BTCUSDT:Test support, go long on pullbackBitcoin has also experienced a rapid decline due to the tariff remarks of the U.S. government. It is currently testing a key support level. If it continues to fall and breaks below 81,126, a bearish trend will be confirmed. If this support level is not breached, one can initiate long positions at the low level.
Trading Strategy:
buy@81500-82500
TP:83500-84500
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Community ideas
Bullish Divergence and the Impact of Trump’s TariffsOn the daily chart of the S&P 500, I’m currently spotting a clear bullish divergence. This type of divergence is a technical pattern that suggests that, despite recent price drops, the downtrend is losing momentum and a potential upward move could be on the horizon. It shows that the index has underlying strength, which the price hasn’t fully reflected yet — making a bullish reversal very likely in the short to mid-term.
In this context, the recent drop in the S&P 500 has been largely driven by Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, especially targeting China and other countries. However, based on my analysis, I believe that these tariffs were more of a negotiation tactic than a long-term economic strategy. And now that things are clearly not going as expected, I’m convinced that Trump will be forced to scale back the tariffs or start accepting less favorable trade agreements just to stop the bleeding — because I highly doubt he will allow this sharp market decline to continue unchecked.
Why tariffs aren’t coherent or beneficial for the global economy
Tariffs are additional taxes on imports. Although they’re often marketed as a way to protect local industries, in reality, they increase prices for consumers and destabilize global supply chains. The result is damaging for both the countries imposing the tariffs and those receiving them. In the case of the U.S., despite Trump’s promises, these tariffs are actually hurting American companies that rely on imported materials and products, leading to higher internal costs and squeezing consumers.
Worse yet, this ongoing trade war has created a climate of global economic uncertainty, which is driving down investment and confidence. That uncertainty has translated into market selloffs around the world, and the S&P 500’s current decline is a direct reflection of that. Importantly, it’s U.S. businesses — not foreign governments — who are absorbing the cost of these tariffs.
What to expect going forward
Despite the pressure from tariffs, I believe that Trump — seeing the damage already being done to the markets — will have no choice but to start dialing things back. My take is that to avoid a deeper economic hit and restore investor confidence, the U.S. will likely pursue more balanced deals, even if it means compromising a bit.
If this scenario plays out, I expect the S&P 500 to begin recovering, especially as investor uncertainty fades. The bullish divergence on the chart further reinforces the idea that once these external political and economic pressures ease, the market could see a strong and sharp rebound.
Conclusion
Trump’s tariffs were intended as leverage — but they’re clearly backfiring and doing more harm than good. The current S&P 500 correction, in my opinion, is actually a buying opportunity for those with a long-term view. With potential tariff reductions and fairer trade deals on the horizon, the market is likely to rebound strongly, especially with the bullish divergence we’re seeing on the charts.
Markets may have already priced in the worst, and now we’re seeing the first technical signals of a potential turnaround. If confirmed, the price could begin to rally significantly in the coming days or weeks.
GBPCAD - Is Bullish Breakout Ahead?TF: 4h
GBPCAD is initiating along opportunity by completing 4th intermediate wave at 1.83464 . We can expect a retracement then reversal with near the lower trendline of the parallel channel.
Once price comes down, we will have the opportunity to go long with minimum stop level at low of the wave 4 at 1.83640 . The bullish scenario is capable GBPCAD to provide 1.8654 - 1.8748 targets to the buyers.
If the breakdown occurs, wave (4) will go deep. We update this chart time to time. Traders should only buy after a clear reversal.
SUI ready to provide structure? Be prepared for downside.SUI is at a good level, to get some support. There are further levels to get support below. However, a pivot structure can be built here. Momentum has room to get further oversold, but some downsides could still happen. DCA is the best strategy.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
SPY going up to 593 by middle of AprilThe market is going to be bullish after the bearish move we just witnessed recently. Typically, I switch to the weekly format to see a larger move. You can see on the weekly chart, the Stoch RSI is turning bullish. I recently made a 3-day format which shows the indicators are already showing a bullish trend. I will post the 3 day chart/indicators as well as the weekly chart after this chart in my notes.
TARGETS:
53 point move: 599
1.618 move: 593.77
11 bar moves: April 17
**If it hits one of these targets, I am out of my trade.
** I will keep a close watch when the SPY hits 1 fib retracement at 575
** I changed my wording from 'day' to 'bar' moves
STOPS:
1) the low of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick,
2) 2 red Heikin Ashi candlesticks,
3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or
4) a specific dollar amount per contract.
**If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade.
I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks.
1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks.
2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better.
3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer.
4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.)
Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green daily Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering.
I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading.
I personally find:
* the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour.
* the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour.
* the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily.
* and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week.
But right now, I am fine tuning my indicators and looking at the 20 to 25 minute indicators to precipitate a daily move
I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. Hopefully, I can explain these indicators more in the future.
Ask me any questions or point out anything you see wrong, as this is the only way we learn.
Happy Trading!
#EURUSD: Two Opportunities In One Chart, What do you see? Price has shown bullish behaviour exhaustion, and it's at a point where we see a total meltdown in prices. This is an excellent scenario for traders who trade on what the chart shows us rather than selling or buying only. We can utilise both these entries when prices do show a strong indication at either of our levels.
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EUR/USD: Euro Tested Before Tariff NewsIn the early trading session on Wednesday, the euro against the US dollar fluctuated narrowly around 1.0800. It had declined slightly for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and entered a consolidation phase around 1.0800 in the European morning on Wednesday. The short - term technical outlook failed to offer a clear price trend indication.
The disappointing macroeconomic data from the US on Tuesday made it hard for the dollar to strengthen, thus supporting the euro against the dollar. However, the cautious market sentiment prevented the currency pair from gaining upward momentum.
Later today, the ADP Employment Change data will be on the US economic calendar. But
investors are unlikely to respond to this data before President Donald Trump announces the tariff measures on "Liberation Day".
The RSI indicator continues to move sideways around 50, reflecting a lack of clear short - term directional momentum for the EUR/USD. If the euro remains below 1.0800 and this level is confirmed as resistance, technical sellers may act, opening the door for a further slide towards 1.0730 (200 SMA). On the upside, 1.0840 ( 20 SMA) is the first resistance level, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950.
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SPY Slammed After Tariff Shock! Dealer Gamma TrapSPY Slammed After Tariff Shock! Dealer Gamma Trap Accelerates Drop 🔻
🌎 Context: April 2, 2025
Today’s Trump tariff news set off a panic wave in the market — triggering a sharp sell-off in major indices. SPY, the S&P 500 ETF, lost grip on its HVL ($560) and flushed into a dealer short-gamma zone, where volatility surged as hedging flows flipped bearish.
Key Narrative:
* Macro shock = Tariff fears
* Market wasn’t positioned = IV spike + dealer scrambling
* Result = Gamma-driven slide with no call support nearby
🧭 Technical Breakdown – 1H Chart
🔻 Price Action:
* SPY broke down from $567-$565 support range.
* Panic candle sliced through HVL $560 and continued through $550, tagging $542.20 intraday low.
* The entire move below HVL now triggers short-gamma conditions.
📌 Support Zones:
* $544.82 (currently testing)
* $542.20 (session low)
* Below that? Thin air until $538–$535 zone from macro FVGs.
🔼 Resistance Zones:
* $550 = now resistance (2nd PUT Wall)
* $555 = 3rd PUT Wall (likely a pause/reload area)
* $560 = HVL / Former gamma support flipped resistance
🧠 GEX + Options Sentiment
💣 Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* 🚨 GEX flipped heavily negative under $560.
* HVL $560 has collapsed.
* Dealers are now short gamma, adding to volatility and forced selling pressure.
🔴 Gamma Risk Zones:
* PUT Support at $560 (-86.95% GEX)
* Walls stacked at $555 and $550 → now broken
* NO significant GEX support until $540 — more room to fall
📈 Options Oscillator:
* IVR 40.8 / IVx Avg 29.3 → Elevated volatility with room to run
* PUTS 83.3% dominance = bearish sentiment confirmed
* Red Red Blue GEX = maximum dealer pain, negative gamma loop
🧭 Trade Setups Based on Current Conditions
🐻 Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias)
* Entry: Under $543 (below today's low)
* Target: $540 → $535
* Stop: Over $550 reclaim
* Contract: 0DTE/2DTE $545P or $540P for gamma scalping
* Note: Dealer hedging is directional, be precise and fast
🐂 Relief Bounce Setup (Low Conviction)
* Only valid if SPY reclaims $550 and shows slowing momentum
* Possible dead-cat bounce to $555–$560
* Prefer spreads due to high IV and fast time decay
📌 Key Levels Summary
HVL (Former Support) $560 Gamma flip zone — now resistance
Gamma Pivot $550 Broke down — keep an eye on it
Support Zone $542.20 Session low
Downside Target $540 → $535 If gamma slide continues
💭 My Thoughts: This Is a Gamma Meltdown
Today’s tariff headlines sparked a reflexive gamma cycle — as dealers flipped from long to short gamma, they were forced to hedge dynamically, driving SPY deeper into a liquidity vacuum.
This is not your regular dip — it’s a liquidity and dealer flow event, so everything moves faster, with wild swings possible into the close or tomorrow.
Unless SPY reclaims HVL at $560 fast, expect continuation or chop within this danger zone. VIX rising + GEX red = recipe for pain.
📢 Final Notes:
* Use defined risk.
* Don’t overstay puts.
* Gamma moves cut both ways — expect volatility.
* Track GEX hourly if possible.
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and protect your capital.
TGT Trade Idea –2025🚨 NYSE:TGT is shaping up with some juicy potential in this current market cycle 📈
🎯 Entry Points (Buy Zones):
1️⃣ $107 – Aggressive entry for early birds
2️⃣ $100 – Solid mid-range level with strong historical support
3️⃣ $94 – Deep dip buy for the patient sniper
💸 Profit Targets:
✅ $141 – First take profit zone
✅ $158 – Stretch target
🚀 $168+ – Blue sky potential if momentum keeps rolling
🧠 Risk Management:
Always position size properly and consider a stop loss based on your risk tolerance. Nothing goes up in a straight line – keep your strategy tight.
📝 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. These are personal trading ideas based on current chart trends and market sentiment. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Stay sharp & trade smart! 💼📊
NQ Short opportunity at the resistance level CME_MINI:MNQ1!
Currently looking at NQ shorting opportunity's once price completely breaks 18,888. Once it breaks i will wait for a retest at the prior support level that will be testing as resistance marked off around 18,888. i believe we have one more strong bearish push before the market consolidates next week and correct itself.
USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 69.37
Target Level: 70.64
Stop Loss: 68.53
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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How does tariff gold work?At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more at 3080-3060 below, and only when it stands above 3135 can it further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, the small range is 3110-3135, and the large range is 3100-3150. In the short term, you can quickly enter and exit in the small range with high altitude and low long.
XAUUSD:Continue to go longAfter Trump made remarks about imposing additional tariffs, it once again caused significant volatility in the market. The main players also took this opportunity to conduct consecutive washouts in the market. After reaching around 3170 at its highest point, almost all short positions were cleared out. Currently, the market has rapidly dropped to around 3100. If you bought gold at a high price, you would also experience serious losses in your account.
When the market is extremely unstable, the trading volume should be reduced, as the risks cannot be controlled. This is exactly why I have been emphasizing that novice traders should withdraw from the market this week. Otherwise, they are very likely to incur losses.
Although the decline is quite substantial, it is still uncertain that the upward trend has ended. For short-term trading, one can try to go long again.
xauusd buy@3100-3105
tp:3120-3130
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Amd - The One And Only Setup For 2025!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) shifts to a very bullish market:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Perfectly following previous cycles, Amd corrected about -60% over the past couple of months. However now we are seeing some first bullish signs at a major confluence of support. If we actually also witness bullish confirmation, an incredible rally of about +200% could follow.
Levels to watch: $100, $300
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)