COMP Trade UpdateTraders,
Just realized I wasn't able to post the very fortunate trade entry that was made by me during our most recent flash crash a few days ago. I missed this post due to being briefly banned by TradingView for inadvertently violating House Rules.
Long story short, I happened to be sitting at my computer that evening and was perusing the charts per the usual manner. I noticed that COMPUSD had reached its target down from the recent Head and Shoulders pattern seen. But because the selling pressure was so heavy I decided to set my buy order even lower per chance I might get the order triggered and filled. Therefore, I looked for the next best level down and found that level at 35.55. This is where I set my buy order. Lo and behold it was filled! In fact, my chart which gathers data from the Coinbase exchange here, shows the candle wick bottomed only a few cents lower at 35.43! This, traders, is why charting levels, trends, and patterns can be very helpful.
Technical analysis is not always right. In fact, we have to count on a good percentage of our analysis being wrong. Such was the case in quite a few of my last entries which were stopped out during this flash crash. But TA gives us much better insight into what the probability of the trade becoming profitable might be. Pair TA with some fundamental analysis and you are well on your way to becoming a seasoned trader.
Back to this chart. You can see that we remain in the H&S Target box. From a technical perspective, this remains a good re-entry area.
Here are the positives:
RSI back above support
RSI still near oversold
Price in H&S Target Box
Price above good support (red area)
Here are the negatives, including fundamental considerations:
China FUD re: Evergrand bankruptcy
Elon FUD selling BTC
Macro-economic uncertainty = risk-off
Fed Powell Speech Friday
And one TA negative is that current candle is a shooting star
As you can see, technically the trade remains in your favor. But there is a lot of FUD out there. Be cautious. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Best,
Stew
