BTC Dominance Rising Wedge Theory
Each trendline has three points of contact and are logarithmically getting closer together: rising wedge pattern.
BTC Dominance beginning to look overextended (TD) and overbought (RSI) while testing resistance between 72-74%.
This is far from a perfect rising wedge as it excludes the September 2018 head fake, but a theory worth considering.
BTC.D closed above it's 200 Week MA (70.5%) for the first time ever last month. A close below could be fatal.
Currently expecting a January 2020 "mini altseason" with full-blown altseason in Winter 2021.
Overbought
forexTrdr EURCAD- DOWNTREND CHANNEL CONTINUATIONMorning traders
Following the big moves in euro after yesterdays european central bank meeting and the Euro spiking higher on lower than expected levels of Quantative easing being announced. The move higher has taken Euro Cad to the upper levels of the descending channel as per our trading view chart work. This coincides with extreme overbought levels on Stochastics and declining volume.
Entering a short here provides a great risk reward setup should the descending channel hold and the pair create another new low.
If you are interested in trying out a free 30 day trial of our work then please get in touch
good luck trading
Long T in the long-term, but looks overbought at presentAT&T stock has been rising rapidly after activist investor Elliot Management announced a $3.2 billion stake in the company on September 9th.
The RSI has crossed into very oversold territory while the ADI is signaling only a moderately strong trend. At the same time, the stock has moved above its 9-day moving average, which often signals a short-term correction. The chart is going parabolic with today's trading having gone almost vertical.
But there remains many reasons to be bullish in the long-term. Long-term resistance at 37.71 has been broken through. The company announced its 5G strategy today and urged competitors to do the same. T is ahead of the competition. Earnings have met or exceeded expectations for the last three quarters and are forecasted to do well in October. The stock has an attractive dividend of 6% and has a track record of increasing that dividend.
Put options could be profitable in the near-term. Buying dips could also be a good strategy. Looking to acquire a large stake in T? Use dollar-cost averaging over time. Avoid FOMO buying during mania like this. Long-term, T is an excellent choice, but a parabolic or vertical trend accompanied by universal optimism is always cause for caution.
BTC to 8350 USD (200ema), if fail to hold @ 9400 USD (100ema)Bitcoin reached about previous predicted level, after "Bear Pivot" signal triggered in LIVIDITIUM signaling script.
However, PRISM oscillators still looking weak + PRISM's pSAR-based RSI still have same way to go before resetting.
Expecting BTC to drop further to ~8400 USD (200 ema) if 9400 USD (100 ema) support fails to hold, which is also where the level2 lower AEONDRIFT band level lie atm.
On the 1D time scale, BTC is still in an "overbought" state base on Fast-LIVIDITIUM {F.LVDT} dynamic levels; noting the strong red-streaks >> which can be imagined as downward forces pulling the candles down towards the 0.6 guide equilibrium level.
By falling down to 8400 USD will position the price just below the F.LVDT 0.6 equilibrium/neutral Guide line, which will turn the market to be healthily bullish again.
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Note: In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
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Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
PRISM (PSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators),
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
How to use my FG oscillator in conjunction with DFG oscillatorLooks like BTCUSD still have a little bit further down to go, but is winding up for a next significant pump.
DEMO of the use of my FUSIONGAPS (FG) and DIFFERENTIAL FUSIONGAPS (DFG) scripts, with my LIVIDITIUM indicators set.
Not a financial/trading/investment advice. Exercise your own judgement and take responsibility for your own trades. ;)
See also:
If you like this set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
forexTrdr GBPAUD - RESISTANCE MEETS DESCENDING CHANNEL Morning traders,
Waking up to Thursday morning ECB day with a great short setup in British Pound versus Australian dollar. What we have is a descending channel being touched at the same time as the pair meets a resistance level to the upside around the psychological price point of 1.79. Compounding the trade is that as this is occuring the pair is reaching overbought levels on RSI indicator and Stochastic which is crossing over pointing to a move to the downside. Given then clear descending channel we have highlighted on our trading view chart we can see upside on this short of up to 250 pips into the high 1.76 area.
Follow us on tradingview under forexTrdr to get our sample ideas free and immediately - its free to setup a profile and the charting tools and software is easier to use than Meta trader and most broker platforms. Or if you want a free one month signals trial with us please get in touch.
Good luck trading
from the Team at forexTrdr
RUBI: possible reversal before earningsRUBI moved into overbought (MFI indicator) territory after a cup and handle formation. Will set a tight stop at the peak of the gravestone doji and look to sell before earnings. If this eventuates, it could form a larger cup and handle formation, something to keep an eye on after earnings is released.
LLC.AX: Good short setupA short on Lend Lease prior to earnings. RSI approaching overbought and price towards top of channel resistance. Look for a volume drop off or a bearish candle 19Jul to confirm the reversal. 5:1 risk:reward as shown but can adjust entry price down to be more confident in a fill.
forexTrdr AUDUSD - OVERBOUGHT HEADLINE SPIKE- >100 PIP PROFIT?Good morning traders,
After last nights confirmatory words from US central bank chair Powell that they will be looking to cut interest rates (as the market expected) we had a bout of USD weakness which we were able to take advantage of for our team in longs on GBPUSD, EURUSD and short USDJPY clocking up over 200 pips on those three trades alone. We are now looking to take advantage of the move higher in AUD to resistance levels and overbought territory.
As per our trading view chart we have highlighted a resistance level around 0.6977. This coincides with an overbought level on stochastics which has on previous occasions resulted in a significant pull back. Additionally volumes have remained extremely low on this move higher suggesting there is very little in the way of follow through demand for this pair to move higher through resistance. We are targeting a move back to mid 0.68 area and profits upwards of 100 pips as continued data out of Australian economy points towards a downturn.
We are offering more 4 months free signals if you sign up via the details on our profile
Follow us on tradingview under forexTrdr to get our sample ideas free and immediately - its free to setup a profile and the charting tools and software is easier to use than Meta trader and most broker platforms.
Good luck trading
from the Team at forexTrdr
SPY Bear Call Spread; Indicators mirror start of May 19 declineWe maintain a bearish outlook on the entire market, and are using the 298/299 call credit vertical to assume our bearish position. We are selling the 298 calls while simultaneously longing the 299 calls to execute a risk-defined trade. With a breakeven of 298.37, we make our maximum profit of $37 per contract when the underlying price drops below that of the short strike: 298. We suffer the maximum loss of $63 above the long strike of 299. Using a bear credit call spread instead of a bear debit call spread, we are able to assume a better risk/reward ratio: .58 compared to the put alternative with the same strikes which entails a ratio of .56.
Our bearish outlook is fundamentally driven, but also technically supported as we feel the market is extremely overbought, and many indicators further this notion. The SlowK Stochastic indicator (an indicator from 0-100) read a whopping 95, with the slowK in the 70s, mirroring the readings of May 1st, the start of the major downturn that caused SPY to lose nearly 550 basis points of its value in the month of May. The MACD is showing signs of impending bearish movement as the second derivative is negative. The DI+ is also decreasing at the moment, while the DI- is increasing on the Wilder ADX. The RSI also reached 70, again, just like May. The CCI agrees, as the reading indicates that this security is strongly overbought, with a value of 168, near the 170 seen on 4/29, prior to the drastic down-move. These similarities ought to be duly noted, and are indicative of the strong bearish sentiment that is beginning to prevail.
Fundamentally, there are many key issues that haven't been solved, yet, somehow we are near all time highs. The notion that with trade tensions still present (between not only China, but also the EU and Mexico, among others) all time highs are reached is befuddling to us. Using the CAPE (cyclically adjusted price to earnings multiple) measure promulgated in Benjamin Graham's classic, companies also seem extremely overvalued. Also, we note that the strong jobs report on Friday completely curtails the chance of a 50 bp Fed Funds Rate cut, and lowers the possibility of the 25 bp cut that is priced into rate markets.
forexTrdr AUDNZD- SHORT SQUEEZE COMPLETED- TIME TO FALL BACKAfternoon traders,
Looking at another great setup this time in Aussie Dollar versus New Zealand dollar which spiked overnight as the Aussie central bank cut rates but then indicated that was them finished cutting rates causing a short squeeze in this pair up towards the 100 day moving average around 1.05 where it has lost steam in moving higher.
Having watched this pair since the London open to see if it is finished squeezing higher we now see it as a great time to enter a short looking for the pair to pull back to yesterdays 1.0420 area and potentially lower.
Our trading view highlights the descending trend line that has held and the overbought nature on stochastics both making this a great level for entry and a clean trade to understand.
Follow us on tradingview under forexTrdr to get our sample ideas free and immediately - its free to setup a profile and the charting tools and software is easier to use than Meta trader and most broker platforms.
Good luck trading
from the Team at forexTrdr