This isn’t a breakout. It’s a setup.ETH has been coiling under this level for weeks. While most watch for breakout confirmation — I’ve already mapped the reaccumulation narrative.
The structure:
Price delivered cleanly off a Daily OB and is now grinding through prior inefficiencies. Multiple D FVGs stack just beneath the current zone — not noise, not gaps — these are algorithmic footprints.
Below price? A refined Daily Order Block at 2558, paired with stacked inefficiencies all the way to 2392. That’s the reload zone if price wants to run it deeper.
But the key here is this: price is compressing under draw-level FVGs. Every candle is building imbalance. Every wick is a test. This isn't weakness — it's staging.
Scenario 1:
Minor pullback into local D FVG cluster
Hold above 2580–2600
Reprice into 3030 FVG
Final objective: 3434 sweep and delivery into premium inefficiency (3650+)
Scenario 2:
Sweep below 2580 into full OB at 2558
Sharp rejection
Acceleration through D FVGs above
Mindset:
You don’t chase moves. You wait where Smart Money builds. This isn’t about predicting pumps — it’s about positioning before they become obvious.
“Structure doesn’t lie. Price just tells you who’s in control.”
Community ideas
APPLE: 3 year Channel Up targets $285.Apple is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.788, MACD = -0.260, ADX = 30.978) as the recent weakness impeded the price from making the decisive bullish break-out above it. The 1W RSI structure though indicates that this is a bottom formation and it is evident on the Channel Up that the April 7th low has been the start of the new bullish wave. The first bullish wave which also started after a -32% correction, made a first peak on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. We are bullish on Apple long term, TP = 285.00.
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BTC - On its way down from these trendlines How low can we go? We will find out.
Three bearish intersecting trendlines above.
Short began initiating from above as per my previous post.
I personally am not ruling out a flash crash to 10,000.
DXY is breaking down a major bearish trendline on the weekly / monthly - Market has a prime opportunity to manipulate Bitcoin into all of these long stop losses and trigger a massive liquidation event.
Stay alert and safe!
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️
📅 June 13, 2025
👤 By: MJTRADING
🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise:
Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes.
While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for:
* Military retaliation
* Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes
* Heightened volatility across global risk assets
=======================================================
📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7:
Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022.
Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top.
This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases.
Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation
If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70:
Target 1: $88.88 supply zone
Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance
Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation
🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel
If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly
A close below $75 could confirm bull trap
Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic)
US/NATO reaction to potential escalation
Strait of Hormuz disruption
OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment
Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike)
💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts.
📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
The summit is just around the corner, just one final push away!Gold closed sideways at a high level yesterday, and closed positive again overnight. It opened back to 3379 and pulled up strongly, breaking through the 3400 mark and then increasing in volume. The recent low-multiple bullish ideas have been realized. Today, there is no doubt that it will continue to be bullish and long. The market has turned from the previous sweeping upward to a strong unilateral trend. The upper side will first look at the previous high pressure of 3435. Continued breakthrough will further open up the upper space, or it will hit 3500 or even a new high again. The lower support focuses on the top and bottom conversion position of 3395-3405, and then pay attention to the 1H cycle support near 3410. Intraday operations are still mainly based on falling back and long.
Operation suggestion: Go long when gold falls back to 3395-3345, and look at 3434 and 3450. If it is strong, continue to go long with the support of 3415-3410.
EURUSD - Getting Over-Bought?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channels marked in red and blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channels.
Moreover, the orange zone is a major daily high.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue/red trendlines and daily high.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ETH long chanceHello everyone...
Welcome to my channel!
If you liked the analysis below, hit the rocket button.
Let's dive into the Ethereum analysis on the 4-hour time frame.
What are we waiting for right now?
We are waiting for the 2874 level to break with good volume, so we can enter a long position with proper risk management. It is worth noting that there is a chance of a fake-out, so either use a large stop-loss below the 2310 level, or a smaller stop-loss with a small risk-to-reward ratio. If you're using a smaller stop, make sure to lock in profits sooner.
The green boxes you see in the image indicate the strong presence of buying makers who have established solid support in these areas. If the buyers fail at the 2700 area, we may need to focus more on the bearish scenario.
Hitting the rocket and sharing your comments motivates me.
Stay profitable!
KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles TA+Trade plan1. Market context & chart structure
Asset / venue / timeframe: KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles, data to 12 Jun 2025 06:45 UTC (see image).
Primary pattern in play: Price has compressed into a contracting (symmetrical) triangle that began after the 28 May low. The apex is only ~1–2 candles away, so a decisive break is statistically imminent.
Preceding structure:
17-day descending channel → capitulation into a falling-wedge reversal (27–28 May).
Two-legged double-bottom (“Bottom 2”) at 0.075–0.078 USDT.
Sideways rectangle 29 May-7 Jun, now morphing into the present triangle.
Key horizontal levels (4 h closes): 0.0930 (upper triangle rail / neckline) · 0.0891 (local supply) · 0.0797 (strong demand / wedge base) · 0.0620 (monthly support)
Volume picture: Realised volume has been drying up since 31 May, a classic pre-breakout contraction. A spike on the break will confirm direction.
2. Indicator read-out
Market Cipher B - Green momentum wave printing, money-flow bars just turned positive Mildly bullish, Early bull divergence vs 28 May
RSI(14) - 46 and curling up - Neutral-to-bullish Hidden bullish divergence vs price higher-lows
Stoch RSI 26/24 and crossing up from oversold Bullish Momentum reset complete
ArTy Money-Flow Index +3.5 and rising Bullish Positive inflow after five sessions of outflow
Collectively the oscillators favour an upside resolution, provided volume confirms.
3. Scenario probability matrix
Scenario Trigger & confirmation
Option 1 – Uptrend continuation
4 h close ≥ 0.0925 USDT with volume ≥ 2× 20-period average
Measured-move 0.107 → 0.118;
extended fib 1.618 ≈ 0.125–0.128
Est. probability: 60 %
Option 2 – Downtrend resumption
4 h close ≤ 0.079 USDT with similar volume spike 0.072 (range EQ) → 0.067–0.062 structural support
Est. probability: 40 %
Weighting derives from: oscillator bias, shrinking supply above 0.092 (order-book heat-map), but tempered by external models calling for a short-term dip toward 0.067 USDT
4. Trading plan
Component Long (Option 1) Short (Option 2)
Entry Buy stop 0.0926 USDT Sell stop 0.0789 USDT
Initial stop-loss 0.0838 USDT 0.0870 USDT (back inside triangle)
Primary target-1 0.1050 (≈1R) 0.0725 (≈1R)
Secondary target-2 0.1180 (≈2.5R) 0.0670 (≈2.5R)
Position size Risk ≤ 1 % of account per trade (adjust contracts accordingly)
5. Additional catalysts & risk factors
Macro-beta: BTC dominance and broad market risk-on / risk-off could swamp pattern-based setups; monitor DXY and SPX correlations.
Protocol news: Kaspa’s DAG-based roadmap upgrades and potential exchange listings remain upside catalysts. Conversely, lack of progress or regulatory headlines could accelerate a downside break.
kaspa.org
Weekend liquidity gaps: KAS often shows slippage outside US trading hours; consider reducing size or using wide stops if breakout occurs late Friday–Sunday.
6. To sum up
Bias: I lean 60 % toward Option 1 (bullish breakout) provided we get a 4 h close above 0.092 with volume confirmation. Otherwise, a flush to the 0.07 area (Option 2) is the alternative. Trade the break, not the prediction, and keep risk tight.
Bitcoin - Breakout incoming towards $115k?Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating just below a key resistance level over the past several days. This period of sideways movement, without any significant pullbacks, reflects notable strength in the market. Such price behavior often precedes a strong directional move, and in this case, the technical setup continues to favor the possibility of a bullish breakout.
1H BullFlag Pattern
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC is forming a well-defined bull flag pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation signal. This flag began to develop after BTC surged from approximately $105,000 to $110,000, creating the flagpole that represents the initial wave of upward momentum.
Since that move, price has entered a consolidation phase, forming the flag portion of the pattern with declining volume and tighter price action. If BTC breaks out above the upper boundary of this flag, the measured move target projects a rally toward the $115,000 level. Reaching this target would represent a new all-time high for Bitcoin, signaling a continuation of the broader uptrend.
4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), Downside Scenario
Although the overall structure favors a bullish outcome, it is important to acknowledge the potential for a short-term retracement. On the 4-hour chart, there is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $105,700 and $106,800. If BTC fails to break out immediately, this zone becomes a logical area to monitor.
Price may revisit this imbalance to fill the gap left behind by the recent upward move. A dip into this area could present a strong opportunity for long entries, particularly if buyers step in with conviction. Filling this FVG would allow for a more balanced structure before BTC attempts a sustained move higher.
Conclusion
BTC continues to show impressive resilience as it consolidates near its prior highs. The presence of a bull flag on the lower timeframes, coupled with minimal downside volatility, suggests that a breakout above resistance is becoming increasingly likely.
However, reclaiming the previous all-time high remains a critical step before targeting the projected $115,000 level. How BTC reacts to that key resistance area will provide important insight into the strength of this rally.
At this stage, the bullish case remains the higher probability scenario, while any short-term pullback into the FVG zone could offer a healthy reset and a potential long setup for continuation toward new highs.
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Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe tensions between the U.S. and Iran continue to intensify as the second U.S. nuclear-powered aircraft carrier enters the Persian Gulf. Iran's Defense Minister warned that it would attack U.S. bases if conflict broke out. However, the sixth round of talks between the two sides is scheduled for June 15 in Oman, a development that has raised market expectations for a de-escalation of negotiations. Geopolitical risks are time-sensitive, as if the conflict does not escalate, risk aversion may fade rapidly, and gold could give back its gains.
From a 4-hour technical analysis, the short-term support level below focuses on the 3365 area, with the 3340 level as key support. The main strategy remains to go long on pullbacks to these support levels and follow the upward trend. The key bullish threshold lies at the 3320-3325 zone – any pullback before the daily close breaks below this level presents a buying opportunity, maintaining the primary approach of trend following. We recommend prioritizing long positions on corrections and using short positions on rebounds as a supplement. The short-term resistance above is at the 3400-3405 area, while the short-term support below is at the 3360-3350 range.
XAUUSD
buy@3350-3360
tp:3380-3400
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 13 June 25Hello Traders,
First of all congratulations to all of you as 3430-40 zone GAP filled today but sad new is war scenarios resume
so advise for you is take limited risks
all eyes on 3450 Psychological level breakout, intraday expected range is 3400-3450 if markets break 3450 then it will move towards 3480
if market breaks 3400 successfully then it will move back towards 3370 or even 3355
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
EURUSD – Follow-Up UpdateEURUSD traded above the 1.1573 level on Thursday, marking a second break to the upside following the earlier trend-changing pattern — a potential sign of bullish continuation.
However, on the 1H/M15 chart, we've observed a minor ABC corrective decline (pullback). We’re now watching for a break below 1.1511, which could signal the start of a short-term bearish move.
🎯 Short-Term Target:
The next key level is 1.1214, a weekly structural support zone and the low of the previous trend-changing pattern.
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
Bearish confirmation: Break below 1.1511
Medium-term target: 1.1214
Stay alert to price action around these levels.
Trade safe, and have a blessed weekend.
ETH: Next ATH on the Horizon? My Elliott Wave Analysis Says YESMy latest Elliott Wave count on TradingView points to a significant bullish impulse for ETH, suggesting we're gearing up for a fresh All-Time High! The wave structure looks clean, indicating strong momentum ahead.
Check out my chart and let me know your thoughts on this potential move!
#ETH #ElliottWave #TradingView #ATH #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #Bullish
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Swing-low support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,479.25 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,320.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 21,721.90 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines.
A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential.
Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups.
🎯 Key Buy Zones:
✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly.
Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift).
✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support.
Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves.
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question.
Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers.
📈 Trade Signal:
Bias: 🔵 Bullish
Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
SL: Below 3,395
TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470
R:R: ~1:3
Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
SL: Below 3,368
R:R: ~1:4
🧠 Final Note:
Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
GOLD Technical analysis.This chart describes a bullish trade setup on Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Analysis:
Entry Zone: Price is expected to retrace down into the demand zone (around 3360.79) before moving up.
Support Area: The green zone marks a bullish order block or demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
Target: If price respects the demand zone, the projected target is near 3500.00.
Stop Loss: Placed below the demand zone, around 3337.19, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Trade Plan Summary:
Wait for the price to tap into the demand zone before entering a buy trade, targeting the next liquidity area near $3500. If price fails to hold that zone, the trade idea becomes invalid.
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,423.03.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,467.03.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDUSD Elliott Wave A nalysisHello friends
In the NZDUSD chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear and you can even count its sub-waves. Now wave 5 is completing and we are seeing multiple divergences in wave 5.
With the break of the trend line drawn at the bottom and a pullback to it, we can expect the price to fall to the specified support.
The first support is 0.58500 and then 0.56800.
Good luck and be profitable.