Community ideas
BTC Shakeout. Next Step Is AltseasonIt looks like the market is shaking off weak participants who aren’t prepared for the volatility. Many altcoins have partially or completely erased the gains they made over the past few months. There’s not much room left for further declines unless we see new local lows, which doesn’t seem logical at this stage.
As Bitcoin approached the 100K level, sellers quickly stepped in. On the daily chart, a long wick candle formed — a signal that this area could see future price consolidation.
It would make sense for the price to stay in a range, with potential dips to 92K, over the next 1-3 weeks. This would likely scare off any remaining holders who survived the last correction, setting the stage for the next big move.
Timing-wise, everything seems to align perfectly. However, the behavior of #BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance) is a bit concerning. In previous cycles, Bitcoin dominance tended to drop during corrections, but in this cycle, it’s rising. This divergence calls for closer attention.
Bitcoin's Rally Loses Steam: A Reversal Pattern Takes Shape● Bitcoin reached a record high of approximately $108,390, driven by strong bullish momentum.
● However, the rally was short-lived as intense selling pressure kicked in, triggering a rapid decline to $92,500 and erasing some of the recent gains.
● The frequent price fluctuations are likely to form a Head & Shoulder pattern, a bearish pattern that indicates a potential trend reversal and further downside.
● A sharp decline is expected if Bitcoin breaches below $91,500.
Gold price trend analysisGold daily line maintains a short structure, and the continued rise of the US dollar index has a certain negative impact on the gold and silver markets. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow and a small positive, and the short-term chart four-hour roller coaster price continued to move down along the high and low points of the MA10-day moving average, and the price continued to run along the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands. The hourly chart Bollinger Bands opened downward, and the RSI indicator ran below the middle axis. Today's trading ideas remain unchanged, mainly rebounding high and high, and low-multiple short-term auxiliary.
Gold 1-hour moving average is still short-term divergent arrangement, without any signs of turning, and there is still room for gold to go down. Gold did not stand firm at 2600 to close, and continued to sell at highs below 2613 today!
First support: 2582, second support: 2572, third support: 2563
First resistance: 2605, second resistance: 2613, third resistance: 2628
Trading strategy:
BUY:2583-2585
SELL:2611-2613
Tesla - Breakout level re-test complete. Could launch from hereHello Traders.
Looking at Tesla you can see many things that show Tesla is positioned to launch from here.
1.Previous times on the 2Hr since November when the 20/50 EMA crossed(DeathCross) Tesla went up shortly thereafter. It just crossed again.
2. Tesla recently broke out from ATH... but in the last few days came back down in a much needed cooling off and retested the breakout price and has bounced. This is MEGA bullish in my book.
3. You can clearly see an inverse Head & shoulder as well...
4. Bounced off the 2h 100EMA and Monthly VWAP.
So without even showing other indicators ,which agree as well, You can clearly see Tesla is positioned for another mega bullish run. We could see 500+ by end of Christmas week.. and it heading even higher into the new year.
Heading into overlap resistance?The Silver (XAG/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 30.21
1st Support: 28.02
1st Resistance: 32.08
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XAUUSD For incoming weekXAUUSD is currently taking a breather after the sharp downward push caused by the FOMC.
Personally, I believe it will end up closing the candle that initiated the move after the FOMC, around 2636.80, where I’ve marked the respective order block, to absorb all the liquidity generated during its decline, before resuming its bearish trend.
Remember that nothing is certain in the financial markets, and this is just my personal analysis.
Keep in mind that the price could still rise further to take more liquidity (Everything is up in the air depending on what happens next).
Let me know your thoughts in the comments!!
Ethereum to 10KMy estimate is that Ethereum will drop more in the short term along with the altcoin market as a whole, towards some form of a liquidity sweep of the lows (yellow, because it is the next support area) before reclaiming the macro range eq (green). If this happens, I'd expect a consolidation near the range highs (Red), otherwise if it becomes an expedited recovery then we straight push all time high (very possible). This is ESPECIALLY expedited if we recover the EQ faster than this chart suggests.
This is not a chart to display my time-prediction, but rather the structure of price I would predict on a macro scale which could easily be translated into a weekly timeframe.
Question is, how low can we get involved for? I think we are short on time for that, as this prediction would give us traders more time than likely warranted. Remembering, we could be due for weeks of consolidation, therefore I personally DCA every chance I get; dollar cost average.
If you compare this chart to, say, Bitcoin in 2016, the similarities are surreal. This is a macro (long time frame) consolidation before a major, major , expansion, in my opinion.
Trade safely, trade wisely.
Vatsik
Total ChartAs predicted market gave us a correction and we got supported from our weekly zone. There is a chance it comes to the support once more and have a consolidation for a while and continue to push upwards.
If that happens we can have a discount on already discounted alt coins. So be brave and don't trade with emotions, but the dips and you'll thank me later.
DYOR
Goodluck
US Government Shutdown Averted: A Comprehensive Overview.US Government Shutdown Averted: A Comprehensive Overview
Background
The US government narrowly avoided a shutdown after a last-minute spending deal was passed just hours before the deadline. This agreement came after intense negotiations and a brief period of uncertainty that had federal employees and the public on edge.
Key Events Leading to the Near Shutdown
Initial Spending Deal: House Speaker Mike Johnson negotiated a bipartisan spending deal that included disaster relief funding and other provisions. However, this deal faced opposition from President-elect Donald Trump and tech billionaire Elon Musk.
Trump's Opposition: Trump demanded that the deal include provisions to raise the debt ceiling, leading to the collapse of the initial agreement.
Revised Deal: After intense negotiations, a revised spending bill was passed with bipartisan support, excluding the debt ceiling provisions. This bill funds the government through March 2025.
Impact of the Near Shutdown
Federal Employees: Thousands of federal employees faced uncertainty about their pay. Essential services were maintained, but non-essential functions were at risk of being halted.
Economic Effects: Analysts projected that a prolonged shutdown could reduce GDP growth by 0.15 percentage points for each week of closure. However, the impact is expected to be temporary, with a potential boost in GDP growth once the government reopens.
Market Reactions: The stock market experienced volatility during the near shutdown period, with investors closely monitoring developments in Washington. The resolution of the shutdown provided some relief to market participants.
Future Outlook
Debt Ceiling Debate: The issue of raising the debt ceiling remains unresolved and is expected to be a major point of contention in early 2025. Lawmakers will need to address this issue to avoid another potential shutdown.
Political Dynamics: The near shutdown highlighted the divisions within the Republican Party and the influence of key figures like Trump and Musk. The upcoming administration will need to navigate these dynamics to ensure smooth governance.
Economic Policies: The Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision and other economic policies will be closely watched by traders and investors. The government's fiscal health and spending priorities will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment.
Latest Trading News for Traders
Stocks
Tesco's Share Price
Current Price: £3.73
Analysis: Tesco's share price is trading around an 11-year high, but some analysts believe it is still undervalued by 41%. However, rising National Insurance contributions and potential cost of living increases pose risks to its earnings.
Support Levels: £3.50, £3.20
Resistance Levels: £4.00, £4.50
Los Dos Amigos Closure
The popular Mexican restaurant in Portsmouth announced its last day of trading due to a "broken business model" in today's climate. This highlights the ongoing challenges small businesses face in the current economic environment.
Forex
FXiBot Launch
Avenix Fzco has launched FXiBot, a forex robot designed to enhance trading strategies through advanced data processing and systematic trading protocols. This innovation reflects the growing trend of automation in forex trading.
Currency Movements
USD/JPY: The USD/JPY has been on a six-day rally.
Support Levels: 1.25, 1.23
Resistance Levels: 1.30, 1.32
EUR/USD: The EUR/USD has slid after the European Central Bank's rate cut.
Support Levels: 1.05, 1.03
Resistance Levels: 1.10, 1.12
Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC)
Current Price: $106,000
Analysis: Bitcoin has hit a new record high ahead of an expected Federal Reserve rate cut.
Support Levels: $100,000, $95,000
Resistance Levels: $110,000, $115,000
Ethereum (ETH)
Current Price: $3,900
Analysis: Ethereum prices have remained steady amid a broad crypto market pullback.
Support Levels: $3,800, $3,600
Resistance Levels: $4,100, $4,300
Commodities
Gold (XAU/USD)
Current Price: $1,800
Analysis: Gold prices have been muted as traders brace for the Federal Reserve's rate decision.
Support Levels: $1,750, $1,720
Resistance Levels: $1,850, $1,900
Oil Prices
Oil prices have been volatile due to geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions.
Support Levels: $70, $65
Resistance Levels: $75, $80
Indices
Nasdaq Futures
Current Price: 15,000
Analysis: Nasdaq futures have been flat after the tech-heavy index lost sight of record highs.
Support Levels: 14,800, 14,500
Resistance Levels: 15,200, 15,500
Dow Jones
Current Price: 34,000
Analysis: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has seen mixed performance, with some sectors outperforming while others lag behind.
Support Levels: 33,800, 33,500
Resistance Levels: 34,200, 34,500
Upcoming Economic Events
US Inflation Data: The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is expected to be released on Friday, December 20th. This data is closely watched by traders as it influences the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
Central Bank Rate Decisions: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its rate decision on Wednesday, December 18th. The Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also announce their decisions on Thursday, December 19th1.
UK Inflation Data: The UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to be released on Wednesday, December 18th. This data can impact the GBP/USD exchange rate and other related assets..
XAGUSD Silver BEARISH - Head & Shoulders and Wedge BreakSilver has two patterns on the Daily TF that indicate a bearish direction ahead.
There is a complete Head & Shoulders pattern and also a Rising Wedge pattern that has been broke. Silver (XAGUSD) has recently had a bullish retracement to re-test both patterns and should start falling soon.
Short-Term TP = $28
Long-Term TP (from Head & Shoulders) = $24.60
Long-Term TP (from Wedge) = $20.70
I expect the short-term TP to be hit at least. The longer-term TP's may or may not be reached. What will probably happen is that the Head & Shoulders target will be reached and Silver will hold up around the $25 level.
NOTE : I personally love Silver and think it's a great long-term investment. I also consider it a highly manipulated market. I am bearish now based solely on the chart, but keep in mind that anything can happen with Silver!
EU could go lowerHi traders,
Last week EU did exactly what I've said in my outlook.
After a small correction up for wave 2, it dropped and made another correction up into the Daily FVG.
This correction up is now finished, so next week we could see this pair go lower again to finish wave 5 (black).
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish on a lower timeframe and trade shorts.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
PEOPLE Reversal Setup at Channel Bottom | 100% Potential Return
BINANCE:PEOPLE/TETHERUSHTTPS - 4H TIMEFRAME 🎯
SETUP STRUCTURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✦ ENTRY: $0.03578
✦ TARGET: $0.07380
✦ STOP LOSS: -3% Below Entry
✦ RISK:REWARD: 35:1
✦ TIMEFRAME: 4H
✦ POSITION TYPE: SWING TRADE
TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. PRICE ACTION:
• Descending Channel Bottom Test
• Multiple Timeframe Support Zone
• Previous Strong Demand Area
2. MARKET STRUCTURE:
• 6-Month Downtrend Exhaustion
• Potential Double Bottom Formation
• Clear Volume Profile Support
3. KEY CATALYSTS:
• Oversold RSI Divergence
• High-Volume Accumulation Zone
• Strong Historical Support Level
TRADE MANAGEMENT:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ENTRY STRATEGY:
• Scale in between $0.03578-$0.03600
• Initial position: 40% of total size
• Add on first confirmation: +30%
• Final add on trend confirmation: +30%
TAKE-PROFIT STRATEGY:
TP1: $0.05000 (25% of position)
TP2: $0.06200 (50% of position)
TP3: $0.07380 (25% of position)
INVALIDATION:
• Break below support with volume
• Loss of 4H market structure
• Failure to hold entry zone after 4H
RISK DISCLOSURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
#USDT #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading
Tags: @TradingView
SEI USDTNYSE:SEI
#SEI Token is forming an ascending channel pattern on the daily chart💁♂️
Price is testing a strong ascending support line with increasing buying volume🔼
Currently holding above the ma 200 showing bullish pressure📈
A successful bounce could drive price towards targets at $0.465, $0.540, $0.645, and $0.725🎯