OZON ❓ ARE YOU KIDDING ME ❓Today Ranks analytical crew has made a fundamental analysis of the Ozon company.
What's the matter? 🧐
Recently, OZON published the results of the 3rd quarter of 2022.
🟢 Analysts for the first time saw in the company's statements a positive free cash flow (money that the company can freely dispose of) 💰 in the amount of 864 million rubles (in the same period last year there was a loss of 14.5 billion rubles).
🟢 In addition, the company has demonstrated a colossal revenue growth of 98% in the period of 9 months 2022 to 9 months 2021, i.e. total revenue for the year will be about 2 times higher than in 2021.
🟢 Investors were also pleased with the dynamics of the number of active buyers, which increased 1.5 times in the period of 9 months 2022 to 9 months 2021.
🟢 And from the point of view of business development, the Ozon franchise entered the 🔝 3 most profitable with an investment of up to 1 million rubles.
🟢 And the latest news is that Ozon is going to open its representative office in China in order to provide wider access to Chinese goods on its marketplace.
After the report was published, dozens of different bloggers on social networks advertised Ozon shares as a great idea to buy. 🤑🤑🤑
🔴 Nevertheless, the company has not been able to get out of losses for at least 5 years, both in terms of operating activities and financial results.
🔴 The amount of loss per 1 share from 2018 to 2021 increased from -61 to -276 rubles. per share (4.5 times).
🔴 The overall Ranks score for the company is 25% out of 100%. First of all, this is due to the steady lack of profit.
🔴 Further, we cannot ignore the problems with the liquidity of assets, the current liquidity indicator is at 0.65, while the normal value of the indicator should be in the range from 1 to 2.
🔴 Moreover, the company is constantly forced to service a large debt, the amount of which is 11 times the amount of the equity.
In total, we have free funds in the 3rd quarter of 2022 in the amount of 864 million rubles.
At the same time, according to the data of 2021, the amount of accrued interest on the debt was 5.8 billion rubles (about 3.5% of revenue).
Thus, by the end of 2022, the amount of accrued interest will already amount to more than 10 billion rubles.
In such conditions, all of the above positive facts do not yet affect the fact that the company destroys the capital (wealth of shareholders) year after year.
Ranks analysts recommend investors not to succumb to emotional transactions and rely primarily on fundamentals and common sense.
Invest wisely, read Ranks on TradingView.
OZON
OZON. Update.In the last post on OZON, I wrote about the short from the current levels (₽3190) to ₽3000 (support), since the level with this round number is unlikely to be ignored by the market and it should be expected at least a local rebound from it.
After reaching the level of ₽3130, the price bounced, failing to cross the local maximum of ₽3230. The price returned to the level of the limit player, bouncing consistently with less energy. This situation provides for the continuation of the downtrend and entry into the short on the breakout of the level of the limit buyer. After the breakout, the price with long candles reached the nearest support level indicated above.
Next, I expect one of three scenarios.
1) Formation of DD with a local rebound (entry into a long in the range of ₽3000-3015). I do not believe in a trend reversal without forming a base (trading near the level).
2) Formation of an accumulation base near the level of ₽3000 with a subsequent trend reversal.
3) Breakdown of the level of ₽3000 and moving to the areas of interest ₽2700-2800 / ₽2400-2500, in which it will be necessary to monitor buyers' readiness for a trend reversal.
I consider the third option the most probable, so it's better not to rush to buy $ OZON for the medium term.
NOT IRR.
OZON ContinuationOZON HLDGS PLC
Disclaimer/
On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% - up.
The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and has little practical significance. But since the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of the shares depends on the psychology of the masses. With time in the distant future, not everything is clear. Due to the fact that the shares were placed recently, we are afraid of falling below the placement price (This trend can be seen in some companies)./
OZON setting up for a double tap to last highThis is good for a $10 run twice.
by iCant84it
05.25.2021
SHORT | OZON | Swing Trade | Mid-TermNASDAQ:OZON
Possible Scenario: SHORT
Evidence: Price Action
TP ~55$ , 13% Decline
I'll buy PUTS for 18 June, Strike 55$,
This is my idea and could be wrong 100%
Bull Flag (long)Ozon Could test $80 before the end of the month, if breakout is confirmed.
Personally going to buy June Calls ( Q4 Earning March 30 )
Strong Growth in Russia eCommerce and holiday season earning could make Ozon go Parabolic.
(Not Advice) , do your own DD, I am a novice investor.
OZON losing steam; get SHORTYSell signal with 8 confirmations. Put action to the next support zone.
Happy Trading, from CJ -- aka the greatest FURU.
To find out more about The Ultimate Stock Indicator on Tradingview, please check my public profile.
OZON - found bottom. Down trend brokenObserve
+ Christmas season. eCommerce should see a boom period
+ good entry price
+ all fundamentals intact as when it was at $50
+ found bottom at $41.05
+ Break of down trend broken
Orient
Long term bullish
first resistance at $44.93
Short term Price Target $50
Decide
Long equity
(options not available)
Act
Wait for retest and buy the dips