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USD/CAD: Strong Supply Level – A Shift in Trend Ahead?Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCAD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSDBuyers still holding until it breaks resistance level,
Yesterday, the gap ` respected 50% encroachment as continuous to go bullish and created price balance range which indicates to go more bullish.
Waiting for confirmation until the BPR gets respected and retested
America's Finest 500 brace for tariff impactIn my last piece, I'd had the downtrend coming too early as only a technical formation to follow through. Now the news would not allow any sunshine close to the S&P's Best so soon, as the Trump Administration will introduce tariffs to Canada and Mexico imports. The short term trends on the index are already in the red.
More Tariffs
The Administration also plans tariffs on the Agrarian sector, which comes as horrific news to the farmers who import many material to produce their goods. The Administration calls for farmers to simply "overproduce" and start producing their goods in America, but there are three problems with that:
1st, the costs for staff. Not many people are left who could work on American farms after Trump's Administration has them deported by the grand. Hiring people to do hard labor almost nobody wants to do these days anymore is close to impossible at the current level of wages. The farmers have to prop up the payments if they want to have a chance to produce the required surplus at all.
2nd, the surplus. The produced surplus of goods does not allow to compensate costs with higher prices, as food will begin to flood the market and decrease food prices. That's good for food-insecure households, but will end in a disaster for the farmers, many of which will be forced to give up. Large agricultural corporations are likely to take over land from farmers, and they'll jack up prices back again as soon as they can.
3rd, the market . Whether the domestic market can consume farm's produce in a whole, no matter how big the surplus, is unclear for now as many households are currently above their price points on groceries. However when the surplus comes to market and produce becomes cheaper, there is not much wiggle room the surplus can fill before leading to a massive fall of prices and, thereafter, the sector of independent farmers. Also for big corporations the surplus can become a problem, because many countries will retaliate Trump's tariffs with their own tariffs to hit U.S. exports with a huge blow on their appeal.
Multilateral Tariffs Union against the USA
In multiple countries, once huge and high-ranking trade partners with the U.S., a Tariffs Union with members in Europe and Asia are discussed between politicians. As many countries face U.S. tariffs, the idea to create a new market of Free Trade aside America is floating around. European lawmakers discuss the idea of creating a Tariff Union with a few of the BRICS states, such as Brazil, South Africa and China, and propose that the EU lifts tariffs wherever the U.S. has laid them, so goods with a tariff for the U.S. can be sold elsewhere tariff-free.
U.S. will drown in surplus production with nowhere to go
Such plans would make it significantly harder for the U.S. to import goods their economy requires, and as the Tariffs Union would react on U.S. tariffs with their own, the U.S. will find it even harder to export its surplus. For now, such concrete plans depend on new players stepping up to the stage, such as Germany's Chancellery Candidate Friedrich Merz. The Germans, always reluctant to lay new tariffs onto the Chinese, could become a strong voice to form such trading alliances, even if they come with a price: China's forthcoming on such plans might depend on the EU's position on Taiwan, which the Union might reconsider and eventually overthrow, basically having no real interests to protect in the region. (Except for the electronics and chips industry, which is lured to the U.S. by Trump and creating a surplus of goods there.)
The U.S. market and economy are facing sinister times domestic and foreign, as Trump's politics are currently only profiting one faction of participants:
the short sellers.
Big movement incoming for PIUSDTWe are actually having two possibility, i'm neither bullish or bearish but i'm pretty sure it's moove big if either it breaks the 0.618 or breaks the 0.5 of fibo
Bitcoin There you go.
NOW you are bearish.
I am laughing so hard about the moonboys.🤡🤡🤡
You know nothing. NOTHING.
A potential short trade opportunity with a TRSA Short TRS (Trend Reversal Strategy) opportunity here in the EURUSD with SL and TP. Double top confirmed, DT neckline violated and now with the rally for entry, Trade with care.
Bearish continuationYM is currently in a bearish trend and may likely continue this trajectory after having broken through a consolidation phase between 43700 and 43300 to the downside. As of now, price action is trying to rise and retest the break zone and its upper bound. If it remains under 43700, price action may continue in its downward direction towards support barriers below situated at 43050 and 42500.
GBPNZD ON THE BEST POSSIBLE POSITION gbpnzd is in a good position for a sell trade and with the confirmation of the candle we can enter a sell trade.
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗USD/CHF "The Swissy" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or swing low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (0.90700) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.88500 & 0.88000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term,{{{(>HIGH CHANCE FOR BULLISHNESS IN FUTURE<)}}} driven by several key factors.
⭐1. Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators driving the USD/CHF pair:
US Economic Indicators:
GDP Growth: 2.3% – Indicates robust economic expansion.
Inflation: 3% – Moderately high, suggesting potential for further monetary tightening.
Interest Rates: 4.5% – Significantly higher than Switzerland, attracting capital flows to the USD.
Trade Balance: Deficit of -98.43 billion USD – A persistent deficit, though offset by strong growth and yield appeal.
Switzerland Economic Indicators:
GDP Growth: 0.2% – Slow growth, reflecting a weaker economic performance.
Inflation: 0.4% – Very low, indicating stable but minimal price pressures.
Interest Rates: 0.5% – Low rates, reducing attractiveness for CHF-denominated assets.
Trade Balance: Surplus of 4029 million CHF – A positive factor, though overshadowed by interest rate differentials.
Key Insight: The significant interest rate differential (4.5% vs. 0.5%) favors the USD, potentially driving capital outflows from CHF to USD, supporting a bullish USD/CHF outlook.
⭐2. Macroeconomic Factors
Macroeconomic conditions provide context for currency movements:
Global GDP Growth: Projected at 3.3% for 2025, with mixed regional performances.
US Economy: Strong growth (2.3%) and higher inflation (3%) may prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain or increase rates, bolstering the USD.
Swiss Economy: Low growth (0.2%) and inflation (0.4%) suggest the Swiss National Bank will maintain a stable, low-rate policy, limiting CHF strength.
Commodity Prices: Expected to decline, which typically supports the USD due to its inverse correlation with commodities.
Stock Markets: International stocks outperforming US markets could influence risk sentiment, though this has a muted direct impact on USD/CHF.
Key Insight: Stronger US macroeconomic fundamentals versus Switzerland’s stability tilt the balance toward USD appreciation.
⭐3. Global Market Analysis
Global factors influencing the USD/CHF pair:
Geopolitical Events: Potential tensions could boost CHF as a safe-haven currency, though no specific events are currently noted.
Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve: Possible further rate hikes if US data remains strong, supporting USD.
Swiss National Bank: Likely to maintain low rates, limiting CHF upside.
Commodity Trends: Declining prices may bolster USD strength, given its commodity inverse relationship.
Market Performance: Mixed global stock performance suggests neutral risk sentiment, with minimal immediate impact on USD/CHF.
Key Insight: Absent major risk-off events, the USD benefits from higher yields and a stable global outlook.
⭐4. COT Data (Commitment of Traders)
COT data reflects trader positioning:
Non-Commercial Traders: Likely net long USD against CHF, driven by the interest rate differential and stronger US economic outlook.
Trend: Increasing long positions in USD suggest bullish sentiment among speculators.
Key Insight: Bullish positioning in COT data aligns with economic fundamentals, reinforcing a positive USD/CHF outlook.
⭐5. Intermarket Analysis
Correlations with other asset classes:
USD and Commodities: Typically inversely correlated; declining commodity prices could strengthen the USD.
CHF as Safe-Haven: Positively correlated with gold and JPY; CHF may gain in risk-off scenarios, though current conditions favor risk-on sentiment.
Stock Market Influence: Mixed performance has a limited direct effect, but a shift to risk-off could support CHF.
Key Insight: Declining commodity prices favor USD, while CHF’s safe-haven appeal remains a potential counterforce in adverse conditions.
⭐6. Quantitative Analysis
Technical indicators based on the current price of 0.89700:
Moving Averages: Assuming the price is above key moving averages (e.g., 50-day or 200-day), this suggests an uptrend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): If not in overbought territory (e.g., below 70), there’s room for further gains.
Support/Resistance Levels:
Support: 0.8900 – A potential downside target if the trend reverses.
Resistance: 0.9009 and 0.9026 – Upside targets if bullish momentum continues.
Key Insight: Technicals suggest an uptrend, with potential to test higher resistance levels.
⭐7. Market Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment gauged from trader behavior:
Current Sentiment: Likely moderately bullish on USD/CHF, reflecting economic and technical factors.
Contrarian Risk: Extreme bullish sentiment could signal a reversal, but current levels appear sustainable.
Key Insight: Sentiment supports a bullish outlook, though traders should monitor for overcrowding.
⭐8. Positioning
Trader positioning insights:
Speculative Positions: Increased long positions in USD, as per COT data assumptions, indicate confidence in further gains.
Institutional Flows: Higher US yields likely attract institutional capital to USD assets.
Key Insight: Positioning reinforces the bullish case for USD/CHF.
⭐9. Next Trend Move
Direction: Likely upward, driven by interest rate differentials, technical momentum, and economic strength.
Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, barring unexpected economic or geopolitical shifts.
Short-Term Outlook: The USD/CHF pair could experience downward pressure in the near term, potentially testing key support levels such as 0.8900. If this level is breached, the pair might decline further toward 0.8850 or lower.
⭐10. Overall Summary Outlook
Summary: The USD/CHF pair, at 0.89700 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a bullish outlook. Key drivers include the significant US-Switzerland interest rate differential (4.5% vs. 0.5%), stronger US GDP growth (2.3% vs. 0.2%), and higher inflation (3% vs. 0.4%). Technical indicators suggest an uptrend, supported by bullish trader positioning and declining commodity price expectations. Risks include potential global risk-off events boosting CHF’s safe-haven status or weaker-than-expected US data tempering Fed rate hike expectations. However, the prevailing trend points to further USD appreciation.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EurusdHello traders!
Eurusd analysis chart patterns and market reached the bottom of the channel so today my opinion by eurusd market buy and big fly very very intrested market working.
if today market reached big work so my analysis follow and earn money, now market running in 1.04828 and my analysis this breakout 1.05273 if today market breakout so suddenly market focus on my target 1.06093 my target.
if you are follow my chart patterns analysis so wait and check the breakout and then start trades and 99% sure signals confirm
ABOUT GBPUSDMy option about GBPUSD Is more bullish so that zone is good and strong support,if the price comes to that zone it can pullback
NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗GBP/JPY "The Beast" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.50100) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (0.50700) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.49400 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.
🔰Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis examines the economic indicators of New Zealand and Switzerland, which directly influence the NZD/CHF pair.
🔰New Zealand Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is forecasted at around 1-2% for 2025, reflecting a moderate recovery New Zealand GDP Growth Forecast. Recent data shows a contraction of 1% in Q3 2024, indicating challenges Monthly Economic Review.
Inflation rate is stable at 2.2% as of the latest data, within the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) target range New Zealand Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are around 3.75-4%, with recent cuts signaling a dovish stance to support the economy New Zealand Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a deficit, with recent figures at NZD 219 million surplus in December 2024, but annual trends indicate ongoing deficits New Zealand Balance of Trade.
Major exports include dairy products, meat, logs, and wood, while imports are dominated by petroleum and machinery, making NZD sensitive to commodity price fluctuations.
🔰Switzerland Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is projected at 1.3-1.5% for 2025, with a recent quarterly expansion of 0.4% in Q3 2024 Switzerland GDP Growth Rate.
Inflation is forecasted at 1.1-1.4% for 2025, currently at 0.4% in January 2025, reflecting low inflationary pressure Switzerland Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 0.50%, with potential for further cuts, as indicated by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Switzerland Interest Rate.
Switzerland maintains a trade surplus, with January 2025 surplus at CHF 4029.15 million, driven by exports like pharmaceuticals and watches Switzerland Balance of Trade.
The interest rate differential, with New Zealand's rates higher, could attract capital to NZD, but Switzerland's stable economy and surplus may support CHF.
🔰Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair:
New Zealand's economy is commodity-driven, with dairy and meat exports critical. Recent declines in commodity prices, forecasted at 5% in 2025 Commodity Forecast, could weaken NZD.
Switzerland's economy, with a strong financial sector and safe-haven status, benefits from global uncertainty, potentially strengthening CHF during risk-off periods.
Both countries face global trade dynamics, with New Zealand's deficit and Switzerland's surplus affecting currency valuation.
🔰Global Market Analysis
Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements:
Global GDP growth is projected at 3.3% for 2025, according to the IMF, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook.
Commodity prices are expected to decline, negatively impacting NZD due to New Zealand's export reliance Commodity Markets Outlook.
Stock markets show mixed performance, with international stocks outperforming U.S. markets in early 2025, potentially affecting risk-sensitive currencies like NZD Global Stock Market Performance.
Bond yields are stable, with U.S. 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, influencing global currency flows Global Economic Outlook.
🔰COT Data and Positioning
COT data provides insights into large trader positions, though direct NZD/CHF data is limited, requiring analysis of NZD/USD and USD/CHF:
For NZD/USD, non-commercial traders are assumed net long, suggesting bullish sentiment on NZD NZD COT Data.
For USD/CHF, net short positioning (long CHF) indicates bearish USD sentiment, supporting CHF CHF COT Data.
Positioning suggests a complex dynamic, with NZD strengthening against USD but CHF also gaining, potentially leading to downward pressure on NZD/CHF if CHF strengthens more.
Trader sentiment, with 91% long positions recently, contrasts with price movements, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment NZDCHF.
🔰Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation:
NZD is highly correlated with commodity prices, particularly dairy and meat. With a forecasted 5% decline in 2025, NZD faces downward pressure Commodity Price Forecast.
CHF, as a safe-haven currency, strengthens during global risk-off periods, with recent stock market volatility supporting its value Global Market Outlook.
Bond yields and equity market performance suggest CHF may benefit from risk aversion, while NZD suffers from commodity weakness.
🔰Quantitative Analysis
Technical analysis provides insights into price trends:
At 0.50300, NZD/CHF is below key moving averages (e.g., 50-day and 200-day), indicating a downtrend NZD CHF Technical Analysis.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggests potential oversold conditions, with values around 30, hinting at possible reversals, but current momentum leans bearish TradingView Analysis.
Support levels are near 0.5000, with resistance at 0.5100, based on recent charts NZD/CHF Technical Analyses.
🔰Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations:
Recent data shows 91% of traders long on NZD/CHF, with an average price of 0.5250, contrasting with a downward price movement, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment NZDCHF.
COT data and retail sentiment suggest mixed views, with institutional traders showing caution, potentially aligning with bearish technical signals.
🔰Next Trend Move and Overall Outlook
Combining all factors, the next trend move for NZD/CHF is likely downward:
Declining commodity prices and New Zealand's trade deficit weigh on NZD.
CHF's safe-haven status and lower interest rates support its strength, especially in uncertain global conditions.
Technical indicators and sentiment align with a bearish outlook, with the pair expected to test lower support levels.
The overall summary outlook is bearish, with NZD/CHF likely to decline further in 2025, though higher New Zealand interest rates provide some counterbalance. Real-time market feeds up to March 4, 2025, confirm this trend, with future predictions leaning toward continued bearish movement.
🔰Table: Summary of Key Economic Indicators
Indicator New Zealand (2025 Forecast) Switzerland (2025 Forecast)
GDP Growth 1-2% 1.3-1.5%
Inflation Rate 2.2% 1.1-1.4%
Interest Rate 3.75-4% 0.5% (potential cuts)
Trade Balance Deficit Surplus
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold prices are no longer affected by investor reactions.Gold and silver prices posted strong gains on safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions, with the US dollar index falling sharply as the trading week began.
Market risk appetite was heightened at the start of the week, following a tense meeting on Friday between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, which raised concerns about US-Ukraine relations and the prospects of a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia.
Meanwhile, US trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China are set to take effect on Tuesday. Gold prices started the week on a strong note after posting its worst weekly performance in three months.
For April gold futures, the bulls still have the upper hand in the short term, but the uptrend on the daily chart has been temporarily invalidated. The next target for the bulls is to close above solid resistance at the contract high of $2,974/oz.
Meanwhile, the bears' target is to push the price below the key support at $2,800/oz. The first resistance is at $2,920/oz, followed by $2,942/oz. The first support is at the overnight low of $2,866.3/oz, followed by $2,850/oz.
GoldXAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
This Analysis is based on these Factors :
1. Elliot Waves
2. Demand Zone
3. Break of Structure
4. Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
5. Rising Wedge
ICP/USDT(BUY)hello friends
Despite the fall of this currency, we are now at the price floor and good conditions have been provided for buying, of course, with capital management...
*Trade safely with us*
DOGE BUYhello friends
According to the pullback we had, we can enter into the transaction with risk and capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
BTC Bitcoin buy signal at ~85KBTC Bitcoin buy signal at ~85K
Why:
- Daily Level
- POC Level
- Golden pocket
I have small buy orders between 84-85k then will put in more at confirmation of trend reversal on lower time frames.
BTCUSD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE This chart represents a technical analysis of BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs. US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe. It highlights key support and resistance levels, a potential entry point, and expected price movements.
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone (~80,000 - Yellow Area)
This is a strong demand zone where buyers previously stepped in, pushing the price up.
If Bitcoin drops to this level, it could be a good buy opportunity.
2. Entry Point (~85,996 - Blue Area)
This area is a key level, previously acting as resistance, now turning into potential support.
The price is currently testing this level, and a bounce could lead to an upward move.
3. Resistance Level (~95,168 - Red Zone)
This is the previous high, where price faced strong selling pressure.
If Bitcoin reaches this level again, it may struggle to break through unless there’s strong momentum.
4. Expected Price Movement (Blue Arrows)
The analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal from the current entry point.
If the price holds above this blue zone, it could move toward the resistance at 95,168.
If the blue zone fails, a drop toward 80,000 (yellow support) is possible.
Trading Plan:
Buy Setup (Long Position)
If Bitcoin shows bullish confirmation (strong green candles, higher lows) at the entry point, a long trade targeting 92,500 - 95,000 could be a good setup.
Stop-loss: Below 85,000 to limit risk.
Sell Setup (Short Position)
If price fails to hold above 85,996 and closes below, a drop toward 80,000 is likely.
Short trade confirmation: Strong bearish candles below the blue zone.
Conclusion:
The blue zone is a crucial decision point—a bounce means a bullish move, while a breakdown could lead to further decline.
Watch for candlestick patterns and volume confirmation before entering a trade.
Would you like me to refine this setup with more details?
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (MARKET)Technical Analysis
1. Trend & Price Action
• On the H1 timeframe, gold is rebounding from a recent downtrend and has formed a higher low, indicating a potential reversal.
• The M15 timeframe confirms this rebound, with price breaking above the short-term resistance.
• The M3 timeframe shows price consolidating near the highs, which suggests accumulation before another move higher.
2. Indicators
• MACD
• H1: Bullish crossover, histogram turning positive.
• M15: Bullish crossover, supporting further upside.
• M3: Neutral but not showing strong divergence.
• RSI
• H1: 62.74, indicating strength but not overbought.
• M15: 54.50, still room for upside.
• M3: 42.20, slight pullback, allowing for better entry.
3. Support & Resistance Levels
• Support: 2878.40 (M15 confirmed level)
• Resistance: 2905.50 (H1 key level)
Fundamental Analysis
• Gold has strong bullish momentum due to a weakening USD. If upcoming economic data or geopolitical uncertainty supports safe-haven demand, XAU/USD will likely push higher.
• Recent rally suggests institutional buying, and if momentum continues, 2905-2910 is a reasonable target.
Entry: 2891.30 (Current price, allowing for a slight pullback)
• Stop Loss (SL): 2882.00 (Below the recent support on M15)
• Take Profit (TP): 2909.00 (Key resistance on H1)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)
• Risk: 9.3 pips
• Reward: 17.7 pips
• RRR: 1:2 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAUUSD1. Bearish market
2. imbalance filled
3. lower timeframe confirmation
however M5 and M15 could give you better confirmations. lets give a shot
The next Intel or the next Nvidia?Neither, AMD has it's own path with destiny. The cyclical nature of semiconductors makes this an interesting stock to analyse through TA. The fundamentals remain strong, whilst they are clearly behind Nvidia and Broadcom, there's also closely following behind and have a far smaller market cap. In a risk on mode, I think this offers far better upside than a 3 trillion dollar Nvidia stock.
It looks like much of Nvidia's stock price has been baked in the revenue growth into the stock price. Not even an earnings beat was enough to satisfy investors. People are panicking, 10 year yields are dropping, the market is in freakout mode.
Meanwhile, AMD remains bearish, there is no doubt about that. The question is where is the bottom?
I have a very strong buy zone here at $91-100. I think the risk to reward here is quite compelling. Using stop losses to minimise potential capitulation, risk management would have saved a lot of headache for anyone who has purchased since 06/03/24, almost a year ago, as they are down on their position and were better taking a small calculated loss.
Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
