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ADBE Earnings Play – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-11)📈 ADBE Earnings Play – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NASDAQ:ADBE (Adobe Inc.)
Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close
Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 72%
Strategy: Single-leg Call | Expiry: June 13, 2025
🔍 Market & Options Snapshot
• Price: ~$416.06
• Historical Move: ~6.5% avg. post-earnings (5 of 8 quarters up)
• IV Rank: 0.75 — Elevated, with expected 25–30% crush post-release
• Narrative Drivers: AI/Creative segment strength, positive analyst sentiment
• Max Pain: $400 (below current price, but overshadowed by bullish catalysts)
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ Bullish Bias (3/4 Models):
Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor the $420 Call (ask $12.65) for a balanced risk/reward
Gemini/Google: Also bullish, suggests call spread but agrees $420 Call is viable
⚠️ Contrarian (1/4 – DeepSeek):
Flags overbought RSI & IV crush risk
Proposes a deep-OTM $472.50 Call for asymmetric upside (lower conviction)
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $420
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 (weekly after earnings)
💵 Entry Price: $12.65
🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+19%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $10.00 (–21%)
📈 Confidence: 72%
⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
📏 Size: 2 contracts (≈2% portfolio risk)
⚠️ Key Risks
IV Crush: If the move disappoints, premium may collapse
Overbought RSI: Short-term pullback risk pre-release
Negative Surprise: Weak guidance could send stock lower
Volatility Whipsaws: Earnings reactions can be choppy—use disciplined stops
💬 Are you playing Adobe this quarter? Calls or skips? Drop your strategy below!
Gold breaks through strongly and is bullish
Gold market analysis and outlook
Fundamental driving factors
Inflation data and Fed policy
The US CPI data in May was lower than expected, reinforcing the market's expectations for the Fed's September rate cut. The US dollar index was under pressure (falling to 98.42, close to a six-week low), boosting the attractiveness of gold.
The expectation of a downward trend in real interest rates and the decline in US Treasury yields further supported gold prices.
Geopolitical risks
Tensions in the Middle East have intensified, and safe-haven demand has surged. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has received buying support.
Influence of related markets
The weak US dollar (-0.4%) reduces the cost of holding gold, and the volatility of US stocks and uncertainty in trade policies have prompted funds to flow to safe-haven assets.
Key technical signals
Daily level
The price broke through the previous shock range, the short-term moving average was in a bullish arrangement, and the MACD momentum turned strong. Pay attention to the 3390-3400 pressure zone.
Yesterday's big positive line closed to confirm short-term strength, and 3385-3400 is the next key resistance zone.
Short-term (1H)
After hitting 3356 in the early trading, it broke through the high again, showing that the bulls are dominant, and 3355-3360 constitutes the first support of the day.
If the price does not break 3355 after the retracement, the bullish structure will be maintained, and the upper target is 3377-3385; after the breakthrough, it can look to the 3400 mark.
Trading strategy suggestions
Bull opportunities
Entry area: 3345-3350 support range.
Target: 3377 (Asian high) → 3385 → 3400.
Stop loss: below 3340 (to prevent false breakthroughs).
Short risk warning
If the gold price rises to the 3385-3400 area and is under pressure, you can try shorting with a light position, stop loss 3405, and target 3360.
Key risk control position
Support: 3345 (strength and weakness dividing line) → 3338 (daily bull defense line).
Resistance: 3377 (European session high) → 3387 (previous high concentration area).
Conclusion: Gold maintains a relatively strong pattern under the resonance of fundamentals and technical aspects. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks, and it is necessary to be vigilant against the risk of profit-taking at high levels.
USD/JPY bounces off trend but risks tilted to downsideWith equity markets well off their earlier lows, the USD/JPY is also bouncing back, although it is not out of the woods yet with risks remaining tilted to the downside amid signs of weak inflation data and Trump's tariff threats.
Technically, the USD/JPY has been in consolidation mode, but a potential break of the trend line could trigger a sharp drop towards 142.00 and then 140.00.
For now, the trend line is providing support, but with the dollar slumping against other currencies, the USDJPY could also take a tumble should we see renewed weakness in stocks.
Resistance comes in at around 144.00.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
CHFJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the CHFJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 176.83
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 175.72
My Stop Loss - 177.39
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Will gold definitely rise if the news is good?
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line pattern continues to close. The previous three days relied on the lifeline to lift the space. Now the lifeline position is in the 3317 area, which is close to the early morning low point 3319 and becomes the support range
The upper rail resistance position 3405 coincides with the previous high point 3403.5 area
Comprehensive support 3317-3319, resistance 3403-3405
2. The four-hour surge of more than 50 US dollars has pulled the pattern upward, but the European session just fell sharply by 37 US dollars, and the market has been pulled back to the exit again. Pay attention to the lifeline position and the double line superposition at 3335-3330, which also coincides with the lower track of the small channel 3330-3325 area, and together become the nearest support area
The upper track overlaps with the upper track of the small channel 3370 area
Comprehensive support 3320-3330, resistance 3370-3380
Currently, under multiple favorable factors, gold has repeatedly failed to break the previous high (3403).
From the technical pattern, it can be seen that the upper resistance line is still strong. On the contrary, the sharp drop just echoes the weakness of the bulls. Gold is still dominated by shorts.
Finally, let me talk about the current international situation that is favorable to gold. If you simply trade based on news, I don’t think everyone will become a millionaire by reading the news.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3370-3385
Tron (TRX): $0.40 Incoming | Strong Bullish DominanceTron coin is showing strong buyside dominance, where after the first wave of pump price has been stabilizing yet keeping itself above the lines of EMAs.
As we are seeing strong buyside dominance, we are getting ready for another pump, similar to the last one, so watch closely and be sure not to miss what might come next!
Swallow Academy
Gold is ready for fly or trap (Read Caption)Hello everyone. What do you think about gold market
Current price 3351
Gold is working in parallel channel bullish under and I think gold retest down side touching support area 3340 and 3325. Then gold pump upside and target 3390_3410
Support area. 3340-3325
Resistance area 3390-3410
This setup for education and learning basics. Trade on your risk
And please like comment and follow thank you
S&P500 INTRADAY consolidation range Boeing Crash: An Air India Boeing 787 crashed after takeoff from Ahmedabad to London, killing all 242 on board. It’s the worst accident involving this model. Boeing shares dropped on renewed safety concerns.
Trump Tariffs: Donald Trump plans to set new tariff rates within 1–2 weeks before a July 9 deadline. The EU may be last to get a trade deal. Japan is cautious about any agreement.
US-UK Trade Deal: The US and UK plan to move quickly on a trade deal. The EU is expected to face delays.
Tariff Pause: The US may extend a 90-day pause on tariffs for countries negotiating seriously.
Middle East Tensions: The US is pulling embassy staff as tensions rise. Iran warned of retaliation if nuclear talks fail. Reports say the US is preparing for a possible Israeli strike on Iran. Oil prices eased.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6060
Resistance Level 2: 6120
Resistance Level 3: 6172
Support Level 1: 5960
Support Level 2: 5900
Support Level 3: 5800
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD has follow the ascending channel bullish from support FX:EURUSD Analysis – 1H Time Frame
EUR/USD is currently respecting an ascending channel and showing strong bullish momentum from the key demand zone at 1.13900.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 1.14600
2nd Target: 1.15000
The price action confirms buyer interest and continued upside potential, as long as the structure holds.
📊 Stay tuned for more updates and trade setups!
💬 Like, follow, and drop your thoughts in the comments!
— With love,
Livia 😜
EURUSD| Riding the Real FlowInitially waited for price to return to my first POI — didn’t happen. Instead, price BOS’d and unlocked fresh liquidity. No panic. I’m not here to force old zones — I follow structure.
Now we’ve got:
✅ 4H bullish momentum still active
✅ Fresh BOS creating new intent + liquidity
✅ 30M heavy bullish push showing strength
✅ Top-down alignment from 4H → 30M → 5M
✅ Mitigation + sweep + OB entry on deck
That clean demand zone is holding value — I’m just staying patient, letting price do its thing. As always: “We sit. We wait. We strike.”
When it aligns — I’m in. Until then, I’m chilling like the sniper I am.
#SMC #JuicemannnFlow #TopDownMastery #ForexSniper #StructureTalks #InducementKing #EURUSD #RideTheMomentum #4HTo5M #LiquidityReads #FundedTraderMoves
Bless Trading!
GBPCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25GBPCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly highs POI
✅1H order block rejection
✅4H order block rejection
✅15’ order block identification
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
ENA About to Explode or Dump? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Yello Paradisers — are you positioned right for the next potential explosion in #ENA, or will you get caught on the wrong side of the move like most retail traders? After a brutal grind in a descending channel, something big is brewing... and it’s coming faster than many realize. Let's dive in.
💎#ENAUSDT currently facing a key resistance at the upper boundary of the descending channel, clearly tested multiple times and respected well by the market structure. A candle close above this channel would trigger a confirmed breakout, which opens up a clean path for continued upside movement — the next major target sits at the resistance zone between 0.446 and 0.4725.
💎There’s a high-probability alternative setup unfolding as well: ENA holding the S/R level around 0.3448 and the demand zone below, which aligns perfectly with the multi-timeframe EMA support. If this area holds strong, expect another impulse move toward our resistance zone as momentum builds.
💎Price had been forming lower highs and lower lows, respecting the downtrend But recently we observed a Clear Change of Character (ChoCH) — ENA broke market structure by forming a higher high.What usually follows? A higher low, and that’s where we are now.
💎The most probable scenario is for price to pull back to the S/R level or dip into the demand zone, and then form a higher low before making the next leg upward toward resistance.
💎Invalidation is simple and must be respected: if we see a confirmed candle close below 0.2798, then the bullish case breaks and the setup is no longer valid. This is where you must cut quickly, avoid hope-trading, and reassess the structure from scratch.
Don’t chase. Don’t panic. React with strategy, not emotion. This is how real professionals win in crypto. Stay sharp, Paradisers.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Analysis of Current Gold Trends and Trading RecommendationsYesterday, the daily K-line closed as a shooting star Doji with a long upper shadow, confirming a wide consolidation range between 3,300 and 3,350 for gold prices. In the short term, gold stabilizing above 3,250 is expected to maintain a mildly bullish trend within the consolidation, with focus on the 3,345-3,350 resistance zone today.
From a 4-hour perspective, support lies at 3,315-3,320. On pullbacks to this level, long positions can be considered for rebound continuation, while resistance stands at 3,350. The trading strategy remains centered on "buy low, sell high" within the 3,350-3,315 range.
Critical Monitoring: Closely track the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and today's CPI data release, as both events may exacerbate market volatility and influence short-term trend direction.