BTC - Make Cryptos Great Again!!! - 20/20 Hindsight VisionOften traders try to rationalize market moves, over think variables, and do NOT listen to money flow. Two weeks ago I posted a trade for Bitcoin, sure it was at a high, but the money was flowing into Bitcoin for whatever reason. We did NOT try to rationalize this, we did NOT know why it was wanting to break out, however, we put our feelings and thoughts aside and took the trade.
Another thing we noticed, as I posted on Twitter, that bond yields were rallying?
Fed cut 50bps on Sept 18th but this was already priced in obviously because it was right at the low of yields. However suddenly it slowly started to rally and then gained steam? Why was this? What did the market know?
Look at the IWM which is mostly US small cap companies.
Surely there were some moves that correlated with political events, but looking back it appears the money was positioning for a Trump Presidency. Like him or hate him, money was on Trump.
Now that is hindsight and of course hindsight is 20/20 so why the lecture? My point is often we try to rationalize current moves, and if you are thinking, ohhh I'm going to go Long T-Bills because the FED is lowering rates, you are probably already late to the game. Big money is way ahead of all of us!!!
So though many were like "you are buying a high, why take a trade at a double top?" and scared to take a trade here, we looked at the money flow. We had no idea the money was positioning for a Trump win, but after the fact it is obvious.
With that said, follow the money not your instincts, not the news and definitely not your feelings. You will be wrong more often than not.
Anyways BULLLLLLLLL on crytpos and looking for pullbacks or setups to go long or add to my current positions!!!!!
Community ideas
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 105.42
1st Support: 104.65
1st Resistance: 106.13
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Next Resistance is 0.28 area, with upper bollinger 0.24Keltner at 0.25 breakout could see a new forming pattern as a U turnaround on the daily and as a higher low, but momentum to shift and break if the volatility continues to the next leg. What we've seen is on the weekly and some aspects of the monthly. The chart has been retracing, and then a continuation pattern is the current price action, many indicators pointing at bullish indicators with many already on the rise, which could be an area of consolidation like .09, .17, .21, and now .18-possible .22 or beyond. Crucial leg in its journey to break all out or continue distributing here.
PLTR heads up at $54.50: Dual Golden fibs that could cause a DipPPLTR has been flying as we all know.
Election boost ran to a major landmark.
Dual Golden fibs should be very strong.
It is PROBABLE that we "orbit" them a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we have "topped" for a while.
It is PLAUSIBLE to "overshoot" to next landmark.
$ 54.49 - 54.60 is the resistance zone to watch.
$ 50.21 - 50.38 is the first support zone below.
$ 61.14 - 61.70 is the next resistance above.
Drag DOWN on the PRICE scale to look above.
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euraud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
XRPUSDT Breaks Downtrend, Bullish Momentum BuildsXRPUSDT has successfully broken out of its downtrend and is now moving upward at a rapid pace.
Currently, XRPUSDT is up by more than 3.6% on the day, confirming a new support level as marked on the chart. With signals from the EMA 34 and 89, XRPUSDT is gaining bullish momentum fueled by positive market sentiment. The confluence of the EMA levels with this support area is shaping up to be an ideal entry point.
Consider entering a position wisely, and be sure to set your take-profit and stop-loss levels!
Correction Silver. H4 07.11.2024Correction Silver 📉
In silver, I expect a correction deeper to the final zone of 29.70-30.10 where significant option fills and double margins fall into. Therefore, we should be prepared for a deeper correction in silver, especially on the back of the gold decline, which usually catches up with silver with a small lag. Of course, we can't exclude the growth from current levels, but the conditions are weak.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
$BTCUSD Bitcoin will continue to growBitcoin has been in correction for 160 days. Now, there is a redistribution of hands, and among those who bought for the past 160 days, the average purchase price is 64k.
According to the structure, we see liquidity withdrawal from the bottom in each correction—marked with red crosses—which means that they liquidate long positions and then continue to move up.
We still have a year until the end of the bull cycle, and I think you will be pleasantly surprised when you see what prices will be in the next three months. Summer is over, and the most interesting time in the market is starting.
I am now more focused on the altcoin market and the cryptocurrency market. As they have more potential to rise/fall:)
Right now, the fear and greed index is down
I'm looking positively into this fall and the next three months. If there will be a fall, it will not last long and will be bought back quickly.
Best regards EXCAVO
GBPJPY accurate analysis professional strategyThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 197.44
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 199.20
2nd Resistance – 200.20
Algorithmic vs. Quantitative Trading: Which Path Should You TakeI’ve always wondered why anyone would stick to traditional trading methods when algorithms and mathematical models could do all the heavy lifting.
I started questioning everything:
• Why do so many mentors still swear by discretionary trading when algorithms could handle all the heavy lifting?
• Do they really have solid proof of their “own” success, or is it just talk?
• Or are they keeping things complex and discretionary on purpose, to confuse people and keep them as members longer?
• Why deal with the stress of emotions and decisions when an algorithm can take care of it all?
• Imagine how much further ahead you could be if you stopped wasting time on manual trades and instead focused on market research and developing your own models.
When I first got into trading, I thought Algorithmic Trading and Quantitative Trading were basically the same thing. But as I dug deeper, I realized they’re two completely different worlds.
Algorithmic Trading: It’s simple – you set the rules and the algorithm executes the trades. No more sitting in front of the screen “controlling your emotions” and trying to manage every little detail. Instead, you let the algorithm handle it, based on the rules you’ve set. It frees up your time to focus on other things rather than staring at price charts all day.
But here’s the thing – it’s not perfect. You’ll still need to test the rules to make sure the data and results you’re getting aren’t overfitted or just random.
Quantitative Trading: A whole different level. It’s not just about executing trades; it’s about understanding the data and math behind market movements. You analyze historical price, economic, and political data, using math and machine learning to predict the future. But it can be complex – techniques like Deep Learning can turn it into a serious challenge.
The upside? This is the most reliable way to trade, and it’s exactly what over 80% of hedge funds do. They rely on quant models to minimize risk and to outperform the market.
So, which path should you choose?
Quantitative Trading can feel overwhelming at first, I recommend starting with the basics. Begin with Pine Script coding in TradingView—start building a foundation with simple strategies and indicators. As you grow more confident, start coding your own ideas into rules and refining your approach to eventually automated your trading strategy.
TradingView is a great tool for this, and I’d highly suggest grabbing the Premium plan. This will give you access to more data and features to make your learning journey smoother.
Dive into the Pine Script documentation , and begin bringing your ideas to life.
I promise, the more you focus on this, the better and more independent you’ll become in trading.
Every day, aim to get just 1% better.
To Your success,
Moein
Ethereum - This Is The Last Buying Opportunity!Ethereum ( BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ) is still super bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the correction of about -50% which we saw over the past couple of months on Ethereum, market structure and price action is still overall bullish. Ethereum is currently creating a bullish break and retest with a potential move of +60% towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
[SMCI] High RIsk / High Reward InvestmentOn this asset I am wanting a very big profit in term of percentage.
By looking at the fundamental we have a very strong stock with a center of interest field but the news made it dump. As in 2017, I expect this stock to survive the crisis and to come back even stronger to target new highs.
This will be my first entry and will manage then to add.
Great trade !
BNB: H&S, Not Just a Shampoo!
The price action on BNBUSDT shows a well-defined Inverse Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, with the neckline situated at the critical 600 level. This serves as the immediate resistance zone that needs to be breached to confirm a bullish continuation. Should the price manage to break and sustain above this neckline, the first target aligns with the 720 resistance, while the extended H&S projection hints at a potential rally toward 900.
Currently, BNB is trading above the EMA ribbon, which remains bullish. The ribbon acts as dynamic support, reinforcing the positive sentiment. A failure to hold this level, however, might result in prolonged consolidation. Adding to the bullish narrative, the market has been printing higher lows, signaling underlying strength and a likely breakout in the near future.
Key Takeaways:
Immediate resistance at 600; a breakout sets sights on 720, followed by 900.
The EMA ribbon must hold to sustain bullish momentum.
Higher lows increase the probability of an upside breakout.
👨🏻💻💭 How high do you think BNB can climb? Drop your predictions in the comments below!
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Bitcoin analysis strategies and ideasThe price is moving in a descending channel on the 30-minute frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 74260
We have a downtrend, the RSI indicator is about to break, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 74854
First target 75485
Second target 76545
Third target 77746