Overstockcom
OSTK continues its run to $130OSTK is in the middle of an extension wave. It consolidated in wave 4 of its extension today forming a pennant.
Wave 5 should be next with a target range of $127-130.
Overstok $OSTK in uptrendIt is following very smooth uptrend line so far and hit the fib 0.618 level. Pulled back to 20SMA zone and expect to move and break out.
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Is OSTK trading in a Ascending Triangle?It appears as though $OSTK is holding support above the 200 Day MA & potentially trading in a Ascending Triangle.
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
$OSTK div dates will soon start to drive priceUnusually $OSTK bottoming process commonly coincides with periods of lower volume.
$OSTK shorts should have covered now they are out of time $OSTKOPositive fundamental factors to consider:
- Insider buying s.flashalert.me
- SEC inquiry coming to an end www.foxbusiness.com
- Working with Oppenheimer M&A to sell retail
- Search traffic up 50% in Q3 twitter.com
- Global rank soaring higher twitter.com
- Dividend on the 23rd
- 31% Increase in traffic from Overstock.com to payment processor twitter.com
- Seeking Alpha: Overstock.com: Already 2 Months In The Black And Likely To Surprise seekingalpha.com
$OSTK breakout from ascending fib channel? Not even overboughtPositive fundamental factors to consider:
- Insider buying s.flashalert.me
- SEC inquiry coming to an end foxbusiness.com
- Working with Oppenheimer M&A to sell retail
- Search traffic up 50% in Q3 twitter.com
- Global rank soaring higher twitter.com
- Dividend on the 23rd
- 31% Increase in traffic from Overstock.com to payment processor twitter.com
- Seeking Alpha: Overstock.com: Already 2 Months In The Black And Likely To Surprise seekingalpha.com
$OSTK falling wedge, bullish divergence, ascending fib channelIn addition to what is highlighted in the chart, the low of yesterday bounced off of secondary cloud support on the daily chart.
Positive fundamental factors to consider:
- Insider buying s.flashalert.me
- SEC inquiry coming to an end foxbusiness.com
- Working with Oppenheimer M&A to sell retail
- Search traffic up 50% in Q3 twitter.com
- Global rank soaring higher twitter.com
- Dividend on the 23rd
$OSTK Bull trend resumes above Golden Cross for likely 3rd waveThe Bull Bear Trend oscillator back to bullish.
As much as shorts will have you believe that there is no reason for them to be concerned they are already covering and the number of shares sold short is down 17% from the highs.
Not covering here near the golden cross, 9% above the 200-day MA is very risky even from a TA perspective.
Additionally, the date of record on the new dividend is only 24 trading sessions away. A conservative estimate is that shorts not covered by the date of record may be on the hook for an additional $37,000,000.00 to cover the cost of TZero tokenized securities due to shareholders.
Even if the value of all of the Medici Ventures, patents and capital raised is taken out of the equation the shares are currently underpriced. The 2 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Overstock.com Inc have a median target of $44.00, with a high estimate of $48.00 and a low estimate of 40.00. The median estimate represents a +143% increase from the last price of $18.11 .
$OSTK extended 3rd wave could produce 200% gains as shorts coverAs much as shorts will have you believe that there is no reason for them to be concerned they are already covering and the number of shares sold short is down 17% from the highs.
Not covering here near the golden cross, 9% above the 200-day MA is very risky even from a TA perspective.
Additionally, the date of record on the new dividend is only 24 trading sessions away. A conservative estimate is that shorts not covered by the date of record may be on the hook for an additional $27,000,000.00 to cover the cost of TZero tokenized securities due to shareholders.
Even if the value of all of the Medici Ventures, patents and capital raised is taken out of the equation the shares are currently underpriced. The 2 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Overstock.com Inc have a median target of $44.00, with a high estimate of $48.00 and a low estimate of 40.00. The median estimate represents a +143% increase from the last price of $18.11 .
$OSTK touching down on 200-day MA. Golden cross in progressThe stock overcorrected due to the communication style of the eccentric CEO Patrick Byrne. The nature of what was communicated concerned shareholders but should have no bearing on the performance of the company. Search traffic is up meantime and the recent earnings conference call was positive. I see this as an overreaction on the part of many shareholders combined with a crash in the market and aggressive short-selling.
Looks like another $OSTK buying opportunityThis is an entry opportunity, perhaps a little sooner than expected. Regardless of Patrick Byrne's public statements which may have created some concern even though they are unrelated to the company, ultimately this looks like a backtest of several levels of support which were previously resistance.
The ADX and DI are still solidly in favor of the bulls for the time being. Keep an eye on the weekly candle close as well as the $20 support level.
$OSTK entering weekly cloud E2E may take it to $30.15 even $39.5$OSTK has a lot of momentum to the upside and yesterday's earnings call just reinforced this right as it breaks through weekly cloud resistance. Typically this indicates that there will be a continuation to the upside. I expect to see the price break 30.15 over the next few weeks and don't expect there to be much resistance beyond that until around $39.50 .
Weekly RSI is also looking bullish, well above 50 and has plenty of room to run.
Massive Inverse Head & Shoulder on a All Time Frame!Whoa, this may end up going Very, Very, Very Parabolic in the next few years.
$OSTK failing to make new low after 8 days of lower $NDX #tZEROPatrick Byrne's stock sale to cover personal obligations induced capitulation in the stock price. Subsequent insider stock purchases have made it clear that this was not a sale induced by anything other than debt obligations.
As seen in the chart, mean reversion is overdue and probably being held back by a continued downtrend in the entire market. With the S&P 500 touching down on the 200-day MA yesterday a bounce in the market could cause OSTK to rebound much more (in percentage terms.)
The Kijun is a measurement of mean price over time, the stock price of OSTK usually only strays this far from the mean at the bottom of capitulation. A rebound could mean a 33% to 50% bounce from the lows. It is currently just above the lows after many days new market lows.
$OSTK strong reversal pattern on bullish RSI divergence. #tZEROConfirmation comes as the RSI makes it above 50 on multiple timeframes. At the moment it looks very much like a bottom with bullish RSI divergence.
$OSTK Bullish divergence. Bears have done their worst. #tZEROConfirmation will come as the RSI makes it above 50 on multiple timeframes. At the moment it looks like a bottom with bullish RSI divergence.
#Overstock $OSTK RSI bullish divergence #tZEROBoth the RSI and the Fibonacci retracement levels on the way down suggest that OSTK may be bottoming here.
$OSTK #Overstock momentum reversal, multiple time frames #tZERO...uptrend on the daily chart is confirmed above $17.50
What happens if $OSTK runs out of panic sellers above support?Mean reversion takes it back to the cloud.
$OSTK #Overstock double bottom trend-line support and horizontalLooks like a short covering/entry opportunity.