Bearish move coming up for XAUUSD?Daily timeframe: Price is currently trading around 2689, with price action hovering around our HTF OTE zone (2685-2696.4).
H4 Timeframe: Price is currently trading within our H4 ascending channel and has met with our H4 SnR zone + at the resistance trend line.
I would expect a minor push up before a nice breakout sell soon, this is also supported with DXY’s price actions as I would expect DXY to retrace a little to an area of discount before pushing up higher. Furthermore, fundamental news thus far puts the US Market in a good condition for more growth, and hence, putting technical and fundamental analysis together, I would expect a correction for XAUUSD in the following days/weeks.
Stay tuned!
Otezone
Bearish move coming up for XAUUSD?Daily timeframe: Price is currently trading around 2689, with price action hovering around our HTF OTE zone (2685-2696.4).
H4 Timeframe: Price is currently trading within our H4 ascending channel and has met with our H4 SnR zone + at the resistance trend line.
I would expect a minor push up before a nice breakout sell soon, this is also supported with DXY’s price actions as I would expect DXY to retrace a little to an area of discount before pushing up higher. Furthermore, fundamental news thus far puts the US Market in a good condition for more growth, and hence, putting technical and fundamental analysis together, I would expect a correction for XAUUSD in the following days/weeks.
Stay tuned!
Mastering Fibonacci in TradingMastering Fibonacci in Trading
Unlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its applications in trading. Learn how to utilize this powerful tool to find optimal entry and exit points, manage risks, and enhance your trading strategies.
What is Fibonacci?
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. The sequence begins as follows:
The sequence is named after the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci, who introduced it to Western mathematics in his book Liber Abaci in 1202. One of the fascinating properties of this sequence is the ratio between successive numbers, which converges to approximately 1.618—known as the Golden Ratio .
The Golden Ratio and Its Significance
The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in nature, art, architecture, and financial markets. In trading, these ratios, along with derivatives like 0.382 and 0.786, are used to identify potential support and resistance levels.
How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool
Traders and analysts observed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, retracing or extending along these key points. This led to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools, such as:
Fibonacci Retracement : Used to identify potential reversal levels during pullbacks.
Fibonacci Extension : Helps forecast profit-taking levels during trends.
Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones : Advanced tools for multi-dimensional analysis.
Using Fibonacci in Trading
Step 1: Identifying the Swing High and Swing Low
Select a clear price movement, either an uptrend or a downtrend, and mark the highest point (swing high) and lowest point (swing low).
Step 2: Applying Fibonacci Retracement
Using the Fibonacci tool on platforms like TradingView, draw from the swing low to the swing high (for uptrends) or from the swing high to the swing low (for downtrends). Key levels to monitor are:
0.236 (23.6%)
0.382 (38.2%)
0.5 (50%)
0.618 (61.8%)
0.786 (78.6%)
These levels often act as support or resistance zones.
ICT Optimal Trade Entry Zone
Fibonacci retracement levels have been widely used by traders, from traditional to Smart Money concepts. While technical analysis has evolved, traditional tools like Fibonacci retracement levels still hold their relevance. A modern adaptation of this is the ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) concept.
The Fibonacci level range from 62% (0.618) to 79% (0.786) is known as the Optimal Trade Entry Zone . This zone is critical for identifying high-probability reversal points during retracements.
Bullish Setup : In an uptrend, the OTE zone provides a favorable entry point when the price pulls back to this area, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Bearish Setup : In a downtrend, the OTE zone serves as a resistance area where the price is likely to reverse and continue its downward trajectory.
The Golden Pocket
The zone between the 0.618 and 0.650 levels is also referred to as the "Golden Pocket," emphasizing its importance as a high-probability area for price reversals or trend continuation.
Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools
Fibonacci works best when combined with other technical analysis tools:
Candlestick Patterns : Confirmation signals for reversals or continuations.
Trendlines : Validate key Fibonacci levels.
Volume Analysis : Assess the strength of price movements near Fibonacci levels.
ICT Strategies : Use concepts like mitigation blocks or liquidity voids to refine entry points in the OTE zone.
Practical Applications
Scalping: Use Fibonacci on shorter timeframes to identify intraday opportunities.
Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades.
Long-Term Investing: Employ Fibonacci on weekly or monthly charts to identify major turning points.
Conclusion
Fibonacci tools are essential for any trader looking to enhance their market analysis. By mastering these tools, including the ICT Optimal Trade Entry concept, you can:
Identify optimal entry and exit points.
Manage risks more effectively.
Gain deeper insights into market behavior.
Start experimenting with Fibonacci today on TradingView and discover how it can transform your trading strategy!
WinLev Continuation: Double Bottom Pattern After Hitting .618
Re-taking this trade. Double Bottom Pattern + Higher Low Present on OTE Zone. Plus, Winlev pattern is not yet invalidated(just the stoploss that I set).
So, re-taking the trade and expect it to hit the original tp. Just tp 1 on opposite orderblock and tp2 on original target.
This is good because I'm re-entering on a lower price point. = Recoup initial loss + Higher Profits if tp 1 and tp 2 is taken.