Correction on Starbux. SBUXFive impulse is done. Divergent RSX hump present, now out of OBOS territory. MIDAS line is crossed, as is zero line on BB%PCT. VZO has been divergent for a while now, throwing off false signals. Now, there is a VZO signal as well, but in constellation with a multitude of other factors. Ehler's indicator doesn't make a lot of sense in this picture, however.
Oscillators
Reversal on Caterpillar. CATA very flat AB=CD, ABCDE retrace on impulse contained within. Now, in OBOS territory, but fairly convincing candle crossing vWAP/US duo. My guess is that was a triple drive contained within AB=CD structure. Another note, the ABBCDE forms an expanding triangle structure, and any triangle is more likely to break out on the flat side. The top side is more flat in this case. Given the deep retrace, I don't expect a spectacular breakout if it even happens.
Higher Highs, Higher Lows on Adobe. ADBEAnd on top of that a few more technical signals acting in unison to suggest a bullish picture. Simultaneous or near simultaneous crosses on VZO, Stoch/RSI. There is a cross of zero line BB%PT. Last candle crossed vWAP and sits on both vWAP and VZO. Fibonacci clusters offer some static profit goals. In practice these are never used and I just throw them in there to keep track of how my ideas go in terms of reaching goals.
Bullish for Amazon. AMZNSupposing end off Wave A of correction, quite a deep one retracing half the previous bullish impulse. RSX momentum is divergent, heading toward OBOS line, divergent Bollinger Band derivative indicator. A strong change in texture of candlesticks is noted.
Signals on both VZO with offset and Ehlers Stochastic RSI have already thrown off signals a few candles ago.
Fibonacci points picked to coalesce with data already available for possible constellations/clusters, i.e. 0.5 Fibonacci coincides with MIDAS curve.
Microsoft Bounce off Support. MSFTElliott picture is unclear, yet there are signs of undergoing pivot. There is a fairly massive engulfing bullish candle that crosses both vWAP and US lines. There is a cross on the VZO, Ehler's Stochastic that occurred simultaneously. BB %PCT looks to cross soon as well. The stop loss is pretty tight, good luck in your trading.
USD/CNH Near Pivotal Support – AUD, NZD Implications LoomUSD/CNH isn’t everyone’s favourite pair to trade, but it should be on your radar if you dabble in AUD/USD or NZD/USD. Its correlation coefficient with AUD/USD ranges from -0.72 to -0.96 across timeframes from five days to six months, while for NZD/USD, it sits between -0.78 and -0.95. That suggests a strong relationship when comparing performance against the U.S. dollar, especially in the very near and longer term.
That’s noteworthy given where USD/CNH sits on the charts, teetering just above 7.2345—a level where bearish moves have repeatedly fizzled in recent months. However, with momentum indicators biased lower, another attempt may have more success.
A sustained push below 7.2345 could encourage additional bears to join the break, particularly if minor support at 7.2130 gives way. While the 200DMA sits in between, price action has largely ignored it recently, showing far more interaction with the 50-day equivalent. That makes it worth noting but not a major barrier.
Below 7.2130, there’s little visible support until 7.1400—a level that capped gains for extended periods last October before the U.S. presidential election. If 7.2345 holds firm, traders may look for a potential retest of recent range highs around 7.3000 and the 50-DMA.
Good luck!
DS
TON/USDTToncoin (TON) is the native cryptocurrency of The Open Network (TON), a decentralized layer-1 blockchain initially developed by Telegram's team. Designed to support scalable and secure decentralized applications, TON utilizes a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism. Toncoin serves various purposes within the network, including transaction fee payments, network security through staking, and governance participation.
Technical Analysis: Toncoin is exhibiting a bearish trend, with prices moving downward. Currently, the price is consolidating within a small wedge pattern. A breakdown from this wedge could signal further declines. Additionally, there's an untested Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) in the highlighted green area, which may serve as a potential support level.
DXY + 10Y TANKING = BULL MARKETAs expected, the DXY is TANKING alongside the 10Y, and the WMA9 is finally breaking below the 20.
This combo is turbo juice for markets, as it allows Central Banks around the world to stimulate and opens the door for more growth in the US economy.
Ignore asset prices.
Focus on the macro.
This is a leading indicator.
HODL.
AAVE Retests Key Support – Bullish Reversal Ahead?CRYPTOCAP:AAVE is currently retesting a rising support line after breaking through a key resistance zone, which has now turned into support.
This structure suggests that the uptrend remains intact, and the recent dip could be a healthy pullback before a continuation to the upside.
DYOR, NFA
Royal Caribbean Hovers Near GapRoyal Caribbean hit an all-time high four weeks ago, but it’s been sliding since.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since January 31. Notice how each followed a tepid uptrend that failed to hold. The last may be viewed as a bearish flag within the context of a new short-term downtrend.
Speaking of short-term downtrends, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Those patterns may reflect a bearish direction.
Third, prices tried and failed to hold the rising 50-day simple moving average. That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is negative.
Next, earnings lifted RCL on January 28 but the rally didn't hold. Are investors abandoning ship on the fundamental story?
Finally, the cruise ship operator jumped above $220 on November 6 after the election. That could make traders look for prices to test that gap.
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GOLD BUY - 2915.50Current Price: 2913.16 Time: 2025-03-05 13:29:32
1H Technical Analysis:
Oscillators: Most oscillators are neutral, but Momentum and MACD Level indicate a SELL signal.
Moving Averages: Mixed signals. Short-term MAs (10, 20) indicate SELL, while long-term MAs (50, 100, 200) indicate BUY.
Pivot Points: The price is near the R1 pivot point, which may act as resistance.
4H Technical Analysis:
Oscillators: Mixed signals. Awesome Oscillator and MACD Level indicate BUY, while Momentum and Stochastic RSI Fast indicate SELL.
Moving Averages: Most MAs indicate a BUY signal, suggesting a strong bullish trend.
Pivot Points: The price is near the R1 pivot point, which may act as resistance.
XAUUSD Daily Forecast:
XAUUSD could retest the broken trend line on the RSI. A rebound from the lower boundary of the bullish channel reinforces the uptrend.
Support: 2900, Resistance: 2935, 2985.
XAUUSD Forecast: BUY.
Latest News:
Geopolitical tensions are driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, increasing demand and pushing prices higher.
Impact: BUY.
Upcoming Events:
The release of US inflation data will significantly impact the gold market. Higher inflation could drive gold prices up as investors seek protection against inflation.
Impact: BUY.
GOLD Signal:
Signal: BUY
Entry Price: 2915.00
Percentage Possibility: 60% BUY, 40% SELL.
Scenarios:
BUY Scenario: If the price breaks above 2935, expect further growth towards 2985. Support at 2900.
SELL Scenario: If the price falls below 2875, expect further decline towards 2835. Resistance at 2935.
Analysis:
Despite mixed signals on the 1H timeframe, the 4H timeframe and fundamental data indicate a strong bullish trend. Upcoming events, such as inflation data, could further support gold price growth.
Summary:
The gold market is currently in a bullish trend supported by long-term MAs and fundamental factors. However, caution is advised due to short-term fluctuations and potential reversals.
GBP/AUD: Topping Signals Flash After Relentless RallyThe bearish pin candle on the GBP/AUD daily chart on Tuesday is a warning sign for bulls after a more than seven big-figure rally in less than a fortnight. RSI (14) is flashing extreme overbought conditions, sitting at levels that have marked major market tops in the past.
Fundamentally, the move stacks up—improved Eurozone optimism from increased military spending and weaker energy prices is a tailwind for the U.K., while ongoing U.S.-China tariff skirmishes weigh on the AUD, overshadowing early signs of an Australian economic recovery.
But that’s all baked in now, leaving GBP/AUD vulnerable to downside without fresh catalysts to push the narrative further.
If the pair nears Tuesday’s high, it could offer an entry point for those looking to fade the move. Stops could be placed above that level, targeting an initial pullback to 2.0300—the December 2024 high. From there, traders can reassess whether to aim for 2.0150 or square the trade.
Good luck!
DS
Trading is the realm of response
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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Have a nice day today.
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It's been a while since I made an indicator and explained it, so I'd like to take the time to introduce and explain something I heard a long time ago.
(Original text)
I made purchases at m-signal 1W in yesterday's fall as I see it rose above ha-low and closed above m-signals. It looks like m-signals can't prevent traps. Now I'm losing money again. I think it's better to make purchases when RSI is below 30. I don't want to feed market makers, somehow it happens over and over.
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Looking at the above, it seems that the purchase (LONG) was made when the price rose above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart and then started to fall.
If we check this on the 30m chart, it is expected that the purchase (LONG) was made near the section indicated by the circle section.
I said that it would have been much better to buy (LONG) when RSI was below 30, but when RSI was below 30, it refers to the section from February 25 to March 1, so I think it's regret due to the loss.
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If you look at what I explained as an idea, I said that you need to get support in the section marked with a circle to continue the upward trend.
And, I said that support is important near the HA-Low indicator when it falls.
Therefore, if it falls in the section marked with a circle, you should enter a sell (SHORT) position.
However, if you do not see a downward trend, you should trade based on whether there is support in the HA-Low indicator.
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To check for support, you need to check the movement for at least 1-3 days.
Therefore, checking for support is a difficult and tedious task.
Since most futures transactions are made on time frame charts below the 1D chart, you cannot check for support for 1-3 days.
Therefore, you need to check the movement at the support and resistance points you want to trade and respond accordingly.
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The coin market is a market where trend trading is good.
Therefore, it is important to know what the current trend is.
It is better to think of the basic trend based on the trend of the 1D chart.
The current trend of the 1D chart is a downtrend.
Therefore, the SHORT position can be said to be the main position.
As mentioned earlier, in order to turn into an uptrend, support must be received within the range indicated by the circle.
If not, it is likely to continue the downtrend again.
Since the HA-Low indicator has been newly formed, the 89253.9 point is the point where a new trading strategy can be created.
If it is not supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend, so you should also think about a countermeasure for this.
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What we want to know through chart analysis is the trading point, that is, the support and resistance points.
You should decide whether to start trading depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
Even if you start trading properly at the support and resistance points you want, you must also think about how to respond to a loss cut.
If you cannot think of a response plan for a loss cut, it is better not to trade at all.
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Indicators are only reference materials for your decisions, not absolute.
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts is an indicator for viewing trends,
- The HA-Low and HA-High indicators correspond to points for creating trading strategies.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that it has risen from the low range, and if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy.
If it does not, and it falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a response plan for this.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that it has fallen from the high range, and if it is supported by the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a full-scale upward trend.
If not, it may fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
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If the price is maintained near the StochRSI 50 indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to lead to an increase to rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
At this time, if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts, it is likely to lead to an attempt to rise near 94827.9.
If not, it is likely to end as a rebound.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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NZDJPY Wave Analysis – 4 March 2025
- NZDJPY reversed from long-term support level 83.15
- Likely to rise to resistance level 85.00
NZDJPY currency pair today reversed up exactly from the long-term support level 83.15 (which stopped the sharp downtrend at the start of August of 2024 as can be seen below), standing near the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer – if the pair closes today near the current levels.
Given the proximity of the strong support level 83.15 and the oversold daily Stochastic, NZDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 85.00, former support from the start of February.
Why I Think GBPJPY Will Continue to Sell...Technical Analysis Hey Rich Friends,
Happy Monday. I think GBPJPY will continue to sell this week. Here is what I am looking at:
- The market is approaching a previous area of support. If it breaks below 188.830, there is a strong chance that it will continue to drop. This is a potential sell-stop entry.
- The stochastic is facing down, the slow line (orange) is on top of the fast line (blue), and both lines have crossed below 20. These are strong bearish confirmations for me.
- There is bearish confluence on higher time frames (4H, D1, W1)
- I will be using a previous high for my stop loss, and previous lows as my TPs.
Make sure you check the news and cross-reference your chart before copying trade ideas from anyone.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
TAO/USDTBittensor ( BYBIT:TAOUSDT.P ) is a decentralized network that merges blockchain technology with AI, enabling a peer-to-peer marketplace for machine learning models. Launched in 2021, TAO has quickly gained traction for its innovative approach. The project operates with a capped supply, ensuring transparency and fair distribution of rewards. As of now, TAO trades at approximately $319, with a market capitalization of $4.09 billion and a circulating supply of 7.38 million tokens.
Bittensor (TAO) is currently trading within a downward channel. Before any potential upward movement, a retest of the $300 level is likely. Once the price reclaims the range, the next target stands at $420, where an unchecked VWAP awaits. The following key technical level is positioned at $520. In green higlited areas are untested VWAP.
On the bottom of chart you see super Q indicator.
Description
ZenAlgo - Q is an oscillator based on the QQE (Quantitative Qualitative Estimation) method. This version incorporates refinements for additional visualization and interpretation options. It is designed to help traders observe momentum changes and divergence patterns in price movements.
USDCHF Confirms Rounded Top ScenarioOANDA:USDCHF is exhibiting a Rounded Top Pattern suggesting further decline is coming
Price is currently Breaking Confirmation of the Pattern
- RSI Below 50
- Bearish Volume Building
Waiting for a Break and Close to Validate a True Breakout
Once Validated, we can look for a Break and Retest Trade Set-up for Shorts from the .898 Area to take down to the Range Target ( .892 - .891 )
Gold - XAUUSD Expected Next Movement 4th March 2025Hello traders, I am sharing technical analysis of Gold - XAUUSD.
Prices are going to retrace to the upside and reach the Fib level of the golden ratio, which is 50% to 61%.
According to my CCT—Candle Closing Technique method, price has broken the CCT line to the above side in the 4-hour timeframe and is going to the Fib level. So, it is expected to return to the sell side in the near future. So, let's see.
This is my own personal technical analysis and is not any financial advice, so it is requested that you do not trade on your real account before doing your own analysis.
$SPY March 3, 2025AMEX:SPY March 3, 2025
15 Minutes.
we had divergence in the last two LL at 583 and 582 levels.
For the rise 582.44 to 594.74 holding 591-592 is important for short term uptrend to continue.
For the fall 610.7 to 582.44 61.8% retracement is around 599 which is also 200 averages in 15 minutes.
Hence that is the first target for the day, holding 592.