Community ideas
USD/CHF High-confidence, Trend-Aligned setup. – April 26 2025 1️⃣ Technical Outlook
TF Structure & Momentum Verdict
Weekly (W1) Lower-lows since Jan; bearish OB at 0.8400 caps rallies Bearish
Daily (D1) Clean bearish channel; Friday close < mid-channel Bearish
H4 Consolidation under 0.8335 FVG after liquidity sweep Bearish
Trend-Aligned ✅
2️⃣ Primary Alert Zones (H4)
Zone Price Type Setup Idea
0.8335 – 0.8350 Bearish OB + FVG Break-&-retest short
0.8260 – 0.8250 Weekly swing low TP1 / possible bounce
0.8200 – 0.8180 Liquidity pocket TP2 / extended target
3️⃣ Indicator Snapshot
RSI (H4): 38 → momentum still weak
MACD (D1): below 0, widening histo → bearish pressure
ATR (1 h): ≈ 10 pips (14-period)
Tick Vol (trigger-candle rule): need > 20 % above avg
4️⃣ Fundamental & Sentiment Radar
USD side: Dollar Index 99.25, stabilising after 4-wk slide
Investing.com
CHF side: SNB jawboning risk – talk of curbing CHF strength
Investing.com
Next Red-Flag Events:
FOMC (May 6-7) – full blackout starts Apr 26 00:00 (today)
Home
US ISM Mfg (May 1)
Swiss CPI (May 2)
Net positioning: CFTC shows record CHF longs vs USD → crowded trade (contrarian squeeze risk).
Risk Mood: Equities firm; CHF retains safe-haven bid if risk fades.
5️⃣ Trade Considerations (BEES v2)
Entry Trigger: M15 bearish engulf at 0.8335 OB + volume > 20 %
Rejection Filters: No trade if price < 0.8300 without retest (chase risk)
No-Trade Zone: ±50 pips around 0.8400 HTF resistance unless clean breakout
6️⃣ Risk Management
ATR-based SL: 1.5 × 10 pips ≈ 15 pips
TP Plan:
TP1 0.8260 (≈ 2 R)
TP2 0.8200 (≈ 3 R)
Trail remainder via H1 swing highs
7️⃣ Execution Checklist ✅/❌
HTF trend aligned
Volume surge > 20 % required
Outside 6 h of red-flag release (entry after NY open Mon)
Confidence ≥ High
Price not in No-Trade Zone
8️⃣ Pre-Trade Grading (0–2 each)
Criterion Score
Trend Alignment 2
Confluence Strength 2
Price Behaviour 2
Risk : Reward Quality 2
Event Risk Filtered 1
Total 9 / 10 → Trade Valid
🗺️ Time-Based Volatility Map
Session Expectation
Asia (Sun 17:00-00:00 EST) Likely gap fill, low vol
London (03:00-06:00 EST) Highest probability retest zone
NY (08:00-11:00 EST) USD data spikes; monitor spreads
🧩 Correlation Radar
EUR/CHF also heavy – confirms CHF strength
DXY soft; correlated pairs (USD/CAD, USD/JPY) biased lower
Gold ended successfully, Where will the market go next week?The idea of keeping gold short at a high level is that after the winning streak of gold ended, gold continued to fluctuate in a narrow range. If there is no opportunity, then it will end early and rest. After all, it is Friday. After a hard week, it is time to rest. The news on the weekend has changed a lot, and it is full of uncertainty. Gold rebounded again in the second half of the night, which seems to be strong, but has gold reversed? It is too early to say now.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be short, but after gold bottomed out at the first-line support near 3265, gold rebounded by more than 50 US dollars. Is this rebound a reversal? Not necessarily, because now it basically fluctuates by about 100 US dollars every day, and it is hard to say that a rebound of 50 US dollars is a reversal. The strength of next week is the key. If the rebound of gold next week is not very strong, then gold will still fluctuate and be short. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average above gold is near 3354, and the top of the negative line of gold on Friday is near 3352. If there is no effective breakthrough of these two positions next week, it will still be a fluctuating and short trend.
The weekly line of gold is also a shooting star with a long upper shadow at a high level. If there is no big bullish news to support gold in the short term, gold will be under pressure at a high level in the short term, and the daily line is also down from a high level without a strong counterattack. On the whole, there is still room for adjustment in the short term for gold.
The market is changing rapidly and confusing. Sometimes we cannot be confused by the illusion in front of us. Only by not being afraid of the clouds blocking our eyes can we see clearly behind the market. Before gold reverses, it is still bearish in the short term. It is light to follow the trend and messy to go against the trend. The market is always right. Going against the market will eventually be taught a lesson by the market. Don't have any fluke mentality in the face of the trend. The market will not forgive your mistakes again and again.
Next week's operation ideas: short gold 3350-60, target 3310-3300;
BTC Dominance: What a Rise Could Mean for the MarketTechnical view:
Rejecten from EMA 20 & 50 as support and the upward move has been confirmed by a breakout above the 63.47% level.
The next target for BTC.D is around 64.34% – 64.49%.
This scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the 63.17% level.
Understanding BTC Dominance (BTC.D) and Its Market Impact
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) measures the percentage of total crypto market cap that belongs to Bitcoin. When BTC.D goes up, it usually signals that money is flowing into Bitcoin and out of altcoins. This often happens during risk-off sentiment, uncertainty, or when BTC is making a strong move.
➡️ A rising BTC.D can mean:
Altcoins may underperform or correct
Bitcoin is leading the market trend
It's safer to focus on BTC-related trades
On the other hand, when BTC.D goes down, altcoins often shine—especially mid and low-cap ones—marking what traders call an altseason.
⚠️ So if BTC.D breaks resistance and trends upward, it might be a good idea to reduce exposure to altcoins and monitor BTC closely for momentum trades.
LTC Mid Term Analysis As far as I can see, Litecoin is still moving within a wide channel that has remained reliable for years.
If you ignore the volatility and short-term fractals, Litecoin has consistently provided profits to early investors who were patient enough to wait.
Before this summer, I anticipate that LTC will reach at least $100 to $106.
The main target should be much higher, but predicting the future is a bit more difficult at the moment.
Due to new U.S. policies and other fundamental events, the target price should be kept at moderate levels for now.
ETHUSDT is Breaking Out!! Is the Bull Run Finally Here?After a long period of consolidation within a descending channel, BINANCE:ETHUSDT is showing signs of life as it finally breaks out with bullish intent. This technical breakout could mark the beginning of a fresh bull run, reminiscent of past explosive moves we’ve seen from MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM following major corrections. Historically, CRYPTOCAP:ETH has experienced drawdowns of over 90%, only to bounce back stronger and reach new all-time highs.
Currently, BITSTAMP:ETHUSD remains deep in the oversold zone, suggesting it’s still undervalued relative to its potential. As momentum begins to pick up, we could see targets being hit one by one, driven by renewed investor interest and favorable market conditions.
Moreover, the recent surge in COINBASE:ETHUSD ETF inflows adds fundamental weight to the technical setup. This institutional participation could act as a catalyst for a sustained rally, reinforcing the bullish bias.
That said, risk management is key. Always trade with a clear stop loss and position sizing to protect capital. The opportunity is brewing – the question is, are you ready to ride the wave?
BYBIT:ETHUSDT Currently trading at $1790
Buy level : Above $1750
Stop loss : Below $1490
Target : $4000
Max leverage 3x
Always keep stop loss
Follow Our Tradingview Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts
Gold fluctuates in a range and corrects sideways! Trend AnalysisAnalysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Technical analysis of gold: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. The opening trend of the gold market on Friday was like Thursday, and the Asian session started to pull up and rise all the way to around $3,370. However, it encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started to fall. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by yesterday's European and American sessions, and rebounded after reaching a minimum of $3,265.
From the current market structure, the position of $3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively breaks, the bearish trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the current form, there are two Yins enveloping Yangs, so the adjustment will continue at the beginning of next week; of course, this adjustment can be replaced by sideways trading, which means that it is not ruled out that it will run back and forth in the 3260-3380 range. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is recommended to be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3368-3370, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3265-3260. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3368-3370, target near 3300-3285, and look at the 3260 line when it breaks.
Strategy 2: Go long on gold when it pulls back to around 3265-3270, target around 3290-3330, and look at the 3370 line if it breaks.
GBP/USD Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekTrend Analysis
Examining the 4 - hour chart of GBP/USD, the pair is distinctly navigating an upward trend. A series of successive higher highs and higher lows have been established, serving as a robust testament to the dominant strength of the bulls 🐂. This upward momentum indicates that the bulls are firmly in the driver's seat, consistently pushing the price higher and maintaining control over the market sentiment.
Key Levels
Support Area
The 1.3200 - 1.3240 range emerges as a crucial support zone on the chart. Historical price action reveals multiple instances where the price has found strong support in this area, bouncing back with resilience each time it approached. This repeated pattern underscores the presence of substantial buying pressure, as market participants actively step in to defend this price level. Should the price retrace towards this support zone again, it could potentially present a lucrative opportunity for traders to initiate long positions 💰.
Target Area
The 1.3420 mark has been identified as a significant target level. In the event that the price successfully breaks free from its current consolidation phase and continues its upward trajectory, there is a strong expectation that it will advance towards this target price. This level represents a potential milestone for the bullish rally, and reaching it would further validate the strength of the upward trend 🎯.
Trading Strategy
Long - position Strategy
For traders looking to capitalize on the bullish trend, a well - timed entry point could present itself when the price retraces to the 1.3200 - 1.3240 support area. Once there, the appearance of a bullish candlestick pattern, such as a hammer or an engulfing pattern, can serve as a signal to consider entering a long position. To manage risk effectively, it is advisable to set the stop - loss just below the support area, protecting against any unexpected downward movements. With the 1.3420 target area in sight, traders can aim for a profitable trade as the price moves in the anticipated upward direction 📈.
⚡⚡⚡ GBPUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@1.32000 - 1.32400
🚀 TP 1.33500 - 1.34000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Two Bullish Scenarios to Watch on ETHUSDTThis week, BINANCE:ETHUSDT has shown a significant upward movement, and there's a good chance it could continue its bullish momentum.
There are two bullish scenarios developing on BINANCE:ETHUSDT :
1. After a pullback, we could see an impulsive move that breaks the previous high (marked with the red arrow) and pushes the price towards the first target at 1,911 – 1,957.
2. The price could move sideways for a while, forming a bullish pennant pattern. In this case, a correction towards 1,756 – 1,731 might occur before the price resumes its move to the first target at 1,911 – 1,957.
Both scenarios remain valid as long as the price holds above 1,722.
If the second scenario plays out, the pullback to 1,756 – 1,731 can be considered a good buy zone (for those who are not in position yet).
Remember: wait for a confirmation candle before entering and place your stop-loss just below the confirmation candle.