IHS confirmed , next BIG short squeeze?Long and strong IHS confirmation breakout and tested
Fundamentals:
Company fully funded and largest factory in Moses Lake has started production with recent contract signed for the next 10 years worth around 3 busd. Todays mcap is around 0.6 busd.
Guided ebidta for 2025 is 100-300 musd
Dept around 260 musd with favorable terms
Production within 3 megatrends in the U.S, semi chips, solar and batteries (silane gas)
All production sold out, but silicon anodes manufacturers ( Sila Nano, G14, Oned) has established around their Moses Lake facility in hopes for silane offtake.
Amprius and Cenate has mentioned and hopes for REC silicon silane gas, and company itself says they have discussions with multiple companies regarding silane.
REC has 70% markets share of silane gas, and it looks that replacing grafite with silicon will be the next big thing. The potential for REC silicon and its silane gas are endless the next 5 years as this explodes.
REC also has a 15% stake in Yulin factory in China, and are in proccess of selling this stake, which is valued to 150 musd. 1/4 of todays mcap just in cash!!
Proccess is going slow but we are close to an end...
This stock is worth following the next year!!
Also to mention is that due to restart and impairments, Moses Lake factory(replacement cost 1.7 busd) is zero in the books. Yulin has also been written down to zero... and revarsal of impairments would most likely be reversed next quarter, Yulin is a huge bonus with cash, and company has also recievd a large amount of pre payments in the 3 busd contract recently signed.
Today REC silicon is one of the most shorted stocks in Oslo stock exchange, but there is a huge chance of a potential short squeeze here when market discovers fully what is about to happen here....
OSEBX
Rana overview Rana reached it´s peak in May which was it´s all time high. Note that the stock was noted a couple of months ago which makes technical analysis less predictable. However marked psychology still remains the same as it has ever been, and the analysis is therefore based on the Elliott wave theory.
The stock made a impulsive move in the period between March and May, making the first wave of the Eliott wave theory. Then after the stock dropped to the 0.382 fib level (which tells us this was a deep correcting wave.) and then made a bounce off of this level. The stock price is now in the range of a triangle pattern and i am expecting bullish continuation, which would signify the start of elliott wave 3; which is the most impulsive wave.
The bollinger Band With (BBW) shows us that the bands are squeezing. With this we can expect that the price will move faster in the near future, wheter that is to the downside or upside. Combining this with the volume we can see that there has been an decrease in volume, as well as a decrease in price; which makes for a bullish volume profile.
This is my first public idea, would appreciate any feedback :)
Potential target before buying inI'm just doodling here.
Even if OPEC gets a deal with russia, the corona virus gets stable and so on. The economic consequence will still take time to recover from.
Bankrupt business dont automatically go back to 100% engine speed just because money printing is going, OPEC gets their deal, Corona virus goes away.
Like 2008, the bubble continued to deflate long after the worst had happened.
OSEBX went down >60% from peak so I dont think a 50% is out of this world this time.
So far I've only bought some silver
Tried to short some bitcoin (failed)
and in the end I dont think me or anyone have any clue how this will play out. But I'm saving my FOMO card for later