H&S in US 10Y YieldH&S in US 10Y Yield, expecting downside as the neck line breakout today if it successfully closes below the neck line today in Daily TF.
Community ideas
ES UpdateGap is still open but market is cycling down. RSI is not oversold yet. Probably a bounce when RSI hits oversold, but I don't expect a big one until the daily gets oversold.
Market took such a big shit that firms had to sell gold futures for to cover losses and margin calls. So gold is red now as well. SO that play also appears to be done. Too bad I didn;t just short something before close like XLF or AAPL.
Gaps are so huge, I have no idea how to play this. I don;t recommend going long today though, unless its just a day trade.
EUR/USD 4h pair ......My eyeing a EUR/USD short from 1.09730, with a clear multi-target strategy:
Trade Setup:
Sell Entry: 1.09730
Target 1: 1.06000 (~373 pips)
Target 2: 1.03750 (~598 pips)
Target 3: 1.02086 (~764 pips)
Considerations:
Trend Check: Is the D1 or H4 chart showing bearish structure?
Fundamentals: Watch for ECB/Fed policy divergence, inflation data, or NFP reports.
Risk Management: Consider SL above recent swing high (maybe 1.1050+ depending on your timeframe).
Scaling Out: You could take partial profits at each target to lock in gains while letting the rest ride.
Want help analyzing the current chart to confirm your bias or refine entry/exit?
Falling towards pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3004
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2874
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3208
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EUR/USD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1092
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0900
My Stop Loss - 1.1202
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD - Already Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPAUD has been bullish trading within the rising channels in orange and red.
Currently, GBPAUD is retesting the upper bound of the channels.
Moreover, the $2.085 - $2.1 is a strong resistance zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper trendlines and green resistance zone.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPAUD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 127.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 66.59
1st Support: 64.82
1st Resistance: 67.96
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Has the gold tariff peaked?The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed is still the 3100 line. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 and gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is recommended to be mainly short on rebounds, supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3148-3150 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations.
Gold operation strategy: Gold 3100 short, stop loss 3110, target 3080-3070;
TURBO long-term outlookAfter completing its first cycle TURBO seems to stabilize around the 0.0010-0.0020$ region which marks the last ATH from 2023. What's interesting here is that TURBO follows the DOGE coin pattern levels almost to a T, in speedrun mode. It is absolutely not the same structure but it respects the same trading ranges and shows a lot of similarities, which is quite remarkable.
Watch out for this yearly trendline in the TURBO chart and expect some volatility for the next months. Breaking under 0.0010$ could potentially confirm a longer downtrend if we don't see a big impulsive bounce to the upside in the near future.
NFP BIG BULL SETUP BREAKOUT ALERT!🔥 Market Update for Traders! 🔥
Right now, the market is showing BEARISH momentum, and it's looking like we're heading for a dip. We could see the market fall and sweep the area around 3052 👀. Once that happens, expect a *huge* bounce back as the market could be getting ready to **shoot to the moon 🚀🌕!
🛑 KEY BUY LEVEL: 3130 - This is where you want to be ready to go long! 📈
🎯 First Target: Once we hit 3130, eyes on the ATH (All-Time High) for the retest! 🙌 And from there, we're eyeing a target at 3200 🚀🔥.
💥 NFP News Incoming! 💥
After Trump's speech, gold could *fall* around 1000 pips ⬇️, but **NFP could trigger a huge pump 📊💥. Stay sharp and trade with caution.
💡 Risk Management is KEY! Always follow your plan, set stop losses, and protect your capital. Don't let emotions drive your decisions! 📉🔑
Trade smart, stay sharp, and let's get those gains! 💸💥
#BearishMomentum #BullishReversal #RiskManagement #GoldPrice #NFPAlert
Gold - Heading Higher For Another +30%!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) won't stop any time soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in 2015 we witnessed a significant rounding bottom formation on Gold, starting the next major bullrun. With the all time high breakout back in the end of 2023, this rally was just confirmed and after the recent trendline breakout, Gold can still head much much higher.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Short-Term Gamble on a NASDAQ Bounce Using TQQQIn this quick update, I’m taking a speculative short-term trade on a possible NASDAQ recovery after a steep sell-off. Was the market oversold—at least for a day? Maybe. Do I think the pain is over for the longer term? Probably not.
I’m using NASDAQ:TQQQ , a 3x leveraged ETF that tracks the NASDAQ-100 (the top 100 non-financial stocks in the NASDAQ). This means if the index moves up 2%, TQQQ should theoretically gain roughly 6%, and vice versa on the downside. Leveraged ETFs like this are high-risk, time-sensitive instruments—they’re designed for short-term trades, not buy-and-hold investing.
The idea here is that after a sharp drop, institutions might step in to scoop up oversold tech stocks, creating a brief rebound. If that happens, TQQQ could give me amplified upside. But this is purely a gamble—I’m under no illusion that the market has bottomed. In fact, I expect more downside ahead.
I entered in the after-hours session once some of the heavy bearish volume faded, and I’ve set a tight 5% stop-loss to manage risk. Yes, I could get shaken out by an early dip before any rebound, but the stop is there to protect me if the sell-off continues.
This is a high-risk, short-term trade—buyer beware. If you’re considering TQQQ, understand the risks: decay from daily resetting leverage, extreme volatility, and the potential for rapid losses.
I’ll update on how this plays out. Wish me luck in the comments below 😁
Real question is where to take profit...
S&P 500 Down 3% – Divergence AppearsThe S&P 500 (SPX) continues to show a strong bearish bias and is approaching the 5,300-point level in the short term. Selling pressure remains steady as post-“Liberation Day” uncertainty persists, with markets concerned that the recently announced tariffs could significantly impact the U.S. economic outlook. As a result, this could severely limit the performance of equity indices like the S&P 500.
Bearish Channel
Since February 20, the SPX index has maintained consistent downward momentum, establishing a new bearish channel in the short term. The index has now broken below the key 5,400-point support level. However, the speed of the recent declines may have created an imbalance in market forces, which could pave the way for a bullish correction in upcoming sessions.
Divergence in Indicators
MACD: Both the MACD line and the signal line have shown higher lows in recent trading sessions, which contrasts with the lower lows in the SPX price, indicating a bullish divergence.
RSI: The RSI is showing a similar pattern, with the line forming higher lows while price continues to make lower lows. Additionally, the RSI is now approaching the 30 level, which is typically considered the oversold zone.
These divergence and oversold signals suggest that bearish momentum has accelerated sharply, potentially signaling short-term exhaustion. As the balance between buyers and sellers begins to stabilize, this may be an early indication that upward corrections could occur in the next few sessions.
Key Levels:
5,780 points – Distant resistance: This level aligns with the 200-period moving average. A return to this zone could mark the start of a new bullish phase, posing a threat to the current bearish channel.
5,530 points – Near resistance: This area corresponds to neutral levels seen in recent weeks. It may become a target zone for potential corrective upward moves.
5,388 points – Key support zone: This level matches the lowest prices since September 2024 and is where the price is currently consolidating. If the index breaks decisively below this level, it could lead to a more extended bearish channel in the short term.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
ICP - It's TimeBullish wedge, broke above the upper line and then retested the line without breaking the previous low, bullish divergence on MACD, as well as declining sell volume. Bears are tired and bulls stepping in. Get ready.
Crypto Sell-Off: Is Solana Headed for $80?Without a doubt, Solana was the hottest topic in the crypto market last year and at the start of this one—especially with the meme coin craze.
However, after peaking near $300, the price began to decline in what initially appeared to be a normal correction. But once Solana broke below the $200 mark, things turned ugly, and the price quickly dropped to the key $120 support zone—a level that held strong over the past year.
Now, it looks like Solana is on the verge of breaking below this support, which could trigger an acceleration toward $80, with the $100 psychological level as an intermediate stop.
________________________________________
Why the Downside is Likely to Continue
📉 Bulls Can’t Hold Gains – Short-term rallies are fading fast, showing a lack of real buying strength.
📉 Bearish Engulfing Candle – Yesterday’s price action printed a lower high, adding further pressure on support.
📉 $120 Breakdown Incoming? – If this level fails, expect a sharp decline toward $80.
________________________________________
Trading Plan: Selling Under $130
🔻 Sell Rallies Below $130 – Targeting a move to $80 in the medium term.
🔻 Only a Sustained Move Above $130 – Would shift Solana to a neutral stance—not bullish by any means.
For now, the bearish pressure remains, and selling rallies is the strategy to follow. 🚀
USDCHF I Weekly CLS Continuation I KL - OB I Model 2Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
Buy SilverAs long as there is no break in the uptrend on the daily chart, a long position can be attempted from the current level with a target of the previous highs at 34.80-35.00
Since the trade is taking place during a period of high volatility and the entry is not the most stable, it is better to trade with a stop-loss, adjusting it throughout the day as the price moves up.
The first stop is at 31.70. Then, if 32.50 is broken, move it to 32.10, and so on.
GBP/USD Bullish Momentum: Key Retracement Levels to WatchThe GBP/USD currency pair is exhibiting strong bullish momentum within an ascending channel. Recently, the pair established a consolidation range within this channel, with the upper boundary at 1.30149 and the lower boundary at 1.28710. Following the formation of a new high, no significant divergence has been observed, indicating the potential for a continuation of the prevailing trend.
Given the current price action, a retracement may occur, potentially providing an optimal entry opportunity around the 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. Traders should closely monitor price movements and key support levels for confirmation before entering a position.
I think bitcoin will bounce here on the .618 On the macro we are inside an impulse wave and just touching the .618 fib level. Also, if the measure the cycles top to bottom, you will find the end of the cycle this time actually falls around October 2025. I still think 2025 will be an amazing year for bitcoin, but the sentiment right now is very low. I think now is the best time to buy. Even if stocks continue to fall, I think bitcoin will absorb the liquidity from the stock market, as has been seen before.
BITCOIN Do you really want to miss this rally???Bitcoin / BTCUSD remains supported by the 1week MA50 just like it has been through the whole 2020/21 period after the COVID crash.
In spite of the massive bearish pressure of the polical developments (tariffs), the fact that the market is holding the 1week MA50, means that it is respective Bitcoin's Cycles.
In fact this is like the May-June 2021 accumulation on the 1week MA50, following the first Bitcoin Top of April 2021.
Similarly, we've had a peak formation in December 2024- January 2025 and the market corrected.
In addition to that, the 1week RSI is testing the 42.00, which isn't just where the August 2024 and September 2023 bottoms were priced, but more importantly the June 2021 one.
The symmetry between the last two Cycles is uncanny, both trading inside the long term Channel Up, with identical Bear Cycle and (so far) Bull Cycle ranges.
If all ends up repeating themselves, expect a value of at least $160000 by September.
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COSTCO: Massive rebound on the 1W MA50 can go for +45% profit.Costco has just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.966, MACD = -6.590, ADX = 35.211) as it's on the 3rd straight green week ever since it touched and held the 1W MA50. This rebound, though not an absolute bottom on the 2 year Channel Up, is the new technical bullish wave of the pattern. We've had so far 2 main +45.14% price surges in the past two years. We estimate that to be the 3rd and last up until the end of the year. Go long, TP = 1,270.
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GBPUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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