TSMC: AI Chip Titan โ Still the King or Facing New Challengers?Good morning, everyone! โ๏ธ TSMC: AI Chip Titan โ Still the King or Facing New Challengers?
(1/9)
TSMCโs riding the AI wave with record Q4 2024 profits, but with U.S.-China curbs and fab delays, is this semiconductor king untouchable or at a crossroads? Letโs unpack it! ๐
(2/9) โ PRICE PERFORMANCE ๐
โข Q4 2024: Net income up 57% to $11.4B, revenue climbed 39% ๐ฐ
โข Full Year 2024: Revenue hit $87.1B, up 34% from 2023 ๐
โข Sector Trend: AI chip demand soaring, per Reuters ๐
Itโs a powerhouse, driven by techโs hunger! โ๏ธ
(3/9) โ MARKET POSITION ๐
โข Market Share: Over 60% of global foundry market ๐
โข Clients: Apple, Nvidia, AMDโbig names rely on โem โฐ
โข Trend: Expanding fabs in U.S., Japan, Germany ๐ฏ
Firm, holding the throne but not without battles! ๐
(4/9) โ KEY DEVELOPMENTS ๐
โข Q4 Earnings: Record $11.4B profit, per Jan 16 Reuters ๐
โข Expansion: Arizona fab faces delays, full ops by 2027? ๐
โข Market Reaction: Shares up 81% in 2024, still strong ๐
Adapting, with global eyes on its moves! ๐ก
(5/9) โ RISKS IN FOCUS โก
โข Geopolitics: U.S.-China export curbs hit demand ๐
โข Costs: U.S. fab chips 50% pricier than Taiwan ๐
โข Talent: Lack of skilled U.S. workers slows growth โ๏ธ
Tough, but risks loom large! ๐
(6/9) โ SWOT: STRENGTHS ๐ช
โข Profit Surge: 57% net income jump in Q4 2024 ๐ฅ
โข Tech Lead: 5nm mass production, 3nm in R&D ๐
โข Client Base: Powers Apple, Nvidia, more ๐ง
Got silicon in the tank! ๐ฆ
(7/9) โ SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES โ๏ธ
โข Weaknesses: High U.S. fab costs, talent gaps ๐
โข Opportunities: AI chip demand, new fabs in Japan, EU ๐
Can it keep the lead amid global shifts? ๐ค
(8/9) โ ๐ขTSMCโs Q4 profit up 57%, AI booming, your take? ๐ณ๏ธ
โข Bullish: Still the king, long-term winner ๐
โข Neutral: Steady, but risks weigh โ๏ธ
โข Bearish: Curbs and costs slow growth ๐ป
Chime in below! ๐
(9/9) โ FINAL TAKEAWAY ๐ฏ
TSMCโs record profits signal AI dominance ๐, but U.S.-China curbs and fab delays add caution ๐ฟ. Volatilityโs our friendโdips are DCA gold ๐ฐ. Grab โem low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
Community ideas
EURGBP Market Structure Analysis on 4 Hour Timeframe4H swing is bullish => current is pullback
M15 swing is bearish.
Currently giving CHoCH reversal signal.
We can look for buying opportunities in this area.
More carefully, we wait for the price to break the top to confirm the 15-minute reversal frame.
EUR/USDโs Bullish Triangle Breakout: Targeting 1.0612 & 1.0669
EUR/USD has broken above key resistance around the 1.0540 area, completing a bullish triangle pattern. This breakout is supported by rising trendlines and Fibonacci projections, suggesting an upside move toward Expect Level 1 (1.0612) and potentially Expect Level 2 (1.0669). As long as price remains above the breakout zone, buyers appear positioned to keep momentum alive and push toward these higher
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2919.2
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss -2926.5
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal -2904.2
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,916.729.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,961.498 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR/USD: Bearish Pressure Remains as Key Support HoldsEUR/USD continues to trade within a narrow range after a sharp decline from the 1.051 resistance zone. The bearish momentum remains dominant as the US dollar maintains its strength, but buyers are still defending the key support area around 1.038.
The euroโs weakness is primarily driven by disappointing economic data from the Eurozone. The PMI manufacturing indexes for Germany and France have continued to decline, signaling that industrial activity has yet to recover significantly. Meanwhile, the USD benefits from safe-haven demand amid rising geopolitical tensions and stable US economic data, which allows the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain its cautious stance on interest rates.
Looking ahead, Fridayโs Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report will be a major catalyst for EUR/USD. If the US labor market remains strong, the USD could strengthen further, putting more pressure on the euro. Conversely, if the data signals a significant slowdown, expectations for an earlier Fed rate cut will rise, potentially supporting a EUR/USD rebound.
In the short term, the bearish trend remains intact, with 1.051 acting as a key resistance level that will determine whether EUR/USD can stage a recovery or extend its decline. Traders should closely monitor market reactions to upcoming economic data.
Whatโs your takeโwill EUR/USD bounce back or continue its downward move?
Rsi shows 1 more push on the weekly this will define the top The chart marks previous Bitcoin tops with orange circles, aligning with Stochastic RSI overbought signals.
Every cycle top (2013, 2017, 2021) showed similar patterns of high price and overbought RSI
Right now btc is over sold creating a cross to the upside while btc has held strong above 80k
For a push to new highs we need to see btc show strength with a long candle on the weekly while the rsi moving up slower to show buyers are coming back in.
If we see btc push up but the rsi reaches the overbought and crosses befor btc can reach a new all time high i would say the top is in.
Tesla (TSLA) at a Critical Level! Will This Bounce or Break Down๐ Technical Analysis (TA):
1. Trend & Structure:
* TSLA remains in a clear downtrend, confirmed by multiple BOS (Break of Structure) signals.
* Recent ChoCH (Change of Character) suggests a temporary range-bound phase before further downside or a potential reversal.
* Key Resistance: ~290-300 (prior BQS level)
* Support Zone: ~273-275 (critical liquidity zone)
2. Indicators:
* MACD & Stochastics show weakness, confirming bearish momentum.
* Volume spikes suggest institutional interest, but it's mainly on down moves, reinforcing bearish bias.
๐น GEX & Options Flow:
1. Call Walls (Resistance) ๐ง
* 300-310: Heavy resistance, potential rejections.
* 350: Second major call wall, unlikely to reach unless a strong rally occurs.
2. Put Walls (Support) ๐
* 270: Strong put wall, may act as a floor for a potential bounce.
* 250: Highest negative NETGEX, which means a gamma squeeze could push TSLA further down if this level breaks.
3. IV Rank & Skew:
* IVR 89.7, indicating high implied volatility.
* IV skew positive, meaning puts are being favored over calls.
* Calls only 21.8%, suggesting market bias is bearish.
๐ Trading Plan & Suggestions:
* Bullish Scenario:
* A reclaim above 290-300 could trigger a short squeeze toward 310-315.
* Calls or spreads with April expiry could benefit from a bounce.
* Bearish Scenario:
* Breakdown below 270 could open a flush to 250, where puts would see exponential gains.
* Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 270P or 260P targeting 250-260.
โ ๏ธ Key Warning: If TSLA holds 270, a sharp bounce is possible due to put covering.
๐ฅ Conclusion: Big Move Coming for TSLA!
Tesla is trapped between strong put support (270) and overhead resistance (290-300). The next few sessions will decide if this bounces or heads straight to 250. Options flow favors downside, but gamma unwinding could cause short-term reversals.
Watch price action carefully before making a move! ๐๐
๐จ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
Bitcoin Final UpdateEverything on the charts...
Up to you now... Yes... I believe it's just Reaccumulation
Look at the previous posts for more explanation and all perspectives
I'm holding and I'm bullish...We will witness an alt season this year (those saying we won't will be proven wrong...)
BTC.D will fall and strong alts will rise (with massive returns)
Until Next Time...
ADA And the Crypto ReserveCardano is forming a bull flag after coming back to the .6 area and capitulating up to my previous addressed 1.17 resistance. I think the $.8032 will provide support and a possible bounce point if not there the .7865 support looks interesting.
ADA is not moving in tandem with BTC at the moment bc bitcoin isn't in the talks for fridays crypto summit at the white house... i have been saying that i see 1.49 iin the near future for ADA.....Is it this weekend???
BTCUSD Bearish Breakdown โ Key Support in Focus!BTCUSD Analysis โ February 27, 2025
Bitcoin Sentiment Hits 2022 Lows as Fear & Greed Index Falls to 10
๐ Bearish Momentum Persists Below Key Resistance
Bitcoin continues its bearish movement after failing to hold above 91,586 and breaking below the key resistance zone. The price is now consolidating around 86,168, with potential for further downside.
Technical Outlook
๐ป Bearish Scenario:
BTC is trading below key resistance, with rejection expected near the descending trendline around 91,586.
If the price remains below 86230, further bearish momentum could push BTC toward 76,681, with a breakdown leading to 72,600 as the next support level.
๐ Bullish Reversal:
A breakout and 4H candle close above 91,586 would indicate a potential trend reversal.
Stability above this level could trigger a push toward 96,000, but BTC must break the descending trendline for confirmation.
โ ๏ธ Market Sentiment & Impact:
Increased volatility due to economic uncertainty and investor concerns about liquidity.
The broader macroeconomic environment and risk-off sentiment are keeping BTC under pressure.
Key Levels to Watch
๐ธ Resistance: 91,586 | 96,000 | 100,000
๐น Pivot Zone: 87,200
๐ป Support: 82,500 | 76,681 | 72,600
๐ Directional Bias: Bearish below 91,586 โ A rejection from this level would accelerate downside momentum.
Previous idea:
Euro / U.S. DollarEuro Chart Update
Hello dear traders,
According to the DXY analysis, I have identified the suitable entry point for the Euro. Friends, please use the 15-minute timeframe for optimal entry, and be sure to pay attention to the reversal zones. You can even take advantage of these zones for minor fluctuations.
Important Points:
Support (4H): 1.03547
Imbalance: 1.03144
IFC 4H Candle: 1.03060
And finally, our main target is 1.01776.
Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
GBPUSD - possible we'll see some correction soon. GBP/USD: Possible Reversal from 1.27500 ๐
The GBP/USD pair is approaching the multi-year resistance level of 1.27500. On the 4-hour chart, we see a potential formation of the fifth impulse wave. This wave is not yet complete, but there is a high probability of its termination around this level.
A significant correction may follow, providing an opportunity to consider short positions ๐ฏ with targets in the 1.25700โ1.25 zone.
Keep an eye on confirming signals! ๐๐
i love DoulWhat a great company with amazing fundamentals. The earnings this last quarter were extremely impressive. Why the selloff? I think it's just moved a little too far and people are taking money off the table with the uncertainty of the current environment. I've outlined 2 areas of support where i would add (280ish and 245ish). Both these levels look like good spots to start or add to a DOUL position. Long term i believe this could get to about $700 within 2-3 years.
BCH Long Sl -12%BCH/USDT Long Setup
Reason:
Successfully Breakout of trend.
Break of Internal Structure.
Strong Bullish Momentum
All technical indicators suggesting Strong bullish Wave
Best Regards,
The Panda
๐ฒ Pair: BCHUSDT.P
๐ Type: LONG
๐ฐ Suggested Leverage: 8x
๐ Winrate of Strategy: 88%
๐ฐ Entry: 326.525
Take Profits:
๐ฏ Tp1: 345.07 (5.679%)
๐ฏ Tp2: 377.54 (15.623%)
๐ฏ Tp3: 435.27 (33.303%)
๐ฏ Tp4: 489.39 (49.878%)
โ Stoploss: 284.45 (12.886%)
๐ก Breakeven Target: Tp2
Best Regards,
The Pandaโ๏ธ