Overbought
SPX is INSANE!! . . annnd Slightly Overbought?I mainly trade crypto but after having seen some parity with Bitcoin and SPX, I figured I'd drop this and see what comes back up. Would love to hear feedback on it but my general sentiments are that this thing looks toppy as H E Double Hockeystick!! I recently saw that margin debt is at an all time high, stocks as a % of household financial assets is also at an all time high and the Buffet indicator of composite value to GDP was about 90% higher than the long term trend of "fair valuation" which would be closer to 120% vs. the current 230% as of a recent reading.
DYOR of course and don't take this as investment or financial advice but man, I'd be taking some off the table and putting it into something a bit more tangible.
Good luck!
“All models are wrong, but some are useful.”
~ George E.P. Box
SELL FOR EURUSD 88 PIPSThis market has been in a downtrend and will continue to follow structure. It bounced off of my trendline and rejected major resistance. This is very bearish on top of it being overbought. There were bearish engulfing candles that showed signs of strength for the bears. There were large wicks forming on the smaller time frame as well. It is also showing it hit an important point on the FIBONACCI which shows a perfect touch of the .618. All of these signs show a downtrend and we will enter based on these confluences.
Sell for USDCHFWhy is this a sell? Market has been trending up for days and the market loves structure. This broke through resistance without a pullback.
Due this move upwards it needs to find grounding to validate its move up. This means it will retest our support line to see if this move was valid or not.
Think of the forex market like a rubber band. You can stretch it but it always comes back to its original structure.
The stochastic is overbought and the macd is showing signs of weakness. This will be a good 67 pip sell.
Bitcoin rising wedge on 4H Looks like on 4H Bitcoin is a little bit overbought. I think we are in rising wedge and if we reach $48-50k zone we can get reject and to appear big sell pressure. I still think we can reach higher levels without seriosly correction, but pullbacks like 10-15% are healthy in my opinion. We can break $50k without retest but i don't think is likely this scenario.
QQQ Bear Diagonal Put Spread Sept 368/Aug 27 356Hedged put position just took ten spreads on Friday 13th for net debit $7. NOT recommended for fainthearted, Big risk/big reward (maybe).
There is support at former resistance ~342 - 345, targeting. Index is overbought and struggling to break above 370. GLTA!
Bearish Divergence(NKE) Although NKE has been steadily increasing, we are seeing signs that a turn towards the downwards may be soon. The greatest indication of bearishness is the divergence that we are seeing between the prices movement and the momentum. What signifies a great entry for PUTS is the sell signal given by the Willy Oscillator. Due to a massive bearish sign, I see a target to 150 as a great place to consider cashing out your puts due to it being the 0.5 Fibonacci Support. If we keep getting bearish signs a target to 135 will be made since that was where the gap up started.
Bearish Signals
-Squeeze Indicator(4h)
-Bearish Divergence
-Willy Oscillator
Fibonacci Price Targets
-1st 164
-2nd 156
-3rd 150
-4th 144
-5th 135
Overbought weekly RSI with (daily) divergence in OBV and RSI14As the two mentioned indicators confirm each other AND the weekly RSI is also overbought I risk a little short position. Nevertheless, market could move higher anytime so I would only risk 1% with this first trade. If there is a new a high and I get stoped out I would risk another position if there are signs of weaknesses.
If the short plays out well I would try to make the trade even bigger! ;)
Caution: Trade against mid- and long-term trend! Stop-loss is beeing moved closer if there is a chance. :)
Overbought Consolidation of S&P E-MINIS&P looks to be repeating the same overbought consolidation that leads to a breakout into the upper band of the BTFD (Buy the Fkn Dip) Channel.
This seems to occur when everyone is expecting a market correction / BTFD opportunity.
Most note worthy was in Aug-Sept 2020 that followed the exact same pattern followed by a 10% correction.
Put Opportunity (ABT)ABT has been continuously failing to push above a Fibonacci resistance while also showing more signs of bearishness. The greatest of them is the divergence that can be seen from the Squeeze Momentum indicator. If a stock is increasing than the stocks momentum should also increase but for this case, that is not true. Another indication of bearishness is the Willy Oscillator giving a signal to sell, due to the stock being overbought.
Bearish Signals
-Bearish Divergence
-Willy Oscillator
-Fib Resistance
Audusd sell! Bearish marketWe have seen a huge rally up to resistance however we cannot break through. Most of the bulls have taken profit and it is overbought on the 4 hour. We can expect to see a move down to support if it breaks the maroon trendline. We are still in a bearish market and this only proves we will continue follow structure.
STRONG SHORT 🔴 Lenin Would Be Proud Of This Short STRONG SHORT 🔴 Lenin Would Be Proud Of This Short
We were one of the first traders who called short (26 July) when BTC spiked above $40k, and everyone else was calling ATH, moon, and bull run.
You asked me if the idea ("All-in BTC Short 🔻 TP: $31 700, x10") was still valid: Yes, it's still correct.
So, this is a clean remake of the same idea to reinforce our position.
🔴 KEY POINTS:
- RSI is strongly overbought
- Momentum hit RSI Resistance
- Price Action hit Historic Resistance
- Machine Learning (Artificial Intelligence, Linear Regression ) says upcoming Resistance
- Bitmex Funding Rates favor short positions
- Bitmex Troll Box is overbought (90% long)
- Bitfinex whales started to short
- Okex Top Traders have more shorts than longs
- Chart Pattern: This Technical Indicator Variation worked 100% in the past
We've got BTC short. All-in.
PCZ of Bearish ABCD Reached; Weekly RSI Overbought.We have reached the PCZ of a bearish ABCD on the weekly and have reacted to it and now the RSI is overbought and we may be due for a correction back down to around C.
✅SILVER WILL GO DOWN|SHORT🔥
🏛SILVER has moved up rapidly in the last two days
And the growth was stopped by the weekly resistance level
From where we are already seeing a bearish reaction
I think that Silver is now overbought(relatively)
Therefore, a correction is needed
So I think that the precious metal will sink further down
SHORT🔥
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Gbpusd Possible sell for 100+ pips
GBPUSD analysis: after our recent 112 pip win we are now seeing a test of the resistance line. The bulls that rode this with me had a similar TP and now that it hit most of us have sold causing exhaustion in this pair. On top of it being overbought on the 4 hour and on a continuation of a downtrend, we are looking for a sell. I have placed a maroon trend line to confirm the push down. If price breaks this maroon trend line we will see a bear market. This could be at least another 100 pips downwards for now we wait.
We don’t chase the market so be patient with this move.
Dark Cloud Cover on daily with Overbought RSI and Gap BelowThis is a second attempt at finding a short opportunity on MRNA after the first failed i have waited and i now see a new signal.
I expect that we will see a daily reversal in MRNA from here in respect to the Dark Cloud Cover candle Close we just got on the daily. At minimum we will see a reversal to fill the gap below but at the worst we will go all the way down to or weekly support level i highlighted in the chart.
All-in Short 🔻 Double: RSI Resistance, Channel ResistanceAll-in Short 🔻 Double: RSI Resistance, Channel Resistance
🔴 KEY POINTS:
- RSI is strongly overbought
- Momentum hit RSI Resistance
- Price Action hit Channel Resistance
- Machine Learning (Artificial Intelligence, Linear Regression) says upcoming Resistance
- Chart Pattern: This Technical Indicator Variation worked 100% in the past
We've opened short. All-in.