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IS XAUUSD CORRECTION OVERIn my recent analysises I warned that a significant correction is xauusd correction in xauusd prices was inveitable. True to this predication the election of Donald Trump triggered a sharp 1000 minus pips dropin xauusd value However yesterday the market rebounded strongly recovering 700 pips from that intial decline. The big question now is wether this correction has run its course in my view we may have reached a bottom and xauusd could be poised to resume its overall uptrend. im currently looking for buying oppurtunities on dips.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMarketKiller
1
BTC IS GOING TO TANK!! SELL OFF COMING!Fullly aware that crypto market is in the dirt right now. Common sense is that even with a larger 1 trillion market cap price is still falling. which means all previous price data is inaccurate representation of its true value. aka a bubble. this leads to new price discovery around the 10k mark. when price gets below 15k we will see a massive pull out of retail traders allowing institutions to come in with regulatory changes. If in fact this prediction is correct, this will be a continuation of a bear market. Expect news of china and Russia continuing war efforts against Taiwan and Ukraine. The true value of bitcoin is probably around 4 to 5k. I expect to see btc being worth 9k this year. I personally dont think the community in crypto is as smart as think. that being said, despite my btc price prediction. I think that the us stock market is going to go up higher. Typically they have been correlated to a high degree but i dont think now that that will be the case going forward. But I will be taking shorts on the stock market as well to make sure I am balanced in case of a sell off. Side Note::: If btc breaks above 25k this week I will have to change my mind. I see 25k as a huge psychological level. as we went from 27k to 21k in a matter of days previously. and Have not returned to 27k in over months. happy trading. I have posted a video about this long term trend on my channel! Take care!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by LiveTradingHouse
Choppy GU...Price have been ping ponging between strong support/resistance @1.24500 & 1.23000 this past week but formed a new higher low based on daily time frame. Huge bullish engulfing candles have been forming on the way up indicating buyers in the market... not too much sellers based on the size of bearish candles & structure. If price decides to push up and break resistance @1.24500, I'll be looking for buying opportunity ONLY if price pulls back to test said level and hold as support before continuing to the upside... 1 of 2 things can happen here on GU. We react, never predict!
by TP_Rock
2
Cyclical Apocalypse 2023The recession we predicted in August is almost here. Prepare for monetary meltdown. Things to look forward to next year: Mass layoffs (started in q4) and spike in unemployment rate Retail earnings miss heavily with a bad holiday season Industrial production drops sharply Used car bubble pops Mass consumer defaults on car loans Housing market collapse Credit spread blowout Zombie companies reduced to rubble Mass bankruptcies Negative real growth in all four macro sectors (income, production, consumption, employment, etc) Various crypto exchanges insolvent Mass panic and bank runs SPY -30% to -70% drop Disinflation and then deflation (not stagflation) Energy bear market Corporate rates turn into junk Municipal bond meltdown Emergency fed pivot but only after something dire breaks Massive bond rally (tail end)
SP:SPXShort
by coinhoIio
4
1794. <supplement to previous idea>Update to my previous post w.r.t. Goal Target and bigger picture count. Rather than Goal target of 1400 in the last idea where I mis-labled my count, I think this actually will go to 1794 to complete primary wave 5. 1794 is also the year of Elon's birth. Below Primary is wrong: The way I estimate projected waves 5 is not conventional, but it has worked for me. The method focuses on predicting the extension of 5 by finding the ratio such that a 2x2 matrix with parameters from the previous 4 wave relations has determinant = 0 . I have found that wave 5s tend to come to an end right after the orientation shifts from positive to negative.. and then the downside of the corrective waves accounts for this mathematically. So for example, up until 1794 the impulse matrix w.r.t TSLA primary will be positive, and then anything higher than 1794, which will generally only be realized briefly, will shift the invertibility of the matrix from positive to negative, and the corrective cycle will swiftly ensue. Cases where wave 5 ends prior to the inflection point tend to see a B wave in the form of an expanded flat extending above the inflection point which does the deed. This is why when I mis-labled my primary count originally I got a target of 1400, but doing the same method calculation with levels of this count (which I believe is correct) gives 1794.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by JerryManders
5
MARKET CRASH! PAYPAL $PYPL ANALYSISHey all, I know this is some of the first Stock analysis that I have put out on trading view, but for those of you who know me, I have been calling moves in the stock market on point since 2018. Known for: Called Shocktober of 2018 Called the Crash of 2020 (my call was for 3 days after the start of the crash, since COVID was the black swan catalyst that started its dive). Called the irregular V-Bottom Recovery for the Crash of 2020. Called the now forming start of the Crash of 2022 that Ive projected it to happen in Q1 2022, since the start of 2021. This Crash will be an overall trend reversal across major indexes, due to price action reaching a test of a macro scale .618 Fibonacci Extension. I've projected that the crash starting in 2022, will play out a similar style to that of the Bubble Pop that occurred in 1929, except due to the extensive size of the bubbled market we have today, this crash we will see in the market, will make the crash of 1929 look like its little BEEYYOTCH. Shown Here: Now to jump into this analysis. OVERALL MARKET ANALYSIS: After seeing for the first time in a very long time we have seen the major indexes like the SPX , DJI and other indexes all have failed to create a new higher high, despite making a lower low off this recent drop we have seen since the start of 2022. This has started a new downward trajectory for the market, that could lead into the projected crash that I have called to start in 2022. In addition to the FED re-introducing rate hikes as of Q2 2022, This will just add to all the inflation that is already happening i.e. current currency supply inflation, Consumer price index inflation, supply & demand inflation due to supply chain bottlenecking... Examples of how inflation is affecting not only the consumers but even the companies producing the products can be seen everywhere. We as consumers continue seeing prices rising with what looks like no end in sight. Manufacturers have been downsizing the products they produce and are still charging more for the same product just packaged a bit smaller now. For example Gatorade used to have the 32floz bottle size and used to be able to get them 2 for $4. Nowadays you will not see the 32floz size and instead you will see a 29floz bottle size and most commonly I see 2 for $6. Many products have been doing this to be able find extra product within the product they already produce and now use a slightly smaller container which both help cut some costs for the company while being able to produce the same product. NASDAQ:PYPL CHART ANALYSIS : Due to the major indexes making that lower low and then coming back with a lower high, this has started the downward trajectory, and as of Feb 2 2022, when the indexes made that top and the price turned around, You are seeing MAJOR PRICE DROPS across many of the individual stocks in recent days. The drops normally have been forming new large gaps in the chart, which led me to analyze any other possible gaps that are present that have NOT been filled to current date. The ONLY REAL chart analysis that is needed at this point is to follow the gaps in the charts, because as the old saying goes "Gaps Fill". As you can see here on Paypal's chart, we had been dropping from its highs since mid-2021 and also made a gap higher up in the chart in November 2021 that has yet to be filled from $216 - $224. The bottom of the gap was re-tested and failed, which resulted in a drop down to the .382 FIB Retracement, but upon its initial test, the price action broke below the .382 level. Although its attempt to hold that level, its initial break would be the cause for its continued move downward. Although we had what looked like a promising recovery off the .55 Fib Retracement level, this was SAVAGELY Shut down the same day that the major indexes put in the lower high turnover in price action. Combined with the market pricing in its dissatisfaction with the FED reintroducing rate hikes next quarter, the combined confirmations have woke up the bears from hibernation and they are HUNGRY. This SAVAGE rejection produced an instant GAP downwards of 20.5%, resulting in a GAP from $141 - $176. This has yet to be filled, as marked on the chart. The drop down to this level has filled a GAP that was left unfilled from May 2020, and is now filled. Which is a slightly positive observation. We could have seen the gap that we just formed possibly fill, if the price action was able to break the bottom of the GAP which sits right on top of the .618 FIB Retracement level, and with the GAP candle forming under the .618 fib retracement, this produced a further move downward, creating a move further downward to the $123 price level. Currently, we have the candle from last Friday (2/4/22) form candle body support on top of the .706 FIb Retracement level and that correlates to holding support on top of a Double Top that formed formed from the start of 2019 up to the crash of 2020. PREDICTIONS: Overall, there are plenty of swing trade opportunities all throughout each of the moves the market makes. But overall, a short/downward price action bias is still overwhelmingly strong right now A) From this level we could see a move to re-test the .618 Fib Retrace, resistance level at $141. IF it does re-test the .618 fib retracement, the probability of being rejected is HiGHLY LIKELY due to the strength of the .618 fib levels overall, but that would also mark the top of the now filled GAP from May 2020. And considering the time frame as to which that would happen, that would be around the start of Q2 2022 which is when rate hikes would be started again. A break of such a strong fib level also has a very low possibility due to the move that was just made downward as well. B) Whether we re-test $141 or we re-test the $128 level, which is the bottom side of the May 2020 Gap that's been now filled. The current candle body support on the .706 FIb Retracement level is below this $128 GAP resistance and also below the last long term ascending trend line that we had. The confluence of bearish confirmations would mean that the bottom side of that GAP would result as a new resistance point for the chart and seeing that there is yet another unfilled GAP from April 2020, we are most probable to see a move that pushes us down to the $94 - $96.50 price level. A Key indication of what the next move would be from this GAP fill would be whether or not the price action can recover and wick back above the .865 fib retracement to hold candle body support. C1) IF it can recover the .865 fib level, that could fuel a trend to the upside to re-test the .786/ .706/ .618 fib retracement levels, A break and hold of support of each would allow us to fill the November 2021 and February 2022 GAPs. C2) Keep in mind that there is also a GAP that is from April 2017 that is yet to be filled that sits down at the $45 -$46 price level. After filling the April 2020 GAP at $94 - $96.50, If we CANNOT recover the .865 Fib Level and start to close daily candles below $100, the probability of yet another move downward to the April 2017 GAP would be inevitable. We would see some indicator and oscillator relieving support at the 1 Fib Retracement level and then ultimately the 1.618 FIB Retracement level sits down at $37.50.. CONTINGENCIES: There are a couple of things that would create the opportunity but also the ability to continuously capitulate in a waterfall down, 85% to fill the April 2017 GAP and down 88% to find support at the 1.618 fib retracement level. These factors would include any of the following: FED not realizing that the market will continue to capitulate as long as the are integrating Rate HIkes. Of which, start in Q2 2022 with up to a 1% rate hike, Q3 2022 with up to a 2.15% rate hike, and Q4 2022 with up to a 3.25% rate hike. Then for 2023 the continued rate hikes are projected at 3.25% and up based on FED evaluation. They do not plan on decreasing rates by any means until their have drastically reduced their $9.5 Trillion Balance of Mortgage Backed Securities (Debt Treasury Bonds) that they have bought from the banks in the form of bailouts. This balance does not include any of the passed budget plans that has required the FED to create new currency to fund budget plans which also include all the stimuli for COVID-19 and EDD funds to each state to continue to payout Unemployment claims, PUA and PEUC benefits to everyone. NOT Reverting back to 0% rates will continue to impact the market with detrimental effects from the roughly $25-$30 Trillion dollars that have been created in the past 2 years. With how long the rates have been at 0% - 0.5% prior to COVID and then during the last two years, having maintained a 0% rate, while we also have been creating obscene amounts of new currency to be able to provide liquidity for everything that would be to simulate the economy velocity or to pay for COVID related expense, and bank bailouts. Another detrimental factor that comes into play are that physical fiat currency will NOT be made for most of the amounts that have been generated for liquidity. Which means that the Federal Stimulus direct deposits and checks, the bank bailouts, and the liquidity given to states to fund the Unemployment and PUA and PEUC benefits were all sent out using currency digits. Currency Digits = newly created currency from the FED that does not create new physical fiat currency to account for the newly created currency amount. Instead this currency amount is transferred as digits and then the debt is held in Treasury Bonds. Problem is that those T-Bonds become a ticking time bomb, cause the FED has been creating new currency digits to give out at a 0% rate, but then has to turn around and buy up defaulted mortgages and debt bailing out the banks to then make new Treasury Bonds for the new debt its bought, of which all banks and other country's banks and governments would bid to be able to acquire these T-Bond'd backed securities of debt for an incentive i.e. profit %, tax cut, lump sum payout for holding it. But when you have every other Country in the world that is having their own economic crisis that takes them out of the picture and banks cant buy up the T-Bond debt like they usually would because they would have to ask their sugar-daddy (The FED) for liquidity to be able to buy up the T-Bond Bills..Now these T-Bond backed securities of debt have no one buying them up and they will eventually come due,. Take a crazy guess as to what willl happen then?.... Yup thats right, more new currency to be able to High Frequency Algorithmic Trading bots Fueling excessive moves downward due to the nature of which they are coded to use indicators and oscillators that reflect current market momentum and strength. Just as they did during the Crash of 2020. Many of the anchors on MSNBC would frequently discuss/complained about how these HFT Bots were continuing to drive the price down uncontrollably. Overall High Inflation combined from the new Rate Hiikes (1%-3% per quarter), the Consumer Prince Index Inflation (avg. 7.1% ea. month), the Current Currency Supply (physical fiat) inflation (avg 28% YoY) combined with decreased Economic Velocity with force people into another economic indeflation where mass deflation and inflation are being made at the same time -- deflation made by the fear of markets downward trends and consumers reverting to mattress savings of cash, and inflation made by the government creating new incentives for people to apply credit and loans, new stimulus handouts, and any other way they can think of to stimulate the economy and continue to have velocity.. There you have it, a combined analysis of short term and long term price targets, analysis of the market overall plus $PYPL charts specifically, and then a cross analysis of how current and future economic conditions could and would effect the price as well. If you found this helpful, Please remember to leave a Comment, Give this post a like and so you do can get regular updates for my analysis whenever they are posted, Follow me and make sure you have notifications turned on!
NASDAQ:PYPLShort
by Gamblers_Paradise
11
The Channel To Watch, is this the end?The Gaussian channel has also been a support in previous bull markets, whilst tested we have not fallen into it; once the bull scenario had started. Even in the May dump. It was entered once, during the virus dump ¬¬ We are holding: * trend line, still on the weekly. * Gaussian entry holding. * EMA 55 close. Reconsider my bias if these listed structures fail. As coinskid says, the greater the re-trace, the greater the impulsive pace (unless this is a double top market).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn2064811
EURUSD – How strong are buyers?EURUSD – How strong are buyers? Trend: Strong Sell Support/Resistance: R3: 1.10364 R2: 1.10141 R1: 1.10141 S1: 1.09572 S2: 1.09269 S3: 1.07715 Price action: EURUSD currency pair is potencial if price can hold above first resistance level. If not then it is better to wait. But overall flow from buyers perspective has to rest for a while, to continue way up. So if price can break below first support level, then we can follow bears targets. Potencial trade idea: Bulls targets: T1: 1.10141 Bears targets: T1: 1.09572 T2: 1.07715 NOTE – We are trading EURUSD via the preferred trading setups
Education
by EliteFxAcademy
A lot of "if" right now for BTC. BEARS moves are OVER?I Am always looking in to the longer term trading! Looking at my graph, I Am trying to make it as simple as possible for the people to understand it. I noticed the more complicated it is drawn, more people don't get it, but they do put like on it and think the person is very clever. We bounced of strong uptrend support line, if we get fixed below it, the road is open to $5000, with good resistance levels at 6200, 5600. Right now we are drawing a falling wedge pattern and hopefully 3rd wave will break $12300 and the the road will be open to $16400. I am very bullish right now! PS Whales are the ones who speculate and dictates, which direction the market goes, so you just have to think like them to earn and always have plan B and change your mind quickly
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ArturMemetov
4