Trump Wins! Bitcoin Hits New ATH, Ethereum Hits $5000 & AltcoinsGood afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, we have so much to look at today.
Trump won the US presidential elections and this is having a major effect across everything, not only Bitcoin and the financial markets.
Today we can see Bitcoin hitting a new All-Time High and we wonder what is happening, what to make of this development and how to approach the market.
➖ Ethereum is not trading at $5,000. Ethereum's Ether token ATH stands at $4,868, November 2021. Current price trades at $2,673. Huge discrepancy here, a warning sign.
➖ Dogecoin ATH happened in May 2021 at $0.74, current price is $0.193; huge difference.
➖ Cardano hit an All-Time High of $3.10 in August 2021, current price is almost ten times lower, $0.357.
How to approach the market?
What comes next?
Are you trading?
Are you watching?
Are you holding?
Are you accumulating?
How to approach the market based on current conditions will depend on your trading style, your goals, your capital, risk tolerance, etc. Those pairs trading low can be accumulated, this is true since August 2024 and will continue to be true for several additional months. The pairs trading super high and at resistance, it is better to stay away.
The DXY is ultra-bullish. We tend to say that the stock market crashes when the DXY is bullish, also Bitcoin, but we are seeing stocks rise as well as Bitcoin and the DXY. This means that we are seeing an extraordinary event happening right now.
Will this abnormal behavior continue indefinitely or will the market seek balance? The abnormal behavior will come to an end and the market will seek balance. I cannot say for how long the market reaction to Trumps win will last, but this is an extraordinary event and calls for caution.
We trade based on the long-term.
We buy low to sell high.
➖ Here is an example, this is a chart that looks good:
➖ Here is an example, this is a chart that looks bad:
Buy those trading low.
Sell those trading high.
It is wise to wait for the weekly close.
I will expand in a new article, I lost the flow on this one.
Thanks a lot for the support.
Namaste.
Community ideas
FTM/USDT on a 2-hour timeframe, which includes multiple technical indicators and annotations that help with trend analysis and potential long-trade planning.
Key Observations:
Market Structure:
The chart has labeled “Break of Structure” (BOS) and “Change of Character” (CHoCH) points, indicating shifts in trend direction. Recently, the price has made a BOS on the downside, followed by a weak low around $0.5302, suggesting that the bearish momentum might be exhausting.
Support and Resistance Zones:
There’s a visible resistance zone at $0.7285 and another key resistance level around $0.6000, while support is near the recent low of $0.5302.
The red shaded areas represent resistance zones, while the green indicates potential support zones. The current price is trading close to a support area, which could serve as a potential entry point for a long trade if bullish signals strengthen.
Moving Averages:
The chart displays two moving averages (likely the 50 and 200-period averages). The price recently dropped below these moving averages, indicating bearish pressure. However, if the price reclaims these averages, it could signal a bullish reversal.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is shown below the main chart, with the current reading around 45.8, close to the oversold territory (usually below 30). If the RSI moves up from here, it could signal increasing buying pressure, supporting a potential long trade.
Long Trade Setup Analysis:
Given these observations, a potential long setup could be considered under the following conditions:
Entry Point: Around the current support level ($0.5712 or near the weak low at $0.5302). Entering here could capture a reversal if the price finds strong buying support.
Stop-Loss: Just below the weak low ($0.5302), to manage risk in case of further breakdown.
Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $0.6000, near the first major resistance.
Second Target: $0.6688, just below the next resistance zone.
Final Target: $0.7285, around the top of the strong resistance area.
Confirmation Signals:
Look for a bullish candlestick pattern near the support level (e.g., a hammer or bullish engulfing).
Ideally, the RSI should start moving upwards from the current levels to confirm buying pressure.
If the price crosses above the moving averages, it could further support the long trade.
Conclusion:
This setup suggests a cautious long trade from the current support level, with risk managed by a stop-loss below $0.5302 and targets up to $0.7285 if the price successfully reverses and gains momentum. Ensure to monitor for any bearish break below the support level, as this would invalidate the setup.
NASDSAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Confirmation After Breakout
US100 Index updated the all-time high, violating a solid daily horizontal resistance.
After a breakout, the market retested the broken structure and started to consolidate
on an hourly time frame.
A violation of the upper boundary of the range is a strong intraday bullish continuation.
It indicates that with a high probability, the price will go up.
Next goal - 20920
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
AMZN pullback to $196MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play.
I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
(Buy puts or buy AMZD)
Price at top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM spiked positive
Price at Fibonacci level
In at $205.25
Target is $196 or channel bottom
Stop loss is $208
GOLD FORECASTIn this analysis we are focusing on 4H time frame for finding the upcoming changes on gold price. As we know that bearish momentum is very strong. So what do we need to do is just wait for price when it comes to our level and give any kind of rejection or any buy confirmation, then we will execute our buy trade. In my opinion and I'm expecting that price will bounce back toward upside after testing the zone. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
XAUUSD Hitting 44 year ResistanceGold is currently hitting a key resistance area that goes back to 1980 (44 year) trendline.
Some time may be required to correct and absorb this recent bull move. However, I would not be selling out of it completely if that's what one wishes to do with this information.
I prefer people read this chart as a good way to set their expectations in case Gold stalls for a while to prevent them from panicking out of this position.
Longer term I remain bullish on gold. Especially with Trump the 6-time bankrupt "businessman" being the 47th
EURUSD today's analysis strategy signalEURUSD is recovering gradually after a long period of weakness. 1.082 is considered the immediate support zone of the pair and the next support zone at 1.077 is the expected two hooks to BUY in today's nonfarm. The uptrend will be limited by the border zone of 1.095 and 1.100.
SUI Short-Term Drop 5X SHORT—276% PotentialWe are looking at the final correction of 2024. This is an assumption but an educated one, it is based on the data (information) coming from the charts.
In October, SUI produced a lower high that turned into a double-top and finally a higher high compared to March 2024.
The orange line is the resistance line for the top pattern. Below this line ultra-bearish. The bearish potential remains active even above it but below it you can go in full force.
Full trade-numbers below:
___
SHORT SUIUSDT
Entry levels:
1) $2.25
2) $2.05
3) $1.90
Targets:
1) $1.80
2) $1.69
3) $1.56
4) $1.42
5) $1.28
6) $1.20
7) $1.03
8) $0.97
8) $0.88
Stop-loss:
Adjust to your own risk tolerance
Potential profits: 376%
Capital allocation: 4%
___
Disclaimer: You are a human being and you are special in the sense that you have free will. You are reading this now out of your own volition. You can choose to read or not to read, you can choose to eat or not to eat. Whatever action we take is up to us.
I am sharing these numbers for learning and entertainment purposes, I cannot guarantee any results. Market conditions can always change.
If something goes bad, this can result in a loss.
If the market moves as I see it, this can result in a win, for me... Win or loss for you will depend on what you choose.
This is not financial advice.
Thanks a lot for your support.
Namaste.
Trade 4: AUD/CAD - 2.7 RR Ratio Longer Time Frame: 1D
1. A Bullish Engulfing candle was formed on 7th Nov, breaking the structure of downward trend
2. Pulling fib retracement from pivot low to pivot high, we can see the price is currently in between 0 and 0.236 levels of fib
Shorter Time Frame: 30min,15min,5min
1. At point "1" we can see that price took resistance, however the 30min and 15min, the shorter HMA was still above the medium HMA
2. We waited until the medium HMA crosses over shorter HMA in 15min timeframe
3. Price retraced back to resistance at point "2" and now medium HMA is above shorter HMA
Bias: Short
Since there was an bullish engulfing candle in longer time frame, we are expecting a pullback to retest the bullish trend. Even in the shorter time frame, we see a small head and shoulder along with double top being formed.
Entry:
1. The next cross under of shorter EMA with medium EMA when the medium HMA crossed over shorter HMA
2. Waited in 15min timeframe to observe the EMA cross under
3. Dint wait for FVG, entered at the open of next candle of break out
Target:
1. 0.236 level of Fib
2. If 0.236 is broken, can be pushed to 0.382 level
SL:
Above the EMA cross under in 5min time frame
ETH - Make or Break Zone!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
ETH is currently hovering around the lower bound of its range in the shape of an ascending triangle.
📈As long as the lower red trendline holds, a continuation towards the upper bound of the triangle is expected.
In parallel, if the last major low in red at $2,300 is broken downward, a dip towards the $2,000 - $2,100 weekly support would be anticipated.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 151.300 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 151.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin to 100k this year?Hey guyys!
So Trump won the election and we have new BTC ATH!
And I think we all wondering where we can go now?
Let's check the chart and daily we have bullish MA cross, huge volume on this election day.
But, another day volume is not pretty nice and looks like more manipulative movement.
So I think if we will stay long at the ATH level without moving up with descending volumes, we could potentially see some correction.
If we stay above 69k, most likely after this short correction we can go up, if we're not holding this level we can go to 59-63k level.
Cause real rally for me, will happen in 2025.
What's your ideas, guys? Let's discuss in the comments? Are we going to 100k this year or only in 2025?
Pay no attention to the wavy line...Added this nonsense as filler- you know what to do though: we wait till the red resistance zones populate, so we can mentally throw out support zones that don't match the support/resistance channel.
What do you think: is this the channel that holds till Jan 1st 2025?
Because if it is, then we're darn close to >100k in the new year, and possibly reaching MAJOR correction by the inauguration.
PLTR pullback to $44MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play.
I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price above channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM spiked positive
Price at/near Fibonacci level
In at $54
Target is $44 or channel top bottom
Stop loss is $56
Avg lvls for SPY:600, SPX:6000Continuing with the recent brief analysis on TLT:
The US stock market will inevitably face challenges when the clashes between populism and reality come to the forefront. Over the next 3 years, I expect SPY average price to maintain around the 600 level and for SPX it is 6,000.
GOLD → Global reversal H&S. How far do we fall? FX:XAUUSD was looking pretty steady in the Asian session until the press came out with their statements before Trump's speech. The fundamental background is weakening, but there are positive nuances from the news....
There is one last vote left, but Trump has a 99% chance of winning.
Markets believe his policies will put upward pressure on inflation, treasury yields and the US dollar, which could have an overall negative impact on the XAU
BUT, there is a possibility that in the long term, the gold price will also benefit from the new president's policies as Trump's foreign policy related to China and Europe could cause unrest and panic in the market
Sentiment around the US election will play a key role in gold price movement ahead of the US Fed policy announcement due on Thursday.
Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by forming a classic H&S pattern. The main support is at 2708
Resistance levels: 2731, 2735, 2749
Support levels: 2724, 2713, 2708, 2689
Also, H1 is starting to show a local descending channel. Before the official verdict of the vote, the price can still test these resistance areas, but later the market may turn around and start a gradual decline until the end of market-wide euphoria....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!