Simple Way to Read Oversold/Overbought Without RSIThis is how u can tell if a market is oversold (or overbought) by reading price and using our little 14EMA friend
After price has a large push down (or up) like you can see in the yellow circles, it retraces up to the green circles
In example 1, this yellow circle was right on the close of a huge bearish 4h engulfing. Perfect example to see how it is oversold by seeing the large gap between price and the 14 cyan coloured EMA
And the following day we see this happen again in example 2. price pushes fast away from the 14EMA and therefore it needs to breath and retrace a little. No body can continuously sprint, neither can markets! "After big drop, markets must chop"
Whether or not you have RSI on the charts, it is good to know when a market is oversold or overbought because nobody likes entering and seeing the trade go immediately negative, only to see it later where you thought after you closed in a loss
Another cool term for a temporary up trend in an overall down trend is a dead cat bounce! This is a very very short term version considering we are looking at the 15m tf here
~ The trend is your friend and so are retracements ~
Overbought
EURAUD: Trendline Break within Parallel ChannelEURAUD
Timeframe: H4
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Bearish candle formations
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Price action at Resistance of Parallel Channel
- Breaking S/T Trendline within Channel
- Widening gap between the EMAs
- Fundamentally, EU-Italy impasse uncertainty yet to be priced in and may be volatile in the coming days while the AUD weakness has been pretty much priced in over last weekend
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.5570 - 1.5850
SL: 1.5918
TP: 1.5559
RR: Approx. 2.10 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
BTC Stochastic RSI spelling doom?After a big move down, the Stochastic RSI is at 92, overbought, when logically it should be way oversold. There's no retail interest, even though it's relatively cheap, so if I were a whale, I'd try to drive the price even lower. Hard to say where the next solid support is, because I haven't actually checked. Lower lows to come.
USDCHF: Continue Selling on RalliesUSDCHF
Timeframe: H4
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Weakening momentum in rally
- Price rejected 50 EMA
- Price action at 38% Fibo Retracement
- Price action at Resistance Trendline
- Price action at Horizontal Resistance Trendline
- Stochastic Overbought momentum (H4)
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.9950 - 1.0000
SL: 1.0049
TP: 0.9842
RR: Approx. 2.00 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
CHFJPY : Potential Sell entry** (H1-H2)Hey Guys !
Here is a nice potential entry for a sell order on CHFJPY..
We have a nice confluance here as usual ..
Based on:
- Parrallel channel (bearish)
-Fib-Resistance zone confluance
- Standard Deviation
- Overbought
- Strong bearish momentum
- EMA cross strategy
Good luck !
EURGBP: Resisted by Waning MomentumEURGBP
Timeframe: H4
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Waning strength in bullish rally
- Price at Horizontal Resistance
- Likely to Breaking S/T Trendline
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Fundamentally, both nations have internal issues that have yet to be solved, it really depends on timing on the events release; do note that EU will comment on Italy's budget tomorrow
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8890 - 0.8930
SL: 0.8969
TP: 0.8767
RR: Approx. 2.16 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
EURUSD: Market Volatility PersistsEURUSD
Timeframe: 1D
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Waning bullish momentum
- Price action at Resistance of Parallel Channel
- Price close to a Horizontal Resistance Line
- Price reversing off a retracement of the 38.2% Fibo line
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Fundamentally, EU-Italy impasse still remains and concern about global growth outlook creating abit more volatility in the markets
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.1415 - 1.1475
SL: 1.1509
TP: 1.1278
RR: Approx. 2.01 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
NZDCHF: Long-Term Short Trend NZDCHF
Timeframe: 1D
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Price action at Strong Resistance Trendline (Since Jan 2015)
- Price action at 61% Fibo retracement levels
- Gap between 8EMA and 50EMA too wide
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.6825 - 0.6925
SL: 0.6998
TP: 0.6453
RR: Approx. 3.42 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
USD/CAD Reversal off of Upper Channel Resistance, RSI OverboughtUSD/CAD is trending in an Upward Channel .
We have recently touched the resistance of this channel, so if price action continues this trend, we should see reversal to the channel support .
We are also approaching structure resistance , which should provide a strong reversal area as well.
-RSI is heavily overbought
-Approaching strung Structure Resistance
USDCAD: Retesting Previous Setup PostedUSDCAD
Timeframe: 1D
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Upward momentum slowing
- Price at Resistance Trend-Line (since June 18)
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Fundamentally, Canada's data is still strong, and Canada being a commodity currency was hit when oil price fell drastically, however, our view is that oil price has stabilize around this levels and this would provide a stop from USDCAD from weakening further.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.3200 - 1.3250
SL: 1.3318
TP: 1.3027
RR: Approx. 2.13 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
We are SHORT'ing the FUCK out of NYSE: $NGVC | #NaturalGrocers!We are SHORT'ing the FUCK out of NYSE: $NGVC | #NaturalGrocers! We are in the 5th wave of the smaller 5th wave! Unfortunately, I can't zoom in on the 1 minute chart, but this baby is going to COLLAPSE HARD! Higher highs in price + Lower highs in RSI = MASSIVE PROFITS!
EURAUD: Strong Supports; Ready for Bounce?EURAUD
Timeframe: 1D
Direction: Long
Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Too wide of a divergence for 8 EMA and 50 EMA
- Price close to Strong Horizontal Support (since Feb 18)
- Price close to a Support Trendline (previously resistance; since March 18)
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.5610 - 1.5670
SL: 1.5542
TP: 1..5884
RR: Approx. 2.89 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
AUDCHF (1D): Strong Rejections for a Sell AUDCHF
Timeframe: 1D
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Bearish Engulfing Candle (Daily)
- Stochastics Overbought Condition (1D)
- Rejection of 50% Fibo line
- Rejection of Horizontal Trendline (since Feb 2018)
- Price action reversed against Resistance of the Parallel Channel
- Fundamentally, AUD is pressured downwards with the growth concerns lingering around China and trade war issues not resolved. The CHF will most likely continue to act as a safe haven pair if market volatility remains.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.7245 - 0.7330
SL: 0.7367
TP: 0.7057
RR: Approx. 2.04 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
EURCHF (1D): EUR Event PlayEURCHF
Timeframe: 1D
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Bearish candles formation
- Price rejected Resistance Trendline (since May 18)
- Horizontal Resistance Trendline (38% Fibo level) strong
- Price broke the Short Term Trendline (since Sept 18)
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Fundamentally, Italy supposed to provide EU with a revised budget this coming Tuesday but from the likes of it, unlikely there would be any revision. The continuation of this budget issue will only make Italy's budget deficit worse with the Italian bond yields spiking higher.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.1370 - 1.1430
SL: 1.1497
TP: 1.1191
RR: Approx. 2.00 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
GJ SHORT technical analysisresistance at 146.00+ trendline rejection could equal a decent pullback to the 61.80 Fibonacci level.
overall I think Gj is going back up to retest 149 but it seems a bit overbought/extended
tight SL, big TP
im using lower risk than usual due to the massive bullrun it has had the past 16 hours. cant expect them to stop for you :)
USDHKD (1D): Take Advantage of the PegUSDHKD
Timeframe: 1D
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Pegged currency, strongly defended at 7.85 (Limited risk; any break above the 7.85 levels is gonna be a crisis issue)
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Not directly related but Double Top Resistance for the DXY, helps support the drop in USD strength
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 7.8365 - 7.8499
SL: 7.8573
TP: 7.7935
RR: Approx. 2.91 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.