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AMZN: The Battle for Direction at a Critical JunctureThe recent price action for Amazon (AMZN) is currently navigating a critical juncture, having pulled back from a significant resistance level and now consolidating within a pivotal "Deciding Area." A detailed review of the key technical levels reveals the following insights: Key Resistance ($240): A formidable resistance zone is established around the $240 price point. This level represents a major overhead supply area, where prior selling pressure has been strong enough to halt upward price movements on multiple occasions. A decisive breach of this level on strong volume would be a highly bullish development, signaling a potential move to new highs. Key Support Level ($200 to $205): A robust support zone is identified between $200 and $205. This level has historically served as a strong price floor, absorbing selling pressure and providing a foundation for subsequent rallies. The integrity of the current uptrend is heavily dependent on the price holding above this critical area. Market Structure Shift (MSS): The formation of a "Market Structure Shift" earlier in the year was a pivotal technical event. This change in market dynamics marked a significant transition, signaling a potential reversal from a prevailing downtrend to the current bullish phase. The subsequent rally from the lows validates this structural change. Anchored VWAP: The Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP), anchored from the most recent major low, is serving as a dynamic and trend-defining support level. This indicator reflects the average price paid by investors since the start of the current trend. A sustained close below this line would be an early warning sign of weakening momentum. Deciding Area: The stock is presently trading within a "Deciding Area" situated just below a previous swing high. This zone represents a period of consolidation and indecision as the market digests the recent pullback from resistance. The outcome of this consolidation will likely dictate the short-term directional bias. A break to the upside would suggest a renewed attempt to challenge the $240 resistance, while a breakdown would likely lead to a retest of the primary support level at $200-$205. Summary of Outlook: The overall technical picture for AMZN indicates that the stock is at a critical inflection point. The health of the underlying uptrend remains intact as long as the price holds above the key support levels and the Anchored VWAP. A definitive move out of the "Deciding Area" will provide the next clear signal for either a renewed push toward resistance or a deeper pullback to test established support. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by ManiMarkets
LINK/USDT: A+ Long Setup at Key Support with Daily OversoldHello traders, I am monitoring a high-probability long setup on LINK/USDT on the 4H timeframe. The chart is presenting a classic reversal scenario where multiple technical factors are aligning perfectly, suggesting the recent corrective move may be over. 1. Trend & Context (The "Why") After a strong uptrend, LINK experienced a necessary pullback, confirmed by a Bearish Change of Character (ChoCh). The price has now reached a critical zone where we can anticipate a bullish resumption. Here are the key confluences for this setup: Major Dynamic Support: The price is finding strong support directly on the EMA 200, a significant long-term moving average that often marks the end of a correction in a larger uptrend. Price Action Signal (Liquidity Sweep): The most recent candle performed a perfect Liquidity Sweep (LQDT), wicking below the prior low to take out stop losses before quickly reclaiming the level. This is a classic institutional pattern that often precedes a strong move up. Momentum Confirmation (MC Orderflow): The momentum oscillator provides the final, high-conviction confirmation: The MC Orderflow is deep in the OVERSOLD territory, indicating that selling pressure is completely exhausted. CRITICAL MTF CONFLUENCE : The Multi-Timeframe Cycle Table is showing that both the 4H and Daily timeframes are "Oversold". This HTF alignment is extremely powerful and significantly validates the strength of the reversal signal from this support level. 2. Entry, Stop Loss, and Targets (The "How") The confluence of these signals provides a clear trade plan with an excellent risk-to-reward profile. Entry: An entry around the current price ($16.70 - $16.90) is optimal, directly at the EMA 200 support. Stop Loss (SL): $16.25. This places the stop loss safely below the low of the liquidity sweep wick, providing a clear invalidation point for the trade. Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: $18.20 (Targeting the cluster of short-term EMAs and the recent consolidation zone). TP2: $19.50 (The next major swing high resistance). TP3: $20.28 (The major high of the range, a full trend-reversal target). Conclusion This trade presents a textbook "A+" setup. The synergy between a key price action pattern (liquidity sweep) at a major technical level (EMA 200), combined with validated momentum exhaustion on both the 4H and Daily timeframes, creates a very high-probability environment for a significant bullish move. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
Long
by Innotrade_AJ
Gold Approaches Key Reversal Zone After Liquidity Sweep.Gold has recently broken out of a parallel channel during the New York session, followed by a strong upward move triggered by the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news event. Currently, the market is trading near a key trendline resistance zone. In this area, the price has also swept the liquidity residing above recent highs, indicating that potential buy-side liquidity has been taken out. This level now becomes critical for observation. If the market forms a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or provides any valid bearish confirmation — such as a strong rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or a break of lower timeframe support — then there is a high probability that a downward move may follow from this zone. As always, conduct your own research (DYOR) and wait for price action to confirm the bias before executing any trades. Acting on confirmation rather than assumptions protects both capital and strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeCraft_FX
Smart Money Knows: ETH Is Gearing for a Supercycle...Hello Traders 🐺 In this idea, I wanna break down why $15K ETH isn't just a fantasy — it's a real, reachable target. So stay with me 'til the end, because this is just the beginning for Ethereum and the altcoin market. If you’ve been following my ideas over the past year, you know I’ve been loudly calling for an incoming altseason — especially since ETH hit $1700. I kept saying: “Load up on ETH while you can,” because smart money was clearly rotating into it. And now? We’re seeing the result. Since then, Ethereum has nearly 2x’d, and ETH ETFs are pulling in massive inflows — but the price hasn’t exploded yet. Why? Let’s look closer. Over the past 90 days, ETH has rallied around +180%, but in a quiet, steady climb — which is actually bullish. A strong move with low hype = accumulation. That’s how smart money moves. 📊 Monthly Chart Breakdown: ETH is moving inside a perfect ascending channel, with clean touches on both support and resistance. Right now, price is forming a bullish flag pattern at the upper range — a classic continuation structure. Volume has dropped during this flag, which is a textbook sign of accumulation. Add to that: RSI is sloping downward, signaling that large players are shaking out weak hands while loading up quietly. So yes — ETH has already done +180% during this consolidation phase, which tells us something big is brewing. 🔁 The current pullback on the daily? In my opinion, it’s just a technical reaction to the flag resistance. RSI is also trying to break above its own trendline. If both confirm, the next wave begins. 🎯 Targets? First target: All-Time High around $4870. After that? There's nothing but air until we hit the top of the monthly channel near $15,000. That breakout above ATH is where the real FOMO begins — not just for ETH, but for the entire altcoin market. Let’s not miss what’s coming. And as always, remember our golden rule: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Long
by Kiu_Coin
VIX: From “Calm Tension” to a ReboundWhy does a small uptick matter today… if we’ve already seen 60+ readings four times in the past 17 years? The first week of August 2025 brought back a familiar market force: volatility. The VIX, which tracks expected fluctuations in the S&P 500, jumped 21% in just a few days, rising from 17.4 to 20.37, with an intraday high of 21.9 on August 1. At first glance, the move may seem minor. But it broke through key long-term moving averages (SMA 50 and 200) and exited its recent comfort zone (14–19 pts). That alone is enough to make portfolio managers and traders pay attention again. 🔙 Historical context: when the VIX truly spiked 📅 Date 🔺 VIX intraday 🧨 Trigger Oct 1, 2008 96.40 Subprime mortgage crisis, Lehman collapse, AIG bailout Mar 2, 2020 85.47 COVID-19 global spread, border shutdowns Aug 5, 2024 65.73 Surprise Fed rate hike + overheated jobs data Apr 7, 2025 60.13 Panic over new U.S. tariffs on global partners Compared to those moments, today's VIX levels look “mild.” But the technical and macroeconomic signals suggest that volatility may be establishing a new baseline. 1. 📊 Breakdown: First week of August 2025 Weekly increase: from 17.4 → 20.37 (+21%). Technical breakout: monthly close above both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA 19.25 and 19.45). MACD on the monthly chart has flipped positive for the first time since March 2023. Key drivers: 🏛️ The Fed left interest rates unchanged on July 30, but two dissenting votes favored a rate cut. 👷‍♂️ Softening jobs data: July NFP came in at only +73,000 jobs (vs. +110,000 expected). 🧾 New U.S. tariffs, announced on August 1, reignited inflation concerns. 2. ⚖️ Comparing August 2025 to the August 2024 storm Factor August 2024 August 2025 (Week 1) 🔺 VIX peak 65.73 21.9 🏛️ Fed stance Surprise 25 bp rate hike Rates unchanged, internal division 👷 Labor market Hot, wage pressures Cooling down 📉 S&P 500 reaction −12% in 3 weeks Approx. −3% decline underway 💧 Market liquidity Very low (pre-market) Normal Conclusion: 2024 was a systemic shock. 2025 is more of a volatility warning sign—but one that matters for risk management. 3. 📍 Technical signals to monitor The monthly MACD just turned positive, which historically precedes sustained volatility spikes. Key short-term range: 18–22 pts. A sustained close above 22 could trigger heavy selling in high-beta stocks. Options expiration (OPEX, Aug 16) may amplify moves via gamma flows. 4. 🔮 What could move the VIX next? 📅 Date 📌 Event ⚠️ Volatility Risk Aug 14 Core CPI (July) Reading above 0.3% m/m could reignite hawkish Fed bets Aug 22–23 Jackson Hole Symposium Powell’s speech could reset the policy outlook End of Aug Q2 GDP revision Confirm whether slowdown = soft landing or stagflation 📌 Note: The VIX cannot be traded directly. Exposure is typically obtained through futures, options, or ETNs—each with specific risks like contango, low liquidity, and roll decay. 📌 Final thoughts The VIX doesn’t need to hit 60 to send a message. The fact that it’s breaking above long-term averages, reacting sharply to macro data, and threatening key levels is enough to suggest that the era of ultra-low volatility may be ending. History shows us that major VIX spikes come fast and unannounced. If you remember 2008, 2020, or even April 2025—you know that preparation beats prediction.
TVC:VIX
by SHGTrading
NZD/USD Holds Above May LowNZD/USD halts the decline from earlier this week to hold above the May low (0.5847), with a move/close above the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region bringing the 0.6040 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) zone on the radar. Next area of interest comes in around the July high (0.6120), but the rebound in NZD/USD may turn out to be temporary if it struggles to trade back above the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region. A breach of the May low (0.5847) opens up 0.5830 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension). --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
SUI/USDT: Prime Long Setup from LSOB Demand & Daily OversoldHello traders, This analysis highlights a high-probability long setup on SUI/USDT (2H Chart). The current price action presents a classic institutional-style reversal pattern, strongly confirmed by momentum indicators signaling a bottom may be in. 1. Trend & Context (The "Why") While the short-term trend has been corrective after a "Bearish ChoCh," price has now entered a major area of interest where a powerful bullish move could originate. Here is the confluence checklist: Primary Signal (LSOB Zone): Price has tapped into a key Bullish LSOB (Liquidity Sweep Order Block). This is a critical demand zone where smart money is likely to absorb selling pressure and initiate long positions. Liquidity Sweep Confirmation: The price action confirms this with a clear Liquidity Sweep (LQDT), where the price wicked down to take out stops below the previous lows before reversing. This is a very strong bullish signal. Momentum Exhaustion (MC Orderflow): This is where the setup gains its highest conviction: The MC Orderflow oscillator is in the EXTREME OVERSOLD territory, indicating that sellers are exhausted. CRITICAL MTF CONFLUENCE: The Multi-Timeframe Cycle Table is showing that both the 4H and Daily timeframes are "Oversold." This alignment of higher timeframe momentum with our 2H demand zone is the most powerful confirmation for this trade. 2. Entry, Stop Loss, and Targets (The "How") This confluence provides a clear and structured trade plan with excellent risk-to-reward potential. Entry: An entry around the current price ($3.50 - $3.58) is ideal, as we are in the LSOB demand zone. For a more conservative entry, one could wait for the 2H candle to close bullishly. Stop Loss (SL): $3.38. This places the stop loss just below the low of the liquidity sweep wick. If this level is broken, the bullish setup is invalidated. Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: $3.90 (Targeting the cluster of short-term EMAs and the recent swing high). TP2: $4.28 (The next major structural resistance). TP3: $4.45 (The major swing high, which is also a Bearish LSOB supply zone). Conclusion This trade presents a superb opportunity due to the powerful combination of a price-action sweep into a key demand zone (LSOB), confirmed by severe multi-timeframe momentum exhaustion. This alignment across indicators points towards a high-probability bullish reversal. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
Long
by Innotrade_AJ
7/31/25 - $birk - PSA from a $DECK owner...7/31/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:BIRK PSA from a NYSE:DECK owner... - not as close to this one as NYSE:DECK - but it's hard enough to own names NYSE:DECK (reported nice beat and good indiation on 2H) and NASDAQ:LULU that reports end of aug with 6+% fcf yields and trading in the mid teens - i "get" birkenstock is a great brand - but should it trade high 20s when, honestly, it's not 2x-ish the quality of say "hoka" or "lululemon" brands? tough one - it's more of a recent IPO too, which means still mkt (generally) has had less time to fully understand it... say over the period of time as it has NYSE:DECK and NASDAQ:LULU nevermind other stuff. - i'm not suggesting this is a short - but if i owned it, id probably swap it for one of the two above - flagging this consideration for anyone before they FAFO V
NYSE:BIRK
by VROCKSTAR
1
ZORA 5-Wave Completion — 30% Crash Incoming?After exploding +1150% in just 20 days and completing all 5 waves, ZORA is now consolidating — trading sideways just under the $0.10 psychological level for the past 4 days. 📉 Current Market Structure The current structure shows signs of a developing Head & Shoulders pattern, with price: Trading below the daily open (dOpen) and weekly open (wOpen) → Bearish signs Hovering near the prior daily open (pdOpen) → a breakdown here would confirm bearish continuation 🔴 Short Setup - Bearish Scenario If ZORA breaks below pdOpen, we’re likely heading for: 0.618 Fib retracement at $0.06137 of the final wave 5 Confluence with 1.272 Trend-Based Fib Extension (TBFE) at $0.06148 This zone marks the next high-probability reaction point and a potential long opportunity if price shows a bounce or reversal. 📉 Overall Short Trade Target The full retracement target sits between $0.0529 and $0.0514, offering multiple layers of confluence: 0.5 Fib retracement of the full 1150% move 0.786 Fib retracement of the final wave 5 Aligned with an old trading range and daily level This makes it an ideal demand zone for patient bulls but only once price confirms. 💡 Educational Insight This setup highlights an example of Elliott Wave Theory in action — after a strong 5-wave impulse move, markets often enter a corrective phase. The completion of wave 5, especially near key psychological levels like $0.10, often marks a local top, where price corrects toward key Fibonacci retracement zones. Combining wave structure with confluence factors like Fib levels, VWAP, and prior trading ranges helps traders identify high-probability reversal zones — allowing for better timing, risk management, and trade planning. Always wait for confirmation before jumping into any trades. Summary Bearish continuation confirmed on pdOpen breakdown First support zone: $0.0613–$0.0614 Final downside target: $0.0529–$0.0514 Look for long opportunities only on reaction + confirmation _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
8
Correction will be to 6050-6190, probably the upper limit Now I notice something very important and things and the analyses of many actually coincide. Monthly support from the accumulated volume lies between 6050 and 6170. 4h indicators show a clear reversal. Separately, at these levels are the previous ATH. In my opinion, it is possible to stop even at 6180-6190. We will probably start with a gap on Monday. Now here comes the moment and over the weekend what will take place as conversations and statements in the media, but it is very likely that the minimum could happen as early as Monday night (USA time) or by Tuesday. I agree that this correction was necessary and should have happened as soon as possible because things became difficult even for bulls like me.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by kometata
1
#QQQ Weekly Chart – Technical Breakdown As of August 1, 2025QQQ Weekly Chart – Technical Breakdown 🧠 Key Observations Bearish Weekly Rejection A red candle at the recent high ($574.63) suggests buyers are taking profits. Short-term reversal likely in play. First Reaction Zone: 0.236 Fib at $533.87 is the first potential bounce zone. Aligned with: Fair Value Gap (FVG) Upper range of the Weekly Order Block (OB) Deeper Demand Zone: If $533 fails, the Weekly Order Block becomes critical. That zone stretches down toward $520–$508 (Fib 0.382). Strong historical reaction area — may attract long setups if macro aligns. RSI Divergence Risk: RSI shows some signs of flattening. Still above 59, so momentum is intact — but weakening. 📉 Pullback Path (Base Scenario): Potential move to $533 → $520, consolidating inside the order block From there, bullish continuation back toward $575+ Invalidated below $500, where structure breaks 📈 Mid-Term Bullish Bias Intact Strong uptrend, higher lows still in place Any dip into the OB + FVG zone = buy-the-dip opportunity.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by TexasSadr
Silver Remains a Buy on DipsIt seems the precious metals market didn’t mourn the Fed’s decision and subsequent press release for long. The uptrend remains intact, and the previously supportive factors are still in play. Even amid the negative news, there was no sharp sell-off — everything stayed within the trend. This clearly signals that rate cuts are on the horizon, and metals are likely to continue their upward move. We only trade from the long side — nothing has changed. At the moment, we've seen a pullback, and it feels strange not to take advantage of it and add more silver to the portfolio. Stop-loss is set below yesterday’s candle low at 36.15. We’ll see how the position develops. For now, the idea is to hold as long as the stop-loss holds. The long-term target is 48. Obviously, we won't reach it quickly, so I’ll trail the stop as the trade progresses — first to breakeven, and eventually into profit.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by kventinka