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Silver energy buildup, Bullish continuation pattern developing Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3723
Resistance Level 2: 3787
Resistance Level 3: 3847
Support Level 1: 3507
Support Level 2: 3448
Support Level 3: 3386
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GBPJPYI believe my analysis will help expose how the price moves in the market. It is clear that the price moves forming different patterns giving hints as to what we could expect next.
The price has been moving in an ascending channel, it got broken and retested, I believe the price will eventually fall towards my arrow head.
Check this update if you are holding ATH!Here’s a quick analysis of ATH on the daily timeframe:
ATH has been rejected from its resistance trendline and is currently holding support at $0.04. While it's uncertain whether this support will hold, the overall chart structure suggests a potential rejection is unfolding.
Bearish confirmation: A breakdown and close below the $0.04 support level.
If you're holding any position in ATH, then be cautious.
Note: Always do your own analysis before making any decisions.
Regards,
Dexter
Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support?USDJPY – Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support?
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Outlook
USDJPY has faced strong downside pressure recently as risk-off sentiment boosts demand for the Japanese Yen, following escalating tensions between Israel and Iran.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied on geopolitical concerns but is struggling to sustain momentum near the 98.30 resistance zone.
Despite the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, JPY is acting as a safe haven in current global risk conditions.
Traders are awaiting next week’s monetary policy decisions from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Both central banks are expected to keep rates unchanged, but forward guidance could spark major volatility.
According to UOB Group, the dollar's recovery potential is weakening, and further downside toward 142.20 is possible, unless price reclaims the 144.60–144.95 resistance zone.
📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
🔸 Trend Structure
USDJPY remains in a mild downtrend, but price has bounced from the 143.074 key support zone.
A recovery towards 144.624 is in play, but that zone must be cleared for bullish continuation.
🔸 EMA Outlook
Price is currently testing the EMA 89 and 200 — a rejection from this area could trigger another move down.
EMA 13 & 34 are now acting as short-term dynamic support.
🔸 Key Price Zones
Resistance: 144.60 – 145.26
Support: 143.07 – 142.20
🧠 Market Sentiment
Risk aversion continues to dominate as geopolitical headlines drive sentiment.
The Yen is benefitting from capital protection flows despite Japan’s dovish stance.
Large funds may be starting to hedge by rotating into JPY from elevated USD levels.
🎯 Trading Scenarios for June 13
📌 Scenario 1 – Short Setup (Rejection at Resistance)
Entry: 144.60 – 144.90
Stop-Loss: 145.30
Take-Profit: 143.60 → 143.07 → 142.50
📌 Scenario 2 – Long Setup (Rebound from Support)
Entry: 143.10 – 143.20
Stop-Loss: 142.70
Take-Profit: 144.00 → 144.60
✅ Wait for confirmation at key levels — avoid trading in the middle of the range when volatility is headline-driven.
✅ Conclusion
USDJPY remains trapped between strong resistance at 145.26 and buying interest at 143.07. If risk sentiment persists, the Yen may continue to strengthen. However, central bank decisions next week (Fed & BoJ) will be the major catalysts for any medium-term breakout.
Litecoin is Oversold—Is a Rebound Coming? FenzoFx—Litecoin swept liquidity below the previous week's low, aligning with the monthly low at $81.01, a strong support zone.
LTC trades near $83.70 with weak bullish sentiment. Stochastic at 11.00 signals an oversold market, suggesting potential consolidation or a rebound.
A bullish wave may emerge if LTC holds above $81.01, targeting $91.92. Closing below this level invalidates the bullish outlook.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
S&P 500 Breaks UptrendS&P 500 Breaks Uptrend
Only yesterday we questioned the sustainability of the stock market’s upward trend amid alarming news from the Middle East and the evacuation of the US embassy in Iraq — and today, the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows a break below the lower boundary of the ascending trend channel.
According to media reports:
→ Steve Witkoff, US President Donald Trump’s special envoy to the Middle East, was expected to meet Iran’s Foreign Minister in Oman on Sunday.
→ Friday the 13th became the date when Israel launched strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, dramatically altering the outlook for a potential US-Iran nuclear agreement.
→ Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that the US was not involved in the operation, while Israel’s state broadcaster reported that Washington had been informed ahead of the strikes.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
Yesterday morning, we noted that the Q-line, which divides the lower half of the channel into two quarters, had shifted from acting as support to becoming resistance. This was confirmed during the US trading session (as indicated by the arrow).
Selling pressure intensified, and the psychologically important 6,000 level — which showed signs of support earlier in June — now appears to be acting as resistance. It is in this area that the E-Mini S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) broke below the lower boundary of its uptrend channel.
In addition to ongoing discussions about potential Fed rate cuts this summer, geopolitical risk assessments are now also in focus. It remains unclear how Washington will respond if Iran retaliates.
Meanwhile, Israel’s Defence Minister has declared a state of emergency, warning of an imminent missile and drone attack — further fuelling fears of a possible escalation.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 6/14/2025
In my last week's post, I mentioned that the inverted head and shoulder has been formed and we should see price soaring up as long as 3300 holds. Indeed in this past week, after touching briefly 3300, price went through a few days of consolidation. I almost thought the trend has been reversed. However, I still followed my weekly instinct. And this week closes above 3400. We should see more price pump next week. I am expecting another ATH to at least 3600.
From 2D TF, gold respected the trendline well and I will look for buying opportunity from 3400 next week.
GOLD The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy:
Key Data Points
Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023.
1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels.
Fed Interpretation
Improved Consumer Sentiment:
The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data.
The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth.
Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations:
The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons.
This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral.
Policy Implications:
Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows.
No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July.
Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025.
Market Reactions
DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20.
Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines.
Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook.
Conclusion
The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends.
#GOLD #DOLLAR
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 97.757 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 97.970.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Testing Channel Resistance – Bearish Reversal Expected Gold (XAU/USD) – 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
Gold is trading within an upward parallel channel on the 4-hour chart, with price action consistently respecting both the support and resistance boundaries of the formation.
At present, Gold is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, currently trading around 3425, indicating a key resistance zone. A rejection from this level is anticipated, which could initiate a corrective move to the downside.
Entry 3425 (Resistance Zone)
Target 3340 (Support Zone)
Stop-Loss 3451
The technical setup favors a short position, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if the resistance holds. Traders are advised to monitor for confirmation signals before entry.
Bearish bias below 3451, with potential downside toward 3340.
XAUUSD is over bought on weekly Timeframe As we took buy on 1st attempt at 3435 towards 3460 although our TP is missed by 10 pips at 3448 .
-Currently market Is not crossing 3445 barrier
-Although this pump is because of War Escalation .
- if we narrow down weekly Timeframe Gold is over bought.
We're still focusing on buying on dips 3390-3380 will be my main area of buying.
Keep in mind we have to get confirmation 1st before buying.
All the enteries should be taken if All the rules are applied
#XAUUSD
Oil Market on Edge Any disruption to Iranian oil supply could prompt OPEC to boost output quickly, says ING's Warren Patterson. But there's a limit to how much the cartel can buffer the market—especially if tensions escalate in the Persian Gulf, where most of OPEC's 5M bbl/day spare capacity sits.
🛢️ The Strait of Hormuz is critical—any supply shock here could trigger a global response to secure energy flows.
📈 Crude has spiked after the surprise attack, testing key resistance at $76.90–$80.77 (200-week MA). A break above? Eyes shift to $95. Support? Watch $68.58—200-day MA.
Volatility is back. Keep your eyes on the charts and the geopolitics. 🌍📊
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Bitcoin just gave a masterclass on Effort vs. Result.War news? Massive sell volume? No breakdown.
✅ Held and reclaimed the 200 EMA
✅ Price stayed elevated despite heavy effort to push it down
This is bullish divergence in action:
Big effort, little result = strength.
🎯 If this holds: $71.8K → $73.6K → $75K are in play.
Bears failed. Structure stands. Follow price, not panic.
EURUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 1.14737, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.1570, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1400, an overlap support.
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SP500: Recursive Historic PatternAs a part of my research on fractal phenomena, I'm collecting recursive patterns directly to better understand the emerging structural landscape.
Documenting systemic behavior
Sharp drop
Distinctive growth cycle
Putting this out as current price is near all time high.
Three taps. One trap. I entered on the fourth.This was engineered. Price printed a clean triple top — classic liquidity bait. Retail saw resistance. I saw intention.
Setup logic:
We had multiple 4H FVGs and a refined Order Block sitting directly under that equal high setup. Price didn’t just fall — it delivered into confluence. That’s the difference between volatility and purpose.
The entry came right off the lower FVG sweep — rejecting from the midpoint of the OB with precision. No randomness. No confusion. Just Smart Money stacking positions while the crowd waited for a ‘breakout.’
Here’s how I see it:
Current PA is hovering inside the 4H OB, with the reaction candle holding
First sign of strength: reclaim 2.26–2.28
Above that, price will hunt the triple top zone — clean liquidity sitting near 2.35
Expectation:
Entry: ~2.24–2.25
SL: Below the 4H FVG (2.20 invalidation)
TP1: Liquidity sweep of 2.35
TP2: Breakout expansion toward 2.42+
If we lose the lower FVG? I wait again — but not from emotion, from structure.
Final thought:
“Liquidity doesn’t resist price — it attracts it. Learn the difference.”