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SOLUSD Weekly Outlook: Bullish Cypher PatternOverview On the weekly timeframe, BINANCE:SOLUSD has shifted gears since our last analysis. Previously, we flagged a bearish divergence—higher highs in price paired with lower highs on the DMI Delta—hinting at weakening momentum. Price has since declined, and now it’s tapping into a key demand zone, completing what appears to be a Bullish Cypher harmonic pattern. Why This Matters Bearish Divergence Played Out : The prior divergence signaled fading bullish pressure, and the subsequent drop brought SOLUSD from its highs into this demand zone—a textbook pullback scenario. Bullish Cypher Completion : The pattern’s structure is taking shape: X-A (initial up move), A-B (~38.2%-61.8% retracement of X-A), B-C (~113%-141.4% extension of A-B), and now C-D targeting a 78.6% retracement of X-C. The D point aligns with this demand zone, marking a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). Demand Zone Test : This level has historical buying interest. If it holds, it could validate the Cypher and spark a reversal. Key Considerations Watch the PRZ : The 78.6% X-C retracement (~D point) is critical. To confirm a bounce, look for reversal signals like a bullish candle, volume surge, or RSI/DMI Delta divergence. Lingering Divergence Risk : While the drop aligned with the prior bearish signal, momentum remains a question. Cross-check with volume or DMI trends before committing. Risk Management : For longs, set stops below the demand zone. If shorting a breakdown, target the next support level from prior lows. Upside Potential : A confirmed Cypher could push the price toward the 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg—map these targets on your chart. Conclusion The recent decline in BINANCE:SOLUSD following our bearish divergence call has set the stage for a Bullish Cypher at this demand zone. If buyers defend this level with conviction, the pattern could drive a meaningful reversal, invalidating the prior bearish pressure. However, a failure to hold here might extend the correction. Traders should monitor price action and volume at the PRZ for the next actionable signal.
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by J_O_S_E_
Gold Pauses After Record High – Key Support and Resistance LevelAfter reaching a new all-time high on Thursday, Gold has entered a consolidation phase again, fluctuating within a range of 2,920 to 2,940. This period of consolidation suggests that the market is pausing before deciding on its next move. The overall trend remains bullish as long as the 2,920 support level holds. A decisive breakout above 2,940 could signal renewed upward momentum, potentially leading to a fresh all-time high. However, if gold breaks below 2,920, it could trigger a deeper correction, with the next significant support level around the 2,850 zone. In this scenario, sellers may gain temporary control, pushing prices lower before the market finds stability. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
T
by Mihai_Iacob
2
GBPJPY: Channel Down on its new bullish wave.GBPJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.292, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 36.514) as since the February 13th LH and rejection near the 1D MA50, it was been on its new bearish wave. The 1D RSI doesn't give a buy signal until it hits its S1 Zone, so we remain bearish on this pair with a typical TP = 185.500, unless the RSI hits S1 first, in which case you'll be encouraged to take profit earlier. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
All orders closed above #2,952.80 benchmarkAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "I have engaged at least #4 Buying orders throughout Friday's session (#2,925.80 entry point) and closed on #2,935.80 - #2,942.80 delivering excellent Profits as I kept final one #2,927.80 entry point / optimal Target remains #2,952.80 benchmark. I have stated that Traders should keep Buying the dips on Gold and my #4th order I will look to close as near as #2,952.80 benchmark. It is indeed excellent last week's closing and entering current week in decent Profit. Once I close my order there, I will observe market from sidelines and will Gold defend #2,948.80 - #2,952.80 newly formed Support zone with market closing. If it does, I will Buy Gold on spot towards #2,972.80 Higher High's extension. Indeed I am more than satisfied with my returns." Technical analysis: The Price-action is basically consolidating again on Hourly 1 chart’s within so far well known Neutral Rectangle only to give Scalpers and Buyers a chance / opportunity for Intra-day returns. Hourly 1 chart’s invalidated Neutral Rectangle and extended former Ascending Channel however soon enough I may be getting a serious break-out (the pattern usually breaks to the upside and favors Buyers if cycle is replicated). I am currently on the sidelines, simply maintaining my Buying model as I will Buy Gold as Lower as I can (as near as local Low’s). I need to state for the record (again) that when I mention pullbacks on my remarks I am not suggesting Traders to Short right away. I am suggesting a more optimal place to re-Buy the market. Gold is now overall Bullish market as I have stated since the start of the Month that my strategy is to be Buying (and accumulating) on pullbacks. Those who've been following me for Years know that I am always accurate on Medium-term declines which I will spot for us once again as many times before however under such Bullish setting on Gold, Selling is not favorable. Despite Price-action Trading within an Hourly 4 chart’s Bullish motion (pattern which is spotted multiple times on Hourly 4 chart lately), Gold is purely responding to the Fundamentals of the DX and world's geo-politics which are on High speculation mode. My position: Keep Buying every dip with #2,918.80 - #2,922.80 Medium-term Support zone intact. As long as Gold is above mention zone, #3,000.80 benchmark is my Target and Bullish Short-term trend is preserved.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
Microstrategy Enters "The Valley of Risk"A term I have coined, "The Valley of Risk", describes a price chart which has had a prior very strong bullish trend, pulls back to its 50% Retracement Support, and then fails to hold it... entering a long, grinding, bearish deflation which coincides with the heavy negative emotion being felt by those still holding the bag. Inside the "Valley of Risk" nothing one does is correct: If you sell... it will bottom and rally If you buy... it will continue down If you baghold... it will continue to go down until you cannot stand it and #1 This is just a pattern of human emotion being reflected on a price chart... which is what price charts ultimately are. It is best to avoid going into the Valley of Risk and have strict rules against bagholding. Deploy your capital elsewhere that there is a better potential rate of return. When I teach about this concept I always look back to Zillow NASDAQ:Z . This was a stock I bought "on a dip" at 111 and made the right decision to sell my position at a loss at 102 when the stock price violated the 50% Support. This allowed me to avoid the horrible Earnings miss gap and the final -74% depreciation. My position still would not have recovered as of writing. As I published months ago, it became clear to me that the over exuberance and fancy financial buzz words being thrown around about NASDAQ:MSTR were signs of a ponzi about to collapse. Well, the "Bitcoin nuclear reactor" has cooled and the leverage baked into Microstrategy would be its downfall. That has now come to pass. There are some other interesting elements of price action which have been textbook in this decline that I want to talk about in this post. The 50% Retracement: The operative level for the last 3 months has been 328. This is the 50% Retracement of the YOLO rally. In the pullback from the ATH 440 became the 50% Retracement Resistance. The Ichimoku Cloud Breakout Confirmed: The other textbook setup was when the Ichimoku Cloud Breakout was confirmed by the Lagging Span entering clear bearish space after price had exited the cloud. Interestingly, this happened at the same exact day as Bitcoin; last Friday. You can read more about this strategy and my 14 year study of how effective it is in my recent Ideas: So what now? That is the eternal question of "The Valley of Risk". There is never a good answer because the technical supports have been broken. Personally though I need to answer this question for my bearish positions. The most logical point to look would be the Volume Profile POC at 165. However, Microstrategy is going to move concurrent to Bitcoin itself and knowing the past bearish cycle patterns this week, through brutal, will find a bottom. I do not believe it will be the final bottom only that price may hesitate at some point for perhaps even a month. My trade management This week I will be selling premium against my long Puts, which go out to 2027, to offset my Theta while still remaining short Delta.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by norok
GBPUSD Rally: Will It Retrace? Key Liquidity Zones & Trada Idea.📈 The GBP/USD has seen a significant rally recently, with previous highs on the weekly and daily higher timeframes acting as potential upside targets. But the big question is: how far could the pair retrace? 🤔 On the daily timeframe, we can clearly see a bullish imbalance that might serve as an internal range liquidity target for a pullback. This aligns with the market's natural behavior of seeking liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. 🔄 In this video, we dive into the trend 📊, market structure 🧩, and price action 🎯, discussing key factors like the imbalance and liquidity dynamics to keep in mind. Plus, we share a trade idea based on a specific set of rules on the 15-minute timeframe ⏱️. ⚠️ Not financial advice – this is for educational purposes only! 🚨
Long
by fxtraderanthony
RUNE Ready for a Big Move? Accumulation Breakout Incoming!Current Market Structure: #RUNE has been in an accumulation phase after a prolonged bearish trend. The price is consolidating, forming a potential Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. No further bearish signs are present except for the previous break of a strong support level. Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Support: $0.788 (previous level) 🔹 Resistance: $2.5 (breakout zone) 🔹 Accumulation Range: $1.13 – $1.6 Trading Plan: 🔹 A confirmed breakout above the resistance level will signal the start of a bullish trend. 🔹 Ideal long entry on breakout with a retest confirmation. 🔹 Stop-loss below accumulation range to minimize risk. 🔹 Targeting $7 as the next resistance level. What do you think? Will #RUNE break out soon, or are we in for more sideways movement? Share your thoughts in the comments! Like & Follow for more trade setups and insights!
Long
by mudusir
USDT.D Plan & Market ExpectationsMarket Outlook: Current expectation: Taking out the fractal high with a confirmed impulse via a new 1D FVG formation. If no 1D FVG forms, there’s a high probability of testing the higher fractal high at 4.96%, which would be bearish for BTC & alts. However, there are currently no clear signs of a move toward 4.96%. Preferred Scenario – Bearish Continuation Higher probability for impulse decline → Price already tested local support inside the current range. Targeting: 1W FVG – First major liquidity area for a reaction. 1W RB – If 1W FVG breaks, expect further downside here. Rebound Scenario & Risk Management From 1W FVG & 1W RB: Expect bounces. If no new SNR or 1D FVG forms during the bounce, the decline will likely continue toward new local lows. If new variables (SNR / 1D FVG) appear, reassess for potential reversal. Bearish Invalidation – Bullish Risk If USDT.D breaks 4.96%, market conditions turn negative for BTC & alts. No strong indications yet, but must monitor for confirmation or rejection.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by Goldfinch_song
Bitcoin Breaks Uptrend line– Is a Crash Coming?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to rise and reached the upper areas of the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) and has managed to break the Uptrend line . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have finally completed the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines once again, this is likely to be a heavy drop . Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260), we expect more Pumps. Do you think Bitcoin can break the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) or not? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
44
XAUUSD - 1hr analyzeSimple Trading: Distribution Phase First, we can see that gold has started to consolidate. Once we see this, we look back at previous candles to identify the patterns in this phase: (1) preliminary resistance (2) the last buy (3) a retest to confirm support (4) confirm resistance without making a higher high. (5) Higher high (typically a FAKEOUT) We are waiting for the price to confirm the last step (6) to complete the pattern. If the price falls to SUPPORT, creating a LOWER LOWER, the Distribution Phase is complete. Expect gold turn to remain bearish. Falling as low as 2815.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by Subatomic9
XAU / USD, recovery at the beginning of the week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) sees renewed buying interest during the Asian session on Monday but stays within its recent range near last week’s record high. Ongoing uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs and their global economic impact, coupled with broader risk aversion, supports the safe-haven metal. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and a weaker US Dollar further bolster demand for gold. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovered positively at the beginning of the week, mainly sideways and accumulated below 2955 ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2916 - $2918 SL $2911 TP1: $2920 TP2: $2925 TP3: $2930 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2952 - $2954 SL $2959 TP1: $2948 TP2: $2940 TP3: $2930 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Keep selling Bitcoin!An inverse head & shoulders, with a falling wedge, all great ways to induce buyers into the market once the new week opens. Buyers would consider an immediate drop on the week Bullish. When the weekly opens, it may in fact drop momentarily to 94k to create this pattern and start going back up. This would liquidate weekly open high leverage bears and encourage bulls to open positions. In this scenario, many would lose money, as TP's are unrealistic. Last time the weekly did not liq grab and it dropped, so it would create FOMO shorts this week. Also weekend liquidity still has not been grabbed.
Short
by Subatomic9
#XAUUSD (GOLD) READY TO SELL NOW Hello Everyone, Here is My Today's #XAUUSD (GOLD) Market Analysis Please Check & Share Your Kind Opinions in the Comments Section, Thanks! 🙏 Today on 25 February 2025 #Gold Current Price: $2940 #Pivot Point: $2949 📉Bearish Scenario Overall the market sentiment suggests a bearish outlook for Gold today , If the H4 candle closes below the pivot point ($2949) we could see a drop towards our first support target of ($2933) followed by potential moves to ($2921) and ($2910) 📉Support: $2907 / $2900 📊 Key Action: If the H4 candle closes below the pivot point, consider a sell position with the targets mentioned. A continued move lower could test the support areas at $2907 and $2900. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If Gold manages to stay above the pivot point ($2949), we might see a push towards higher levels. 📈First Resistance Targets: $2956 (yesterday's all-time high) 📈Out Resistance Area: $2962 If Gold closes above the pivot point and sustains above it, the market may attempt a new all-time high and push towards $2962. Note : Gold Resistance are is the strong area for Gold Sell 📊Key Action: If the H4 candle closes above $2949, this could signal a buy position with targets at ($2956) and potentially ($2962) 📊Key Levels: 📊Pivot Point: $2949 📉Support Targets: 📉Target 1) $2933 📉Target 2) $2921 📉Target 3) $2910 📉Support) $2907 / $2900 📈Resistance Targets: Resistance 1: $2956 (All-Time High) 📈Resistance 2 : $2962 (Out Resistance Area) 📊Trend Outlook: 📈Bullish Above: $2949 📉Bearish Below: $2949 If you like my analysis, don’t forget to Like, Follow & Comment.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Global_Club
The Power of a Trading Journal: Key to Consistent SuccessHave you ever pondered what distinguishes successful traders from those who struggle for consistent profits? One key tool, often underestimated, is the trading journal. Both research and practical experience demonstrate that traders who diligently track their performance and critically assess their decisions tend to enhance their trading skills and overall results over time. While financial markets can seem erratic, a well-maintained trading journal can provide clarity regarding your trading behavior and highlight areas ripe for improvement. Understanding the Trading Journal At its core, a trading journal serves as a comprehensive record of your trades, detailing every decision and its corresponding outcome. However, it goes beyond a mere tally of wins and losses; it acts as a robust instrument for self-reflection and growth. By keeping an organized log, traders can identify recurring patterns, refine their strategies, and cultivate greater discipline in their trading practices. In essence, a trading journal empowers you to track your performance while offering meaningful insights for informed decision-making. What Constitutes a Trading Journal? A trading journal is a personalized record of your trading journey designed to document every aspect of your experiences. Unlike a basic transaction log, it encompasses insights into your decisions, emotional states, and strategies, thereby providing an in-depth perspective on your trading habits and performance over time. This journal functions as a roadmap, enabling you to analyze your actions, learn from missteps, and recognize successful patterns to replicate in future trades. Essential Components of a Trading Journal 1. Trade Details: Log fundamental information for each trade, including the date, instrument, entry and exit points, position size, and the outcome. 2. Trade Analysis and Rationale: Capture the reasons behind each trade, such as market analysis, utilized indicators, or significant news events influencing your decision. 3. Emotional Insights: Document the emotions felt before, during, and after each trade, which will help you identify emotional triggers impacting your decision-making. 4. Results and Lessons Learned: Reflect on the trade’s outcome and the insights gained. Did it align with your expectations? What could be improved next time? By consistently maintaining these entries, your trading journal will allow for systematic performance tracking, enabling you to conduct insightful trade analysis and continuously enhance your trading methodology. The Key Benefits of a Trading Journal Maintaining a trading journal provides numerous benefits that can significantly elevate your trading performance over time. From honing decision-making skills to fostering emotional discipline, a trading journal is an invaluable asset for anyone committed to enhancing their trading approach. 1. Enhanced Decision-Making: Analyzing past trades enables you to discern patterns in your decision-making process, both successful and otherwise. You might uncover that certain strategies work better under specific market conditions or that impulsive trades frequently lead to losses. Understanding these patterns grants you valuable insights for making informed, calculated choices in future trades. 2. Improved Emotional Control: Trading often involves a rollercoaster of emotions, with factors like fear and greed skewing decision-making. Documenting your feelings during trades can help you identify emotional triggers and develop strategies to manage them, maintaining objectivity and preventing emotions from derailing your trading plan. Over time, this fosters emotional control, which is crucial for sustained trading success. 3. Increased Consistency and Discipline: A trading journal encourages consistency by promoting adherence to your trading plan and strategies. By recording every trade—regardless of its outcome—you cultivate a disciplined mindset that helps you avoid impulsive decisions and maintain a structured approach aligned with your objectives. How to Establish Your Trading Journal Creating a trading journal is quite simple; the key lies in selecting the right format and knowing what to document. Follow this guide to set up a journal that effectively tracks your trading performance and identifies growth opportunities. Selecting Your Format: 1. Digital Applications: Tools like Evernote, OneNote, or specialized trading journal software offer accessibility, data backup, and automation. Many apps include analytics features for streamlined performance tracking. 2. Spreadsheets: Utilizing Excel or Google Sheets affords flexibility and customization. You can craft a spreadsheet tailored to your needs, complete with specified fields, formulas, and visualizations. 3. Paper Journals: For those who prefer a tactile approach, a traditional notebook can suffice. While writing by hand fosters reflection, it lacks digital conveniences like searchable records. Crucial Information to Record: To enhance the effectiveness of your trading journal, make sure to include these key data points: - Entry and Exit Points: Log the precise times and prices at which trades are entered and exited. - Position Size and Trade Details: Note the trade size, instrument, and any pertinent details. - Motivation for the Trade: Document the analysis or strategy that influenced your trade decision, whether rooted in technical analysis, fundamental factors, or broader market trends. - Emotional State: Record your feelings throughout the trading process to better understand emotional influences. - Trade Outcome and Lessons: Reflect on the trade's success and any insights gained, noting what worked well or what didn’t. Starting a trading journal requires minimal time but can significantly affect your long-term ability to track performance and improve. Read Also: Reviewing Your Trading Journal for Growth A trading journal can only yield benefits if you regularly review and analyze its contents. Consistent reviews enable you to identify patterns, adjust strategies, and enhance your trading acumen. Setting Review Periods: Designate time—weekly, biweekly, or monthly—to review your journal. These sessions reinforce your commitment to your goals and reveal areas needing adjustment, ensuring ongoing learning from your trades. Spotting Patterns and Mistakes: Analyze your trades for recurring themes. Determine if you consistently act on particular signals or if emotional responses lead to poor decision-making. Acknowledging frequent mistakes marks the first step toward correcting detrimental behaviors. Implementing Adjustments: Leverage insights from your journal to modify your trading strategies. If a specific method isn’t yielding results, revise or replace it accordingly. If certain emotional triggers lead to losses, develop coping mechanisms to mitigate their influence. By committing to regular reviews, you can transform your trading experiences into invaluable lessons that foster better habits and skills. Read Also: Maximizing the Benefits of Your Trading Journal To fully reap the rewards of a trading journal, it's crucial to engage with it effectively. Here are tips to enhance your journaling experience: 1. Maintain Consistency: Regularly enter details after every trade or at least daily. This practice captures relevant details while they’re recent, building a robust record for analysis. 2. Practice Honesty: Accurately document both successes and failures. A truthful account allows for clearer insights into areas needing improvement, as self-awareness plays a vital role in progress. 3. Utilize Visuals: Incorporate charts, graphs, or screenshots to enrich your journal. Visual aids facilitate pattern recognition and provide a more comprehensive understanding of your trading performance. Read Also: Conclusion: The Transformative Role of a Trading Journal A trading journal is an essential tool for any trader pursuing consistent success. By meticulously recording trades, scrutinizing decisions, and learning from both victories and defeats, you can sharpen your skills, master your emotions, and cultivate a disciplined approach to the markets. Beyond merely documenting past trades, a trading journal offers critical insights that can profoundly influence your long-term performance. By consistently utilizing this resource, you can decipher your unique trading habits, refine strategies, and ultimately boost your confidence in decision-making. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Education
by FOREXN1
3