Cardano - Repeating the +3.000% bullish cycle!CRYPTO:ADAUSD is creating price action like back in 2020 and we might see a rally soon.
Looking at the higher timeframes allows you to massively capitalize on overall market swings and cycles. Especially when it comes to Cardano, these cycles are pretty rewarding but also pretty predictable. At the moment, Cardano is repeating price action; we saw the same pattern playing out in 2020 and this break and retest was followed by a rally of +3.000%
Levels to watch: $0.42, $0.25
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Community ideas
XAUUSD SHORT SWING TRADEGold's Bearish Outlook for December: An Analysis Using Vinnie's Trading Cheat Code
Gold's price action is a reflection of global market sentiment, economic trends, and technical signals. Based on the analysis using **Vinnie's Trading Cheat Code (VTCC)**, the December outlook for gold suggests a bearish trend. Here’s a detailed explanation grounded in both technical and macroeconomic factors:
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**1. Technical Signals from Vinnie's Trading Cheat Code**
**A. CC Sell Signal on Higher Timeframes**
The VTCC system has triggered **CC Sell signals** on the **daily and 4-hour charts**, indicating a shift in market momentum. These signals are confirmed by:
- **Bearish Divergence in the CC MACD**: The Cheat Code MACD shows declining momentum despite previous price spikes, a precursor to potential trend reversals.
- **Trend Continuation Markers**: Recent price action has failed to break above key resistance levels, reinforcing a continuation of the bearish trend.
**B. Trendline Break Confirmation**
A critical ascending trendline, which supported gold prices since early Q3, has been decisively broken. VTCC confirms this as a bearish trigger when combined with a CC Sell Alert.
**C. Lack of Volume on Retracements**
During recent upward retracements, VTCC's volume-based Confirm Indicator flagged weak buying interest. This suggests that sellers remain in control.
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**2. Macro Factors Supporting the Bearish Thesis**
**A. Strengthening U.S. Dollar**
Historically, gold moves inversely to the U.S. dollar. With robust U.S. economic data and the Federal Reserve's hawkish tone, the dollar is poised to strengthen further. This diminishes gold's appeal as a safe haven.
**B. Rising Treasury Yields**
Higher yields on U.S. Treasury bonds make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive. VTCC's Fundamental Sentiment Scanner has highlighted increased bearish sentiment in gold as bond yields rise.
**C. Seasonal Weakness**
Gold tends to experience seasonal weakness in December due to reduced physical demand and increased profit-taking ahead of the new year. VTCC's historical pattern analysis aligns with this seasonal trend.
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**Conclusion**
Gold's bearish outlook for December is well-supported by VTCC's technical indicators and macroeconomic trends. The combination of CC Sell signals, declining momentum, seasonal factors, and macroeconomic headwinds create a compelling narrative for a bearish move. Traders leveraging **Vinnie's Trading Cheat Code** can capitalize on this trend with confidence, knowing the system’s precision in identifying high-probability setups.
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis: Anticipated Market Movement1. Current Market Context
Phase and Structure
Left Chart (1H):
Price is currently in Wave 4 of a larger structure, moving within a corrective phase.
Wave 5 is expected to complete the bullish push, potentially reaching 2,680.70 or slightly higher, before a Thursday/Friday correction into a bearish weekly close.
Right Chart (4H):
Price recently completed a Phase B (Distribution), with lower highs forming a divergence.
Current push is part of a liquidity grab/inducement phase in preparation for a markdown phase (Phase C).
Key Observations
A final bullish push (Wave 5) is expected, likely fueled by trapped liquidity (inducement).
The correction into Phase C will mark the beginning of the weekly markdown.
2. Expected Price Movement
Bullish Push (Wave 5 Completion)
Target Levels:
First target: 2,680.70 (Divergence Wave 5).
Stretch target: 2,695.32 (1.236 extension of Wave 5 diagonal).
Invalidation: A failure to break 2,680.70 or a reversal before hitting 2,695.32 would indicate weakness.
Correction and Markdown Phase
Key Reversal Levels:
Expected to top at resistance between 2,680.70 and 2,695.32, triggering markdown.
Projected Downside Targets:
Short-term target: 2,622.15 (support from prior accumulation).
Medium-term target: 2,601.81 (support line of SC accumulation).
Extended target: 2,577.30 (Wave 3 must hold or invalidate further downside).
3. Key Price Levels
Bullish Resistance Zones
2,680.70: Divergence wave top (high probability reversal zone).
2,695.32: 1.236 extension; upper resistance limit.
2,735.88: Fibonacci 0.786 retracement, potential breakout target.
Support Levels
2,622.15: Support line for prior distribution; minor bounce area.
2,601.81: SC (Selling Climax) boundary for accumulation.
2,577.30: Wave 3 invalidation level; failure here signals a bearish continuation.
4. Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Bullish Completion of Wave 5
Setup: Look for a breakout above 2,650.0 with strong momentum.
Targets:
Take profits at 2,680.70 (primary target).
Hold remaining for 2,695.32.
Invalidation: If price fails to hold 2,650.0, exit longs.
Scenario 2: Correction After Wave 5
Setup: Look for signs of reversal between 2,680.70 and 2,695.32.
Short Entry:
On bearish rejection at resistance zone.
Confirmation of markdown with lower highs and bearish momentum.
Targets:
Short-term: 2,622.15.
Medium-term: 2,601.81.
Extended: 2,577.30.
Stop-Loss: Above 2,695.32 to manage risk.
Scenario 3: Failure of Wave 5 Completion
Setup: If price fails to break 2,680.70 and reverses early:
Early markdown phase starts.
Short setup triggers below 2,650.0, targeting lower support levels.
Targets:
Short-term: 2,622.15.
Medium-term: 2,601.81.
Invalidation: Reclaiming 2,680.70 invalidates this scenario.
5. Commentary for Viewers
What I Expect This Week
Gold is currently showing signs of a final push higher (Wave 5) toward 2,680.70 or slightly higher (2,695.32) before topping out.
Thursday or Friday will likely mark a weekly correction, as the market transitions into Phase C markdown.
The correction may test lower levels, with potential targets between 2,601.81 and 2,577.30.
How to Trade
For Long Traders:
Look for entries on dips to support levels like 2,622.15, targeting 2,680.70.
Be cautious near resistance zones and ready to exit longs.
For Short Traders:
Look for reversal signs at or near 2,680.70 or 2,695.32.
Aim for markdown targets at 2,622.15, 2,601.81, or lower.
Risk Management
Use defined stop-loss levels below support for long trades and above resistance for short trades.
Avoid overleveraging, especially during volatility near key reversal levels.
DeGRAM | GOLD trend line breakoutGOLD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
The chart broke upward dynamic resistance and is now above the 38.2% retracement level.
We expect growth in the channel.
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AUDCHF - Look for a long position !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. Wait for a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then rejection from bullish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
XRP BULLFLAG $2 INCOMINGEveryone was waiting for this and i saw the big green candle spiked up with my own eyes and bought the dip on time.
Big curve as you saw there ( so beautiful ) and the bullflag so spot on and the buy triggered excitement fast.
No question about it; we are heading to 2$ and beyond
The Hidden Whale Playbook Detailed Explanation:
1. Double Top Detection Through RSI Oscillator
- A double top pattern signifies that the price has reached a resistance level twice but failed to break through, often hinting at bearishness.
- Using the RSI Oscillator, you’re analyzing momentum rather than just price. This tool helps identify shifts in strength and momentum within the market.
- The oscillator's behavior likely showed weakening momentum at two distinct peaks, correlating with the price action's double top pattern.
2. VWAP Pointing Upwards
- The Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) serves as a key indicator of market trend. Its upward direction reflects that buying pressure or positive momentum is still dominant in the market, suggesting that the general trend remains bullish.
- Despite the double top's bearish implications, the VWAP trajectory implies that this might be a temporary resistance rather than the start of a reversal.
3. RSI Oscillator Curving Upwards
- The RSI Oscillator curving upwards indicates that momentum is picking up again after the hesitation caused by the double top.
- This curve implies that the market is gaining strength for another move upward, showing buyers are coming back into play.
4. Second Wave Formation
- A second wave is a continuation of a trend after a brief pullback or consolidation. Here’s what’s happening in this case:
- The double top caused a temporary slowdown or minor retracement.
- However, the VWAP’s upward slope combined with the oscillator’s upward curve suggests renewed buying momentum.
- This dynamic is building the foundation for another push higher—a second wave.
Explanation Flow:
The RSI Oscillator helped identify a potential double top, signaling resistance and a temporary slowdown in momentum. However, the VWAP’s upward trajectory shows that the broader trend remains bullish, and market sentiment hasn’t shifted to bearish. As the oscillator begins to curve upwards, it indicates a resurgence of momentum, suggesting that the pullback was temporary. Together, these signals point to the likelihood of a second wave, where the market attempts to push higher, possibly testing or even breaking the resistance level.
This concept was originally developed, then refined through a retracing process, and ultimately finalized by copying and pasting the improved version.