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GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout ConfirmationGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀📈
📊 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a bullish breakout above a well-defined resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400. Price action has decisively closed above this resistance, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟦 Support Zone:
Marked clearly between $3,250–$3,280, this level has held firm multiple times (highlighted with green arrows and orange circles), confirming buyer interest and market structure.
🟦 Resistance Turned Support:
The previous resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400 has now potentially turned into a new support. Price retesting this zone and holding would further validate the breakout.
📈 Future Projections:
The chart anticipates a retest-pullback-continuation scenario:
Pullback to new support 📉
Bullish continuation toward $3,460+ 🎯 if support holds.
✅ Bias:
Bullish as long as price remains above the $3,390 zone. Break and hold below would invalidate the bullish setup.
📌 Strategy Tip:
Look for confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) on the retest before entering long.
Risk-off sentiment in EUR/USDYesterday, EURUSD hit a new high, reaching 1,1632.
This morning, we're seeing a pullback due to increased demand for safe-haven assets following Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran.
Avoid rushing into new positions today and keep an eye on how the pair reacts around key support levels.
Next week, all eyes will be on the upcoming interest rate decision from the Fed.
BTC Short-term selling pressure due to war news💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (June 13)
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
Prices of Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) slipped as rising geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran sparked a wave of risk aversion across crypto markets. As uncertainty deepens, the three largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization are on track to close the week in the red, with current price action signaling the potential for a deeper correction.
Bitcoin bears regain control
After failing to reclaim its all-time high of $111,980 earlier in the week, Bitcoin lost upward momentum and began a steady pullback, slipping below key support at $106,406 on Thursday. As of Friday, BTC continues its downward trajectory, hovering near the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $102,447.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE:
We successfully identified the peak at the 110K resistance level. As predicted, BTC dropped $7,000 following disappointing CPI and PPI reports. Currently, the price has fallen back into a descending channel pattern and is expected to decline further.
Bitcoin’s upward trend is under threat as funding rates become more constrained.
Earlier this week, Bitcoin hovered near its all-time high of $111,980, but market sentiment remained alarmingly cautious—likely due to uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment.
The path of least resistance is gradually shifting downward, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls to the midline at 50 from a recent high of 64 on the daily chart. Traders will look for bearish confirmation signals from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator—signaled when the blue MACD line crosses below the red signal line.
Watch for long positions around the 100K price area, with a target back to 103K. If the price breaks below the 100K support level, we should avoid holding onto a bullish bias.
At this time, whether you’re a newcomer or experienced trader, it’s advisable to spend time practicing and reinforcing technical analysis knowledge. Explore educational posts on the channel to build a stronger foundation and avoid potential losses.
==> This analysis is for reference only. Wishing all investors successful trades!
While they panic at 0.618, I loadThis is the type of setup that filters out noise traders. Four-hour price delivered into a stacked FVG zone — aligned with equilibrium, and structured to reprice.
Here’s the logic:
After taking out short-term highs near 111.9k, price repriced sharply — not randomly, but with algorithmic precision — into a series of untouched 240min FVGs.
Price tapped the upper imbalance, hovered at the 0.618 fib retrace (107.3k), and held. That’s not weakness. That’s orderflow.
Below this sits the final FVG + golden 0.786 (106.4k) and round number zone near 105.2k. That’s your invalidation layer. Anything inside it? Still Smart Money accumulation.
Above? The draw remains clear: inefficiency fill to 110.6k and liquidity resting above 111.9k.
My framework:
Bias: Bullish unless 105.2k gets violated with intent
Entry: 107.3k–106.4k
TP1: 108.5k (fib 0.382)
TP2: 110.6k (inefficiency fill)
Final objective: 111.9k raid
Volume confirms the handoff — sellers are trapped chasing the leg, Smart Money has already shifted to accumulation.
Final thought:
I don’t wait for signals. I wait for price to make sense. And here, it’s giving every reason to load.
“Fear at 0.618 is the edge of amateurs. Patience at imbalance is where precision lives.”
GOLD Analysis - Can buyers push toward 3,470$?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently moving within a well-defined uptrend channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers are maintaining control, indicating a strong possibility for further price increases.
The price recently broke through an important resistance zone and has now come back to retest it. Should this level hold as support, it will strengthen the bullish trend and enhance the likelihood of reaching the 3.470 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as the price stays above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid. However, a failure to sustain above this level could invalidate the bullish thesis and increase the chances of a deeper pullback.
Always ensure to confirm your setups and apply appropriate risk management strategies.
The FVG above isn’t the target. It’s the bait.This is a classic Smart Money sequence. Most are watching the imbalance at 106.5k–108.7k and expecting immediate delivery. But that’s not how this game works.
The setup:
Price broke down violently, then reversed with momentum — stopping right beneath the daily FVG block. That alone tells me it’s not ready. It’s gathering.
Below? Multiple fib levels that haven’t been tested — 104.4k (0.236), 102.6k (0.0), and a volume-backed rejection wick that still holds weight.
The market is likely to dip again — pull into deeper discount, reset the low timeframe narrative — and only then attack the FVG and upper sweep zones.
What I expect:
Sweep of 102.6k (final liquidity run)
Reaction → reclaim 104.4k
Push into the FVG toward 106.5k (0.5) and possibly 107.4k (0.618)
No emotional reaction to the red candles — this is structure playing out, not weakness unfolding.
Plan:
Ideal Entry: 102.8k–103.2k range
SL: Below 102.6k
TP1: 105.6k
TP2: 107.4k
Final: 108.7k clean inefficiency fill
Let it dip. Let it breathe. That’s where conviction is built.
Final thought:
“The real move starts when they convince you it’s done.”
SOLUSD AnalysisFollowing the recent geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, we saw a sharp sell-off, which broke down from a key support zone. Currently, price action is consolidating within a rising wedge (bearish structure) on declining volume.
The trend remains bearish overall. I expect a potential relief bounce toward the $150 zone, where multiple EMAs and the edge of the Ichimoku cloud could act as resistance. If rejected there, my first downside target is $136 a key horizontal level from previous structure.
Keep in mind: this move is heavily news-driven, so headlines could continue to impact price action significantly.
RSI is still below 50 and struggling to break trendline resistance, which supports the bearish bias.
[$BA] Boeing's black friday?NYSE:BA
Quick-Take
Unfortunately, an accident occured with a Boeing Dreamliner 787 in India.
This triggered a 'small crash' in the stock as well, due to Boeing's (ongoing) raising concerns for quality and safety.
However, we should see it as chance for a potential swing-trade of 7 days.
⭕ Risks
The analysis of the plane crash will take a couple of days and there are even rumors about an 'external factor' being the reason for the plane to fall from the sky.
Eitherway: Volatility is a two-edged sword that we should utilize to our advantage.
🟢 Pros
The Iran/Israel conflict is escalating, that led to a spike for a Defense companies such as $ NYSE:LMT XETR:RHM . But NYSE:BA takes also part of the military-industrial complex that should profit of the bad times in geopolitics.
📏 Position
We position ourselves bullish via options:
-> buy Call-Options (long-call or bull-call-spreads)
-> sell Put-Options (short-put (cc) or bull-put-spreads)
What do you guys think?
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3420-3402-3380
TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
EUR/USD Short and GBP/USD ShortEUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GOLD GOLD ,the sudden rise in price from Asian session is driven by central bank purchase ,gold is heading to 3600 if 3400-3397 retest is successful .
the high of today 3444 on supply roof structure from the 3500 all time high, will need correction into demand floor where we look to unlock next wave of buy at 3400-3397 with the hope that 3500 is retested.
the dollar index 97.620 demand floor on retest bought and moved in the same direction with Gold by ignoring inverse correlation ,this price movement is reflecting fear, geopolitical tension ,economic instability and inflation concern in the global market.
the yesterday economic data print will be watched by feds
PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%).
Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%).
Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K).
Headline CPI:
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%).
Core CPI (ex-food/energy):
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%).
Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing.
Policy Implications:
Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance.
The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing.
The Fed will use the datas as reinforcing evidence for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation.
#gold
XRP/USDT Reversal Play: Bounce from Strong Demand Zone🔍 Chart Analysis:
🟫 Strong Supply Zone: The price has bounced perfectly off a strong demand zone (labeled "strong supply zone" in the chart, but likely intended to be demand), showing buyer interest near the $2.05–$2.12 range.
📉 Recent Downtrend: XRP recently experienced a sharp decline, but the price has now touched this critical zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
🔁 Potential U-Shaped Recovery: A rounded reversal pattern is indicated with the red curve, aiming for a U-shaped recovery targeting higher resistance levels.
📊 EMA 70 (2.2932): Current price is trading below the EMA, which acts as a short-term resistance. A break above it would be bullish confirmation.
📌 1st Resistance: Around $2.2932, which aligns with the EMA. This is the first challenge for bulls.
📌 2nd Resistance: Near $2.40–$2.47, a critical barrier before long-term targets.
🎯 Long-Term Target: Set near $2.63, the peak from the previous rally, aligning with major resistance.
🕯 Volume: Decent volume spike at the bounce, confirming interest from buyers.
🧠 Trade Setup: Reversal from Strong Demand Zone
📍 Entry Zone:
🔹 Enter between $2.12 – $2.15 (ideal after confirming a bounce or bullish candle above the zone)
🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL):
🔻 Place below the demand zone — $2.05
(Protects from deeper downside if support breaks)
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1 – $2.29 (🟦 1st Resistance / EMA 70)
🔸 Partial profit booking here; break-even SL for the rest
TP2 – $2.40 (🟦 2nd Resistance)
🔸 Major resistance zone; expect a reaction
TP3 – $2.63 (🔴 Long-term Target / Previous High)
🔸 Full target for position holders
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio:
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, depending on entry
🔔 Extra Notes:
📈 Watch for bullish engulfing or hammer candle confirmation before entering.
🔄 If price fails to reclaim EMA 70, re-evaluate trade.
🧠 Manage position size properly — avoid over-leverage.
🔮 Summary:
XRP is attempting a bullish reversal from a key demand zone with potential to target $2.47 and even $2.63 long term, provided it clears resistance at $2.29 and $2.40. The setup favors swing traders and position holders looking for a recovery play.
💡 Strategy Tagline:
"Buy the bounce, trail the breakout, ride the reversal!" 🚀📈💹
support my idea and comment down your thoughts thanks .
Safe Entry Zones SERVStock Movement Ranging.
Stock between strong resistance and support level of 4h zones both are significate selling and buying zones. in case breaking-down it will Down-Movement Stock and vice versa.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
You were warned. Now it’s runningThis was the second test into the FVG + 4H OB confluence. High volume candle. Wicking liquidity. And structure still intact.
Why I stayed calm:
Price didn't just drop — it delivered into a known rebalance zone. That 0.176–0.178 box was a magnet, not a mystery.
The reaction came right on cue:
Volume confirmed interest
Structure stayed intact
And the engine kicked in right after the sweep
Now? The play isn’t about guessing the top. It’s about knowing where price is drawn — and why.
Play-by-play logic:
4H OB provided the base
FVG gave the imbalance
Reaction zone created a clean entry
TP target? +18% mapped to 0.21
I didn’t enter on emotion. I positioned based on structure. That’s why it’s already moving while others still think it needs “confirmation.”
Final words:
“You don’t need hindsight when your foresight is built on logic.”
USDCHF BUY TRADE PLANUSD/CHF - June 13, 2025
📋 Plan Overview
Type: Countertrend Buy
Direction: Long
Confidence: Medium-High
R:R: ~2.5:1
Status: Waiting for retracement or confirmation
📈 Market Bias & Type
Short-term reversal opportunity inside long-term bearish trend
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
Type: Reversal (LTF Bounce against HTF trend)
🔰 Confidence Level with % and Breakdown
Total: 70%
HTF Oversold/Wick Rejection: 25%
Bullish H1-H4 structure shift: 20%
Volume spike + H1 engulfing: 15%
Fundamental/Sentiment: 10%
📍 Entry Zones
Primary: 0.8110 - 0.8120 (pullback zone to broken H1 structure)
Secondary: 0.8085 (origin of impulse leg if deeper retracement happens)
❗ SL with Reasoning
SL: 0.8050
Below the low of June 13 H1 reversal candle + structural invalidation
🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets
TP1: 0.8180 (recent H1 supply flip)
TP2: 0.8225 (H4 resistance)
TP3: 0.8290 (D1 imbalance fill area)
🧠 Management Strategy
Risk: 1%
Scaling: Add on confirmation from H1 higher low (0.8140+)
Breakeven: After TP1 or on strong bullish H1 candle + volume confirmation
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
✅ Bullish engulfing on H1
✅ Impulse breakout structure
✅ Volume rise on reversal candle
⚠️ Still awaiting H1 retest or HL (no rush entry)
⏳ Validity
H1: 12h
H4: 36–48h max (until invalidation)
❌ Invalidation Conditions
Clean break and close below 0.8050
Failure to form HL and break above 0.8145 (range trap risk)
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
CHF remains firm on safe haven flow
USD broadly weaker on Fed rate pause expectations
CPI/retail sentiment suggests potential DXY weakness short-term
Safe haven profit-taking could lift USD short-term
📋 Final Trade Summary
Looking for a corrective buy in a broader USDCHF downtrend. Signs of early reversal on LTFs with clean H1 impulse leg. Entry awaits retracement into structure. Conservative targets aligned with HTF levels. Risk tightly defined; no overexposure.
May peace prevail on earthIf geopolitical conflicts continue to fester, gold prices may keep climbing due to safe-haven demand—yet this is far from our wish. 📈
When risk aversion pushes candlestick charts higher, we'd rather see battlefield fires cease by dawn, letting the rhythm of peace replace market volatility. 🌍✨
Bitcoin Analysis | Key Support Retest in Progress📉 Bitcoin Analysis | Key Support Retest in Progress
As shown in the chart, BTC has dropped precisely to the main support zone previously highlighted in our earlier analyses. So far, we haven’t seen a strong bullish reaction, which increases the likelihood of a retest of the major green support area.
🔻 If price breaks below the $104,120 level, the next key support to watch lies between $103,570 – $103,300.
🔼 However, if BTC starts to bounce from this zone, the key resistance levels and upside targets will be:
$104,740
$105,900
$106,800
and potentially $107,900
📌 All these zones have acted as key turning points in the past, so mark them on your chart and trade accordingly.
👉 Follow for more sharp entries, accurate technical zones, and daily trading insights!
BTC/USD BUY SIGNAL ALERT Entry Point: 104,900BTC/USD BUY SIGNAL ALERT
Entry Point: 104,900
📈 Direction: BUY
🎯 Target 1: 106,000
🎯 Target 2: 108,000
🎯 Final Target: 112,000
🛑 Stop Loss: Use SL wisely – protect your capital
📊 Risk Management: Always manage your risk!
🕒 Trade Type: Short- to mid-term
💡 Ideal for breakout buyers
🔍 Watch price action around 105K zone
⚠️ High volatility expected – trade with caution
💰 Bulls gaining strength on key support
📈 Trend reversal signs are emerging
📌 Patience and discipline = key to success
📉 Avoid FOMO – follow your plan
🗓️ Stay updated on crypto news & events
📢 Let us know if you’re in this trade
✅ Like & share if this helped
🔥 More signals coming – stay connected
📍 BTC/USD Market Update – Watch Closed
CADCHF Sell Now | Re-Entry at Supply ZoneSell Setup Active 🚨
Price has returned to a key supply zone after breaking structure. Clean rejection off:
• Previous support turned resistance
• Dynamic resistance from 50 EMA
• Bearish market structure still valid
📉 Re-entered short at 0.5966
🎯 Target 1: 0.5919
🎯 Target 2: 0.5862
❌ SL: Above the zone (~0.5985)
Let’s see how this plays out — momentum building for continuation.