S&P500 - Outlook - 2023 - 1st Week of JanuaryS&P500 Outlook for the 1st week of January 2023.
Looking for a minor high, or the beginning of a strong move to the downside to HEAVILY short the market within the first few days, or first trading week of January.
1) Always have your stop loss in place.
2) Always have your 'take-profit' target planned before entering.
3) Always be open to being wrong, and exit when the market is not heading in the anticipated direction.
Outlook
XAGUSD- 240 MINS TIMEFRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
What to expect from markets on Thursday 15th December 2022 ? - Trade Futures on Profit Sharing basis log on to www(dot)BookProfits(dot)in and activate now.
As indicated from here every trading day in our market outlook and Nifty forecast for the day, the markets have continued to improve since the last three days after it gave the first bullish signal on Stochastics. This was foretold here a day before its occurrence And we are happy that the readers of these Posts have made good d profits by following the trend of the market, Clearly and confidently. We have received so many positive responses from the readers of our posts here. And we Thank all of them.
Now, coming to the market Outlook for Thursday 15th December tomorrow the markets will be at least sentimentally affected by the Fed meeting outcome. Which is likely to get clear by midnight. Today, that is on the 14th of December. This external event. Will have. Its bearing. On the market movement. Tomorrow. But. Bullishness continues on. The daily High low chart of nifty. The important indicator MACD. Continues. It's. Up broadcaster towards the signal line. And is confirmed by is histogram today that it is in continuation. Of. It's. Going towards giving a buy signal in the coming days, though it remains in sell mode as of now.
The bands' narrow width suggests low volatility compared to NSENIFTY's normal range. Therefore, the probability of volatility increasing with a sharp price move has increased in the near term. The bands have been in this narrow range for 4 periods. The probability of a significant price move increases the longer the bands remain in this narrow range.
On Candles Chart, A rising window occurred with the top of the previous shadow is below the bottom of the current shadow. This usually implies a continuation of a bullish trend. There have been 9 rising windows in the last 50 candles, making the current rising window even more bullish.
Pattern analysis of the Chart indicates that the Parabolic SAR at 18710 can act as a resistance level if markets open below this level. On the upside, beyond this level, there is no resistance before 18,878 levels.
Volatility is expected tomorrow and open of the markets will be influenced by the global market trend in response to the FED meeting outcome. Once this factor is taken into stride by the markets, the bullishness is expected to continue.
USOIL - 60 MINS TIMEFRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
Short-term trading beat long-termWhy short-term trading into the US market beats the long-term investing in the year 2023?
As much as the Fed wanted to dial down the interest hike for the rest of the coming meetings, but they have limited control. It all depends on the forthcoming data, especially the CPI and the employment numbers.
If these data continue to have a higher number, the Fed may not have a choice, but to resume back to its massive rate hike.
There are 4 types of investor or traders, they are:
1. Long term investor
2. Short term investor
3. Short term trader
4. Intra-day trader
Greater volatility is expected in 2023 and why the 2,3, and 4 may works better in 2023.
This is what we will be discussing today:
Content:
• Investing types & its time-frame
• Short-term trading strategy
CME Micro E-Mini S&P Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 point = $1.25
1 point = $5
10 points = $50
100 points = $100
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Silver Bullish Outlook for 2023COMEX:SI1!
Deficit in Supply
Inflation Hedge
Weaker Dollar is plus
Huge performance divergence to Gold. Possible catch up ?
Silver demand is forecasted to double
Historically cheap
Industrial use increases
Long term buying opportunity with a first price target of ~30 $
🧩WEEKLY OUTLOOK: GOLD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, US100🧩Thanks for sending your pairs and taking part in this profile's life :) Here's the weekly outlook
📉 Text marks:
🔹 IL = impulse leg. Inside of IL we can usually see inside structure, which is secondary in nature, like a market noise, unless you trade it on LTF, as it’s own IL.
🔹 ph, pl = protected high or low, which holds current structural impulse.
🔹 bos = break of structure . Based on candle body close below/above previous structural impulse.
🔹 rsz, rdz = refined supply and demand zones. Specific areas to look for LTF confirmations. They are manipulative up-moves before real down moves, or vice versa. Strong hands (the Composite Man, as Wyckoff called it) often come back to such zones to close their manipulative orders at breakeven, before pushing prices further. If body closes outside of the zone, in most cases it will mean the cancellation of the setup.
🔹 if ltf confirms = entry only if there's a shift of structure on lower TF inside of rsz or rdz, or any other type of backtested and approved confirmation.
🔹 liq target = liquidity target: next profit taking levels for strong hands, our main targets based on current price action.
☝️Disclaimer: ALL ideas here are for EDUCATIONAL and MARKETING purposes only, not a financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. I share my view on the market and search for like-minded traders. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as trading in a simulated environment.
👉I believe that "right or wrong" mentality is a fundamental flaw of any beginner. In reality, a trader is right only when he executes the system and follows his rules, and he's wrong only when he's taking random setups. A trader should find a system he's willing to work with long-term, hindsight test, backtest and then execute live, then refine until perfection.
🚀Thanks for your BOOSTS and support🚀
💬Send your comments and questions below, share your ideas and charts, I'll be glad to talk to you💬
EURAUD WEEKLY BREAKDOWN,Wednesday , or earlier will be , short sharps sell for EURAUD, sell for oppurtunity, when and only the buy is good , and fast buy.
We name it, (fast market reversal), close to Keylevel.
The Price usually will up fast as 60pips per candlestick. or 150-170 pips rough candle per 4-8 hours, 30% of daylight trading,
that usually will make up and go to the 3 days or 1-2 days , then the Fast market reversal.
so we wait for sell, just look and monitor when the price up, so just avoid some Unsharp decision sell.
GBPUSD WEEKLY BREAKDOWN,Price continously with the momentum of after Reversal ,
from down to first UP buy, now at the middle point of weekly, close to some Key-level, and will go Up, or Down.
Depends the price volumes and action, we can catch somes shorts sell and avoid somes unsharp sell decision, becareful with High price spike of GBPUSD , the Longterm may up, but look at current price, there is retracement short.
- MasterPrince63
EURO/JPY LONG OUTLOOK.EURJPY
expecting the next move upwards , following the data from COTreport on EUR going from -11k net position to +33k net posion and JPY from
-80k net p to -81k net position ...
technicals showing that market has tested previous key area .However, with confirmation i would be looking to long EJ
US10Y Elliot Wave Analysis (fun might be over) **WHERE DO WE START**
At this point it is nearly unarguable that the move up form the Covid lows looks impulsive, meaning we are in some sort of a new bull cycle.
In the past, since US10Y's inception back in the late 1970s the path it followed had a downwards trajectory that made new lows after each bull cycle was done. The US10Y would then correct those lows over the next 2-4 years or so and retrace to .5 fib or .618 fib of the previous high. It did this every single time, however in 2022 it is acting very different. For the first time in history since inception the US10Y blasted through the .618 fibonacci retracement of the previous top which was in November of 2018.
My view was bearish for most of this year since we were coming up against strong resistances, however since the price pierced through them all with little effort and continued up makes me lean bullish on the Macro outlook.
**TRUNCATION**
Truncation (definition) - What is truncation in trading. In most impulses, the fifth of the Elliott waves extends beyond the extremum of the third wave, but sometimes the fifth wave may not reach the end of the third wave . This phenomenon is called truncation or truncated wave.
The next event I need to go into is the truncation of the 5th wave down that took place in August of 2020. Truncations are rare events in Elliot Wave Theory and require very careful analysis to ensure the count is not something different. It is more likely to see a truncation in very volatile environments, and Covid crash of 2020 was undoubtably one. This truncation does not show up on US05Y or US02Y leading me to believe the actual bottom on US10Y was in August of 2020 and NOT in March of 2020. However this doesn't change the current count, just some clarification for those using Elliot Waves.
**WHERE ARE WE NOW**
Since the bottom we see an impulse up of which waves (1) and (2) are complete and wave (3) is in progress currently finishing it's 5th subwave. I expect the price to come to 4% or even 4.5% before the likelihood of a pullback for wave (4) becomes highly likely. The wave (4) retracement should be relatively large pulling back to .236 or .382 on the fibonacci levels from the top of wave (3). The price could come down to 2.75% - 3.5% on US10Y depending on how high wave (3) ends up going, although wave (4) pullback is allowed to go as low as .5 fib which could bring the US10Y down even below 2.75%, but I must say I find that unlikely considering how bullish this move up is coming to be.
**LIKELY PRICE PATH**
What's beginning to look clear is that after we finish wave (4) in a 3 wave structure down or perhaps a triangle formation (common in wave 4 pullbacks), we are still going to need to complete the impulse sequence and start a wave (5) up. Yes, I expect US10Y to hit and possibly go past 5%. Once there we have a completed wave 1 on a Macro outlook since the crash of 2020. I will then expect government treasury bond yields to enter a short term "bear market" and correct the entire move shown in the chart as red ABC down. This could then be last great pullback... and an opportunity to buy a house at a very affordable rate. Why? Because once this ABC that will correct this entire bull move up is done, we should see continuation in rising interest rates in a new bull cycle up. A 5 wave Elliot impulse is not a complete sequence, it should be followed by a 3, 7, or 11 wave down correction. Typically retracing to .5 or .618 on fibonnaci retracement levels and continue up again in a minimum of 5 waves.
**CONCLUSION**
The era of cheap rates might be coming to an end, and 2020 covid crash might have marked a long term bottom on treasury yields.
Cheers,
US30 Outlook 9/18Bullish then bearish on indices this week, the bearish leg may come this week, however it is possible that the retracement will take the entire week with the drop coming the following week.
US500 Outlook 9/18Bullish then bearish on indices this week, the bearish leg may come this week, however it is possible that the retracement will take the entire week with the drop coming the following week.
ORACLE finally pushed back from the support lineTarget horizon: 1-2 months
Target: $84
Stop order: $72
Technical analysis
The share price has pushed away from the local support line. Idea for the growth of the paper with a target of $84. The profit/risk ratio is 3.00.
Fundamental factor.
Oracle is a U.S. corporation, the second-largest software producer by revenue, the largest producer of software for organizations, and a major provider of server hardware. The company will report financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2023 today, Sept. 12. Analysts expect revenue of $11.33 billion and earnings per share of $1.08. If the report beats analysts' exp ectations and the company's management gives a good outlook, the market could put that positive value on the company.
🎯 EURUSD, BITCOIN, OIL and more. Quick weekly outlook. 🎯👋 Disclaimer: All ideas here are for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Your trades are yours only, and your complete responsibility. I'm not particularly bullish or bearish on any given instrument, and I don't have a "fixed" bias. I'm just following the strategy I learned from my teachers and that's all. We can have completely different views on the market and still both make profits. Everything here should be treated as a simulation.
👉I believe a trader doesn't need to predict anything, so the "right or wrong" mentality is a fundamental flaw of any beginner. A trader should find a system he's willing to work with long-term, hindsight test, backtest and then execute live. He's right only when he executes the system, and he's wrong only when he's taking random setups.
Thank you for being here, I hope I'll be able to help you become better at trading.
EUR/USD Range!The H1 chart shows that the pair only experienced a false breakdown below the pivot point of 0.9980, through the previous low, and now above the previous highs.
The weekly R1 (1.0070) is being challenged by EUR/USD, and it may soon reach the important level of 1.00900. If the price can't stay below parity, it might try to continue its upward trend.
Good Luck!
EMAMI REALTY - WEEKLY TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: its my view only and its for educational purpose only. only who has got knowledge in this strategy will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. we anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive moves).
Just ride the bullish or bearish impulsive move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
buy low and sell high concept. buy at cheaper price and sell at expensive price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....