Bank of America: Ascending Broadening Wedge Below S/R ZoneBank of America has confirmed the MA's and S/R zone as Resistance within an Ascending Broadening Wedge just as PACW did not so long ago, and now more interest is building at lower levels, which could suggest that BAC will be breaking down from this wedge very soon, and the measured move would take it all the way down to about $2, though we could see it try to hold $17 before that.
This is a little bit of an update to the BAC and PACW fractal listed in the related ideas tab, this time more focused on BAC as a whole.
PACW
Western Alliance | WALWestern Alliance shares pulled back from their session lows after the Arizona-based bank denied it was exploring a potential sale
The Arizona bank described a report in the Financial Times that it was considering a potential sale of all or part of its business as “categorically false in all respects”, adding: “Western Alliance is not exploring a sale, nor has it hired an advisor to explore strategic options.” Two people briefed on internal discussions had told the FT that the bank, which has a FWB:2BN market capitalisation, was exploring strategic options including a potential sale of all or part of its business.
The Arizona-based bank, which has $65bn of assets, fell by as much as 45 per cent after the FT report, before recovering to trade 39 per cent lower. Earlier on Thursday, PacWest, another bank that has unnerved investors, announced that it was exploring its options.
Shares of US regional banks have come under heavy selling pressure this week after the regulator-brokered takeover of First Republic by JPMorgan Chase failed to restore confidence in the sector.
In a press conference on Wednesday, US Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell tried to soothe concerns about the bank turmoil, saying conditions across the sector had “broadly improved” since the period of “severe stress” in early March and that the system as a whole was “sound”.
US officials are watching deposit flows more closely than share prices, which Powell said on Wednesday had stabilised, given the view that they are a better indicator of the health of a bank.
“The resolution and sale of First Republic is an important step toward drawing a line under that period of severe stress,” he said before PacWest announced plans to explore a potential sale.
Western Alliance said on Wednesday that total deposits had risen to $48.8bn from $47.6bn at the end of March. It said it had “not experienced unusual deposit flows following the sale of First Republic”. It said 74 per cent of deposits were covered by Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation guarantees. Western Alliance for much of the past two decades was run by Robert Sarver, the former owner of the Phoenix Suns NBA basketball franchise.
Earlier this year, Sarver was forced to sell the Suns after an investigation found evidence that under his leadership the team had created a hostile environment both for black people and women. Sarver was fined $10mn and suspended from the NBA and the WNBA for a year. Sarver, who had held the top role at Western Alliance since 2003, stepped down as chair of the bank last year as the NBA controversy unfolded.
PACW PacWest Bancorp Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and chart patterns of PACW PacWest Bancorp prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 10usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.87.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PacWest Bancorp | PACWPacWest Bancorp sinks 56% in after hours following news the bank is exploring a sale but Powell said the US banking sector is strong!
PacWest Bank, confirmed Thursday that it is exploring “all strategic options” after its share price was cut in half in after-hours trading following a Bloomberg report that it was considering a sale.
“Exploring strategic options” is Wall Street lingo for “please help.” The last bank to announce it was exploring strategic options was First Republic Bank. That regional bank failed Monday, and JPMorgan purchased most of its assets.
“In accordance with normal practices the company and its board of directors continuously review strategic options,” PacWest said in a statement. “Recently, the company has been approached by several potential partners and investors, discussions are ongoing. The company will continue to evaluate all options to maximize shareholder value.”
The regional bank is assessing options, including a possible sale, and bringing in advisors to evaluate longer-term plans for the business,Piper Sandler and Stephens are the two firms advising PacWest, the person said. The shares of many West Coast regional banks have been hit particularly hard since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March, in part because of concerns that their customer bases are similar. This week, First Republic Bank was seized by regulators and sold to JPMorgan Chase.
The Los Angeles based PacWest has a roughly $750 million market cap, and is down by 72% this year. On Wednesday, PacWest shares declined nearly 2% during the regular session, and notched their fifth straight losing day. Other regional banks declined in extended trading following the report, with the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF shedding 5.3%. Shares of Western Alliance Bancorp dropped 27%, while Comerica slid 10%. KeyCorp shares fell 7%. PacWest reported that total deposits declined more than $5 billion in the first quarter to $28.2 billion as of March 31. However, the company said that it saw a net gain of $1.1 billion in deposits from March 20 until quarter end. PacWest also said that deposits grew by another $700 million from March 31 through April 24.
As with many other US regional banks, the value of PacWest’s loans and bond holdings has crumbled as interest rates have surged. Customers yanked their deposits in March out of fear that the bank could fail and they’d be left holding the bag. Although the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation insures accounts holding up to $250,000, many businesses have a lot more money in their accounts, much of which is uninsured. that left the bank and its competitors with a potential problem: If customers kept drawing down their accounts, the bank may run out of cash to pay them.that made investors nervous
Michael Burry : Lawrence, I found something really interesting
Lawrence Fields : Great, Michael. Whenever you find something interesting, we all tend to make money. What stock are you valuing?
Burry : I want to SHORT the whole Banking system !
Whos ready for the BIG SHORT 2 ?
BOH Bank of Hawaii Is this a safe short?BOH has been in a downtrend for 2 months since the very beginning of the small bank crisis all
precipitated by the fed and its rate hikes confounding the value of bonds with fixed yields.
As can be seen on the 4H chart, price was in consolidation in January and February but the
dropped out of the supply / resistance zone which is quite thick by the Luxalgo indicator.
Price hit another consolidation range at about $ 50 and then moved lower as the banking crisis
was temporarily stabilized but then took another downside leg. the moving averages show
price underneath both the EMA 100 and EMA 20 while also in the range of three standard
deviations below the mean anchored VWAP. the EMA100 and the mean anchored VWAP
provide confluent super-trend direction. Support is breaking down; Price is in the deep
undervalued area and has not stabilized where it is. As such it bargain hunter's dream but
more likely a solid and sate shorting candidate. I always keep in mind if a catalyst such as
federal rescue measures comes into play, and price reverses above say $36.00 some buying
momentum could come into effect especially if short sellers need to cover their positions to
out with a small profit or loss. This play would have far less liquidity than PACW but perhaps
more room to the downside from which to realize profit.
AAPL Earnings Beat $170 Key Level | Bank Fears | QQQ Analysis- AAPL short under 170 long over 170
- Regular trading hour for AAPL will be key to the direction, lots of calls bought for 170
- SPY double bottom today key level of support
- QQQ bounced off key support at 315
- AMEX:KRE made new lows XLF still weak
Regional Banks are telling us everything about this market!Traders,
Though, I've expressed this all along this past year, regional banks are now confirming everything I've stated regarding JPOW and the FED only having two choices about the future of the U.S. economy: deflationary recession/depression OR hyper-inflationary recession/depression. The line in the sand has been drawn and crossed. Should the FED attempt to rescue the economy by pausing rates or even pivoting, we'll likely see hyper-inflationary recession at the very least. On the other hand, should the FED continue to focus on tackling inflation, then recession it is.
Watch this chart closely along with our DXY chart. They are currently leading EVERYTHING (stocks, crypto, commodities, real estate, everything).
Stew
Regional Banks Leading Market to Hell?Regional Banks have always led our economy during booms and during busts. You will note from this simple chart that one key trend line has measured our current secular bull market. Regional banks have remained above this trend line since it was first touched in 2009. Excluding March 2020 (Covid19), which is not valid data, regional banks have never dipped below with confirmation. My best guess is that if they do, it will spell the beginning of the end for the U.S. macroeconomy in its current secular bull run. Watch closely as regional banks are really flushing the toilets today. If not careful, they may also need a savior. Enter JPOW and the Fed for a surprised pause/pivot ...if so.
PacWest, NASDAQ:PACW : -36%
Western Alliance, NYSE:WAL : -31%
Metropolitan Bank, NYSE:MCB : -27%
HomeStreet, NASDAQ:HMST : -23%
Zions Bank, NASDAQ:ZION : -15%
KeyCorp, NYSE:KEY : -9%
HarborOne, NASDAQ:HONE : -10%
Citizens Financial, NYSE:CFG : -12%
Remember, of our four largest bank failures to date: Washington Mutual (-386 billion), First Republic (-$233 billion), SVB (-209 billion), and Signature Bank (-118 billion) ...three of these have occurred in the last 2 months ...and we ain't done yet, folks.
The true shitcoins are large centralized corporate banks. We must be ready to transition to an alternative currency solution. Enter Bitcoin/crypto. Be ready.
Best,
Stew
WAL - Catching falling knife 101Treasury and FDIC demonstrated zero interest saving shareholders of SIVB (wiped out, the buyer of assets got $16B+guarantees for loans).
Same will go for the rest of $KRE = any assets are at deep dis count.
Can't save them all (nor they would want to).
Industry consolidation.
The End.
US10Y has not broken the support yet, all eyes on monthly close.It might appear on daily and shorter time frames that US10Y has broken the trend, dating back to 2020.
Weekly at key support level.
it will save the regionals (yield dives due to massive QE, HTM portfolio's MTM improves) or will destroy them (KRE).
PACW 90% chance the pattern resolves in ... Dive Dive Dive! Treasury and FDIC demonstrated zero interest saving shareholders of SIVB (wiped out, the buyer of assets got $16B+guarantees for loans).
Same will go for the rest of KRE = any assets are at deep dis count.
Can't save them all (nor they would want to). Industry consolidation.
The End.
PACW PacWest Bancorp Breaking Out With VolumeWhile Bank Regulators are trying to put together a package to save FRC First Republic Bank with JPM and Morgan Stanley, other hammered regional banks are looking like a bottom. PACW has a book value of 29.50 and a cash per share value of 17 dollars per share. FDIC Insured deposits account for 40 percent of total deposits, making a run less likely than FRC which has a 20 percent of depositors . These are compared to SVIB and SBNY which had a total of 3% and 6% insured by FDIC.
PACW PACWEST BANCORP LONG SET UP (10.4%) DIVIDENDS ATH $62BUY PACW LONG
ENTRY 1 $18.80
ENTRY 2 18.00
SL16.00
TP.1 25.50
TP.2 30.86
TP.3 40.50
TP.4 $48.00
PACW PACIFIC WESTERN BANK LONG SET UP (11%) DIVIDENDS ATH $62BUY PACW LONG
ENTRY 1 20.50
ENTRY 2 19.86
SL16.00
TP.1 25.50
TP.2 30.86
TP.3 40.50
TP.4 $48.00