Community ideas
Understanding RSI Divergence: A Practical Approach Today, we're examining the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the EUR/USD daily chart, focusing on the concepts of overbought and oversold conditions.
I prefer to use divergence instead of absolute levels to determine overbought and oversold conditions. What is divergence? It occurs when the market reaches a new high, but the indicator does not, making a lower high instead. This suggests that the market is losing upward momentum.
In a downtrend, the opposite is true. If the market price hits a new low, but the indicator doesn't, it indicates a loss of downward momentum.
Let's look at some examples on the EUR/USD:
1. September 2023: The market hit a low of 1.0448, but the RSI did not reach a new low, signaling a loss of downward momentum. This suggested at least a correction, though in this case, the market actually reversed.
2. November 2023: The market reached a new high of 1.0960, but the RSI did not make a new high, showing a divergence. The RSI was at the same level as previous highs, indicating a loss of upward momentum.
3. December 2023: The market hit a high of 1.1139, but the oscillator didn't reach a new high, indicating a significant loss of upward momentum.
Textbooks often state that RSI levels above 70 are overbought and levels below 30 are oversold. However, in my 30 years as a technical analyst, I've found this isn't always accurate. Instead, you should determine overbought and oversold levels specific to the instrument you're analyzing. For EUR/USD, connecting peaks and troughs on the RSI chart shows that overbought levels are closer to 78, and oversold levels are nearer to 17, which are quite different from the standard 30/70 levels.
In summary, I find that looking for divergence works much better than relying on the absolute value of the RSI indicator.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Building Success In PineScript - The Ment Pressure SystemAfter more than two weeks of playing around with Pinescript, I've managed to put together some really cool tools for my followers/subscribers.
The idea of price pressure intrigued me, so I decided to create something based on it.
Ideally, I planned to build something that helped traders find and execute better trades. It is difficult to identify chop vs. trending in any market/interval. My goal was to create a small suite of tools to help traders identify better trade setups.
I still believe I have more work to do with these pressure tools, but I'm very happy with how they work.
I did learn some "tricks" with Pinescript related to how variables and processes work (of course, by trial and error).
Watching the code run in real-time has been fun (watching a 2 min ES chart).
I can't wait to see how my followers use these tools and develop new ways to deploy them efficiently.
What are your thoughts? Anything I can do to improve?
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Mastering Elliott Waves: Key Rules You Can't IgnoreEducational Idea : Understanding Key Principles of Elliott Wave Theory
Introduction
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements. Understanding its core principles can help you make more informed trading decisions. In this article, we will delve into three fundamental principles of Elliott Wave Theory that cannot be violated. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not intended as trading advice or tips.
1. Wave 2 Can Never Retrace More Than 100% of Wave 1
The first principle of Elliott Wave Theory is that Wave 2 can never retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. In other words, Wave 2 cannot go below the starting point of Wave 1. If it does, it invalidates the wave count and suggests that the initial impulse wave (Wave 1) was incorrectly identified. This rule ensures that Wave 2 is a correction wave within the larger trend and not a reversal of the trend itself.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 starts at 100 and peaks at 150, Wave 2 can retrace to any level above 100, but not below it.
2. Wave 3 Can Never Be the Shortest Among All Three Impulse Waves (1-3-5)
The second principle states that Wave 3 can never be the shortest among the three impulse waves (Waves 1, 3, and 5). Typically, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful wave, characterized by strong momentum and volume. If you find that Wave 3 is shorter than either Wave 1 or Wave 5, the wave count is incorrect, and you need to re-evaluate your analysis.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 is 50 points and Wave 3 is only 30 points, while Wave 5 is 40 points, this violates the rule as Wave 3 is the shortest.
3. Wave 4 Cannot Enter the Territory of Wave 1 (Except in Diagonals & Triangles)
The third principle asserts that Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1. This means that the lowest point of Wave 4 should not overlap the highest point of Wave 1. An exception to this rule occurs in diagonal and triangle patterns, where some overlap is permissible. This rule helps maintain the integrity of the impulse wave structure.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 peaks at $150 and Wave 4 retraces to $145, this overlaps and invalidates the wave count unless the pattern is a diagonal or triangle.
Conclusion
By following these principles, you can ensure that your Elliott Wave analysis remains robust and accurate, helping you navigate the complexities of the financial markets with greater confidence. Understanding and applying these key principles of Elliott Wave Theory can significantly enhance your market analysis and trading strategies. Keep these rules in mind as you study and apply Elliott Wave Theory in your trading journey. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not any kind of trading advisory or tips.
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Happy trading!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Understanding the Power of Trend Lines in TradingHi! Today, I want to talk about trend lines and how useful they can be in your trading.
1. Valid Trend Lines
• For a trend line to be valid, it must connect at least three points.
• In the case of the US dollar versus Japanese yen, we are currently in an uptrend. Therefore, you should aim to connect three low points.
• Once you have a valid trend line, drawing it provides a visual aid, entry points, and stop levels. Each subsequent test of the trend line can indicate a place to add to your stops.
2. Importance of Trend Lines Over Time
• The older a trend line, the more significant it becomes.
• For example, a three-year trend line is more important than a three-month trend line, which is more significant than a weekly trend line.
3. Breaks in Trend Lines
• When a trend line breaks, it does not necessarily indicate a reversal. Sometimes, it means the market is just correcting lower and will resume its overall uptrend at a slower pace.
• For example, in the dollar-yen pair, a break might indicate a temporary correction rather than a complete reversal.
4. Long-term Trend Lines
• Long-term trend lines are crucial in trading.
• For instance, on the monthly US dollar versus Japanese yen chart, a significant breach in 2022 proved to be extremely dynamic.
5. Trend Lines as a Disciplinary Tool
• The most important aspect of trend lines is their role as a visual aid and their ability to enforce discipline.
• If a trend line breaks and you are still holding your position, you must question why you are holding it despite the trend line break.
In summary, trend lines are invaluable tools in trading, providing clear visual aids, guiding entry and stop points, and helping maintain trading discipline.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Divergence: RSI vs. PriceHey everyone!
In my years of trading, I've really come to love Reversal Strategies and my favorite is in the form of a DIVERGENCE!
Today, I took some time to put together an Educational Video on:
1) What a Divergence Is?
2) How to Spot them!
&
3) How to Trade them!
I hope you find this helpful!
**Tips
- Divergence is never good enough to trade alone, YOU NEED CONFIRMATION!
- The longer the Divergence takes, the more reliable it is
- Change in Momentum is KEY!
VOLATILITY DRAG - The Hidden ThiefThis is a super important subjective to touch on.. And that topic is Volatility Drag, also known as Percentage Loss Trap.
I believe that most traders do not consider this in their trading. They know about win-rate, risk/reward ratios, compounding, and perhaps even the fact that losing 50% of your account will require you to make 100% just to get back to break even. But few take into acccount Volatility Drag. It can be a sneaky thief, eating away at your PnL, causing you to lose money even though it seems that you are profitable.
Volatility Drag is basically the percentage loss of your account that occurs from the volatility in your wins and losses. In this video I illustrate it on a spreadsheet and graph for your understanding.
This is why slow and steady wins the race in trading. Anyone that presents you otherwise is a fool and you should absolutely stay clear of such people. One cannot have a volatile equity yet not have volatile emotions. Either that, or they have not considered the math.
Safe trading!
- R2F
Option Buying Learning Ideas!Hello, a simple trick to be successful when buying options is to wait for the candle to close. You have heard this rule many times before. In my experience, it takes time to learn it, and it takes time to implement what you have learned on the chart. But all your waiting will pay off for you.
Thanks for Reading.
Why Using Charts Can Help You with Your TradingImagine you've decided to buy a particular stock. Your position starts to make money, and you're thrilled. But what do you do now? Should you hold onto your position or cash it in? Has it made enough profit, or will it go further? It's painful to lose money, but it's also frustrating to take profits only to see your original investment quadruple in price after you've cashed out too early.
Is there something that can help you make these decisions? Yes, there is! It's called technical analysis. But what if you're a complete novice to technical analysis? It may look complicated and difficult, but don't worry.
The beauty of technical analysis is that it can help with your decision-making, and once you learn the rules, it's easy to apply.
I have attached a short video explaining the steps I go through when I first look at a chart. Do you know how to determine a trend? Do you know how to apply trend lines? Do you know what a momentum indicator is? Do you know why and how to use moving averages? Do you understand continuation and reversal signals?
Power of 3 - ICT Concept ExplainedIn this video I cover the topic of Power of 3 or otherwise known was PO3. This concept is also the same as AMD, which is Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution.
PO3 is the basis in which Smart Money approaches the market. As we have covered before, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market. To maximize efficiency for Smart Money, liquidity is engineered for the purpose of trapping uninformed money on the wrong side of the market and assuming the counter-party to their trades.
At the open of a candle, Smart Money is accumulating positions, usually in some sort of range. The next stage is the manipulation, where price makes a fast run towards liquidity, usually in the opposite direction of where price is intended to go, and then reversing rapidly.
The final stage is distribution, where Smart Money is offloading their positions above or below the marketplace depending on whether it is a buy or sell program.
The whole purpose of understanding this concept is to be able to anticipate the future direction of price, and to ideally buy below or above the open of a candle, again depending on what type of candle it is. I show how I anticipate the PO3 in this video.
- R2F
PART 4 67years back in timeWe have previously established the close relationship between the 1899-1929 period and the 1997-2028 market cycle. Various arithmetic sequences and planetary cycles that influenced the price movement during the 1899-1929 cycle are true to happen in the current cycle. As we saw in this video, the price movements already recorded obeyed the same laws as of the 1899-1929 period and would continue to do same..
Check back for PART 5 as we look at the small timeframe and possible ways we can trade the market.
How to read the VIX properly
This video explains the VIX indicator, how I use it to guide my trading decisions, and my perspective on the market. You can download the TradingView indicator for free, as it is open-source. Additionally, I'll provide a link to my Thinkorswim version in the YouTube video description. The VIX is an excellent tool for market guidance, based on options trading activity 30 days out on the S&P 500. It indicates market fear when it rises due to increased options buying and selling. Thank you for watching! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to share them—I enjoy discussing these topics. No indicator is perfect, but I use this one daily to gauge the market.
4 Stages of Price Delivery (ICT Concepts)In this video I go through the 4 stages of price delivery as it pertains to ICT Concepts.
Generally, the market is going through either of the following:
Consolidation
Expansion
Retracement
Reversal
Price starts from a consolidation, where Smart Money accumulates their position, and then an expansion, where price is trending in a direction for the purpose of seeking liquidity and/or manipulating sentiment. From an expansionary phase, price will either retrace to re-accumulate orders and expand again, or have a complete reversal.
Now, it is important to note that price is fractal, meaning the signatures you see on a lower timeframe perspective could also be seen on a higher timeframe perspective. In a singular candlestick, there can be multiple phases of price delivery happening.
Once one can fit all these pieces together in regard to how market makers book price, one can have a clear insight into where price is likely going and where it likely won't go again, all with a high degree of accuracy.
Thanks for watching and reading!
- R2F
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-20 - PineScript Project FeedbackI've been playing with this little project for about 7 hours now (off and on). Pinescript is fun once you get the hang of the syntax and how it expects objects/booleans for most of the conditionals.
Overall, I think this project is moving along nicely, but I wanted some feedback on the visuals.
I'm trying to create something that will help daytraders see and understand broad trends arising from shorter-term price swings.
I get a lot of questions related to how/when to identify key market price reversals - so I'm trying to develop a way to help traders understand and see where opportunities exist for better trades.
Watch this video and let me know if you see anything I can do to improve the visuals or color controls.
I want this to SHINE so people fall in love with it.
Thank you.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
TURN BY TURN (THAI STOCKS) w/SPECIAL GUEST SARA HOHLER Today's Show: Exploring Thai Stocks with Special Guests Moneymagnatesara & Moneymagnateaira
In today's episode, we dive into the world of Thai stocks, featuring insights from our special guests, Moneymagnatesara and Moneymagnateaira. Moneymagnatesara, a Thai/German native, shares her unique consumer perspective on various prominent companies, while Moneymagnateaira keeps us entertained with her singing and commentary. Join us as we discuss the following stocks and their market standings:
PTT Public Company Limited (PTT):
A leading energy and petrochemical company in Thailand, known for its significant role in the petroleum industry, including both upstream and downstream operations (Simply Wall St) (MarketScreener).
Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited (AOT):
The main operator of Thailand's airports, AOT is crucial in managing the country's aviation infrastructure and ensuring the efficiency and growth of its air travel industry.
Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited (ADVANC):
Thailand's largest mobile network operator, ADVANC provides a wide range of telecommunication services, including mobile, broadband, and digital services.
Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS):
One of the largest private hospital operators in Thailand, BDMS offers comprehensive medical services and is known for its extensive network of hospitals and healthcare facilities.
Siam Commercial Bank (SCB):
As one of Thailand's oldest and largest banks, SCB offers a wide array of financial services, including personal, business, and investment banking.
We agree to have a more in-depth episode with the grown-ups in the future, but for now, enjoy this unique perspective and feel free to ask questions about Thailand to gain an edge in emerging markets.
Tune in for an engaging conversation and insights that could benefit your investment strategies in the Thai market!