ORDER BLOCK CONFIRMATION ENTRY PART 2Sure! Here's another description of order block confirmation with a focus on practical application and detailed examples:
### Understanding Order Block Confirmation:
Order block confirmation is a technique used by traders to identify and validate significant price levels where large orders from institutional traders have been placed. These levels often act as strong support or resistance zones. Confirming an order block helps traders make informed decisions about entry and exit points in the market.
### Detailed Steps for Order Block Confirmation:
1. **Identify Potential Order Blocks:**
- **Bullish Order Block:** Look for a downtrend that ends with a strong bullish reversal, marked by one or more large bullish candlesticks.
- **Bearish Order Block:** Look for an uptrend that ends with a strong bearish reversal, identified by one or more large bearish candlesticks.
2. **Analyze Market Structure:**
- **Trend Context:** Determine whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement. This context helps in predicting the likelihood of the order block holding.
- **Key Levels:** Note the order block's alignment with significant support or resistance levels.
3. **Volume Analysis:**
- High volume during the formation of the order block is a strong indicator of institutional activity. Look for volume spikes that coincide with the large candlesticks forming the order block.
4. **Price Action Confirmation:**
- **Engulfing Patterns:** A bullish engulfing pattern at a potential bullish order block or a bearish engulfing pattern at a potential bearish order block can confirm the level.
- **Pin Bars and Rejection Candlesticks:** Candlesticks with long wicks (e.g., pin bars, hammers, shooting stars) at the order block level indicate strong rejection and confirm the presence of significant buying or selling interest.
- **Break and Retest:** Confirmation is stronger if the price breaks through the order block level and then retests it as support (for bullish order blocks) or resistance (for bearish order blocks).
5. **Indicator Confirmation:**
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** If the RSI shows overbought conditions at a bearish order block or oversold conditions at a bullish order block, it provides additional confirmation.
- **Moving Averages:** The interaction of price with moving averages (e.g., 50 EMA, 200 EMA) near the order block level can confirm its validity. A bounce off or crossover can be significant.
6. **Confluence of Factors:**
- Multiple confirmations such as Fibonacci retracement levels, pivot points, and trend lines aligning with the order block increase its reliability.
### Practical Examples:
1. **Bullish Order Block Confirmation:**
- Suppose the price of a stock is in a downtrend and reaches a level where it forms a large bullish candlestick, followed by increased volume.
- The RSI indicates oversold conditions.
- The price breaks above the identified order block and later retests this level, forming a bullish pin bar.
- This confluence of signals confirms the bullish order block, suggesting a potential entry point for a long position.
2. **Bearish Order Block Confirmation:**
- Consider a forex pair in an uptrend that hits a resistance level, forming a large bearish candlestick with a volume spike.
- The RSI shows overbought conditions.
- The price breaks below the identified order block and retests it, forming a bearish engulfing pattern.
- This setup confirms the bearish order block, indicating a potential entry point for a short position.
### Trade Execution and Management:
1. **Entry:** Based on the confirmed order block, place a buy order at the bullish order block or a sell order at the bearish order block.
2. **Stop-Loss:** Set stop-loss orders just below the bullish order block or above the bearish order block to manage risk.
3. **Take Profit:** Identify potential take-profit levels based on historical price action, nearby support/resistance levels, or using risk-reward ratios.
By following these detailed steps and examples, traders can effectively use order block confirmation to enhance their trading strategies and improve their chances of successful trades.
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ORDER BLOCK CONFIMATION ENTRYOrder block confirmation is a concept used in technical analysis, particularly in the context of trading financial markets like forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies. An order block is a significant price level where institutional traders have placed large orders, resulting in a concentration of buying or selling activity. Identifying and confirming these order blocks can help traders understand potential future price movements.
### Key Elements of Order Block Confirmation:
1. **Identification of Order Blocks:**
- **Bullish Order Blocks:** These occur when price action suggests strong buying interest. Typically, they are identified after a downtrend when a large bullish candlestick or a series of bullish candlesticks emerge, signaling strong buying pressure.
- **Bearish Order Blocks:** These are identified after an uptrend, marked by a large bearish candlestick or a series of bearish candlesticks, indicating strong selling pressure.
2. **Market Structure Analysis:**
- **Trend Analysis:** Determine the prevailing trend to contextualize the order block. In an uptrend, look for bullish order blocks; in a downtrend, look for bearish order blocks.
- **Support and Resistance Levels:** Order blocks often align with key support and resistance levels. Confirming these levels adds to the validity of the order block.
3. **Volume Analysis:**
- High trading volume at the order block can confirm the presence of institutional activity. Spikes in volume during the formation of the order block signal strong interest from large market participants.
4. **Price Action Confirmation:**
- **Engulfing Patterns:** A bullish or bearish engulfing pattern near the order block can confirm its validity.
- **Rejection Candlesticks:** Pin bars, hammers, or shooting stars at the order block level indicate strong rejection, confirming the order block.
- **Break and Retest:** Price breaking through the order block and then retesting it can serve as a confirmation. For a bullish order block, the price should break above and then retest the order block as support. For a bearish order block, the price should break below and then retest it as resistance.
5. **Indicator Confirmation:**
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** An overbought or oversold RSI at the order block can provide additional confirmation.
- **Moving Averages:** Crossovers or bounces off moving averages near the order block can corroborate the signal.
6. **Confluence Factors:**
- The more factors aligning with the order block (e.g., Fibonacci levels, pivot points, trend lines), the stronger the confirmation.
### Practical Steps for Traders:
1. **Identify Potential Order Blocks:**
- Look for significant price movements and areas where the price has previously shown strong support or resistance.
2. **Wait for Confirmation:**
- Use price action, volume spikes, and technical indicators to confirm the validity of the order block.
3. **Plan Your Trade:**
- Once confirmed, use the order block as an entry point, setting stop-loss orders below the block for bullish trades or above the block for bearish trades.
4. **Monitor and Manage:**
- Keep an eye on market conditions and be prepared to adjust your strategy if the order block is invalidated by new price action.
By carefully identifying and confirming order blocks, traders can gain insights into potential areas of strong market activity and make more informed trading decisions.
Order Block ICT (Inner Circle Trader) for Beginners
Order block trading is a method championed by the Inner Circle Trader (ICT), a well-known figure in the forex trading community. ICT's approach to order blocks is grounded in understanding market mechanics and the behavior of institutional traders. For beginners, grasping this concept can provide a powerful edge in trading by revealing areas of potential price reversals and continuations.
### What is an Order Block in ICT?
An order block, according to ICT, is a price range where significant buy or sell orders from institutional traders have been placed. These blocks represent zones of high interest for major market participants and can serve as indicators of future price movements. Recognizing these zones can help traders anticipate where the market is likely to react.
### Key Characteristics of ICT Order Blocks
1. **Institutional Footprints**: Order blocks indicate the presence of large financial institutions in the market. They reveal where these entities have placed their orders, suggesting potential areas of strong support or resistance.
2. **Price Consolidation and Expansion**: Order blocks are often found in areas where the price has consolidated before a significant move. This consolidation is followed by an expansion, which confirms the presence of large orders.
3. **Market Structure**: Order blocks are integral to understanding market structure. They often align with swing highs and lows, forming critical points in price action analysis.
### Steps to Identify ICT Order Blocks
1. **Identify Swing Points**: Begin by marking significant swing highs and lows on the chart. These are potential areas where order blocks may form.
2. **Spot Consolidation Zones**: Look for areas where the price moves sideways, indicating accumulation of orders by institutional players.
3. **Observe Breakouts**: After consolidation, identify strong bullish or bearish candles that break out of the range, signaling the presence of an order block.
4. **Mark the Order Block**: Draw the order block by marking the high and low of the consolidation area, extending this zone into the future to identify potential trade setups.
### Trading with ICT Order Blocks
1. **Entry Points**: Wait for the price to return to the order block. Look for confirmation signals such as reversal patterns or volume spikes to time your entry.
2. **Stop Loss**: Place your stop loss just outside the order block to minimize risk in case of false breakouts.
3. **Take Profit**: Set your take profit levels based on nearby support or resistance levels, or use a predetermined risk-reward ratio.
### Benefits of ICT Order Block Trading
- **Alignment with Institutional Activity**: By focusing on order blocks, traders can align their strategies with the actions of large market participants, potentially increasing the accuracy of their trades.
- **Defined Risk Management**: Order blocks provide clear areas for placing stop losses and take profits, enhancing risk management.
- **Enhanced Market Insight**: Understanding order blocks helps traders gain deeper insights into market dynamics and price behavior.
### Challenges for Beginners
- **Learning Curve**: Identifying and correctly interpreting order blocks requires practice and experience. Beginners may find it challenging to accurately spot and draw these zones.
- **Market Variability**: The effectiveness of order blocks can vary with different market conditions. Knowing when and how to apply them is crucial for success.
### Tips for Beginners
1. **Practice on a Demo Account**: Start by practicing on a demo account to build confidence and refine your skills without risking real money.
2. **Use Multiple Timeframes**: Analyze order blocks on higher timeframes for a broader market perspective and on lower timeframes for precise entry and exit points.
3. **Combine with Other Tools**: Enhance your analysis by using order blocks alongside other technical tools like trend lines, moving averages, and indicators to confirm trade setups.
Order block trading, as taught by the Inner Circle Trader (ICT), offers a structured approach to understanding and navigating the forex market. By learning to identify and trade order blocks, beginners can improve their ability to anticipate market movements and make more informed trading decisions. With practice and careful analysis, ICT order block trading can become a valuable part of a trader's strategy.
Mastering Risk: Stop Loss in TradingTypes of Stop Loss
Money Stop
Definition: A trader sets a fixed amount they are willing to lose on a trade, for example, £20.
Issue: This approach often leads to larger losses because it doesn’t align with market movements.
Advice: Avoid using the money stop.
Time Stop
Definition: Used mainly by scalpers, this involves closing a trade if it doesn't move in the expected direction within a set time frame (e.g., 4-8 bars).
Key Point: It requires discipline to adhere to the set time limit.
Advice: Suitable for scalpers.
Technical Stop Loss
Definition: Based on price movements and market structure, this is the most effective stop loss for technical traders.
Types:
Initial Stop Loss: Set at the entry of a new position, usually at a momentum high or low. The trade remains valid as long as the price doesn't reach this point.
Technical Trailing Stop: Used to protect gains on a winning trade. As the price moves in your favor, adjust the stop to a new structure point that, if reached, invalidates the trade.
Quick coding tutorial on how amateurs can create their own toolsI played around with tradingview scripts yesterday to test out some stuff I had on mind
Earlier this year I've been talking about Ai and how its shaking things up
If you aren't using it yet, start now
This vid helps demo how easy it can be
How To Grow A Forex or Crypto Acc Scalping A 5m Time FrameIn this video, we delve into a high-probability scalping strategy, building upon the concepts introduced in our previous videos on developing a trading plan and risk management. This third installment in the series focuses on refining entry points for high-probability trades. We explore a basic trend continuation strategy on the 4-hour time frame, then zoom in on the 5-minute time frame to identify specific price action that provides a precise entry point. Our approach involves identifying when price action begins to trade sideways, forming a range on the 5m time frame, and waiting for signs of volatility, where price takes out stop losses above or below the range. Once this occurs, the trend typically sets up on the lower time frame, allowing us to enter our trade on the 5-minute chart. We always place stops above or below the previous high, targeting the previous price swing. Please note that this video is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.
How To Scalp or Day Trade XAUUSD. Scalping Strategy 15m. In this video, we explore a high-probability scalping and/or day trading strategy for XAUUSD (Gold), building upon concepts introduced in our previous videos about trading plan development and risk management. This installment focuses on refining entry points for high-probability trades. Initially, we analyze a basic trend continuation strategy on the 4-hour time frame. Subsequently, we zoom in on the 15-minute time frame to pinpoint specific price action that offers precise entry opportunities. Our approach involves identifying sideways price action, forming a range, and patiently waiting for signs of volatility. Once liquidity is hit above or below the range, the trend often establishes itself on the lower time frame, allowing us to execute trades on the 15-minute chart. As always, please note that this video serves an educational purpose and should not be considered financial advice.” 🚀📊
Implementing SEASONAL TENDENCIESHi guys,
In this video I go through what are "seasonal tendencies", and how you can implement it into your analysis and strategy(ies).
Seasonal tendencies in the context of financial markets are basically what the particular market or asset has historically done throughout the years in terms of bullish or bearish movement. For example, in April-May the US Dollar is usually bearish, and from May-June it is usually bullish. This is useful information because it can add confluence to your bias/analysis. However, you do not want to solely use this information as a reason to get into a trade. The data is based on the past, and is not indicative to the present/future and also does not represent how much a market or asset can move because the data is only measured relative to what it has previously done. The best approach is to use this as an additional thumbs up if it coincides with your analysis, and if it does, then it allows you to be a bit more cautious or risk averse.
A simple analogy is the weather. If you were planning a holiday to Thailand for a sunny getaway, the best times would be from March to July. Most likely you are not going to book a holiday in November during the monsoon season, unless you actually wanted it to rain every day. However, some years have had very little to no rain during the monsoon season. That being said, you would most likely choose to go during a time that seasonally has hot and sunny weather. This is how you can use seasonal tendencies to add an additional layer to your analysis.
I hope that was insightful and gave you some ideas to test if you've never heard of seasonal tendencies. You can implement this both as a technical or fundamental analyst (or both).
Til next time, happy trading.
- R2F
Mistakes is the growth of a Trader.One key pivotal change of my trading is being able to learn from my mistakes and continually re-tweak my trading when I learn from my mistakes.
Have a watch of the trade recap where key lessons will be learn such as:
Giving your trades a second chance
Minimising a loss.
Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple IndicatorsTechnical Analysis Report: Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple Indicators
Introduction:
In this educational video, a comprehensive approach to technical analysis is presented, focusing on the identification of trend reversals and entry points in the market. The strategy incorporates a diverse set of indicators and concepts to enhance trading precision and decision-making.
Key Components:
1. Indicators Utilized:
- Fibonacci Retracement (Fibonacci)
- Average True Range (ATR)
- Cumulative Volume Delta
- Smart Money Concepts
- Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- Trailing Stop Loss ATR
- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Ichimoku)
2. Objective:
The primary goal of the strategy is to pinpoint the transition from a downtrend to an uptrend, facilitating well-timed trading decisions. By combining various technical tools, traders aim to increase the probability of successful trades.
3. Trading Philosophy:
- The emphasis on Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as a foundational element underscores the strategy's commitment to deriving signals from this powerful indicator.
- The reference to being an "Ichimokian" reflects a dedication to mastering Ichimoku strategies and principles in trading practices.
Conclusion:
By integrating a spectrum of indicators such as Fibonacci, ATR, volume analysis, RSI, and Ichimoku, traders following this methodology can gain a more holistic view of market dynamics. The utilization of these tools in conjunction with each other enhances the ability to identify optimal entry and exit points, laying a strong foundation for informed and strategic trading decisions.
This video encapsulates the essence of the educational content, offering insights into the advanced technical analysis approach advocated by the "ICHIMOKUontheNILE" community.
Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple IndicatorsTechnical Analysis Report: Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple Indicators
Introduction:
In this educational video, a comprehensive approach to technical analysis is presented, focusing on the identification of trend reversals and entry points in the market. The strategy incorporates a diverse set of indicators and concepts to enhance trading precision and decision-making.
Key Components:
1. Indicators Utilized:
- Fibonacci Retracement (Fibonacci)
- Average True Range (ATR)
- Cumulative Volume Delta
- Smart Money Concepts
- Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- Trailing Stop Loss ATR
- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Ichimoku)
2. Objective:
The primary goal of the strategy is to pinpoint the transition from a downtrend to an uptrend, facilitating well-timed trading decisions. By combining various technical tools, traders aim to increase the probability of successful trades.
3. Trading Philosophy:
- The emphasis on Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as a foundational element underscores the strategy's commitment to deriving signals from this powerful indicator.
- The reference to being an "Ichimokian" reflects a dedication to mastering Ichimoku strategies and principles in trading practices.
Conclusion:
By integrating a spectrum of indicators such as Fibonacci, ATR, volume analysis, RSI, and Ichimoku, traders following this methodology can gain a more holistic view of market dynamics. The utilization of these tools in conjunction with each other enhances the ability to identify optimal entry and exit points, laying a strong foundation for informed and strategic trading decisions.
This video encapsulates the essence of the educational content, offering insights into the advanced technical analysis approach advocated by the "ICHIMOKUontheNILE" community.
Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple IndicatorsTechnical Analysis Report: Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple Indicators
Introduction:
In this educational video, a comprehensive approach to technical analysis is presented, focusing on the identification of trend reversals and entry points in the market. The strategy incorporates a diverse set of indicators and concepts to enhance trading precision and decision-making.
Key Components:
1. Indicators Utilized:
- Fibonacci Retracement (Fibonacci)
- Average True Range (ATR)
- Cumulative Volume Delta
- Smart Money Concepts
- Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- Trailing Stop Loss ATR
- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Ichimoku)
2. Objective:
The primary goal of the strategy is to pinpoint the transition from a downtrend to an uptrend, facilitating well-timed trading decisions. By combining various technical tools, traders aim to increase the probability of successful trades.
3. Trading Philosophy:
- The emphasis on Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as a foundational element underscores the strategy's commitment to deriving signals from this powerful indicator.
- The reference to being an "Ichimokian" reflects a dedication to mastering Ichimoku strategies and principles in trading practices.
Conclusion:
By integrating a spectrum of indicators such as Fibonacci, ATR, volume analysis, RSI, and Ichimoku, traders following this methodology can gain a more holistic view of market dynamics. The utilization of these tools in conjunction with each other enhances the ability to identify optimal entry and exit points, laying a strong foundation for informed and strategic trading decisions.
This video encapsulates the essence of the educational content, offering insights into the advanced technical analysis approach advocated by the "ICHIMOKUontheNILE" community.
Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple IndicatorsTechnical Analysis Report: Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple Indicators
Introduction:
In this educational video, a comprehensive approach to technical analysis is presented, focusing on the identification of trend reversals and entry points in the market. The strategy incorporates a diverse set of indicators and concepts to enhance trading precision and decision-making.
Key Components:
1. Indicators Utilized:
- Fibonacci Retracement (Fibonacci)
- Average True Range (ATR)
- Cumulative Volume Delta
- Smart Money Concepts
- Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- Trailing Stop Loss ATR
- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Ichimoku)
2. Objective:
The primary goal of the strategy is to pinpoint the transition from a downtrend to an uptrend, facilitating well-timed trading decisions. By combining various technical tools, traders aim to increase the probability of successful trades.
3. Trading Philosophy:
- The emphasis on Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as a foundational element underscores the strategy's commitment to deriving signals from this powerful indicator.
- The reference to being an "Ichimokian" reflects a dedication to mastering Ichimoku strategies and principles in trading practices.
Conclusion:
By integrating a spectrum of indicators such as Fibonacci, ATR, volume analysis, RSI, and Ichimoku, traders following this methodology can gain a more holistic view of market dynamics. The utilization of these tools in conjunction with each other enhances the ability to identify optimal entry and exit points, laying a strong foundation for informed and strategic trading decisions.
This video encapsulates the essence of the educational content, offering insights into the advanced technical analysis approach advocated by the "ICHIMOKUontheNILE" community.
Trapped traders provides a great Short opportunity on DOW The plan for the session was to trade short off resistance on the DOW after an initial opening drive higher. The short side was the play and paid out nicely for patient sellers.
In the video I talk through the key Price Action for the move and prime trade areas on the DOW Index.
ANY QUESTIONS, JUST LEAVE IN THE COMMENTS !!
** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more ideas and learning material **
** Any Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
COMPOUND INTEREST: The Secret SauceIn this video I cover the topic of "Compound Interest". I go over the WHAT, WHY, WHO and HOW of it.
The Importance of Compound Interest in Trading
Compound interest is a fundamental concept in the world of finance and trading, offering a powerful mechanism for growing wealth over time. Unlike simple interest, which is calculated only on the principal amount, compound interest is calculated on the principal and also on the accumulated interest of previous periods. This seemingly small difference can significantly impact long-term investment returns.
Amplifying Returns
In trading, compound interest can exponentially increase the growth of your account. When profits from trading are reinvested, they start to generate additional earnings. For example, if a trader earns a 10% return on a $1,000 investment, they would have $1,100 after the first period. In the next period, the 10% return is calculated on the new total of $1,100, resulting in $1,210, and so on. Over multiple periods, this effect leads to exponential growth, far outstripping the returns from simple interest.
Long-Term Benefits
The magic of compound interest becomes particularly evident over longer time horizons. The longer an investment is allowed to compound, the greater the potential growth. For traders, this underscores the importance of patience and a long-term perspective. By consistently reinvesting earnings and allowing them to compound, traders can achieve significant wealth accumulation even if individual trade returns are modest.
Mitigating Risk
Compound interest also highlights the importance of managing risks and minimizing losses. In trading, avoiding substantial losses is crucial because significant drawdowns can severely disrupt the compounding process. A trader who loses a large portion of their capital will need significantly higher returns to recover, which can be challenging. Therefore, prudent risk management and maintaining steady, positive returns are key to leveraging the power of compound interest. Psychology plays a role as well as losing large amounts of your account can negatively affect your decision making.
Conclusion
Understanding and leveraging compound interest is essential for traders aiming to maximize their long-term returns. By reinvesting profits and allowing them to compound over time, traders can achieve exponential growth in their investments. Coupled with effective risk management, the power of compound interest can transform modest returns into substantial wealth, making it a cornerstone of successful trading strategies.
How Many Monitors Do YOU Need? - R2F's Professional OpinionHi everyone,
I get this question occasionally, so I figured I would share my opinion on the matter.
There are many misconceptions about trading or being a professional trader. One of them is, the more monitors you have, the more successful or advanced you are as a trader. That is complete nonsense. In this video I explain what I think the best number of monitors is to have, and hopefully give you some insight into what works for you.
At the end of the day, trading is a personal endeavor and not a one-size-fits-all. Always start with the least, and scale from there, which is the same way you should approach the growth of your trading wealth.
- R2F
5-Year SPX500 Expectations - Greatest Opportunity Of Your LifeWould you believe me if I told you the US & global markets (some) will rally more than 65% to 125% (or more) over the next 4 to 5+ years?
You would probably call me crazy for even suggesting that will happen in a reasonably short time frame.
But, what if I could show you how structurally (using Elliot Wave concepts and Fibonacci) this incredible rally may already be baked into the markets?
What if I could show you that, barring any major economic destruction event, the US Fed and Global Central banks may have unleashed the inflation beast - which could lead to massive Hyperinflation over the next 5+ years?
Would you be prepared for it? Would you even believe me if I could show you evidence that it may happen much quicker than you can imagine?
And would you believe me if I told you Gold/Silver will rally more than 500% over the next 5+ years while attempting to hedge global debt/inflation risks?
Now is the time to prepare for the greatest opportunity of your life. You must understand the structural mechanics of price related to the current global market dynamics.
Please boost and share this video with your friends. Everyone needs to be aware of what is likely to happen over the next 5+ years so they can prepare for and profit from these exceptional price trends.
Learning Price Action Through ObservationLearning Happens when you're open and curious and making observations from what you see. From there, you must be mentally balanced to take action on your observations.
In this post, I focus on the price action that happens in the pivot portion of a swing cycle. If you make observations of this area you will see a certain kind of repeating behavior that can help you understand and design methods for trading swings. You will notice that the market likes to wash everybody out of their positions before pivoting to continue its swing.
I have a look at two of the ways this shows up in the price action of a pivot. The first is an engulfing bar that expands and swallows at least 3 of the previous bars. The second is a Gap Swap where there will be a WRB Gap making an effort in one direction just to be followed by another WRB GAP that reverses that effort and direction and shows that the balance of power has shifted.
This is just a small part of what makes up a swing but it factors into my overall methods and trade plan. You can make observations yourself on pivots and see what you can learn.
Shane
The 3-Step Method For High-Quality AnalysisIn this video I give you the 3-step method I use to do my analysis.
By incorporating these steps, it is also how I do my top-down analysis. You can think of it as a checklist as well.
First, I have my Bias, which determines where I believe price is drawn to. For example in the case of SMC/ICT Concepts, we observe where the liquidity is in the market and use that to frame where price is likely going to go to sooner or later.
Secondly, I have my Narrative, which is on a lower timeframe, and paints the picture of HOW price is going to form in order to initiate the move to that price target. This usually includes more engineered liquidity on lower timeframes, and manipulation to happen.
Thirdly, I have my Confirmation, which is where I want to enter a trade. This is the lowest of the three timeframes, and is the final point in which I will frame a trade setup. Usually I will look for the exact same things I look for in my Bias and Narrative, but on this timeframe. I also tend to include the factor of time, such as Killzones, Seasonality, and News Drivers.
Note that the timeframes can be anything you want them to be, and you are not restricted from moving from timeframe to timeframe. But, the important thing is to be consistent with WHERE you believe price is going, HOW you think it may get there (this can change as price forms), and again WHERE you are going to enter a trade.
- R2F