Reaction of Sunrun's against institutional traders
Executive Summary:
In Tuseday's market session, we observed a 5% increase in the price action of NASDAQ:RUN , which, as expected, triggered a minor retracement due to typical market dynamics. However, our focus today is on a highly significant order block zone, spanning from $14.13 to $14.90. After nearly a year of dedicated study into the behaviors of major institutional players in the market, we've uncovered a crucial aspect of their approach.
Understanding Institutional Strategies:
Institutional investors, in their quest to enter positions, follow a dual-pronged strategy. First, they aim to create adequate liquidity in the market to facilitate their trades. Second, they seek to initiate positions at the lowest possible prices, effectively maximizing their profit margins. It's important to note that their entry points often differ from those favored by retail traders, and herein lies the intriguing element of market dynamics.
Manipulating Retail Sentiment:
Institutional investors sometimes choose to exert selling pressure when the market approaches what appears to be a demand zone, a strategy designed to trigger stop losses placed by retail traders. This calculated move creates a cascade effect, further driving prices downward. As retail traders' stop losses are hit, the market sentiment shifts. What once seemed like a strong demand zone now appears fragile, causing retail participants to rethink their positions.
Conclusion and outlook
As we anticipate a continued retracement in the price action towards the demand zone, it becomes essential to employ a meticulous approach to risk management. Our objective is not only to align with institutional entry points but also to safeguard our positions against potential market volatility.
The Importance of Stop Loss Calculation:
In this endeavor, precise calculation of our stop loss assumes paramount significance. By leveraging historical market volatility data and average candle size, as represented by the Average True Range (ATR), we aim to strike an optimal balance between risk and reward.
Maximizing Position Security:
The crux of this methodology lies in maximizing the probability of maintaining open positions while positioning ourselves to capitalize on the forthcoming momentum instigated by institutional players.
Defining the Stop Loss:
For an entry price of $14.015, which closely aligns with the average demand zone valuation, we have determined that setting the stop loss at $13.77 provides an effective risk management strategy. This strategic adjustment substantially reduces the likelihood of liquidation in the face of adverse price movements.
Conclusion:
Incorporating these refined risk management techniques into our trading approach empowers us to align with institutional strategies while mitigating potential downside risks. As we move forward, we are well-equipped to not only participate in the anticipated upward momentum initiated by institutional entries but also to secure our positions, ensuring our trading endeavors remain both profitable and resilient.
Outcome
Don-Key Finance after the XRP win and BTC halving My thoughts on Don-Key Finance after the possible 2023 XRP win and BTC 2024 halving. This is of course all speculative and not financial advice as everyone should do their own due diligence on any digital asset whether it is a DEFI or other type of platform asset. Defi is not going away and so far Don is still very much alive and already down a whopping 100%. Many would be terrified at these prices but these are the entry points that can offer the best crypto returns given the platform's success. The XRP outcome along with the Bitcoin halving could bring the Bull run we are all expecting within a certain time frame. The final date for summary judgment with Ripple is the end of March unless this is moved. The BTC halving should come on April 12th, 2024. Both of these dates could bring another level to the crypto markets that catapult many projects to new highs.
Treat trading like a business or you might not succeedHello everyone:
Today I will go over 6 main points on why you should treat trading like a business in order to succeed in this industry.
1. Business will have busy seasons and slow seasons. But overhead expenses will remain the same. So not every month can be profitable, same with trading.
-Some months you can have more wins, some months you will have more losses. It's what you do on average for the whole quarter/year.
2. Record your win/lose trades like any businesses that has bookkeeping to record their revenue and expenses
-This is for you to keep track of your progress, results and find areas to improve. You must record your profits/losses so you can identify your result.
Refusing to do so is like a business that does not record their expenses and wondering why they spend so much $
3. In trading, YOU are the Owner/Director/CEO. If you are not putting in the time and effort like a top executive of a business, then it's unlikely you will succeed.
-Top executives don't just work 8 hours a day, 5 days a week. They put in way more hours than that to keep the business running, operational, and profitable.
4. No business starts out as profitable, they are likely to be in the “red” until years later when they can recover the losses and then some.
-Most businesses start up with debts, borrow money and loans. Don't expect to pay off all those in one year.
In trading you will likely incur losses in the beginning of your trading journey. Understand its a process all must go through in order to come up to the top.
5. Each and every year, businesses review their entire operation. Identify the mistakes they make, find solutions to their problems, create plans, visions and goals.
-Identify your mistakes by journaling your trades. Find areas to improve, whether that is your entry, SL/TP, Risk management, trading psychology, mindset/emotion.
Acknowledge your mistakes, drop your ego, work on overcoming your mistakes.
6. 90% of small businesses fail within 3 years, acknowledge the odds are not in your favour, but continue to put in time and effort. NEVER GIVE UP
-90-95% traders fail in time. You don't often hear about the traders who lose, but you often hear about the social media “guru” and scammers doing so well.
Trading is not a get rich quick scheme, nor is it easy. You have to continue to put in time and effort to succeed.
IT doesn't come instant, and those who can not commit to such, will not be able to continue trading consistently and sustainably.
Most important is, if you fail, get right back up. NEVER GIVE UP in trading, and NEVER GIVE UP in life.
Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know.
If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :)
Jojo
Bitcoin possible outcome short/neutralI am new to technical analysis, here is a chart i created and my thoughts, please take a look!
I see that we are in a 8° uptrend with valid support and resistance lines.
these lines have been hit multiple times.
we have touched a resistance line that might push the price back down, staying within the 8° trend.
i would be looking for a second push to or past the that resistance line within the next few days after a price correction from hitting it the first time.
might require a buffer zone.
it might be a good shorting opportunity to profit on the correction and stabilization before the breach.
I would love some feedback on my chart.
I will be watching/editing for the position.
GBPUSD: Flag-Power predicted FOMC outcome yesterdayGBPUSD Update Flag-Power: 2 strikes on lower parallel = Hot
Sterling stood up well yesterday: the flag was telling us way in advance of the FOMC meeting today. Up from 1.3304-1.3312 entry levels it's up about 100 pips so far out of the 500 pips minimum upside target here, at 1.380 and higher.
Look to buy dips here with a near term upside target at 1.3502/the upper parallel and close out on the first strike.
Buy back from 40 pips lower down and potentially from 1.3456 at lowest before it rallies again.
Once the upper parallel is broken at 1.3500 it should rally very well, to 1.380 minimum and higher still over the medium term. The pattern shows the market hasn't really got a clue what's going to happen here yet. Time, as always, will tell us whether the chart is right over the medium term, or the market.
USDJPY Trade set-ups for this week's Fed outcomeUSDJPY
A battle royale is raging between these two heavyweights,
caught between the lines of near term support and resistance
shown on the chart. The fight could go on until Thursday at
this rate when one of those two lines should finally give way...
It's OK to buy at 113 (with a stop no more than 20 pips away)
but would still go flat again at 114.30-114.50 as it's now become such
a big level, where fixed resistance frrom a triple top meets the
dynamic resistance line falling from the highs.
Not looking to short again from 114.3 because DXY is saying
the break, when it comes, should be in favour of the Dollar,
not the Yen.
Therefore unless daytrading this pair needs watching over,
awaiting the break (whichever way it comes) for the next
worthwhile swing trade...
Upside break for USD: USD needs to break above 114.3-114.5
to rout the bears and trigger a flurry buy stops and fresh buy
orders just above here - a very bullish outcome - breaking
through tough converging lines of overhead resistance in the
process. This would create a medium term upside target at
118.1-118.6 for swing traders and a nearer term upside target
at 115.3-115.6 for day traders.
USD will be likely to fall away again from here, coming back
to test 114.5-114.3 range one last time before rallying
towards 118.
Downside Break for USD: A break below 112.85 (first trade)
should result in a fast test of 111.73 - then, only when 111.50
gives way can a more a prolonged period of dollar weakness
be expected back to 108-107 range (second short trade) -
ideal for swing traders, if we see it.
Either way, there should be some good trades emerging over
next 48 hours on this pair. Consider setting alerts for either eventuality...