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July 2, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis: Yesterday’s rally was extremely strong, breaking above 3351, a key level I’ve been watching this week — clear sign of bullish dominance. The swing from recent lows to highs has spanned over 100 points, a move similar to past NFP weeks, where strong rallies early in the week sometimes led to sharp drops post-NFP release. However, it’s important not to trade based on assumptions or dreams — strategies must adapt quickly to real-time price action and data. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3375 – Resistance • 3365 – Resistance • 3358 – Yesterday’s high • 3350 – Resistance • 3337 – Important support • 3325 – Key support • 3310–3312 – Intraday key support zone • 3300 – Psychological level 📈 Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3340 → watch 3337, then target 3335, 3330, 3325 • BUY if price holds above 3344 → watch 3347, then target 3350, 3352, 3355 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
AVAX/USDT Weekly Reversal Zone — Major Support Holding 🟨 CRITICAL ZONE (Key Support Area) AVAX is currently trading within a major demand zone between $13.5–17.5, a historically strong support area that previously acted as the base for significant upward movements. Multiple weekly candles show rejection from this level, indicating buyer interest. 📊 Pattern Overview: Double Bottom / Potential Triple Bottom: The chart illustrates a clear double bottom structure, potentially forming a triple bottom, suggesting accumulation and reversal from the lows. Bullish Projection Path: The yellow arrow outlines a projected bullish impulse wave, targeting higher resistance levels if support holds. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If AVAX maintains support at around $17.1: 1. Price may first test $20.25 (initial resistance). 2. A breakout above $20.25 could open the way to: $24.98 (strong weekly resistance) $32.75 (previous distribution zone) $55.42 (major target/resistance zone) 3. In an extended bullish cycle, price could revisit: $98.87, $110, and even $128.62 long term (2026+) A confirmed breakout above $25 with strong volume would further validate the bullish case. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the $15–17 support zone breaks down: 1. Price could drop further to: $11.00 (minor support) $8.61 (historical low and weekly support) 2. This would indicate strong bearish pressure, potentially leading AVAX into a longer-term accumulation phase. 🔍 Conclusion: This is a critical decision zone for AVAX. The technical structure shows signs of accumulation and possible trend reversal. However, if support fails, a deeper retracement could occur. Traders should watch this area closely for breakout or breakdown confirmations. #AVAX #AVAXUSDT #Avalanche #CryptoReversal #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #WeeklyChart #CryptoSupportZone #CryptoBreakout
Long
by CryptoNuclear
Important Support and Resistance Areas: 2419.83-2706.15 Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1D chart) The key is whether ETH can find support in the 2419.83-2706.15 area and rise. This is because this section is the section that needs to be supported in order for a full-fledged uptrend to begin. Therefore, if you are trading ETH, you can proceed with a purchase when support is confirmed in the 2419.83-2706.15 section. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain the details again when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3553 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 1.3510 Why we like it: There is a support level at the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 1.3661 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUD/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation Within Ascending Channel📢 Join Our Free Forex Signal Group on Telegram! Get daily high-quality signals and analysis for free. 👉 t.me --- AUD/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation Within Ascending Channel AUD/USD is respecting a clear ascending channel, with price bouncing strongly from demand and now breaking into a short-term resistance-turned-support zone. A continuation move toward the channel top is likely if price holds above the breakout area. 🔍 Key Highlights: Ascending Channel Structure: Price is making higher highs and higher lows, maintaining bullish control. Break and Retest Zone: The purple zone near 0.65860 may act as new support if retested. Upside Target: The projected move toward 0.66537, aligning with channel resistance and previous supply area. 📊 Trade Plan: Buy Entry Zone: 0.65650 – 0.65860 Stop Loss: Below 0.65600 Take Profit: 0.66537 Risk:Reward: ~1:2 🧠 Confirmation Tip: Look for bullish rejection or continuation candle at the purple zone before entry. If price breaks below 0.65600, this setup is invalidated.
Long
by raksazatrader
GBP/JPY 1H – Bearish Continuation Inside Downtrend Channel📢 Join Our Free Forex Signal Group on Telegram! Get daily high-quality signals and analysis for free. 👉 t.me --- GBP/JPY 1H – Bearish Continuation Inside Downtrend Channel GBP/JPY remains in a clear downward channel, and price is currently retesting a key supply zone around 196.880 – 197.050, making it a potential area for short re-entry before further downside continuation. 🔍 Key Highlights: Downtrend Structure: Price consistently making lower highs and lower lows inside the descending channel. Supply Zone Reaction: Price is revisiting the purple supply area, potentially forming another lower high. Downside Target: Bearish continuation expected toward 194.925, matching the channel support and recent demand zone. 📊 Trade Plan: Sell Entry Zone: 196.880 – 197.050 Stop Loss: Above 197.056 Take Profit: 194.925 Risk:Reward: ~1:2 🧠 Confirmation Tip: Look for price rejection patterns or bearish engulfing at the supply zone before entry. Setup is invalid if price breaks and holds above the channel.
Short
by raksazatrader
Trump threatens tariff on Japan as deadline looms, yen dipsThe Japanese yen is negative ground on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.06, up 0.47%. The US and Japan are racing to reach a trade deal before a deadline of July 9. There are some serious roadblocks to a deal, including the current US tariff of 25% on Japanese cars and opening Japan's agricultural sector, particularly rice. President Trump has insisted that Japan import American-grown rice, but the Japanese government says that is unacceptable. Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akawaza said earlier this week that Japan would not "sacrifice the agricultural sector", while Farm Minister Shinjiro Koizumi said that foreign rice imports would threaten Japan's food security. It's a shortened week in the US due to the Fourth of July holiday on Friday. The US will release the June employment report on Thursday, with all eyes on nonfarm payrolls. Nonfarm payrolls eased slightly in May to 137 thousand from 147 thousand and the downward trend is expected to continue, with a consensus of 110 thousand for June. This would mark the weakest pace of job growth since 2020, with the exception of a meltdown in job growth in Oct. 2024. The Federal Reserve will also be monitoring the nonfarm payroll report. The US labor market has been weakening and the Fed is concerned that the jobs market could show a sharp deterioration. Currently, the most likely date for the next Fed rare cut is September, but a soft NFP reading south of 90 thousand would boost the case for a cut at the July 30 meeting. The Fed has maintained a wait-and-see stance since Nov. 2024 but that is expected to change in the fourth quarter, where we could see up three rate cuts.
by OANDA
USDCHF oversold bounce backs capped at 0.8045The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 0.8045, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 0.8045 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7810 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8045 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8080, then 0.8140. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8045. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD Expected Growth! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1774 Bias -Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1792 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Cup and Handle with a shot of espresso: A bullish blendSince March, Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) has been in a sustained downtrend, gradually rounding out a base. Now, the chart is showing early signs of a trend reversal. Yesterday, price broke out of a bull flag formation on the daily chart and is now testing the $95.50 zone — a critical neckline level of a cup and handle pattern. ✅ Bullish Scenario: A clean break and hold above $95.50 would confirm the cup-and-handle breakout. If confirmed, this setup could target a measured move that eventually retests all-time highs. More conservative traders may want to wait for a back test of the $95.50 neckline as confirmation, especially given its past historical significance. ⚠️ Bearish Invalidation: A break and hold below $95.50 would invalidate the cup-and-handle pattern, suggesting the breakout has failed. 📌 This is a purely technical idea. No fundamentals involved. As always, Happy Hunting! This is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by Maligator
NSDQ100 lower after ADP Employment shrank to 33K in JuneTrump Trade Tensions: Donald Trump reaffirmed his July 9 deadline for higher tariffs, intensifying criticism of Japan, particularly over auto sector issues. While Japan insists talks are in good faith, market fears of a breakdown are rising. US Tax Policy in Focus: Trump’s “Big Beautiful” tax and spending bill faces potential resistance in the House despite narrowly passing the Senate. The proposal’s scale and political friction are drawing investor attention. Apple Supply Chain Worry: Foxconn has pulled hundreds of Chinese staff from its Indian iPhone factories, sparking fresh concerns about Apple’s supply chain and Wall Street’s potentially overheated tech optimism. Paramount Settlement: Paramount resolved a lawsuit with Trump over alleged election interference via CBS’s coverage. Meanwhile, the company awaits FCC approval for its Skydance merger. Auto Sector Weakness: Stellantis reported a 10% drop in U.S. Q2 deliveries despite some brand gains. Tesla is expected to post a 12% annual decline in vehicle deliveries, reinforcing signs of cooling demand in the sector. Conclusion: Markets remain cautious but resilient amid political tensions, supply chain disruptions, and weaker auto sales. Attention is now turning to upcoming trade deadlines, policy decisions, and Q2 corporate results. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 22710 Resistance Level 2: 22820 Resistance Level 3: 22930 Support Level 1: 22190 Support Level 2: 22040 Support Level 3: 21900 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Bitcoin long $600k- long Bitcoin targeting $10-12T market cap by 2028 - acceleration of companies accumulating Bitcoin + continuation of Saylor & Strategy's ongoing TWAP - notable uptick in global concerns w/ having access to non-sovereign store of wealth not affected by government intervention + over-reliance on USD + US Debt - Gold's current market cap: $23T. Bitcoin is incredibly more useful as a SOV that's transferable easily across nation states & easier to transact with between parties anywhere globally - currently holding $100k support after selling off to ~$75k during tariff fears + austerity with DOGE + macro higher low from last year and held support from November election - including improved crypto regulatory environment otw soon + general sentiment around crypto a lot more positive
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by blknoiz
18
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
GOLD The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for July 2,have a forecast of 99,000 jobs, compared to the previous month’s very weak result of 37,000—the lowest since March 2023. The ADP National Employment Report is a monthly indicator that tracks changes in non-farm private sector employment in the US, based on anonymized payroll data from ADP’s clients, covering about one-fifth of all US private employment. Who is responsible? The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, part of Automatic Data Processing (ADP), in partnership with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab. Why it matters: The ADP report is viewed as a leading indicator for the official Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), released two days later. It provides early insight into US private sector job growth and labor market health, and significant deviations from forecasts can move financial markets. Note that the ADP report covers only private sector jobs, not government employment, so its numbers can differ from the official NFP. Summary Table: Report Date Forecast Previous Responsible Department July 2, 2025 99,000 37,000 ADP Research Institute (ADP) In summary: The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report, produced by the ADP Research Institute, forecasted a rebound to 99,000 jobs in June after a very weak 37,000 in May, providing an early signal on the health of US private sector employment. (2)US10Y drops to historical low to 4.193% and currently broken 1hr descending trendline at 4.281% ,4.3% resistance will be watched for breakout buy bond buyers. (3) DXY Key Points: The DXY measures the US dollar’s strength against a basket of six major currencies: the euro (57.6% weight), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). After peaking near 110.075$ in January 2025, the index has softened , trading near 96.600-101.966.on weekly TF 101.966 was a retest to broken weekly demand floor . The dollar’s decline reflects market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025, easing inflation pressures, and some geopolitical easing. the DXY to rebound will henge and depend on Fed policy and global economic conditions. GOLD buyers are watching for the direction of trade , Chinese Demand and Policy: China is one of the largest gold consumers and holders. Domestic demand, central bank gold purchases, and monetary policy in China heavily influence XAU/RMB. If China’s economy slows or trade tensions with the US worsen, demand for gold as a safe haven may increase, supporting XAU/RMB even if the dollar is strong. China's recent opening of the Shanghai Gold Exchange's (SGE) first offshore gold vault in Hong Kong on June 26, 2025, represents a significant development with potential, albeit indirect, implications for XAU/USD (gold priced in US dollars) . Key Aspects of the Hong Kong Gold Vault: Location and Operation: The vault is located in Hong Kong and operated by Bank of China's Hong Kong unit . Yuan-Denominated Trading: All transactions and settlements in the vault are denominated exclusively in yuan, either via cash or physical bullion delivery . Two new yuan-denominated gold trading contracts were launched alongside the vault . Strategic Objectives: Increased Influence on Gold Pricing: China, as the world's leading gold producer and consumer, aims to gain greater control and influence over global gold pricing mechanisms . Yuan Internationalization: The initiative seeks to accelerate the international usage of the yuan, supporting China's broader de-dollarization efforts . This allows China to import gold in yuan, reducing reliance on the US dollar for commodity trading . Enhanced Global Reach: The vault expands the SGE's physical infrastructure beyond mainland China, creating a new gateway for international gold trading and solidifying Hong Kong's role as a key financial hub . Physical Settlement: It facilitates the physical settlement of gold contracts outside mainland China . Implications for XAU/USD: While the new vault directly promotes yuan-denominated gold trading, its implications for XAU/USD are primarily indirect and long-term: De-dollarization Efforts: By promoting yuan-denominated gold trading, China is actively working to reduce global reliance on the US dollar in commodity markets . If successful, a more diversified global gold trading landscape could gradually diminish the dollar's sole influence over gold prices, potentially leading to less direct inverse correlation between the dollar and gold . Increased Demand and Liquidity: The vault aims to attract more international participants to yuan-denominated gold markets, potentially increasing overall gold demand and liquidity in the Asia-Pacific region . While this demand is primarily yuan-driven, a generally stronger global gold market could indirectly support XAU/USD . Price Discovery: The establishment of offshore yuan-denominated gold trading creates an alternative price discovery mechanism . This could, over time, offer a benchmark that is less directly tied to dollar-centric factors, which might subtly influence XAU/USD by diversifying global pricing inputs . Market Fragmentation vs. Integration: This move could be seen as a step towards fragmenting the global gold market by creating a distinct yuan-based ecosystem, or conversely, as a way to integrate China more deeply into the international gold market by offering new access points . The ultimate effect on XAU/USD would depend on whether this leads to more cohesive or more disparate global gold price movements. In summary: China's new Hong Kong gold vault is a strategic move to boost the yuan's role in commodity trading and increase China's influence in global gold pricing. While it primarily impacts yuan-denominated gold, its long-term success in de-dollarization efforts could indirectly, over time, alter the dynamics and correlations currently observed in XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Xauusd market This chart presents a bullish analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold, 2h timeframe), with the price currently at 3,332.110, showing a slight decline of 0.20%. Key Observations: 1. Support Zone (~3,250): A strong demand zone is highlighted near 3,250, where price previously rebounded. This zone is marked with icons (lightning bolt and U.S. flag), possibly indicating high-impact news or events expected around that area. 2. Current Price Action: Price recently broke a downtrend line and rallied. Currently pulling back near the 3,330 level, indicating a potential short-term retracement. 3. Projected Scenarios (Dotted Lines): Primary Path (Bearish Short-Term → Bullish Mid-Term): Price may dip back into the 3,250 support zone. From there, a bullish reversal is anticipated, targeting: First resistance: ~3,400 Second resistance: ~3,450 4. Resistance Zones: Two clear supply zones are marked: ~3,400: First target zone after a bounce. ~3,450: Final target zone if bullish momentum continues. --- Summary: The chart suggests a potential bullish continuation after a pullback. A retracement to around 3,250 could provide a strong buying opportunity with upside targets near 3,400–3,450, depending on price action and upcoming news catalysts. Would you like a trading plan based on this setup (e.g., entry, stop-loss, targets)?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mr_Zakrii