KSE100 Yet to Clear its Direction.
I have also put 3 test cases for Future Learning that I will share with My Students later Inshaa ALLAH.
Under all those Test Cases, Index should show Positivity in Upcoming Days (may be tomorrow or onwards). But Tomorrow's Closing is Important to see.
Either it fails or play (as expected), there would be a lot of New Learning (for me atleast) Inshaa ALLAH.
But You Guys, Focus on Your Scripts 😛
Community ideas
AAL Short Trade Setup (30-Min Chart)! 🚨🔥
🔍 Stock: AAL (NASDAQ)
⏳ Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
📉 Setup Type: Bearish Breakdown
📍 Trade Plan:
🔻 Entry: $17.03 (Breakdown Confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $17.60 (Above resistance level for risk control)
🎯 Target 1: $16.39 (Key support level)
🚀 Target 2: $15.79 (Major support zone – Extended Downside Potential)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable for shorting 📊
🔹 Momentum: Strong bearish pressure and breakdown 📉
🔹 Pattern: Descending triangle breakdown
🔥 Trade Strategy & Refinements:
📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure strong selling volume for sustained move.
📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: If price reaches $16.39, consider adjusting SL lower to secure profits.
💰 Partial Profit Booking: Take partial profits at Target 1 and let the rest drop towards Target 2.
⚠️ Watch for Fake Breakdowns: If price reclaims $17.03, exit early to minimize losses.
🚀 Final Thoughts:
✅ Bearish Pattern Confirmation – High probability of downward continuation.
✅ Strong Resistance at $17.60 – Ideal SL placement.
✅ Breakdown Momentum – Potential for a sharp decline.
Trade Smart & Stick to Your Plan! 🏆💰
Let me know if you need a more detailed breakdown! 🚀📈
#ShortTrade #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #MomentumTrading #ChartPatterns #PriceAction #BearishBreakdown #TradeSetup #StocksToWatch #StockCharts #TradingView #StockSignals #TradingPlan #MarketAnalysis #RiskReward #SupportAndResistance #ProfitToPath #TradeSmart #WealthBuilding #TradingSuccess #MoneyMoves
$XRP short setup CRYPTOCAP:XRP Short Setup: All Signs Point Down imo, short-term only.
Everything is lining up for XRP to take a hit—trendline resistance, upcoming unlocks, macro headwinds, and fading momentum. Here’s why I’m shorting:
1️⃣ Trendline Resistance + Weak Volume
XRP is struggling against major trendline resistance (ranging from the high made 2 weeks ago $3.4), showing clear rejection at the top of its range.
Volume is declining, meaning buyers are running out of steam. A failed breakout with no volume is a recipe for a reversal.
Break or reject? Price action says reject.
2️⃣ XRP Unlocks = Incoming Sell Pressure
On Sat Feb 1 one billion XRP ($3.1B worth) unlocks—a massive supply injection.
Ripple historically sells part of these unlocks, adding downward pressure to the price.
Every past unlock event has led to weakness—why should this time be different? Have a look At the price action from DEC 1 and JAN 1... See any patterns?
More supply + weak demand = lower prices.
3️⃣ Macro Headwinds: Strong DXY, Weak ETH/BTC, CPI Uncertainty
DXY is holding strong, hovering above 108.5—bad news for risk assets. The dollar just doesn't want to crash properly.
Ethereum is struggling at resistance, altcoins are lagging, and Bitcoin is at major resistances of its own. Not to mention eth/btc chart, which looks like freefall on higher timeframes (12h to the Weekly charts).
CPI data this week = uncertainty = shaky price action ahead.
XRP doesn’t move in isolation—macro conditions favour downside, at least short term.
I'm in, and this is always risky business, to short the XRP Army. Not just financially, mainly because if I lose the trade, the XRP soldiers won't let me mourn in peace..
Take Profit Strategy, do not even think about copying👽💙:
Target 1: $2.91 (December high, once there, SL to entry price to play it safe)
Target 2: between $2.64 - $2.67 (Golden Pocket, supported by the 50 day MA)
Target 3: $2.51 (a bit above the main support)
Stop Loss: If XRP closes above $3.40 with strong volume, I’m out. You do you, as the motto goes💙
THETA is going to rise soon !#THETA made a clear triangle with ABCDE and this means that we need one more descending wave after that it hit the demand zone
in higher time frames we have a clear bullish pattern so i can be sure that it will rise in long term
and in short time frames
so we are close to the bullish phase !
Will SPX Break Higher or Fade Lower?🚀 Will SPX Break Higher or Fade Lower?
📌 TLDR – The Market’s Next Move Hangs in the Balance
Wednesday played out just as we discussed in the Fast Forward Group call – a challenge of the inside bar high, followed by a sell-off leading into the FOMC spectacle. Now, we’re seeing a similar inside bar on the daily chart, meaning today's session could repeat the same pattern: a challenge of the prior day’s high, followed by a dip.
I'm expecting a short-term bearish move, but the longer-term trend remains bullish. USI:ADD isn’t giving us a strong directional clue, but it's hovering at a relative low, suggesting a potential pop higher before any downside unfolds. Futures are already up overnight, so a gap higher on the open would align with expectations.
The SPX Income Swing is live as per the Tag 'n Turn setup, and the bear hedge is clearly marked should price tip over.
⏳ The Market’s Tug of War: Which Way Will It Break?
Wednesday Review:
SPX followed expectations – a challenge of the inside bar high, followed by a sell-off into the FOMC decision.
The inside bar setup remains in play today, meaning we could see a similar push-and-fade before any clear direction emerges.
Current Market Setup:
Short-term bearish bias, but longer-term bullish structure remains intact.
USI:ADD levels at relative extremes – currently at a low, suggesting a pop higher before a potential fade.
Futures are slightly up overnight, so a gap higher at the open could fulfill the expected move.
Trade Plan for Today:
Bullish income swing trade is open and tracking with the SPX Tag 'n Turn setup.
Bear hedge remains intact in case the market rolls over.
Watching for a break above the inside bar high, followed by potential weakness later in the session.
For now, it’s about staying nimble and reacting to price action rather than forcing trades. Let’s see how this plays out!
📊 Fun Fact: The FOMC’s Sneaky Pattern
Did you know that in over 60% of FOMC meeting days, the initial market reaction is reversed within 48 hours? It’s like a financial bait-and-switch, where the market feigns one direction only to rug-pull traders the next day.
Why does this happen?
Traders react emotionally to Jerome Powell's comments, algorithmic trading kicks in, and short-term liquidity spikes. But once the dust settles, the market recalibrates based on actual economic data rather than FOMC posturing.
Will Solana break $300 soon? What factors influence its price?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Solana , 📚🎇
The price is currently in need of a pause and consolidation phase to form a well-defined parallel channel. This period of rest will provide the market with the necessary time to stabilize and absorb recent volatility. Once the price successfully establishes this pattern, we can expect a renewed upward trajectory. This consolidation is crucial, as it will create a solid foundation for sustainable growth. Following this, a target of $300 becomes more achievable, as the market regains momentum and confidence. This methodical approach ensures a more reliable and stable progression. Ultimately, we anticipate a clear path toward reaching the $300 milestone. 📚💡
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
The price needs a break to stabilize and form a solid pattern. Once that happens, we can expect a steady rise, with $300 as a realistic target.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
BULLISH ON $LINK as potential front runner for Alt of 2025?I know that’s a BIG STATEMENT but I do see merit here. ChainLink is a very powerful network with its capability’s.
Anyway the idea is simple the first circle's purple green yellow all smaller to larger are same as the right side but the last yellow circle you see only 1/6th so if the rim. All this is hard to make out when zoomed in on a long frame chart so it was easiest way and I added pitch fork to give the over-all tend-line with the fork set to the last trend change. For a more realistic outlook which is still FUCKING INSANE! “”IF IT CAME OR COMES TRUE!”” I will see when I look at this accounts ideas ain 1-10 years and to holy shit I actually owned that..!?? Haha
Alright THIS IS WHY I AM SO BULLISH ON BITCOIN I MEAN LINK! lol CRYPTOCAP:BTC WILL PULL CRYPTOCAP:LINK ID OWN BOTH JUST A IMO.
ALSO MOT FINACIAL ADVICE I AM NOT FINANCIAL ADVISOR OR STUDY FINANCE SO I ONLY TRADE WHAT I KNOW WHORKS AND SHARE WITH SOME PEOPLE BUT THIS WONT BE THE SAME ON ANOTHER TRADE AS IT ALWAYS CHANGES SO TRADE YOUR OWN STRATEGIES!
Below is the reason I own and will continue to HODL CRYPTOCAP:LINK #ChainLink
Chainlink ( CRYPTOCAP:LINK ) has as a decentralised oracle network that connects smart contracts with real-world data, APIs, and traditional banking systems. It’s absolutely next level and NEW businesses or entrepreneurs will want to build on or use the chain link blockchain to do business maybe just pay people or for BONUS salary or even a “second option” to “Superannuation” or CRYPTOCAP:BTC will do so for first time under Trump administration or a the least I have heard this from a random but human source.
Anyway so since blockchains cannot access external data on its own, Chainlink acts as a bridge, enabling smart contracts to execute based on real-world events, such as price feeds, weather data, or even sports scores.
For users being solo or business, Chainlink enhances most (if not all) blockchain applications by providing reliable and tamper-proof data, ensuring decentralised finance (DeFi) platforms, NFT projects, and other Smart Contract-Based services function accurately and securely. This reduces reliance with any centralised data providers, increasing transparency and trust amongst the entire user base and anyone who chooses to look on the chainlink block explorer.
For big company’s Chainlink offers a secure way to integrate blockchain technology without overhauling existing digital infrastructure. Businesses can leverage its oracles to automate processes, improve efficiency, and access new blockchain-based financial products. It enables smart contracts to be used in insurance, gaming, supply chain management, and more.
The benefits of Chainlink include its decentralized nature, security, and widespread adoption across major blockchain projects. However, drawbacks include potential scalability concerns, reliance on node operators for data accuracy, and competition from other oracle solutions. Despite these challenges, Chainlink remains the dominant oracle provider in the crypto space, powering many DeFi applications.
Now that there wasn’t me that’s a disc rip took of Link. This is why I BELIEVE it’s a contender FOR 2025 Altcoin of the year or at minimum top 5…! Heck it is just following CRYPTOCAP:BTC little bit of CRYPTOCAP:ETH moves it. Depends.. I just think the MARKET NOW is about to go KAPUT AND BE TRIAL FOR THSOE WHO ARE HOLDERS AND WHO ARENT. This is one of my final warnings.
It will happen the market is way over priced. It may SEEM not but it is and mathematically as well. So we need to be careful with “MEMES” always another threat which is so stupid people still fall for the Twitter or telegram or Instagram image of some random LOGO animal and name with a $ ticker so it seem “Legit” cut so many new people don’t know it’s easy to make a meme coin and has been for years now. It’s that no one knew or no one wanted to know and didn’t learn it and it wasn’t idealised by the ”masses” to look at. I mean even the church or the royal family’s ITS NEW for them and this is the whole thing with cryptocurrency even JUST CRYPTOCAP:BTC AND that’s why we say “JUST Bitcoin” because anything else HAS YET TO BE ADVERTISED largely on a world wide scale like bitcoin on the Bitcoin network. Notice the lower b and upper B single word bitcoin is reference to the coin I or you own. Or can mine then the Bitcoin network or even Bitcoin references the Bitcoin network.
Just for any future reference if it’s a book or something you will get it ;)
VARAUSD - MY PIVOT POINT LEVELSThis is a digram showing the results of after I have recorded order walls from bookmap. As you can see I can now easily tell where the price action is more likely to pull back should a pump occur. Order walls need to be maintained and recorded accurately to the penny as often as possible to ensure precise targets as possible
JASMY at a Crossroads: Breakout or Deeper Drop?Yello, Paradisers! JASMY remains in a bullish market structure on the higher timeframe, but the question is—will the current retracement lead to a breakout or a deeper correction?
💎Right now, JASMYUSDT is retracing into a crucial support zone. If the price breaks above the resistance trendline with strong volume and confirms a bullish I-CHoCH on lower timeframes, it would significantly increase the probability of an upward move. However, patience is key—confirmation is crucial before entering a trade.
💎If the retracement deepens or panic selling kicks in, we’ll be watching the next strong support zone. A bounce from there is possible after taking inducement, but confirmation will still be necessary—look for a bullish I-CHoCH on lower timeframes or classic reversal patterns like a W pattern or inverse head & shoulders.
💎However, if the price breaks below the strong support zone and closes candle below it, our bullish scenario becomes invalid. In that case, it’s best to step back and wait for a stronger price action setup before making any moves.
🎖The key here is discipline and patience. Don't chase trades—wait for high-probability setups and let the market come to you. This is the only way to stay consistently profitable in the long run.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
XAUUSD: Channel Up intact and is targeting 3,000.Gold is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.990, MACD = 28.040, ADX = 55.806) despite consolidating for the past 7 days. The reason is that the long term Channel Up is intact and in fact has started its new bullish wave by crossing over the HH trendline. This has already happened twice inside the pattern and in those instances, as long as the 1D MA50 remained intact, the rise reached the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Our target this time is a little lower (TP = 3,000).
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USDJPY Awaits FOMC Decision Before Potential CrashUSDJPY Awaits FOMC Decision Before Potential Crash
According to our analysis, USDJPY reached our first target on 27th January 2025. The recent bearish wave was primarily driven by the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) decision to increase rates by 25 basis points, a move highly anticipated by the market, resulting in the highest rate in 8 years.
However, the market hesitated to move further down due to the proximity of both the BOJ and FOMC meetings, with traders also awaiting the FOMC decision.
I don't expect anything interesting from the FOMC today, so the chances are that USDJPY may start a bearish trend soon.
Support zones remain the same: 153.75, 151.65, and 149.75.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
US10Y will turn bullish on its 1D MA50.The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 17 2024 Low and is currently on its Bearish Leg. This is now approaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), below which the last Higher Low was priced that initiated the Bullish Leg.
With the 1D RSI approaching the same level as then, this is the ideal level to go long again and target 5.000%, which is just below the October 23 2023 Resistance.
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Continuation of the consolidation on BTC, short opportunityBesides all the hype around the inauguration of Trump and the technical rebound we have received. the technical picture and the dynamic of the earlier discussed move in my pod suggests the further consolidation, which is likely to continue while also disappointing the crowd
We have come to the bearish fvg where also the 50% of the initial manipulation is located , we are also at the psychological 100 k level, which acts as a strong price point either way. I believe we might receive the final sweep locally on 15 min TF where possibly the setup can be found to enter the trade
GBPUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.23600 zone, GBPUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.23600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin Long-term Holder CyclesViewing market cycles through the lens of long-term holder behavior can provide valuable insights. This chart tracks the collective balance of long-term holders, highlighting periods of accumulation (green) and distribution (red) across different market phases.
Distribution phases align with bull markets, and we are currently in one. The duration of these phases can offer clues about what to expect in the current cycle—assuming market dynamics remain consistent.
The first accumulation phase lasted approximately 1,000 days , followed by the second at ~820 days , and the third at nearly 800 days .
The first distribution phase lasted ~530 days , the second 420 days , and the current one has reached 385 days so far.
At first glance, this may suggest a contracting cycle. However, with only three data points, it's premature to establish a definitive trend. A more prudent assumption is that the current distribution phase will follow a similar duration to previous ones—likely spanning 400 to 550 days.
For illustration, if this distribution phase were to last 500 days, it would place its end around mid-May. However, this still leaves the most critical question unanswered: how does this relate to price?
Historically, distribution cycles tend to end after market cycle peaks. As prices decline, long-term holders gradually slow their selling and begin accumulating again. This suggests that a market cycle peak before May should be considered a logical scenario within the current cycle.
I gave up on trading EUR/USD. Here is whyToday I was about to violate my trading plan because of being unable to recognize when I didn't understand what price action was doing.
My trading plan stipulates that I can only trade when Higher timeframes (1D, 1W, 1M) are in alignment with lower timeframes (H4, H1, M15)
If they're not in alignment, my strategy doesn't work. I have no way of predicting price movements and knowing I'll most probably be right.
Today this alignment was not present, yet, because I subconsciously wanted my market analysis to be right, I failed to acknowledge this misalignment and tried to come up with trade ideas.
Price action kept on invalidating my trade ideas as I prepared them, and I found myself looking for new ideas.
"Since this entry scenario is now invalidated, maybe price will do this instead and I will look to enter after this scenario is confirmed"
"This scenario failed, instead of looking to buy EUR/USD today, I might look to sell instead after price rejects this level"
"Since price failed to reject this level, maybe it will reject this other level and I will look to sell there"
You get the point.
I was unable to make strong cases, my cases kept on being invalidated and I kept coming up with new ones on the go! Sort of chasing a rabbit.
Don't do this.
For example, understanding when a 1H bearish trend is a Daily timeframe pullback from a Bullish trend and having an expected level where that 1h trend and Daily pullback is likely to find support and reverse, continuing the main trend.
This stops me from entering long trades and losing because although the Daily timeframe is bullish the lower timeframes are still trending bearish which indicate the pullback is not yet finished. or from taking 1H short trades past the daily pullback target just because I saw a 1H bearish trend, failing to realize that trend might be reaching its end.
If However price pulls back past my target level, and the lower timeframe trend continues pulling back even though the Higher timeframe is supposedly bullish, then If I don't have a logical pull back target — I am effectively neutral.
In other words, I do not understand what price is doing at that point in time. It's time to step back and wait for a new development that I can understand occurs.
What happens when I am either overconfident or eager to trade is that I can get into my own head and fail to realize I'm in unknown territory.
This failure led me to keep trying to establish trade scenarios that of course kept getting invalidated because I do not know how to make prediction in such market conditions — My timeframes were not aligned.
I was able to realize this and adjust my behavior.
However, what often happens is you fail to realize this, you come up with a trade idea, and you take the trade and it ends up being a loss — Caught up on the wrong side of the market.
Or even worse, 2 or 3 trades work out, and the trader believes their strategy is good. Then get caught in a 10% drawdown because of acting on the same patterns.
My point is, that it's important to be able to recognize when market conditions fall outside the scope of your strategy and its edge — Recognize when the market is in a cycle where you don't understand how to trade profitably — and be able to sit out and say I don't know.
Don't try to find trends in the middle of price ranges.
The number one job of a trader is to Protect Capital in order to have available capital to allocate to profitable market opportunities.
Trading outside the scope of your strategy and its edge is failing to protect the capital — It's like trying to Play Soccer with a Basketball, the shots, the passes, the tricks might work here and there, but will usually come out faulty.
In my specific case, I began the week with a bullish view for EUR/USD from the daily timeframe, but the lower timeframes, where I execute and manage trades, have been in a bullish trend since Monday NY Session, So since I couldn't find long opportunities, I started looking for short opportunities, even though I had no clear rationale that aligned with the higher timeframes. My scenarios and ideas kept failing, and I kept coming up with new ones, until I became aware of the pattern due to writing down my analysis and process and realizing I actually did not understand the current stage of price action.
That's where the importance of a well-documented trading plan alongside a journal for analysis comes in.
A journal isn't just to record trades. It's also to develop your rationale and ensure you can clearly explain the why behind your actions which can then be cross-examined with the trading plan.
I have established clear rules for when to stay out of the market and sit on my hands. If timeframes are not aligned and moving in synch, I stay out — It's a non-negotiable.
Of course this is specific to each strategy, but every strategy must have an underlying trading plan with its non negotiables.