EURUSD Breaches Critical Support LevelThe EURUSD price has breached the critical support level of 1.06263, with volume profile confirmation indicating a potential downward trend towards 1.02570. As EURUSD is typically associated with the stock market and the USD value, this development may result in a decline in the SPY index.
Overallmarket
I could be wrong but..Just an idea, I definitely could be wrong. everybody is talking about a 2023 recession but the sp 500 has closed 3 weeks in a row near the high of the week. Sure its in a range but 3 bullish hammer candles in a row on the weekly chart? there must be some sort of institutional buying at the 3800 level because every time we go there I see a bounce back up. I feel that a possibility that would be the against the crowd is a strong move up on equities. I feel that a move lower is kind of expected, its the consensus and as we know the market moves against the crowd most of the time. I do believe we are heading lower at some point this year but keep you guard up for a strong move up to flush out the shorts followed by a move down when its least expected.
from a trading perspective I will only be bullish above 4100. i feel the likely scenario is a pop to 4050 followed by a strong move down
let me know your thoughts in the comments below I do respond to all comments. have a fantastic weekend :)
S&P 500I am overall bearish this week! IMO we will see a push down on Monday, a continuation from Fridays sell off. It will be either Tuesday or Wednesday depending on Mondays candle we will see a rip up to a big resistance of 4100. Then we will make our way back down. if we break down past 1st support of 4000 we can touch 3900, If we break 3900we can touch 3700. This is a big support zone. we might see a bounce but if we either break or bounce up then break down past 370 we can be sure the bears will be in full swing and make newer lows for the year!
OVERALL PROJECTION FOR THE 1ST FULL WEEK OF JUNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Overall bullish on dollar!
Bearish on all other pairs!!
Looking to get a slight pullback/retest, then continuation!!!
YEAH SMALL TAKE INTO THE WEEK, LETS SEE WHAT WE GET! GANG. HAPPY TRADING.
** IN NO WAY, SHAPE, OR FORM AM I TELLING YOU TO TAKE THESE TRADES!! THIS IS SIMPLY SOME MARK UPS I WANTED TO POST SO KISS MY TRADING ASS AND DO YOUR DUE DILIGENCE!! THANK YOU**
FOLLOW MY YOUTUBE CHANNEL 'DIVINITY UNLEASHED' ILL BE RELEASING NEW CONTENT AT THE END OF THIS WEEK ABOUT MY CURRENT JOURNEY AND WHAT IM WORKING TOWARDS WITH FOREX!!!
MUSIC BY ME! ALL PLATFORMS!
TOTAL Market Cap - Critical Support!Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard.
I usually keep an eye on TOTAL to get a feeling about the overall crypto market bias. Just like I keep an eye on DXY when it comes to Forex.
As per my last TOTAL analysis, we are still bearish trading inside the red channel/wedge.
The reason for this update is to highlight that the Head & Shoulders Textbook target/projection is filled. As marked in purple.
Moreover, TOTAL is diving inside a horizontal support (in green) and approaching a non-horizontal support/trendline (in brown)
But of course, that doesn't mean that the bulls are in control. Not yet!
For the bulls to take over , we still need a break above the last high and the upper red trendline.
Meanwhile, until the bulls take over, TOTAL would be overall bearish and can still trade lower and lower.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Monthly Market ReviewI had some great trades this month around the santa rally and FOMC.
Thanks in large part to the great communities in and around fintwit / tradingview. Thank you all.
I’m enjoying learning from all you experienced traders and macro analysts.
Below is a review of some of my charts and analysis from the past month:
The month started off with a very bearish outlook. S&P was declining into what I thought was a head and shoulders pattern.
Ark was leading a move out of speculative equities like an anchor being thrown overboard.
However, Joe signed away the debt ceiling just as FUD of a market crash made headlines I could sense a bounce off the 21W was imminent.
Turbulence above 4700 feet was abundant.
Christmas rally patterns begun to appear
A divergence in volatility during a index sell offs
Thanks to vanna flows from JHEQX quarterly trade and tax harvesting
And Santa Musk taking a chomp out of shorts
The santa rally continued stepping up each day
But it was clear the hands of the fed are tied in 2022
As a battle to finish the year at the top of the charts ensued
A large gap needed to be filled as BTC pulled back and yields advanced
With bull traps waiting in the weeds for word from FOMC
But the fun is just getting started. Gamestop Anniversary is just a few weeks away!
Analysis of the most important indices (DOW, NAS,..) BULLISH!NASDAQ:
As expected, the Nasdaq made an intermediate correction. This correction ended very quickly and we saw a direct breakout in yesterdays trading session! If the market can maintain its position above 14,225 points today, it can be assumed that we will see target prices above 15,000 points in the coming weeks!
Conclusion: With the breakout to new all-time highs, the market confirmed my primary expectation that the run up will continue here. But the market has to stay above 13830 points for this.
DOW JONES:
S&P500:
Bearish scenario S&P
Long term prediction:
DAX30:
Overall market update - my thoughts (Nasdaq as an example)Hey guys. Here are a few thoughts on the NASDAQ & the entire market - In the long term I am basically bullish, but still see some short signals that indicate a possible correction movement. The entire markets currently see no borders. Therefore, a correction after a few ATHs cannot be ruled out.
An important zone in the nasdaq chart is 13,300. A bounce at this point could lead to renewed aths. A close below 13,300 would be a sign that we could see an M correction. I have drawn this M in the chart for you. Here again 2 important signals:
1. Double top
2. Bearish exhaustion gap down
Sell in may and go away?
fact is that bonds are going up – also international! The reporting season & the dividend season is nearing the end. An economic recovery could already be included in the price. These facts could have an adverse effect on the market.
BUT: there is still a good mood in the international stock markets. The stock exchanges worldwide have increased by 80% in the past 12 months !!! After the corona crash and the rapid recovery up to the summer, including the subsequent consolidation, the stock markets have made another technical breakout. Incidentally, historically we are in one of the longest phases of a bull market. The corona "crash" can rather be seen as a small correction: D
My message to you: Be aware of these signals but don’t worry too much if you are investing long term!
BUT: The bull market could go on. One reason for this is rapid economic growth, a strong recovery in corporate profits and the increasing number of new investors in the stock market. Incidentally, I can't imagine much cheaper prices for our small cap stocks either. But I am not assuming that you are only invested in small cap stocks. Currently the market is very exciting. I will keep you up to date.
Possible pattern in the overall marketThis is purely hypothetical. It appears a pattern has formed in terms of periods of heavy growth and periods of stalling growth. I was able to chart all 3 majors indices in aggregate thanks to @boji1 's post:
What do you all think? Do you think the market will be choppy all year or do you think this apparent pattern will continue and we have another leg higher?
Based on the last two cycles, the average return was 11.9% from the start of the growth period to the next rest period. Could see a 12% bounce back in the next 2 months.