ADA/USD - updateWe have seen a very nice rise with ADAUSD since the 11th Jan with increasing Volume on this Binance 1d chart. The only issue at the moment is that BTC is dragging everything down with it so ADA is having trouble maintaining its rise at the moment.
ADA is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and note that we have expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands and this expansion is for positive momentum. Not that ADA is above its Bollinger Bands Upper band so a retracement back under the Upper Band shouldn’t come as a surprise.
Note that ADA is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe.
ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud but note that ADA has risen and is now getting close to the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) resistance Level.
Note that ADA is still above its Longterm Pitchfork Median Line on this 1d timeframe.
ADA is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 8x daily candles that i have selected.
ADA is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range.
Note that Volume has increased and yesterday’s Volume Bar closed above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average and today’s Volume Bar will also close above it.
If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Diveragnce (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back over the Signal Line (Orange Line) generating a Buy Signal on the 13th-14th Jan and note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is very close to crossing back over the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone of the MACD indicator. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 17th Sept 2021 so this will be an important move.
If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the +DI (Green Line) is at 25.30 and has crossed back over the -DI (Red Line) which is at 14.28. this means that Positive Momentum is stronger then Negative Momentum on this 1d timeframe. Note that the Trend Strength is slightly weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 18.94 under it s 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 19.85 and under the 20 Threshold. Note that the ADX (Orange Line) is pointing upwards so we may see another massive increased positive rise if the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (White Line) and the 20 Threshold level.
If we look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that the %K (Blue Line) is in the Overbought Zone of this indicator. The %K (Blue Line) is pointing downwards but it is still above its %D (Orange Line). Be on the lookout for if the %K (Blue Line) stays above the %D (Orange Line) or crosses back below it. Note that because the %K (Blue Line) is in the Overbought Zone that doesn't see that it will drop out of it because the %K (Blue Line) can range sideways in the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time.
Here is a wider look at this 1d chart.
With such a rise it is not uncommon for the price to drop back under its Upper Bollinger Band before continuing upwards. If Upwards Momentum continues being strong then we may see ADA walk up along its Upper Band for a few days.
As usual with BTC dropping, BTC is dragging everything down with it and slowing ADA’s rise, so we have to keep an eye on what BTC is doing because if BTC drops under $40K, then that will continue to drag ADA and all other alts down with it.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
