NRT- European Energy PlayNRT an oil trust stock, is up 75 % for the year despite global challenged market. It is in the middle of its trading range for the past 12 months.
Given the situation in Europe and lack of Russian oil in the free global oil market. I see this as a long-term swing play on energy with
upside heading into the European winter heating season. With the RSI between 40-50% this market is not oversold or bought.
OXY
OXY SHORT after bouncing down from All Time ResistanceOXY as shown on the chart is still in a megaphone pattern.
Horizontal resistance red line is the all time highs of Spring 2018.
In the past several trading sessions, spot oil has dropped from $96 to $87.
The MACD indicator which is lagging shows the K / D cross over the histogram.
Accordingly, OXY is now trending downward to the mid-Fibonacci retracement levels
and the confluence of the mid-line of the megaphone pattern.
This appears to be a safe short trade setup especially now that the buying
pressure of Mr. Buffet has subsided.
WTI Crude Oil - Running and GunningAll of the fundamentals in the world tell everyone that because of mankind's insatiable requirement for oil to fuel its transportation network and electricity generation, supply and demand should result in a new all time high.
This is correct.
However, before this happens, the condition to be cleared first is that many unpleasant things will happen in the market and in the world.
Oil is about to take bulls and bears both for a ride with a run to $108~. The bears will say it shouldn't be happening, while the bulls will say that of course, oil is heading to $180, $350! and nobody can stop it.
After it takes a few heads it will begin to seek for new lows. $86 is the first stop. When I initially began to foresee this move in the last two months, I had assumed that this would come faster. However, with lows at $90, $93, and $92 in recent weeks, and the huge amount of volume being sold between $100 and $125, $86 is bound to be merely the first stop.
$80 will come next. It may come after some more chop and bucking, and it may just be bearish and run straight towards $74.
Be forewarned, before you mortgage grandma's couch to take a leveraged long on the nearest discount brokerage, numbers like $60 are probably enroute before we see any kind of bull activity.
But after everyone has capitulated, watch out. Oil is going to be expensive. Gasoline is going to be unaffordable. And the western Communist Party that runs our governments is going to install lockdown fuel rationing (Don't believe? Google: Sri Lanka QR Code Fuel Rationing, Ireland Oil Shortage Wargame).
Frankly speaking, I see Natural Gas hurting everyone's feelings under $5 before it turns around and runs to $18 near the end of the year. Never forget how cheap natural gas is is in North America and how expensive it currently is in Europe.
Going short at $108 with a stop of $111 and a target of $86 gives you an RR of 7.77. The perfect kind of number for cowboys, who love casinos.
What I want to tell you with this trade call is that when oil is dumping and everything seems hopeless, people who are good at detecting opportunities will realize they can find a glimmer of yield by investing in energy companies.
However.
And this is a big however.
You'll have to find energy companies who do not have links to China and the Chinese Communist Party. Those companies will be wiped out as the CCP is embroiled in scandals and targeted by the International Rules Based Order as the western regime makes a powerplay to depose and/or cuckold Xi Jinping in the coming months.
What I also want to tell you with this call is that the Party is over in this world, and it isn't coming back. This old paradigm you are used to of mashing the buy button in huge sizes of risk on anything listed on Nasdaq and making all time high after all time high before going and getting wasted at the bar every night and hiring call girls is over.
It's over, and it's never coming back. It's time to sober up. Now.
This new paradigm is a bear market. Have you traded a bear market before? Have you traded a choppy market before? A seek and destroy market before?
These types of markets are nothing like how getting long on the S&P and the Nasdaq have been. You will buy a dip and it will keep dipping and not come back. You will short a bump and it will be green for a day and then you'll get margin called in the morning and have to tell your wife you lost the last of your rice money.
For many, it would be better if you withdrew your coins, bought some gold , bought your wife something nice, and started to prepare to practice cultivation and return to tradition.
"What goes up, must come down" is a fundamental law of the Universe and part of how matter moves. Failing to respect it is the same as failing to respect an oncoming train.
OXY Going to $80+ by end of AugustI have been watching OXY the past two weeks and I have strong evidence that the stock will rally to monthly highs. My personal contract target is $85 September 9 Calls.
Give this one more time, it has been consolidating the last week after Buffet's news but I think we have more buying to come. Notice how even when the market dropped 1,000 points last Friday, OXY was still holding strong above 50% ownership rumor levels ($75+).
Personal Target - $88.00+ by end of September.
Not to be deemed as financial advice.
Impending Breakou (WEEKLY)OXY has been on fire this year and its looking to go higher. On the weekly OXY is looking to breakout of its previous high set at 73 in May. MACD is curling up and RSI is looking to go upwards as well. Very bullish closes over the past two weeks. Looking for it to hold above 75 this week before I enter.
VET is pumping profits LONGVET like OXY is showing a great chart with consistent price action.
Fundamentally, it has had great earnings reports in the past year.
It rates an 8/8 on the Minervini Trend scale showing strength and duration of trend
as very high. Vermillon Energy has been strong in the general market downturn.
I see this as a Swing long setup with a good expectant reward for the risk assumed.
I am considering the call strike $30 option for September 16th.
USOUSD Swing LONG ( Bullish Pennant)BITTREX:USOUSD
USO having retraced down from its high at resistance above
its uptrend until bouncing off a retriacement Fibonacci
level is now poised to rebound up until at least hitting
the respective Fibonacci levels of that move. This
appears to be a bullish pennant now ready for
a continuation / breakout.
I see an immediate term upside of 10% and will set a
stop loss of 1 % making for a reward of 10X
OXY Sellers Fall Down ( Flat Bottom Triangle Breakout) LONGNYSE:OXY
One hour chart: NYSE:OXY
In the past day, the relative volume of sellers has decreased
and price momentum is gradually increasing despite
the general market reaction to federal economic news.
The flat bottom triangle breakout suggests sellers are capitulating
on pricing given current circumstances. The RSI Oscillator
is in a mid-range suggesting more upside.
I see a long setup with call otpions 2 weeks expiration strike $85.
8/24/22 OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:OXY)
Sector: Energy Minerals (Oil & Gas Production)
Market Capitalization: 69.778B
Current Price: $74.91
Breakout price: $75.60
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $71.55-$65.95
Price Target: $85.50-$86.60
Estimated Duration to Target: 30-33d
Contract of Interest: $OXY 10/21/22 85c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.87/contract
COMMODITIES (OIL ) vs EQUITIES ( DIA)In this chart, I have plotted the ratio of the price of the USOIL ETF over the DIA, which is the broad ETF for the DJI.
The chart shows the USOIL ETF has been stronger than the DIA until the market lows in mid June after which
the DIA rebounded while hot oil prices cooled off.
The analysis would be is that oil prices may be relatively undervalued at present and so represent a potential
basement sale at a time when the federal goverment just approved a vast upgrade in oil leases on federal land.
If investing in big oil at this time ( like Warren Buffet) what stock or ETF trade would you be inclined to take? AMEX:USO
OXY spiked and started to break outHighlighted previously a couple of weeks ago, OXY just spiked 9.88% on Friday.
The weekly chart shows some consolidation and then a two week bullish candle stack. The MACD crossed over in bullish territory and this bullish run has an upside projection target of >100, a good 30% from last trading close.
The daily chart similarly has technical indicators turning bullish with crossovers in the RPM, and in the MACD.
Clearly bullish... perhaps with some technical retracement, and then a relaunch and then a good break.
Wait and watch for it!
PS. in some ways, I wonder if this remotely has any indication that Crude prices might be spiking soon again... just wondering.
DOABC correction appears complete. No in a leading diagonal rising wedge pattern. Likely a retest to $5.80 before starting the next leg higher.
FEDS open federal land for oil exploration LONG SETUP USOUSDVANTAGE:USOUSD
With the news catalyst of massive new open leases on federal land for USOIL
and the big oil companies USOUSD has reacted with a big uptrend.
with major resistance 3 to 4 percent higher this may continue.
This seems to be a good setup for a swing long trade on USOUSD
and potentially any of the big oil stocks.
OXY bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the US company Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY). Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an American company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration in the United States, and the Middle East as well as petrochemical manufacturing in the United States, Canada, and Chile. The company ranked 183rd on the 2021 Fortune 500 based on its 2020 revenues and 670th on the 2021 Forbes Global 2000. The Triangle has broken through the resistance line on 12/08/2022, if the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 27 days towards 71.75 USD. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 56.89 USD if you decide to enter this position.
After crashing 10% in the first week of August, Occidental Petroleum (OXY 0.06%) stock turned around swiftly to recoup all of those losses and then some in the second week.
Occidental is firing on all cylinders. It generated its highest-ever free cash flow, worth $4.2 billion, in the second quarter and repaid almost 19% of its outstanding debt, or nearly $4.8 billion, during the quarter. Having hit its debt reduction goal earlier than projected, Occidental also restarted its share repurchase program and is now in a position to grow its dividends at a rapid pace.
In fact, Occidental is now confident of increasing its dividend payout even at the West Texas Intermediate (or WTI) crude oil price of $40 per barrel.
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OXY, A TRUE example of FALSE break out !Regardless of what legendary investors (Like Warren Buffett ) or famous traders do, we always should trade our own strategy.
OXY was fighting with a strong static resistance and finally lost the battle. We have 9 hits to this static line which shows how powerful it is.
False break outs are among the most common traps in trading . Although the concept is very simple , many traders fall simply into the trap just because of lack of patience or weak risk management strategy.
Please keep this words in mind and I promise you will be the winner in long term : " Be sure about a break out before jumping into a trade " .
True break outs have three conditions:
1. Break out should be done by a strong high volume bullish candle and at least 50 % of body of such candle should be placed above the valid resistance.
2. A pull back to broken resistance and rotation is necessary to be sure about true break out. Please note sometime we may not see a complete pull back ( if there is a support before broken resistance) but who can accept the risk of false break out?
3. Continuation of movement in direction of break out.
Occidental Petroleum fulfilled first condition in it's last attempt ( if we close our eyes to volume) with a gap up bullish candle above the resistance. It made also a pull back but no rotation and continuation of the upside movement came after that. It means we had a false break out.
I investigated false break outs of a dynamic resistance in my previous publication on BTC and here I showed an example of false break out of static resistance. Regardless of type of resistance (dynamic or static) , concept is the same.
True break out setup has been shown on the chart. As you see the concept is very simple. Please keep this concept in mind and believe me you won't regret.
Wish you huge profits and good luck.
USOIL a classic Elliot Flat Correction?USOIL makes what looks like a classic Elliot Flat Correction. But where does it go from here? Is the correction a pause in upward prices? Or is the correction the change in direction from uptrend to downtrend?
Note that the bottom yellow dotted line is the 200day MA area. Haven't even bounced off that yet.
OXY - Occidental Petroleum long setupOccidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America.
- BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY (Warren Buffet) is acquiring shares
- Expected earnings and revenue beat
- High oil prices
- High volume
- Above 200 EMA
Update on OXY and SOXL Two earlier propositions OXY and SOXL identified were taken, as shared.
The exuberance of the week prompted a close of the trade really quickly, particularly for SOXL.
OXY just ran out of steam the moment it reached the resistance, so not yet to break out.
White arrows denote the entry and exit points. You really need to see the intraday charts, 30 mins or 1 hour so view a clearer picture of why the trade close was prompted.
In the longer mid-term, these two still appear to hold good opportunities, and will be under close watch, and waiting for a retracement to turn around.