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How I Got My Win Rate to 94.12% ($4.59 per $1 risk expectancy)There's a lot of people who talk smack about high win rates, probably to justify their low win rates. The justification usually sounds something like this 'You do know the best traders have win rates under 50% and win rates mean nothing right?'. Nothing could be further from the truth in the context of the archetypal character who writes such a thing in trading view minds. A high win rate shows something very very important.. proof of edge. Now if someone wants to believe I'm taking penny wins and dollar losses, be my guest but use your head...in fact, one better... use your eyes. There is a nice little stat there called 'profit factor', what it tells you is how many dollars profit per trade my expectancy is. Wake up, understand that not everyone is a trading guru scammer. Not everyones stats are fake, and if you want to see for yourself... its easy to do. Simply watch my livestream, there is no better proof of edge than that.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Polyanonymous
Silver the sad metalIt's Friday and today's post is of less serious nature. Sometimes it's good to have a little fun and get back to very serious posts next week. Gold and Silver often are part of the same conversation. It makes sense Silver and Gold price data have a correlation coefficient of approximately 0.80 over the past 20 years. I mean they are like to inseparable friends that have been doing everything together since before you or I were born. So someone might ask hey silver why are you still sleeping. No new high since 2011 now for some of us that feels like just yesterday. Let's break it down though a child born in 2011 is now in Grade 9. Hope that silver was not to pay for their college fees. A typical basket of groceries went up by over 42.94% according to CPI change. (Which is probably low since the basket changes and manipulates inflation numbers.) That puts current silver purchasing power at about ~$25 value of its 2011 price. Congrats 14 years later Silver half what it bought in 2011. That store of value is more like frosty the snow man in the summer time. Silver made the same price high in 1980 I'd tell you about it but I am not old enough. Let's ignore that for now. Come on now it's not all gloom out there. Jokes aside. Silver price has moved up significantly since 2020 low around $11. What do we know about assets that break out after a long time stuck under a price point. Typically as some would say they go to the moon. Don't expect that here. Why it's been 45 years. If silver meets up with his old friend Gold he will remind his old friend that he is the more volatile of the two. Forget the moon it would be a space race to mars. My most conservative target would be $100. The 1.618 FIB retracement level. By that metric Gold is already at its 2 FIB retracement level. For silver that's 165. Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
TVC:SILVERLong
by JamesRennie
DeGRAM | EURUSD formed the double top📊 Technical Analysis ● A double-top printed at the channel roof (≈ 1.1600) and a bearish engulfing candle signal exhaustion; price is slipping back inside last week’s inner trend-median, turning 1.1550 into fresh resistance. ● Hourly RSI diverged lower and the grey return line from 1 June has broken; pattern depth points to 1.1500 support, with the channel mid-band / former triangle apex near 1.1470 as the next magnet. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Post-CPI profit-taking meets cautious ECB rhetoric: Lagarde reiterated “no preset easing path,” yet money-markets still price two Fed cuts by year-end, inviting near-term dollar reprieve. ✨ Summary Short 1.1540-1.1560; break below 1.1520 targets 1.1500 → 1.1470. Bear view void on an H1 close above 1.1600. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
XAU/USD 13 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,444.495. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Still we are valid on SILVER to push price upside Explained.In lower time frame we are seeing messy impulsive move both side due to geopolitical tension. Over all my bias on Silver is Bullish. We are leaving potential weekly FVG which shows impulsive bullish momentum currently we are rejecting from Daily FVG based on my strategy i am still valid, invalidation point is daily low created on Daily FVG but i follow conservative Stop loss rule. so i stopped out earlier. But my over all bias is still Bullish reason explained on chart you can see.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by oshi8848
USDCAD HAS BREAKOUT THE DOWN TREND BULLISH STRONGUSDCAD Breakout Alert! | 30-Min Timeframe 🔍 The downtrend is officially broken — bulls are in control! Entry Level: 1.36400 ✅ 🎯 Technical Targets: 1st Target: 1.36700 – Key Supply Zone 2nd Target: 1.36900 – Next Supply Level 3rd Target: 1.37300 – Major Resistance Ahead Momentum is strong and favoring the upside. Watch these levels closely — perfect setup for intraday action. 📈 💬 Like, follow, and comment below. ✨ Join us for real-time updates and pro insights! — Livia 😜
Long
by LIVIATRACK
AITECH at the Verge of Breakout!Hello traders, Today, let’s take a look at AITECH. AITECH was one of the best trades we’ve had so far — with a perfect entry and an ideal exit. Currently, AITECH is at a resistance level and is making a strong attempt to break out. It would be a positive sign if it succeeds. I'll keep the strategy simple: ~ Entry 1 (If it breaks out): $0.06 to $0.072. ~ Entry 2 (If it gets rejected): $0.02 to $0.026. ~ Targets: $0.15 to $0.4. ~ Trade type: Spot. ~ Holding period: End of Q3 or beginning of Q4. Note: Always do your own research and analysis before investing. Trade safely Regards, Dexter.
Long
by Dexter_The_Trader
Gold Wave Analysis – 13 June 2025- Gold recently broke resistance level 3400.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 3500.00 Gold recently broke the resistance level 3400.00 coinciding with the resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from April. The breakup of the resistance level 3400.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the middle of May. Gold can be expected to rise to the next major resistance level 3500.00 (former monthly high from April. which stopped the previous impulse wave (3)).
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
GOLDThe Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends #gold #dollar
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #gold #dollar
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Oil | Long | Smart Money Accumulation | (June 2025)Oil | Long | Geopolitical Conflict & Smart Money Accumulation | (June 2025) 1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: We're watching a long-term bullish setup in crude oil, driven by rising geopolitical tensions, smart money accumulation, and a potential reclaim of key levels from a historic triangle pattern. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: LongEntry: Watching for a reclaim of the $72 level (re-entry into triangle zone)Stop Loss: $62 (just below the recent liquidation zone) TP1: $106 TP2: $116 TP3: $123 3️⃣ Key Notes: This setup originates from a macro triangle structure formed since September 2012. Oil broke out post-2020 and surged, but recent volatility has shaken out many long positions—especially those from around $60.8. A reclaim of $72 would indicate a failed auction and potential continuation higher. Geopolitical instability—particularly in the Middle East—continues to provide bullish tailwinds. JPMorgan has projected potential upside targets as high as $230 if tensions escalate. The Volatility Index (VIX) is around 19, suggesting a calm market—often a precursor to strong directional moves. Smart money seems to be stepping in, accumulating positions during dips. ✅ This confluence makes oil a compelling candidate for macro upside, especially if global uncertainty deepens. 4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note: If the setup confirms, I’ll update this idea with revised targets and entry levels. Keep an eye on geopolitical developments—they’ll be key triggers. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NYMEX:MCL1!Long
by Risk_Adj_Return
DowJones uptrend retest Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 43192 Resistance Level 2: 43620 Resistance Level 3: 44290 Support Level 1: 42100 Support Level 2: 41420 Support Level 3: 40990 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation