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Krispy Cream Donut Weekly God Candle Has me lookingHi guys. Always on the lookout for major changes/shifts or Macro signals. Yesterdays 40% increase in Krispy Cream Donuts, has me taking a look into this one. This analysis is on the 1 week. Note, the current candle is not yet confirmed. Weekly close is obviously on fridays. I have highlighted 2 zones. COnsolidation range and a Supply zone. We do need to pay attention to these 2 ranges. BEcause atleast from previous history the supply zone is a resistance zone and thus a sell area. We would need decisive candle closes ABOVE for multi weeks for me to gain confidence that it has flipped to Demand or Support. Same goes for breaking out of the consolidation range. More info is needed such as confirmation. But nevertheless, What had me looking DNUT's way, was candle moving past the major resistance trendline that has haunted us since the stock being traded publically. I would like to note on the weekly timeframe, confirmations have not come in yet, and until proven otherwise it can be a fakeout and can always come back into the consolidation zone. AGAIN, End of week will give us better information. But it does not take away the fact that DNUT is moving. And atleast for now, DEMAND exists. VOLUME needs to follow with continued increase. Things to note in our indicators: RSI, breaking a major trend by signaling a higher high. But again end of week will clarify this. If it prints, i see it as a positive sign. STOCH RSI - crossing bullish with is almost above 20 lvl. This indicates possibility of momentum coming in to support an uptrend. MACD - Has Bullish cross, however we need to see whether or not we can get ABOVE 0 lvl. This would indicate a high probability for a sustainable uptrend. Being that this weeks candle has not yet closed. It is absolutely important to continue to observe. But DNUT has made it to my watchlist for sure. Is Krispy Cream Donuts, the Donut for me and you? Well time will tell. LOL. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on MINAUSD in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:DNUTLong
by SafofAllTrades
20
Americas Car Mart Testing Multi-Year Demand Zone (Buy Zone)Hi guys! This is a MACRO Analysis on AMericas Car Mart (CRMT). Macro meaning larger timeframe aka the 2 week in this instance. Macro moves tend to speak louder than smaller timeframes like the 1 day for example when they start to move in price. I believe CRMT has come to an important area and poses a great trade setup in my opinion. If we look to Price action. Notice 2 Support trendlines outlined. These are MULTI Year Support zones. When price reached the trendlines, we ended up bouncing UP. Notice our current price indicated by Orange box. Our 2 support trendlines have converged. When 2 support trendlines meet it strengthens the Support. Also notice the 21 EMA (Purple moving average) -> We have been below this since Septemberish of 2023. Moves below 21 EMA especially on the 2 week pose for good Buy zones as well. So the combination of converging Support lines and being below 21 EMA = Good area to take positions Now notice the 2 indicators ive included. These are momentum indicators. STOCH RSI has crossed BULLISH. (where blue line moves above orange line) Momentum can pick up and start a move up once this crosses ABOVE the 20 lvl. MACD is currently below the 0 lvl. With the histogram bars changing from dark red to light red. This indicates a waning of bearish momentum. It is also attempting to create a higher low. All good signs. Look for a Bullish cross and green bars to show up. That will help drive prices up. A cross ABOVE 0 lvl would bring about massive moves up. Continue to monitor the indicators and price to stay above the Support zone indicated. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on CRMT in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:CRMTLong
by SafofAllTrades
EL jumps on analyst upgrade LONGEL like ULTA was beaten down in covid times. It jumped in 2021 and fell in 2022 and 2023. 2024 might be the year they thrive again. On the weekly chart, EL is back to the support of its levels of 2018. With an analyst upgrade coming from Bank of America it is now getting a bit of attention. Trend strength and relative strength were down. I see this as a good entry for a new long position in EL while also looking at ULTA. Targets are the fib zone and a correction / consolidation area on the downtrend so 200 and 250. Now is the time to invest in female beauty.....
NYSE:EL
by AwesomeAvani
RH appears ready to rise from its base LONGRestoration Hardware on the weekly chart rose from COVID and then retraced for almost two years. It appears now ready to experience some investor and trader interest once again. It is rising from the POC line of its long term volume profile. The trend strength indicator just inflected and curled upward. I like to catch trends early to get as much of a move as possible and before the chasing begins. This is a possible megacap short squeeze set up. Targets are 380 and 480 as horizontal levels of importance.
NYSE:RHLong
by AwesomeAvani
NZDCAD - Already OverSold ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 NZDCAD has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red. Currently, NZDCAD is approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #NZDCAD is hovering around the circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
PYPL falls into deep oversold zone LONGPYPL on the 30-minute chart over the past week fell 10 %, Based on the anchored VWAP bands as well as the volume profile it is in deep oversold territory potentially as a reaction to the stablecoin plan. Volumes are relatively hig while the ZL MACD has had a line cross under a flipping histogram. I see this as an excellent long swing trade setup targeting the mean VWAP or the POC line as the first target for 50% of the trade and 25% each targeting the upper VWAP lines. I will take a combination of a number of stocks and a put option 2-3 months out for some trade risk insurance.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by AwesomeAvani
Price overextension: misconceptions and common mistakesPrice overextension remains a widely misunderstood concept in trading, causing both novice and seasoned traders to make errors in their decision-making. This misinterpretation often leads to placing trades in the wrong direction or, equally detrimental, overlooking profitable opportunities. In essence, price overextension signifies that the market has undergone a rapid and excessive movement in one direction. Such movements are often perceived as unsustainable. Numerous indicators, such as Stochastic, RSI, Bollinger Bands and many other, attempt to identify such "abnormal" price movements so traders could capitalize on them. Despite variations in statistical methods and calculations, their common goal is to detect instances where price went or down too much and is likely to reverse. In this discussion, I will use Relative-Strength-Index (RSI), a popular indicator, to convey my perspective on price overextension. While some traders argue for customization, the elusive question of "how" often remains unanswered. From my experience, there are no universally perfect settings that consistently yield optimal results. I’ll draw my examples from the recent SPY bar chart (February 2024). The first misconception The first misconception is that if price is overextended it is time to immediately start looking for a trade in the opposite direction. The most important phrase here is “start looking”. Many beginners misinterpret this as an invitation to commence trading, leading to the premature initiation of short positions during perceived market "overextension" and vice versa. So, the first and foremost important advice is to never try guessing top/bottom based on one indicator or gut feeling. Simple as it seems I remember many times breaking this rule myself because the temptation was too strong. It rarely ended up well. On the graph, I've highlighted three recent instances where the RSI exceeded 70 (indicating overbought conditions). What stands out is that, following each occurrence, the price surged significantly before consolidation set in, inflicting losses upon short traders. Even experienced traders, who look for confluence of signals, may fall into this trap. In the first two examples, bearish candlestick patterns failed to prevent subsequent price increases. Most likely, those candles were “created” by weak hands traders, who tried to short market, while it was actually controlled by strong buyers. These instances could have been avoided by considering the daily graph, revealing a robust bullish context – price was in an uptrend, one-time-framing up on weekly. There were couple of moments when bears gained short term control (Tuesdays 13th and 20th) but they never could take the previous week low; bulls always confirmed their control. The second advice is to avoid trading against higher level context. While sometimes those trades might work the result is usually mediocre and most of the times you’ll simply lose. If you really wish to trade against context you need to construct a solid dossier of evidence, supporting your trade. The second misconception What is the second misconception? It is that when price overextended it is not time to go with the market. In this scenario, traders refrain from initiating long trades after RSI indicates overbought conditions, potentially causing them to miss profitable opportunities. It might not hurt your account but who likes missing good opportunities? Surprisingly, seizing these trades correctly is not much harder than any other trade. It simply requires prudence and discipline and getting rid-off cognitive biases. For example, in the second example on the graph a trader could win up to 1% if he played off gap-up open after seeing that the new price has found acceptance. Conclusion It is possible to build a profitable strategy that relies on “price overextension” concept. However, it demands more than a cursory examination of a single indicator and adherence to textbook candle patterns. Personally, I reached a point where I entirely abandoned the use of RSI and similar tools because, instead of providing clarity, they seemed to cloud my thinking. Opting for a more effective approach involves keenly observing actual market behavior, which often defies conventional expectations. Study of high-level contexts, understanding key levels, and discerning confluence in price action signals on lower timeframes consistently prove invaluable. This method helps steer clear of common pitfalls and contributes to enhancing overall trading results.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by hermes_trisme
NVAX- a medical penny stock Buy Weakness LONGNVAX on a 120 minute chart demonstrates a trend down in the past month after a period of consolidation producing the POC line on the volume profile. The MACD shows some bullish divergence. The volume profile has high volume nodes at 4.0 and 5.0 separated by a relative volume void. NVAX fell quickly through that void. It can just as easily rise through it. See the linked article on NVA from TipRanks. Options volume and pricing analysis is that bets are looking at5.0 diligently. Fundamentally, NVAX has been range limited by its focus on COVID but it does have other projects in its pipeline admittedly on various timelines with varying probabilities of capitalizing on them depending on clinical trials FDA approvals and so on. On the imbedded relative strength table as compared with SPY and peers in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device and healthcare spaces NVAX compares favorably with MRNA its closest peer but is weak compared with most of the others I have selected especially with LLY, which is high-flying from its anti-obesity drug breakout. Device companies Stryker and Intuitive Surgical are quite strong as well. United Healthcare is dominant in the insurance subsector and strong overall. One often effective strategy is to buy when an instrument is oversold and undervalued at a discount. I will buy NVAX here no matter that I have insider connections with one of those medical device companies and a few not on the list. Sentiment only goes so far. I found the article compelling and so Novavax long I go. On a trading site left unsaid my screenname is "Bottom Feeding Grinder". I have an appetite for NVAX found at the bottom right now. This is a reversal/reversion to the mean long trade. It is not without risk. As a penny stock with high volumes, low cost of entry and perhaps low floats, volatility is underscored and exaggerated if a volume inflow gets underway That said, a short squeeze is within the spectrum of possibilities. Enough said for now.
NASDAQ:NVAXLong
by AwesomeAvani
ROKU falls after an earnings beat dissapointmentROKU on the 30 minute chart had a sell-off after earnings which were okay not great. Traders reacted. The question is whether it was an overreaction. I think it was. I am looking for a slow recovery over a week or more to at least the standard retracement level which I will call 98 as drawn by the tool. further upside targets are 101 and 104 based on VWAP bandlines. Buying on the discount is sometimes an excellent tool to reduce risk and use the reversion to the mean to best advantage and seize an overreaction in the market.
NASDAQ:ROKULong
by AwesomeAvani
ROKU is pulled back for re-entryROKU has been downtrending in a retracement of the uptrend from late May to mid June. On the 2H chart, price has fallen from the top of the fair value zone the bottom of the fair value zone. The zone is the area between the VWAP bands of the anchored VWAP. Institutional buyers prefer to buy in either the under valued zone or the lower portions of the fair value zone and then in turn sell high in that zone or above it in the over valued zone. The RSI indicator shows RSI to have descended into the oversold zone where RSI is about 20. On the volume profile price has descended into the high volume area where increased trading volume will support price and likely push a reversal.
NASDAQ:ROKU
by AwesomeAvani
1
TSLA: Is it Oversold?TSLA shares have lost their most important support level, around $230, and we are getting close to our next support, around $206, and such a move was detailed in our last public analysis, the link to which is below this post, as always. As we can see, TSLA shares have consistently failed to react around their support levels, showing great weakness, and so far, we don't see any reaction that would justify a recovery, or that could trigger a bullish move. The RSI is at low levels, below the 30% line, while it lost the 50 and the 200-period moving averages – however, there is no Death Cross yet. What’s more, TSLA has been dropping, losing all of its support levels, without any sign of struggle. A typical crash. It's a fact that the stock is well discounted, in oversold territory. Whether this is a reason for a bullish reaction is anyone's guess. The next big catalyst will be next week's results release. S ince we're approaching a critical support zone, and with the sell-off theoretically exhausted, this could be a promising turning point. Another important question is for how long will TSLA remain detached from the broad market? The indices are clearly bullish, and they have been for a while. Tech stocks are performing well, and the M7 are looking great compared to TSLA. It all depends on how TSLA is going to react now that it is close to the $206 support. Remember, always wait for confimation on the price. Any bullish reaction could trigger a short-term bounce to higher levels, the problem is that the mid-term trend is bearish, and it would be important to se TSLA breaking the 21 ema on the daily chart, along with the $230 resistance, to reverse this bearish sentiment. Only then, I’ll see a technical reason that could convince me of a better recovery – otherwise, we may see just a Dead Cat Bounce. I’ll keep you updated on this, so remember to follow me for more analysis like this. All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
6
Lucid Motors Liquidity GapIt would appear that LUCID GROUP is facing a sell off based on bad new, dilution of shares, lack of consumer demand. However, based on technical, it would appear to be a very aggressive sell-off it was a sell-off. Not beneficial to not allow for market to recover in regards to liquidity. Based on the aggressive downside moves, the probability of a cat bounce appears very high and I am honestly amazed at the open interest on puts that could look to be burnt. 3$ options expiring this week are trading at $.08 a contract at the moment and if there is any level of volatility to the bull side, the out of the money 3$ strike will flip into the money and dominoing into an extreme level of gamma exposure on the short side. People shorting need to close their position at some point, like also contributing to the large put open interest which could be contracts shorted with shorted equity.
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by kibakilla33
2
Where is the bottom for soybeans? Soybean futures are off to a rough start in 2024. In the first week of trading, March soybeans were down nearly 42 cents on the back of beneficial rains sweeping Central Brazil. Selling pressure permeated into Monday’s session as well, with soybeans trading down into the mid 1230’s. So, the question now becomes, will March soybeans make new contract lows? Fundamental Snapshot : Monday’s lower price action is not all that surprising considering U.S. export inspections for soybeans were reported at 675k metric tons - below average trade estimates. Meanwhile, Brazil has been exporting both corn and soybeans at record paces each of the past two years, and is expected to have a record or near-record soybean crop this year as well. Wednesday, CONAB will release data pertaining to their estimations of corn and soybeans. Currently, they are less optimistic about the state of the Brazilian soybean crop than the USDA, and USDA will release their World Agricultural Supply and Demand Expectations report on Friday. If we see sweeping downward adjustments to production estimates from both CONAB and USDA, it may help soybeans find a bottom. However, if the market is disappointed in the data released this week, we may see soybeans test 1200 sooner rather than later. Technical Outlook : After last week’s precipitous drop, it was surprising that March beans failed to enter oversold territory. However, it did not take long to break into OS territory on Monday’s session. The head-and-shoulders pattern that’s developed over the past fiscal quarter has a difference of approximately $1.20/bu, which puts an operative price target between 1198 and 1208. That also happens to be the 78.6% retracement level between the mid-June lows and late-July highs. Markets can stay in overbought/oversold territory for extended periods of time, so if data disappoints this week, we may see the head-and-shoulders reach its price target. However, a positive reception to fundamental data this week may serve as a launching pad for soybeans to start moving higher. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CBOT:ZSH2024
by Blue_Line_Futures