EURUSDWhile the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting bullish tendencies, it remains crucial to observe how it navigates the identified resistance levels. A clear break above these levels would strengthen the bullish case, while failure to do so may result in a resumption of the prior bearish trend. Traders should remain vigilant and consider both technical indicators and fundamental factors when making decisions.
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GBPCAD short term buy targeting 100 pips This is a buy setup based on strong support levels observed on the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes. The trade aims for 80-100 pips with both take-profit levels aligned with previous resistance zones, increasing the likelihood of a solid reaction.
Our last trade on this pair resulted 150 pips in profits.
Trump ATH incoming, BREAKOUT CONFIRMEDHi all,
I think everyone has their eye on this little sache of happines provided by the POTUS.
Okay, go ahed to technicalities. We had the breakout from the huge desc triangle. By ltierature, we can have a test back to the top part of the triangle, or we have a test back to the .618 fib from the latest top to latest bottom. Then we must go and fly.
Please note yesterday was busy, 15-20% movement, the technicalities shows some weakness from the buyer side, however what i know that when the market recieves a shock, the technicalities did not work properly, so anything can occour.
Not an advice, just a trader making memories of their ideas to check on later and learn from it.
XAU/USD 30 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27/01/2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 January 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLD PLAN AFTER FOMC (THURSDAY/30-JAN-2025)Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis - 1H Chart
1. Price Levels & Zones:
Resistance Zones (Red Highlighted Areas):
Minor Resistance: Around 2,764 - 2,766
Major Resistance: Around 2,784 - 2,786
Support Zones (Green Highlighted Areas):
Minor Support (Entry Buy Area): Around 2,750 - 2,752
Major Support: Around 2,730 - 2,732
2. Price Action & Market Structure:
The price is currently around 2,760, after a bullish move from the support zone.
There is a retracement expectation towards the minor support (Entry Buy zone).
A potential bullish continuation is forecasted after price reaches this support.
3. Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Wait for price to pull back to the entry buy zone (2,750 - 2,752) before entering long.
Target 1: 2,764 (Minor Resistance)
Target 2: 2,785 (Major Resistance)
Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 2,750, further downside towards 2,730 is possible.
4. Volume Analysis:
Volume has been increasing with bullish candles, indicating buyer interest.
Need to monitor if volume sustains as price approaches key resistance levels.
Conclusion:
Primary Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around 2,750 - 2,752
Targets: 2,764 & 2,785
Invalidation: A strong break below 2,750 leading to 2,730 support.
TRADINGVIEW : Plan day 30 Jan , 2025
โญ๏ธPersonal comments by Pips & Profit:
Gold is mostly sideways below the old ATH 2789, the market is accumulating before wanting to reach a new ATH
โญ๏ธSET UP GOLD PRICE:
๐ฅSELL GOLD zone: $2784 - $2786 SL $2791
TP1: $2778
TP2: $2770
TP3: $2760
๐ฅBUY GOLD zone: $2746 - $2748 SL $2743 scalping
TP1: $2752
TP2: $2758
TP3: $2765
๐ฅBUY GOLD zone: $2731 - $2733 SL $2726
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2750
TP3: $2760
Always support Pips & Profit by LIKE AND COMMENT TRADINGVIEW. Thank you very much ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
Opening (IRA): UPS June 20th 90C/March 21st -115C... for a 19.60 debit.
Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta call and selling a front month that pays for at least all of the extrinsic in the long such that the break even is at or below where the stock is currently trading.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 19.60
Break Even: 109.60/share
Max Profit: 5.40
ROC at Max: 27.6%
I generally look to take profit on these at 110% of what I put them on for and/or roll out the short call if my take profit isn't hit.
AUDCHF Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the AUDCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5639
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5664
My Stop Loss - 0.5625
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
FOMC - Can Gold Return to ATH 2789?โญ๏ธSmart investment, Strong finance
โญ๏ธGOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to extend its previous gains, fluctuating above $2,760 during the Asian session on Wednesday. Improved stability in equity markets limits demand for the safe-haven metal.
However, a renewed decline in US Treasury yields and expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts this year restrain the US Dollarโs recovery from a one-month low. Additionally, uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trumpโs tariff policies provides support for gold.
โญ๏ธPersonal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovers - market is positive again after a short correction. FOMC important information for the market to continue to be positive or not
โญ๏ธSET UP GOLD PRICE:
๐ฅSELL GOLD zone: $2787 - $2789 SL $2794
TP1: $2780
TP2: $2770
TP3: $2760
๐ฅBUY GOLD zone: $2716 - $2718 SL $2711
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2732
TP3: $2740
โญ๏ธTechnical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
โญ๏ธNOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
AAL Short Trade Setup (30-Min Chart)! ๐จ๐ฅ
๐ Stock: AAL (NASDAQ)
โณ Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
๐ Setup Type: Bearish Breakdown
๐ Trade Plan:
๐ป Entry: $17.03 (Breakdown Confirmation)
โ
Stop-Loss (SL): $17.60 (Above resistance level for risk control)
๐ฏ Target 1: $16.39 (Key support level)
๐ Target 2: $15.79 (Major support zone โ Extended Downside Potential)
๐น Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable for shorting ๐
๐น Momentum: Strong bearish pressure and breakdown ๐
๐น Pattern: Descending triangle breakdown
๐ฅ Trade Strategy & Refinements:
๐ Volume Confirmation: Ensure strong selling volume for sustained move.
๐ Trailing Stop Strategy: If price reaches $16.39, consider adjusting SL lower to secure profits.
๐ฐ Partial Profit Booking: Take partial profits at Target 1 and let the rest drop towards Target 2.
โ ๏ธ Watch for Fake Breakdowns: If price reclaims $17.03, exit early to minimize losses.
๐ Final Thoughts:
โ
Bearish Pattern Confirmation โ High probability of downward continuation.
โ
Strong Resistance at $17.60 โ Ideal SL placement.
โ
Breakdown Momentum โ Potential for a sharp decline.
Trade Smart & Stick to Your Plan! ๐๐ฐ
Let me know if you need a more detailed breakdown! ๐๐
#ShortTrade #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #MomentumTrading #ChartPatterns #PriceAction #BearishBreakdown #TradeSetup #StocksToWatch #StockCharts #TradingView #StockSignals #TradingPlan #MarketAnalysis #RiskReward #SupportAndResistance #ProfitToPath #TradeSmart #WealthBuilding #TradingSuccess #MoneyMoves
KSE100 Yet to Clear its Direction.
I have also put 3 test cases for Future Learning that I will share with My Students later Inshaa ALLAH.
Under all those Test Cases, Index should show Positivity in Upcoming Days (may be tomorrow or onwards). But Tomorrow's Closing is Important to see.
Either it fails or play (as expected), there would be a lot of New Learning (for me atleast) Inshaa ALLAH.
But You Guys, Focus on Your Scripts ๐
THETA is going to rise soon !#THETA made a clear triangle with ABCDE and this means that we need one more descending wave after that it hit the demand zone
in higher time frames we have a clear bullish pattern so i can be sure that it will rise in long term
and in short time frames
so we are close to the bullish phase !
Will SPX Break Higher or Fade Lower?๐ Will SPX Break Higher or Fade Lower?
๐ TLDR โ The Marketโs Next Move Hangs in the Balance
Wednesday played out just as we discussed in the Fast Forward Group call โ a challenge of the inside bar high, followed by a sell-off leading into the FOMC spectacle. Now, weโre seeing a similar inside bar on the daily chart, meaning today's session could repeat the same pattern: a challenge of the prior dayโs high, followed by a dip.
I'm expecting a short-term bearish move, but the longer-term trend remains bullish. USI:ADD isnโt giving us a strong directional clue, but it's hovering at a relative low, suggesting a potential pop higher before any downside unfolds. Futures are already up overnight, so a gap higher on the open would align with expectations.
The SPX Income Swing is live as per the Tag 'n Turn setup, and the bear hedge is clearly marked should price tip over.
โณ The Marketโs Tug of War: Which Way Will It Break?
Wednesday Review:
SPX followed expectations โ a challenge of the inside bar high, followed by a sell-off into the FOMC decision.
The inside bar setup remains in play today, meaning we could see a similar push-and-fade before any clear direction emerges.
Current Market Setup:
Short-term bearish bias, but longer-term bullish structure remains intact.
USI:ADD levels at relative extremes โ currently at a low, suggesting a pop higher before a potential fade.
Futures are slightly up overnight, so a gap higher at the open could fulfill the expected move.
Trade Plan for Today:
Bullish income swing trade is open and tracking with the SPX Tag 'n Turn setup.
Bear hedge remains intact in case the market rolls over.
Watching for a break above the inside bar high, followed by potential weakness later in the session.
For now, itโs about staying nimble and reacting to price action rather than forcing trades. Letโs see how this plays out!
๐ Fun Fact: The FOMCโs Sneaky Pattern
Did you know that in over 60% of FOMC meeting days, the initial market reaction is reversed within 48 hours? Itโs like a financial bait-and-switch, where the market feigns one direction only to rug-pull traders the next day.
Why does this happen?
Traders react emotionally to Jerome Powell's comments, algorithmic trading kicks in, and short-term liquidity spikes. But once the dust settles, the market recalibrates based on actual economic data rather than FOMC posturing.
WTI OIL on a Bearish Leg but short-term rebound expected.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern that is unfolding its latest Bearish Leg. This Leg just hit the Higher Lows trend-line from the last bottom, which is so far no different than what took place during the previous Bearish Leg on October 18 2024.
The 4H MACD sequences among the two fractals are very similar so, as the October price action did, we expect a marginal breach of the Higher Lows followed by an instant rebound above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result our short-term Target is $74.80.
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