Why Warren Buffett pours billions of dollars into OXY ?Legendary investor Warren Buffet is pouring billions of dollars into Occidental Petroleum Corporation ! when it rejected heavily from strong and valid down trend line ! why ?
Please note Buffett is a long term investor not a trader !. US market has been in a Bull run in large time frames (Yearly or Monthly) since 1932 therefore, any long term investor who chose fundamentally powerful stock has made a huge profit.
Although I believe Berkshire could have chosen better time and maybe lower price to start buying shares of OXY, I think it will see higher prices in long term in fact, It goes much higher than ATH and will reach to around 180 USD per share or even higher in up coming YEARS.
Now , lets look at what we have in technical point of view:
1. OXY was rejected strongly from valid down trend line in weekly time frame for 4th time . Break out of this heavy down trend line is very important for the stock to go higher.
2. In terms of Elliott waves, similar to many other energy stocks like XOM, COP, SLB and etc , OXY has completed and ascending complete wave cycle from IPO to latest major low (Primary degree waves 1 and 2 on the chart shown by green and red arrows respectively ). It means that impulsive section (Primay degree wave 3) of new wave cycle has been started at last major low around 9 USD. In closer look, currently we are in wave 4 of 1 of primary degree wave 3. Elliott wave labeling on the chart shows internal waves (12345) of wave 1 of primary degree wave 3. It means there is one more leg up ( wave 5 shown on the chart ) to complete wave 1 of primary degree wave 3. Then we will probably have a major correction (wave 2 of 3 ) down to 40-50 level and after completion of correction , wave 3 of 3 which is most profitable and most speedy wave will start. Please note this is most probable scenario and we are not talking about certainty.
3. Beside strong down trend line, there are many strong static resistances on OXY climb road. These Resistances are shown by red horizontal lines on the chart. Therefore, OXY will face difficulties on the way to reach it's target.
One more important note :
As Berkshire owns now around 20 % of company shares and they are long term holders, We can somehow be sure that 20 % of shares of company will be out of future sell pressure in up coming years which is very important note to be considered.
All in all, I believe OXY , like many other energy stocks , offers huge profit for long term investor and traders. However, Is it a right time to open a long position? It depends on personality and risk management and patience of investors/traders. I myself, keep OXY in my watch list and think it can be bought on lower prices as shown by green lines. To me, buying a stock when it is struggling with a strong down trend line is dangerous and as always, I am seeking for a safe trade set up.
I Hope this publication to be useful and wish you all the best.
OXY
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: $OXY) Back @ 2016, 2017 & 2019 LowsOccidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. It operates through three segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The company's Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. Its Chemical segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals, including chlorine, caustic soda, chlorinated organics, potassium chemicals, ethylene dichloride, chlorinated isocyanurates, sodium silicates, and calcium chloride; vinyls comprising vinyl chloride monomer, polyvinyl chloride, and ethylene. The Midstream and Marketing segment gathers, processes, transports, stores, purchases, and markets oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. This segment also trades around its assets consisting of transportation and storage capacity; and invests in entities. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Selection is not dead - and who said Growth ever was?INVESTMENT CONTEXT
Lithuania limited railway cargo transit across its territory from Russia to Kaliningrad; Russia dubbed the move as "openly hostile"
Russia overtook Saudi Arabia as China’s biggest supplier of crude oil. Russian crude exports to China surged 55% in May
Turkey, Sweden and Finland met to discuss Turkey's opposition to the Nordic countries bid to join NATO
French President Emmanuel Macron lost parliamentary majority as the country's far-right regained momentum after the Presidential elections held last April
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned against the bloc's "backsliding" into coal as the continent tries to weave itself off Russian gas
Terra/LUNA project staff were banned from flying as South Korean authorities deepen investigations on LUNA's demise
PROFZERO'S TAKE
It's hard to look at the EU without feeling something disruptive is about to happen. The bloc's inflation rate is not too far from that of the U.S. (8.1% vs. 8.6%, respectively) - yet the ECB's base rate, even after the 25bps hike earlier in June, is still negative by 25bps, while the Fed is already pricing cash at 150bps. The Fed has stopped sustaining fixed income markets by not rolling over USD 30bn Treasury bonds and USD 17.5bn MBS per month - the ECB tried to walk down the same path, only to face backlash from traders which sent interest rates on the weakest countries (Greece, Italy and Spain) to fresh highs. And as Russia curtails natural gas supplies, the countries that are most exposed to energy security - notably including Germany and Italy - scramble to diversify the energy mix, stumbling upon the harsh reality that coal will attract criticism from environmental groups (and voters) while LNG supplies need re-gasification plants - whose dearth won't be made up for until 2024.
Nigel Bolton, BlackRock's co-Chief Investment Officer, said on June 20 he saw "extreme valuation opportunity in European banks". ProfZero would really, sincerely like to share the same optimism - or opportunism
Speaking of Europe - after dismissing blockchain assets as "worth nothing" (and therefore badly needing regulation, in a rare moment of pure pneumatic vacuum of logics), ECB President Christine Lagarde said "While the correction in asset prices has so far been orderly, the risk of a further and possibly abrupt fall in asset prices remains severe". ProfZero concurs with Madame Lagarde - absent energy security and supply strategy, foggy monetary policy (to tighten or not to tighten?) and a much feared fragmentation of borrowing costs already happening, traders are having it good shorting European assets. If only there was a strong Regulator...
In the opinion of ProfZero, the market-wise breadth of June 13's collapse has a deeper structural meaning, and could in fact contain cues on portfolio construction to cross summer season: (i) Markets are not done pricing a recession, nor the Fed's and the ECB monetary policy. After the 50bps rate hike on May 5, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq plunged 3.56% and 4.99%, respectively; after the 75bps rate increase on June 15, the indexes nosedived 3.27% and 4.08%, respectively. The Fed is meeting four more times this year; current expectations are for 75bps flat increases at each meeting. Should inflation fail to be absorbed in the economy, calling for more rate increases, equities would bear the brunt of the selloffs, (ii) Investors are starting to see Value as fairly priced - possibly signaling the beginning of reversal on commodity stocks, especially in the energy space. At the same time, Growth is not dead. Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) dropped less than 5% on average in the last month, compared to almost 15% by Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Petrobras (PBR), and Shell (RDS.A), (iii) It is still too early to construct risk positions. A clear trough has not been touched and even a touted recession has not materialized. No clear industrial path has emerged from the bear market; and without such, longs are but reckless positions. No time to cry; no time to risk either
$OXY Bearish Sentiment - In Line with Energy Sector Rather than look at XLE or the energy sector as a whole - looking at an integrated Oil and Gas company with more volatility gives us a better picture of the environment. There are obviously severe worries of a recession - hence the breaking of correlation between OXY and OIL futures the past couple days. With oil futures falling as well, the backdrop sets a fairly bearish tone for the short term. Looking at the levels, OXY could fall into the mid 40s prior to consolidation and then possible bullish setup.
Bullish case: Russia and/or OPEC production shortages supply constraining...US Demand stays strong...GDP growth stays positive for Q2
Bearish case: Oil continues to fall due to expected demand falling... Russia/OPEC issues subside/aren't as bad as expected...Fiscal policies before midterms
OXY: Can earnings boost momentum?!Occidental Petroleum
Short Term - We look to Buy at 55.37 (stop at 50.76)
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation. We are assessed to be in a corrective mode lower. Our expectation now is for this swing lower to continue towards the bottom of the trend channel, to complete a correction before buyers return. Earnings news could provide a good catalyst for the move.
Our profit targets will be 67.90 and 72.00
Resistance: 60.00 / 64.00 / 68.00
Support: 55.00 / 52.00 / 49.00
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Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: $OXY) Boost By Berkshire Hathaway!🛢Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. It operates through three segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The company's Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. Its Chemical segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals, including chlorine, caustic soda, chlorinated organics, potassium chemicals, ethylene dichloride, chlorinated isocyanurates, sodium silicates, and calcium chloride; vinyls comprising vinyl chloride monomer, polyvinyl chloride, and ethylene. The Midstream and Marketing segment gathers, processes, transports, stores, purchases, and markets oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. This segment also trades around its assets consisting of transportation and storage capacity; and invests in entities. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
OXY 4H shortSetup: Oxy just got rejected off the 4h 20 EMA. On higher timeframe, Oxy also looks bearish, adding confluence to our chart
Entry: When Macd crosses down
SL: 1 Atr above the 20 EMA( for a aggression trade) or 1 ATR above the 50 EMA( for a safer trade)
TP: Recent swing low at 0.21 or Ride the trend
#CDEV #WTI OIL IS BACK ON THE TABLE#CDEV #WTI OIL IS BACK ON THE TABLE, political pressure and Russia self-suicide leadership may revive the american oil industry. The world needs oil and it needs it now! Let's see if this fallen companies can do monster profits this year
2/13/22 OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation ( NYSE:OXY )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Oil & Gas Production)
Market Capitalization: 40.143B
Current Price: $42.98
Breakout price: $41.55 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $41.50-$38.40
Price Target: $39.20-$40.50 (Reached), $48.40-$50.60 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 80-83d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $OXY 5/20/22 50c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.50/contract
Oxy Short Oxy looks like it may have ran up and hit its head on the goal post, should take a breather here. I got some 40.00$ puts for 3/25, looking for a quick trade. Gonna cash out with anything better than a 20% gain. PS I work in The Permian Basin, we are super busy. Long term Oxy will test the break out and head higher. This is just what I'm doing, the only thing you should do is comment back if I'm right or wrong lol, do not copy this trade.
1/23/22 OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation ( NYSE:OXY )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Oil and Gas Production)
Market Capitalization: 31.522B
Current Price: $33.75
Breakout price: $35.60
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $33.50-$30.40
Price Target: $39.20-$40.50
Estimated Duration to Target: 83-88d
Contract of Interest: $OXY 4/14/22 35c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.10/contract