9 month liquid venture betsBe Greedy When Others Are Fear Full - Buffet
-- First post. Take it with some salt. --
Nothing in this post is investment advice. It’s barely even coherent thought. I own random coins, have exposure to stuff I forget about, and might be wildly conflicted without realizing it. Assume I’m biased, assume I’m losing money, and most importantly: assume I will sell everything without telling you the second I feel like it. Always do your own research, or better yet — stop reading, it will likely waste your time anyways.
Key takes:
Macro fear is fully priced — dislocations create asymmetric upside opportunities.
Liquidity conditions remain supportive — policy catalysts can trigger sharp repricing.
Infrastructure plays in cross-chain messaging and modular blockchains are left for dead but inevitable.
Cultural assets represent a new frontier for community-driven value creation.
Global macro markets have been crushed. Trade wars and peak recession fears have fully reset positioning. Equities crashed hard, bounced even harder — but sentiment is still dead. To me, this is not the moment to turn bearish. This is exactly the moment to start looking the other way.
The S&P 500 dipped 21%. Nasdaq dipped 25%. Bitcoin dipped 31%. Others (crypto outside of top10) dipped as much as 61%. Maximum fear is priced in. Recession seems consensus.
But behind the scenes?
U.S.–China trade dialogue has resumed.
Policymakers globally are preparing stimulus.
The Fed pivot may be closer than markets expect.
When positioning is light, sentiment is exhausted, and policy shifts — markets don’t wait. They rip.
It’s not about what today’s headlines say — it’s about what the next headlines will be.
And it’s not about whether outcomes are positive or negative — it’s about whether the current market psychology is underestimating or overestimating what’s coming.
Tariff expectation → too bearish
Trump chaos → Overestimated
Skilled technocratic cabinet → Underrated
Rate cuts → Expectations too low
Deregulation impact → Underestimated
Lower taxes → Invisible but real
CrossBorder Capital’s Global Liquidity Index (GLI) seems to confirm it: liquidity isn’t done yet, we have approx 9 months left — and risk assets tend to perform best at the end of the liquidity cycle. Given that — and considering the main viral narratives dominating the crypto headlines for months now:
VC's scams don't work anymore
Oversaturation of projects, their will never be enough demand.
These coins will never justify there revenue
Frequent and poorly managed token unlocks will crush the prices
Pump.fun destroyed retail demand
My response would be:
At some point things will be priced in and prices trade below there value. When that happens — even the few holders still up on their position won’t be willing to sell anymore. There’s always that moment — nobody expects it — where supply dries up, the market reverses, and sentiment is (as always) slow to catch up.
Just before everyone sees it, a great leap of faith is needed.
Right now, three major themes are left for dead — DFV:
1. Cross-chain messaging (deep tech)
USDT0 Tether, WBTC, Berachain, Monad, Telegram, Ethena, Aptos, Movement, PayPal, Wyoming, Eigenlayer, Pumpfun, HyperEVM... and I’ve likely missed many names that are benefiting from the market leader crosschain infrastructure— this is still just the beginning. Demand for omnichain communication is growing fast and LayerZero is the main protocol. Billions transferred cross-chain for cents. Study OFT.
COINBASE:ZROUSD Great team backed by world-class investors, already in use, and moving fast.
2. Modular blockchain architecture (deep tech)
Market leader Celestia soon offers what Ethereum’s roadmap hopes to deliver years from now: scalable data availability + ZK-proof compatibility.
COINBASE:TIAUSD The space is converging. The architecture is maturing.
3. Movement Coins / Neo-religions
After the Pumpfun craze, the majority will be hunting for something similar but different.
Memecoins like SPX6900 transcend speculation, evolving into cultural movements or "neo-religions." They channel financial nihilism and the last hope for retail into community-driven protests against traditional systems — offering hope and belonging.
CRYPTO:SPX6USD (special thanks to my bro for sharing this one)
If one is positioning The radical portfolio strategy for these liquid venture bets could look something like:
70% Deep Tech / 30% Movement Coins.
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This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The views expressed are those of the author and are subject to change without notice. Any investment strategies discussed herein are high-risk, speculative in nature, and are not suitable for any investors. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
