ETHEREUM more gain Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In this IDEA, I aim to provide some points and overview of the ETHUSDT’s position. 🙌🐋
The price is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel, where we are observing strong daily support and a reliable trendline, both of which suggest a stable technical structure. With the recent influx of new capital into the cryptocurrency market, alongside major geopolitical shifts around the world, I believe the overall market outlook is increasingly bullish. 📚✨
This is further reinforced by the fact that Bitcoin and Ethereum, as the primary market leaders, serve as key indicators for the broader crypto market trend. Given their historical significance and market dominance, we can reasonably expect both assets to follow a bullish trajectory as well. 📚🙌
If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the parallel channel, it would likely trigger a stronger upward momentum, leading to higher price levels. This breakout could signal the start of a new phase of rapid price appreciation. 📚🐋
Additionally, a range-bound market scenario is indicated with a less prominent flash, suggesting that while bullish momentum is strong, there may be periods of consolidation or sideways movement. 📚💡
🧨 Our team's main opinion is The market is in a bullish phase, with strong support and a reliable trendline, indicating further upward movement, especially for Bitcoin and Ethereum. A breakout above the upper boundary of the parallel channel could lead to higher prices, though a period of consolidation may also occur. 🧨
Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Community ideas
EURUSD / TREND REVERSAL AREA This is my third prediction for this currency pair. Unlike the previous two, which did not materialize, I hope that this idea will be successful.
I believe that the monthly correction that started on July 18, 2023. at 1.12757 level, it will finish or end now around 1.067-1.068 levels.
Of course, it is possible to attempt a false breakout. If there is one, the possible most acceptable values for potential new lows are 1.0650 or 1.0570.
Crypto Stonks Are Booming! Top Crypto Stocks to Watch NowFrom Memecoins to Mega Stocks
While crypto traders have been focused on finding the next big memecoins like Doge , crypto-related stocks have also been performing well this year. In today’s analysis, we’ll dive into some crypto related stocks you might want to keep an eye on
1. Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN )
First on our list is Coinbase, the top US crypto exchange with a market cap of $48 billion. Since its IPO in April 2021, Coinbase has gained a reputation as a trusted exchange known for its regulatory compliance.
Besides its exchange services, Coinbase offers a self custody wallet popular among the crypto community, with over 10 million downloads. In February 2023, Coinbase launched its own layer 2 blockchain, Base , which has since recorded over $1 billion in total value locked and averages daily transaction volumes of over $400 million.
Coinbase has also played a part in advancing spot Bitcoin ETF approvals, forming a surveillance-sharing agreement with the Chicago Board Options Exchange in July 2023. Additionally, Coinbase partnered with **Stripe** in June to boost the global adoption of USDC. This partnership enables crypto payouts and a fiat-to-crypto onramp, making it easier for users to buy crypto with credit cards and Apple Pay through Coinbase Wallet. Coin is up over 350% since our first signal
2. MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR )
Next up is MicroStrategy, with a market cap of $26 billion. Known for its business analytics software, cloud services, and AI-powered analytics, MicroStrategy is more famous for its Bitcoin holdings, driven by the advocacy of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor.
Under Saylor's leadership, MicroStrategy became the first public company to adopt Bitcoin as a strategic investment in August 2020, citing its potential as a store of value. The company accumulated over 121,000 BTC by late 2021 and continued adding to its holdings, despite price volatility and leverage risks. As of 2024, MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings have reached 226,500 BTC, and the company’s stock hit new all time highs, demonstrating its strong correlation with Bitcoin's performance. Mstr is 100% up since our first signal
3. Block ( NYSE:SQ )
Formerly known as Square, Block is a fintech company founded by Jack Dorsey and Jim McKelvey, with a market cap of $38 billion. Starting with small-business payment solutions like Square POS, Block launched **Cash App** in 2013 to provide a user-friendly platform for consumers, competing with services like PayPal and Venmo.
Cash App generates revenue through transaction fees, subscription payments, and Bitcoin sales. It even supports the Lightning Network for quick Bitcoin transactions. Beyond payments, Block owns a majority stake in Tidal, a music streaming service, showing its diverse portfolio.
4. Robinhood ( NASDAQ:HOOD )
Lastly, we have Robinhood, with a market cap of over $15 billion. Founded in 2013 by Stanford graduates Vladimir Tenev and Baiju Bhatt, Robinhood became known for its free, user-friendly trading app, which gained significant popularity during the COVID19 pandemic
Robinhood found itself in the spotlight during the 2021 GameStop and WallStreetBets saga, where it faced backlash for restricting trades on memestocks like $GME. This led to a lawsuit and a $70 million penalty from FINRA for misleading customers and service outages. Despite this, Robinhood continues to grow, boasting 23.9 million funded accounts and nearly $130 billion in assets under custody as of May 2024.
Robinhood has made some notable moves recently, including acquiring Pluto Capital, which provides AI-driven investment advice, and securing a deal to acquire crypto exchange Bitstamp.
Wrap up
If you’re wondering about Bitcoin mining stocks, don’t worry we had a separate analysis just for that. Crypto Bull market just started and be ready for more analysis
which stock or crypto coins you are bullish now and why?
Potential pull-back on the biggest stock in the world? Careful with a potential pull-back at the top of the range. Bearish butterfly harmonic pattern is forming with bearish divergence double top on the RSI. If NASDAQ:NVDA were to go down, we could potentially see its price perform badly after earnings, which could be near the pattern completion zone.
Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading█ Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading: Beyond Bullish and Bearish
For beginner traders, the long/short ratio in futures markets can seem like a clear-cut indicator of market sentiment. Many assume that a high ratio of longs to shorts means the market is bullish, while more shorts than longs signals a bearish outlook. But in reality, this interpretation is oversimplified and can lead to misguided trading decisions.
In this article, we'll break down the nuances of the long/short ratio in futures trading, explaining why positions on the “short side” don’t always indicate a bearish stance and how traders can better interpret these ratios for a well-rounded perspective.
█ Understanding the Basics: Futures Trading Is Not Spot Trading
In the futures market, every trade requires a buyer (long position) and a seller (short position). For each person going long, there’s a counterpart going short. This zero-sum structure means that, by definition, there’s always a balance between longs and shorts. However, the reasons why traders take long or short positions vary widely—and not all of them are directional bets on price movement.
█ Why Not All Shorts Are Bearish (And Not All Longs Are Bullish)
Let’s dig into why a trader might take the short side without actually betting on a price drop:
⚪ Hedging: Some traders go short to hedge an existing position. For instance, if they already hold a large amount of Bitcoin in the spot market, they might take a short position in Bitcoin futures to protect against potential downside risk. This doesn’t mean they’re bearish on Bitcoin; they’re just managing risk.
⚪ Arbitrage: Some traders take short positions for arbitrage purposes. For example, they might go long in one market and short in another to profit from small price differences without having any directional view on Bitcoin’s future price. Their short position is purely for balancing and not a bet on falling prices.
⚪ Market Making: Market makers provide liquidity to the market by taking both long and short positions. Their goal isn’t to profit from price movements but to capture the spread between the bid and ask prices. They don’t have a directional view—they’re simply facilitating trades.
⚪ Closing Long Positions: When traders close long positions, they effectively create a new short transaction. For instance, if a trader decides to exit a long position by selling, they’re adding to the short side of the market. But this action doesn’t necessarily mean they expect prices to drop—it could just mean they’re taking profits or reallocating their portfolio.
█ Interpreting CoinGlass Long/Short Ratio Charts: Volume vs. Accounts
Let’s look at the long/short ratio charts on CoinGlass as an example. CoinGlass provides two main types of ratios:
⚪ Volume-Based Ratio: This chart shows the volume of capital in long vs. short positions. For example, a high volume in longs might suggest that large players are buying into Bitcoin. However, it’s important to remember that some of these long positions could be from market makers, hedgers, or arbitrageurs, who may not expect Bitcoin to rise. The volume itself doesn’t tell us why they’re in these positions.
⚪ Account-Based Ratio: This chart tracks the number of accounts on each side (long vs. short) on exchanges like Binance. A higher number of accounts on the short side doesn’t mean all those traders are bearish. Many could be taking short positions to balance other trades or hedge risks. They’re not necessarily expecting Bitcoin to decline; they’re just managing their positions.
█ Example Analysis: Misinterpreting Long/Short Ratios
Imagine you’re looking at a CoinGlass chart that shows an increase in long volume around November 5th. A beginner might see this and think, “Everyone’s bullish on Bitcoin!” But as we discussed, some of this long volume could be non-directional. It could include positions taken by market makers providing liquidity or hedgers who are long on Bitcoin futures but have a corresponding short in another market.
Similarly, if you see a spike in the number of short accounts, don’t automatically assume that everyone expects Bitcoin to fall. Some of those accounts might just be managing risk or taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities.
█ Avoiding the Pitfall of Overinterpreting the Long/Short Ratio
The biggest mistake traders make is interpreting the long/short ratio as a direct indicator of market sentiment. Remember, every trade has a counterparty. If there’s a high volume of longs, it simply means there’s an equal volume of shorts on the other side. The market’s overall sentiment isn’t always reflected in this ratio.
Instead of relying solely on the long/short ratio, consider these other factors to form a clearer market view:
Market Sentiment Indicators: Use sentiment tools, news, and social media sentiment to understand how traders are feeling beyond just positions.
Volume Trends: Look at overall market volume to see if there’s conviction behind the moves.
Context and Price Action: Interpret the ratio in the context of price action and recent events. If there’s a strong bullish trend, a higher long ratio might reflect confidence in the trend rather than simply volume.
█ Conclusion: A Balanced Perspective for Smarter Trading
Understanding the long/short ratio requires a more nuanced perspective. Just because the “longs” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bullish—and just because the “shorts” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bearish. The futures market is filled with diverse participants, each with unique motives, from hedging and arbitrage to liquidity provision.
By looking at these ratios with a balanced view, traders can avoid common pitfalls and interpret the data more accurately. Trading is about context and strategy, not just numbers on a chart. So, next time you’re checking the long/short ratio, remember: there’s more to it than meets the eye.
█ Final Takeaway: Focus on Context, Not Just Ratios
The long/short ratio can be a helpful tool, but it’s only one piece of the puzzle. Use it in combination with other market indicators, and always consider the motives behind trades. By doing so, you’ll make better-informed trading decisions and avoid falling into the trap of oversimplifying complex market data.
-----------------
Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Calling All Pro Traders!This is the action you’ve been waiting for as it dances around critical levels!
XAUUSD Outlook:Currently in a tight range between 2692 and 2700 – a major battle unfolding here! Will it break out soon?
Keep those eyes peeled! Downside Alert:If XAUUSD slips below this key range, it could trigger a swift move lower! Targets on the radar: 2680 and 2667.
Be ready to act! Upside Potential: On the flip side, if we see a breakout above this zone, it could set the stage for an explosive rally! Next targets in sight: 2704 and 2708.
Is the bulls' momentum building? Let’s Chat! What’s your take? Will we see a breakout or a reversal? Drop your thoughts below! Together, we’re navigating one of the most exciting moments in the market! Stay sharp, stay strategic – let’s go for the win!
Potential RetestAccording to 2H RSI bearish divergence, it is likely that we may see a retest to 73k. Sometimes bearish divergences don’t work on the RSI like the textbook examples we’re used to, but in this case a healthy pullback is needed for the vast majority of short term traders to open up their longs. For now my next target is around 73k. It is also important to mention that if price does not find support around the red area and price breaks down, then we’re back to the danger zone. Important level to keep track of.
THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! MOBILEYE - $MBLY - 3/17⚔️🛡️ THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! ⚔️🛡️
STOCK/ TRADE SETUP UPDATE: 3/17
3⃣ MOBILEYE - NASDAQ:MBLY
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GBPUSD SHORT FROM OBTrading Strategy Ideas
Long Position: Consider a buy entry if GBP/USD closes above the trendline resistance with momentum, targeting 1.3040 - 1.3050 as the next resistance. A stop-loss below the 1.2950 support would reduce risk.
Short Position: If the price gets rejected at the resistance and breaks below 1.2950, a short position could be viable, aiming for the next support at around 1.2800 or lower.
I LOST ON CELSIUS! HERE'S WHY!!!NASDAQ:CELH
In this video, I go over my losing trade on Celsius Holdings. It's important to talk about our wins and losses, as they all matter in the grand scheme of things. If you want to be a profitable trader, you need not lie to yourself.
Let me know what your last loss was and what you learned from it in the comments.
GBPAUD - Trade Idea
Hi everyone !!
The GBPAUD has broken the higher high (HH) on the daily timeframe and is retesting 79% of the Fibonacci level. This suggests a shift in the lower time frame (LTF) trend, with a continued bullish outlook on the daily timeframe.
Direct Buy order (market execution)
SL - 1.93580
TP1 - 1.95910
TP2 - 1.97000
TP3 - 1.98000
Do your own analysis before taking any trades.
Cheers...
Long EURAUD or EURNZD now and Hold!bounced from daily order block and support, vwap below (drawn from 02 oct 2024 swing low) for further support.
Multiple wicks to retest the support failed to break it down
Trump reelection profit taking to benefit EUR.
Asian proxies like AUD and NZD has ran up yesterday, today profit takers and reassessment of risk will tank them.
Trump reelection trade war effect on asian proxies like AUD, NZD, Japan and China has yet to be realized.
Plenty of usd risk events this week has been finalized and EUR are getting some benefit today
etc
What do you think?
Palantir's Meteoric Rise: Ride the Wave or Wait for a Pullback? Overview: Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR)
Current Price: $55.53 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Technology / Software—Infrastructure
Palantir has surged recently, hitting new highs. With the stock at peak levels, investors are asking: is now the time to buy, or should you wait for a pullback to improve the risk/reward setup?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $12.34 - $55.53
One-Month Range: $38.45 - $55.53
Support Level: $48.00
Resistance Level: $52.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: February 12, 2025
Dividend: None (Palantir doesn’t currently pay dividends)
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 258.69 (significantly higher than industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $100 million
TTM: $400 million
Institutional Holdings: 55%
Short Interest: 5% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +15%
Monthly Trend: +25%
RSI: 70 (indicating overbought conditions)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $42.50
200-Day: $30.20
MACD: Positive divergence, signaling upward momentum
The RSI suggests caution at current levels, with an overbought signal indicating a potential pullback.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (PLTR): 258.69 vs. Industry Average: 35.00
P/B Ratio (PLTR): 30.00 vs. Industry Average: 10.00
EV/EBITDA (PLTR): 150.00 vs. Industry Average: 25.00
While Palantir’s premium valuation highlights its growth potential, it also suggests a higher risk if momentum fades or the market corrects.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 30%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 25% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.2 (low leverage)
Cash Reserves: $2 billion
Current Ratio: 3.5
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – Palantir’s stock surged 23% after issuing optimistic revenue guidance.
Social Buzz: Positive chatter on Twitter and Reddit, with bullish sentiment about future growth.
Competitive Comparison
Snowflake Inc. (SNOW): $180, P/E 150.00, Revenue Growth 40%
Splunk Inc. (SPLK): $150, P/E 120.00, Revenue Growth 35%
Investment Analysis: Should You Buy Now or Wait?
1. Entry at $55.53 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $60.00
Potential Upside: $60.00 - $55.53 = $4.47
Percentage Gain: ~8.05%
Stop Loss (SL): $45.00
Potential Downside: $55.53 - $45.00 = $10.53
Percentage Loss: ~18.96%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 8.05% (reward) / 18.96% (risk) ≈ 0.42
Entering at $55.53 offers a lower risk/reward ratio, meaning each dollar of risk is offset by less potential reward. However, with recent momentum, this might appeal to those comfortable with higher risk for short-term gains.
2. Entry at $48.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $60.00
Potential Upside: $12.00
Percentage Gain: ~25.0%
Stop Loss (SL): $45.00
Potential Downside: $3.00
Percentage Loss: ~6.25%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 25% (reward) / 6.25% (risk) = 4.0
Waiting for a pullback to $48.00 provides a much better risk/reward ratio of 4.0, allowing for more reward per dollar risked. With support at this level, it’s an ideal setup for more conservative, long-term positions.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $60.00 (continuing bullish trend)
Neutral: $55.00 (aligned with analyst consensus)
Pessimistic: $45.00 (support zone)
Conclusion
Palantir has captured the market’s attention with strong upward momentum and optimistic revenue outlook.
Aggressive Entry (Today’s Price, $55.53): Potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $48.00): Better risk/reward balance with support at $48.00, ideal for those looking to reduce downside exposure.
Verdict: While both strategies have potential, a pullback to $48.00 offers a safer entry with a balanced risk/reward setup, letting you capitalize on Palantir’s growth with controlled risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.
Scalping ! XAU ! Trendline Recovery 2678SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Thursday is in focus, with markets widely anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut, which could support gold by lowering the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 98.1% chance of this quarter-point cut in November.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Trendline + DOW , Gold price recovered briefly - for the upcoming decline to 2606
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2673
TP1: $2665
TP2: $2662
TP3: $2658
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
RIOT: Buy back the next dip?RIOT pump along with overall crypto and general markets post-election, most likely completed full 5 waves sequence. There is a chance price can move a bit higher. Following this move, a correction is most likely get introduced by FOMC meeting. I will be waiting for a 3 waves move down to get back on this train for a larger wave 3 or C.
DJTThe DJT stock has broken the key support level of $12.34 and has risen to test the broken ascending channel and the supply zone from which it has previously declined multiple times. It is natural to expect a strong drop from this zone. We anticipate a decline towards the demand area, potentially with corrective movements during the descent or a direct drop. Once we reach the demand zone, we will update the chart and wait for entry signals or a breakout to form a new bottom.
FED lowers interest rates! Gold recovers in the short term⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) faces challenges building on Thursday’s strong rebound from the 50-day SMA support near $2,643, with some selling pressure emerging in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar has regained strength, partly recovering from its recent slide, and a generally optimistic risk tone weighs on the safe-haven appeal of gold.
Meanwhile, the fading “Trump trade” and a lack of hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve keep US Treasury yields lower, potentially limiting USD bullish momentum and offering some support for gold. Traders are now focused on the upcoming Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations for near-term trading cues.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
As expected by the market, the FED cut interest rates by 0.25%, bringing positivity and optimism to XAU in the short term. Currently, other financial sectors are starting to become vibrant again, and it will be very difficult for gold to compete. The downtrend will continue
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2727 - $2729 SL $2734
TP1: $2720
TP2: $2710
TP3: $2700
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2663
TP1: $2675
TP2: $2688
TP3: $2700
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bitcoin - Fractals and PerspectivesThe willingness to learn, however, changes everything.
Active traders treat market analysis with an open attitude and they are interested in learning how to analyze the market structure. They combine concepts such as trends, patterns, and support and resistance to actively improve their analysis and trading skills. These traders are real manual traders.
This article is intended for those in the latter group, the learners and active traders. We will explain how you can understand the market with more clarity.
The Market is Fractal of Nature
Does the market move erratically? Or is there an order behind the chaos?
According to the Chaos Theory, the apparent randomness of chaotic complex systems depend on their initial conditions. The concept is not that complicated as it seems: basically the ‘chaotic’ behavior is really not as chaotic as it seems.
Simply said, there are underlying patterns that repeat in a similar way on all scales. This phenomenon can be seen in both natural systems, like weather and climate, and artificial elements like road traffic and economics.
And yes, this includes the financial markets in general. The market is Fractal in nature, which means that similar price patterns repeat on all time frames.
So I started researching fractals a few years ago. Many fractals have worked out, in some cases partially worked out, the study is a process of learning and growth.
I want to share it with you today.
Why it works I have already said in previous posts - because all the same asset managers all the same algorithms all the same emotions and all the same actions people make in this or that situation. The nature of human behavior cannot be deceived. that's why fractals repeat themselves.
I have selected all the structures of reversal and further perspectives of charts
The main indicators :
1. this is the formation of the bottom
2. Holding levels
3. Formation of a horizontal strong level and its breakdown
That's all bitcoin has done in the last year.
What's next?
Statistics I found only one fractal after which we update the bottom.
No rolling growth 4 fractals
And most of them are 20-40 sideways and up.
All fractals are below.
These are all the fractals I want to share with you.
Best Regards EXCAVO