Gold Analysis - WyckoffHi Traders/Gamblers,
This is by far my most intricate and detailed analysis of Gold following a distribution that took place a few months ago, as shown.
We have hit our target area for gold as shown and stipulated.
Following the DXY's downward it has since settled and seems to be consolidating giving signals of a reversal with a H&S as well as distribution taking place.
This then means that gold is currently experiencing the opposite as it heavily relies on the USD to determine price action - DXY effects gold at around 2 - 6 times the movement (1% movement on DXY makes 2% - 6% on Gold, depending on sentiments and trend).
Gold could be potentially distributing here as it has reached accumulation cause and effect, or Stage 1.
We now wait for the other stages to be completed to fully confirm a downtrend which would see significant downward movement - possible into the 17xx or 16xx.
This however could also be a re-accumulation into a further upward trend, giving us 2xxx, it is important to note that we could still see 1960 as a point of UT or UTAD before going down.
RSI has broken upward trend and is currently bottomed out on Daily chart showing that we could range for a little more, however MACD is topped out and has crossed over signalling a reversing trend in the near future.
Volume is decreasing, creating a base, showing an exhaustion of demand and buyers and the possibility for sellers and supply to take over.
With CPI being released tomorrow at 1:30pm (UCT) this will be a good indication of where the market will stray, we are hoping for a lower low giving us SOW and then retracing back up to give us a last point of supply before heading down.
Once we have received the SOW and the LPS we will then be able to use the point and figure chart to determine a target objective based off of cause and effect.
It has been said that Russia are wanting to dump the dollar and invest in euro and gold which could possibly mean that Russia will sell off their gold positions and look to add more at a cheaper rate of gold - emphasising again the significant downtrend we could see along with a big spike back up once target is reached.
To read up on the Wyckoff method and the phases, stages as well as buying or selling signals read here: school.stockcharts.com
Good luck.
**This is not financial advice**
Chart is made shareable by clicking this link: uk.tradingview.com
Overbought
BTC possible Breakdown to support between 20k and 30kThis is not a financial advice.
Stochastic thoughts.
Good luck!
Trading inside a consolidation! 😒Now the situation is getting clearer on NIO to me. I see a consolidation between the 42.34 and the 40.89.
To the side it breaks, we’ll see a good movement next.
If NIO breaks the upper line, then the 46 is the next stop. If NIO breaks downwards, then the 20ma is the target. It seems simple enough to me, but it is not over yet!
The problem is the RSI. We have a small divergence, and it is overbought. This makes me more comfortable with the idea of a downwards breakout to the 20ma. Then the RSI will cool down, and the risk-reward ratio will increase too.
If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉.
See you soon,
Melissa.
Let's give PLTR another chance! 😉The divergence on the RSI is one of the reasons why I’m cautious on PLTR right now. I don’t see it crashing or anything, but I’m just waiting for another pullback to trade it again. Our last trade was amazing, and I’m sure PLTR will give us another opportunity, but now it is not the time, it seems.
Keep in mind that PLTR is right at a resistance in the 4h chart, and the RSI looks weird too. I prefer to wait for a decent pullback to the 22, or even the 23, if we see a good pattern over there. So far, I’m just an outsider, waiting for my next chance to buy it.
If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉.
See you soon,
Melissa.
PLTR might drop, and this will be good! 👍Yes, PLTR did break the pivot point we mentioned yesterday, and it quickly hit its resistance again.
I’m still waiting for a better risk-reward ratio, but I’m happy for those who did catch this trade. Now, the chart looks like a flag pattern, but I think it has to hit the 20ma one more time, at least.
The 4h chart looks very overbought, and it is in a resistance. Since we already did a phenomenal trade here, I’m good just waiting. I would like to see it at the 22 again, but let’s see, maybe PLTR will do another bottom above it, like Tesla is trying to do.
If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉.
See you soon,
Melissa.
Worried about a pullback? Don't be! 👍Yes, NIO is doing amazingly well, but nothing can go up forever. At one point, we’ll find NIO around a support level again, and this is going to be just another chance for us to trade it again. We did a great trade last week, so, I'm fine waiting for the next one.
For now, we see that it lost the 20ma, and the volatility is decreasing, as the BB gets tighter. The RSI is still above the 50, indicating that NIO is still strong, and the trend is still bullish.
Given that NIO is pretty close to the top at 43.21, and the RSI is very overbought, and that we had a bearish candlestick today, I’ll just wait for the next trade to appear in front of us.
If NIO fills the gap at 38.89 it’ll be perfect, but let’s see. We are also pretty far from the 20ma, and at one point, we’ll get closer to it. Let’s see how NIO will move this week, but I think we’ll trade it only next week – this is not a promise though.
If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉.
See you soon,
Melissa.
It broke our target! How to proceed now?Ok traders! PLTR didn't confirm the advanced breakdown we talked about yesterday, and today is flying again! Now the 22 was left behind, and it can even work as support next.
For now, the $ 24 is the second target, but since it already broke our initial target, it is a good idea to sell something around 25 - 50% of the trade.
The RSI tell that we are overbought in the 30min, and the 4h chart too.
It is still worth to hold some PLTR, but let's be careful out there. If it drops again to the 22, or to the 20ma, I will just buy again.
If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉.
See you soon,
Melissa.
The Stock Market Not a Reflection of The EconomyWe are living through the greatest economic expansion in American history. It has become very clear to me that the stock market is no longer a measurement nor reflection of the health of the "real economy" where average everyday people make their income. If it was then the federal minimum wage should be over $30 an hour compared to economic gains our economy has made in the past 30 years. The full-time and part-time employees, freelance and gig economy workers, and your average mom & pop small business owners will continually become displaced and outsourced as automation technology grows and the elite multi-national capitalist dramatically cut their labor cost through automation this decade & beyond.
We've hit the top 4.236 of this Fibonacci cycle I have going from the high of December 2007 to a low on November 2008. 13 years and growing of financial prosperity on paper but not so much in reality.
The gap between the rich and the poor have never been more grotesque in the history of capitalism. Our government is in the practice of creating infinite amounts of money that some how never gets to the people that actually are in desperate need of financial resources. That seems like a recipe for disaster and social unrest to me. Don't even get me started in the tsunami of inflation that will be coming.
If we drop coming back down to 1.618 may be a decent support area for the market (we dropped to the 1.618 during COVID-19 Quarantine). That would be a 56% retrace from these current levels. Can we actually keep the economy growing from these levels once the infinite money creating stops? Or will it ever even stop at this point?
The Nasdaq is flying as we expected! Now, let's be careful...The Nasdaq looks great, and it is flying as we thought it would, but we might see some correction tomorrow. It seems it is too overbought, at least in the short term, and the RSI indicates that. We have no confirmation that we'll see a correction on the price yet, but this is a possibility that we must keep in mind.
The 13,400 would be the next stop for us, in theory.
The 4h chart looks great too, and the RSI divergence worked wonders for us! We have yet to hit the 13,716, and I believe we'll hit there, but not tomorrow. Maybe next week. Either way, I invite you to stick around!
If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉.
See you soon,
Melissa.
#ANKR heading for sub .10? From the looks of this Monthly chart (Zoomed in), you can see an MA rejection 3 times. My best guess is a .9800 target buy Area. (NOT Trading Advice). The Yearly obviously looks ok, but after a 2200% increase I'd say a 55% retrace is healthy for another push up. Set your Alerts, watch your Charts, and Happy Trading.
Decent Argument For Bearish Divergence On The 4 Hour at a 61.8%At a 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement we have 4 Hour Bearish Divergence on the MACD, and Stochastic RSI and the Regular RSI is at Overbought territory. I expect to see at least some kind of of mild pull back from here Potentially making this a Bearish 5-0 where we continue to make lower lows.
SPX looking rather badThe S&P 500 Index looks extremely overextended and a downward movement is likely going forward.
Currently, the SPX is in a very similar configuration to the pre-pandemic (late 2019 going into early 2020).
Back then the price continued to move higher forming multiple tops while the RSI Exhaustion continued to decrease and stayed mostly bullish exhausted (colored green).
As easily predictable, a significant correction took place later on and continued until late March.
At that point, the chart had completely reversed showing a rather oversold situation and forming a bottom which gave us the opportunity to reenter for a new bull run.
As of today, the SPX is back to a very similar configuration to one year ago: going forward a downward movement is likely.
One final note on the supports. There are two major supports that will sustain the price should it start to fall. However, even the highest support is pretty far away from the current price level so there's plenty of room for triggering a downward movement.
ADA-Short-Cardano (short-term bear)Hello traders and investors!!😄👋
Let's see if Cardano falls after reaching a new ATH very recently.
If we see the fall, I have points set up that I am expecting ADA to reach in the range of.
This is a short technical-analysis👇👇.
Fundamentally, Cardano (ADA) is a very strong blockchain network.
In the event that we go up for another ATH, I have bull target listed above on chart💹.
This not a lengthy idea/post thank you.
🛑🛑🛑This is not financial advice🛑🛑🛑
Always have a stop loss ✋🛑💲 set please!!!!!
Thank you so much!
Jazerbay ☯
SPX500 - ED with little throw-over The market has been bunny jumpy and funny over time. If this will confirm and the grand super cycle will end we will see some major correction to the 1800-2200 area. Who will trigger it? Btw retailers have too much fade on the FED, pity. At the time market is very overbought and in the weekly RSI you could see huge divergence on the weekly chart and low volumes but the market keeps going. After all, at least we should correct it very soon and we will see some movement down. If not, then later consequences will be much harder.
Feel free to comment
Good luck guys and stay positive!
Brief Bear Before Next ATHClear Bear Signal on 14 Apr, engulfing candle in NQ ate up every penny earned on 13th, a twin tower. Volume declining, RSI Overbought.
Bull trend is intact, IMO gonna retest the breakout point and consolidate bullish power before moving to ATH in late April > early May.
A real correction to emerge later in May > June; then a summer rally. ERs will drive it now, SandP PE = 42, need big ERs to support price.
Not investing advice, trade at your own risk, GLTA!
Is Tapestry Set To Cool Off?Six of my algorithms signaled a SELL on April 13, 2021 for TPR on the 2 Hour charts. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move down, but sometimes it may continue to move up first. Since the signal occurred at the open, the continued upward movement appears to have already hit the mark. This could mean it does not move higher until it find my projected target box (green inside green) at the bottom of the chart. Ultimately the brief drop is temporary and could setup another great dip buying opportunity.
I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the 2 Hour chart after a SELL signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement upward before the stock finally moved downward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement upward, before the stock moved downward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential top in this instance.
The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final bottom.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
SPY has room to go UP!AMEX:SPY
SPY has some more room let to go up, although is on overbought setup. some indicators still showing some more momentum going up. support currently at 396-397. most likely it pulls back no matter what. but for now, just be cautious and take profits while you can.
let me know in comments below your thoughts on SPY