AUDCHF: Bearish Reversal Confirmed! ๐ฆ๐บ๐จ๐ญ
AUDCHF may return to a global bearish trend.
A breakout of a support line of a rising parallel channel,
bearish CHoCH and a lower high on a daily indicate a changing market sentiment.
I think that the pair may drop lower soon.
Goal - 0.53
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USOIL Today's Trading StrategyThe current crude oil price is $62.5 per barrel. Recently, the crude oil price has witnessed a certain degree of decline, mainly affected by factors such as the unexpected production increase of OPEC+ and the suppression of demand by US tariffs. Since April, the international crude oil market has seen a sharp decline. First, Trump announced the launch of the "reciprocal tariff" policy, which has intensified market concerns about the global economic growth outlook and will once again lead to a decline in crude oil prices.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy:
USOIL SELL@63.5-64
SL:65
TP:61~60
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 21Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3350-3400, support below 3284
Four-hour chart resistance 3350, support below 3284
One-hour chart resistance 3350, support below 3290
Gold news analysis: On Tuesday (May 20), international gold prices rose sharply during the U.S. market, supported by the weakening of the U.S. dollar. Although the market cautiously paid attention to the latest progress of the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks and the U.S. tariff policy, the risk aversion sentiment has cooled down, but the atmosphere of uncertainty is still strong. The decline in the U.S. dollar index makes gold denominated in U.S. dollars more attractive to holders of other currencies. The main focus of the gold market today is on the optimistic expectations of the trade relationship between the United States and China, and the development of the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Investors seem to have mostly ignored Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating. Although the increase in risk appetite has suppressed gold prices, the continued uncertainty still supports gold prices.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the 3284 level support, and the pressure above focuses on the suppression near the 3350 level at the four-hour level. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is at 3284. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to buy at a low level. The next target is 3400.
Buy: 3300near SL: 3295
Buy: 3284near SL: 3280
GBPJPY bulls has given up?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold 100% Trading SignalsFrom a technical perspective, it is difficult for gold to have a large short position or a large downside in the short term. Last week, gold fell due to the news, with the lowest price at 3120, which clearly indicated that it could go long at 3120. After two trading days of rebound, the current highest price is 3252. Although it fell twice, it did not break 3120 and rebounded again, which shows the strong performance of gold and the solid bottom foundation. Under the influence of various factors and the performance of the market, gold maintained a bullish trend this week, with long positions being the main focus.
Gold daily line just stood firm on the 60-day moving average and went up. The previous weakness has now turned into strength, which just made its Bollinger band close. On this basis, it is expected to go up in a strong position or stand firm above the middle track of Bollinger band this week. Therefore, the bullish basis is obvious. The upper side can be seen to 3280, 3350, and 3400. Patiently wait for the bullish volume space in the daily cycle. There are some changes that need to be paid attention to in the 4-hour cycle. First of all, the second decline last week and the opening rise this week clearly confirm that the bottom has been formed in the short term, and there is still a large room for the rise. However, without breaking 3280, it is difficult for gold to have a unilateral rise. Therefore, although it is bullish this week, it is viewed in two stages. Below 3280 is a volatile rise, and above 3280 is a unilateral rise. Therefore, when trading, you must pay attention to the difference between short-term and medium- and long-term. For the intraday market, do not chase the market if it opens higher. After determining the direction, mainly go long when it falls back. The lower support is at 3210-3200. Consider going long when the Asia-Europe session falls back to these two points. Pay attention to the highs of 3265 and 3280 on the upper side.
NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures - Short-Term Counter-Trend OpportunityAnalysis:
Looking at the NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!) on the 15-minute chart, we seem to be presenting an interesting setup for a potential counter-trend short, even as our long-term conviction remains firmly bullish.
Long-Term Bullish Thesis:
From a broader perspective, the price action clearly shows a series of "BOS" (Break of Structure) to the upside, indicating sustained bullish momentum. Recent price action, particularly the push through previous resistance levels, reinforces the underlying strength of the market. Our long-term bias is to look for opportunities to go long on dips, aligning with the overall uptrend.
Short-Term Counter-Trend Setup (The Bearish Argument):
However, in the immediate term, we've observed a "MBS" (Market Structure Break) to the downside following a "BOS" to the upside that ran into significant resistance. This indicates a potential short-term shift in momentum. The price has re-entered a previously established demand zone, and the recent rejection from the area marked with the red box and the subsequent downward movement (black candlestick) suggests sellers are stepping in.
Potential Short Entry & Targets:
A counter-trend short opportunity could materialize if the price continues to show weakness from the current levels. The primary target for such a move would be the liquidity below the recent swing low, marked with the '$' symbol, potentially extending towards the 21,200 - 21,150 area (green box). This would be a move to capitalize on the expected short-term pullback.
Invalidation:
This counter-trend short idea would be invalidated if the price decisively breaks above the recent high (the orange dashed line) and sustains above the upper red box, indicating a renewed push to the upside and a continuation of the bullish trend without a significant pullback.
Conclusion:
This setup allows us to potentially capture a short-term bearish move against the prevailing bullish trend. It's crucial to manage risk effectively given this is a counter-trend play. Once this short-term correction plays out, we will be eagerly looking for signs of bullish continuation from lower levels to re-enter long positions, aligning with our overarching bullish long-term view.
The next push is expected to face strong resistance at 112,000The bull run has been ongoing since October 2023, and we are beginning to reach the final stages. This is the final push, likely a significant one, but there is strong long-term resistance and trends around the $115,000 mark. Altcoins are starting to gain momentum, but institutions are accumulating and absorbing new supplies, putting upward pressure on Bt prices. The U.S. dollar (DXY) is weak, making Bitcoin appear artificially high compared to alternative currencies, such as the Sterling and Euro, with a new all-time high roughly 15% away for GBP and only 2% for dollar.
The NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) is currently high, indicating that a significant proportion of holders are in profit, which places us in a state of greed. Short-term holders are selling their positions, while long-term holders continue to accumulate. However, this trend is likely to lose momentum in the next price increase, as long-term holders may sell to free up capital for a potential bear market.
Furthermore, inflation remains high, and retail investors are finding it challenging to invest, which makes it less likely that they will engage with Bitcoin at its current levels. This indicates that a period of enthusiasm among retail investors is less probable. Additionally, outflows from ETFs have been shown to quickly impact prices negatively.
Bitcoin is projected to continue its price discovery upwards, potentially reaching $112,000 and possibly even higher before fear sets in, leading to profit-taking, which could significantly affect the price. Many investors may perceive this as a peak and anticipate a subsequent bear market.
While this cycle could be different, I remain skeptical. I believe that what I term GOB (Greed, Overconfidence, and Belief), which is the opposite of FOMO, will come into play and lead to a market crash.
XAUUSD Breakout from Bullish Flag โ Eyes on $3,387Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe is exhibiting a strong bullish continuation setup, supported by multiple confluences that suggest the uptrend is far from over. The chart clearly shows the market breaking out from a Bullish Flag Pattern, respecting curve support, and targeting the major resistance zone near $3,387.
๐ Technical Breakdown:
1. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation
After a sharp bullish impulse, price consolidated in a tight downward-sloping channel โ the classic bullish flag. This pattern typically appears mid-trend and signals a healthy pause before the next leg higher. The breakout from the flag confirms bullish continuation, often offering a high-probability trade entry.
2. Break of Structure (BOS)
The breakout above minor resistance marked a Break of Structure (BOS), which is a key bullish signal. It indicates a shift in market sentiment and validates the end of the corrective phase (flag) and beginning of the next impulse wave.
3. Curve Support (Parabolic Trajectory)
A parabolic curve support is now guiding price upward, showing increasing bullish pressure and higher lows forming consistently. This type of dynamic support often appears in strong trending markets where buyers step in aggressively at every pullback.
4. Liquidity Sweep & Smart Money Behavior
Before the breakout, price dipped below recent lows within the flag, likely sweeping liquidity and triggering stop-losses. This move provided institutional players with the liquidity needed to push price higher โ a classic smart money trap-and-break scenario.
5. Volume & Momentum Confirmation
The breakout occurred with strong bullish momentum and rising volume (if checked on the volume profile), reinforcing the credibility of this move. A momentum-based continuation is likely as long as price remains above previous resistance (now support).
๐ฏ Target & Resistance Levels:
Short-Term Target: $3,387 โ aligned with the previous major resistance area
Support Zone: $3,260โ$3,275 (previous flag breakout + structure support)
Major Resistance Zone: Around $3,360โ$3,387 (historical supply zone)
๐ง Trade Idea / Strategy:
As long as price holds above the curve support and retests the previous breakout zone (flag top or minor resistance), bullish entries on pullbacks are favored.
โ
Buy on dips into curve support or minor resistance retests.
โ Avoid shorting into a strong parabolic structure unless signs of exhaustion appear.
๐ฏ Potential RR setups: 1:2 and beyond if entry is timed well.
๐ฌ Conclusion:
The market structure, pattern confirmation, and strong bullish momentum all point toward a continuation move toward the $3,387 level. This setup provides a solid technical case for bullish trades with multiple entry options and well-defined risk levels. Keep an eye on curve support and potential higher timeframe resistance reactions for dynamic trade management.
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Buy Risking1% to make 2.18%X1:
#XAUUSD/#GOLD Risking 1% to make 2.18%
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2.18%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
If First Trade SL hit: I will enter again, wait for next signal, we won't be on loss anyway let market decide we will move accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
SPY | Liquidity Engineering or Reversal?๐ฐ๏ธ Daily Chart | May 21, 2025
๐ข Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
โMajor buyers are lurking... but will the market deliver the fill they want?โ Thatโs the question.
Weโre currently watching a tactical rejection near 598.22, the 0.886 Fib retracement of the prior high-volume breakdown. This level historically serves as a liquidity sweep zone before decision-making candles emerge.
๐ Technical + Volume Profile:
Liquidity Zones:
Resistance: 594.4โ598.2 = prior supply + Fib confluence
Demand Zones:
567.5 โ anchored VWAP / trend channel midpoint
559.3 โ 0.618 Fib + major positioning cluster
Volume: Distribution volume into prior highs = possible short-term exhaustion
EMA Structure: Bullish stack but extended from mean; room for reversion to VWAP bands.
๐ง Macro Overlay:
Risk Events: Debt ceiling headlines are muted, but upcoming PCE inflation and labor data could dictate short-term gamma positioning.
Options Skew: OTM put volume rising; VIX curve remains steep in front-end โ suggesting hedging or prep for pullback.
Macro Setup: Real yields are sticky, and the Fed is not signaling dovish pivot yet โ any continuation will need confirmation via breadth and credit spreads.
๐ก๏ธ Risk Framework:
Reclaim 598.2: Bias flips bullish with upside into 613โ644
Break Below 567.5: Opens doors for deeper retest at 559 or even 533
Neutral Range: 567.5โ594.5 โ Let market structure show intent before deploying size.
๐ Game Plan:
Let price come to you. Patience > Prediction. Market is deciding whether to reward early breakout traders or punish late longs via mean reversion. Watch the 567โ559 clusterโthatโs where smart money may reload.
โ
๐ #SPY #MacroTrading #VolumeAnalysis #RiskManagement #Fibonacci #Wavervanir #SP500 #LiquidityMap
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trend Continues with XAU/USD (Gold) is trading around $3,308.60 and is showing a clear bullish trend on the 1-hour timeframe. Both the 20 EMA and 50 EMA are trending below the current price, confirming short-term bullish momentum. The nearest support zone is between $3,270 and $3,286, a level that has previously attracted buyers. On the upside, the resistance zone lies between $3,330 and $3,347, where price may face selling pressure.
Traders could look for long opportunities on pullbacks to the support area, with targets set near the resistance range, and a recommended stop-loss around $3,250 to manage downside risk. Overall, the 1H chart reflects sustained bullish momentum, favoring buy setups on retracements.
Most Watchable areas:
$3,270 and $3,286 for downward movement
$3,330 and $3,347 for upward movement
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
BTCUSD SELL ZONETo determine the reason behind selling BTCUSD at $107,011.37, let's examine current market conditions and possible factors influencing this decision.
*Possible Reasons:*
- *Resistance Level*: $107,011.37 might be acting as a resistance level, where Bitcoin's price faces selling pressure or struggles to break through. This level could be influenced by historical price movements or technical indicators.
- *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be selling Bitcoin at this price range to secure profits, especially after recent gains. Bitcoin's price has surged 54.96% in the past year, making $107,011.37 a potential profit-taking point.
-
AUD/NZD: Bearish Setup in Motion !!Price is respecting a key resistance zone and starting to shift structure to the downside. If sellers maintain pressure, a clean move lower is on the table.
๐ฏ TP: 1.08335
๐ (Not financial advice)
#AUDNZD #ForexTrading #BearishSetup #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #AussieKiwi #FXSetup
NVIDIA The 1W MA100 rebound is targeting $225 at least.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke last week above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2.5 months and all this is generated by April's bottom rebound on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
The 1W MA100 has been intact since January 23 2023, so this rebound technically initiates a new Bullish Leg. Since the December 2018 bottom (previous U.S. - China Trade War), the minimum rise on such a Bullish Leg has been +156.11%. As a result, NVIDIA can now target $225 at least before the end of 2025.
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XAUUSD:Continue to go longGold has resumed an upward trend. Going long consecutively continues to be profitable. If a decline occurs, you can continue to go long.
Accurate signals are sent every day, all profitable and free. Account management services are also provided.
xauusd buy@3290-3300
tp:3320-3350
Official TRUMP Dinner PUMP?Many Altcoins, specially memecoins, in the past few weeks were growing strongly, is OFFICIAL TRUMP being suppressed?
Let's speculate a little bit.
If you were Trump. No, if I were Trump, Master Trump or Alan Trump, and I have this upcoming event on 22-May. Would I want declining prices or a super-pump right at the same time the event is happening?
If I am a very powerful man and know the power of the media, would I want the memecoin that goes by my name to be super-pumping the same night, at the exact same time as the event goes on? Wouldn't this bring that much more attention if prices were to blow up?
What's your take? What do you think will happen?
The chart looks good for TRUMPUSDT, there is no reason why prices shouldn't be going up. Other pairs are similar, many very similar, but many others continued to grow.
Last week and the week before, it was all memecoins in the top performers. This week, somehow, this market behavior was shutdown and we now only have real projects at the top of the list, which is pretty good actually and refreshing.
Overall, these memecoins can cause real harm to the market. The exchanges can fix this by not listing and delisting but that's not the topic today.
TRUMPUSDT looks good, chart-wise, based on TA. It can grow easily and the action is happening within the "bullish zone."
Another one, the biggest candle since March is a bullish candle. And this is also the biggest candle after the All-Time Low. So the bulls have the upper-hand period. So TRUMPUSDT can grow.
But what about the dinner pump?
You think they are waiting and will buy heavily on the day of the event? Maybe a 100% jump?
I am curious as to what your opinion is, and I'll tell you mine... IT IS GOING UP!
Dinner or no dinner...
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.