OVH Group – Beneficiary of EU-US Decoupling?OVH Group – Positioned to Benefit from Europe’s Digital Decoupling from the US
We are seeing a clear push toward reducing Europe’s dependency on American when it comes to the Blocks National Security. US cloud firms like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google are increasingly viewed as sovereignty risks, given the reach of US laws like the CLOUD Act.
This shift is creating strong political and regulatory support for European alternatives. OVH Group, as the leading European-owned cloud infrastructure provider, could stand out as a key beneficiary, should this trend prevail. The company is well positioned to take on new demand from both public and private sector clients looking for a sovereign, EU-based solution that aligns with data protection and national security goals.
OVHcloud is actively involved in providing cloud infrastructure services to European public sector entities, including those with stringent security requirements. While specific government security contracts are not publicly detailed, OVHcloud has positioned itself as a trusted provider for sensitive data hosting. The company emphasises its commitment to data sovereignty and compliance with strict data security and confidentiality requirements, operating exclusively within the European Union and not subject to extraterritorial laws like the U.S. CLOUD Act.
OVHcloud has built data centers within the EU dedicated to storing sensitive data, ensuring that services hosted in these "zones of confidence" are operated entirely within EU territory. These services comply with the highest standards and possess necessary security and data protection certifications.
Furthermore, OVHcloud has obtained the SecNumCloud 3.2 qualification for its highly secure cloud platform, Bare Metal Pod. This certification, awarded by the French Cybersecurity Agency (ANSSI), acknowledges the platform’s adherence to stringent security standards, supporting OVHcloud’s efforts in providing secure cloud solutions for public and private sector organisations.
These initiatives align with the European Union's push for digital sovereignty, positioning OVHcloud as a key player in providing secure, compliant cloud infrastructure for government and public sector clients.
If European governments follow through on this digital decoupling, OVH could see a significant increase in contract wins and strategic importance—both of which could materially improve its valuation.
OVH
OVH buy signal based on MRV1 setup on 2 Jan 24 at RM0.225
- This is actually a repeated signal, as it was previously triggered on 14 Dec 2023 at a similar price of RM0.220.
- Although the support area could be higher, I would set the stop loss to RM0.195 to avoid having a stop that’s too tight.
- The target price is RM0.270. To maintain a risk/reward ratio of 1:2, you may choose to adjust this to 1:1.5 or 1:1 based on your preference.
- The time horizon is 2-3 months, as the signal is derived from the daily chart.
- The price is still at the lower range of the historical price, and there’s good momentum play on the previous signals.
- There’s a 1-2-3 movement pattern from the series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) after the price retracement in October 2023. This is good enough for a momentum play, especially with an uptick nearing an equilibrium support area.
- The immediate resistance is at RM0.250 and the next resistance is at RM0.295.
- The support zone is at RM0.210.
**Only for discussion purposes. Not a buy / sell call**
OneVue - Commencing UptrendOneVue Holdings has begun a new uptrend. This is marked by the breakout on significant volume of the 200EMA (daily). The price settled after this break for a number of trading days. The exit is set at two days trading below the 200EMA, or one day if the move is significantly below. My entry was limited by 15% downside to the 200EMA.
This is a long term momentum-based position. There is no target price for this position - it has unlimited upside and downside limited to 15% - both based on crossing the 200EMA.
As part of my investment thesis I always consider fundamentals. The entry price for OVH is high using traditional valuation methods, therefore entry is based solely on the above analysis. The fundamentals that support this investment are:
- The company has just become cashflow positive and profitable. This means all new revenue significantly improves the bottom line.
- Management owns a significant portion of the company
- Industry tailwinds (FinTech)
- Relatively fixed cost base
- Recent growth trend is strong
- Significantly net cash