XAUUSD Weekly-Daily-H4 Outlook – April 28, 2025"Gold’s Game: Range Trap... or Breakout Incoming?" 👀⚡
🔥 Macro + Micro Context:
Macroflow: No major macro catalysts today — market sentiment driven mostly by technicals, liquidity behavior, and late-week reactions.
Bias:
HTF (D1–W1): Still bullish-biased long-term, unless 3220–3235 breaks cleanly.
LTF (H4–M30): Currently trapped in a wide distribution range 3380–3260, showing signs of both liquidity sweeps and engineered traps.
Liquidity Dynamics:
Both upside and downside liquidity have been targeted multiple times. Equal highs/lows patterns forming, suggesting fakeouts are highly probable before any real move.
📈 STRUCTURAL RANGE:
🔵 Main Range:
• Top: 3380–3395 → major flip zone (premium side)
• Bottom: 3260–3280 → major demand zone (discount side)
📚 Inside the range:
• Liquidity is being farmed on both sides — expect fake spikes, stop hunts, and whipsaw moves before breakout.
🔑 H4 Key Zones (Above Current Price):
Level Type Notes
3380–3395 Major Supply + Flip Zone HTF orderblock + FVG + previous sell trap
3410–3415 Minor Supply Zone M30–H1 imbalance + small FVG
3448–3455 Major Premium Supply HTF OB + FIBO 1.618 extension + historical premium trap
3490–3500 ATH Area Strong psychological level + institutional interest
🔑 H4 Key Zones (Below Current Price):
Level Type Notes
3260–3280 Major Discount Demand Strong H1-H4 unmitigated OB + liquidity grab zone
3220–3235 HTF Reversal Demand Last HTF pivot for bullish bias
📊 Expected Scenarios:
Bullish Path:
Hold 3260–3280 → Break 3380–3395 → Target 3415 → Then 3450–3500 range sweep.
Bearish Path:
Fail at 3380–3395 → Sharp rejections back into 3280 → Potential crash toward 3235 and 3210.
👀 EYES ON:
Watch the 3380–3395 flip zone closely.
If price fails there with heavy wicks and low volume, bulls are trapped again.
If price holds above 3395–3415 cleanly, bulls regain control for 3450+.
🧠 FINAL MESSAGE:
"The best traders don’t predict. They prepare."
"Trap or breakout — it’s all about reaction, not prediction. Stay sharp, stay liquid, and don’t chase the donkey moves."
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#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #SmartMoney #RangeTrap #GoldOutlook
Community ideas
GOLD → A false breakdown of support will lead to growthFX:XAUUSD is trading within the range of 3370-3270. Since the opening of the session, the price has lost its potential for further decline. There is no news on Friday, so after retesting the liquidity and support zone of 3283-3270, the price is likely to return to growth.
Gold stabilizes near $3,350, but growth is held back by the dollar
On Friday, gold held its ground after recovering, but further growth is limited by the strengthening dollar and hopes for progress in the tariff war negotiations...
Optimism about corporate earnings in the US and easing recession fears are supporting demand for the dollar. However, ongoing uncertainty in US-China relations is keeping interest in gold alive.
Markets are waiting for new signals from the White House and the Fed, which will determine the further movement of gold prices towards the end of the week.
Focus on supporting the trading range. A false breakdown of 3283-3270 could change the balance of power, leading to a rebound or growth.
Resistance levels: 3314, 3342, 3370
Support levels: 3283, 3270, 3244
There is no news today, except for the unpredictable Trump and the general situation with the tariff war. Any speech or tweet could shake the market. However, after a neutral week, gold remained within the range, and the market is likely to keep the metal within the flat on Friday. Accordingly, I expect a rebound from support and growth to the intermediate resistance lines indicated above.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETHBTC will supercede BTCs price growth % metrics. Time to SEED!ETH has been met with so much price gravity lately that it went to correct unbelievably from 4k+ to 1.5k.
Thats more than -3x of its peak price - an overextended trim compare to its peers like BTC which did a muted hibernation but still price remained afloat up there.
But hope is starting to arise from the latest price behavior. We are seeing some significant shift in trend. Net longs are starting to pile up from the current bargain price area -- conveying positioning of long term growth seekers. BTC is showing some massive break in structure as well showing some obvious signs of market recovery as a whole.
With this in mind, ETH metrics is becoming more and more attractive -- if we compare its possible price growth in terms of percentage and proportionality growth ratio.
ETHBTC will definitely benefit with this forthcoming growth ratio change.
Based on our diagram, we are already seeing some gradual shift -- a first sign of reversal to the upside. This can roll up soon and pace up its numbers.
Price is currently bouncing perfectly from its 6 year solid support. This is a massive hint already of things to come. GOOD THINGS.
Spotted at 0.0190
Target X10.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
Long trade
DOGEUSD Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Sunday, 27th April 2025, 2:40 AM (New York Time)
Pair: DOGEUSD
Session: Tokyo to London Transition
Entry TF: 15-Minute
🔹 Entry: 0.17906
🔹 Take Profit: 0.18264 (+2.00%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.17857 (–0.27%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.31
Trade Reasoning
Consolidation breakout during low liquidity hours provided an early sign of bullish interest.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Weekly imbalance to fill short
✅15’ order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
BTC will ever go 100k?
The immediate structure shows aggressive selling pressure — big thin volume zones (where there is less historical volume) are visible between $93,200 and $92,700. If BTC cannot reclaim and close strongly back above $93,900–$94,100 (preferably closing inside the old VA), the path of least resistance remains downward toward $92,500 first and even $91,700–$91,500 eventually.
In simple words: as long as BTC stays under $93,900, the market is favoring shorts, not longs. Quick bounces can happen, but they are more likely to get sold off unless a very strong reclaim happens. Bulls need to urgently push back above $94,100 to reattempt upside momentum, otherwise downside expansions toward lower value zones remain active.
TL:DR - Observe!
SUI/USDT.P Short Setup — Ride the Wave to Profits!Trade Details:
Entry: 3.56 - 3.6 USDT
Stop-Loss: 3.6935 USDT
Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 3.4215 USDT
TP2: 3.2700 USDT
TP3: 3.0640 USDT
With clear targets set and a tight risk management strategy, this setup offers a great opportunity to ride the wave of the market’s next move.
Patience and discipline are key. Stay focused, follow your plan, and let's make this trade count!
CADJPY Potential longsFX:CADJPY
🇨🇦/🇯🇵
📝 Price spiked by 300 pips after tapping into the strong support on 9 April but lost its momentum shortly after without breaking the daily trendline, suggesting sellers still in control. Price has now reached its daily trendline zone again, on the current price on the day of market close, we see a rejection candle on the 2H chart and slight push upwards.
📝 The buy structures have retraced to its demand zones on each key levels before continuing to push price upwards, forming a compression. If price breaks above the daily trendline and closes above with good momentum, I may expect price to go back and contest the 104.604 candle that gave the bears control for 2 weeks. Therefore, we can use lower timeframe confirmation to hop on buys when price breaks upward and retest.
AAVE, aims for X10 this bull season. Massive loans demand ahead!Aave is an Open Source Protocol to create Non-Custodial Liquidity Markets to earn interest on supplying and borrowing assets with a variable interest rate.
The apparent market shift in trend this past few days in the whole market after the extended correction is a good season to seed on this very valuable COIN.
Demands in LOANS will skyrocket fueling funding frenzy on position takers on their crypto holdings as we enter BULL SEASON. And the focus will be on AAVE the largest liquidity pool provider.
Ideal seeding zone is at the current bargain range of (170) which started on the 130 bottom price area.
Get positioned now on this one while its still at early stage. An easy x10 would the long term target on this. Fundamental and Technical growth on this is inevitable.
Spotted at 170.
Mid target 500
Long term 1000.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
DXY Printing a Bullish Triangle??The DXY on the 1 Hr Chart is forming a potential continuation pattern, the Bullish Triangle!
Currently Price is testing the 99.6 - 99.8 Resistance Area and battling with the 200 EMA and 34 EMA Band. The reaction to this conjunction could be pivotal in who overcomes: Buyers or Sellers.
Now during the formation of the potential pattern, Price on the RSI has stayed relatively Above the 50 mark being Bullish Territory suggesting Buyers could win the Bull-Bear battle.
Until Price breaks either the Resistance Area or the Rising Support, we will not have a definitive direction in which USD will strengthen or weaken.
*Wait For The Break*
-If Price breaks the Resistance Area, USD will strength possibly heading to the 100.8 - 101 Area
-If Price breaks the Rising Support, USD will weaken possibly heading to the 98.5 - 98.3 Area
Fundamentally, it is said China and USA are possibly getting closer to potentially ending the Reciprocal Tariff War going on with both sides willing to negotiate.
With the USA being the #1 Consumer of Goods globally, other economies can not afford us to not buy their things so I continue to see the Tariff War more as a Strong-Arm for the USA to be able to negotiate better terms!
USD News:
JOLTS - Tuesday, Apr. 29th
GDP - Wednesday, Apr. 30th
Unemployment Claims / ISM Manu. PMI - Thursday, May 1st
Non-Farm Employment Change / Avg Hourly Earnings / Unemployment Rate - Friday, May 2nd
For all things Currency,
Keep it Current,
With Novi_Fibonacci
XRP / RIPPLE | 30M | IMPORTANT LEVELSFriends,
I valued your requests and prepared the following Ripple analysis: If Ripple drops below the level of 2.1807 for 30 minutes, the target will be the 2.1424 level. This level holds a very significant support zone.
The most critical support level is located at 2.1085.
If Ripple does not fall below this support zone, my target level for Ripple will be 2.2495.
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Thank you to everyone who supports with likes.
BTC - BIG WEEK!Last week there was clear evidence of big purchases being made on the spot market, notably on coinbase.
The question we're forced to ask ourselves here is: was this the start of a longer duration trend, or is it a one-off and should we expect some level of mean reversion next?
Comparing it to other instances, there is only one in the last year where price really kept trending like this: The November post election rally.
If we map out what that price action would look like here (blue), we can expect the 91.5k low to hold and look for a HL somewhere in the H4 trend area. If trend is strong, I would not expect this to trade below the small range poc here for long, or even at all. That level is sitting at around 93.4k, which is also the previous weekly range VAL and yearly open. If we get a sweep of the highs and price is again failing to make a LL but consolidates in the 95k area, we can expect some expansion higher still.
That is not to say we can pull back deeper and still rally after, I'm just projecting November price action on the current chart.
If we do get a pullback, it means we lost H4 trend so we look at EMA 100 and 200 next. These line up with the lower range VAH and filling the higher imbalance. It is already a lot less bullish, but I would look for a reaction there anyway. 88.5-9k is probably the line in the sand there.
Any acceptance back below the 10-200 ema cluster, then we get back into lower range VA and expect rotation to at least poc. Honestly I'd think we rotate all the way to VAL and clean up all the imbalances, possibly correct the equal lows at 74k.
I have no real bias as to what we're about to get. Blue seems like an easily invalidated play, so I'm playing that one but at the same time try to fish for top shorts in case we do get a bigger rotation down. Either I get stopped on the long and play for a big move down, or I get stopped on the shorts and look for expansion towards 100k.
XAUUSD LONG Long time price rising near the support line, but later it made a correction movement, breaking this line.
Then price had a sharp impulse that confirmed bullish structure and started to grow inside a rising channel.
After reaching the top boundary, the price reversed and started a pullback to the support area near $3265.
This zone also aligns with the channel base and acted as a bounce point before, making it a strong technical level.
Now the price is consolidating above this support, forming a higher low, which may confirm continuation.
As long as price holds, and I expect it to bounce from support line and push toward $3480 channel resistance.
NZD-JPY Short From Falling Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY is going up
And will soon hit a falling
Resistance line from where
We will be expecting a
Local bearish pullback
And a move down
Sell!
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NAS100 Bulls Rally – Eyes on 19,860 Resistance Zone!"The NAS100 is sustaining a strong bullish rally after reclaiming the 19,150 🔽 support zone. Price is trading firmly within a bullish structure, but still has some distance to reach the next key resistance at 19,860 🔼.
Currently trading at 19,446, with
Support at: 19,150 🔽, 18,500 🔽, 17,600 🔽
Resistance at: 19,860 🔼, 20,347 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: As long as price holds above 19,150, bulls remain in control. A breakout and retest above 19,860 could fuel a further move toward 20,347.
🔽 Bearish: A rejection from 19,860 or a break below 19,150 could trigger a decline toward 18,500.
No breakout, no trade.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
4.28 Latest Gold Market Trend Analysis:
Core Viewpoint:
The gold market has entered a key long-short contention area after a sharp correction. The short-term trend will depend on the breakthrough direction of the 3260-3370 range. Investors are advised to adopt a range trading strategy and focus on the breakthrough of key support and resistance levels.
1. Key fundamental factors
Negative factors:
The US dollar continues to strengthen (the US dollar index rose 0.3%)
The easing of Sino-US trade tensions (China exempted some US goods from tariffs)
Weakened safe-haven demand (global geopolitical risks cooled down)
Potential bullish factors:
Uncertainty about the global economic outlook remains
If the US dollar corrects, it may boost gold prices
Technical buying at key support levels
2. Technical analysis
Daily level:
Key resistance: 3368-3370 (23.6% Fibonacci level)
Key support: 32 60-3280
Trend pattern: consolidation phase after high-level correction
MACD indicator: fast and slow lines cross, indicating short-term bearish
4-hour level:
Moving average system: MA5 (3315) and MA20 (3338) form suppression
Bollinger Band: Price runs below the middle track, and the lower track is supported at 3260
RSI indicator: close to the oversold area, need to be vigilant about technical rebound
3. Key price range
Upper resistance:
Short-term: 3315-3338
Strong resistance: 3343-3353
Key resistance: 3368-3370
Support below:
Short term: 3290-3300
Key support: 3260-3280
Strong support: 3200-3220
IV. Trading strategy suggestions
Interval trading strategy:
Buy low and sell high in the 3280-3330 range
If it breaks above 3330, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 3350-3370
If it breaks below 3280, you can consider going short, with a target of 3260-3220
Breakthrough trading strategy:
If it breaks through 3370, it may start a new round of rise
If it falls below 3260, it may accelerate the decline Go to 3200
Risk control:
Strictly set stop loss (50-80PIPS recommended)
Position control within 5%
Pay attention to the volatility opportunities before and after the opening of the US market every day
V. Focus on events
Economic data:
US GDP data
Federal Reserve interest rate decision
Non-agricultural employment data
Political events:
Progress of China-US trade negotiations
Geopolitical situation in Eastern Europe
News related to the US election
VI. Summary and suggestions
The gold market is currently at a critical turning point, and the large range of 3260-3370 will determine the future medium-term trend. Suggested investors:
Short-term traders: focus on trading opportunities in the 3280-3330 range
Medium-term investors: wait for the breakthrough confirmation of 3260 or 3370 before making a layout
Strict risk management: control positions and set stop losses
GBPNZD | 4H | SWING TRADEHey there my dear friends;
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY GBPNZD / 2,23220
🟢TP1: 2,23952
🟢TP2: 2,24909
🟢TP3: 2,27946
🔴SL: 2,20905
Enter low lot because it is high risk 🔽
RR / 2,00
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[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(28/04/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty. Expected opening near 54950 level. After opening it will face immediate resistance at this level and possible downside movement in index. Downside 54450-54550 zone will act as a support for today's session. After breakdown of this support zone can lead banknifty further downside upto 54050 level in today's session. Any strong bullish side rally only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 55050 level.