PARAS DEFENCE Getting Support @ Previous ALL Time HighNSE:PARAS
Positive factors – The outlook will be revised to Stable if the company demonstrates a material improvement in its working
capital cycle and liquidity position, along with improvement in earnings and scale of operations.
Healthy order book provides medium-term revenue visibility – The company’s fresh order inflows over the past four fiscals
remained adequate, with orders worth ~Rs. 621 crore added in the last 21 months ending December 31, 2023.
The pending order book of Rs. 526.3 crore as on December 31, 2023 (OB/OI ratio of 2.4 times of the OI in FY2023) provides medium-term
revenue visibility.
Comfortable capital structure and healthy coverage indicators – The company’s capital structure remains comfortable with
TOL/TNW of 0.3 times as on September 30, 2023, supported by equity infusion of Rs. 162.3 crore during FY2021-FY2022 and
low debt levels.
The interest coverage stood at 12.2 times in 9M FY2024 due to the limited dependence on external borrowings
to fund its working capital. Going forward, ICRA expects the coverage indicators to remain comfortable, benefitting from the
scale-up in operations, given the strong order pipeline.
Extensive experience of management team – PDSTL’s promoters have more than three decades of experience in designing,
developing and manufacturing a wide range of engineering products and solutions for the defense and space sector in the
domain of optics, heavy engineering and electronics. Its long presence in the defence and space sector has helped to establish
strong relationships with its customers as well as suppliers. It has developed a strong management and execution team
comprising several ex-employees of BEL and DRDO, among others.
High working capital intensity due to elongated receivables cycle – The business is working capital intensive with NWC/OI of
88.3% and 114.8% in FY2023 and H1 FY2024, respectively, owing to the high inventory holding period and long receivables
cycle.
The inventory levels are high because of additional stocking of critical raw materials to avoid any disruption in the
delivery schedules and high work-in-progress due to elongated manufacturing cycle.
PDSTL has been partly managing its
working capital cycle by stretching its trade payables by more than three months as it has a longstanding relationship with
most of its suppliers and availing mobilisation advance for part orders. Going forward, the company’s ability to alleviate its
working capital intensity while scaling up its revenues and improving its operating margins will be the key rating monitorable.
Moderate scale of operations – Though the company reported a robust YoY revenue growth of 21% and 10% in FY2023 and
9M FY2024, respectively, supported by healthy order book and the timely execution of orders, the scale of operations still
remains moderate. Given the Government’s thrust on ‘Make in India’ in the defence sector, PDSTL has been mainly catering
to domestic demand (~84% of OI contributed by domestic orders in FY2023). Driven by the healthy order book status, ICRA
expects the company to sustain its revenue growth in FY2024 and FY2025.
High customer concentration risk, though largely mitigated by reputed customer base and repeat orders – The company
faces client concentration risk with top three clients contributing 46% to the total order book as on December 31, 2023 and
top five clients accounting for 51% of the revenue in FY2023. The client profile mostly comprises government organisations
with repeat orders received over the years, largely mitigating the counterparty credit risk. A major part of PDSTL’s clientele
included reputed government organisations, namely Laboratory for Electro-Optics Systems (a unit of ISRO), BEL, Instruments
Research and Development Establishment (a unit of DRDO) and private companies like RRP S4E Innovation Private Limited and
Unifab Engineering Project Private Limited. The company has long standing relationships with most of its clientele. PDSTL also
exports to companies based in Israel, Singapore and USA.
Outperformer
CERA SANITARYWARE is At ALL TIME HIGH with Positive NumbersNSE:CERA
Established market position in the sanitaryware segment and diversified revenue profile: Cera has a track record of nearly three decades, strong brand image and a large retail network in the sanitaryware industry. It is one of the leading players in this segment, which has been one of the largest revenue contributors over the years, accounting for around 47% of turnover in fiscal 2024.
Over the past few years, Cera has been leveraging its strong market position in the domestic sanitaryware industry by venturing into related business segments, such as faucets, tiles and wellness and allied products, thus becoming a complete bathroom solutions provider. Successful diversification into related businesses has helped lower dependence on the sanitaryware business, besides improving the efficiency of the distribution network.
Intense competition and volatile demand from the real estate sector led to sluggish revenue growth in fiscal 2024. However, with improving demand prospects expected and demand from real estate to remain healthy with projects reaching completion over the next 2-3 years, revenue in the sanitaryware segment is likely to see healthy growth over the medium term. Sanitaryware, faucetware, tiles and other products accounted for 47%, 36%, 10% and 7%, respectively, of the company’s turnover in fiscal 2024. Also, the company has presence across various domestic markets in south, east, north and west, providing adequate geographical diversity.
Healthy financial risk profile: Networth was healthy at Rs 1,358 crore and gearing low at 0.02 time as on March 31, 2024. Debt protection metrics are expected to remain strong, in the absence of large, debt-funded capex and healthy operating performance. Cash accrual is expected at ~Rs 180-230 crore per annum and will comfortably fund the capex plans in fiscals 2025 and 2026 and incremental working capital requirement. Hence, reliance on debt is expected to be low, sustaining strong debt metrics over the medium term.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 31.4%.
ZERO DEBT COMPANY
Cash and Cash Equivalents
of Rs. 828 crore; primarily
liquid investments.
• No Contingent Liabilities for
Joint Ventures
POSITIVE FREE CASH FLOW EVERY YEAR
Consistent cash generation each year
• Annual Capex requirement < Free Cash flow
generation.
• Increasing gap between annual cash flow generation
less dividend outflow and capex.
• Regularly paid dividends for the last 30 years +
AGGRESSIVE FOCUS ON CAPEX
Fixed Asset turnover of ~5.6x.
• Uniform organization-wide policy to
monitor receivables – credit not used
to drive revenues.
• ERP automatically shuts down fresh
supplies to dealers / customers with
dues in excess of 45-60 days
Multilayered Marketing Infrastructure.
⚫ Enhances retail experiences, retailer owned
⚫ Currently 1,067 Cera Style Centre’s (CSC’s)
operational
⚫ Over 1,400 CSCs planned in the next 3-4 years
⚫ Minimum size of showroom ranges between 100 sq.
ft. - 500 sq. ft.
Multilayered Marketing Infrastructure
⚫ 11 CERA Style Studios (CSS): Ahmedabad / Mumbai /
Bengaluru / Kolkata / Cochin / Hyderabad / Trivendrum
/ Morbi / Kadi / Mohali & Lucknow (Upcoming)
⚫ Discerning customers including influencer's can touch
and feel products
⚫ No sales orientation / pressure
⚫ The average size these company owned showroom are
approx. 7,000 sq.ft.
⚫ With more than 14,000 sq.ft. of display, Hyderabad CSS is
the largest company showroom in this industry
PI INDUSTRIES ANALYSIS!!RSI INDICATOR: is something which says the actually part of the price should be placed.
cups and handles is a very bullish price pattern formation.
and top of that, if rsi indicator is forming such pattern, then to speak on to it, the stock is a very great stock.
i have check the fundamentals. the rations, sales analysis are very greatly performing.
the two black line are the trend formation after the corona 2019 crash.
and blue line is the old trend.
the stock did gave its all time high recently. its possible to go more higher, since there is no drawback, or major risks associated to this stock.
recent quarters too outperformed from the analyst projected estimates.
great stock for swing trading and long term .
Asian Paint Flag BreakoutAsian Paint is Uptrending stock and outperforming nifty 50 index.
Today's price action show power of bulls in asian paint as entire index was falling but asian paint made a breakout.
Asian paint is good buy with 1st target of Rs 3622 based on size of flag.
Traders are requested to do their own analysis and post it in comment section.
IMBBY Ready For A Bullish PopLooking for a near-term bounce here for Imperial Brands. IMBBY with Two + years of bullish trading. Also, formed a bullish Pennant clearly outlined in price action. Risk-Reward on this looks solid, waiting for a pop higher for IMBBY then a retest below 22.50 support, then going to enter a long to try to capture that big move to the upside.
IMBBY needs to cross above the 200-day SMA (depicted in neon green), in recent trading the 200-day has acted as a very reliable trend resistance line and it must be surpassed before a major move to the upside is possible for IMBBY. Stop loss is firmly set at 20.00, right around the bottoms of the support trend areas.
IMBBY should work. Even in this volatile market.
IMBBY's winning characteristics: Cheap valuation, Solid balance sheet, high dividend payer, an international scope of business, and a line of products that have highly insensitive demand.
As always this is not financial advice. Good luck!
Chart Buster: Buy Caplin Point LabThe stock Caplin point laboratories has given a massive breakout with Marubozu candle. The stock has now entered an new trading zone and should achieve the target of 1000 which is roughly 25% from current levels of around 795.
Buy the stock at current levels, buy on dips as well. You may keep stop loss of 700 on weekly closing basis.
Keep a view of atleast 6-7 months and buy.
***ideas are my own*** Take risk as per your risk taking apetite***
IIFL Finance limited: Initiate buy and hold stockHi All,
Buy IIFL finance limited. The stock is in upside trajectory even in weak market, which shows that it has strength.
The targets have been mentioned in the chart. Keep stop loss as per your risk taking ability.
**Ideas are my own**Invest as per your risk taking appetite**
HEG LTD: Big breakout and outperforming stockHi All,
HEG ltd has given a big breakout this week above 1250 levels. The stock has been a outperformer and has potential to give big returns in medium term i.e. within 5-7 months. The volume addition at lower levels shows the strength in the stock. If you get the stock at lower price then accumulate the stock .
Targets for short term (3 months) will be at levels of 1850-1900 , medium term targets (6 months) will be 2200 and long term targets (9 months) will be 2500-2600.
Keep the stop loss as per your risk appetite.
*** ideas are my own*** Invest as per your risk taking ability**
BABA Dip Buy Blink WinAlibaba should dip at the open on Wednesday based on the Bollinger Bands, and MACD. However if you look at bearish volume on the MACD you can see it declining. We are getting set up for upward potential. We are far from the moving average and resistance according to the Kurutoga cloud. Moving average is $271 while resistance is $282. These are accurate but Alibaba has the potential to outperform these numbers in the coming weeks. I look to Triple my BABA Call position during the dip tomorrow. IF THERE IS ONE. My predictions are just predictions, I am not an expert. I have been doing well though if you look at my past work. You will see my big wins and fails. Having a great time trading and I am very impressed with all the feedback I received on my first post about BABA. Follow for more and share your thoughts in the comments. I will update those following on my position. MEGA profits ahead of us!
Medical devices will winHealthcare has been a leader YTD, as it has the defensive nature and is gaining momentum on the spread and containment of the COVID. Also, negative sentiment of the healthcare sector regarding the opioid crisis (which seems like a long time ago now), and politicians creating regulations for insurance reform; has now subsided.
Inside the XLV, IHI (medical devices) and IBB (Biotechnology) have been outperforming, and will likely continue to do so.
The 3 most important holdings of the ETF will be very important during this pandemic:
1. ABT (diagnostic test for COVID) / 12.63%
2. MDT (medical ventilators/respirators) / 12.52%
3. TMO (diagnostic test for COVID) / 10.82%
Water is 2020's winner so farThe 3 leaders YTD have been (in order): Utilities, Healthcare, Staples; which happen to be the 3 most defensive sectors, who tend to outperform during a recession...
Inside the utilities sector, the Water industry is the leader.
CWCO has a beautiful looking chart, setting a strong support after making a double-bottom, which immediately after, made a bullish engulfing candle. It is interesting to note, that the volume on this 2-day event; was almost identical. Meaning the amount of buyers was larger than the seller side.
SQ, Industry Laggard Set to OutperformSquare, NYSE:SQ , hasn't performed nearly as strongly as the rest of the market that has just about surpassed their previous highs from the lows of late 2018. Other stocks in the Fintech space, such as NASDAQ:PYPL , NYSE:V , NYSE:MA , and NASDAQ:INTU have been extremely strong, already making all-time highs. Square is a clear industry laggard, with a lot of potential
I think that Square is due to follow the rest of the sector and start making moves higher soon. It has been trading in a consolidating triangle, since February, building up power. If it breaks this triangle to the upside, I believe it should have very strong momentum, and follow through.
As long as overall market conditions remain strong, there is no reason Square shouldn't be a leader going into the rest of 2019.
Bullish Trend for ERIE Despite Bearish Equity Sentiment
1. Market is supported by long term trend line on Weekly Chart.
2. RSI rebounded from support zone, which corresponds to previous rebound from trend line support.
3. Break out of consolidation phase, now trending higher.
4. Sharp price rejection at 120.00 level, which is a 50% Fibonacci retracement level
Conclusion:
Bullish trend expected to continue to projected price level at 150.00.
Alternatively look to RSI (100) resistance at 60.0 as a profit taking guide.
One of the best performing stocks This stock came into my radar when banks started tanking and V has been consistently outperforming the market SPY and dishing out great earnings. We have a nice trend NEVER have we taken out significant support . But I don't have trade location so I won't go long any time soon. the price action looks like weak holders can easily be shaken out causing volatility on the downside.
SPX Set to OutperformI'm bullish and setting this to outperform. Trend line analysis, as well as long-term support and resistances, were analyzed. I'd like to see price action get above the psychological level of 2500. ~2472, ~2409 keys levels below price action. We could potentially see a pretty nice run above 2520. The moving averages are still strong... nothing to be concerned about.
Every time frame was analyzed and the trend lines are approximate. Everything looks good for it to rally further.
SPX - S&P 500 set to outperform.
Shorts, you better watch it. It wants to gap up hard. #BuySPX #StayGreenTeam