Get started

Community ideas

NZD/JPY: Bearish Breakdown from Ascending ChannelNZD/JPY has decisively broken below its ascending channel, signaling a shift from bullish structure to bearish momentum. This move aligns with fundamental headwinds for NZD and the potential for JPY strength amid intervention risks and global risk-off sentiment. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Pattern: Breakout from ascending channel support confirms a bearish reversal. Current Level: 87.12, trading below the broken trendline with strong selling pressure. Key Support Levels: 86.00 – first bearish target and immediate support zone. 84.60 – extended bearish target if momentum continues. Resistance Levels: 88.04 – previous support turned resistance. 89.06 – upper boundary and invalidation zone for bearish bias. Projection: Price is expected to retest 86.00, and if broken, further decline toward 84.60 is likely. Fundamental Analysis Bias: Bearish. Key Fundamentals: NZD: Pressured by global tariffs and risk-off sentiment. JPY: Supported by potential FX intervention from Japan’s Ministry of Finance and safe-haven demand. US Data Impact: Weak NFP boosted Fed cut bets, but risk-off flows strengthen JPY against risk currencies like NZD. Risks: China stimulus or a risk-on shift could lift NZD. Lack of BOJ action may weaken JPY temporarily. Key Events: RBNZ policy outlook. BOJ comments or intervention signals. US CPI influencing global risk sentiment. Leader/Lagger Dynamics NZD/JPY is a lagger, reacting to risk sentiment and JPY moves, with JPY strength leading the pair lower. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints NZD/JPY is bearish, with a clear technical break from its ascending channel. The pair targets 86.00 initially and 84.60 on extended downside. Key watchpoints include BOJ FX policy, RBNZ stance, and global risk sentiment, especially if markets move deeper into risk-off mode.
Short
by ultreosforex
GBP weakness + USD gaining bullish momentumFX:GBPUSD 🧠 What’s Driving GBP Weakness? ❄️ Cooling Inflation: Slows BoE policy tightening 🔻 Contracting Manufacturing: PMI deep in the red 🛍️ Falling Retail Sales: UK consumers are pulling back 💼 Labor Market Cracking: Recent jobs data may be peak 💣 BoE Dovish Pivot Incoming: Markets are anticipating future cuts in 2025 🇺🇸 USD Strength: Fed holding steady, US macro much stronger than UK 🧭 Extra Confluence: USD Strength USD is being supported by: Strong US labor market 🟢 Higher for longer Fed 🟢 Global risk-off sentiment 🟢 Positive divergence in US CPI and Retail Sales 🟢 📌 GBPUSD is not just a GBP short — it’s a USD long play too. 🧩 Historical Price Action Pattern In 2023 Q3, GBP/USD dropped nearly 700 pips in 6 weeks during similar macro shifts — soft BoE + strong USD. We may be setting up for a repeat pattern now. 🗣️ What’s Your Take? Are you looking to short GBP/USD this month? Where’s your target or trigger zone? Let’s compare setups ⤵️ I’m sharing more breakdowns weekly — follow for macro + technical convergence trades.
Short
by AACA-
GBPJPY Fundamentally Bearish🧠 Macro-Fundamental Breakdown 🇬🇧 GBP (British Pound) 🔻 GDP Shrinking: UK growth has stalled with below-trend GDP prints 3 quarters in a row. 📉 PMI Weakness: Manufacturing and Services PMIs both under 50 = economic contraction 🧊 Retail Sales Down: UK consumer confidence and demand are cooling 💼 Labor Trouble: Unemployment ticking higher + BoE hinting at peaking rates 🪙 BoE Dovish Pivot?: Market now pricing possible cuts into early 2025. 🇯🇵 JPY (Japanese Yen) 🟢 Inflation is ticking higher 🔄 BoJ is cautiously shifting from ultra-loose policy 🛡️ Yen often strengthens in risk-off environments (which aligns with current market volatility) 🇯🇵 Tokyo CPI surprises have reinforced JPY support
Short
by AACA-
Canada's GDP contracts, US nonfarm payrolls misses forecastThe Canadian dollar continues to lose ground against its US counterpart and is trading at two-month lows. In the European session, the Canadian dollar is trading at 1.3875, down 0.13% on the day. USD/CAD has risen for six straight days, climbing 1.9% during that time. US nonfarm payrolls for July were softer than expected at 73 thousand, compared to the forecast of 110 thousand. The June report was revised sharply downwards to 14 thousand from an initial 147 thousand. Canada's GDP posted a small decline of 0.1% m/m in May, matching the market estimate. This followed an identical reading in April, as the economy is essentially treading water. A drop in retail trade was a significant factor in the weak GDP reading, particularly in motor vehicles and parts. The decline in GDP in April and May can be squarely blamed on the trade war with the US, which has put a chill in economic activity. The markets are expecting a slight improvement in June, with an estimate of a 0.1% gain. The Bank of Canada held the benchmark rate at 2.75% on Thursday for a third consecutive meeting. The rate statement noted that US trade policy remains "unpredictable" and Governor Macklem reiterated this at his press conference, saying that "some level of uncertainty will continue" until the US and Canada reach a trade agreement. Meanwhile, the trade war between the two sides is heating up. President Trump announced on Thursday that the US was slapping 35% tariffs on Canadian products, effective Aug. 1. The new tariff will not apply to goods covered under the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney said he was "disappointed" with the US decision and vowed that "Canadians will be our own best customer". These are brave words, but Carney will be under pressure to reach a deal with the US, as 75% of Canadian exports are shipped to the US and Canada can ill-afford a protracted trade war with its giant southern neighbor.
by OANDA
Salesforce May Face DistributionSalesforce has limped as other tech stocks hit new highs, and some traders may think it’s going into distribution. The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish price gap on May 29 despite better-than-expected quarterly results. That may reflect waning enthusiasm about the software company’s fundamentals. Second is the pre-earnings closing price of $276.03. CRM has remained trapped below that level, which may suggest it’s become resistance. Third is the June 13 low of $258. The stock bounced there in mid-July but may now be at risk of breaking it. Next, Bollinger Bandwidth has narrowed as the stock formed a tight range between the two levels. Could price movement expand following that period of compression? Last, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in April. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also below the 21-day EMA. Those patterns may be consistent with bearishness in the long and short terms. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:CRM
by TradeStation
USOIL Is Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 69.178. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 66.684 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
2
HelenP. I Bitcoin will rebound down from resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A technical review of the chart reveals a prolonged period of horizontal consolidation, during which the price has been trading within a well-defined range between support at 114700 and resistance near 119700. This phase of balance follows a significant prior uptrend, and a major ascending trend line is currently intersecting this range. My analysis for a short position is based on the expectation of a final 'test and fail' at the top of this consolidation. I believe the price will make one more attempt to rally towards the resistance zone around 119700. A strong rejection from this area, demonstrating sellers' control, would serve as the main confirmation for a bearish bias. Such a rejection would likely initiate a powerful downward move across the range, with sufficient momentum to break the critical ascending trend line. This would be a significant structural event, signaling a potential reversal of the larger trend. Therefore, the primary goal for this scenario is logically set at the 114700 support level, the bottom of the consolidation range. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
8
Deep Dive Into Bollinger Bands 🗓This article explores the Bollinger Bands indicator—a powerful volatility tool used by traders worldwide. You'll learn how it works, how to calculate it, and how to use it to detect potential breakouts, trend reversals, and overbought or oversold conditions in the market. 📚 Introduction to Bollinger Bands In the fast-paced world of trading, understanding market volatility is key to making informed decisions. Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, offer a visual and statistical method to measure this volatility. Unlike simple moving averages, which only tell you the trend, Bollinger Bands expand and contract based on recent price action, helping traders spot overbought, oversold, or consolidation phases. These bands dynamically adjust to market conditions, making them one of the most popular indicators for trend-following, mean-reversion, and breakout strategies. Whether you’re trading crypto, stocks, or forex, Bollinger Bands can help you identify high-probability setups by combining trend direction with volatility. 📚 How Bollinger Bands Are Calculated Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: Middle Band – This is a simple moving average (SMA) of the price, typically over 20 periods. Upper Band – The middle band plus two standard deviations. Lower Band – The middle band minus two standard deviations. Middle Band = SMA(n) Upper Band = SMA(n) + (k × σₙ) Lower Band = SMA(n) - (k × σₙ) Where σₙ is the standard deviation of the price for n periods and k is the multiplier, typically set to 2, which captures ~95% of price action under normal distribution. The middle band shows the average price over the last 20 candles. The upper and lower bands adjust based on how volatile the price has been — expanding in high volatility and contracting in low volatility. 🤖 For those traders who want to implement Bollinger Bands into algorithmic strategy we provide formula it's calculation in Pine Script: basis = ta.sma(src, length) // Middle Band (SMA) dev = mult * ta.stdev(src, length) // Standard Deviation × Multiplier upper = basis + dev // Upper Band lower = basis - dev // Lower Band 📚 How to Use MACD in Trading Strategies ⚡️Bollinger Band Squeeze (Volatility Contraction and Expansion) The idea is pretty simple, а squeeze indicates low volatility and often precedes a breakout. The squeeze is the situation when the Upper Band and Lower Band contract, and BB width is at a local minimum. In this case you shall be prepared for the high volatility after the period of low volatility. This strategy doesn’t predict direction — it prepares you for volatility. Long setup: Price is in long-term uptrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be above it. Bollinger Bands is narrow in comparison to the previous period. Price usually is in sideways. Open long trade when candle shows a breakout and closes above the Upper Band. Set a trailing stop-loss at the Middle Band. Short setup: Price is in long-term downtrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be below it. Bollinger Bands is narrow in comparison to the previous period. Price usually is in sideways. Open short trade when candle shows a breakdown and closes below the Lower Band. Set a trailing stop-loss at the Middle Band 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Bollinger Bands shall be narrow in comparison with the previous periods. 3. Open long trade when candle closes above the Upper Band. 4. Close trade when price touched the Middle Band. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Bollinger Bands shall be narrow in comparison with the previous periods. 3. Open short trade when candle closes below the Lower Band. 4. Close trade when price touched the Middle Band. ⚡️Mean Reversion (Rebound from the Bands) This is the most common approach to use Bollinger Bands. The idea is also very simple, we just want to open long if price touches Lower Band and short if price reaches Upper Band. Price tends to revert to the mean (Middle Band), especially in range-bound markets. It's very important to trade in the direction of the major trend to reduce the probability of the large move against you. Long setup: Price is in long-term uptrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be above it. Open long trade when price touches the Lower Band. Set the initial stop-loss at the fixed percentage below entry price. Choose this percentage number with your personal risk/money management, you shall be comfortable to lose this amount of money in case of stop-loss hit. If price reached Middle Band set stop-loss at breakeven. Close trade when price reached the Upper Band. Short setup: Price is in long-term downtrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be below it. Open short trade when price touches the Upper Band. Set the initial stop-loss at the fixed percentage above entry price. Choose this percentage number with your personal risk/money management, you shall be comfortable to lose this amount of money in case of stop-loss hit. If price reached Middle Band set stop-loss at breakeven. Close trade when price reached the Lower Band. 🧪 Important: the most common approach to close trades is the Middle Band touch, this is classic mean reversion. We experimented multiple times with different approached and revealed that usually it's better to take profit at the Upper/Lower band for long/short trades and use Middle Band only for setting stop-loss at breakeven. This approach provides better risk to reward ratio. 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Open long trade the Lower Band. 3. Put Initial stop-loss 2% below the entry price. 4. When price reached Middle band place stop-loss at the breakeven. 5. Close long trade at the Upper Band. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Open short trade the Upper Band. 3. Put Initial stop-loss 2% above the entry price. 4. When price reached Middle band place stop-loss at the breakeven. 5. Close short trade at the Lower Band. 🧪 Important tip: notice that initial stop-loss is needed only to avoid disaster in case of price moves strongly against you. This percentage shall give enough space to avoid its reaching too often. Mean reversion strategy provides fast trades with the small average gain, so you shall maintain the high win rate (perfectly above 70%). You have to choose stop-loss based on particular asset volatility. ⚡️Combined Approach: Mean Reversion + Trend Following Skyrexio made multiple researches about Bollinger Bands strategies and we found that we can receive better gains in combination of different approaches. Mean reversion gives you great entry with discount but you don't need to exit that early. Use the trading stop and allow to gain profit while market is moving in your direction. This approach you can find in our advanced strategy Bollinger Bands Enhanced Strategy which we shared in 2024. Click on the link to read about it and understand how you can combine best features of this popular indicator. 📚 Conclusion Bollinger Bands are more than just a volatility indicator — they provide a flexible framework for understanding price dynamics and market conditions. By visualizing the relationship between price and standard deviation around a moving average, traders can gain valuable insights into whether an asset is consolidating, trending, or preparing for a breakout. The real strength of Bollinger Bands lies in their versatility. They can adapt to different trading styles — whether you’re a short-term scalper, a swing trader, or a long-term position holder. From identifying squeeze setups to riding strong trends or capturing mean reversion moves, BBs offer a strategic edge when used correctly. However, Bollinger Bands should never be used in isolation. Like any technical tool, they work best when combined with momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, volume analysis, and price action signals. Context is key: a signal that works well in a ranging market may fail during high momentum trends. Ultimately, Bollinger Bands help traders make more informed, disciplined decisions by clarifying where price stands relative to recent history. When paired with sound risk management and broader market awareness, they become a powerful ally in navigating market uncertainty.
Education
by Skyrexio
1
SHIB/USDT: Shiba Inu Setting Up for a Bullish Reversal?Shiba Inu (SHIB) is currently trading around $0.00001208, showing signs of stabilizing near a key support zone after a recent pullback. The market appears to be forming a rounded double bottom pattern, which could evolve into a strong W-shaped bullish reversal if confirmed with volume and breakout above short-term resistance (~$0.0000135). This level could be pivotal for long-term accumulation. What to Watch *Key Support Zone: $0.00001200 - price is holding this level firmly. *Short-Term Resistance: $0.0000135 - a breakout could confirm bullish continuation. *Indicators: RSI is cooling off after a high, which could provide momentum for a new leg up. SHIB may be quietly setting the stage for a powerful recovery. This support level looks like a gift for those with patience and vision. DCA smartly, monitor dips, and don’t panic, because when this pattern breaks out, you’ll wish you had loaded up earlier. This isn't about hype...it’s about positioning. Stay disciplined. Stick to your plan. SHIB might just surprise everyone again.
Long
by petermichalides
12
How to accurately grasp the gold trading opportunitiesGold was greatly affected by the positive non-farm payroll data, and it rose strongly, with the increase completely covering all the losses this week. The current gold trend has completely reversed the previous bull-short balance. After breaking through the 3300 level and rising to around 3355, it maintains strong upward momentum, and the possibility of further testing the 3360-3375 area cannot be ruled out. Due to the strong positive data, if everyone fails to chase the long position or set a breakout long position in time in the first wave of the market, the subsequent pullback opportunities may be relatively limited, so it is necessary to maintain an active strategy in operation. It is recommended to continue to be bullish when it retreats to the 3335-3320 area, and the upper target is the 3360-3375 pressure range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
BTC defies expectations –Absorbs 9 billion USD, aiming for 130K?BTCUSDT maintains its bullish momentum despite Galaxy Digital offloading 80,000 BTC (worth ~9 billion USD). Price only saw a slight dip before bouncing back quickly, signaling strong demand and a more mature market sentiment. Citi analysts point to ETF inflows and retail participation as the primary drivers of BTC’s rally, even as investors remain cautious ahead of the Fed’s rate decision. On the daily chart, BTC continues to trade within an ascending channel, with the 116,200 zone acting as a potential buy area on any pullback. The next target is set at 129,500 USDT, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary and technical resistance. Suggested strategy: Look to buy near 116,200–117,000. Target 129,500. Stop-loss below 115,000.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
4
BTCUSD – bullish momentum is backBitcoin is making a strong comeback, breaking above short-term resistance and reestablishing its uptrend after a prolonged consolidation phase. The technical structure now shows clear control from the bulls, with higher highs and higher lows beginning to form. Positive risk sentiment and growing expectations of capital flowing back into the crypto space—especially after a series of weak U.S. economic data—are fueling the current BTCUSD rally. If momentum holds, the next target could be the upper boundary of the price channel. Keep an eye on how price reacts at key levels and trendlines — this might be the launchpad for the next bullish leg. Good luck, and if you enjoyed this analysis, don’t forget to hit like and drop a comment!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
to 65K soon BTC/USD – Historical Cycle Analysis & Mid-Term Outlook (1W) Exchange: Coinbase Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Key Observations: Long-Term Trendline Resistance The black ascending trendline has historically acted as a major resistance zone since 2017. Every touch of this line in the past has been followed by a significant correction. Bearish Divergences (DIV / HDIV) Red arrows indicate historical bearish divergences on RSI/MACD. Each divergence marked a local or macro top before a sharp retracement. Major Historical Resistance – $64,899 Derived from 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the primary cycle. Served as a key ceiling during previous cycles before new all-time highs. Bitcoin Cycle Behavior BTC historically forms parabolic tops followed by deep corrections. The current cycle (2024–2025) mirrors 2017 and 2021 structures, suggesting we may be approaching a macro inflection point. Mid-Term Scenario Price near the trendline (~$120K) implies high risk of volatility and correction. Primary support zone: ~$65K (historical + Fibonacci confluence). Likely scenario: range-bound movement between $65K–$120K before any sustainable breakout or new parabolic leg.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by oTokyou
TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL)🔻 TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL) 📍 ENTRY ZONE: 1.1560 – 1.1580 🎯 TARGETS: • TP1 = 1.150 • TP2 = 1.140 • TP3 = 1.130 • TP4 = 1.120 🛡️ STOP LOSS: 1.1600 (above Tier 2 trap extension) 📐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT: • T1 (Macro): 🔻 Down • T2 (Structure): 🔻 Trap Zone Active (161.8%) • T3 (Execution): ⚠️ Rejection confirmed via M1 spike + engulf • T4 (Micro): 🧨 Trap spike → lower high forming 📊 EXECUTION LOGIC: • M1 rejection at 1.1580 confirmed • Bearish engulf candle formed post-spike • Multiple shorts laddered (1.1565 / 1.1580) • SL held above extension zone • Price now below both entries 🚦 TRADE STATE: ⚔️ ARMED • Add-on only valid under 1.1560 • SL trail after 1.1550 break • No long bias unless 1.1610 breaks with body close #Renko #FractalCodex #EURUSD #ShortSetup #TrapReversal #Fibonacci #PriceAction
Short
by OddJ0b
NVDA heads up at $183.72: Golden Genesis fib to mark a TOP?Chips have been flying high since the April lows. NVDA has just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $183.72 This is a "very high gravity" fib so expect a reaction. It is PROBABLE that we "orbit" this fib a few times. It is POSSIBLE that we reject to form a major top. It is PLAUSIBLE that we Break-n -Retest to continue.\ . See "Related Publications" for previous EXACT plots ------>>>>>>>> Such as this post at the last Golden Genesis: Hit the BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts ============================================================ .
NASDAQ:NVDA
by EuroMotif
GBPNZD Breakout from Consolidation Bullish Momentum BuildingGBPNZD has broken out of its recent consolidation pattern and is showing signs of bullish continuation. Strong GBP fundamentals combined with NZD weakness from global risk-off sentiment and tariffs support this technical move. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Pattern: Breakout from a descending channel with bullish follow-through. Current Level: 2.2418, trading above the breakout level, confirming momentum shift. Key Support Levels: 2.2294 – recent breakout support and invalidation point for bulls. 2.2222 – secondary support if a deeper pullback occurs. Resistance Levels: 2.2500 – near-term resistance and potential target for the breakout. 2.2690 – extended bullish target if momentum continues. Projection: Likely to continue higher toward 2.2500, with room for 2.2690 if GBP strength persists. Fundamental Analysis Bias: Bullish. Key Fundamentals: GBP: Supported by BOE’s cautious stance on inflation and the relative resilience of the UK economy. NZD: Pressured by global tariffs, weaker risk sentiment, and limited domestic growth catalysts. USD Factor: Fed rate cut expectations indirectly support GBP crosses against risk currencies like NZD. Risks: Hawkish surprise from RBNZ could strengthen NZD. BOE dovish signals could stall GBP upside. Key Events: BOE meeting and UK CPI. RBNZ policy decision. Risk sentiment trends globally. Leader/Lagger Dynamics GBP/NZD is a leader among GBP crosses, with GBP strength and NZD weakness driving momentum. It also aligns with EUR/NZD upside moves, reinforcing the bearish NZD outlook. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints GBP/NZD is bullish, having broken consolidation with upside targets at 2.2500 and 2.2690. The main drivers are GBP’s policy support, NZD’s risk-off weakness, and global tariff concerns. Watch for BOE and RBNZ updates as potential volatility triggers.
Long
by ultreosforex
XRP 1H – 21% Decline Off the HighAfter hitting a strong resistance near $3.75, XRP has been in a steady downtrend, losing over 20% from its peak. The chart shows clear lower highs and a strong descending resistance line capping every bounce. Price action remains bearish, but short-term momentum (via Stoch RSI) shows signs of being oversold — hinting at a potential relief bounce. To flip bias, bulls would need a clean break of the trendline and reclaim the $3.15–$3.25 area. Until then, lower highs + sustained sell volume = caution for longs. 📌 20.6% decline 📌 Downtrend intact 📌 Momentum diverging — bounce or continuation? This setup is primed for a mean-reversion or further breakdown — stay reactive, not predictive.
by Quant_Trading_Pro
**#XAUUSD H5 Higher Timeframe Analysis** 📊 **#XAUUSD H5 Higher Timeframe Analysis** What we witnessed today was a **tremendous recovery in Gold 🟡** after **3–4 consecutive bearish sessions 📉**. 📅 **Today’s candle** has **completely flipped the weekly structure**, turning a fully **bearish weekly candle into a bullish one 📈** — thanks to the **NFP data** that came in **favor of Gold and against the Dollar 💵❌**. 🔍 However, price is now approaching a **critical confluence zone**: * 🧭 A **long-running trendline** (since April) * 🔴 An **H4 Bearish Order Block** * 📐 The **Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.50–0.618)** at **3362–3372** 📌 **From this level, we have two possible scenarios:** 1️⃣ **Sharp Rejection 🔻:** Price may **reverse sharply** from the 3362–3372 zone and **resume the bearish trend**. 2️⃣ **Breakout & Trap Theory 🔺:** If price **sustains above this zone**, it may signal that the recent **3–4 day drop was a fake breakdown**, designed to **trap sellers** and grab liquidity for a **further upside move**. ✅ **Confirmation will come if we get an H4–H6 bullish candle close above the trendline** and back inside the **buying zone of 3375–3390**. 🔓 **A breakout above the triangle pattern** will likely lead to a **strong bullish continuation 📈🚀**.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KTechnicalLevels
AVAX/USDT: Bullish Reversal at MA Support & Daily OversoldHello traders, Today's analysis focuses on a high-probability long setup for AVAX/USDT on the 4H timeframe. The price has pulled back to a critical area where a confluence of powerful technical indicators suggests a significant bounce or reversal is imminent. 1. Trend & Context (The "Why") Following a strong uptrend, AVAX entered a corrective phase, marked by a Bearish Change of Character (ChoCh). This correction has now brought the price to an A+ support zone. Here are the key confluences for this bullish setup: Major Support Cluster: The price is currently reacting to a critical support cluster formed by the EMA 200 and EMA 400. These long-term moving averages are major levels where institutions often step in to buy. Momentum Exhaustion (MC Orderflow): The Innotrade MC Orderflow oscillator provides the critical confirmation that selling pressure is exhausted: The oscillator is deep in the OVERSOLD territory on the 4H chart. THE CRITICAL MTF CONFLUENCE: The Multi-Timeframe Cycle Table is the most important factor here. It shows that both the 4H and Daily timeframes are "Oversold". This alignment of higher timeframe momentum at a key technical support level is a very powerful signal for a reversal. 2. Entry, Stop Loss, and Targets (The "How") The alignment of these factors gives us a clear and actionable trade plan with a great risk-to-reward profile. Entry: An entry around the current price ($21.50 - $22.10) is ideal, as we are right at the MA support cluster. Stop Loss (SL): $21.20. This places the stop loss safely below the EMA 400 and the recent swing low, providing a clear invalidation point for the setup. Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: $24.00 (Targeting the Bearish ChoCh level and the cluster of short-term EMAs). TP2: $26.50 (The next major swing high, a logical area of resistance). TP3: $27.40 (The major high of the entire range, a longer-term target if the uptrend resumes). Conclusion This trade setup is of very high quality due to the powerful confluence of a major MA support cluster with a confirmed multi-timeframe momentum exhaustion signal (4H and Daily). This synergy creates a high-probability environment for a significant bullish reversal. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
Long
by Innotrade_AJ