Gold price falls today and then looks bullish!Today, gold rose and fell back to 3345, which was the high point on Friday. It was suppressed and fell sideways.
From a technical point of view, the US market rose yesterday, and today's decline must continue to be bullish, but the position should not be too high or too low; if it is too high, there may be further decline, and if it is too low, there may be no reach.
The bullish position should be in line with the overall running rhythm of gold. Personally, I suggest that you can buy around 3320-3321, defend 3310, and target 3340-3345.
Focus on the rise of the European market. If the European market breaks through 3345 strongly, then you can continue to be bullish to 3360-3365; if the European market is always suppressed below 3345 and goes sideways, there is no performance, so you should consider selling, or there may be further retracement.
Put your thoughts in the comments section
Community ideas
WTI OIL Best scalping opportunity at the moment!WTI Oil (USOIL) has been consolidating inside a ranged trading set-up, with the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) as its Resistance and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) as its Support.
We saw this previously from May 13 to June 01 and it presents the best scaling opportunity in the market at the moment. That previous Ranged Trading pattern eventually broke upwards as the Higher Lows trend-line held.
As a result, after you get your scalping profits within this range, look for a clear break-out above the 4H MA100 (candle closing) in order to go long (Resistance 1) or a break-out below the Higher Lows (candle closing) in order to go short (Support 1).
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Smart 15-Min Entry on USDJPY – Clear Plan with 2.33 R/R📢 Hey Guys;
I've placed a buy limit order on USDJPY at a key support level.
🔵 Entry: 145.956
🔴 Stop Loss: 145.743
🟢 Targets:
• TP1: 146.069
• TP2: 146.232
• TP3: 146.468
📐 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.33
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Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
SPY at a Key Inflection Point GEX and Price Action Setting Up the Next Move 🎯
🧠 GEX-Based Options Analysis (For Option Traders)
SPY's current positioning in the options market reveals a heavy concentration of gamma and hedging pressure near 620. This level is acting as the Gamma Wall (Highest positive NETGEX / Call Resistance), which typically limits upside unless dealers are forced to unwind hedges.
* Call Walls sit densely at 622 and 624, with diminishing strength up to 626.25.
* Put Walls are stacked below at 618, 616, and most aggressively near 615.
* Notably, today's HVL expires at 620, adding pressure to keep price pinned around that level into the close.
* GEX readings are turning neutral to slightly bearish, with PUT flow dominating at 38.6% vs CALLS at 12.6%.
* IVR is still low at 11.3, which means option premiums are cheap — favoring debit strategies or directional plays if a breakout occurs.
Option Trade Ideas:
🟩 Bullish Setup (Break above 621.5)
Buy 622C or 624C (weekly or next Friday expiration).
Target: 626–628 (into light gamma zone), Stop below 620.
🟥 Bearish Setup (Break below 617.5)
Buy 618P or 615P, targeting 613–610.
Stop above 620. Time the move for IV expansion and gamma acceleration.
📈 Technical Analysis – 1-Hour Chart (For Intraday & Swing Traders)
The chart shows SPY compressing into a wedge pattern just above ascending trendline support from July 2nd. The price action is stuck between declining supply from the 626–628 rejection zone and strong demand at 617.88–615.
* Structure: Price has formed a CHoCH (Change of Character) at the top, followed by BOS confirming bearish pressure. However, price has been resilient above 617, building potential for a spring trap.
* Support: 617.88 → key zone. If lost, next support is near 613–610.
* Resistance: 622–624 remains the magnet for a breakout attempt if bulls take over.
* Volume: Declining, indicating a volatility expansion is likely soon.
Scenarios to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Breakout:
If price reclaims 621.50 and breaks above the recent wedge resistance, look for a squeeze toward 624 then 626. Use tight stops and look for volume confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Breakdown:
A clean break below 617.88 could unleash sellers toward 613. This aligns with GEX pressure and heavy PUT walls.
🧭 Final Thoughts
SPY is sitting on top of a coiled spring — both gamma and price structure are ready for release. This is not the time to guess; let price break from the wedge and follow the momentum. With IV still low and GEX polarity neutralizing, this is a perfect setup for directional options plays only after confirmation.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
XNGUSD POSSIBLE LONG OPPORTUNITY
Us natural gas has been falling since June 20th and stopped a decline nearby the 3.3900 level with minor false breakouts of it. Currently we observe the reversal bullish wedge pattern, which is supported by a divergency on rsi on 4-h timeframe. Yesterday natural gas trading session opened with a gap downside, however, later, closer to the American session we observed buying volumes and the asset managed to hold above the 3.3900, which makes it interesting to go long.
If the price breaks above the MA50 at 3.4824, would be nice to set a
🔼buy stop order at 3.5144 with a
💰take profit at 3.8000 and a
❌stop loss at 3.2494, below the trendline.
The risk-reward ratio is 1:1.08.
GBPJPY SHORT (swing)This is a trade setup based on a **Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern**. The pattern meets all the key Fibonacci criteria for validity. Specifically, the AB leg retraces 80.8% of XA, which is close to the ideal 78.6% level and is considered acceptable, especially since it closed with a wick. The BC leg retraces 37.5% of AB, which is within the standard range of 38.2% to 88.6%. The CD leg extends 127% of XA, which is the minimum required for a valid Butterfly pattern, and also extends 252% of BC, which falls within the acceptable range of 161.8% to 261.8%.
What makes this setup stronger is that the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at point D coincides with a **major resistance level**, adding significant technical confluence to the area. This increases the probability of a market reaction or reversal from that zone.
However, no entry will be taken immediately upon price reaching the PRZ. A trade will only be initiated **after the appearance of a confirmed reversal candlestick pattern** at or near the D point, such as a bearish engulfing.
This ensures that we enter with confirmation and not just based on pattern completion.
USDCHF: Bullish Outlook ExplainedLast week, the 📈USDCHF price reached a significant ascending trend line on the 4-hour chart.
Despite the market consolidating within a horizontal range for a while, the contact with the trend line propelled the pair upward.
The market subsequently broke and closed above the range's resistance.
I anticipate that the pair will continue to rise, reaching at least 0.7997.
Hold more than 3320 gold orders and wait patiently for the riseWe arranged a long order at 3320. Obviously, the market has given us an opportunity. After entering the long order, we should set a stop loss and wait patiently for the profit to be released. This is what we have to do, so there is no other idea and we are still bullish.
The current market has a clear rhythm, and the support is effective. In the short term, it is still a bullish structure. The structure is not broken and the direction remains unchanged. We will continue to advance the trading rhythm as planned.
🔸 Hold long orders near 3320, and the stop profit is 3335-3345 unchanged.
🔸 Strictly implement the trading plan, keep a stable rhythm, and wait for the market to realize the space.
Trade within the plan, rhythm first, keep an eye on the key points, and leave the rest to the market.
GOLD Long Inside The Range! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is stuck in a local
Range while still trading
In a strong long-term uptrend
So we think that this is an
Accumulation before the
Next leg up and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a retest and a
Rebound from the horizontal
Support below around 3259$
With the target of retesting
The horizontal resistance
Above around 3354$
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USDJPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 146.88 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 145.35
Safe Stop Loss - 147.68
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Trade Plan 08/07/2025Dear Trader,
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 1H Timeframe | July 8, 2025
Gold has retraced from the 3,352–3,345 resistance zone and is now forming a slight bullish consolidation (small ascending triangle). A pullback toward the 3,316–3,311 support area is possible.
If price holds above this support, a bullish continuation toward 3,345 and 3,352 is likely. The 3,311 zone can act as a good potential scalp-buy area.
✅ Key Levels:
Resistances: 3,345 / 3,352
Supports: 3,316 / 3,311
Short-term trend: Bullish if support holds
RSI is at 56 — still has room for upward movement.
📌 Suggested Strategy: If price pulls back to 3,311–3,316 and shows confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern), short-term buy entries with targets at 3,345 and 3,352 can be considered.
Regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Gold Market Analysis:
Overnight Dynamics: Following Trump’s reinstatement of tariffs, gold’s safe-haven demand drove another rally, but it still pulled back after facing pressure at the 3345 level. The decline extended today, requiring attention to the sustainability of safe-haven flows—recently, safe-haven-driven rallies have often been followed by pullbacks, so caution remains warranted for further gold corrections.
Technical Trends:
On the daily chart, gold continues to trade in a narrow range, with short-term moving averages essentially converging and flattening, suggesting a high probability of continued sideways movement in the near term.
The current range is temporarily compressed between 3285–3345, with the market bias leaning toward a "range-bound bearish" trend.
Trading Bias: Maintain a bearish stance on rebounds!
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3330-3320
TP:3300-3280
Bullish bounce?GBP/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level too ur take profit.
Entry: 1.3531
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3450
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3688
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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"Planning the Perfect DE40 Robbery? Here’s the Setup!"💥🔥Thief Trading Style: The Ultimate Market Heist Plan for DE40/Germany40🔥💥
"Steal the Trend, Escape the Trap, and Vanish with Profits!"
🌍🌟**Hola, Hallo, Marhaba, Bonjour, Ola, and Hey Traders!**🌟
Welcome to the Thief Trading Vault – where we don’t just trade, we plan market heists with precision and escape like professionals!
To all my fellow Profit Pirates, Smart Robbers, and Money Hunters – this one's for you. 🤑💸💼
🔐💹DE40/Germany40 Master Robbery Plan – Swing Trade Setup
Strategy Type: Swing & Scalp Friendly
Market Direction: Neutral ➜ Bullish Bias
Approach: DCA + Tactical Entry Zones + News-Conscious Trading
📍ENTRY (The Vault Is Open!)
Break in like a pro! We are eyeing a long entry setup.
Wait for price to dip near key pullback zones (within recent 15m or 30m swing highs/lows). Use buy limit orders to scale in.
🛠 Thieves love layering: DCA style entry strategy ensures lower average cost.
💡“Swipe smart, enter silently.”
📍STOP LOSS (Secure Your Exit!)
Our risk control is set at recent 4H swing low – around 23950.00.
However, your SL can vary based on risk profile, lot size, and number of entries.
Protect the stash! 💼🔒
📍TARGET (Getaway Point!)
🎯 Target: 24570.00 or exit early if resistance becomes tight.
We’re approaching a “Red Zone” – a high-risk area loaded with fake-outs, bear traps, and profit-takers.
🔁Scalpers' Goldmine Tips
Only scalp LONG SIDE ONLY.
Big accounts? Jump in anytime.
Small accounts? Tag along with swing setups.
Always use a trailing SL to secure gains and avoid traps.
🧠Technical + Fundamental Blend
This setup isn’t just chart-based.
We analyze:
🔍 Fundamentals & Macro Trends
🧾 COT Reports & Sentiment
🌐 Geopolitical Events
📊 Intermarket & Index-Specific Data
🧭 Trader Positioning & Future Price Bias
📎 Full outlook & premium research available – Klickk the Lnk🔗🧠
📢IMPORTANT REMINDERS:
⚠️ Major news releases = High risk.
Avoid fresh entries during those hours.
Use trailing SLs to lock profits during volatile sessions.
🚀Support The Thieves – Hit Boost!
Smash that 💥Boost Button💥 if this plan helped you plan your next profit heist.
More boosts = More strategies unlocked.
Join our elite robbers’ squad and conquer the market daily with the Thief Trading Style! 🏆💰❤️
📌DISCLAIMER:
This is a general swing trade strategy and not financial advice.
Always evaluate your own risk level and market understanding before entering trades.
Markets shift fast – adapt, stay sharp, and never trade blindly. 🎯
📅 Stay tuned – more robbery plans, more precision trades, and more fun ahead!
Follow & Boost if you want in on the next mission!
🕶️🐱👤 See you at the getaway spot!
GOLD GOLD ,AM WATCHING 3314-3312 for buy ,the 1hr rejection will be watched , the US10Y will be watched, DXY will be watched .
the three will give a trade reason ,RBA played us by keeping OFFICIAL CASH RATE THE SAME 3.86% instead of the forecast of 3.6%.
AUD AND GOLD have something in common .
trading is 100% probability, apply risk management, no amount of grammar will stop liquidity sweep against a careless trader.
protect your capital.
AUDUSD Today July 8th 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to announce a 25 basis point cut in the official cash rate, lowering it from 3.85% to 3.60%. This would be the third rate cut in 2025, reflecting easing inflation and a slowing economy.
Key Details for July 8, 2025:
2:30 AM WAT:
Release of NAB Business Confidence data for Australia.
5:30 AM WAT:
Announcement of the RBA Cash Rate decision, expected to be cut to 3.60% from 3.85%.
Release of the RBA Rate Statement, outlining the rationale behind the decision.
RBA Press Conference follows, providing further insights and answering questions.
Market Expectations and Impact:
Major banks including Westpac, Commonwealth Bank, NAB, and ANZ unanimously forecast this 25 bps cut due to softer inflation and subdued economic growth.
The rate cut is expected to ease borrowing costs, potentially saving mortgage holders .
The RBA aims to balance supporting growth while maintaining inflation within its 2–3% target band.
Summary Timeline (WAT)
Time Event Expected Outcome
2:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Indicator of business sentiment
5:30 AM RBA Cash Rate Announcement Cut from 3.85% to 3.60%
5:30 AM RBA Rate Statement Explanation of decision
5:30 AM RBA Press Conference Q&A and further guidance
This rate cut is part of a broader easing cycle, with markets pricing in multiple cuts through the rest of 2025 as inflation remains manageable but economic growth slows.
2. 10-Year Government Bond Yields
Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: Has been falling in 2025 alongside expectations of RBA rate cuts,
AU10Y=4.232%
OCR=3.85% TO TRIM IT TO 3.60% TODAY.
US10Y=4.383%
USD IRT=4.25%-4.5%
3. Interest Rates
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Cash Rate: Recently cut from 3.85% to 3.60% in July 2025, with expectations of further easing (potentially down to ~3.6% by year-end).
US Federal Reserve Rate: Held steady at 4.25%–4.50% as of mid-2025, with a slower pace of cuts compared to Australia.
4. Interest Rate Differential and Impact on AUD/USD
The interest rate differential (US rate minus Australian rate) currently favors the US by approximately 0.65–0.9 percentage points (Fed rate ~4.25–4.50% vs. RBA ~3.60%).
This narrowing differential from earlier wider gaps has weighed on the AUD, as higher US rates attract capital flows, supporting the USD.
However, the recent RBA rate cuts and easing inflation in Australia have softened the differential, giving some support to the AUD.
Other factors influencing AUD/USD include US tariffs, China’s economic outlook (as Australia’s key trading partner), and global risk sentiment.
The AUD/USD is expected to remain sensitive to the interest rate differential and central bank policies.
Further RBA cuts could weaken the AUD if the US Fed maintains higher rates.
Conversely, any signs of US rate cuts or easing trade tensions could boost the AUD.
Inflation trends, China’s economic health, and geopolitical factors will also play key roles.
In essence:
The interest rate differential between the US and Australia currently favors the US, supporting the USD over the AUD, but recent RBA easing and falling Australian bond yields have narrowed this gap, providing some support to the AUD/USD pair . Traders closely watch upcoming economic data and central bank decisions for direction.
#AUDUSD #RBA #FEDS #BONDS #AU10Y #US10Y
Is a time for HUSDT? 0.15 USD target? The Humanity/USDT token is currently in a clear correction phase following a sharp upward move that peaked around 0.12 USD. The current price (~0.0568 USDT) is trading near the long-term MA60 line, indicating a possible accumulation zone that could serve as a base for the next upward move. Momentum indicators are deeply oversold, and volatility is decreasing, which supports the potential for a rebound. If the price breaks out of the current range and surpasses resistance levels around 0.072 and 0.11 USD, the target of 0.15 USD becomes realistic. However, a strong increase in volume and sustained support above the current range will be crucial for this scenario to play out.
Potential TP: 0.15 USD
GBPUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.3557 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.3657
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3503
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK