US DOLLAR INDEX(DXY): Classic Bearish SetupI believe that 📉DOLLAR INDEX has a potential to continue falling.
The market has been consolidating in a wide intraday horizontal range, and the breakout below the range support is a significant bearish indicator.
Target levels are 98.08 then 97.80 support.
Community ideas
EURAUD: A Risky and Bearish Trading SetupEURAUD: A Risky and Bearish Trading Setup
Since Wednesday, EURAUD has surged over +370 pips in just two days, despite the move lacking a clear catalyst. It appeared to be a pure bullish impulse. Notably, AUD failed to show strength even after the U.S.–China trade agreement, which would typically support the Australian dollar.
However, today’s geopolitical escalation—Israel’s military strike on Iran—triggered a price reaction near the 1.7880 level.
While the setup remains risky, there’s a reasonable chance the pair may retrace just as swiftly as it rallied.
🎯 Key downside targets to watch: • 1.7700 • 1.7610 • 1.7510
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Safe-Haven Demand Boosts Gold as Middle East Tensions EscalateHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,380 zone. Gold is currently trading in an uptrend and is experiencing a correction phase as it pulls back toward this key support and resistance area.
On the fundamental side, reports indicate that Israel struck Iran overnight — fueling a classic geopolitical risk-off sentiment. This escalation is driving strength in safe-haven assets while putting pressure on riskier markets. Gold typically benefits from this kind of uncertainty, adding further weight to the technical setup we’re seeing today.
Trade safe,
Joe
EURGBP draws a false breakoutExit from consolidation provokes distribution and price growth by 1%, the daily ATR is exhausted. The currency pair is forming a false breakout of resistance. The retest of the zone of interest 0.8526 and price consolidation below the level may provoke distribution
Scenario: there is no potential for growth continuation beyond 0.8538. The distribution ends with a false break of resistance and price entry into the selling zone. Consolidation under 0.8526 will confirm the break of the structure, which may be the first step towards 0.8482 or 0.8458.
GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H CHART – BULLISH BREAKOUT TRADE SETUP🔵 Trendline Breakout 📈
📏 Price broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
🔼 This breakout is often seen as a buy signal by traders.
🧱 Resistance Area 🛑
🔹 Price has entered and broken through a horizontal resistance zone.
🔄 This zone may now flip into support, adding confidence to the long setup.
🟧 Demand Zone 📦
📍 Marked between 3,267 – 3,298.
🛡️ Strong buying interest historically observed in this area.
📉 EMA (70) at 3,298.065 acts as dynamic support.
🟦 Entry Point 🚪
🎯 Entry Level: 3,322.930
🔄 Enter after retest confirmation or bullish candle above resistance.
🔴 Stop Loss ⛔
⚠️ SL Level: 3,267.993
💣 Below the demand zone and EMA — protecting against false breakouts.
🟩 Target Point 🎯
🚀 TP Level: 3,490.000
📌 Prior high zone — strong historical resistance expected here.
💰 Trade Setup Summary
✅ Buy Above: 3,322.930
❌ Stop Loss: 3,267.993
🎯 Target: 3,490.000
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable (approx. 1:3)
🔎 Technical Confidence Levels
🔵 EMA Support ✅
🔵 Trendline Breakout ✅
🔵 Resistance Flip ✅
🔴 False Breakout Risk
XAU/USD.4h chart pattern.Gold (XAU) buy trade setup:
Trade Setup
Direction: Buy
Entry: 3386
1st Target: 3435
2nd Target: 3500
Stop Loss: Not provided (highly recommended to define this)
Potential Profit
To 1st Target: 3435 - 3386 = 490 points
To 2nd Target: 3500 - 3386 = 1140 points
Recommendation
🔺 Without a stop loss, the risk/reward profile can’t be fully evaluated. Please specify your stop loss to assess trade viability.
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss (example): If you use 3340, then:
Risk = 3386 - 3340 = 46 points
RR to 1st Target = 49 / 46 ≈ 1.06
RR to 2nd Target = 114 / 46 ≈ 2.48
Would you like help setting an optimal stop loss based on volatility or recent support levels? I can also provide a visual chart analysis if needed.
XAUUSD:Touching $3500 One More Time Gold is currently extremely bullish and we expect price to touch 3500$ region one more time before it may reverse. you can set your own target based on your risk. Gold will remain volatile in coming weeks and we want all of you to trade safe.
Good luck and trade safe.
Team Setupsfx_
Bearish momentum to meet support on USDCAD: Looking for a bounceEvening, just wanted to share what I’m seeing on the USDCAD chart
Price on USDCAD has been in clear bearish momentum, but we’re now approaching a strong support zone, that’s held firm multiple times before, as I marked it on my chart. Price is approaching the zone again and I am taking it into account for a potential bounce.
I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation as usual requirement before entering. If that support holds, I’m targeting 1.38400 , totally achievable if momentum shifts.
BUT, if this zone breaks with momentum, I’ll reassess it and stay flexible.
💡 Reminder: Patience is power, no entry until price shows me something worth reacting to. This is not financial advice.
Ethereum - This structure decides everything!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - trades at a key structure:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After Ethereum retested the previous all time high in the end of 2024, we saw quite a harsh move lower. This move was followed by an expected recovery, however Ethereum is still trading below a key structure. Either move is still possible and will shape the future of Ethereum.
Levels to watch: $2.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting.
🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis
📉 Bias: Bearish
💡 Context:
EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below.
📊 Technical Levels:
Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530
Target 1: 1.1268
Target 2: 1.1086
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC)
🪙 Leading Asset Clue:
Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics.
⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch:
🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12)
📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13)
💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference
📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines
🧠 Risk Factors:
Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness
Market overreacts to rate cut expectations
Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR
✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURUSD
Bearish
Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias
Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk)
FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell
📌 Final Note:
Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.
HelenP. I Euro may break suppot level and drop to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price strongly declined and reached the trend line, where it found solid support and reversed. From that point, EUR began to grow, forming a clear upward pennant structure. This movement included a break above the local support level at 1.1485, indicating temporary bullish strength. However, despite this breakout, the price failed to secure a strong push through the resistance zone between 1.1485 and 1.1530, instead consolidating just below it. Now the chart shows clear signs of slowing upward momentum. The price remains inside the pennant, but current movement suggests potential weakness near the top boundary. Given the structure and previous reaction points, I expect EURUSD to break below the support level and move toward the trend line again. This would be a natural retest of the lower boundary of the pennant. That’s why I’ve set my target at 1.1365, a level that coincides perfectly with the trend line, offering a realistic area for price to react once more. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
US100 - Riding the Ascending Channel Towards $22800NASDAQ is showing a very clear and well-respected ascending channel, with price moving steadily within its bounds. Each pullback has been relatively shallow, and buyers continue to step in near the midline or lower boundary of the channel. This is classic trending behavior, with bullish structure intact and momentum favoring continuation higher.
Break and Flip of Resistance into Support
A key resistance level has just been broken, and more importantly, it has now flipped into support. Price retested this zone cleanly after the breakout, confirming the shift in order flow and adding confidence to the current leg up. This kind of structure shift is significant, especially when paired with a strong trending environment like this one.
Daily Resistance Ahead
Looking ahead, there’s a major daily resistance level just above. This area has acted as a reaction zone in the past and will likely bring some short-term volatility or hesitation. However, in the context of the current trend, that resistance could be used as fuel for the next breakout. If price manages to pierce through it with strength and hold above, it would open the path for a move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Plan and Expectation
The ideal scenario now is simple: I want to see a clean break above the daily resistance, followed by a retest and confirmation of support. That would set up a strong continuation move targeting the top of the channel. If the resistance holds, I’ll wait for signs of weakness or range formation, but as long as we remain inside this rising structure, the bias remains bullish.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BITCOIN - Price can fall a little and start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price entered to rising channel, where at once bounced from support line and rose a little, and then corrected.
Next, price continued to move up and soon reached $100500 level, after which broke it and rose to resistance line.
After this movement, BTC corrected and continued to grow in rising channel and later reached $110500 level.
Bitcoin exited from rising channel, made a fake breakout of resistance level, and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, price tried to grow but failed and fell to support level and then grew back again, after which started to decline.
Now, I expect that BTC can repeat as move before, it falls a little and then grows to $110500 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Bitcoin At Resistance: OMG! Not Another 20X SHORT!Sell at resistance; buy at support.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
Being able to adapt to changing market conditions is one of the signs of being a great trader. Being able to spot changes on a chart is also indicative of someone that can produce great results in this and other markets. How are you feeling today?
It is no secret, we let everyone know; We sell when prices are high, we buy a lot when prices are low.
Bitcoin is now trading below its 20-Jan 2025 peak price. And it is also producing a lower high. Both bearish signals that are pointing to a lower low.
If the first drop settled around 100K, the second one should settle in the low 90s or right below 90K. It can go lower of course but we go step by step. I am not saying GO SHORT 20X again. This would only be possible for people who are smart, experienced traders and those that can take advantage of a changing situation without breaking their portfolio or long-term plans. Those can definitely SHORT this setup and profit short-term.
A trader trades, it is what he/she does. You sell when prices are high if a drop is incoming, you buy when prices are low if a rise is next.
This is a friendly reminder and it carries great entry prices and timing. Follow the chart.
Trading volume is super low as Bitcoin trades near resistance and this is one of the biggest exchanges in the world. Low volume at this point reveals a pattern of distribution, distribution means lower of course.
Both the MACD & RSI move on the bullish zone but trending lower, bearish at this point.
What will it be: Will Bitcoin move down next? Will Bitcoin move up?
My money is on down.
Leave a comment if you agree.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
ETH - Medium-Term Bulls Confirmed Control!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per our previous ETH analysis (shown on the chart), ETH rejected the green support zone and pushed higher, reaching our target near $2,750.
What’s next?
After breaking above the $2,750 structure marked in red, the bulls have confirmed medium-term control.
🏹 As long as the last major low at $2,700 holds, ETH is expected to remain bullish, with a potential move toward the $3,500 resistance zone.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ORCL IS A SELL SELL SELL HERE! way overbought!ORCL sell the news on this rally! Breached an all time high running out of steam. As most traders know a new ATH is heavy resistance, and we usually "check back" underneath this level once breaching in some cases they will go higher (after a correction). This combined with screaming overbought indicators name your favorite, it's a SELL. First target is $183.64 then it should fall below $183. I would not be surprised to see a complete gap fill before this can print another new ATH
EUR/USD: Euro Pops Above $1.16 in Four-Year High. What’s Next?The dollar wobbles, Trump talks tariffs, and the euro’s got its dancing shoes on.
The Euro Wakes Up, Stretching Its Legs at $1.16
Look who just rolled out of bed and decided to make a scene.
For the first time in four years, the euro has finally leapt out of its slumber and sprinted to $1.16 — all at the expense of the US dollar, which continues to shed value.
The FX:EURUSD isn’t just crawling higher. It’s flexing, fueled by dollar fatigue, political drama, and some very European stubbornness.
So what’s behind the move? Why is the euro soaring while the European Central Bank is actually cutting rates? And what’s the dollar doing? Let's unpack it all — one central bank, one tweet, and one inflation print at a time.
Trump’s Tariff Ping-Pong: Back On, Back Off
Let’s start with the one thing that never quite leaves the headlines: Trump’s trade policy.
Just when traders were catching their breath after some tariff reprieve on China, the market got pulled back into the mess. “WE ARE GETTING A TOTAL OF 55% TARIFFS, CHINA IS GETTING 10%. RELATIONSHIP IS EXCELLENT,” Trump posted on Truth Social late on Wednesday, reigniting fears that the trade war is getting heated up again. Especially after a US squad of negotiators touched down in London and walked away with some promising news .
Markets don’t love confusion. Investors especially don’t love a US trade policy that changes faster than the Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC during CPI week. This kind of noise erodes confidence in US economic leadership and — more importantly — in the dollar.
The world’s most important currency is starting to feel… less important, less relevant, and less reliable. And while it’s not collapsing, it’s definitely catching fewer friends at the FX party.
On the other side of the pond, the euro isn’t rising because Europe is crushing it (even though it’s doing pretty well against rival currencies, just check the forex heatmap ) — it’s rising because the dollar is slipping off its pedestal. So yes, the euro’s up. But this isn’t a standing ovation for Europe — it’s more of a polite shrug away from America.
US Inflation Creeps Higher — And That Means a Cut?
US inflation picked up to 2.4% in May but still left the door open for a cut by the Federal Reserve.
So what does the market do? It prices in a cut.
Lower rates mean lower yields on Treasuries, which means less incentive for global investors to hold dollars. And when the yield game turns dull, guess what gets more attention? Gold OANDA:XAUUSD — because if your asset doesn’t yield anything, at least let it be shiny.
ECB Cuts Again, and the Euro Still Rises?
Now here’s the riddle. The ECB last week cut its benchmark rate to 2% , hitting a two-year low. By all textbook logic, a rate cut should weaken the local currency.
Here’s why it’s rising instead:
Markets are forward-looking . The rate cut was expected and already priced in. What matters now is whether more cuts are coming (spoiler: not too many). Traders are betting the ECB is nearing the end of its easing cycle — and may turn neutral soon.
The Fed looks more dovish . Rate differentials still matter. Even if the ECB is cutting, the Fed is expected to cut more over the next 12 months. That narrows the gap between euro and dollar yields, making the euro more attractive in relative terms.
Eurozone data isn’t great — but it’s not falling apart either. While growth in the eurozone isn’t setting any records, it’s been just OK to support the currency. Inflation is cooling in line with ECB targets, unemployment remains low, and key sectors like manufacturing are showing signs of life.
Put it all together and you get a euro that’s rising despite rate cuts — a phenomenon that would make FX professors tear their hair out, but makes perfect sense when you zoom out.
Technicals: This Isn’t a Flash in the Pan
From a chartist’s perspective, the FX:EURUSD breakout above $1.16 was a big deal. That level had acted as resistance since November 2021. Now cleared, a flurry of algo buys and retail FOMO might fuel the next leg in either direction.
From the bulls’ perspective, momentum is picking up, and the euro looks poised to test $1.17–$1.18 if the dollar stays fragile (that said, keep your eye on any hot news coming out of the economic calendar ). RSI is not yet flashing overbought, and MACD is still screaming “more grounds to cover.”
Question is: How long can the euro dance before the music changes? And we’re asking you — share your thoughts on the euro-dollar pair and let’s see who gets it right!
Fakeout or Takeoff? Gold Retakes 3350 Before NY Close1. Recap of Yesterday's Move
Yesterday was a volatile day for Gold. Price initially broke above the key 3340–3350 resistance zone, only to drop back below it—but intriguingly, it closed above it on the New York session. That close is the detail that changes everything.
2. Key Question: Will Gold Stay Above 3400 and Push Toward New ATHs?
Let’s split this into two scenarios:
________________________________________
🟢 Bullish Scenario – Buy the Dip?
• The short-term structure is undeniably bullish.
• The reclaim of 3340–3350 is not a fakeout, but a clean signal of strength.
• If momentum holds, we can expect price to push toward 3405 and then 3435.
• As such, the strategy remains: buy dips, targeting those key levels.
________________________________________
🟡 Long-Term Breakout? Not So Fast
• Yes, the higher lows at 3120, 3250, and 3295 suggest that the correction from 3500 may be over.
• A clean breakout and stabilization above 3400, ideally near 3430, could signal a path toward a new all-time high.
• ❗ However, volatility remains wild, and if geopolitical tensions de-escalate or trade tariffs get resolved, Gold could see a sharp drop of 1500–2000 pips, as part of a broader risk-off unwind. Peace and stability could hurt safe-haven demand.
________________________________________
📌 Trading Plan
• Short-term: Buy dips while above 3340-3350 (ideally on a re-test), aiming for 3405 and 3435.
• Long-term: Stay flexible. Wait for confirmation above 3430 before going for the ATH narrative.
________________________________________
💡 Conclusion
Technically, Gold is bullish in both the short and long term. But with global uncertainty in play, don't ignore the fundamentals. Trade the chart, but respect the world around it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USD_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅USD_CHF will soon retest a key support level of 0.8060
So I think that the pair will make a rebound
And go up to retest the supply level above at 0.8127
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-13 : Harami-Inside PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets may stall into a sideways price range.
After the news of Israel targeting Iran in a preemptive strike late yesterday afternoon, the markets moved dramatically lower while Gold & Silver moved higher on the news.
I, personally, see this market trend as a shift in thinking ahead of a long Father's Day weekend.
I see traders trying to position their accounts/trades for uncertainty.
I believe we could see a bit of a shift today - particularly in Metals and the QQQ/NASDAQ/BTCUSD.
Overall, I strongly suggest traders prepare for extreme volatility this weekend as any further news of a counter-strike or further military action in the Middle East could roil the markets.
Happy Friday the 13th - everyone.
Going to be an interesting day to say the least.
Get some.
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