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OXY

CL WTI Crude Oil - Getting In Sync With The Market MakersIn late July I made a call that oil's actual target in the imminent term is not $100+, but actually a 3 or a 4-handle. Oil - A New Long Leg Down Soon Begins I believe that this long term analysis is still correct. However, price action has shown that the target was finally the daily gap at $85 and was achieved last week. Thus far in some 7 weeks of trading, oil has only gained $9. I likewise believe that before Natural Gas goes on its next bull run, it's going to violently abuse the longs with a raid under $1.8 NatGas - No Moon Until Doom But with current price action, we may get a false breakout over $3.1 before that can happen. A pump in energy and metals in September would be congruent with the thesis that equities are going to have a very red September as a setup into a Q4 that takes out the highs, which I outline here on the Nasdaq ES Futures: Nasdaq Futures - Are You Prepared For Red September? But the problem for retail traders is everyone is "practical" and believes that we're going straight up from where we are. It's a new bull market, some guy who works for some big bank and is tasked with engineering liquidity for high net worth clients and funds, told social and establishment media. Equity bulls need to give their head a shake, though. And so do energy bulls. With the U.S. being net short hundreds of millions of barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and the Fed reiterating that interest rates simply are not going to be cut until there's an international economic crash, the "long" trade only exists insofar as riding the wave that is intended to kill long term funds who are net short. If the scheme really is to rally like it's a new paradigm into Q4 and create a Bump and Run and then blow the world economy away in 2024 ahead of the next U.S. election, which Joe Biden will win because Donald Trump will die in prison, then there are significant risks. It's just like Burning Man where they decided to do a ritual sacrifice to the Azov cult in Ukraine and were met with a flood and rainbows and now are trapped in 6 inches of their own urine and feces and alkaline mud. What I mean by the above is that the best laid plans of mice and men always go awry, and this should be obvious to anyone who understands the situation in China with even a modicum of sobriety. Unfortunately, the people who understand China with a modicum of sobriety are almost nobody. Xi Jinping is an idiot who is still holding onto the Chinese Communist Party, the most murderous and worthless regime in all of human history. While Xi has never participated in the persecution of Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners, which was started July 20, 1999 by former Chairman Jiang Zemin, and has even been killing the Jiang Faction as his real target in the Anti-Corruption Campaign, Xi is still the head of the CCP. When the CCP falls, Xi will fall with it and be impugned as responsible for all of the Party's sins in all of history. And this means that in the process of the CCP falling, Xi may show a glint of intelligence and wisdom and overthrow the Party himself, Gorbachev style, using the persecution as a weapon to protect the real China from being taken over by the International Rules Based Order that uses Taiwan as a proxy. What all of this means for energy and equities and really everything else is significant gap downs are ahead in the markets, and are likely to come at prices that are high but not that high. This is because if significant problems in China emerge and go viral on social media that Party West's propaganda machine are unable to suppress, it will disrupt the plan, and all of those long positions that are set to sell at high prices will turn around and start market dumping. This means you'll wake up one morning and see that SPY and QQQ are down 12% on market open, and this time, unlike COVID, you aren't seeing daily reversals for mitigation. Everyone will just be open selling to get into USD cash to run for their lives. Nobody will be around to maintain the bots, and every market will look like a cryptocurrency memecoin. So here's the trade on oil. We may see an immediate reversal at $85, where we are now. But I think the real target is $95, which will take out that effective daily bar double top printed in November of last year. That will draw in all the $100 call moonboys, since energy bulls are even more irrational than goldbugs. And they'll expire worthless as we head into the $40s to end the year while Apple prints $220 and Tesla prints $420 and NVDIA prints $480 (lolAIbulls). So if you want a trade heading into September, maybe we get a retrace to $82 on oil. Consider going long with a stop under the $77.60~ low. Sell at $95. Look for big dumps and go short on the retrace and hold into February for a $30 candle. Then get long for January '25 printing $150+.
NYMEX:CL1!
by LordWrymouth
$CVX - Falling Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Rectangle Formation produced a POSITIVE signal at a breakout resistance of 160. 🔹Marginally broken up through resistance at 164, next resistance at 173. 🔹RSI curve indicates a rising trend, indicating an early indication of a possible upward trend reversal for the price. 🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term. Chart Pattern: ◦ DT: Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 ◦ DB: Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 ◦ HNS: Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 ◦ REC: Rectangle | 🔵 ◦ iHNS: inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NYSE:CVXLong
by wavepoint99
Oil - A New Long Leg Down Soon BeginsThe oil markets have been something of a puzzle to everyone on account of the fact that they range sideways for long periods of time, move a little bit, decapitate one side of the market, and then range again. One thing I've been sure of is that after doing $120 post-Ukraine War, and after WTI literally hitting $0.00 ( $-40 settlements lol) this certainly was not the top. And yet the problem is, this retrace has gone on for too long, with any and every rally increasingly being melted away and melted away. So it's not bullish, either. There's major geopolitical problems right now. One for the oil long is that because Russian oil is banned from the market by the International Rules Based Order, it doesn't mean that demand increased for futures-traded oil. Like, futures oil is primarily the United States' domain, and you know the leftists in Washington are short hard on oil because they sold off the SPR. How it works is you ban Russian oil from the futures controlled markets. The catch is that Russia still sells oil and sellers always have buyers. It means Russia sells at a discount or sells in exchange for rupees and yuan instead of petrodollars. Which means that demand from smaller countries and even bigger producers moves away from futures-traded oil and into Russia's pockets, which ultimately drives the price of commodities down. Geopolitically, because of the problems between Mainland China, its current ruler Xi Jinping, and the IRBO who operates via Taiwan as a proxy, anything can happen at any time. China is the biggest wildcard in the world because it's the only 5,000 year old country, has an enormous population with exceptional natural resources, and is ruled by a Communist Party that has become exceedingly inferior and weak. What this means is that the CCP can either fall or be overthrown literally any day. You won't hear it's going to happen days before on CNN and from The Washington Post. It will happen during Beijing business hours, which means the middle of the night in Manhattan. And if Xi is smart, he'll throw the Party away himself and weaponize the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa in order to protect himself and the country from "War With Taiwan," which really and always has meant the IRBO trying to take control of China via Taiwan Ukraine Maidan Revolution-style. Since this event is in the cards, if it unfolds, it means we'll see $200 oil and in a big hurry. Really, in a big hurry. But before this happens, it only makes sense to melt down all the early longs and liquidate some funds first. I have an open call on Taiwan Semiconductor where I believe this company, because of the Taiwan situation, is a super strong long hedge in the upcoming markets: TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long Hedge So, here's the call. All we have to do is look at the yearly candles and we can see that last year's price action was something of a yearly wick play. And so if we take this logic and we expect that after taking the high wicks, the low wicks are next, we wind up with some clarity on a set of monthly candles that is otherwise nigh indiscernible. Unfortunately for bulls, that means we're looking at prices that start with a 3-handle. Nobody ever believes it when you make a call like this, unless it happens to unfold right away. And while these markets might manifest in a faster way in the coming months, oil is still something of a landslide down and tractor pull up kind of market maker who employs sharp shakeouts along the way. Here's the thing: The OPEC production cut news in April was a canary in the coalmine, only because the rally was clearly a stop raid and failed. The May dump afterwards was a bearish harbinger of doom. It confirms the market makers are seeking continuously lower prices on higher time frames. On monthly bars and with recent price action, the $62~ level is supposed to be "support." But this support is likely to be broken if this rally fails. I believe this rally will certainly fail and we are about to have an extremely significant optimal short entry at roughly $79. If the theory is true, see how fast $61 comes. And after $61 is broken, perhaps it will actually be a breakaway runaway. If that really happens, then the targets are 3-handles in the $34 and $36 range. You better believe it.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by LordWrymouth
15
UCO a crude oil ETF LONGUCO popped in April and then dropped into a consolidation in May and June where it set up a base shown by the POC line on the volume profile. Once over the POC on July 6th on the daily chart coinciding with a golden cross on the HMA 56/210 combination the bull trend began. The dual time frame RS lines in the 60s suggest more to come. I am trading UCO and similar oil-based instruments including USOUSD or forex in the near term until I see signals of a topping that are not yet evident.
AMEX:UCOLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
IMPP a volatile penny oil/energy LONG pre-earningsIMPP is rising from its lows of July after falling from a triple top in June at 3.8 which is the target for a long trade. Price is now above the POC line of an intermediate term volume profile having crossed the mean VWAP line anchored at the share split (purple and thick black lines respectively). Price bounced off the first negative standard deviation line making this a VWAP band bounce. The MACD lines are upgoing and so diverging. I see a stop loss of 0.2 as compared with a profit target of 0.6 making this setup a r:R ratio of 1:3. I will go long here also knowing of the rising energy sector supporting this ticker. This stock is a retail trader favorite when energy is" hot". With earnings in the morning, for me this is a no brainer to buy in the premarket and if rising complement with a call option. If you want my idea of a good call option, please ask in a comment.
NASDAQ:IMPPLong
by AwesomeAvani
XOM Exxon - Spring Coiled Or Hanging By A Thread?Every time the price of oil goes up, there's a group of bulls that are sure they're catching the train to $150. I mean, I do think oil will go to $150, and there has to be a bottom that comes first, so there's that. But with fossil fuels and energy producers it seems the pumps are rare, the consolidations are frequent, and the dumps are more common. In two recent calls, I suggest that oil may actually be on its way to a 3-handle Oil - A New Long Leg Down Soon Begins This particular thesis is at something of its inflection point. All the way to $85 would not be surprising, nor would it invalidate the short trade. But here we chop in the $80s. For Natgas, in a recent call, I suggest that price needs to raid $1.6~ before the rocket mission to $10 can commence NatGas - No Moon Until Doom Natty has rallied fairly meaningfully in the last few days, and it may even actually finally punch out $3. But if it can't continue from there, the idea may still be correct. A big tell that something isn't right in the bull thesis for Exxon is that after the highs were swept in April at $119~, everyone long over $111 has remained trapped ever since, with price not following oil's recent $20 rally. Now for Exxon, something that's really notable is that the CEO recently bought himself some 650,000 shares for $69 million. This makes many people believe that new highs simply have to be coming. When we look at monthly candles, we can see we're "flagging" above the old All Time High, there's no indication that it's a reversal, and yet, for three months, there is no reversal. On the weekly, last week's price action gave the appearance that it's finally time, but it may have just been a stop sweep over the range high. It's notable oil is pumping, but Exxon is not, despite its stellar earnings report. An important thing to note about Exxon is next dividends ex-date is August 15 and the payout is 91 cents a share. The CEO will pick up some $591,000+ in cold cash mitigating his position. It's also worth noting that when it comes to insider buys, they aren't necessarily indicative that price is going to go up before it goes down. The man may have understood he could make more than the 5% he can earn in the money market by buying Exxon and loaning the shares out to short sellers, combined with dividend payments, over the next year, for example. The most rational place for Exxon to correct to, if it were to correct, is the $68 level. There are a lot of geopolitical risks right now with China, the Chinese Communist Party, Xi Jinping, and the CCP and the Jiang Zemin faction's 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Gong. This is really the biggest piece of the puzzle that you need to educate yourself with, but establishment media doesn't talk about it. All of this directly impacts the oil market. And the War in Ukraine impacts the oil market, because if the War is called off then Russian oil is going to flow worldwide again and amount to a big time supply increase. Things can change any time.
NYSE:XOM
by LordWrymouth
Still bullish on Crude & OXYIm going to try and post this a THIRD time now, as you can see from the first post on June 26th & June 28th. Apparently you cant utilize the Twitter post feature on charts because its solicitation or advertisement, even though im just using the timestamps to show I actually called it publicly like I am stating here. ========================================================== "Ive been looking at AMEX:XLE and NYMEX:CL1! lately and becoming more bullish for multiple reasons, specifically on NYSE:OXY OPEC supply cuts and Geopolitical tensions with BRICS nations could cause supply uncertainty The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve's have been drained Tech exhaustion is setting in and I believe buyers will rotate into Energy Trading well after breaking $70/bbl WTI 50DMA is $73.45 CTA flows are skewed to the upside OXY 52w low 55.51 - 52w high 77.13 (todays open - 56.15) price-to-sales ratio in 2016 was 5.5 and is currently 1.54 now Berkshire keeps buying more and now owns 24.97% of OXY So my thesis is a mixture of macro, fundamental and technical indications. The risk-to-reward ratio was there for me so I went long at 1030am on the pullback 6/26/23 and add more on 6/27/23 on the big pullback. XLE was the leading sector by a mile today. It needs to clear 58 and 58.75 for a continuation higher. The chart below illustrates all the timed purchases by Birkshire(Warren Buffet) and the amount of money in each order. As you can see, he buys around the same exact levels for the past year." ========================================================== NYSE:OXY is currently sitting at 62.66, up roughly 11.6% since my original post 28days ago. NYMEX:CL1! made a high of 79.28 today, up roughly 15.38% since my original post 28 days ago. I believe it will be a slow grind from here to 82, but that break upwards needs to happen for continuation. I maintain my thesis on Crude and the rising tension in the GeoPolitical climate and how it will affect its price. The Saudis maintain their resolve to lessen production in accordance with OPEC. I have theories relating to this one on a potential good trading setup which I will post later. That is all for now.
NYSE:OXYLong
by d3f4ult
COP- Divergences suggest bearish reversal.COP has had a brief trend up in the past three and a half trading days of about 8%. An analysis of the 30 minute chart suggests this could reverse. Firstly, the HA candles are now narrow- ranged and more or less Dojis. The MTF RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows dropping RSI on the 5 minute TF while it is hold up at 100 on the 60 minute TF. The former is indicative of bearish divergence. In a similar fashion the zero lag MACD shows an early cross-over of the K and D lines over the positive histogram another bearish divergence and sign of impending reversal of momentum. Based on all of this I will take two put option on COP striking $110 one expiring 7/14 and the other 7/21 targeting stock prices of $105 then $102. I am projecting profits of 25% on the shorter trade and 75% on the longer trade. I will find the entry on the 5 minute chart looking for a pivot high coupled with a transitioning EMA200 from a positive slope to zero or negative. Other traders may simply short COP and hold to the lower target.
NYSE:COPShort
by AwesomeAvani
Crude Oil - Bearish On Oil? Saudis Made The US Cover Its Short.I've had a number of successful calls on crude oil, which you can find in my post history. In those calls, I had always been bearish on oil, anticipating a run to a 4-handle. However, I reassessed my prior assumptions when the MMs took out the Low Of The Year in quick order to start May. I haven't been particularly sure in the time that has passed, but between price action and some recent news, I now believe oil is set to reverse. The situation in mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party is very tense. The pandemic has taken a huge toll on the country, which the Party is not reporting to the world, and you can tell this if you look at their obviously bogus COVID death and infection stats published on major data aggregators. This matters because since Putin invaded Ukraine last year, there's become something of an alliance between the Saudis, Russia, China, and India, with many oil transactions no longer settling in the U.S. Petrodollar. So you have to be really careful trading right now with the geopolitical situation at hand. Everyone has flipped bullish on equities and is expecting a new parabolic run, but the situation is just as prime for a sharp and dramatic turnaround, which I reference in my recent call on the SPY ETF: SPY - It's Life or Death For Bears When it comes to China, Xi has the looming threat of having inherited Jiang Zemin and the CCP's persecution of Falun Gong, which targeted 100 million people and has even harvested their organs. Xi and the CCP also face the growing trend of the movement to return to China's traditional 5,000 year culture, which is the crown jewel, the magnum opus, of the whole world and all of human history. So the most important country in the world is very unstable, and you aren't hearing anything about what is going on. But the controllers know something is wrong and are scurrying about frantically, thinking about how they can take your stuff on the way down. So, my bearishness on oil has been based on the fact that the Biden Administration has drained the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, significant because although OPEC+ is a huge producer of oil, the US and its vassals, such as Canada, by far produce the most oil in the world. Washington selling the SPR is a short on the market by definition and they unloaded hard in the 90s and 80s, saying they wanted to buy back in the 60s. Yet the two times we've had oil in the 60s, they haven't rebought. I believe they intended to drive the market lower for longer and rebuy then. A few recent pieces of news came out. One is OPEC had a scheduled meeting in Vienna in early June, which they held in person, despite the next major meeting being in July. During that meeting, Reuters, WSJ, and Bloomberg found themselves disinvited, while every other media did not. Moreover, on Friday The Washington Post stated that Saudi King MBS warned the Biden Administration it would inflict economic pain when the US complained about production cuts. The Saudis have teeth because they own Aramco, which is also stationed in the United States, and the Saudis buy arms from the military industrial complex. NATO and the US needs to have the Saudis not wanting to get rid of them if they are to have any chance of deposing Putin and taking Russia for the New World Order. It's been well known that OPEC+, of which the Saudis are the biggest producer by far, want higher prices and need $80-100 to continue to run a national surplus. The second biggest news is a June 9 announcement from the Department of Energy stating the US will replenish 6 million barrels of oil from the SPR. This means Washington is covering its shorts. Now, you'll complain, fairly so, that the Democratic Socialists of America have sold some 280 million barrels of oil from the SPR since Biden was inaugurated in 2021, and you're right. 6 million barrels is certainly a drop compared to what they've sold. However, a look at the EIA website puts the 6 million barrel figure into perspective: since November of '22, only 20 million barrels have been drained. I will repeat myself again: the market maker is covering its shorts and that means it's very immediately dangerous to be short on oil and oil companies. So, this is hard to go long on because the delta between $70 and the $63 low is 10%, and on futures at $1,000 PnL per $1 move per lot, that's a lot of "Ouching" as Abdulaziz has said for early comers. However, generally speaking a bottom is a bottom and that means there won't be a new low. Either way, it's up to you to figure out where to go long and when to go long and if you want to go long. The most immediate target, even in an ultimately bearish continuation scenario, is $85, and more specifically, $95. And you may very well see a 9 handle as early as August or September. The problem with short on oil is on the monthly: COVID hysteria was an ultimate bottom. If -$40 wasn't an ultimate bottom then you call your mom and ask her what an ultimate bottom could be and let us know in the comments. If you've got an ultimate bottom and no real highs were taken, the the market is aiming higher, and not lower. A breakdown of price here means that oil as an industry is not going to recover, but yet green energy is a fallacy and alternative energy sources are nowhere to be found, while worldwide crude supply is actually not particularly abundant anymore. So what fundamental story is supposed to be used to drive oil lower? A bunch of talking heads on Twitter complaining that oil is going lower? That doesn't move markets. Producers have to deposit actual oil to go bigly short because contracts settle in physical goods. Moreover, the price action in March before the big move down in May was really, really peculiar. You see it more clearly on the weekly: Like, $2 away from a breakaway gap is where it chose to dump and actually set a new low of the year? Really, to me, this says that since we haven't dumped anymore and now we're getting fundamentally extremely, extremely bullish news, that the target can only be $95. People, for whatever reason, tend to like to buy above highs and so they'll get bullish at $85 and $95. But why not get bullish at $70? Warren Buffet keeps buying OXY. Is he doing this because oil is on the verge of another 5 year bear market? If oil is going to pump, what does this mean for equities? What does it mean for the VIX? With what's going on in the world, what does it mean for the future? How long will the happy continue? It's really worth giving some sober thought to, and it's really worth cutting the furus and the propaganda outlets out of your information cycle.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by LordWrymouth
10
HAL an energy stock setting up LONGHAL being part of the energy/ oil sector has been down lately but after all in keeping with the concept of buying low and selling high, it may be at a buying point. Here in the 4H chart, I have set up two long term anchored VWAPs one at the swing pivot high a year ago and another at a swing pivot low last October. As a result the chart has zones between the values (1) the mean VWAP zone between the two thick black lines. (2) the upper and lower one standard deviation from the mean zones between lighter blue lines and (3) the upper and lower two standard deviations from the mean zones between the lighter red lines. HAL's price has crossed the mean WVAP zone from underneath it, a sign of bullish momentum and so a buy signal. The targets are the evolving dynamic resistance above in the form of the zones between the blue lines and beyond that the red lines. The volume profile with a POC line near to the mean VWAP validates the setup. Accumulation in the three months as shown by higher relative volumes in the past three months is another validation. More demand will push prices higher. I see this as a long-trade setup. ( I also rely on Buffet buying more OXY ) My preferred position is a call option expiring in November or December at a strike $30-31 which if performing well will be held until a couple of weeks before expiration . This idea is meant to highlight the use of anchored VWAP on high time frame charts to capture the role of both price and volume in market dynamics and in the determination of zones of liquidity and volatility so as to provide quality analysis without reliance on multiple lagging indicators that may neglect any focus on volume and so handicap the trader seeking to take high quality A+ setups layering in some trade managment tactics to optimize alpha returns.
NYSE:HALLong
by AwesomeAvani
OXY breakdown is clearJust over 6 months ago, OXY was flagged to technically not do the expected rally as it broke down of the H&S shoulder. Many had bought in following the reported Berkshire's purchases of OXY , BUT technicals was telling of another type of scenario. Watching the breakdown was rather painful as it stretched over the last 6 months, with a recovery attempt that failed the shoulder line the second time, as if not clear enough. Finally, this week closed below the channel trendline (adjusted from previous analyses). Furthermore, this is the 52 week second lowest weekly close... good enough to tell that it will be the 52 week lowest close soon. Technicals are bearish, not very but clearly. Therefore, more downside is expected up till October and looking at a target of 50. The bearish marubozu may be indicating the rather strong downward momentum too. Point here is that it was clear and heads up given 6 months earlier. Now, we take delivery. Also note that the USD appears to be strengthening (a lot?) and this can push the breakdown further and faster. The overall equity markets are overbought, and if it is time for a retracement, then OXY can be affected further. Heads up... again.
NYSE:OXYShort
by Auguraltrader
USOUSD rises on reversal USOUSD today on the 15-minute chart dropped on a downtrend outside the Bollinger (lower) Band (49, ohlc,2) hit a Doji candle and then started the upward retracement. The RSI indicator shows relative strength hitting a bottom and bouncing up. RSI is about to go over 50. Price is currently below the high volume area with the POC line aligned with the basis center line of the Bollinger Bands. The ECHO indicator, a predictive algo tool is for a 2.5 % upward trend over the next 2-3 days. I see this as a good entry point for a long leveraged forex trade.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
ERX Energy is backERX is a leveraged ETF tracking the energy sector. On the 4H chart it has been in a downtrend since mid-March. IT dropped to the bottom of the high volume area on the long term profile as well as the lowermost VWAP band. Firday May 12th marked the reversal with buying volume replacing selling volume and then a significant rise in price in the past week. On the AI moving moving average indicator, the optimized shorter Hull moving average (red line) has crossed over the longer EMA moving average ( blue line) as has the price. I conclude the energy sector is heating up. My new idea on BOIL supports this. I will take trades with energy in mind and review big oil stocks and natural gas stocks as well as pipeline and oilfield services stocks.
NYSE:BOHLong
by AwesomeAvani
Analysis of OXY stock price breakout and potential continuation It appears that there has been a breakout of resistance at the level of 61.88 in the price of the stock of OXY. This breakout could potentially lead to a continuation of the upward trend in the price, with a possible target of 66.46. On the downside, there is a support level at 60.47, which could act as a barrier to further declines in the price. Overall, it seems that the price of OXY may be in a bullish phase, as evidenced by the breakout of resistance and the potential for further gains. However, as with any investment, there is always a degree of uncertainty and risk involved, and it is important for investors to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any decisions.
NYSE:OXYLong
by Red_Green-TA
OIL: Expected to rebound to $80 The oil price also rose nearly $2 under the stimulus of data, reaching a high near $77. On the 30-minute chart, oil underwent a wave of pullback after consolidating near 76.6, and its current position is the previous consolidation level, which has some resistance but not strong. The short-term strong resistance should be around 77.4. From a technical standpoint, the current process resembles the formation of a U-shaped bottom, with the MACD indicator in a crossover state. If a death cross occurs, it means that oil prices will experience a short-term pullback to seek support, which is likely to be around 75.6-76. On the 4-hour chart, oil has been oscillating within a box range, and the range of 81-82 is a strong pressure level. The MACD indicator has formed a golden cross, and unless there are unexpected events, the oil price is expected to touch near 81 in the near future. Therefore, I believe that the current focus should be on long positions for oil, with buying points around the support level near 76. The first target is around 78, and the second target is around 80. If it breaks through 80, it can go up to around 82. The probability of a one-step trend is not high, and oscillating upward is the most likely event. Every pullback after each rise will be a very good long entry point. Thank you for your attention and trust. Please continue to follow me, and I will bring you more wonderful insights and help you gain more profits!
TVC:USOILLong
by triumphing
OXY Oops... Previously, posted about the head and shoulders (potential) breakdown of OXY, based on the technicals. Thereafter, there was a weak attempt to recover above the 23EMA, and it faked out. Yes, for a couple of weeks, it did look like a wrong analysis, wrong call, etc. BUT the point is not about being right nor wrong, but being able to read and read it well. For this case, a bearish pattern failure is not a bullish sign. I think we need to establish this as a baseline in our psychology. A bearish pattern failure (seemingly so), in this case was an extension or delay only to show the true colours/commitment. Here, we can see that the bulls failed miserably. A failed weekly breakout, a gap down and break down of the 23EMA, a failed attempt to recover bullish grough above the 23EMA, another 23EMA failure and followed by a recent weekly low close; all with the indicators already pointing to bearishness or at least weakness since the start of 2023. The yellow dotted vertical line is the confirmation point IMHO. Target downside, if this continues is between 40-45, where we can look forward to some consolidation and recovery pattern(s). Notwithstanding, a major war escalation and the likes might trigger an immediate reversal. But that's another story... For the record, I am actually keen to accumulate OXY, but not now clearly. Not shorting it too as it is counter my initial objective of monitoring this.
NYSE:OXYShort
by Auguraltrader
Running Low on OXY?Running Low On OXY? I believe we will be "running low on oxy" over the next few days or weeks. A head and shoulders pattern was identified on the daily in confluence with 2 rising support trendlines. OXY broke below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern on Friday, February 3, 2023. Furthermore, the daily chart shows an increase of sellers at the break of the neckline. Therefore, I'd be interested in shorting OXY if it holds below the neckline AND breaks below the 2 rising support lines (for further confirmation). The level of interest is 60. Akili, MrALtrades00 *This is not financial advice.
NYSE:OXYShort
by MrALtrades00