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Geopolitics: Risk Premium Discount Under Five Aircraft Carriers'Geopolitics: Risk Premium Discount Under Five Aircraft Carriers' Pressure When the U.S. Nimitz Carrier Strike Group arrived in the Arabian Sea as scheduled on June 22, forming a dual-carrier deployment with the Carl Vinson, London gold spot prices fell slightly by 0.04% to $3,367.09/oz—a phenomenon of "gold prices falling instead of rising under the shadow of war" that is rewriting the market's traditional response model to geopolitical conflicts. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has just announced that "military operation targets against Iran have been completed ahead of schedule," while the U.S. has released news of "deciding whether to join the war within the next 48 hours." Meanwhile, the UK's twin aircraft carrier battle groups have passed through the Suez Canal, with five aircraft carriers gathering in the Middle East—a military deployment comparable to the troop buildup before the 2003 Iraq War. However, market calm stems from two contradictory signals: on one hand, news that Iraq's "Hizbullah Brigades" threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz (accounting for one-third of global oil tanker traffic) panicked energy markets; on the other hand, although Iran-Europe nuclear talks made no substantive breakthrough, they released a de-escalation signal of "negotiations upon Israel's ceasefire." This tug-of-war between "military escalation and diplomatic de-escalation" has led to a "partial realization" of gold's safe-haven demand—similar to knowing a storm is coming but unsure of the exact time, so you buy an umbrella but don't open it immediately. Key data anchors: Israeli airstrikes have destroyed 40% of Iran's missile launchers, and Iran's retaliatory strike on Israel's "cyber capital" Beer Sheva on the 20th used 35% fewer missiles than last week. This "decrease in attack intensity" is interpreted by the market as an expectation of a "short-term war," causing gold ETF holdings to decline by 2.3% month-on-month. Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you XAUUSD sell@3380~3390 SL:3410 TP：3370~3360
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by David_Wilson1
BTC get out while you still can!I've been warning people about this for weeks. History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. BTC had a double tope and the 50 / 200SMA show cooling and both showing clearly that it's moving one direction and it's not up. Gravity with this one is strong (historically) and so is the volatility. Crypto bros will go back to eating beans and rice! MSTZ and BTCZ could be good plays here....best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
Short
by antonini2002
1
Trend line vs Trend lineRivian (RIVN) is currently at a binary decision point, sitting just above the 50-week EMA and a key uptrend line. Price is testing a strong confluence zone near $13.38–$13.57, with rejection seen from the $15.49 resistance. A break below this area could lead to a drop toward the $12.43–$11.54 demand zone. You can refine your entry using the high-wave candle by boxing its high and low on the 1-hour chart. A break above the box with volume would signal early bullish momentum; a break below suggests further downside. Confirm the move with hourly RSI above 50 and Stochastic RSI curling up. This setup offers a high-probability directional move as the next few candles decide the trend.(Break down by AI Chat gpt except For Chart)
NASDAQ:RIVN
by paper_Trader1775
NATURAL GASNatural gas prices have pulled back from a 2½-month high due to forecasts of normalizing summer temperatures in the U.S., which could reduce cooling demand and electricity generation needs. Demand Drivers: U.S. LNG exports are ramping up, supporting demand and prices. LNG export facilities like Plaquemines LNG and Corpus Christi Stage 3 began production in late 2024, with more capacity expected in the next two years. Domestic demand for natural gas in power generation is expected to rise seasonally in summer, with June electric power consumption projected to be about 25.7% higher than May. Supply Factors: U.S. dry gas production remains robust, currently around 106.7 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), up 3.3% year-over-year. Natural gas inventories are near five-year averages but expected to end the injection season (October 31) about 3% below average due to strong demand and exports. Price Forecast: The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects Henry Hub spot prices to average around $4.00/MMBtu in 2025 and rise further to about $4.90/MMBtu in 2026, driven by increased LNG exports and domestic consumption growth. Conclusion Natural gas prices are currently moderating after recent gains but remain supported by strong export demand and seasonal power consumption increases. The market outlook is for prices to rise through 2025 and 2026 as LNG exports expand and domestic demand grows, despite some short-term weather-driven fluctuations. #LNG #USOIL #DOLLAR
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Shavyfxhub
NATGAS Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 3.896 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 3.662 Recommended Stop Loss - 4.034 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
1
BTC CORRECTIONBIG REASON WHY Geopolitical tension. The war between Iran and Israel is inevitable. It's just a matter of time; either the USA, China, and Russia will be involved. The money will flow much more into safe havens like assets. But based on the Jerome Powell interview after the FOMC statement, the US economy is going on the great path. We can say that if the USA is involved, it will cost the economy growth. But they still need to show the world who's the BOSS (military co.). The conclusion is, BTC is too risky for current conditions. As we know, the war might escalate. BTC Projectory price Nearest Area 94.5-95K Mid term Area 85.4 - 86K Worst Case 76.5-72-53.2K P.S. Things will change rapidly; always monitor your portfolio and the news
Short
by Eirxco
2
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 2-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)2-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $102,459.21 with a decline of $853.19 (-0.83%) over the period. The chart highlights a significant drop from a peak near $105,898.45, with a shaded area indicating a potential support zone between $101,682.19 and $99,732.49, and a resistance level around $103,000. The timeframe spans from 9:00 to 29:00, with technical indicators and price levels marked for analysis.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
2
Bitcoin### Bitcoin Price Analysis (June 21, 2025) #### **Current Price**: $103,236.15 (as of the snapshot) - The price is hovering near the lower end of the recent range, with key support at **$102,000** (marked as "S/s" on the chart). - Resistance levels are visible at **$105,000**, **$107,000**, and **$110,000–$114,000**. #### **Key Observations**: 1. **Support and Resistance**: - **Strong Support**: $102,000 (critical level; break below could signal further downside). - **Immediate Resistance**: $105,000 (previous entry point and psychological level). - **Higher Targets**: $110,000–$114,000 (if bullish momentum returns). 2. **Price Action Context**: - The price recently rejected the $105,250 level ("Entry") and is now testing lower support. - The "Profit" markers at $105,000 and $105,026 suggest these were take-profit zones for traders. 3. **Trend and Sentiment**: - The chart shows consolidation between $102,000–$110,000, with no clear breakout yet. - A hold above $102,000 could lead to a retest of $105,000, while a break below may target $100,000 or lower. 4. **Volume and Timeframe**: - The snapshot lacks volume data, but the date range (June–July) suggests a medium-term view. - Key dates to watch: June 25–28 and early July for potential volatility. #### **Conclusion**: - **Bullish Case**: Hold above $102,000 and reclaim $105,000 to aim for $110,000+. - **Bearish Risk**: Break below $102,000 could accelerate selling toward $100,000 or $99,000. **Actionable Insight**: Watch the $102,000–$105,000 range for a breakout or breakdown. A rebound from support with volume could signal a buying opportunity, while a drop below $102,000 may indicate further downside. *(Note: The analysis is based on limited data from the snapshot. For a full assessment, additional indicators like RSI, MACD, and volume would be needed.)*
Long
by Tdawly_Official
1
Nifty Chart Analysis – Major Breakout or Breakdown Ahed Assending Triangle Chart pattern in Nifty- Breakout Possible ? As of June 21, 2025, the Nifty 50 index is showing a strong and potentially decisive Ascending Triangle Pattern on the 3-hour time frame. This formation typically indicates a bullish breakout if confirmed with volume. Let’s dive deep into the technical outlook and key levels that traders and investors should watch. Current Market Overview Current Nifty Level: ~25,080 Pattern Identified: Ascending Triangle Time Frame: 3H (Medium-Term to Long-Term Insight) An Ascending Triangle is a bullish continuation pattern formed by a horizontal resistance line and a rising trendline of higher lows. Key Levels to Watch Resistance Zone: Immediate Resistance: 26,280 (All-Time High) Breakout Target 2: 27,280 Breakout Target 3: 28000 (Long-Term) If Nifty breaks above the 26,280 level with strong volume confirmation, the next upward targets will be 27,280 and possibly 28000 , based on the measured move from the triangle height. Support Levels: Latest Support: 24,250 Post-Election Breakout Support: 22,800 Major Support (Election Result Day Low): 21,300 If any major negative trigger (geopolitical or macroeconomic) occurs, a sharp correction can’t be ruled out. The levels mentioned will act as key demand zones. Potential Global Risks While the technical setup is bullish, external risks could spoil the party: Geopolitical Conflicts: Iran vs. Israel India vs. Pakistan China vs. US tensions Macro-Economic Triggers: Spike in Inflation or Crude Oil Prices US Fed Rate Hike Surprises Global Recession Fears In such cases, a steep fall toward 22,800 or even 21,300 may occur. ✅ Conclusion & Strategy The current Nifty setup presents a classic high-reward-low-risk opportunity for long-term traders if a breakout is confirmed. However, caution is advised if global uncertainties increase. Investors should: Wait for a decisive breakout above 26,280 with volume. Maintain a stop-loss around 24,250 on long positions. Consider booking partial profits near resistance levels and re-entering on pullbacks. How Traders Can Prepare for the Next Move Whether a breakout or breakdown happens, traders must: Use proper stop-loss and risk management Wait for volume confirmation Watch for FII/DII activity Combine price action with Data Analysis Important Note: This analysis is based on current chart patterns and known global events. Always use proper risk management and consult with a financial advisor before taking investment decisions. 💬 Like the chart if you found it useful 🗣 Comment your views or questions 👤 Follow us for regular breakout updates 🔁 Share this chart with your trading community and friends who follow Nifty! ✅ Let’s grow together with smart chart analysis and technical strategies.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by manojshinde27
1
Us500:What is going to happen?hello friends👋 This time we are here with the analysis of us500, an important and vital index in the market that is being talked about a lot these days. Well, let's go to the analysis, you will see that with the drop we had, a lower floor was made and the price was quickly supported and pumped by buyers. Now it is clear that an ascending pattern has been formed, which is a very strong support in the specified area and a good buying point that you can enter into a transaction with capital and risk management. Note that if the floor is broken and the stop loss is placed, our bullish pattern becomes invalid and we have to wait for lower floors. 🔥Follow us for more signals🔥 *Trade safely with us*
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheHunters_Company
1
Bitcoin Expecting Relief moveBitcoin Poised for 109K Bitcoin is showing resilience around the key psychological support level of 100K which appears to be holding firm despite recent volatility. The current price action reflects a complex consolidation pattern, but overall sentiment remains bullish, driven in part by ongoing geopolitical tensions that are boosting Bitcoin’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. If this support holds, the structure suggests a potential move toward the next resistance level at 109K. You may find more details in chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Long
by MrMartin_11