$MAV Setup Looks Juicy, Trend Reversal Ahead?NYSE:MAV is looking good here!
MAV is forming a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern, but it hasn’t broken out yet.
A breakout is expected soon.
There’s also a bullish divergence on the RSI:
Price is making lower lows, but RSI is making higher lows 👀
This is often an early sign of a trend reversal.
If the breakout happens, we could see a strong rally toward $0.081 and $0.126 in the coming weeks.
DYOR, NFA
#mavi #Altseason2025
Community ideas
Bitcoin Major Dip Upcoming | Next Move BEARISH ?Bitcoin experienced a sharp intraday pullback from ~$107.6K down to ~$105.8K, influenced by new U.S. Senate legislation discussions targeting crypto taxation and exchange regulation. This news injected short-term volatility and prompted a minor sell-off.
However, BTC closed June at its highest monthly level ever (~$107.1K), maintaining a strong macro uptrend. Institutional interest remains robust, with over $4.5B in inflows into BTC ETFs over the past two weeks. On-chain data shows ~98% of BTC supply is in profit, reflecting underlying strength—though short-term caution is warranted due to possible profit-taking.
📉 Technical Analysis (Chart Reference)
🔹 Key Levels:
• Resistance: $107,500 / $112,000
• Support: $105,000 / $103,000 / $100,000
🧠 Observations from the Chart:
• Resistance Zone: Price struggled to break and sustain above $107,500 despite multiple Break of Structure (BoS) attempts.
• Support Zone: Strong horizontal support is established around the $105,000 level—price is currently testing this.
• Market Structure: Multiple Change of Character (ChoCh) patterns suggest a short-term bearish trend, likely driven by macro news impact.
• Upcoming Dip: Chart annotations highlight an expected pullback into the $104K–$105K region before a potential bounce.
• Trendlines: The downward-sloping trendline indicates corrective pressure, but the broader ascending channel remains intact.
📈 Technical Outlook
• Trend: BTC is consolidating within a broad ascending structure on higher timeframes. The current dip aligns with a healthy retest.
• Momentum: 4H RSI and MACD show cooling, signaling temporary bearish momentum.
• Watch Zone: $103K–$105K is key for potential bounce. Losing $100K would invalidate short-term bullish structure.
Next Move Prediction
Short-Term (1–5 Days):
🔻 Expect continued downside/consolidation toward $103K–$105K. High chance of buyer re-entry around support.
Medium-Term (2–4 Weeks):
📈 Bullish continuation toward $112K–$115K if ETF inflows remain steady and no major regulatory shocks occur.
💼 Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: $103,000–$105,000 (scale in during dips)
• Target 1: $112,000
• Target 2: $115,000
• Stop Loss: Below $100,000 (daily close)
Despite short-term news-driven volatility, Bitcoin’s macro trend remains bullish. As long as the $100K support holds, this is likely a dip-buying opportunity. July often brings strong seasonal performance, and ETF demand may act as a major bullish catalyst. Stay alert for news and volume confirmation before committing to entries.
GBP/JPY Shifts to Bearish Trend – Key Levels to MonitorGBP/JPY Shifts to Bearish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor
The GBP/JPY pair has entered a confirmed bearish trend structure, with the formation of a lower low signaling increasing selling pressure. This technical development suggests the currency pair may continue its downward trajectory in upcoming trading sessions, presenting potential shorting opportunities for traders.
Bearish Confirmation
The recent lower low formation serves as a classic technical confirmation of bearish momentum. This pattern indicates sellers are successfully pushing prices below previous support levels, establishing a new downward trajectory. The breakdown follows what appears to be exhaustion of the prior bullish trend, with bears now taking control of market direction.
Downside Targets
The pair now eyes potential support levels at:
- 196.300 (immediate target)
- 194.300 (secondary objective)
These levels may provide temporary support, but a decisive break below could accelerate the decline. Traders should watch for potential bearish continuation patterns or reversal signals around these zones.
Key Resistance
The 198.900 level now stands as critical resistance. Any corrective rallies toward this zone:
- May attract fresh selling pressure
- Could offer potential short entry opportunities
- Would need to be decisively broken to invalidate the bearish outlook
Market Considerations
Several factors could influence GBP/JPY's movement:
- Bank of England vs. Bank of Japan policy divergence
- Risk sentiment in global markets
- UK economic data releases
Trading Strategy
With the bearish structure confirmed, traders might consider:
- Short positions on rallies toward resistance
- Tight stop-losses above 198.900
- Profit-taking near support levels
The bearish outlook remains valid unless price reclaims and sustains above the 198.900 resistance level. As always, proper risk management is essential when trading this volatile currency pair.
GJ-Wed-02/07/25 TDA-Daily support 196.371 tapped and rejectedAnalysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned!
Patience.
There are periods where price move smoothly
and some others less smoothly. The trader's
job is to adapting to market changing conditions.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
BITCOIN STRATED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE.BITCOIN STRATED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE.
Market started forming lower low, which indicate bearish trend.
After a long Bullish trend, a correction is expected in market.
Market is expected to remain Bearish in upcoming trading session.
On lower side market may hit the target level of 99,000$ in upcoming trading sessions.
On higher side 12,000$ price may act as a key resistance level for the market.
Quietly Building: A Major Options Position in August AUDEye-catching activity in August AUD options with a strike at 0.67 .
The break-even point for this portfolio sits slightly higher, at 0.674 — and judging by open interest, this is the largest position in play.
Quick reminder:
A break-even level like this could act as a synthetic put building zone by adding short futures to their positions. That means profit from downside moves — with limited risk .
But here’s the catch:
This setup alone doesn’t scream “buy” or suggest strong bullish conviction toward 0.674.
However, it’s definitely worth watching — especially if price starts moving in that direction.
Also keep an eye on option unwinds or roll-overs — they often tell us more about how big players see the future path of the asset.
📈 Bottom line:
Not a clear signal yet — but definitely a pattern forming. Stay tuned.
Follow for more edge-driven breakdowns!
XAU/USD – Long off Lower Channel + Fundamental Tailwind📌 Bias: Bullish (technical + macro alignment
🔹 Trade Setup
Entry Zone - 3 245 – 3 255
Stop-Loss - 3 240
TP1 - 3 375 (Last Month High)
TP2 - 3 475 (Upper Channel)
🧠 Technical Rationale
- Price is respecting a clean ascending channel
- Confluence at entry: lower trendline + last month’s low + hidden order block
- Liquidity sweep expected below 3 245 before bullish continuation
🌍 Fundamental Tailwinds (July 2025)
🏦 1. US Dollar Collapse
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is down 10.8% YTD, its worst start since 1973
- Driven by:
- Trump’s erratic tariff policies and fiscal expansion
- Loss of confidence in US Treasuries as a safe haven
- Moody’s downgrade of US credit rating
“The dollar has transformed from a safe haven into a symbol of instability.” – ING strategist
🪙 2. Central Bank Gold Demand
- Global central banks continue accumulating gold to hedge against dollar devaluation
- This institutional demand underpins long-term bullish momentum
🔥 3. Geopolitical Risk Premium
- Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Iran–Israel, Gaza) and Russia–Ukraine keep gold attractive as a safe-haven asset
- Even with temporary ceasefires, the risk premium remains embedded in price
📉 4. Fed Dovish Shift
- Fed Governor Waller signals a possible July rate cut, citing weak labor data and easing inflation
- Lower rates = weaker dollar = stronger gold
🧠 Final Thought
This setup isn’t just technically sound—it’s fundamentally explosive. You’re riding a macro wave of dollar weakness, geopolitical hedging, and central bank gold demand. If price reacts cleanly at 3 250, this could be your high-conviction entry of the month.
Pull-back Post Austin LaunchNot quite a dark cover cloud candlestick today but given how strong the Nasdaq was today and NASDAQ:TSLA slumped is a fairly pathetic price action on day 2 post Austin launch.
IMO a lot of shorts were on the sidelines until robotaxi commenced. They waited for the pop and now feel more confident in entering short since they were able to assess launch. Buy the rumor sell the news if you will...
Correcting below the pre-launch price back to the lower wedge trend line around low 300s is my target.
NFP Bears gathering their troops? or will the Bulls stampede...The past 9 days have been quite interesting for the EUR/USD which has been relentless. Price has been rising like a helium balloon let loose at the park...
Bulls have clearly been in control, not only the past 9 days but since the beginning of the year with the exception of the strong pullback in April & May only to bounce for another 700 pip run.
I am totally USD bearish across the board as I have been mentioning in my analysis videos for the past few months but like all macro moves, we always have pullbacks along the way and that is why I have been shorting the EUR/USD back from 1.1500+ - 1.1700+
I've given this a lot of room to breathe, more than usual but considering the following technical setup, I'm willing to give the Bears some leeway and potentially show me they'll come through.
•Rising Broadening pattern (Where two trendlines start close together only to divergence and expand) - This is a bearish pattern.
•Negative Divergence on the MACD, Linear Regression & the RSI.
•Price has made a run to the yearly R3 pivot level. (Rare extension)
•Last daily candle is a hanging man candlestick (Reversal candle)
•Weekly chart has the EUR/USD at the upper band of a polynomial regression channel which calculates for price extremities in the market.
There are a few more setups as well but it's too much to describe here and I'd have to show it in a video (Which I plan to do over the weekend)
With all of that said... It could all fail lol but seriously speaking... You just can't ask for a better probabilistic setup so whatever happens during NFP... happens.
Aside from the technical aspect... I know yearly R2 around 1.1600 was a hotspot for shorts because divergence was at the early stages and taking a short there wouldn't have been a bad idea but we know institutions are in play as well, so above 1.1600 could have been a huge area to run stop losses and margin calls before a potential reversal.
250 pips would be enough to run a large pool of stops and liquidation.
IF price is going to reverse here during NFP, I believe late longs and breakout/pullback traders are going to try and buy at the trendline at 1.1660ish but it wont hold and trap them on the other side of the trade.
Under that, I can see us pulling back towards 1.1200ish...
If the Bears give up and price continues to climb... the original macro target may very well be under way which was 1.2000 - 1.2200 (Based on a Monthly and 3-Month chart analysis)
As of this writing the EUR/USD is pretty much completely flat which is expected before the NFP fireworks ahead of July 4th.
We'll see what happens tomorrow morning! buckle up!
As always, Good luck and Trade Safe! See you post NFP.
$Chillguy Cup and Handle (Bullish)Hi i hope everyone is profitting in this market, today i wanted to bring up the cup and handdle spotted on chillguy with major upside that could go as high as ATH's if not higher but before you dive into what a cup and handle is on chillguy give me a like and follow if you found this content of value so others can more easily see it as well hping they gain knwledge of this as well.
Reistance
$0.11 key level for massive breakout
$0.20
The cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern used in technical analysis to identify potential buying opportunities in trading. Below is a concise explanation of the pattern and how to trade it:
**What is the Cup and Handle Pattern?**
- **Shape**: The pattern resembles a "U" shape (the cup) followed by a smaller consolidation or pullback (the handle).
- **Cup**: Represents a period of price decline followed by a recovery to near the previous high, forming a rounded bottom.
- **Handle**: A short-term consolidation or slight pullback, often sloping downward, signaling a pause before a breakout.
- **Timeframe**: Can form over weeks to months on daily or weekly charts.
**Key Characteristics**
1. **Prior Uptrend**: The pattern typically forms after a significant price increase.
2. **Cup Depth**: The cup's lowest point is usually 20-50% below the prior high, though deeper cups can occur in volatile markets.
3. **Handle Formation**: The handle should slope downward and last shorter than the cup (e.g., 1-4 weeks). It often retraces 10-33% of the cup's height.
4. **Volume**: Volume typically decreases during the cup formation and handle, with a spike during the breakout.
**How to Trade the Cup and Handle**
1. **Identify the Pattern**:
- Confirm the cup's "U" shape with a rounded bottom (not a sharp "V").
- Ensure the handle forms a tight consolidation, ideally sloping downward.
- Check for a prior uptrend to confirm the bullish continuation context.
2. **Entry Point**:
- Enter a long position when the price breaks above the handle’s resistance (the high of the cup).
- Confirm the breakout with increased volume to reduce false signals.
3. **Stop-Loss**:
- Place a stop-loss below the handle’s low or the cup’s low, depending on risk tolerance (typically 5-10% below the entry).
4. **Price Target**:
- Measure the cup’s depth (from the high to the low) and add it to the breakout point.
- Example: If the cup’s high is $100, the low is $70, and the breakout is at $100, the target is $100 + ($100 - $70) = $130.
5. **Volume Confirmation**:
- Look for a volume surge during the breakout to validate the move.
- Weak volume may indicate a false breakout.
### **Risk Management**
- **Risk-Reward Ratio**: Aim for a minimum 2:1 ratio (e.g., risk $1 to gain $2).
- **Position Sizing**: Risk no more than 1-2% of your account per trade.
- **False Breakouts**: Be cautious of breakouts without volume or in choppy markets.
**Tips for Success**
- **Timeframes**: The pattern is more reliable on longer timeframes (daily or weekly charts).
- **Market Context**: Ensure the broader market trend supports the bullish pattern.
- **Combine Indicators**: Use tools like moving averages, RSI, or MACD to confirm momentum and avoid overbought conditions.
- **Practice**: Backtest the pattern on historical data or use a demo account to refine your strategy.
**Example**
- Stock XYZ rises from $50 to $100 (uptrend), forms a cup dropping to $70 and recovering to $100, then consolidates in a handle between $95-$100.
- Breakout occurs above $100 on high volume. Enter at $101, set a stop-loss at $94 (handle low), and target $130 (cup depth of $30 added to $100).
7/3: Focus on Short Positions, Watch Support Near 3320Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold tested support near 3328 but failed to break below it effectively. The price then rebounded toward the 3350 level. At today’s open, gold briefly extended to around 3365 before pulling back.
Technically:
On the daily (1D) chart, the price remains capped by the MA20, with no confirmed breakout yet.
Support levels below are relatively dense, and moving averages are increasingly converging, suggesting a breakout in either direction is approaching.
Key intraday support lies in the 3321–3316 zone.
On the 2-hour chart, we are seeing the first signs of a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Much like Tuesday’s setup, there are two possible scenarios:
If 3342–3334 holds, the price may extend slightly higher, intensifying divergence before pulling back;
If 3337 breaks, we could see a drop toward 3320, where correction would occur through a direct decline.
From a fundamental perspective, several high-impact U.S. data releases are scheduled for the New York session, which may increase volatility and make trading more challenging.
Trading suggestion:
For most traders, the safest approach is to wait for data to be released, then look for oversold rebounds or overbought corrections following sharp market reactions.
This style requires patience and strong risk control—avoid being overly aggressive or greedy, as such behavior can easily lead to trapped positions or even liquidation.
ETHEREM ETHUSD LONG TECHNICAL CHART IDEAEthereum (ETHUSD) Technical Outlook – Short-Term Levels and Potential Targets
📊 Key Insights:
First Below Support: 2560 USDT
Starting Journey: 2600 USDT
Resistance Zone: 2630–2650 USDT
Target on Breakdown: 2440 USDT
Market Structure:
After a period of consolidation between 2560 and 2600, ETHUSD has initiated a sharp upward move towards the resistance zone near 2630–2650. The chart projects a possible rejection from this resistance area, suggesting a potential pullback targeting 2440 if support fails to hold.
✅ Key Considerations:
Watch for price action confirmation around 2630–2650.
A sustained break above resistance could invalidate the short-term bearish scenario.
The target zone of 2440 aligns with prior support and could offer buying interest
USDJPY 15M BULLS START TO SHOW THERE MUSCLES :))))As we can see we have been rejected @ a VERY STRONG SUPPORT AREA, and small time frame give us good BULLISH FORMATION (Creating LL/HL with DIVERGANCE)
Im looking to hold at list 1 lot, as i believe this could be a bottom for a START OF MASSIVE BULL RUN (ONLY TIME WILL TELL)
As usual will update everything here
Thanks
BTC Breakout Alert: Ready for the Next Bullish Wave The BTC/USD 4-hour chart shows a clear breakout above a descending trendline that has acted as resistance since mid-May. After multiple rejections, the price has now broken above the structure, signaling bullish momentum. The Ichimoku cloud confirms support underneath, providing confluence for a potential rally. The bullish breakout is also accompanied by increasing volume and a bullish engulfing pattern near the breakout zone, which adds confirmation. Price is currently consolidating just above the breakout area, suggesting a retest may be forming before further upside continuation. If momentum sustains, higher levels could soon be tested in the coming sessions.
Entry: 109,400
1st Target: 110,000
2nd Target: 111,870
Bullish rise for the Gold?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,344.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 3,302.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,403.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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