forexTrdr EURUSD- MAGA GDP OUT THE WAY LETS BOUNCE Afternoon traders,
US GDP smashing estimates yet again with a 3.2% growth versus expectations for 2.3% but this pair, Euro versus US dollar failed to trade (and hold) near yesterdays lows giving us confirmation that a near term bottom is in for the time being and that Euro is likely to head higher from here.
US GDP is a high impact event and for all traders it is something you want to avoid setting any new USD trades in the other prior to it unless you have high conviction and multiple indicators to back it up. Now that GDP is confirmed we are able to enter the market with a clearer view on what this pair is likely to do.
As per our trading view chart RSI is extremely oversold and the market appeared to find a bottom on a close level around 1.1125-1.1130 from which we have at least one candle bouncing higher from- the lower wick on the prior 4 hour candle.
We are looking to play a combination of profit taking into the weekend on shorts on Euro Dollar and looking to play the oversold nature of this pair.
As always this is not a trade recommendation and simply technical observation.
Good luck trading
from the Team at forexTrdr
find us on instagram, twitter and Alexa flash briefings
Oversold
Trading plan for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY for 24/04/2019EURUSD*
The technical cross-section**:
Trend: -1
A strength of trend: -4
Overbought/oversold : none
The priority area of transactions : selling
Selling in the area of 1,1290 with a stop above 1,1320 and a profit in the area of 1,1210.
Selling in the area of 1,1350 with a stop above 1,1410 and a profit in the area of 1,1210.
The purchase in the area of 1,1210 with a stop below 1,1170 and a profit in area 1,1280.
GBPUSD
The technical cross-section:
Trend : -1
A strength of trend: -4
Overbought/oversold : oversold
The priority area of transactions: selling
The purchase in the area of 1,2860 with a stop below 1,2810 and a profit in area 1,3000.
The purchase in the area of 1,2990 with a stop below 1,3040 and a profit in area 1,2870.
Selling in the area of 1,3110 with a stop above 1,3170 and a profit in the area of 1,3000.
USDJPY
The technical cross-section:
Trend: 0
A strength of trend: 0
Overbought/oversold: none
The priority area of transactions: buying
Selling in the area of 112,00 with a stop above 112,30 and a profit in the area of 111,10.
The purchase in the area of 111,50 with a stop below 110,80 and a profit in area 112,90.
The purchase in the area of 111,00 with a stop below 110,80 and a profit in area 111,80.
* all transactions are intraday, that is, it must be closed at the end of the day. The error in the parameters of transactions is +/- 5 points; in the case of fundamental force majeure, the recommendations may be less relevant;
** the trend parameter accepts values “+1” - an uptrend, “-1” - a downtrend, “0” - no trend. Determined in terms of the author's analysis of a set of signals from technical indicators from different time frames;
the trend strength parameter - accepts values from “-4” to “+4” and shows how strong this trend is. It is determined based on the author's analysis of a set of signals from technical indicators from different time frames;
overbought/oversold is defined in terms of the analysis of the RSI (8) indicator on a daily time frame. The boundaries of the zones are accordingly 70 and 30;
the priority area of transactions depends first of all on trend and its strength but is also taken into account our value judgments of the situation on the market.
Wish you successful trading solutions and transactions!
forexTrdr AUDJPY: SHORT TERM TRADE ON AUDMorning traders
Placing a short term buy trade on Aussie Dollar versus Japanese Yen on the pair trading down to support levels on declining volumes- suggesting the selling is running out of steam which at the same time is lining up with the pair trading into oversold territory levels. Additionally stochastic is showing, from extreme levels, that the market is starting to turn higher.
Bollinger bands are also pointing to the market reaching levels which should indicate a turn higher as well as the market trading significantly below Ichmoku clouds- all pointing to a short term move higher.
On the news front we have Australian inflation data tomorrow in the early hours so we are looking for a short term squaring up on positions into the data print.
Good luck trading
from the Team at forexTrdr
find us on instagram, twitter and Alexa flash briefings
Silver's Two Scenarios, An Important TimeSilver is falling into Support Area, Two Scenarios:
Break the descending trend line, stand over it: Reverse
Being pressed by descending trend line, breakdown the support line, and keep falling.
For the current signals, 1st scenario has higher probability, let me say, 70%.
Indicators:
9 Seasons Rainbow Multiple Time Frames Pattern PRO
RSI
Signals:
Bullish Divergence (Oversold, Support, Blue) on 3H.
Failed Bullish Divergence ( Crazy Sold, Fuchsia) on 16H, which means the previous support was broken.
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as live trade call NOR trading advice.
Please make their own decisions, carefully assess risks and be responsible for your own investing and trading activities.
Forex Divergence Watch: USD Pairs 20190419USDCAD: Resistance in 1D, Yellow, Range
USDAUD: Conflict Signals
Bullish Divergence (Blue) in 339m (5.6H), Support
Bearish Divergence (Yellow) in 4D-5D Resistance
USD Pairs being monitored:
USDAUD , USDCAD , USDCHF , USDGBP , USDJPY , USDEUR
Time Frame:
1H - 2D
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing advice NOR trading advice.
Please make their own decisions, carefully assess risks and be responsible for your own investing and trading activities.
Forex Divergence Watch: EURO Pairs 20190419Euro Pairs being monitored:
EURAUD, EURCAD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD
Time Frame:
30m - 1D
EURGBP: Bearish Divergence / Resistance on 170m (3H), Yellow
EURADU: Bullish Divergence / Support on 680m (11H), Blue
EURGBP 170m MACD, RSI
EURADU: 680m MACD, RSI
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing advice NOR trading advice.
Please make their own decisions, carefully assess risks and be responsible for your own investing and trading activities.
forexTrdr NZDUSD- DO KIWIS BOUNCE? ASKING A FRIENDGood afternoon traders,
Looking at a severely oversold New Zealand dollar versus US dollar on multiple time frames. Most appealing to us is the daily timeframe but almost all time frames confirm the oversold nature of this pair after the recent inflation print disappointed. 0.1% versus 0.3% expectation. This led for the New Zealand dollar breaching key levels around low 0.67.
The market appears to have a found support around levels dating back to January both on the headline number and on the subsequent short lived bounce after it. Now we currently see the pair in extreme oversold status on RSI and bollinger band analysis highlighted in our tradingview chart.
The bounce we are looking for may not start to trend until the New Zealand session begins overnight but we are looking for a sustained bounce into next week take New Zealand dollar back towards mid 67s.
Good luck trading
from the Team at forexTrdr
find us on instagram, twitter and Alexa flash briefings
Is Divergence Really Irresistible?Divergence is one of the best technical analysis theories. Although not 100%, a very high probability of profitability is well known.
This idea lists most of the instances of divergence on BTCUSD (Coinbase) since $19892 summit of December 2017 on 2H interval.
Indicators used:
RSI
MACD
9 Seasons Rainbow Multiple Time Frames Pattern PRO
Base Time Frame: 2H, most upper ribbon of "9 Seasons Rainbow"
Longest Time Frame: 90H (3D + 18H), most lower ribbon of "9 Seasons Rainbow"
Instances of Bullish Divergences (Green Arrows)
29 instances, probability of profitability > 85%
Signals:
Blue ascending arrows in RSI & MACD
Blue Ribbons in "9 Seasons Rainbow"
Instances of Bearish Divergences (Red Arrows)
17 instances, probability of profitability > 90%
Signals:
Yellow descending arrows in RSI & MACD
Yellow Ribbons in "9 Seasons Rainbow"
The value of divergence: it is not limited to fixed price and it happens on any Time Frame, when it encounters strong resistance or support.
The downside of divergence: high reward is coming with high risk, when the resistance or support being broken through, a breakout or breakdown may happen. Thus whales can use this to play with the market, with the recent case happened on April 1.
By using "9 Seasons Rainbow" Indicators, traders can monitor Divergence:
Visually
Cross Multiple Time Frames on a single screen, without necessary to change time intervals /sessions
Setting Alerts of divergence on All Time Frames on a click
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing advice NOR trading advice.
Please make their own decisions, carefully assess risks and be responsible for your own investing and trading activities.
The arrows and rectangles are added manually according to signals of the indicators.
Hidden Divergence is not included in this idea, because I feel the probability to win is not so high as normal Divergence. May be I don't find the right method to use hidden Divergence.
Is Divergence the King or Queen of Crypto Technical Analysis?Divergence is one of the best technical analysis theories. Although not 100%, a very high probability of profitability is well known.
This idea lists most of the instances of divergence on BTCUSD (Coinbase) since $19892 summit of December 2017 on 2H interval.
Indicators used:
RSI
MACD
9 Seasons Rainbow Multiple Time Frames Pattern PRO
Base Time Frame: 2H, most upper ribbon of "9 Seasons Rainbow"
Longest Time Frame: 90H (3D + 18H), most lower ribbon of "9 Seasons Rainbow"
Instances of Bullish Divergences (Green Arrows)
29 instances, probability of profitability > 85%
Signals:
Blue ascending arrows in RSI & MACD
Blue Ribbons in "9 Seasons Rainbow"
Instances of Bearish Divergences (Red Arrows)
17 instances, probability of profitability > 90%
Signals:
Yellow descending arrows in RSI & MACD
Yellow Ribbons in "9 Seasons Rainbow"
The value of divergence: it is not limited to fixed price and it happens on any Time Frame, when it encounters strong resistance or support.
The downside of divergence: high reward is coming with high risk, when the resistance or support being broken through, a breakout or breakdown may happen. Thus whales can use this to play with the market, with the recent case happened on April 1.
By using "9 Seasons Rainbow" Indicators, traders can monitor Divergence:
Visually
Cross Multiple Time Frames on a single screen, without necessary to change time intervals /sessions
Setting Alerts of divergence on All Time Frames on a click
Poll: Is Divergence the King or Queen of Cryptocurrency / Cryptoasset Trading Technical Analysis?
Please leave your comments.
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing advice NOR trading advice.
Please make their own decisions, carefully assess risks and be responsible for your own investing and trading activities.
The arrows and rectangles are added manually according to signals of the indicators.
TIVO Long OppAnnotations and Ideas provided on chart
General Idea:
Possible Double Bottom, w/ second bottom forming higher low
decreased selling on second bottom
Price trading in oversold territory (below the channel)
Unfilled Gap that also coincides w/ local HVN (not marked)
EURJPY BULLISH TREND IN PLAY?Here we see the 4 hour eurjpy chart, with a few reasons to go long.
One is the bullish chart pattern that was printed.
Second is the double bottom that is circled in yellow.
Third is the 2 osc just leaving the oversold after giving them a quick kiss goodbye.
I am personally taking this trade, how ever its not a signal. Just an idea.
Thanks
Nokia potentially oversold on the alcatel lucent newsFundamentals:
Nokia took a big hit after stating that they are starting an internal investigation on alcatel lucent which they have bought. Investors reacted pretty hard to this and the stock was diving more that -8% during that day. It of course could be that there will be some negative facts to be found and in the worst case even some fines to be had. So there is of course a risk associated with longing the stock at this point.
However, let's consider this from a different perspective. The company decided willingly to start investigation and they contacted officials by themselves and they do not expect any concrete consequences on the company itself based on the investigation results. Of course this is their own statement and view on the matter and they would ideally always want to make it look like a minor thing even if it weren't. However, considering the other possibility that there won't be anything significant to be found on the investigations and there won't be any fines. The stock has dived more that -5% based on these news and the fear of the potential results. If nothing will be found this would suggest the stock was significantly oversold and should be looking to recover.
Techical side:
The technical side is quite simplistic. RSI9 shows that the stock is on the edge of being oversold and looking at the previous behavior the level 30 has often provided support and the price has bounced up. Sometimes of course this has been violated and can be the case here as well. However just considering the option that after the stock has been up and being valuated at the previous levels 5.25 - 5.6 after Q4 report it would be quite hard to believe the proper value would be below 5€ which is of course a very important support level.
Considering the both sides on this price crash I would suggest that Nokia is currently oversold and will be recovering when the investigations continue and if they show no concrete results suggesting significant fines to be had. I'd be looking to long Nokia now or at the fibonacci support at 5.065 which has been already tested briefly once. Stop loss should be placed below 5.065 support or 5.00 depending on your risk tolerance and personal view on how confident you are on these news.
Lastly considering the option that the investigations bring up skeletons in the closet and significant fines are had then the stop loss is still quite small and the potential reward in my opinion clearly out weights the risk.
BITCOIN GOT VALID SUPPORT, BULL MAY TEST 4050 RESISTANCE SOONBitcoin (CONBASE:BTCUSD) just got valid support.
Double Bottom Pattern is obvious.
Bull is showing strong desire to challenge 4050 resistance, which may happen within 72 hours.
Signals given by 9 Seasons Rainbow Multiple Time Frames Pattern PRO Indicator
Crazy Sold(Fuchsia) -> Oversold (Blue) indicates a failed breakdown and Price recovered to the support.
This happens on 42m, 1H, 2H Time Frames.
Overbought(Yellow) on 339m time frame indicates strong resistance at 4050 which was tested on March 21.
Some altcoins got support as well with the same signal:
LTCUSD
ETHUSD