Community ideas
GBPUSD - End Of The Bullish Gravy Train?With a strong bullish rally throughout 2025, it is considered 'stupid' to bet against the trend. As the famous saying goes, 'the trend is your friend' and to a certain extent, it is true.
But during the time of bullish price action, there is a minor retracement that occurs that allow smart money to buy at a lower price and a scenario like this is most likely going to play out going into the next weeks trading as I am seeing weakness across the board with Dollar Index and EURUSD.
1.32340 is my 1st point of interest
Dow Jones - Market Conditions That Will Make A Grown Man Cry!Dow Jones has not had a good month when comparing with the gains Nasdaq booked or even the recovered losses throughout the month for S&P but I am optimistic about good times ahead.
In the short term, there is high potential for Dow jones to gravitate into the weekly SIBI @ $41,144 - $41,707, especially if NQ continues it's rally into a premium and Sunday NWOG does not change current market structure.
S&P 500 - Low Resistance Liquidity Run To $5,600?Over 10 days has been spent trading inside of Wednesday 9th April 2025 daily candle with Friday 25th being the day that we witnessed expansion through buyside liquidity.
I would like to see a continuation further inside of the weekly SIBI of $5,649.75 - $5,532 C.E.
Low hanging fruits going into next week guys!
Nasdaq - In The Cards For Premium PricesIn comparison to S&P 500 and Dow Jones, Nasdaq is in the lead, steam rolling through short term buy stops this week which was a failure for ES and YM.
Going forward, i'd love to see how Sundays NWOG affects market structure and whether we continue to climb into the premium price range
BITCOIN SHORT SETUP ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
BTC SHORT SETUP
ENTRY : 96400
PROFIT : 88174.9
STOP : 98812.8
XAUUSD 1HGold Analysis
Continuing the previous analysis
The market faces a critical test at 3340.
A confirmed break and stabilization above this level would invalidate today's analysis and shift the trend bullish.
However, based on precise mathematical modeling, the expectation is clear:
The market is likely to fail in breaking above 3340, opening the way for a strong bearish move toward:
3235
3170
3130
Stay disciplined, trust the math, and move with confidence.
In a world full of uncertainty, we follow certainty.
Stay with me!
A Simple sell set up is formed here in BitcoinCurrent Price Area: ~94000
Short-term Trend View: Downtrend
First Target: 93500
Second Target: 93000
Stop Loss: above 94400
In short: you are expecting a short-term correction in Bitcoin from 94000, with a stop-loss tight above recent highs (94400), aiming for a ~1000 point move down.
Quick thoughts on this setup:
If Bitcoin fails to break 94400 cleanly, your short view stays valid.
Watch for support near 93500 — some bounce can happen there, so partial booking or trailing stop could be smart if it stalls.
FLM/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.0360 - 0.0370
HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
TSLAThe Future of Tesla Stocks: 2025 Outlook
Current Situation
As of late April 2025, Tesla (TSLA) is trading at approximately $284.95, with notable volatility
Bullish scenarios: Some forecasts see TSLA reaching $360 or even as high as $800.70 by year-end, especially if Tesla executes well on new products and technology.
Bearish scenarios: More cautious analysts, such as those at Wells Fargo, warn of a possible drop toward $130 if deliveries and margins disappoint, citing intense competition and slowing demand.
Most forecasts for 2025 fall between $284 and $800, highlighting high uncertainty and volatility in the stock’s outlook.
Key Drivers for Tesla’s Stock Performance
1. Vehicle Deliveries and Production
Tesla is expected to deliver between 1.95 million and 2.5 million vehicles in 2025, with growth driven by new models like the Cybertruck and more affordable vehicles.
Any production setbacks or failure to meet targets could pressure the stock.
2. Technological Innovation
Success in rolling out Full Self-Driving (FSD) features and the anticipated Robotaxi service could be transformative, potentially boosting profit margins and investor sentiment.
However, delays or regulatory hurdles could dampen optimism.
3. Competition and Market Share
Tesla faces growing competition from legacy automakers and new EV entrants, especially in China and Europe.
Its EV market share has slipped below 50% in key regions, raising concerns about sustaining growth.
4. Financial Performance
Revenue is projected to grow by 17.5% to $117.2 billion in 2025, with EPS also expected to rise.
Margins are under pressure due to price cuts and rising costs, a key risk factor.
5. External and Market Risks
Macroeconomic conditions, such as interest rates and consumer demand, will influence stock performance.
CEO Elon Musk’s leadership and public perception remain influential but can also be a source of volatility.
Long-Term Potential: Despite short-term risks, many analysts consider Tesla a strong long-term play due to its innovation and brand strength.
Conclusion
The future of Tesla stock in 2025 is highly uncertain, with forecasts ranging from significant gains to steep declines. Key factors include delivery growth, technological breakthroughs, margin management, and competitive pressures. While the long-term outlook remains positive for many analysts, short-term risks and volatility should not be underestimated. Investors should monitor Tesla’s execution on new products, regulatory developments, and broader market trends for directional cues.
$MSFT : A 'Teflon' stock refusing to budge under pressureI promised multiple times that a detailed analysis of NASDAQ:MSFT will be published. Its time, today we analyze the levels to watch for and the future price points in this stock.
A large cap stock like NASDAQ:MSFT is a difficult ship to navigate. During the recent turbulence the stock lost almost 33% of its value. Even during these times, it never broke below the prior cycle highs of 345 $ in contrast to other MAG7 stocks like NASDAQ:TSLA which then led to more than 50% downturn in the stock. But as the headline says NASDAQ:MSFT is Teflon stock with resistance to go down. In the weekly chart we see that the stock never broke below the midpoint of the upward sloping regression band channel which is @ 375 $.
Now where does the stock go from here? If we plot the Fib levels on NASDAQ:MSFT we see that it is firmly at 0.382 which lies at 392 $. Next level is at 415 $, and we have an earning catalyst upcoming for NASDAQ:MSFT and if the stock closes above 425 $ then we can easily touch 422 $.
Verdict : NASDAQ:MSFT keep on DCAing. Earnings quality with low volatility.
$ADA Cardano 3 rising valleys / 3 bar play!Real nice look here for Cardano, with the 3rd rising valley, and now the 3 bar play, a 3 candle pattern suggesting of bullish continuation.
Given this is the weekly chart, i would put a lot of weight into this and cautiously say, this is where we finally get a real move here.
Daily momentum continues rising with volatility, which is a characteristic of a strong bullish trend underway.
Simultaneously, the daily ADX has begun to rise once again from under the newly Bullish DX cloud. This is the earliest signal that a new bullish trend is technically underway.
If the 3 bar play fails, or fails to close with this weeks candle body engulfing last weeks, id consider that a subtle red flag. Price should not make a new low under this pattern from here on out.
Gold's second bottoming out shows a range, Layout direction!Gold fell back after reaching a high this week, and the highest reached 3500, which was under pressure. The weekly line finally closed with a Yin cross star. It is expected to be a wide sweep range next week, and the overall range will remain at 3370-3260. After breaking through, it will follow the trend. The daily line has bottomed out and rebounded, and the rebound strength is also strong. Finally, it closed with a long lower shadow Yin line. The repeated sweep of hundreds of points is still the main tone. There is no clear direction signal. The upper pressure is around 3348. If the rebound continues at the opening next week, pay attention to this position. If it breaks through, look at 3370-80. Pay attention to the support below 3288 and 3260. Treat it as a shock in operation, and try to participate in the band near the key position!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3285-95, and look at 3325 and 3248! Shorting is possible if the upper 3248 pressure is not broken!
ETHThe chart looks like Bitcoin’s movement in 2020. I think it will rise to $4,000 by autumn. If it breaks that level, we could see $8,000–$10,000 by 2026, and and possibly even reach $14,000.
At the moment, it’s hard to believe this forecast, but the market can move any way, and there’s always a chance this scenario could happen.
ZB1! - Low Hanging Fruits Pays The Bills!Please refer to US10Y Yields if you want a detailed, 360 analysis of the bond and yields market as I cover the reasons why price action has been soo tricky recently and what to expect going forward.
Low hanging fruits if important right now and studying the daily timeframe throughout next week will give me the indication whether 116.18 will be a good price for the bonds to reverse from or a springboard for higher prices
#XAUUSD:From Our Last Analysis 534+ Pips What Next?We published our analysis on gold on April 24th, highlighting the bullish market presence. The price indeed reversed from our zone, enabling us to make a significant move of over 234 pips. We anticipate a continuous price increase from our entry zone, potentially reaching 3500$. There are several reasons behind this belief. Firstly, the escalating war-like tension between India and Pakistan could lead to a surge in gold prices, potentially surpassing the previous high. Secondly, the heightened tensions among global investors are expected to result in an extreme bullish movement in gold prices.
Given the volatility of gold, we recommend trading cautiously and taking extra precautions while trading gold.
Wishing you good luck and safe trading!
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Pan cake or pin cake?????I have no idea about fundamental, but I am thinking its enough moment to upside, need correction long way down to 60k area. retest is must to consider a healthy market. And it might be slow down for the rest of the year until the bull run starts again in winter, you know winter is coming. hahahaha