Royal Caribbean Hovers Near GapRoyal Caribbean hit an all-time high four weeks ago, but it’s been sliding since.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since January 31. Notice how each followed a tepid uptrend that failed to hold. The last may be viewed as a bearish flag within the context of a new short-term downtrend.
Speaking of short-term downtrends, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Those patterns may reflect a bearish direction.
Third, prices tried and failed to hold the rising 50-day simple moving average. That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is negative.
Next, earnings lifted RCL on January 28 but the rally didn't hold. Are investors abandoning ship on the fundamental story?
Finally, the cruise ship operator jumped above $220 on November 6 after the election. That could make traders look for prices to test that gap.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Oscillators
GOLD BUY - 2915.50Current Price: 2913.16 Time: 2025-03-05 13:29:32
1H Technical Analysis:
Oscillators: Most oscillators are neutral, but Momentum and MACD Level indicate a SELL signal.
Moving Averages: Mixed signals. Short-term MAs (10, 20) indicate SELL, while long-term MAs (50, 100, 200) indicate BUY.
Pivot Points: The price is near the R1 pivot point, which may act as resistance.
4H Technical Analysis:
Oscillators: Mixed signals. Awesome Oscillator and MACD Level indicate BUY, while Momentum and Stochastic RSI Fast indicate SELL.
Moving Averages: Most MAs indicate a BUY signal, suggesting a strong bullish trend.
Pivot Points: The price is near the R1 pivot point, which may act as resistance.
XAUUSD Daily Forecast:
XAUUSD could retest the broken trend line on the RSI. A rebound from the lower boundary of the bullish channel reinforces the uptrend.
Support: 2900, Resistance: 2935, 2985.
XAUUSD Forecast: BUY.
Latest News:
Geopolitical tensions are driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, increasing demand and pushing prices higher.
Impact: BUY.
Upcoming Events:
The release of US inflation data will significantly impact the gold market. Higher inflation could drive gold prices up as investors seek protection against inflation.
Impact: BUY.
GOLD Signal:
Signal: BUY
Entry Price: 2915.00
Percentage Possibility: 60% BUY, 40% SELL.
Scenarios:
BUY Scenario: If the price breaks above 2935, expect further growth towards 2985. Support at 2900.
SELL Scenario: If the price falls below 2875, expect further decline towards 2835. Resistance at 2935.
Analysis:
Despite mixed signals on the 1H timeframe, the 4H timeframe and fundamental data indicate a strong bullish trend. Upcoming events, such as inflation data, could further support gold price growth.
Summary:
The gold market is currently in a bullish trend supported by long-term MAs and fundamental factors. However, caution is advised due to short-term fluctuations and potential reversals.
GBP/AUD: Topping Signals Flash After Relentless RallyThe bearish pin candle on the GBP/AUD daily chart on Tuesday is a warning sign for bulls after a more than seven big-figure rally in less than a fortnight. RSI (14) is flashing extreme overbought conditions, sitting at levels that have marked major market tops in the past.
Fundamentally, the move stacks up—improved Eurozone optimism from increased military spending and weaker energy prices is a tailwind for the U.K., while ongoing U.S.-China tariff skirmishes weigh on the AUD, overshadowing early signs of an Australian economic recovery.
But that’s all baked in now, leaving GBP/AUD vulnerable to downside without fresh catalysts to push the narrative further.
If the pair nears Tuesday’s high, it could offer an entry point for those looking to fade the move. Stops could be placed above that level, targeting an initial pullback to 2.0300—the December 2024 high. From there, traders can reassess whether to aim for 2.0150 or square the trade.
Good luck!
DS
Trading is the realm of response
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
It's been a while since I made an indicator and explained it, so I'd like to take the time to introduce and explain something I heard a long time ago.
(Original text)
I made purchases at m-signal 1W in yesterday's fall as I see it rose above ha-low and closed above m-signals. It looks like m-signals can't prevent traps. Now I'm losing money again. I think it's better to make purchases when RSI is below 30. I don't want to feed market makers, somehow it happens over and over.
-
Looking at the above, it seems that the purchase (LONG) was made when the price rose above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart and then started to fall.
If we check this on the 30m chart, it is expected that the purchase (LONG) was made near the section indicated by the circle section.
I said that it would have been much better to buy (LONG) when RSI was below 30, but when RSI was below 30, it refers to the section from February 25 to March 1, so I think it's regret due to the loss.
-
If you look at what I explained as an idea, I said that you need to get support in the section marked with a circle to continue the upward trend.
And, I said that support is important near the HA-Low indicator when it falls.
Therefore, if it falls in the section marked with a circle, you should enter a sell (SHORT) position.
However, if you do not see a downward trend, you should trade based on whether there is support in the HA-Low indicator.
-
To check for support, you need to check the movement for at least 1-3 days.
Therefore, checking for support is a difficult and tedious task.
Since most futures transactions are made on time frame charts below the 1D chart, you cannot check for support for 1-3 days.
Therefore, you need to check the movement at the support and resistance points you want to trade and respond accordingly.
-
The coin market is a market where trend trading is good.
Therefore, it is important to know what the current trend is.
It is better to think of the basic trend based on the trend of the 1D chart.
The current trend of the 1D chart is a downtrend.
Therefore, the SHORT position can be said to be the main position.
As mentioned earlier, in order to turn into an uptrend, support must be received within the range indicated by the circle.
If not, it is likely to continue the downtrend again.
Since the HA-Low indicator has been newly formed, the 89253.9 point is the point where a new trading strategy can be created.
If it is not supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend, so you should also think about a countermeasure for this.
-
What we want to know through chart analysis is the trading point, that is, the support and resistance points.
You should decide whether to start trading depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
Even if you start trading properly at the support and resistance points you want, you must also think about how to respond to a loss cut.
If you cannot think of a response plan for a loss cut, it is better not to trade at all.
-
Indicators are only reference materials for your decisions, not absolute.
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts is an indicator for viewing trends,
- The HA-Low and HA-High indicators correspond to points for creating trading strategies.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that it has risen from the low range, and if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy.
If it does not, and it falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a response plan for this.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that it has fallen from the high range, and if it is supported by the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a full-scale upward trend.
If not, it may fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
-
If the price is maintained near the StochRSI 50 indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to lead to an increase to rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
At this time, if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts, it is likely to lead to an attempt to rise near 94827.9.
If not, it is likely to end as a rebound.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
NZDJPY Wave Analysis – 4 March 2025
- NZDJPY reversed from long-term support level 83.15
- Likely to rise to resistance level 85.00
NZDJPY currency pair today reversed up exactly from the long-term support level 83.15 (which stopped the sharp downtrend at the start of August of 2024 as can be seen below), standing near the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer – if the pair closes today near the current levels.
Given the proximity of the strong support level 83.15 and the oversold daily Stochastic, NZDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 85.00, former support from the start of February.
Why I Think GBPJPY Will Continue to Sell...Technical Analysis Hey Rich Friends,
Happy Monday. I think GBPJPY will continue to sell this week. Here is what I am looking at:
- The market is approaching a previous area of support. If it breaks below 188.830, there is a strong chance that it will continue to drop. This is a potential sell-stop entry.
- The stochastic is facing down, the slow line (orange) is on top of the fast line (blue), and both lines have crossed below 20. These are strong bearish confirmations for me.
- There is bearish confluence on higher time frames (4H, D1, W1)
- I will be using a previous high for my stop loss, and previous lows as my TPs.
Make sure you check the news and cross-reference your chart before copying trade ideas from anyone.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
TAO/USDTBittensor ( BYBIT:TAOUSDT.P ) is a decentralized network that merges blockchain technology with AI, enabling a peer-to-peer marketplace for machine learning models. Launched in 2021, TAO has quickly gained traction for its innovative approach. The project operates with a capped supply, ensuring transparency and fair distribution of rewards. As of now, TAO trades at approximately $319, with a market capitalization of $4.09 billion and a circulating supply of 7.38 million tokens.
Bittensor (TAO) is currently trading within a downward channel. Before any potential upward movement, a retest of the $300 level is likely. Once the price reclaims the range, the next target stands at $420, where an unchecked VWAP awaits. The following key technical level is positioned at $520. In green higlited areas are untested VWAP.
On the bottom of chart you see super Q indicator.
Description
ZenAlgo - Q is an oscillator based on the QQE (Quantitative Qualitative Estimation) method. This version incorporates refinements for additional visualization and interpretation options. It is designed to help traders observe momentum changes and divergence patterns in price movements.
USDCHF Confirms Rounded Top ScenarioOANDA:USDCHF is exhibiting a Rounded Top Pattern suggesting further decline is coming
Price is currently Breaking Confirmation of the Pattern
- RSI Below 50
- Bearish Volume Building
Waiting for a Break and Close to Validate a True Breakout
Once Validated, we can look for a Break and Retest Trade Set-up for Shorts from the .898 Area to take down to the Range Target ( .892 - .891 )
Gold - XAUUSD Expected Next Movement 4th March 2025Hello traders, I am sharing technical analysis of Gold - XAUUSD.
Prices are going to retrace to the upside and reach the Fib level of the golden ratio, which is 50% to 61%.
According to my CCT—Candle Closing Technique method, price has broken the CCT line to the above side in the 4-hour timeframe and is going to the Fib level. So, it is expected to return to the sell side in the near future. So, let's see.
This is my own personal technical analysis and is not any financial advice, so it is requested that you do not trade on your real account before doing your own analysis.
$SPY March 3, 2025AMEX:SPY March 3, 2025
15 Minutes.
we had divergence in the last two LL at 583 and 582 levels.
For the rise 582.44 to 594.74 holding 591-592 is important for short term uptrend to continue.
For the fall 610.7 to 582.44 61.8% retracement is around 599 which is also 200 averages in 15 minutes.
Hence that is the first target for the day, holding 592.
ADAUSDT Breakout Incoming or Another Fakeout?Yello, Paradisers! Are we about to see ADAUSDT explode, or is this just another trap for impatient traders? Let’s break it down!
💎ADAUSDT is looking solid after completing a proper double zig-zag corrective phase. The key to confirming the next move lies in breaking and closing a candle above the resistance level. If this happens, it significantly increases the probability of a bullish breakout. Why? Because ADA is still trading in the discount range of a descending channel, and we’re also seeing bullish divergence—a strong confluence signal for upside momentum.
💎However, if ADA pulls back or retraces further, the smartest play is to wait for inducement. Ideally, we want to see bullish structures form, such as a bullish I-CHoCH or well-known bullish patterns like a W formation or inverse head and shoulders on lower timeframes. If those confirmations appear, the probability of a bullish move shifts in our favor.
💎On the flip side, if ADA falls sharply or closes a candle below the support zone, it would invalidate our bullish scenario. This would likely extend the corrective wave into a deeper structure, signaling that it’s best to stay patient and wait for clearer price action.
🎖 Bottom line? The market is setting up for a major move—either a powerful breakout or a deeper retracement. Only those who wait for the right confirmations will come out on top. Stay disciplined, Paradisers! 🚀
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
XAUUSD Refocus Trendback📌Gold price extends the rebound early Monday and re-focuses on the $2,900 level.
📌US Dollar falls as EUR/USD rallies hard on potential Ukraine truce; market mood improves.
📌Gold price recovers but remains below 21-day SMA at $2,895 amid the bullish daily RSI.
🔥Buy Gold
$2832 -> $2834
SL $2825
TP 1->$2840 >2->$2850 >3->$2860
🔥Sell Gold
$2882 -> $2886
SL $2890
TP 1->$2875 >2->$2860 >3->$2855
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period...
BULL MARKET PULL BACKS
Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels.
The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE).
We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post).
ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING?
As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market.
CME GAP
Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles.
To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post.
The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close.
NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle.
21W EMA & 20W SMA
Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC.
ORANGE TREND LINE
Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher.
* Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top.
* Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s).
Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
Silver Embarking on Bullish Reversal?Silver’s bearish wedge breakout may have run its course, with Friday’s rebound from key support at $31.00—where the 50DMA and former resistance converge—suggesting a potential shift in direction. While MACD hasn’t confirmed it yet, RSI (14) has broken its week-long downtrend, hinting at a turn in momentum.
With price action firming and Friday’s hammer candle flashing a bullish signal, the near-term bias has tilted higher. That case would strengthen further if silver adds to gains on Monday, completing a morning star pattern in the process.
A quick glance at the chart shows silver’s tendency to gravitate toward big and half-big figures, putting $31.50, $32, $32.50, and $33 on the radar for those considering longs. Aside from the first, they screen as potential targets depending on risk tolerance. A stop beneath $31 offers protection against a reversal.
Good luck!
DS
$HNT Bullish Exaggerated Divergence on Daily RSIBeen accumulating a very large position of FWB:HNT
Bullish Exaggerated Divergence on the Daily RSI.
Price looks to have bottomed claiming previous lows.
Helium Mobile is one of the strongest IRL DePin projects 💯
$600m Market Cap is extremely undervalued compared to the rest of the industry.
Most overbought in 10 years !? I've used 3 forms of technical analysis to make a case for a major top forming in the European markets. If this turns around, it could lead to a 10% selloff very quickly and if this transforms into a bear market then 20% drop is totally on the cards. Nothing goes up forever.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 28 February 2025
- Ethereum reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 2400.00
Ethereum recently reversed from the support zone between the major long-term support level 2200.00 (which has been reversing the price from August) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone is currently forming the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer – a strong buy signal for Ethereum.
Given the strength of the nearby support level 2200.00 and the oversold daily Stochastic, Ethereum can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 2400.00.