we saw a small turnaround today. We do not know if this will hold and if the recovery will start from here and now but we will juxtapose Moon Phases Vs Nifty chart with our Mother, Father and Small Child theory, RSI and Bollinger bands and see what levels we get for support and resistances further.
RSI is currently on daily chart is at 41.27 having taken support near 37 zone. This seems to be a good support zone for RSI as it as bounced from there and there about several times. Nifty took baby steps to recovery on Friday as Full Moon is done. Lowest RSI on daily chart was around 32 that was exactly one year back so we can expect either of these two levels to hold fort.
Father line support is near 23404. Bollinger band shows a support zone near 24373 range in case Nifty takes a dip from here. Mother line resistance is near 25026 and Bollinger Median resistance is near 25372. Resistance for nifty based on Bollinger band top seems to be at 26372.
Mother, Father and Small Child theory is explained in my book Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. The book is available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. Do read it as many reviewers on Amazon consider it as a Hand book to equity investment.
In this way we have tried to deduce support and resistance levels of Nifty with the help of Mother, Father and Small Child theory, Bollinger band, RSI. We tried to predict the turnaround phases for Nifty’s upward and downward runs by juxtapositioning it with phases of Moon. To a normal eye all this looks a little complicated and difficult but when you dissect it and spend time with the chart you will be able to deconstruct it bit by bit, frame by frame and level by level.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
Steel Dynamics: Trendline BrokenSteel Dynamics slid in recent quarters, but now it may be going the other way.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between April and September. The steelmaker began October by pushing above that falling trendline, which may suggest its intermediate-term decline has ceased.
The rebound also returned STLD back above its 200-day simple moving average. That may be consistent with a longer-term uptrend.
The shares next proceeded to consolidate between roughly $126 and $131. Strong earnings pushed them above that range on Thursday. Will potential buyers look for retests near the top of the recent price zone?
Finally, MACD has remained positive and started expanding again.
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$SPY October 18, 2024AMEX:SPY October 18, 2024
15 Minutes.
One of those flip flop days.
SL was hit.
At the moment below all moving averages in 15 minutes except 200.
At the moment looks like a double top in 15 minutes supported by Eliott oscillator divergence.
I prefer not to trade today.
Bias is downside towards 580 levels.
A Full Scope View of The Magnificent 7Today, we look at the Mag 7 via the following methods.
MAC (Moving Average Channel).
Valuation with Trend.
High Timeframe Divergence.
To summarize, overall, these markets are generally bullish. I outline areas of interest where I will be looking for trades to the long side.
Have a great weekend.
Short EUR/AUD setup looking for retest of 1.6000Thursday's bearish engulfing candle has seen the price move below 1.6188, a level that has acted as both support and resistance over recent weeks.
If the price can remain beneath this level into the European open, consider shorting below with a stop above for protection.
The initial target would be 1.6115. If that were to give way, a retest of 1.6000 could be on the cards.
Good luck!
DS
Example of conditions for Chase the Rally
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(SUIUSDT.P 1D chart)
It is necessary to check whether it can fall from the 2.2492 point and rise with support near the HA-High indicator (2.0299) on the 1D chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, it is showing a strong downward trend.
Therefore, it is highly likely that it will continue to fall further, so caution is required when trading.
If it falls below 2.0299,
1st: 1.8735-1.9073
2nd: 1.6124
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Therefore, from a short-term and medium-term perspective, if the price is maintained above 1.6124, it is a time for additional purchase.
In other words, I think it is a time when Chase the Rally is possible.
At this time, if the Mid (50) line or HA-Low indicator is created and shows support, it will give you strength to proceed with additional purchase.
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The important thing to proceed with Chase the Rally is that the long-term moving average line is in a regular array.
If not, it should be considered as a purchase, not Chase the Rally.
In this chart, the M-Signal line of the 1W and 1M charts corresponds to the medium- to long-term moving average line.
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(1h Chart)
If you touch the 5EMA of the 1D chart or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W, 1D chart, there is a high possibility of volatility.
Therefore, you can start trading depending on whether there is support around here.
However, since the 5EMA of the 1D chart or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W, 1D chart is for viewing trends, you should draw support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, 1D charts and check whether there is support around those points and respond.
Since the current chart is a 1h chart, if there are no support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, 1D charts, you can start trading with the support and resistance points of the 1h chart.
However, a short and quick response is required.
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The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of forming a double top.
Therefore, if it falls below 2.088-2.0238, it is likely to touch around 1.8735-1.9073.
If the StochRSI indicator is reset while falling to the oversold zone, and the price maintains around the M-Signal line on the 1D chart, I think it is highly likely to turn upward.
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Reflecting this movement, it is expected that the trend will be formed depending on which direction it deviates from the box range (1.9752-2.0761) of the HA-Low indicator.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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The Coin Market is Different from the Stock Market
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The coin market discloses a lot of information compared to the stock market.
Among them, it discloses the flow of funds.
Most of the funds in the coin market are flowing in through USDT, and it can be said that it currently manages the largest amount of funds.
Therefore, unlike the stock market, individual investors can also roughly know the flow of funds.
Therefore, you can see that it is more transparent than other investment markets.
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USDT continues to update its ATH.
You can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market through USDT.
USDC has been falling since July 22 and has not yet recovered.
The important support and resistance level of USDC is 26.525B.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 26.525B, I think there is a high possibility that funds will flow in.
If you look at the fund size of USDT and USDC, you can see that USDT is more than twice as high.
Therefore, it can be said that USDT is the fund that has a big influence on the coin market.
USDC is likely to be composed of US funds.
Therefore, if more funds flow in through USDC, I think the coin market is likely to develop into a clearer investment market.
But it is not all good.
This is because the more the coin market develops into a clearer investment market, the more likely it is to be affected by the existing investment market, that is, the watch market.
This is because large investment companies are working to link the coin market with the coin market in order to make the coin market an investment product that they can operate.
In order for the coin market to be swayed by the coin-related investment product launched in the stock market, more funds must flow into the coin market through USDC.
Otherwise, it is highly likely that it will eventually be swayed by the flow of USDT funds.
Therefore, USDC is likely to have a short-term influence on the coin market at present.
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As mentioned above, the most important thing in the investment market is the flow of funds.
The flow of funds in the coin market can be seen as maintaining an upward trend.
Therefore, there are more and more people who say that there are signs of a major bear market these days, but their position seems to be judging the situation from a global perspective and political perspective.
As mentioned above, the funds that still dominate the coin market are USDT funds, which are an unspecified number of funds.
Therefore, I think that the coin market should not be predicted based on global perspectives and political situations.
The start of the major bear market in the coin market is when USDT starts to show a gap downtrend.
Until then, I dare say that the coin market is likely to maintain its current uptrend.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is approaching its highest point (100), and the uptrend is reaching its peak.
Accordingly, the pressure to decline will increase over time.
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(1W chart)
The StochRSI indicator is also in the overbought zone on the 1W chart.
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(1M chart)
On the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, but it is not expected to enter the oversold zone due to the current rise.
The movement of the 1M chart should be checked again when a new candle is created.
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You can see that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is the most unusual among the three charts above.
In the finger area on the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator was in the overbought zone, but it is currently showing signs of entering the oversold zone.
Therefore, you can see that the current movement is different from the past movement.
Therefore, I think it is not right to predict the current flow by substituting past dates.
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I wrote down my thoughts on the recent comments from famous people who say that the coin market will enter a major bear market along with the stock market.
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Have a good time. Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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GBPJPY bearish for 150 pipsIn a bearish trade setup on GBP/JPY with a 150-pip profit target and a 50-pip stop loss, you’re aiming for a reward-to-risk ratio of 3:1. This means that for every 50 pips you risk, you’re potentially gaining 150 pips, which is a favorable setup.
Here’s a detailed breakdown of this trade idea:
1. Setting the Profit Target (150 Pips)
A 150-pip profit target is quite common in GBP/JPY due to its volatility. This target should be set near a significant support level or other technical factors such as:
A previous major swing low.
A Fibonacci extension level (like the 127.2% or 161.8%).
A psychological level or round number (e.g., 180.00, 179.50).
GBP/JPY often moves in wide ranges, so a 150-pip move in a single trading day or session is realistic, especially if the market is trending strongly.
2. Defining the Stop Loss (50 Pips)
A 50-pip stop loss should ideally be placed above a significant resistance level:
A recent swing high.
Above a key moving average (such as the 50 or 100 MA on the 1H or 4H chart).
Above a Fibonacci retracement level (such as the 38.2% or 50% retracement of the latest downtrend).
You want to make sure the stop isn’t too tight, giving the trade some room to breathe, but also protecting you in case of a reversal.
No matter what you do, the basic chart is the 1D chart
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In order to analyze the chart, you will use various chart tools.
However, if there are no support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you will find that it is difficult to conduct actual trading.
In order to explain how the trend changes when there is a certain movement at the support and resistance points shown on the chart, I provided a basis by using chart tools.
However, if you trust the support and resistance points drawn on the chart, you do not need to use various chart tools separately to find such basis.
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The 64748.70-65920.71 section is formed by the HA-High indicator of the 1D, 1W charts.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises in this section, it is highly likely to show a stepwise uptrend.
If it falls in the 64748.70-65920.71 section, it is highly likely to touch the HA-Low indicator.
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BW (100) point of the 1W chart: 68393.48
BW (100) point of the 1M chart: 71280.01
BW (100) point of the 1D chart: 73072.41
BW (100) lines are formed at the above points.
The formation of the BW (100) line means that the MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators are showing strength.
Therefore, just like the HA-High indicator, the BW (100) point can be said to have shown a high point range.
Therefore, if it rises above the BW (100) point, it can be seen that there is a high possibility of a strong upward trend.
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In this sense, we can see that the current high point range is the 61099.25-73072.41 range.
Since the HA-High indicator or the BW (100) point moves and is created by volatility over time, we should carefully observe when there is a change in the high point range.
This is because at that time, there is a high possibility of creating a new wave.
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The lines that make up the MS-Signal indicator are M-Signal and S-Signal.
Of these two lines, the important line is M-Signal.
Therefore, the M-Signal lines on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts serve to indicate trends.
It was created so that you can see the overall trend on any time frame chart.
Therefore, the current indicator (HA-MS) can be said to be an indicator that expresses everything.
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You can mark the HA-Low, HA-High, BW (0), BW (100), and Mid (50) points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and use them as support and resistance points on the time frame charts you mainly trade.
As I mentioned earlier, you can check the arrangement of the M-Signal lines on the MS-Signal indicator and create a trading strategy that matches the trend.
It is recommended to start trading when the price is maintained above the M-Signal line on the 1M chart at least.
If possible, it is better to start trading when the price is maintained above the M-Signal of the 1W chart when the M-Signal of the 1W chart > the M-Signal of the 1M chart.
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
Therefore, ETH is currently not a good state to trade.
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The StochRSI indicator seems to be showing a downward trend.
However, it has not yet fallen from the overbought zone or has not yet turned into a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, so it should be interpreted that the current upward strength is strong.
Therefore, caution is required when trading because there is a possibility of further increase.
In any case, the 64748.70-65920.71 range is formed at the current price position, so the key is whether it can be supported and rise near this range.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
ASML (ASML): Massive Sell-Off - What's next after the $50B loss?We are sure you’ve heard about ASML’s massive drop yesterday, erasing $50 billion in market value within hours following a technical error and the earnings report published a day earlier. ASML, Europe's most valuable tech company and a critical supplier to chipmakers, is now facing doubts—not about its long-term prospects but regarding short-term sales and whether it can continue to outperform the market in the long term.
As always, we’re not focused on intraday trades but are looking for bigger, high-risk-to-reward swing trade setups. To assess this, we’re turning to the Weekly chart to analyze ASML’s most important levels. Our most likely scenario at this point is that the All-Time High represents a wave B, after exactly respecting the 138% Fibonacci extension level. Coupled with the bearish divergence on the RSI, this pullback was expected.
While it's difficult to predict the exact point of reversal, we see $600 as a major psychological support level that could hold in the short term. To reverse the current downtrend, ASML must break above the resistance zone of $850–$895. However, as this is a potential wave ((ii)), even reaching the All-Time High is not out of the question. Merely reclaiming this resistance zone might not be enough to signal a trend change.
We’re keeping an eye on all major support zones, but the largest position we plan to open would be between $250 and $140. While this is still far off, and there will likely be opportunities along the way, this zone would provide the most textbook setup according to Elliott Wave Theory. The recent dip has also opened up more potential plays for the future.
Stay tuned as we monitor the situation for further developments! 🔥
Bitcoin ending consolidation faseThe price is breaking out its downward trend line while above support zone between 60k-65k
The RSI is confirming price action as it has rebound from 40 and is back at the bullish zone, just as it did back in september of 2023
Lets see if CRYPTOCAP:BTC still has legs and makes a new high above 72k to all-time-highs
AUDUSD - Buy StopThe dollar index is bullish and the australian dollar index is bearish which suggests that there should be bullish momemtum of AUDUSD pair.
The bullish divergence is also formed and the current price action is at 78% FIB retracement which further strengthens our idea. We'll go with two trades, first with TP1 and other we'll trail.
It is also likely that trade may not trigger and price forms another lower high which will also be a good sign to buy because of the strong support.