Samsara’s IoT Surge: A Fleet Management Play with Space to GrowSamsara NYSE:IOT , a trailblazer in the Internet of Things (IoT) for fleet management, has been turning heads since its 2021 IPO. With a market cap hovering around $17 billion and its stock quadrupling since debut, the company is riding high on analyst optimism. But beyond the hype, what’s driving Samsara’s ascent-and what risks lie ahead?
From Startup to IPO Star: Samsara’s Journey
Founded in 2015 by Sanjit Biswas and John Bicket-veterans of the tech world who sold their previous startup, Meraki, to Cisco-Samsara hit the ground running. By 2018, it was a unicorn valued at $1 billion, and in 2021, it raised $805 million in a high-profile IPO, catapulting its valuation to $11.5 billion. Fast forward to today, Samsara's shares rose sharply if we compare it to its IPO price, demonstrating and reinforcing investor confidence in its growth.
The Business: IoT Meets Fleet Management
At its core, Samsara offers cloud-based platforms that help logistics and transportation companies optimize operations. Using a mix of cameras, GPS, and AI-powered sensors, its solutions provide real-time insights into vehicle location, driver behavior, and asset tracking. In 2019, the company introduced AI-driven dashcams to monitor driver safety, and by 2021, its subscription revenue topped $300 million with 20,000 customers.
Samsara got a lot of innovations, but what is the latest one? Bluetooth tags for tracking smaller assets, expanding its reach beyond vehicles to parcels and inventory. With annual recurring revenue (ARR) hitting $1.1 billion in 2024 and growing 35% year-over-year, the company’s momentum is undeniable.
Financial Status: Growth with a Profitability Horizon
Samsara’s financials paint a picture of rapid expansion. In Q3 2025, revenue jumped 36% to $322 million, while ARR climbed to $1.349 billion. Gross margins sit at a healthy 73%, and free cash flow is positive—a rarity for high-growth tech firms. Customer growth is equally impressive: the number of large clients (those spending over $100,000 annually) rose 30% in 2024.
Nevertheless, we should note that Samsara remains unprofitable, with net losses narrowing but still present. The company is laser-focused on scaling, reinvesting heavily in R&D and customer acquisition. Analysts expect it to reach breakeven soon, but the timeline still remains a wildcard.
Market Opportunity: A $100 Billion TAM Beckons
Samsara’s addressable market is vast. The Total Addressable Market (TAM) for fleet management and logistics IoT is estimated at $50 billion, with Samsara capturing just 1% of it. Expand that to adjacent sectors-manufacturing, industrial operations-and the TAM balloons to $100 billion. With a market share of only 1%, the runway for growth is immense.
The company’s leadership in its niche is clear, though rivals like Geotab (10% market share) and Verizon Connect NYSE:VZ loom large. Samsara’s edge? A relentless focus on innovation, as seen in its AI-powered Samsara Intelligence platform and partnerships with heavyweights like DHL and Tyson Foods.
Risks to Watch
High-growth tech isn’t without pitfalls. Samsara faces stiff competition in a crowded field, and its reliance on rapid scaling leaves little room for error. Regulatory hurdles, especially around data privacy, could also emerge as IoT adoption spreads. Plus, the company’s unprofitability-while shrinking-remains a concern for risk-averse investors.
A Growth Story with Legs
At $39 per share, Samsara trades below its all-time high, but analysts see plenty of upside. Wells Fargo and Piper Sandler peg its target at $54-$55, with a consensus forecast of $49.50. Samsara NYSE:IOT offers a compelling blend of innovation, market leadership, and a massive TAM. But it’s not a slam dunk-competition and profitability hurdles loom. Still, for those betting on the IoT revolution, Samsara’s growth engine looks hard to ignore.
Community ideas
Cronos Ready to Reverse?Daily Chart
With today’s candle close, a reversal divergence will be confirmed on the VVV Destroyer if the price manages to close above 0.081.
The price has taken out the previous lows, collecting liquidity below.
Meanwhile, the VVV Destroyer has started to turn higher, indicating that buyers may be taking control.
The close back above the zone together with the divergence indicates a high-probability reversal.
The histogram has remained in the green zone, momentum is building, and the candles have started to tighten, signaling weakening sellers.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | February 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (H1 Timeframe)
Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is moving sharply and steeply—this suggests the formation of a 5-wave impulsive structure.
Specifically:
- Waves 1, 2, and 3 (green) appear to have completed.
- Currently, wave 4 is forming as a 3-wave corrective structure (abc in black).
- Once wave 4 completes, we anticipate the next upward move as wave 5, which will complete the full 5-wave cycle (green).
🎯 Potential Price Targets for Wave 4
Based on the structure of the abc correction and support zones, we identify two key target areas:
+ Target 1: 3324
+ Target 2: 3311
When the price breaks above the top of wave b (black), it will serve as a strong confirmation that wave 4 has ended and wave 5 is beginning.
📈 Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): Momentum is still rising and likely needs 2–3 more days to enter the overbought zone, supporting the continuation of the uptrend.
H4: Momentum is about to turn upward, signaling wave 4 may be nearing completion.
H1: Momentum is also preparing to turn up, suggesting the price is approaching the end of the wave 4 correction zone.
💼 Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 3325 – 3322
STOP LOSS: 3215
TAKE PROFIT 1: 3345
TAKE PROFIT 2: 3368
TAKE PROFIT 3: 3395
📌 Wait for H1–H4 momentum alignment before triggering a BUY entry for wave 5.
XAUUSD – Bullish Flag Pattern on the Hourly Chart📌 XAUUSD – Bullish Flag Pattern on the Hourly Chart
Gold completed a strong upward move last week and then entered a corrective phase forming a classic bullish flag pattern with a descending channel.
🟡 Currently, price is consolidating within the pattern boundaries. As long as it holds the support area around 3,325, the favored scenario is a continuation of the bullish trend upon an upward breakout.
🎯 Technical target after breakout: 3,419, based on the flagpole height.
📉 In case of a downside break, the scenario will be reassessed.
🔍 This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a trading recommendation.
dollar elliott wave countingdxy is falling since it peaked in Q4 2022
since their last 75bps hike dollar is constantly falling and stocks, gold, bitcoin constantly rising and making new all time high
wave W = wave Y
(equal in length, 100% projection for wave Y)
since starting of the year due to trump tariff dollar is falling
this is year in first half dollar saw biggest collapse since end of gold standard
now 100% projection target for wave Y at 95 area is big static support level
if dxy recover back to 100 area then this will be first sign of reversal
MEW Main Trend. Memcoin. 2025 07 02Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
Cat in a dogs world (MEW)
X -133 thousand subscribers (this is not enough).
Reduction from the maximum -87%. For such assets, this is not enough.
I imposed a descending channel on the chart (current descending trend of the main trend), and a horizontal one, if by some miracle this local Ross hook is broken upwards (not forming a local head and shoulders), not only to the resistance of the secondary trend (red line), but to break through it. Percentages to key zones of support/resistance levels are shown for clarity.
After the downward trend is broken, such "psychological-fundamental" assets are usually pumped up by +800-1000% from the minimums or more. Low liquidity, and the contingent of people who subscribe to these projects, allows this to be done easily at the right time: "the hamster is not scared". After pumping — a slow death, with pumps an order of magnitude smaller. Therefore, do not forget to sell in the alt season.
When working with such cryptocurrencies by liquidity, observe money management, use partial entry or on a breakout. Do not use margin leverage, as there may be snot in any direction for a large percentage, which will lead to liquidation "out of the blue".
GBPJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25GBPJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
CADJPY-bias long Bullish indications:
Previous day's closing respcted .
Hammer cnadle formation in daily.
shorter time frame HHHL
Fib level 0.5 respected from today's low.
Double bottom and morning starn candle from support in 5 min.
Bearish indicatoins:
Bearish divergence in 5 min.
Trade plan bias long @105.354
SL:105.21
TP1:105.525
TP2:105.680
Russell2000 bullish breakout supported at 2167Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 2225
Resistance Level 2: 2240
Resistance Level 3: 2255
Support Level 1: 2167
Support Level 2: 2150
Support Level 3: 2134
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3349.3
Stop - 3353.5
Take - 3339.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/CAD – Bullish Continuation with Fibonacci-Based Entry -1H-TFWe're closely monitoring AUD/CAD on the 1-hour chart, where the pair is maintaining a strong bullish trend, consistently forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
Currently, the price is undergoing a retracement, and a new HL appears to be forming. Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, we observed a pullback beyond the 0.5 level, which aligns with a high-probability entry zone for trend continuation setups.
Based on this technical alignment, we’ve executed an instant buy order, aiming to capitalize on the next potential leg upward.
🔹 Pair: AUD/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bullish
🔹 Divergence: None
🔹 Pattern: None
🔹 Harmonic: None
🔹 Sentiment: N/A
🔹 Bias: Bullish
🔹 Entry (Instant Buy): 0.89537
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.89238
🔹 Take Profit 1: 0.89812
🔹 Lot Size: 0.92
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry is based on a Fibonacci-based retracement after a series of bullish structure points (HH/HL). Setup is positioned for trend continuation with tight risk management.
📌 #AUDCAD #ForexSignals #TrendContinuation #FibonacciTrading #PriceAction #BullishTrend #SmartEntry #RiskManagement #1HChart #ForexTradeSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #BuySetup
DXYDXY price has come down to test the important support zone 96-95. If the price cannot break through the 95 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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How do we plan before ADP and NFP?📰 News information:
1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data
2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments
3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market
📈 Technical Analysis:
The market will continue to fluctuate before the ADP data, and the market will continue to rise after the adjustment. In the 4H cycle, the upper rail of the pressure is temporarily suspended, and the Bollinger Bands also close. This is why I emphasize the need to pay attention to the 3323 support line below. At present, gold rebounded, I think it will touch 3348 at most, that is, it rebounded to 50%. Therefore, before the ADP data, I still hold the position of 3340-3350 for shorting, and find support for long at 3325-3315 below. I have marked the pattern of head and shoulders bottom in the figure. I have been engaged in spot, futures, foreign exchange and other transactions for many years. My analysis ideas can be referred to by brothers
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3325-3315-3295
BUY 3323-3315-3305
TP 3340-3350-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
BANDHANBANKNSE:BANDHANBNK
Note :
1. One should go long with a Stop Loss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low.
2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2.
3. Plan your trade as per the Money Management and Risk Appetite.
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