Gold buy setup: from 2989 to 3086!Hey traders,
I'm eyeing a potential long opportunity on Gold starting from the 2989 level. After Friday's sharp drop that flushed liquidity just below the key 3000 psychological zone earlier today, I’m anticipating a bullish pullback. If price dips back into that zone, I’ll be looking to go long with targets mapped out along the way.
📈 Here’s my trading idea:
Entry: 2989.43
TP1: 3024.39
TP2: 3055.99
TP3: 3086.96
Stop Loss: 2969.80
This setup is built around a potential liquidity grab followed by a rebound—classic price action play.
What’s your take on Gold today? 🔍
Drop your analysis or plan in the comments. Let’s trade smart together.
And if you find this idea valuable, a boost would mean a lot 🙌
Community ideas
BITCOIN - Short Trade Update - Trade Confirmed - Lower To Go...In this video, I provide an update on the recent massive Bitcoin sell-off and what to expect moving forward.
I break down the corrective bounces we’re likely to see between key support levels where price has dropped.
It's important to mentally prepare for the possibility of lower prices, but also to stay grounded by understanding the role and significance of these bounces—they're not just noise, they're necessary.
Also, you can now learn AriasWave for free! Visit the website if you're interested.
Check out the original short idea chart and video down below.
Gold at 3000? I’ll Be WaitingI’m watching the 2995 level closely. If price dips back into this support zone, I’ll be looking for buy entries with at least 200+ pips in mind.
We’ve seen strong bullish moves off this area before, so if price respects it again, I want to be ready. If it breaks through with momentum, no entry – simple.
🛑 Invalid if structure fails beneath support
Solana’s Critical Support at $120 - Will It Hold or Break?Solana has been respecting its $120 support level for over a year, consistently bouncing back every time it tested this zone. However, the price is now once again hovering around this crucial level after a small bounce a couple of weeks ago. The key question remains: will Solana hold this support and rally again, or is a major breakdown coming?
Weakening Support: A Bearish Signal?
When a price level is tested repeatedly, it often weakens as buyers at that level get exhausted. The most recent bounce from $120 was notably weak, indicating that buying pressure might be fading. This could be an early warning sign that sellers are gaining control, increasing the probability of a breakdown.
The $75 Scenario: What If Support Fails?
If Solana fails to hold $120, the next major support level sits around $75—a price zone where significant demand previously emerged. A breakdown could trigger a sharp move lower as stop-losses get triggered and bearish momentum accelerates.
Key Factors to Watch:
• Volume & Strength of the Current Test – Is buying volume picking up, or are sellers in control?
• Market Sentiment & Macro Trends – Broader crypto market trends, Bitcoin’s movement, and macroeconomic factors could influence Solana’s direction.
• False Breakouts & Traps – Sometimes, a brief break below support is a shakeout before a strong reversal. A reclaim of $120 after a breakdown could signal a bullish trap for shorts.
Final Thoughts
While $120 has been a strong floor for Solana, repeated tests make it more fragile. If buyers fail to step in with conviction, a drop toward $75 becomes a real possibility. However, if bulls defend this level strongly, we could see another bounce, potentially setting up a reversal.
Thanks for your support.
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GOLD Bounces from Key Demand Zone – Is a Bullish Reversal? Gold has just tapped into a strong demand zone around $2,959 - $2,968, a level that previously acted as a base for a major move up in late March.
This current price action aligns with a potential bullish reversal setup, especially after a sharp sell-off into this demand area. Here's the breakdown:
Key Zones to Watch:
Demand Zone: $2,959 - $2,968 (marked in orange)
Price is reacting here again. A bullish engulfing or strong bullish candle here could signal a reversal.
Mid-Level Resistance: $3,061
A break and close above this level will likely confirm strength in buyers and open the path to the next zone.
Supply Zone/Target: $3,120 - $3,141
Major supply area with heavy seller interest. This is the final upside target if bulls maintain momentum.
Bullish Confluence:
Oversold conditions after a rapid sell-off
Strong historical demand zone tested
Clean risk-to-reward setup for long positions
Bullish divergence forming on lower timeframes (check RSI/MACD)
Fundamentals to Watch:
We’ve got several major USD-impacting news events this week (highlighted at the bottom). Watch closely for any Fed-related statements or CPI data that could trigger volatility in gold.
Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: Around $2,960 - $2,970
SL: Below $2,945
TP1: $3,061
TP2: $3,141
Are you buying the dip or waiting for confirmation? Drop your comment
Bitcoin: The Grand Ascension Blueprint - Ready for Lift-Off!
The Most Important Bitcoin Chart You'll See This Year.. As we said before in pervious idea for enrty in 74,500
and that what happen in one month
Looking at this daily BTC/USD chart, we're witnessing the formation of a powerful technical setup that could define the rest of 2025. This isn't just another prediction—it's a strategic roadmap based on key technical levels that smart money is watching.
📊 What The Chart Is Revealing:
🔷 Perfect Channel Formation
* Bitcoin has established a massive ascending channel (gray boundaries) with textbook precision
* Current price ($77,626) testing the critical lower boundary support
* Previous touch points have all resulted in significant bounces
🔷 Triple Target Trajectory
* TP1: $82,400 - Initial relief target (conservative)
* TP2: $85,700 - Mid-channel equilibrium zone
* TP3: $89,100 - Upper resistance test before potential breakout
🔷 Historical Context Matters
* We're constructively holding above the December 2023 breakout level
* Current consolidation mirrors the pre-pump phase from late 2023
* Blue trendline break served as the first warning of trend change
Why This Pattern Has MASSIVE Implications
⚡ The Timing Effect:
The current position at channel support presents a rare low-risk, high-reward opportunity with clear invalidation points. The pattern suggests accumulation before a potential explosive move toward $130,000 by August-September.
⚡ Macro Alignment:
This technical setup coincides perfectly with post-halving supply dynamics and institutional capital flow patterns. The projected move higher follows the historical post-halving performance cycles.
⚡ Risk Management Precision:
* Invalidation point: Clear break below $74,000 with volume
* Ideal entry zone: $74,800-$75,500
* Risk:reward ratio at current levels: approximately 1:5
he Hidden Message Most Traders Are Missing
This isn't just about price targets—this formation suggests Bitcoin is preparing for its largest percentage gain phase of this cycle. The projected path (purple forecast line) indicates a potential 68% move from current levels in just 90-120 days.
Institutional positioning data supports this view. The methodical stair-stepping pattern in the forecast line suggests strategic accumulation phases between aggressive price advancement.
📊 SEE YOU AFTER 3-4 MONTHS .. FOLLOW ME FOR MORE DETAILS 📊
Bitcoin Retests 77k Neckline Support! This is huge!Traders,
As we watch the tariff FUD destroy traders everywhere, I want you to be aware that we have just landed on something extremely critical for support, the neckline of our long-standing CUP and HANDLE that began forming at the end of 2021. The neckline currently stands at an approximate price of 76-77k. If you'll remember in my last post a couple of days ago regarding the SPY, I suggested that SPY could drop as low as 467 and Bitcoin could hit 76k. Bitcoin has arrived at it's 76k support and if this doesn't hold, crypto is in serious trouble. I am not trying to be an alarmist here. You all know that I am an eternal optimist when it comes to crypto, but in this case we have to prepare our trades accordingly. The break of 76k support could send Bitcoin and crypto down as far at 50k. I know this is hard to believe. Even as I am typing this I am having a hard time grasping that we'd get there, but this is what I am seeing and I have to inform you all accordingly. If we're lucky, that neckline holds. But plan accordingly.
✌️Stew
Could the Gold rebound from here?The price has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,955.87
1st Support: 2,925.35
1st Resistance: 3,054.56
Risk Warning:
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin tested multiple supports at 74K - Huge Pump Incoming!Bitcoin's recent dump to 74Ks made me redraw some diagonals but these diagonals make perfect sense for a bullish reveal to new All Time Highs!
Bitcoin tested the following supports when it dipped to 74Ks -
1) Yellow diagonal line connecting the two 2021 tops and the 2024 tops!
2) Cyan color falling wedge digonal
3) Red diagonal parallel channel support
4) 50-week simple moving average
Timewise this downtrend correction has taken about 50% of the time compared to the downtrend correction that happened from March 2024 to August 2024. The local top was made at 109K with Trump inauguration into office and now the local bottom is expected to happen post Trump tariff drama. COINBASE:BTCUSD
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: April 7 - 11Market Insights with Gary Thomson: FOMC Minutes, US Inflation Rate, US PPI, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode, we discuss:
- FOMC Meeting Minutes
- US Inflation Rate
- US Producer Price Index
- Corporate Earnings Statements
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD - UniverseMetta - Analysis#EURUSD - UniverseMetta - Analysis
W1 (Weekly Timeframe)
🔹 Price has reached the 261 Fibonacci level, marking the completion of the 5th wave.
🔹 This level also aligns with a major structure established back in 2023.
🔹 To confirm potential short opportunities, it's recommended to:
• Wait for a confirmed fractal on W1
• Look for reversal patterns on lower timeframes (D1 / H4)
D1 (Daily Timeframe)
🔹 Possible development of a 1st wave within an expanding triangle structure.
🔹 All recent movements appear corrective until a valid 2nd wave begins to form.
🔹 Nearest downside targets:
• 1.08264
• 1.07184
H4 / H1 (4H / 1H Timeframes)
🔹 Potential start of wave C on H4
🔹 Triggered by the formation of the 3rd wave + breakout from the descending channel on H1
🔹 Trade setup details:
Entry: 1.09501
Take Profits (TP):
1. 1.08264
2. 1.07184
3. 1.06163
4. 1.04493
Stop Loss: 1.10620
📌Conclusion:
EURUSD has hit a major resistance zone (261% Fibo), which may mark the end of the bullish 5-wave structure. A correction or reversal could follow.
Lower timeframes offer early opportunities to enter wave C, with confirmation via fractals and breakouts.
Use tight stops and respect your risk management.
Using Put Options to Protect Your Stock PortfolioCME: Options on E-Mini S&P 500 Futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! )
Last week’s bloodshed of global financial market made history. Nearly all major asset classes fell into a market turmoil driven by tariffs and retaliations.
Let’s focus on the US stock market:
• Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 7.76% in the week of March 31st to April 4th, making it the 4th worst weekly performance on record
• S&P 500 slipped 8.77%, the 4th worst week in history
• Nasdaq Composite fell 9.18%, the 2nd worst week
• Russell gave up 9.34%, the 3rd worst week
All four stock index futures were in negative territory year-to-date. On Sunday evening, E-Mini S&P 500 opened 178 points lower to 4,932, losing 17.1% YTD.
All parties ultimately come to an end. After two years of double-digit gains, the unstoppable US stock market finally cracked. As more tariffs and retaliations are expected to escalate, I am afraid that we are only seeing the beginning, rather than the end.
For stock investors, this is a good reminder of market risk, something we always talk about but seldomly pay attention to. The “return of investment” should be focusing on the repayment of your money, a safety issue. Only after that should we talk about the gain from the investment. It is a necessity to protect your portfolio to achieve long-term growth.
Trading with Options on E-Mini S&P 500 Futures
For investors with a diversified portfolio, Put Options on the E-Mini S&P 500 futures are effective and cost-efficient tools. Investors who long the stocks will lose money, should stock prices fall. Put options would gain in value, providing a hedge to the portfolio.
The following illustration shows a hypothetical example, given:
• An investor has a $250,000 portfolio holding a diversified pool of U.S. stocks
• CME E-Mini S&P 500 futures ( NYSE:ES ) have a contract size of $50 times the index value
• The June contract (ESM5) was quoting at 4,935 Sunday evening Friday, making the notional value of 1 contract $246,750, approximately equal to our portfolio value
• Assuming the portfolio moves closely in line with the S&P 500
• The investor wants to limit the loss of his portfolio to 12%. If the S&P 500 index is currently around 4950, a put option with a strike price of 4350 would roughly correspond to a 12% decline
Hedging trade illustration:
• The investor buys 1 put option on the June futures with the strike price of 4,600
• CME quote on that Put option is 223. As the contract is $50 times the index, the premium upfront for one put option contract is $11,150 (223*$50), ignoring any commissions
• The put premium is calculated as 4.46% of the $250K portfolio
If S&P drops to 4,200 (-15.15%) by the end of April:
• Without the put, the portfolio lost $37,879, assuming the same loss with the S&P
• The 4600-strike put is now 400 points in-the-money
• The investor sells the put and receives $20,000 (= 400 x 50)
• The loss of portfolio will be 37879+11150-20000 = $29,029
• With an E-mini S&P put protection to mitigate loss from the stock portfolio, the investor lost 11.6% (= 29029 / 250000), which is 3.5% lower than the S&P loss and with the preset loss limit
If S&P drops to 4,000 (-19.2%) by the end of May:
• Without the put, the portfolio lost $47,980, assuming the same loss with the S&P
• The 4850-strike put is now 600 points in-the-money
• The investor sells the put and receives $30,000 (= 600 x 50)
• The loss of portfolio will be 47980+11150-30000 = $29,130
• With an E-mini S&P put protection to mitigate loss from the stock portfolio, the investor lost 11.6% (= 29,130 / 250000)
As we can see here, when the S&P falls sharply, the investor will be able to cap his loss to 11.6%. In a “protective put” strategy, we would consider the option premium an insurance contract for owning stocks. If the index rises, the portfolio return would be lowered a little because of the premium upfront, that is, the cost of insurance. However, the protection is a lifesaver if the index falls.
Before jumping into action, the investor needs to run a correlation analysis using the daily value of the portfolio against the S&P 500 closing prices. Here is how:
• Some trading software has correlation feature built in already
• If not, pull 1-year daily portfolio balance and 1-year S&P closing prices, export them to Excel. Run correlation test with these two data series using Excel data analysis tool.
• Alternatively, we could drop the data into ChatGPT and ask AI to do the work for us.
If the correlation is greater than 50%, it means that S&P 500 is a good fit to hedge the portfolio. If it is not, we could try the correlation analysis using the other stock index closing prices, such as the Dow, the Nasdaq 100 and the Russell 2000. Then replace E-Mini S&P 500 futures with the stock index futures contract best fit the portfolio.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
EUR/JPY Breakouot trendline @162.077 H4 chart analysisFrom the chart, here are the key details for your EUR/JPY trade setup along with support and resistance levels:
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: ~162.077
Stop Loss (SL): ~164.369
Take Profit (TP): ~156.037
Support & Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance: ~164.451
Minor Resistance: ~162.194
Major Support: ~156.154
Minor Support: ~160.000 (psychological level)
This trade setup shows a Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.6, aligning with solid risk management principles. If you’d like a polished message to send to your client, let me know.
Potential bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,007.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,059.25
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,951.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 8, 2025“Goldie’s mood swings: from drama queen to calculated killer.”
Gold decided to throw a tantrum after NFP and play peek-a-boo with everyone’s SL. But beneath the chaos lies structure—and we speak structure fluently. Let’s map this battlefield with sniper entries and cold logic. No guessing, just high confluence.
📌 Macro Context
🏛️ Geopolitical: Israel-Iran tensions still simmering. Headlines = spikes. Stay nimble.
💰 Fundamentals: Stronger USD post-NFP; Fed tone remains hawkish.
🔍 Technical Environment:
H1/H4 break of bullish structure
D1 printed a brutal engulfing candle
EMA 5/21/50 all pointing down on M30–H1, kissing goodbye to bullish hopes (for now)
“The spike was no accident. Smart money never sleeps.”
📉 Bias: Bearish intraday flow under OB 2980–3000
🔻 SELL SETUPS
🟥 SELL SETUP 1 – OB Rejection Sniper
📍 Entry: 2995–3000
🧠 Why: H1 valid OB + imbalance + bearish CHoCH on M5
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 2915
🛑 SL: 3008
💬 Classic OB rejection. Look for a wick grab then drop on LTF.
🟥 SELL SETUP 2 – Stop Hunt Pop
📍 Entry: 3010–3015
🧠 Why: Liquidity sweep above 3000, into bearish FVG zone
🎯 TP1: 2975
🎯 TP2: 2940
🛑 SL: 3019
💡 Ideal on a fast pump, then M1 bearish structure shift confirmation.
🟥 SELL SETUP 3 – EMA50 Tap & Fade
📍 Entry: 3035–3040
🧠 Why: Confluence of bearish trendline retest + EMA50 (H1)
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 2950
🛑 SL: 3046
🎯 Catch the fakeout bounce. Risk defined. Trend respected.
🟩 BUY SETUPS
🟩 BUY SETUP 1 – Deep Discount Bounce
📍 Entry: 2945–2955
🧠 Why: M30 OB + unmitigated FVG + 0.618 FIB
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 3030
🛑 SL: 2938
💬 Only valid if 2960 gets flushed cleanly with momentum shift.
🟩 BUY SETUP 2 – Retest of Previous Demand
📍 Entry: 2905–2915
🧠 Why: Unmitigated H4 OB zone + previous bounce structure
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 3000
🛑 SL: 2895
📈 Take this if we get heavy stop hunts early and DXY slows.
🟩 BUY SETUP 3 – Extreme Demand Sweep
📍 Entry: 2885–2895
🧠 Why: HTF demand zone + psychological 2900 + imbalance
🎯 TP1: 2950
🎯 TP2: 2980
🛑 SL: 2878
🧠 Perfect for the brave — sniper only on strong bounce confirmation (M5).
⚔️ Key Levels Recap:
🔸 3000–2980: Valid OB resistance zone
🔸 2960–2950: Discount reaction base
🔸 2915 / 2890: Deeper liquidity zones
🔸 3045: SL invalidation on bearish bias
🔸 2880: Final demand for aggressive longs
🧠 Strategy Notes:
Watch for manipulation moves into OB or imbalance before taking entries.
Wait for CHoCH or PA confirmation on M1–M5 before executing.
Don’t chase — sniper setups only.
💬 "Goldie might be emotional, but our setups aren’t."
🗣️ Let’s grow together!
🔥 If this sniper plan gave you clarity, drop a like & follow on TradingView 💬
Let’s grow a strong trading community built on structure, not signals.
Stay sharp & stay kind, legends! 💛
📌 No guessing. No chasing. Just smart money and structure.
#Bitcoin is in tight spot! Update here.#Bitcoin : BTC is in a tight spot right now. It failed to break above the 50 and 100 EMAs and is currently trying to hold above the 200 EMA. That’s the last major support keeping it together at the moment.
The good news? We’re likely approaching a bottom soon. Let’s see how the weekly candle closes. Close below 82k will be a bad signalling the short term.
Also, don’t forget there’s still some liquidity near the daily FVG zone, early 70Ks. That’s a stretch from here, but still worth keeping in mind.
Most importantly, be cautious and prioritize capital preservation. Practice proper risk management.
DYOR. NFA.
#Crypto
EURJPY: Top formation, sell opportunity.EURJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.515, MACD = 0.340, ADX = 26.005) as it ranges between its 1D MA50 and 1D MA200. This is a peak formation on the LH trendline of the 5 month Channel Down identical to January. At least a -6.20% bearish wave is to be expected. Today's spike gives an even better sell entry for a TP = 154.00.
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TIME to SHOP after 2000 points fall in our favour!!!As we can see NIFTY breached all its mild support and is now trading at most important demand zone and looks like the best time to buy the dip till the low of this broken below for further downfall ! Hence our approach should be changed from selling the rise to BUYING THE DIP keeping todays candle lows closing as stop loss! So plan your trades accordingly and keep watching!