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2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets. As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals. The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets: - Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average). - Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence). - Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”). Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline. Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity. This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
FX:NAS100
by SEYED98
BTC: Today’s Trading StrategyBTC also experienced significant volatility under the influence of the news. It rose rapidly and tested the resistance at 88,500, and then fell back below 85,000 again. This was clearly a wash trading move, which also caused losses to my short positions. However, yesterday I chose to continue shorting near 88,000 and made a profit again. Today, continue to pay attention to the range of 81,000 to 85,000. Before the market makes a strong breakthrough, you can just trade within this range. The gold buy signal has generated profits again. If the profit is sufficient, you can close the order in advance. There will be no further prompts. Friends who want to keep up with all my trades can choose to copy all the orders in my account.
Short
by KentJessie6
XAUUSD Trading Trend Today - Stable Awaiting US NF🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news: ➡️ The Trump administration announced that the US would impose a base tariff rate of 10% on all imports into the country. China was particularly affected, facing tariffs of at least 54% on many items. In response, the Chinese government threatened retaliation after Trump imposed the highest US tariffs on any nation. This, in turn, could put some downward pressure on the Australian dollar, as China is Australia's main trading partner. ➡️ However, positive economic data from China could help limit the losses of the AUD. China's Caixin Services PMI improved to 51.9 in March, up from 51.4 in February, surpassing the expected 51.6. Personal opinion: ➡️ AUD/USD will move in a sideways trend and wait for the US NF news to create momentum for the next trend. ➡️ Moreover, the RSI is approaching the oversold zone, showing signs of a slowdown from the sellers. need to pay attention to the bullish reversal point of this zone ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Volume profile combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy AUD/USD 0.6265 – 0.6255 ❌SL: 0.6230 | ✅TP: 0.6320 – 0.6345 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
BTC/USD ...4h pair ...Based on my technical analysis provided, here's a structured breakdown of the BTCUSD scenario and potential trading strategy: --- ### *Key Observations* 1. *Support Level*: - Price is holding *82,000*, a critical support zone. A break below this could invalidate the bullish outlook. 2. *Bullish Divergence*: - *RSI divergence* on H4 and H1 timeframes signals weakening bearish momentum and potential reversal. 3. *Resistance Level*: - Immediate resistance at *82,550*. A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger upward momentum. --- ### *Scenario Analysis* - *Bullish Case*: - *Entry: Break and close above **82,550* (preferably with rising volume for confirmation). - *Targets*: - *TP1: 85,260* (3.3% gain from breakout). - *TP2: 88,005* (6.6% gain from breakout). - *Stop-Loss: Below **82,000* (e.g., *81,500* to account for volatility). - *Bearish Risk*: - Failure to hold *82,000* could lead to further downside. Monitor price action for breakdown signals. --- ### *Strategy Execution* 1. *Confirmation: Wait for a **strong close above 82,550* (H4 candle) to avoid false breakouts. 2. *Risk Management*: - Position size adjusted to risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of capital). - Stop-loss placed below support. 3. *Profit-Taking*: - Partial profits at *TP1, trail stop for remaining position toward **TP2*. --- ### *Additional Considerations* - *Volume*: High volume on breakout strengthens validity. - *Market Context*: Monitor broader market trends (e.g., ETF flows, macro news) that may impact Bitcoin. - *Technical Levels*: Watch for intermediate resistances between 82,550 and 85,260 (e.g., 84,000 psychological level). --- *Conclusion*: The setup presents a favorable risk-reward ratio if the resistance breaks. Always validate with price action and adjust stops as the trade progresses.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
1
" Don't Get Fooled! "Hello Traders 🐺 In this idea, I’ve got some shocking news for you my friends. So maybe right now you're asking yourself: "Am I getting bearish on Alts? Or are things still the same?" Let me break it down for you: As you might know, there are different scenarios that affect whether BTC Dominance (BTC.D) goes up or down. And I want to make it super clear, so you really understand how the market actually works 👇 1️⃣ BTC Pumps – Alts Drop (BTC.D 🚀) In this case, we’ll see a brutal pump in BTC.D. Why? BTC.D shows how much of the total crypto liquidity is allocated to BTC itself. So when BTC pumps, naturally it grabs a bigger share of the market. And when Alts start shaking, money flows out of them and into BTC. 2️⃣ BTC Dumps – Alts Crash Even Harder (BTC.D 🚀) When the overall market is bearish, BTC.D still grows, because during Bitcoin crashes, Altcoins suffer way more. Example? BTC corrects 10%, and Alts go through a full bloodbath. 3️⃣ BTC.D Sideways – Alts Start Pumping (BTC.D 👇) Here, we see BTC consolidating or slightly correcting, and in the meantime, money starts flowing into Alts. That’s when BTC.D starts to fall hard. 4️⃣ Bull Market Madness – Alts Go Wild (BTC.D 👇) In this phase, BTC.D crashes hard, and Alts go parabolic. This is typically the final phase of a bull run. But where are we now? Over the past 2 years, we saw BTC pump, while most Alts underperformed massively. Even in USD terms, many Alts are still far from their ATH. And against BTC? Total disaster. 😬 Now, if you look at the monthly BTC.D chart, RSI is printing a new all-time high, and it’s getting very close to the 70 level, which usually means overbought. Also, BTC.D historically tends to form a double top in RSI before it starts to correct—and as we speak, it’s trying to form that exact same structure. So be careful! Don’t let the big players fool you into selling your Alts too early. On the daily chart: BTC.D is currently inside a rising wedge pattern, which is a bearish setup. It’s now getting very close to the blue resistance line, which is a monthly resistance. Last time it touched this area, we saw a strong rejection with a big wick. Final Thought: This time, as BTC starts to grow, we might see a bit of lag in Alts. But when BTC.D reaches its limit, get ready for a massive explosion in Altcoin prices. 💣 I hope you enjoyed this idea! Make sure to like and follow for more support — and as always: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Kiu_Coin
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis: Breakout or Rejection at K200 EMA (Blue Line): 84,124 – This is a long-term trend indicator. 30 EMA (Red Line): 83,925 – A short-term trend indicator. Key Levels Resistance Point: Around 83,925 (marked in blue). Support Zone: Around 82,184 (Stop Loss zone). Target Point: 88,197, indicating a potential 6.34% upside. Potential Trade Setup Scenario 1 (Bullish Case): If price breaks above resistance (83,925) and EMA 200, then a move towards 88,197 is expected. A breakout confirmation might lead to an uptrend continuation. Scenario 2 (Bearish Case): If price rejects at resistance (83,925) and falls back below the support zone (82,184), a downward move could happen. Pattern Analysis: The chart suggests a potential accumulation phase before a breakout. Possible retest of resistance before a rally. Conclusion Bullish above 83,925, targeting 88,197. Bearish below 82,184, with potential downside. Price action near the 200 EMA is crucial for the next move.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Trump's Tariff War! GOLD nears targetIn Asian trading on Thursday (April 3), the market's risk-off sentiment increased, boosted by Trump's wide-ranging tariff actions. Spot gold prices jumped to $3,167.77/ounce in early trading, up nearly $37 in a day and hitting a new record high. OANDA:XAUUSD Continues to Rise as Trump Launches Tariff Campaign The US Dollar fell sharply in Asian trading on Thursday, contributing to the boost in gold prices. The US Dollar Index is currently at around 103.050, down more than 60 points on the day. On April 2, local time, the White House issued a statement saying that US President Trump declared a national emergency on the same day to enhance US competitiveness, protect US sovereignty, and strengthen US national and economic security. Trump declared this as America's "declaration of economic independence". The statement said that Trump will impose a 10% "base tariff" on all countries, effective from 0:01 a.m. Eastern time on April 5. In addition, Trump will impose higher, personalized "reciprocal tariffs" on countries with the largest US trade deficits, effective from 0:01 a.m. Eastern time on April 9. All other countries will continue to adhere to the original base tariff of 10%. Gold prices hit a new record above $3,160 an ounce after US President Donald Trump announced comprehensive “reciprocal” tariffs, imposing a minimum 10% tax on imported goods, raising concerns that this could trigger a global economic recession. Investors have flocked to gold as concerns about the health of the global economy have grown. Gold prices have risen 20% this year after a strong rally in 2024, driven largely by central bank buying and strong demand in Asia. AND IT WILL KEEP RISE AS FUNDAMENTAL SUPPORT IS ABSOLUTELY IN PLACE! Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after approaching the target level of attention to readers in yesterday's publication at the price point of the 1% Fibonacci extension, there are temporary signs of cooling down, mainly this is considered a correction state after a shock increase. In terms of trends, gold is currently being noticed by the short-term price channel, this is an uptrend in which the medium-term trend at the price channel is also an uptrend channel, in addition, EMA21 is also the current main support. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also in an uptrend channel, which shows that gold is also in an uptrend in terms of momentum, and a signal for a possible downward correction in terms of momentum can only occur when the RSI folds downwards below 80. As long as gold remains in the price channel, it is still in an uptrend in the short term, and the notable positions for the day will be listed as follows. Support: 3,135 – 3,106 – 3,100 USD Resistance: 3,172 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3171 - 3169⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3175 →Take Profit 1 3163 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3157 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3098 - 3100⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3094 →Take Profit 1 3106 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3112
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Trade Idea : US30 Short ( MARKET )Technical Analysis Overview: 1. Daily Chart: • The index is in a clear downtrend, with price action breaking below the moving average. • MACD is deeply negative, with a bearish divergence and downward momentum. • RSI at 37.28, indicating approaching oversold territory, but not yet reversing. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Strong downward momentum with sharp drop visible. • MACD is heavily negative, confirming bearish momentum. • RSI is at 32.71, indicating oversold conditions, but no clear sign of reversal yet. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Sharp sell-off followed by consolidation. • MACD is negative but appears to be flattening, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce or continued consolidation before the next move. • RSI at 44.38, showing mild recovery from previous lows but still below the midpoint (50). Trade Idea: • Position: Short (Sell) • Entry Level: 41,250 (near minor resistance or after a weak bullish retracement) • Stop Loss (SL): 41,800 (Above recent consolidation zone or resistance) • Take Profit (TP): 40,400 (Previous support area with good potential for price to test) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
Gold's counter draw 3115-18 is still an excellent short spotGold fell after hitting a high of 3135, but failed to stand firm at the 3121 real level. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating significant selling pressure from above. The current key watershed is in the 3115-3121 area: if the closing price falls below this position, the lower side will test the strong support band of 3085, and the medium-term trend may turn to shock adjustment. Pay attention to the 3115-3118 pullback opportunity, and you can arrange short orders in place. There are two points to note: First, if the price fails to quickly pull back to 3115, it may accelerate downward; second, if it unexpectedly recovers 3115, it is necessary to adjust the strategy. Gold operation suggestions: short in the rebound 3115-3118 area, stop loss 3125, target 3085.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by GladysEmily
EUR/USD Analysis Ascending Triangle Breakout – Bullish TargetOverview of the Chart: The chart represents the EUR/USD (Euro to U.S. Dollar) pair on a 1-hour timeframe, showcasing a bullish ascending triangle breakout. The pattern indicates an upward continuation in the trend after a period of consolidation. This analysis will break down the key elements of the chart, the technical structure, and the potential trading strategy. 1. Market Structure & Key Zones A. Market Curve Area (Early Trend Development) The price started with a strong bullish trend leading up to the formation of the triangle. The curved trendline suggests a gradual increase in buying pressure, indicating that the market was preparing for a larger breakout. B. Resistance and Support Levels Resistance Level (Red Arrow & Blue Box): This level acted as a price ceiling where sellers previously dominated. The market attempted multiple times to break this resistance before successfully breaching it. Support Level (Green Arrow & Yellow Zone): The price consistently found buyers at this level, reinforcing a higher low structure. The rising support line within the triangle indicated strong accumulation by buyers. 2. Chart Pattern: Ascending Triangle Formation The price action formed an ascending triangle, which is a well-known bullish continuation pattern. The higher lows (trendline support) indicated buyers were gaining control, gradually pushing the price toward the resistance. Eventually, the resistance was broken with strong bullish momentum, confirming a valid breakout. 3. Breakout Confirmation & Retest The breakout above the resistance level came with high volume, indicating strong market participation. After the breakout, a minor pullback (retest) occurred, confirming previous resistance as new support. The price surged upward after the retest, validating the bullish trade setup. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management A. Entry Strategy A trader would enter a buy (long) position after confirming the breakout. Entry Trigger: Either at breakout (high-risk, early entry) Or after a successful retest (safer entry) B. Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is placed below the previous support level at 1.07276, ensuring risk is limited in case of a false breakout. C. Target Projection The target price is measured using the height of the triangle added to the breakout level. Based on this calculation, the projected target is around 1.12838. 5. Conclusion & Trading Plan The EUR/USD pair has executed a clean ascending triangle breakout, signaling further bullish movement. The trading plan suggests: ✅ Entry: Buy after breakout confirmation or retest. ✅ Stop Loss: Placed below 1.07276 for risk management. ✅ Take Profit: Targeting 1.12838, based on the pattern’s height projection. This setup presents a high-probability long opportunity in a trending market, with proper risk management to protect against potential reversals.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
#SAND #SANDUSDT #SANDBOX #LONG #SWING #AMD #Eddy#SAND #SANDUSDT #SANDBOX #LONG #SWING #AMD #Eddy SANDUSDT.P SWING Long AMD Setup Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named. This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. (( AMD SETUP )) Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this Swing Setup to enter the trade. Don't forget risk and capital management. The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management. By scratching the price and time bar, you can see the big picture and targets. Note: The price can go much higher than the second target, and there is a possibility of a 50%-100% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump. Be successful and profitable.
Long
by Eddy_Trade_
EUR/USD Ready to Soar? Bullish Setup Unfolding!Hi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry: 🔹 Entry: 1.0831 USD 🔹 TP: 1.0983 USD 🔹 SL: 1.0672 USD EUR/USD is respecting a key trendline support, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. RSI is holding above 60, and MACD shows signs of bullish momentum. If the price remains above the support line, we could see a push toward 1.0983 USD. Keep an eye on price action! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Long
by FXOnTop
2